The Bum's NBA Regular and Playoff Season's Best Bets !!

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, April 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -3.5 500
Washington - Over 184 500

Charlotte - 7:30 PM ET Charlotte +14.5 500
Brooklyn - Under 195 500

Detroit - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota -6 500 POD # 1
Minnesota - Under 197 500

Toronto - 8:30 PM ET Toronto +6 500 POD # 2
Milwaukee - Over 202 500

Atlanta - 8:30 PM ET Atlanta +9 500 POD # 3
San Antonio - Under 193 500

Houston - 9:00 PM ET Houston +5.5 500
Denver - Over 210.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Saturday

April 6, 2013

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 0-11 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since April 02, 2005 as a favorite after a game on the road in which they had at least 10 shots blocked.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pistons are 12-0 OU (15.9 ppg) since February 24, 2009 as a road dog after a road loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pacers are 10-0 ATS (9.7 ppg) since November 19, 2012 after a loss in which Lance Stephenson played fewer than 30 minutes.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Pacers are 11-0 OU (15.5 ppg) since March 31, 1998 as a favorite after a home loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Spurs are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since January 10, 2012 after a loss on the road in which Daniel Green shot worse than 33% from the field.

-- The Pacers are 7-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since February 22, 2011 after a loss in which Roy Hibbert was the Pacers’ high scorer.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday

April 9, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 10-0 ATS (10.2 ppg) since March 09, 2011 when they covered by double digits two games straight.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Suns are 9-0 OU (16.4 ppg) since November 03, 2005 on the road with at most one day of rest off a home loss in which they led by 10+ points.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pacers are 10-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since March 14, 2010 with at least a day of rest after a loss in which Roy Hibbert was the Pacers’ high scorer.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Heat are 10-0 ATS (8.8 ppg) since April 18, 2011 after winning the previous matchup in which Chris Bosh was the Heat’s high scorer.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Bulls are 0-8 OU (-9.3 ppg) since January 30, 2012 after a loss in which Joakim Noah shot better than 66% from the field.

-- The Nets are 0-8-1 OU (-10.2 ppg) since February 20, 2012 after losing the previous matchup in which Deron Williams had at least 10 assists.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Philadelphia at Brooklyn
The Sixers look to take advantage of a Brooklyn team that is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 home games. Philadelphia is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nets favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 9

Game 651-652: Cleveland at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 111.478; Indiana 123.227
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 13; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+13); Over

Game 653-654: Milwaukee at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.143; Miami 126.471
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 655-656: Philadelphia at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.921; Brooklyn 122.749
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7 1/2); Over

Game 657-658: Washington at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.653; New York 126.256
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 10 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10 1/2); Under

Game 659-660: Toronto at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 111.348; Chicago 117.938
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 661-662: Phoenix at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 108.785; Houston 124.935
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 16; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 14; 212
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-14); Under

Game 663-664: Charlotte at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 108.559; Memphis 125.391
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 17; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 14; 186
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-14); Over

Game 665-666: Oklahoma City at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 128.104; Utah 123.125
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3); Under

Game 667-668: Minnesota at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.658; Golden State 125.064
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6 1/2); Under

Game 669-670: New Orleans at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.912; LA Lakers 124.204
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Reply With Quote

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 9

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CLEVELAND (24 - 52) at INDIANA (48 - 29) - 4/9/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 10-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (37 - 39) at MIAMI (60 - 16) - 4/9/2013, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (31 - 45) at BROOKLYN (44 - 32) - 4/9/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 117-85 ATS (+23.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 62-76 ATS (-21.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 49-75 ATS (-33.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 7-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (29 - 48) at NEW YORK (50 - 26) - 4/9/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 8-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (29 - 48) at CHICAGO (42 - 34) - 4/9/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (23 - 54) at HOUSTON (43 - 34) - 4/9/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (18 - 59) at MEMPHIS (52 - 25) - 4/9/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 28-55 ATS (-32.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 5-23 ATS (-20.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MEMPHIS is 69-49 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (56 - 21) at UTAH (41 - 37) - 4/9/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (29 - 47) at GOLDEN STATE (44 - 33) - 4/9/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 158-204 ATS (-66.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (27 - 50) at LA LAKERS (40 - 37) - 4/9/2013, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 9-7 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 14-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 9

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won last two games by six points each, after losing previous ten games (6-3 last nine AU).
-- Miami won 31 of its last 33 games (4-1 last five HF).
-- 76ers won four of last six games (7-6 last 13 AU).
-- Knicks won last 12 games, covered 12 of their last 13.
-- Bulls won six of last nine games (3-5 last eight HF).
-- Rockets won four of their last five games (1-5 last six HF).
-- Grizzlies won five of their last six games (1-3 last four HF).
-- Utah won seven of last eight games, covered nine of last 11. Thunder won six of their last eight games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Minnesota won three of last four games (3-1 last four AU). Golden State won seven of its last ten games (4-7 last 11 HF).
-- Lakers won four of their last five games (5-8 last 13 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost last two games, by 22-19 points, after winning seven of previous eight (3-6 last nine HF).
-- Bucks lost seven of their last nine games (0-5 vs spread last five A).
-- Nets lost three of their last five games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Washington lost its last five road games (0-3 last three AU).
-- Raptors lost eight of their last eleven games (1-4 last five AU).
-- Suns lost their last eight games (0-6 last six AU).
-- Bobcats lost five of their last six games (3-1 last four AU).
-- Hornets lost four of last six games (0-8 last eight AU).

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 13 Brooklyn games went over total. Five of last six Philly games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven New York home games went over the total.
-- Last three Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Last four Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Thunder games stayed under the total; seven of last ten Utah games went over.
-- Five of last six Minnesota road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten New Orleans games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- None

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, April 9

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Cleveland is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
Indiana is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 15 games at home

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Brooklyn's last 13 games
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Charlotte is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Memphis is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
Houston is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHICAGO
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Utah
Oklahoma City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Utah
Utah is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Utah is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAKERS
New Orleans is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
LA Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against New Orleans

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. GOLDEN STATE
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, April 9

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Thunder at Jazz: What bettors need to know
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz (+3, 200.5)

One of Utah’s most impressive victories of the season was a 15-point thumping of Oklahoma City on Feb. 12. The Thunder return to Salt Lake City again for Tuesday’s game against the Jazz with Utah hoping to repeat the impressive feat and move closer to wrapping up the eighth seed in the Western Conference. Utah has a half-game lead over the Los Angeles Lakers and owns the tiebreaker so the Lakers must finish ahead of the Jazz to claim the spot.

Oklahoma City is one game behind the San Antonio Spurs in the tussle for the No. 1 seed in the West. The Thunder lost to the New York Knicks on Sunday to fall behind the Spurs. Oklahoma City badly routed Utah in the most recent meeting on March 13, leading by as many as 32 points in a 110-87 home win. The Jazz have won six of their last seven games after winning at Golden State on Sunday and also boast a fabulous 29-10 home mark.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, Fox Sports Oklahoma, ROOT (Utah)

ABOUT THE THUNDER (56-21): Forward Kevin Durant is suddenly locked in a battle for the NBA scoring crown after Carmelo Anthony poured in 167 points in a four-game span. Both players have a 28.4 average – Anthony is officially at 28.44 to Durant’s 28.35 – as Durant seeks to win his fourth straight scoring title. Only legends Wilt Chamberlain and Michael Jordan – who both won seven straight – have won four or more consecutive titles. Still, Durant claims landing another scoring crown is of a secondary nature. “I’m just going to play my game,” Durant said. “I’m not going to force it too much and think about it too much and try to get it. But if it’s meant to be, then it will happen.”

ABOUT THE JAZZ (41-37): Utah looked like a team that might fold when it lost 12 of 15 games in a woeful stretch from late February to late March. Now the Jazz are clicking and playing stellar basketball and have placed themselves in solid position to make the playoffs for the first time since the 2008-09 campaign. “I can’t say enough about this group of guys,” Jazz coach Tyrone Corbin said after the win over Golden State. “This was all about them and them wanting it, and the way they came out. Although we made some mistakes in the game, everybody laid everything they had in them out here on the floor.”

TRENDS:

* Jazz are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Under is 6-0-2 in Thunder’s last eight vs. Western Conference foes.
* Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Oklahoma City has won 10 of the past 14 meetings, including two of three this season.

2. Utah’s starting lineup combined for just 26 points in the March loss to the Thunder.

3. Durant is shooting 61.9 percent from the field while averaging 27 points in the meetings against Utah.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, April 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cleveland - 7:00 PM ET Cleveland +14 500
Indiana - Under 189.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:30 PM ET Philadelphia +7.5 500
Brooklyn - Over 192 500

Washington - 7:30 PM ET Washington +9.5 500
New York - Over 194.5 500

Milwaukee - 7:30 PM ET Milwaukee +6.5 500 POD # 1
Miami - Under 195.5 500

Toronto -8:00 PM ET Toronto +4.5 500 POD # 2
Chicago - Under 186 500

Charlotte - 8:00 PM ET Charlotte +14 500 POD # 3
Memphis - Over 186.5 500

Phoenix - 8:00 PM ET Houston -14 500
Houston - Under 212 500

Oklahoma City - 9:00 PM ET Utah +3 500
Utah - Under 199 500

New Orleans - 10:30 PM ET New Orleans +9 500
L.A. Lakers - Under 196.5 500

Minnesota - 10:30 PM ET Minnesota +6.5 500 POD # 4
Golden State - Over 201 500

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

April 10, 2013


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 11-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) since November 25, 2006 as a home favorite off a loss as a dog in which they led by 10+ points.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Magic are 0-10-2 OU (-12.5 ppg) since November 25, 2006 at home after a game on the road in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 8-0 OU (19.1 ppg) since March 13, 2012 on the road after a win in which Kobe Bryant played more than 40 minutes.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Wizards are 0-11 OU (-16.1 ppg) since April 04, 2007 at home after a road loss in which they allowed a shooting percentage at least 10 percentage points higher than their season-to-date average.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Hawks are 8-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since December 12, 2008 with at least a day of rest after a loss on the road in which Josh Smith took fewer than 10 shots.

-- The Mavericks are 8-0 ATS (9.1 ppg) since May 15, 2006 at home with at least a day of rest after a win in which Dirk Nowitzki took fewer than 10 shots.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tips

April 10, 2013

The regular season wraps up next week in the NBA as all eight playoff spots are wrapped up in the Eastern Conference. The Western Conference still has the last playoff seed up in the air with the Lakers, Jazz, and Mavericks fighting it out for the eighth position. Back in the East, the two teams trailing the red-hot Knicks in the Atlantic Division hook up in Beantown for the final time this season.

Nets at Celtics - 8:05 PM EST

These two rivals are meeting up for the first time since Christmas in Brooklyn when the Celtics ran the Nets, 93-76 as short underdogs. The last time the Nets invaded TD Garden in late November, Rajon Rondo and Kris Humphries were involved in a benches-clearing melee that turned all the momentum on Brooklyn's side. The Nets cruised to a 95-83 victory as 3 ½-point 'dogs, despite shooting just 40% from the floor.

Brooklyn is creeping closer to the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs at 44-32, sitting less than three games ahead of Chicago and Atlanta for home-court advantage in the first round. On Brooklyn's recent eight-game road trip, P.J. Carlisemo's club cashed the 'over' seven times, while breaking the 107-point mark five times. Since mid-February, the Nets own a solid 7-3 ATS record as a road underdog.

The Celtics cashed easily in Sunday's 107-96 home victory over the Wizards as 5 ½-point favorites, just the third cover in the last 12 games. In the role of a favorite, Boston is just 2-5 ATS the previous seven contests after an 11-1 ATS run at TD Garden from late January through March.

Lakers at Blazers - 10:05 PM EST

Advertisement
Los Angeles heads up to the Rose Garden tonight with no rest following Tuesday's 104-96 home victory over New Orleans. The Lakers pulled a half-game ahead of the Jazz for the eighth playoff spot in the Western Conference after Utah was tripped up by Oklahoma City last night, as the Lakers take on the coldest team in the league tonight.

The Blazers are in the midst of an 0-8 SU/ATS slide, including five consecutive home losses. Portland is not a very deep team, but this club is hurting right now with Nicolas Batum and Wesley Matthews both expected to miss tonight's contest. In the five-game home skid, the Blazers have been limited to 98 points or less each time, including a 96-91 defeat to the Mavericks on Sunday in which Portland fell behind by 24 points at halftime.

The Lakers have won four of their last five during this late-season surge, but failed to cash in last night's win over the Hornets as 8 ½-point favorites. Los Angeles has struggled in the role of a road favorite recently, covering just one of its last five when laying points away from the Staples Center. The Lakers are 2-1 SU/ATS in the season series against the Blazers, but the lone loss did come at the Rose Garden on Halloween, 116-106.

Spurs at Nuggets - 10:35 PM EST

San Antonio fell a half-game behind Oklahoma City for the top record in the Western Conference after the Thunder won at Utah on Tuesday. The Spurs will have a tough task tonight with a trip to the Pepsi Center in Denver, as the Nuggets shoot for their 21st consecutive home victory.

Both teams' star point guards are expected back in the lineup tonight, as Ty Lawson will likely play limited minutes for the Nuggets. Lawson missed seven of the last eight games with a heel injury, as Denver put together a 6-1 SU and 3-4 ATS record in this stretch. Tony Parker will suit up for the Spurs after sitting out Saturday's home win over the Hawks with a shin injury, as San Antonio looks to improve on a recent 2-7 ATS slide.

During Denver's 20-game home winning streak, the Nuggets have cashed 15 times, while three of the ATS losses came as a favorite of at least nine points. The home team has won all three meetings in the season series, including Denver's 112-106 triumph in mid-December as 2 ½-point favorites. San Antonio has lost each of its last four road contests, while scoring less than 95 points in each defeat (4-0 to the 'under').

[StarDust Bum]

Fact or Fiction

April 9, 2013

FACT

The Los Angeles Lakers aren't going to make the playoffs: Sorry, Lakers fans. You aren't going to get into the dance. You've got five games left going into Tuesday night, and those games are against New Orleans, at Portland, Golden State, San Antonio, and Houston. You might go 4-1 in those games, and even if you do, Utah has to go 2-2 in its last four for you to still get into the second season. The Jazz have Oklahoma City on Tuesday, at Memphis, and a home-and-home with Minnesota.

The Trail Blazers are now the worst team in basketball: It's tough to say that a team that has 33 wins on the season is the worst in the league, but the Blazers are doing what they can to prove that we are right. They don't have Nicolas Batum for the rest of the season, and that really takes away one of the three formidable players that they have on their roster. Portland has lost eight straight games and has gone just 1-7 against the spread in those games. Each loss has come by double digits, and many of the games have ended in ATS losses of epic proportions. There isn't a team in the league that we would rather see on the schedule for the last few games of the year than this one.

Carmelo Anthony is the league's MVP: Is Carmelo Anthony really going to win the MVP Award? Probably not. But should he? Absolutely. There's no doubt that LeBron James is the best player on the planet at the moment, but he isn't necessarily the most valuable. Even without both James and Dwyane Wade in the fold, the Heat have proven that they are good enough to play in the Eastern Conference. The Knicks have won 12 games in a row down the stretch because of the play of Melo. Anthony now has four straight games with at least 36 points scored, and he is now right there for the league lead in scoring. In our opinion, on a team with very little talent around him, Anthony should be the league's MVP, just for the way that he has played down the stretch of the season.

FICTION

The No. 2 seed in the West is in a lot of trouble: Many think that the team that finishes No. 2 in the Western Conference is going to be in huge trouble. The No. 1 seed is going to likely end up getting Utah and then either the Clippers or the Grizzlies en route to the Western Conference Finals, while the No. 2 seed is going to be stuck with either Golden State or Houston and Denver. Yikes! We really don't think that the Spurs or the Thunder should be all that worried, though. These are the two teams that are going to be in the Western Conference Finals, and the biggest punishment for finishing at No. 2 instead of No. 1 is going to be having to go on the road for the first two games of that series. Oklahoma City survived the same situation last year, and there's no reason that it couldn't do so again if that were the predicament that it ended up in again in 2013.

Boston's ATS struggles: We really think that the Celtics are playing possum right now. They have only gone 6-10 SU and 6-10 ATS in their last 16 games, but the truth of the matter is that they haven't had anything to prove. Boston knows that it is going to be an underdog in the playoffs, and it doesn't matter whether it has to play the Pacers, the Knicks, the Bulls, or the Nets. It's all the same. In the end, the C's are going to have to beat at least Miami and either New York or Indiana to win the East. There's a reason that the minutes for Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce have decreased drastically in recent weeks. This is still the most dangerous of the bottom five seeds in the Eastern Conference as we see it.

The Denver Nuggets are legitimate contenders: For as well as the Nuggets have played in the second half of the season, we still aren't all that sure that they are going to get out of the first round of the playoffs, let alone contend for the NBA title. We see this every year in the postseason with Denver. You can run and gun your way into perhaps the second round, and you can run and gun your way to a win or two at home, but when push comes to shove, all that running and gunning doesn't get the job done against the big boys. Now, with Danilo Gallinari out for the season, there is no hope as we see it for Denver to knock off Oklahoma City or San Antonio in the second round of the playoffs.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 10

Hot Teams
-- Pistons won three of last four games, covered last five.
-- Washington won its last nine home games. Miami won 32 of its last 34 games (4-1 vs spread last five A).
-- Nets won three of their last four games (5-3 vs spread last eight U).
-- Mavericks won six of their last eight games (5-6 last 11 HF).
-- Lakers won five of their last six games (5-7 last 12 AF).
-- Minnesota won three of last five road games, covered four of last five on road. Clippers won five of their last six at home, winning last two by 25-14 points.
-- Nuggets won 19 of their last 21 games (13-4 last 17 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost last five games, but covered four of last six. Bucks lost eight of their last ten games (0-6 vs spread last six A).
-- Hawks lost last three games, scoring 89.7 ppg. Philly lost three of its last four games.
-- Cavaliers lost 11 of their last 13 games (0-4 last four F).
-- Celtics lost eight of their last 12 games (6-3 last nine HF).
-- Suns lost their last nine games, covered four of last seven.
-- Trailblazers lost their last eight games (1-7 vs spread).
-- Hornets lost five of last seven games (2-8 vs spread last 10 on road). Kings lost six of last seven games (0-3 last three as F).
-- Spurs split last eight games, are 3-10 vs spread in last thirteen.

Totals
-- Last four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Miami games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Brooklyn games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Portland games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Sacramento games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight Clipper games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Denver games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Milwaukee is 6-12 vs spread if it played night before.
-- 76ers are 6-14 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Cleveland is 11-8 vs spread if it played night before, 2-4 at home.
-- Miami is 6-4 vs spread on road if it played night before. Wizards are 6-2 vs spread at home if they played the night before.
-- Brooklyn is 7-5 vs spread if it won the night before.
-- Phoenix is 6-11 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Lakers are 0-5 vs spread on road if they played at home night before.
-- Hornets are 7-10 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 vs spread on road if it lost the night before.
Reply With Quote

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, April 10

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
Detroit is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit
Cleveland is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Detroit

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Washington
Miami is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ORLANDO
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Brooklyn's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing Brooklyn

8:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix

10:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SACRAMENTO
New Orleans is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

10:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PORTLAND
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
LA Lakers are 3-18-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Minnesota

10:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. DENVER
San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
San Antonio is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games
Denver is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, April 10

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Spurs at Nuggets: What bettors need to know
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San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets (-3, 204.5)

The Denver Nuggets attempt to set a franchise record for consecutive home victories when they have a showdown with the Western Conference-leading San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday. The Nuggets previously won 20 straight home games during the 1984-85 campaign and are a league-best 35-3 at home this season. San Antonio is 23-15 on the road and waged in a battle with the Oklahoma City Thunder for the top spot in the West. The Spurs have a half-game lead.

Denver has won four consecutive games and 19 of its last 21 and has a half-game lead over the Memphis Grizzlies for the No. 3 seed in the West. The Nuggets have continued to win despite recent injuries to starts Danilo Gallinari (knee) and Ty Lawson (foot). Gallinari is out for the season and Lawson hopes to be back before the playoffs start. The Spurs will likely be without point guard Tony Parker (neck) and backup forward Boris Diaw (back) and continue to play without veteran guard Manu Ginobili (hamstring). San Antonio is 2-1 against the Nuggets this season.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, KENS (San Antonio), Altitude (Denver)

ABOUT THE SPURS (57-20, 39-36-2 ATS): Veteran power forward Tim Duncan has put together solid back-to-back outings. Duncan recorded double-doubles in both games while averaging 27.5 points and 12.5 rebounds as he moves forward from recent knee soreness. The 31-point performance in Saturday’s victory over the Atlanta Hawks was Duncan’s third 30-point contest since March 16. He has nine double-doubles over his last 11 outings. Duncan has put together three strong outings against the Nuggets this season, averaging 22.7 points, 12.3 rebounds and 4.3 blocks.

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (53-24, 47-29-1 ATS): Forward Wilson Chandler stepped into the starting lineup for the injured Gallinari and scored 21 points in Saturday’s 132-114 rout of the Houston Rockets. Chandler was deeply affected by Gallinari’s loss as the two have been close friends dating back to their time as teammates with the New York Knicks. They both arrived in Denver as part of the Carmelo Anthony deal and Chandler has been a valuable reserve while averaging 12.1 points this season. “Wilson gives us some very good talent and very good intangibles,” Nuggets coach George Karl said. “So does Gallo. But to be honest with you, they’re quite different. Gallo’s more of a shooter and playmaker. Wilson’s a dynamic runner and athlete.”

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Denver.
* Spurs are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Denver.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Underdog is 14-4 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
* Road team is 15-3 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. San Antonio is 4-2 in its last six visits to Denver despite losing 112-106 on Dec. 18.

2. Spurs F Kawhi Leonard is averaging 23.5 points and 10 rebounds over the last two games following a two-game absence with a knee injury.

3. Guard Andre Iguodala had a season-best 14 assists and Andre Miller recorded 12 in the win over the Rockets.