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Tech Trends - Week 13

November 21, 2012


Thursday, Nov. 23

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

TCU at TEXAS...Haven't met since last SWC season in 1995. Mack 2-3 vs. line at home TY, 6-12 vs. line at Austin since 2010. But Frogs only 9-15 last 25 on board and 2-3 as dog TY. Slight to TCU, based on team trends.

Friday, Nov. 23

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

NEBRASKA at IOWA...Ferentz 2-9 vs. line TY and 7-17 against spread since 2011, also just 2-7 last 9 as dog. Hawks also 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at home. Nebraska, based on Iowa woes.

BUFFALO vs. BOWLING GREEN (at Columbus)...BGSU 6-1 SU and vs. line last seven TY. BGSU, based on recent trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at UMASS...Enos has covered 3 of last 4 TY but still just 7-24 last 31 on board since mid 2010. Slight to UMass, based on extended CMU negatives.

BALL STATE at MIAMI-OHIO...Ball has won and covered last five TY and is 9-2 vs. points in 2012. Cards 5-1 vs. line away TY and 29-12 vs. spread away since 2007! Miami only 1-3 vs. line at home in 2012. Ball, based on team and recent trends.

SYRACUSE at TEMPLE...Owls 1-4 SU and vs. line last five TY. Cuse 4-1 vs. line last five TY. Syracuse, based on recent trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN...NIU on a rampage with 10 SU wins in a row and 6-1 vs. line last seven TY. Huskies have also covered last five as MAC visitor. EMU just 7-19 vs. line at Ypsilanti since 2007. NIU, based on team trends

SOUTH FLORIDA at CINCINNATI...Skip only 3-7 vs. line TY and 4-15 last 19 on board since early 2011. Skip, however, is 7-3 as road dog since arriving at USF in 2010, 16-6 since 2007 in role with ECU and Bulls, 25-8 in role since the great year of 2005 at ECU. Slight to USF, based on team trends.

MARSHALL at EAST CAROLINA...Herd no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 TY. Pirates, however, 5-1 vs. line last six at Greenville. ECU, based on recent trends.

OHIO at KENT STATE...Solich has hit the skids, only 1-6 vs. spread last seven TY. Solich also no covers last four on road TY. Meanwhile, Kent State surging with 9-0 SU and 8-1 spread mark last nine TY. Flashes have covered last three vs. Bobcats. Kent State, based on recent trends.

LSU at ARKANSAS...Hogs usually play LSU tough, although they lost and failed to cover in LY's 41-17 defeat. Still, Ark 4-1 vs. line last five meetings. Yet Razorbacks also 1-8 (2-8 counting Ky) vs. line this season. Les 11-6 vs. line away since 2010. LSU, based on recent trends.

UTAH at COLORADO...Utah only 1-4 vs. line away TY, but CU 2-9 vs. spread overall (0-5 in Boulder) in 2012, and Embree 6-18 vs. line overall since taking over Buffs in 2011. Utah, based on CU negatives.

WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE...WVU and Holgorsen just 3-7 vs. spread in 2012. ISU, based on recent WVU negatives.

WASHINGTON at WASHINGTON STATE...Apple Cup! Huskies finishing with a rush, winning and covering last three, and U-Dub has won and covered last three Apple Cups. U-Dub, based on team and recent series trends.

ARIZONA STATE at ARIZONA...Territorial Cup! Visitor team has often done well in this rivalry and has covered last two and five of last seven meetings. ASU, based on series road trend.

Saturday, Nov. 24

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

MICHIGAN at OHIO STATE...Buckeyes have covered last four and 9 of last 11 meetings. Urban only 5-5 vs. line TY despite all of the SU wins, though Brady Hoke 0-3 as dog this season. OSU, based on series and recent trends.

VANDERBILT at WAKE FOREST...Revenge for Grobe after 41-7 loss LY. Wake had owned this series previously. Dores 16-8 vs. line for James Franklin, they've also won and covered last three on road TY. Vandy, based on team trends.

UCONN at LOUISVILLE...Cards 9-1 SU but only 4-6 vs. line TY, and Charlie Strong only 7-12 vs. line at Papa John's since 2010. Pasqualoni two straight covers TY after five spread Ls in a row. Slight to UConn, based on extended trends.

GEORGIA TECH at GEORGIA...Road team is 8-0-1 vs. spread last 9 in series and 10-1-1 last 12 meetings. Jackets 3-0-1 vs. line last four at Athens. Georgia Tech, based on series trends.
MARYLAND at NORTH CAROLINA...UNC 5-1 vs. line at home this season for Fedora. UNC, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH...Beamer has owned UVa in recent years, with eight straight wins and a 7-1 spread mark in those games. Although Beamer only 2-8 vs. line TY and 6-19 last 25 on board since late 2010. VT, based on series trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at MINNESOTA...At least Spartans aren't playing at home, where they're 0-7 vs. line TY after NU loss, and 1-7 as chalk TY. They're 3-1 vs. line away, however, making road team 10-1 vs. spread in Spartan games TY. Gophers 6-2 vs. line last eight at home since mid 2011 and have covered last four in series. Slight to Minnesota, based on team and series trends.

MIAMI-FLORIDA at DUKE...Duke really backing up as season concludes, no wins or covers last three in ugly fashion. Al Golden 8-3 vs. line TY. Miami, based on recent trends.

ILLINOIS at NORTHWESTERN...NU 10-1 vs. line this season. Cats also 6-0 vs. spread at home, while Illini had dropped seven straight vs. number prior to narrow cover vs. Purdue. Illini 0-4 vs. line away TY. NU, based on recent trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at NC STATE...BC has covered last two this season but is 0-5 vs. line away in 2012. Home team has covered last three years in series. O'Brien 31-13 vs. line after fifth games of season since 2007. NCS, based on team and series home trends.

KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE...Cols 8-4 vs. line in series since 2000. But Vols 0-6 vs. line at Knoxville in 2012. UT no covers last five as chalk. Slight to UK, based on Vol woes.

WISCONSIN at PENN STATE...O'Brien 8-2 vs. line last ten TY, while Wiscy has covered its last three on road this season. Slight to Penn State, based on recent O'Brien marks.

at RUTGERS at PITTSURGH...Road team had covered four straight in this series prior to last season. 'Gers has covered 7 of last 8 this season after Cincy win. Rutgers, based on recent trends.

INDIANA at PURDUE...Old Oaken Bucket! Boilermakers no covers last four as chalk this season. Although Hoosiers 4-1 vs. line on road this season. Road team has covered last three Bucket battles. IU, based on team and recent series road trends.

TEXAS STATE at UTSA...Coker 6-3 vs. line TY and has covered last three after Idaho win. UTSA, based on team trends.

IDAHO at UTAH STATE...USU 10-1 vs. line TY. Meanwhile, Idaho 1-8 last nine vs. number TY. USU, based on recent trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at WYOMING...Road team has covered last three in series. Christensen 21-12 also as dog since arriving at Wyo in 2009, but Rocky has covered 5 of last 6 TY and is 3-1 vs. line away in 2012. SDSU, based on series and team trends.

TEXAS TECH vs. BAYLOR (at Arlington)...Tech skidding with four spread Ls in a row after OSU debacle, while Baylor has covered three of last four away from Waco TY. Tuberville 1-8 vs. line in last five games of season since 2011. Baylor, based on team trends.

AUBURN at ALABAMA...Iron Bowl. Auburn has covered 5 of last 7 vs. Bama, but note Tigers 9-15 vs. spread post-Cam. Nick 31-19 as home chalk since 2009. Bama, based on anti-Auburn trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at OLE MISS...Egg Bowl! Hugh "Pointspread Cover" freeze 18-5 vs. number at Ark State & Ole Miss since LY. Dan Mullen only 1-5 vs. line last six away from Scott Stadium, but has won and covered all three Egg Bowls vs. Rebs (all against Houston Nutt, however). Ole Miss, based on Hugh Freeze trends.

STANFORD at UCLA...Tree has won and covered last three meetings, now 10-1 vs. line away since LY, 15-3 since 2010. UCLA, however, 37-18 vs. line at Rose Bowl since early. Slight to UCLA, based on team trends.

BYU at NEW MEXICO STATE...NMSU has lost last nine SU this season and is just 2-7 vs. spread last nine in 2012. Cougs 7-2 vs. points last 9 away from Provo. BYU, based on team trends.

AIR FORCE at FRESNO STATE...Fresno 10-1 vs. line TY. Also 5-0 vs. line at Dog House for Tim DeRuyter. AFA no covers last four away from home TY. Fresno, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at OKLAHOMA...Bedlam! Revenge for Stoops after OSU whipped Sooners 44-10 LY. OSU 0-3 vs. line away TY and has not covered last five away from Boone Pickens Stadium. Slight to OU, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at TEXAS A&M...Pinkel 9-7 as road dog since 2007. Mizzou covered last two in series vs. Mike Sherman A&M teams. Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.

OREGON at OREGON STATE...Civil War! Ducks have won last four Civil Wars and 3-0-1 vs. line in those games. But Riley 5-1 as dog in 2012 and 25-11-1 in role since '07. OSU, based on team trends.

TULSA at SMU...Golden Hurricane 7-1 vs. line last 8 on CUSA road and has won and covered last two vs. June Jones. Tulsa, based on team and recent series trends.

FLORIDA at FLORIDA STATE...Jimbo is 2-0 SU and vs. line against Florida. Noles 4-1 vs. line at home TY. Gators no covers last four TY . FSU, based on recent trends.

LA TECH at SAN JOSE STATE...LT now no covers last four TY after tough OT loss vs. Utags. Tech also no covers last two away after covering 12 straight away from Ruston. SJSU 9-2 vs. line TY, 17-5 last 22 . Home team has covered last three meetings. Slight to SJSU, based on recent team and recent series trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at MEMPHIS...Memphis has covered last 3 and 4 of last 4 TY after UAB rout. Tigers have also covered last three at Liberty Bowl. Memphis, based on recent trends.

TULANE at HOUSTON...Wave 5-1-1 vs. line last seven TY, Houston no covers last five TY. Cougs, however, 8-0-1 vs. line last nine meetings. Slight to UH, based on series trends.

NEW MEXICO at COLORADO STATE...Home team has covered last four meetings, but Bob Davie has covered 3 of last 4 on road TY and 6 of last 9 overall. Slight to UNM, based on recent trends.

RICE at UTEP...Owls 4-1 vs. line last five TY and 4-1-1 last six as dog. Mike Price 1-3 as chalk TY and 9-18 in role since 2007, Price also 1-7 vs. line vs. Owls since arriving at UTEP in 2004. Rice, based on team and series trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at CLEMSON...Spurrier has covered 4 of last 6 in series but he's only 5-5 vs. line away from Williams-Brice Stadium since LY. Clemson had covered seven straight TY before narrow non-cover vs. NCS. Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.

UAB at UCF...UCF only 2-3 vs. line at home TY but O'Leary 23-13 vs. number as host at new stadium since it opened in 2007. UCF, based on extended trends.

NOTRE DAME at SOUTHERN CAL...Irish have only won one of last ten in series but that came two years ago at Coliseum. ND 3-7 vs. line last 10 in series, and 1-4 vs. points last five at Coliseum. This season, SC only 3-8 vs. line (3-2 at home) and ND 4-1 vs. line on road. ND, based on recent trends.

UNLV at HAWAII...Rebs have lost last 21 SU on road and 3-18 vs. line in those games (but 2-3 TY). Norm Chow 0-8 SU last 8 TY and just 1-7 vs. line, no covers last three at Aloha Stadium. Hawaii 4-1 vs. line in series since '06. UH, based on UNLV road mark.

Saturday, Nov. 24 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

NORTH TEXAS at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Mean Green 2-6 vs. line last 8 TY. UNT had won and covered 3 straight vs. Tops (as had most foes) prior to last season. WKU 16-3-1 vs. line last 20. WKU, based on recent trends.

TROY at MIDDLE TENENSSEE...MTSU on 7-2 spread run TY. But Troy 4-1 vs. line away TY. Blakeney, however, has owned Stockstill, beating him six in a row SU, with LY with only non-cover by Trojans in that stretch. Slight to Troy, based on series trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at UL-LAFAYETTE...Road team now 10-1 vs. line in USA games this season, with Jags 4-1 vs. points away. Slight to USA, based on TY's road-in-Jag trend.

UL-MONROE at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL...ULM 5-1 vs. line away TY, Golden Panthers 1-4 vs. line at home TY. Warhawks 5-1 vs. points last six in series. ULM, based on team and series trends.

[StarDust Bum]

ACC Report - Week 13

November 21, 2012

We're heading into the final week of regular season play in the Atlantic Coast Conference, and it's like the grand finale at a July 4th fireworks show. The top two games in particular will have national interest, and some of the other regional rivalries are very, very important to the on-field combatants, as well as the fans. This should be a very fun weekend.

Joe Williams's ACC Season Picks:
Period: 8/31/2012 to 11/17/2012
Pick Type: All Picks
Record: 23-13-0 ( 63.9% , +875)

PICK DETAILS
Week Record Total
Week 12 (Nov. 15-17) 1-0 Won (+ 100)
Week 11 (Nov. 8-10) 2-1 Won (+ 100)
Week 10 (Nov. 1-3) 3-1 Won (+ 200)
Week 9 (Oct. 25-27) 0-4 Lost (- 445)
Week 8 (Oct. 18-20) 2-0 Won (+ 200)
Week 7 (Oct. 11-13) 0-0 - (+/-0)
Week 6 (Oct. 4-6) 2-1 Won (+90)
Week 5 (Sept. 27-29) 3-1 Won (+190)
Week 4 (Sept. 19-22) 3-1 Won (+190)
Week 3 (Sept. 13-15) 3-2 Won (+80)
Week 2 (Sept. 6-8) 2-1 Won (+90)
Week 1 (Aug. 31-Sept. 3) 2-1 Won (+80)

Saturday - South Carolina at Clemson (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Five-Star Game

The war of words has been going on all week, and one of my favorite quotes of the year popped up again this week. "South Carolina has mouths like Alabama, and a trophy case like Vanderbilt." - unnamed. The Palmetto State rivalry is alive and well, and will certainly be heated in the upstate Saturday night. The Gamecocks have seemed to shake off the loss of RB Marcus Lattimore (knee) surprisingly well. They finished that game with a win against Tennessee, and rattle off two straight against Arkansas and Wofford. But, what they didn't see the past two weeks is a blitzkreig offense like the Tigers employ. Clemson has a quick strike passing attack, and a very good running game, which could give South Carolina fits all evening. USC has failed to cover in three of their past four games, while Clemson has covered seven of their past eight games, barely missing the number last week by a mere one point. The Gamecocks have covered five of the past six in this series, but the home team is also 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. Give the slight edge to Clemson, who will likely be engaged in a very close battle for most of the game until pulling away late.

Saturday - Florida at Florida State (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Matchup Four-Star Game

In most weeks, this battle of Top 10 teams would get top billing, and it still might from many others. Still, when I think ACC, I tend to think Clemson well before Florida State, and all things equal, I think both rivalry games will be fierce. Really, they're both five-star, prime matchups. The Gators are 4-1 ATS in their past five road games, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their past five non-conference tilts, and 0-4 ATS in their past four games overall. The Seminoles haven't been much better, going 2-6 ATS against the number in their past eight games, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight home contests against a team with a winning road record. In this series, the favorite is an impressive 13-3 ATS in the past 16 meetings, and the home team is 13-5 ATS in the past 18 meetings. That points to a potential FSU cover, as does the fact Florida is just 2-6 ATS in their past eight matchups with the 'Noles. The under might also be a good play. The under is 6-0 in Florida's past six non-conference games, and the under is 9-1 in Florida's past 10 against ACC opponents. The under is 13-3 in FSU's past 16 battles against SEC teams, and the under is 11-1 in FSU's past 11 non-conference games. The under is also 7-1 in the past eight meetings between the sides in Tallahassee, and 7-1 in the past eight meetings overall.

Saturday - Georgia Tech at Georgia (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Three-Star Game

Even a month ago, Georgia Tech did not look like a bowl-bound team, but they have secured a spot in the ACC Championship Game, representing the beleaguered Coastal Division, and they are now bowl eligible with six wins. They're certainly love to keep building their resume with a signature win over their bitter rivals from Athens, though. GT is 4-1 ATS in their past five games overall, although just 1-4 ATS in their past five against non-conference foes. Georgia is 9-3-1 ATS in its past 13 matchups against ACC opponents, but just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 home games. UGA is also an uninspiring 0-4 ATS in their past four non-conference battles. Georgia Tech is 3-0-1 ATS in the past four meetings at Sanford Stadium, and the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings.

Saturday - Miami (Fla.) at Duke (ACC Network/ESPN3, 12:30 p.m. ET)

Matchup Two-Star Game

Until a couple of weeks ago, this game was shaping up as the play-in game for the ACC Championship Game berth from the Coastal Division. But Miami has banned themselves from a bowl a second consecutive season, and Duke had their doors blown off by Georgia Tech last week, giving the Yellow Jackets a ticket to postseason play. Duke is already bowl eligible, and can greatly improve their standing with a win Saturday. The Hurricanes have covered five straight games, and they are 12-2 ATS in their past 14 ACC battles, but it will be interesting to see how the kids respond after having their bowl game taken away. Miami is also 7-2 ATS in their past nine road games. Duke has been no slouch at home, either. The Blue Devils are 8-1 ATS in their past nine games at Wallace Wade Stadium, losing their last game against the number on a chilly night Nov. 3 against a high-powered Clemson offense. The Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their past five ACC games, and 1-6 ATS in their past six games in the month of November. As such, Miami is installed as about a one-touchdown favorite.

Saturday - Vanderbilt at Wake Forest (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Matchup One-Star Game

Wake Forest can still gain bowl eligibility with a win, but they have a tall order against a very talented Vanderbilt team visiting BB&T Field Saturday. The Commodores have covered four straight games, and they are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games against teams with a losing record. The 'Dores are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven games against ACC opponents, however. The Deacs haven't been great lately, but they are 5-2 ATS in their past seven matchups with SEC opponents. However, they are 0-5 ATS in their past five games against a team with a winning record. All signs point to a Vanderbilt win and cover, especially since the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings between these sides.

Saturday - Maryland at North Carolina (ESPN GamePlan/ESPN3, 3:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Other Game to Watch

The Terrapins face a 25-point deficit in their final game of the season, and the Tar Heels also wrap up their regular season due to a postseason ban. The Terps are just 6-16 ATS in their past 22 games, and 3-10 ATS in their past 13 ACC battles. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their past eight home battles. Those facts might convince you UNC will win in a blowout, but the Terps are 8-1 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, and 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill.

Saturday - North Carolina State at Boston College (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Other Game to Watch

Somehow, the Wolfpack is eligible for a bowl game, although the feeling around Raleigh is that head coach Tom O'Brien might have just this game, and the mid-tier bowl, before he is searching for another job. A loss to his previous employer at home this weekend would really get the natives in a tizzy. Boston College is 5-1 ATS in the past six games in November, although they are 2-5 ATS in their past seven ACC battles, and 0-5 ATS in their past five road games. N.C. State is 6-1 ATS in the past seven home games against a team with a losing record, and 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 games overall at Carter-Finley Stadium. However, they are 8-17 ATS in their past 25 games against a team with a losing record. In this series, though, the home team is 7-0 ATS in the past seven matchups.

Saturday - Virginia at Virginia Tech (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Other Game to Watch

The battle of Virginia is usually a fierce game, and this year will be no different. However, it is more because each team is rather mediocre, and evenly matched. Virginia can deal their rivals a huge blow, dropping the Hokies to 5-7 and thus out of the bowl picture. Virginia, however, is just 1-4 ATS in their past five road games, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight conference games. In addition, the Cavaliers are an abysmal 1-11-1 ATS in their past 13 games overall. Virginia Tech has been equally poor against the number, going 1-7 ATS in their past eight games against a team with a losing record, and 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 games at Lane Stadium. The Cavaliers are just 1-7 ATS in the past eight meetings in this series, and 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Blacksburg. The favorite is also 9-1 ATS in the past 10 matchups. Looking at the total, the under is 5-0 in the past five battles at Lane Stadium, and the under is 17-8 in the past 25 for UVA, and 6-2-1 in Virginia Tech's past nine games against a team with a losing record.

[StarDust Bum]

Pac-12 Report - Week 13

November 21, 2012

Saturday - Stanford at UCLA (FOX, 6:30 p.m. ET)

Matchup Five-Star Game

This game should be very entertaining, as it is one of two weekend matchups featuring a battle of Top 20 teams. Stanford is 7-2 ATS in their past nine games against teams with a winning record, and they are coming off a huge upset last week at Eugene, shocking Oregon on the road. UCLA thumped their cross-city rivals, USC, moving to 5-1 ATS in their past six games against teams with a winning record. The Bruins are 7-2 ATS in their past nine home games, so something has to give. In the past six matchups, the favorite is 5-1 ATS. In the past nine matchups, the home team is 7-2 ATS. Lastly, Stanford is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings overall. Looking to the total, the under is 5-0 in Stanford's past five road games, and 5-1 in their past six overall. However, the over is 4-0 in UCLA's past four, and 5-1 in their past six games against a team with a winning record. You might want to shy away from a total play.

Saturday - Notre Dame at Southern California (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Four-Star Game

The new No. 1 team in the land, Notre Dame, will play for all the marbles if they can get by a wounded, yet still dangerous, USC team at the Coliseum. However, QB Matt Barkley will not play for the Trojans due to injury, so all signs point to the Irish. Notre Dame is just 1-4 ATS in its past five battles with Pac-12 teams, including a failure to cover earlier in the year in South Bend against Stanford. USC is 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games, and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 battles against Independents. Of course, all of that can be thrown out the window with Barkley sidelined. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their past six games against a team with a winning record. Notre Dame is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings, and the Irish are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings at the Coliseum. Still, ND looks primed and ready to buck each of those trends. They're favored by just five in a game they could potentially win by blowout with no Barkley on the other side.

Saturday - Oregon at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 3:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Three-Star Game

It's time for the latest installment of the 'Civil War', and this is always an entertaining game. This had national implications until a couple of weeks ago. Oregon State had legitimate national title hopes until QB Sean Mannion (knee) went down to injury last month, and then rushed to come back too soon at Washington. That game in Seattle was disastrous, and knocked the Beavs from the ranks of the unbeaten. Since, they lost again, and now are simply fighting to hang onto a top-tier bowl invite. The Ducks also had their national championship hopes dashed by Stanford, who has beaten each of these teams. The Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a winning home record, and 7-1 ATS in their past eight road games. In addition, UO is 5-1 ATS in their past six overall, and 5-1 ATS in their past six Pac-12 games. The Beavers are 6-1-1 ATS in their past eight battles, and 5-1 ATS in their past six at Reser Stadium. In addition, OSU is 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12 games overall. If you're looking for a trend, as the info above doesn't seem to favor one team or the other. The following trends don't offer any help, either. The road team is 5-0-1 ATS in the past six meetings, but the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS during the same span. Maybe steer clear of this one, or put a little cheddar on Oregon State to keep it close.

Friday - Arizona State at Arizona (ESPN, 10:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Two-Star Game

In the best game of the Pac-12 undercard, we get the battle of Arizona. The Sun Devils limp in, going 1-4 ATS in their past five games (and conference games), and 0-4 ATS in their past four battles against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Arizona is 5-0 in their past five appearances on Friday. In this season, the dog is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, while the road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven. Lastly, the Sun Devils are 6-2 ATS in their past eight trips down Interstate 10 to Tucson. The head-to-head trends seem to favor AZ State, a slight three-point dog, although the public is on the homestanding Wildcats by nearly a two-to-one margin. Hmm.

Friday - Washington at Washington State (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Matchup One-Star Game

I've watched many an installment of the 'Apple Cup', going back to the days when Drew Bledsoe, Mark Brunell, Jason Gesser, Ryan Leaf, Warren Moon, Mark Rypien and Jack Thompson were under center for each of the sides. All, a 'Throwin' Samoan' reference. Gotta love ol' Jack Thompson. The days have brightened from U-Dub after an ugly past few years, as the Huskies are back in the Top 25 and on the come. There is still an overcast sky in Pullman, as the sun is not yet shining on the Palouse. With the hiring of Mike Leach, one figured a quick turnaround might be in order, but there are questions from a departed Marquess Wilson about player abuse, something which hastened Leach's departed at Texas Tech. We'll see what happens. This game doesn't figure to be too close. The Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their past four Pac-12 games, and 4-0 ATS against a team with a losing record. However, WaZu is 4-0 ATS in their past four games against a team with a winning record, rising to the occasion when a more talented team is on the other side. In addition, visitors with a winning road record are just 5-12 ATS in the past 17 trips to Pullman. The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in the past six installments of the Apple Cup, and 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings. However, the underdog is 12-5 ATS in the past 17 meetings.

Saturday - Utah at Colorado (FX, 3:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Other Game to Watch

The two most recent additions to the Pac-12 wrap up their disappointing seasons in Boulder. The Utes are 4-0 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a losing record, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their past five road games overall. Colorado is 2-5 ATS in their past seven against teams with a losing record, and just 8-23-1 ATS in the past 32 overall. In addition, Colorado is just 7-21 ATS in their past 28 conference battles. While Colorado has been horrendous, not quite sure a four-win Utah squad is worthy of a 23-point spread on the road. Still, might be best to shy away from this one. One thing is for certain, a lot of bad football will be played Friday afternoon at Folsom Field.

[StarDust Bum]

TCU at Texas

November 21, 2012

While the NFL takes center stage on Thanksgiving there is a meaningful Thursday night college game that will be worth checking out. The first season in the Big XII has not gone exactly as planned for TCU with some major setbacks but this is still a competitive team that can play with anyone. Texas has struggled this season with many calls for Mack Brown to be replaced but at the end of the day the Longhorns are 8-2 and still have a path to win the Big XII and advance to the Fiesta Bowl. Take a look at this week’s Thursday night matchup and the history between these teams.

Matchup: TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Longhorns
Venue: Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas (FieldTurf)
Date: Thursday, November 22, 2012
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET – ESPN
Line: Texas -7, Over/Under 58
Last Meeting: 2007, Texas (-9) 34-13, at Texas

Thanksgiving used to be reserved to Texas vs. Texas A&M but with the Aggies making a successful but contentious move to the SEC, TCU takes over the spot, likely ending a streak of 96 straight years where the Aggies and Longhorns have faced off. That streak could actually continue however as the Cotton Bowl likely has eyes on that matchup should both teams fall short of the BCS. TCU jumped to the Mountain West and then planned to jump to the Big East before things opened up in the Big XII. Despite being one of the most successful programs in the nation in the last decade, the move has been a challenge and this trip to Austin renews an old rivalry from the past.

Texas was 5-7 in 2010 for a disastrous season following up the loss to Alabama in the 2009-10 BCS Championship game. That season ended a run of nine straight double-digit win seasons for Mack Brown and the Longhorns. A mulligan was perhaps granted by the fan base but not a lot of progress was made last season in an underwhelming 8-5 season. Expectations were high this season with a ton of talent returning and a schedule that appeared favorable. The Longhorns managed to beat Oklahoma State in the conference opener but then lost to Big XII newcomer West Virginia. In those two games Texas allowed 84 points in shootouts and then came the ugly 63-21 loss to Oklahoma, a game in which Texas was out-gained by nearly 400 yards.

Texas obviously fell off the national map at that point but the Longhorns have quietly won four straight games. The first two wins were not very impressive, wining 56-50 and giving up big yardage against Baylor at home and then narrowly squeaking by lowly Kansas on the road. Texas has since regrouped and shown improvement with a win at Texas Tech and then in its last game they played a fantastic game on both sides of the ball to crush Iowa State. Texas is sitting at 8-2 and climbing back into the middle of the Top 25 rankings and still in position to have a shot to win the Big XII and earn a spot in the Fiesta Bowl.

That scenario requires some help but it is not too far-fetched. Texas needs to beat TCU and then beat Kansas State on the road next week, finishing 7-2 in league play. They also need Oklahoma State to beat Oklahoma on Saturday and then beat Baylor next week, and have the Sooners beat TCU next week. That would leave four teams at 7-2 on top of the conference. Texas would win the tiebreaker at that point, having gone 2-1 against the three teams that they would be tied with and having defeated Kansas State head-to-head, the other team that would also be 2-1 in those games.

It is a long shot but Texas still has a lot to play for and even if that scenario does not play out they can still be lined up for an attractive bowl slot and even a possible at-large BCS spot should Kansas State or Oklahoma fall out of the picture. Texas quarterback David Ash has had back-to-back strong games to finally bring some stability to that position and while it has been a running back by committee approach this season the Longhorns are rushing for almost 200 yards per game. The Texas defense has terrible numbers for the season but they have played three solid games in a row, allowing just 46 points in those three games after allowing more than that combined total in each of the three prior games.

After going a combined 47-5 the previous four seasons, TCU will likely match or surpass that loss count in the first year for the Horned Frogs in the Big XII. The remaining schedule features Oklahoma next week it what could be a very important game for the Sooners so falling to a 6-6 finish is real possibility. TCU started the season with promise, winning the first four games of the season but junior quarterback Casey Pachall was arrested and ultimately suspended from the team at that point in the season. TCU has lost four of the last six games since Pachall left the team but it has not necessarily been the offense that has been to blame.

TCU has scored over 31 points per game in Pachall’s absence leading with redshirt freshman Trevone Boykin who has played well. TCU is also using sophomore Matt Brown as Boykin has battled injuries but he is expected to start this week. There were low output performances in losses to Oklahoma State and Kansas State but TCU has out-gained five of six foes since the quarterback change. The defense for TCU has been an elite unit nationally in last the several years under Gary Patterson but after allowing just 29 points in the first four games of the season, TCU has allowed 211 points in the past six games. The schedule certainly has played a huge role but now in the Big XII it is unlikely that the Horned Frogs will be able to replicate the great numbers they posted in the 2008, 2009, and 2010 seasons, when they allowed less than 13 points per game and less than 240 yards per game.

TCU is already bowl eligible but after being in BCS bowls two of the last three years a much less glamorous trip to the Pinstripe Bowl or the Meineke Texas Bowl will likely be in the cards this season. Getting an upset over Texas on national TV would be a season-making type of win for the program even in a difficult season however so this should be a focused team looking for the upset. Texas has played lighter competition in the recent weeks to lead the turnaround so there is a lot to prove for the Longhorns in the final two weeks of the regular season.

Line Movement: Texas opened as an eight-point favorite but the line has dropped to -7. The total has been steady at 58.

Last Meeting: These teams last met early in the season in 2007. TCU led 10-0 at halftime but the game was tied entering the 4th quarter. Texas took control in the final frame, aided by a defensive touchdown and pulled away for a 34-13 win. Texas had significant yardage edges in the game but TCU also had four turnovers in a game that featured several current NFL players with Andy Dalton and Colt McCoy as the quarterbacks as Jamal Charles posting 134 rushing yards for Texas.

Series History: These teams have a long history, meeting annually as Southwest Conference rivals for years until the formation of the Big XII brought in Texas and left TCU behind. Texas is 61-20-1 in this series since 1897 but these teams have played just once since 1995. TCU last won in this match-up with a sizable upset in 1993, winning 23-14 as an underdog of more than two touchdowns. Texas is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.

TCU Historical Trends: Gary Patterson has produced a phenomenal 114-34 straight up record at TCU, taking over before the bowl game for the Frogs following the 2000 season. He owns a 75-68-2 ATS record, a mark that has dissolved a bit in the last two seasons. TCU is 19-14-1 ATS as an underdog under Patterson as he has several notable big wins on his resume. His biggest win was the 2010 Rose Bowl over Wisconsin, and while it may have felt like the Frogs were underdogs, they actually failed to cover as a 3-point favorite in that game. TCU is 9-4 ATS as an underdog of seven or more under Patterson and 13-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

Texas Historical Trends: Mack Brown is 149-41 SU at Texas, though just 95-91-2 ATS going back to 1998. Since 2009 Texas is just 20-28-1 ATS as the 3-9 ATS 2010 season weighs heavily on the recent trends. Under Brown Texas is 43-39-1 ATS as a home favorite including just 9-15 ATS in the last 24 instances. Texas has struggled in recent Thanksgiving match-ups as they are just 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS in the last seven Thanksgiving games, all against Texas A&M, including losing SU in two of the last three home Thanksgiving games.

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/20/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/17/12 49-*47-*2 51.04% -*1350 Detail
11/16/12 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
11/15/12 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
11/14/12 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail
11/10/12 43-*35-*1 55.13% +*2250 Detail
11/09/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/08/12 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/07/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/06/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
11/03/12 37-*34-*2 52.11% -*200 Detail
11/02/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
11/01/12 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail

Totals 148-*125-*5 54.21% +5250



NCAAF

Thursday, November 22

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Texas Christian - 7:30 PM ET Texas Christian +7 500

Texas - Under 58 500

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In-State Rivalries At Washington State, Arizona Friday

Washington Huskies at Washington State Cougars

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/23/2012 at 3:30 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: UW -10, O/U 51
Television: FOX

Washington Huskies: The Huskies (7-4 straight-up and against the spread) picked up their fourth straight win and cover with a 38-3 shellacking of the Buffaloes in Colorado last Saturday. Washington's defense, ranked 29th in the nation for fewest yards allowed, yielded just 141 yards in the win while forcing five turnovers. The Huskies have won six of their last eight treks to Pullman and covered the spread five of the last six games played at Martin Stadium.

Washington State Cougars: A tough year continued for Coach Mike Leach and Wazzu (2-9 SU, 4-7 ATS) after last week's 46-7 whipping at Arizona State. It was the eighth consecutive loss for the Cougars, who allowed 561 yards compared to just 241 yards of their own. Washington State ranks 105th in the nation allowing 34.2 points per game, and is looking to stop a three-game skid against Washington with its last win in this series coming in 2008, a 16-13 upset at home as a 7-point underdog.

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Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/23/2012 at 10:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Arizona -3, O/U 68
Television: ESPN

Arizona State Sun Devils: The Sun Devils (6-5 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) snapped a four-game skid on the field and at the window with last Saturday's pasting of Washington State, easily covering the 22½-point spread in the 46-7 triumph. ASU is just 2-2-1 ATS away from Tempe, with the "under" 3-2 in those matchups. The Sun Devils have won four of their last six trips to Arizona and covered six of the last eight in Tucson.

Arizona Wildcats: Coach Rich Rodriguez's Wildcats (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) needed a big 17-point fourth quarter to get the win in Utah a week ago and snapped a two-game losing skid at the window with the eventual 34-24 win as 3-point underdogs. It also stopped a six-game run of "overs" with the final falling short of the 63-point mark. Six of the last seven overall in this series, and four of the last six games played in Tucson, have finished below the total.

[StarDust Bum]

Arizona St. at Arizona

November 22, 2012


The Rich Rodriguez Era in Tucson is off to a nice start and his team will try to put an exclamation point on his first campaign by beating arch-rival Arizona St. on Friday night.

As of late Thursday afternoon, most books were listing Arizona (7-4 straight up, 6-5 against the spread) as a three-point favorite with a total of 68 ½. Gamblers can take the Sun Devils on the money line for a plus-130 return (risk $100 to win $130).

Arizona has won six of its seven home games, posting a 4-3 spread record. The Wildcats have impressive home victories over the likes of Oklahoma St. (59-38), Washington (52-17) and USC (39-36). Their lone defeat at home came in a 38-35 nail-biter versus Oregon St.

R-Rod’s squad has won four of its last five contests, including a 34-24 win at Utah as a three-point underdog last weekend. Ka’Deem Carey was the catalyst against the Utes, rushing for 204 yards and one touchdown on 26 carries.

Arizona senior quarterback Matt Scott ran for 74 yards and one TD, and he also threw for 160 yards and one score without being intercepted. For the season, Scott has connected on 61.5 percent of his passes for 3,008 yards with a 21/9 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He gets it done on the ground as well, rushing for 443 yards and five TDs, averaging 4.6 yards per carry.

Carey is the nation’s most prolific running back, leading the country with 1,585 yards rushing. Carey has 19 rushing TDs and a 6.3 YPC average. He has 32 catches for 289 yards and one TD.

Scott has a pair of outstanding WRs in Austin Hill and Dan Buckner. Hill has a team-high 68 receptions for 1,119 yards and eight TDs.

Arizona St. (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS) snapped a four-game losing streak by dealing out woodshed treatment in the form of a 46-7 clubbing of Washington St. as a 22-point home ‘chalk’ last Saturday.

Taylor Kelly torched the Cougars by completing 20-of-23 passes for 246 yards and four TDs without being intercepted. For the year, Kelly has a 66.7 completion percentage and 2,581 passing yards with a 25/9 TD-INT ratio.

Todd Graham’s squad has a 2-3 record both SU and ATS in five road assignments. The Sun Devils are winless both SU and ATS in three games as road underdogs.

The ‘over’ has hit at a 7-3 overall clip for Arizona, going 6-1 in its home games. Meanwhile, ASU has watched the ‘under’ go 6-4 overall, 3-2 in its road contests.

When these teams met in Tempe last season, Arizona collected a 31-27 win over ASU as a 10-point road underdog. Nick Foles lit up the Sun Devils for 370 passing yards and a pair of TD tosses without an interception.

The ‘under’ is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings and the lone ‘over’ came in miraculous fashion. In the game two years ago, Arizona trailed 20-14 in the final minute when Foles found David Douglas for a five-yard touchdown pass.

If the Wildcats convert the extra point with 27 seconds remaining, they most likely win 21-20 and the total easily stays ‘under’ the 57-point total. Let’s also add that the score was 7-6 before Foles hit Juron Criner for a 52-yard scoring strike with 2:01 remaining in the third quarter. (In other words, the possibility of the ‘over’ was really never an option the entire 60 minutes.)

But with 27 ticks left, ASU’s James Brooks blocked the Arizona PAT to keep the score knotted at 20-20. In the first overtime, both teams traded field goals to make it 23-23 (46 combined, still 11 below the total) going to double OT.

In the second extra session, Cameron Marshall put ASU ahead 30-23 on a two-yard TD scamper. Therefore, when Douglas scored on a nine-yard rush off a backward pass, ‘over’ backers (like me on that night!) had a winner.

Want to know about triple OT? It never happened. Brooks, yes the same Brooks who blocked the earlier PAT, blocked a second to give ASU an improbable 30-29 triumph.

ESPN will provide television coverage at 10:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Cincinnati has covered the spread at an 8-1 ATS clip in its nine games against USF. The Bearcats are favored by 14 at home against the Bulls on Friday night at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

--Troy has won six in a row against Middle Tennessee, going 5-1 ATS. The Trojans are three-point underdogs Saturday against the Blue Raiders in Murfreesboro.

--Washington has four in a row both SU and ATS. Junior quarterback Keith Rivers has not duplicated his numbers from 2011, but he has six touchdown passes without an interception in the last two games. The Huskies are 14-point favorites Friday night at Washington St.

--From 2002-2009, Southern Cal was not a home underdog once. During Lane Kiffin’s three-year tenure, the Trojans are 0-3 both SU and ATS as home ‘dogs. Notre Dame will try to clinch a spot in the BCS Championship Game when it invades The Coliseum on Saturday night as a 5 ½-point road favorite.

--The ‘under’ is 7-1 in the last eight head-to-head meetings between Florida and FSU.

--La. Tech owns a 7-2 spread record as a road underdog on Sonny Dykes’s watch the last three seasons. The Bulldogs, who lost at home in overtime to Utah St. last week, are four-point ‘dogs Saturday at San Jose St.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13

Arizona State at Arizona
The Sun Devils look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 November games. Arizona State is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun Devils favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+3). Here are all of this week's games.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 23

Game 111-112: Nebraska at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 102.835; Iowa 82.896
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 20; 49
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 14 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-14 1/2); Under

Game 113-114: Buffalo at Bowling Green (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 74.314; Bowling Green 81.666
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 7 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+9 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: Central Michigan at Massachusetts (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 72.943; Massachusetts 54.210
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 18 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 10 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-10 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: Ball State at Miami (OH) (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 79.168; Miami (OH) 73.768
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 5 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Ball State by 7; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7); N/A

Game 119-120: Syracuse at Temple (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 84.737; Temple 86.737
Dunkel Line: Temple by 2; 59
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 8; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+8); Over

Game 121-122: Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 97.178; Eastern Michigan 68.582
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 28 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 21; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-21); Under

Game 123-124: South Florida at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 79.944; Cincinnati 95.487
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 15 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 13; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-13); N/A

Game 125-126: Marshall at East Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 73.168; East Carolina 76.122
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 3; 76
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 7; 72
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+7); Over

Game 127-128: Ohio at Kent State (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 79.922; Kent State 87.722
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 8; 64
Vegas Line: Kent State by 10; 60
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+10); Over

Game 129-130: LSU at Arkansas (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 109.077; Arkansas 89.504
Dunkel Line: LSU by 19 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: LSU by 12 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-12 1/2); Under

Game 131-132: Utah at Colorado (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 99.791; Colorado 66.364
Dunkel Line: Utah by 33 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Utah by 22; 53
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-22); Under

Game 133-134: West Virginia at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 91.780; Iowa State 93.884
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 2; 73
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 1 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 135-136: Washington at Washington State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 100.064; Washington State 80.054
Dunkel Line: Washington by 20; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 13; 51
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-13); Under

Game 137-138: Arizona State at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 97.171; Arizona 90.349
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 7; 73
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+3); Over


SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 24

Game 139-140: Michigan at Ohio State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 100.950; Ohio State 101.280
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4; 55
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4); Over

Game 141-142: Vanderbilt at Wake Forest (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 97.747; Wake Forest 74.237
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 23 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 11 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-11 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Connecticut at Louisville (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 76.071; Louisville 94.678
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 18 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Louisville by 11 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-11 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: Georgia Tech at Georgia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 96.184; Georgia 107.327
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 11; 68
Vegas Line: Georgia by 13 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+13 1/2); Over

Game 147-148: Maryland at North Carolina (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 73.770; North Carolina 99.279
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 25 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 24 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-24 1/2); Under

Game 149-150: Virginia at Virginia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 81.826; Virginia Tech 92.475
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 10 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 10; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-10); Over

Game 151-152: Michigan State at Minnesota (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 96.561; Minnesota 85.798
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 11; 36
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 8 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: Miami (FL) at Duke (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 91.802; Duke 86.830
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 5; 70
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 7; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+7); Over

Game 155-156: Illinois at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 71.418; Northwestern 97.681
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 26 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 19; 50
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-19); Over

Game 157-158: Boston College at North Carolina State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 75.144; North Carolina State 90.011
Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 15; 52
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 14; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (-14); Under

Game 159-160: Kentucky at Tennessee (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 70.119; Tennessee 91.013
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 21; 55
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13; 61
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-13); Under

Game 161-162: Wisconsin at Penn State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 103.902; Penn State 98.431
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 5 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3: 45
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+3); Over

Game 163-164: Rutgers at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 92.431; Pittsburgh 89.586
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 3; 48
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+2); Over

Game 165-166: Indiana at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 76.342; Purdue 83.876
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 7 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Purdue by 5 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-5 1/2); Under

Game 167-168: Texas State at TX-San Antonio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 70.505; TX-San Antonio 70.493
Dunkel Line: Even; 58
Vegas Line: Texas State by 1 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+1 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: Idaho at Utah State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 55.763; Utah State 97.443
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 41 1/2;
Vegas Line: Utah State by 38; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-38); Under

Game 171-172: San Diego State at Wyoming (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 92.764; Wyoming 78.015
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 14 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 7; 56
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-7); Under

Game 173-174: Baylor vs. Texas Tech (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 89.599; Texas Tech 96.328
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 6 1/2; 84
Vegas Line: Baylor by 3 1/2; 78
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+3 1/2); Over

Game 175-176: Auburn at Alabama (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 78.317; Alabama 120.252
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 42; 42
Vegas Line: Alabama by 32 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-32 1/2); Under

Game 177-178: Mississippi State at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 97.727; Mississippi 94.919
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 3; 57
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 1 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 179-180: Stanford at UCLA (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 104.242; UCLA 112.823
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 8 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Stanford by 2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2); Over

Game 181-182: BYU at New Mexico State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 96.847; New Mexico State 57.101
Dunkel Line: BYU by 39 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: BYU by 29; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-29); Under

Game 183-184: Air Force at Fresno State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 75.525; Fresno State 97.895
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 22 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 17; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-17); Under

Game 185-186: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 111.319; Oklahoma 106.157
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 5; 76
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+7); Over

Game 187-188: Missouri at Texas A&M (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 90.385; Texas A&M 117.811
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 27 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 22; 61
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-22); Under

Game 189-190: Oregon at Oregon State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 113.901; Oregon State 108.167
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 71
Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 65
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+10); Over

Game 191-192: Tulsa at SMU (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 88.045; SMU 89.693
Dunkel Line: SMU by 1 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+5 1/2); Over

Game 193-194: Florida at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 98.938; Florida State 111.992
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 13; 39
Vegas Line: Florida State by 8; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-8); Under

Game 195-196: Louisiana Tech at San Jose State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 87.393; San Jose State 93.350
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 6; 70
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 3 1/2; 75
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-3 1/2); Under

Game 197-198: Southern Mississippi at Memphis (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 66.077; Memphis 63.406
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Memphis by 4 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+4 1/2); Over

Game 199-200: Tulane at Houston (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 64.158; Houston 73.959
Dunkel Line: Houston by 10; 63
Vegas Line: Houston by 12 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+12 1/2); Under

Game 201-202: New Mexico at Colorado State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 69.615; Colorado State 72.214
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+3 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Rice at UTEP (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 84.638; UTEP 74.970
Dunkel Line: Rice by 9 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: UTEP by 2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+2); Over

Game 205-206: South Carolina at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 97.842; Clemson 108.662
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 11; 56
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-3 1/2); Under

Game 207-208: UAB at Central Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 58.315; Central Florida 104.033
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 45 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 21 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-21 1/2); Under

Game 209-210: Notre Dame at USC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 107.478; USC 110.334
Dunkel Line: USC by 3; 50
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6; 46
Dunkel Pick: USC (+6); Over

Game 211-212: UNLV at Hawaii (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 70.113; Hawaii 69.219
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 1; 60
Vegas Line: UNLV by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+3 1/2); Over

Game 213-214: North Texas at Western Kentucky (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 67.832; Western Kentucky 84.912
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 17; 47
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-11 1/2); Under

Game 215-216: Troy at Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 80.616; Middle Tennessee State 81.457
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1; 76
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3; 68
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+3); Over

Game 217-218: South Alabama at UL-Lafayette (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 65.024; UL-Lafayette 88.773
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 24; 54
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 18; 56
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-18); Under

Game 219-220: UL-Monroe at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 78.409; Florida International 76.190
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 2; 66
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 5; 61
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+5); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Top games
Friday
West Virginia lost last five games despite scoring 38-34-49 points in last three; Mountaineers ran ball for 458 yards last week and still lost, you don't see that a lot. Iowa State lost three of its last four home games; its only win was over Baylor. Cyclones are 2-4 in last six games, but are 5-1 vs spread this season in games with a single digit spread. Five of last seven West Virginia games went over total. Big X home teams are 15-20 in conference play.

Underdogs are 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight Arizona-ASU games; five of last seven series games were decided by 4 or less points. Sun Devils won four of last six visits here; dogs covered five of last seven series games in Tucson. Arizona won four of last five games; they're 6-1 at home, 1-3 as home favorites, with only loss to Oregon State. ASU snapped its 4-game skid last week; they're 0-4 as dogs this year. Five of last six Arizona games went over the total. Pac-12 home favorites are 13-11 vs spread.


Saturday
11-0 Ohio State won in OT at Wisconsin last week, its 4th win this year by 3 or less points or in OT; Buckeyes are 3-4 as home favorites, can go undefeated in Meyer's first year with win, since they can't go to a bowl, this is their bowl game. OSU lost to Michigan LY for first time in eight years; Wolverines lost last five visits here, losing 37-7/42-7 in last couple trips here. Michigan has been invigorated with Gardner at QB, winning last three games while scoring 35-38-42 points. Big Dozen favorites are 20-16 vs spread this season, 13-12 at home.

Mississippi State won last three Egg Bowls, beating Ole Miss by 28-8-14 points; favorites are 4-0-1 vs spread in Bulldogs' last five visits here, with State's 31-23 win in Oxford in '10 its first in last six tries. Rebels lost last three games overall, losing tough 41-35 game at LSU last week; Ole Miss outgained Tigers 463-427. Bulldogs snapped 3-game skid with win over Arkansas last week; they're 2-2 on road this year, 4-1 in games with single digit spread. Ole Miss lost three of its last four home games.

Michigan State is first team since 1971 to play seven games in row that were decided by 4 or less points; underdogs are 9-2 vs spread in State's last 11 games with Minnesota. Spartans lost four of last five visits here, but they did beat Gophers 31-24/31-8 last two years. Spartans lost four of last five games overall; they're 3-1 on road, with last three road games decided by total of 9 points. Minnesota lost five of last seven games, as four of five losses were by 18+ points. Big Dozen home dogs are 4-7.

Favorites covered last seven Wisconsin-Penn State games, as last three were all decided by 31+ points; Badgers lost last three visits to Happy Valley, 38-7/35-14. Wisconsin is bully team; they're 1-3 in games won by 3 or less points, but they've also covered four of last five games as an underdog. Penn State is 3-1 as a home favorite this year. Five of last six Penn State games went over total, as did last three Badger road games. Last home game for Penn State seniors who have been through a lot.

9-1 Rutgers covered seven of last eight games, winning at Arkansas and Cincinnati SU as dogs; Scarlet Knights won two of last three visits to Pitt, in series where underdogs are 8-3 vs spread in last 11 meetings, 5-2 in last seven played here. Pitt is 3-5 vs D-I teams; they need to win this game and at USF next week to go to bowl. Panthers had last week off, an edge as Rutgers played, plus had distractions earlier this week of school announcing move to Big Dozen. Big East hosts are 10-11 vs spread.

Stanford/UCLA both had huge wins last week, Cardinal beating Oregon in Eugene, Bruins clinching Pac-12 South by upsetting USC, a gigantic win for Mora's rebuilding program. Favorites covered five of last six in this series; Stanford's 35-0 win in '10 was its first in last six tries in Rose Bowl. Pac-12 home underdogs are 11-10 vs spread. Seven of last nine Cardinal games stayed under total, five of last six UCLA games went over. If Stanford wins, these teams play next week in Pac-12 title game.

Oregon won last four Civil Wars with Oregon State, with three of four by 17+ points; they won 37-20/65-38 in two visits here, but Beavers are much better this year, despite splitting four games after 7-0 start. State is 5-0 at home, allowing 16 or less points in all five games. Oregon covered five games in row before last week's 17-14 home loss to Stanford; Ducks hadn't scored less than 42 points before that. Five of last seven Oregon games went over total, as did Beavers' last three games. Oregon State is 5-0 against the spread as an underdog this season.

Oklahoma State (-3.5) beat Oklahoma 44-10 LY, after losing previous five series games by average score of 46-25; favorites were 4-1 vs spread in those games. Sooners were held to 19-13 points in its losses to Notre Dame/K-State; they won last three games, scoring 35-42-50 points last three games, winning wild 50-49 game at West Virginia last week, even though WVU ran ball for 458 yards. State won five of its last six games, scoring 55-59 points in last two games- they scored special teams TD in each of last three games. Big X home favorites are 10-12 vs spread.

Florida had lackluster 23-0 win over I-AA team last week, after nipping ULL on last play week before; they were better team in first half of year. Florida State won its last five games, with wins at Miami/Va Tech mixed in with three beatings of stiffs. Faves covered last five Florida-FSU tilts. with Seminoles winning last two 31-7/21-7; favorites covered six of lst seven series games in Tallahassee. Five of last seven games stayed under total for both sides. SEC non-conference underdogs are 1-3. ACC faves are 7-9-1 vs spread out of conference, 6-6 at home.

South Carolina beat Clemson last three years by average score of 32-11; favorites covered six of last nine in series. Gamecocks won two of its last three visits to Clemson, where Tigers are 3-2 as home favorites this year. Last week's 62-48 (-16.5) win over NC State snapped Clemson's streak of seven straight covers. Tigers had 754 TY last week, 338 running, 426 passing. Gamecocks had only 293 TY in last weeks' win over Wofford; 7-7 game at half wound up 24-7. Carolina is 1-2-1 vs spread away from home, losing last two road games, 23-21 at LSU, 44-11 at Florida.

USC senior QB Barkley (shoulder) is out here; redshirt freshman Wittek makes first college start for Trojan club that lost three of last four games, giving up 38+ points in all three losses. USC won nine of last 10 games vs Notre Dame, but lost 20-16 (-4.5) last time Irish visited here. Notre Dame hasn't lost, but they've played only three true road games; 20-3 (+6) at Michigan State, 30-13 (+11) at Oklahoma, 21-6 (-18) at Boston College. You look at teams USC has beaten this year; they're not good, but Pac-12 non-conference underdogs are 7-3 vs spread this season.


Other Notes
-- Underdogs covered six of last seven Buffalo-Bowling Green games.
-- Ball State won last three visits to Miami; 31-16/20-17/35-10.
-- Northern Illinois won last four games over Eastern Michigan by 49-5 average score- they covered last five visits hgere.
-- Underdogs five of last six USF-Cincinnati games SU.

-- Marshall lost last three trips to East Carolina by 27-3-13 points.
-- Underdogs covered four of Washington's last five visits to Pullman.

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NCAAF

Friday, November 23

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LSU at Arkansas: What bettors need to know
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LSU at Arkansas (11.5, 51)

When Louisiana State and Arkansas met last season on the day after Thanksgiving, it was a battle between the No. 1 and No. 3 teams in the country. While the Tigers are still one of the best teams in the nation, there is slightly less at stake for the Razorbacks when they host LSU on Friday. The No. 7 Tigers still have a shot at a BCS bowl game while Arkansas is just hoping to play spoiler. The Razorbacks’ season took a bad turn early with a four-game losing streak in September and they officially fell out of bowl eligibility with a 45-14 loss at Mississippi State last Saturday. LSU should have no problem stopping an Arkansas team that ranks 90th in the nation in scoring offense but its vaunted defense is coming off its worst performance of the season last week at home against Ole Miss.

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: LSU -11.5, O/U 51

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under sunny skies. Winds will blow out of the NNW at 15 mph.

ABOUT LOUISIANA STATE (9-2, 5-2 SEC): The Tigers likely won’t have a return trip to the BCS championship game this January but have a good chance to play in a BCS bowl if they can get past the Razorbacks and finish with a higher BCS rating than one or two of their highly ranked conference mates. Keeping that dream alive will require fixing a secondary that allowed Bo Wallace of Ole Miss to pass for 310 yards last week. The Rebels also rushed for 147 yards in that contest and held a lead until Odell Beckham returned a punt back 89 yards in the fourth quarter. LSU ended up pulling out the 41-35 victory but gave up more points than they had to any opponent.

ABOUT ARKANSAS (4-7, 2-5): Going up against that suddenly suspect secondary will be Razorbacks quarterback Tyler Wilson, who leads the SEC in passing yardage at 302.8. But Wilson’s strong passing game has been hurt by turnovers and a rushing attack that ranks last in the SEC. On the other side of the ball, Arkansas has allowed 83 points in back-to-back losses. The Razorbacks gave up 505 total yards to Mississippi State in a 45-14 loss last weekend, including 203 on the ground. Wilson threw for 207 yards and a touchdown at LSU last season but Arkansas could not stop the Tigers on the ground in a 41-17 loss.

TRENDS:

* Razorbacks are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. LSU is 50-4 against unranked teams under coach Les Miles.

2. The schools meet annually but will be playing in Fayetteville, Ark., for the first time since 1992. The Razorbacks had been holding their home games in the series in Little Rock.

3. Wilson needs 88 yards to break Arkansas’ career record, currently held by Ryan Mallet (7,493).

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NCAAF

Friday, November 23

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Arizona State at Arizona: What bettors need to know
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Arizona State at Arizona (-3, 69)

Arizona sophomore Ka’Deem Carey looks to break the school’s single-season rushing record when the Wildcats host Arizona State on Saturday in the annual Territorial Cup. Carey leads the nation with 1,585 yards rushing, including 570 over the last two games, and is only 18 yards away from passing Trung Canidate’s school record of 1,602 yards set in 1999. The Sun Devils snapped a four-game losing skid and became bowl eligible with last Saturday’s 46-7 victory over Washington State, while Arizona is coming off a 34-24 win over Utah. The Wildcats rank second in the Pac-12 in total offense, while Arizona State boasts the second-best defense.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Arizona – 3, O/U 69.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-60s under clear skies. Winds will blow out of the ESE at 13 mph.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (6-5, 4-4 Pac-12): The Sun Devils’ defense dominated Washington State with seven sacks and only one rushing yard allowed. The stifling defense ranks first in the nation in sacks (4.3) and second in tackles for loss (8.9). Defensive tackle Will Sutton and linebackers Carl Bradford and Brandon Magee have combined for 26.5 sacks, and Sutton ranks fifth in the nation with 1.05 sacks per game. Sophomore quarterback Taylor Kelly threw for four touchdowns last Saturday against Washington State, finishing with 18 straight completions. Junior Chris Coyle needs five receptions to set the school record for tight end receptions in a season. The Sun Devils feature a strong run game with an average of 183.6 yards on the ground.

ABOUT ARIZONA (7-4, 4-4): The Wildcats have a 3,000-yard passer, 1,000-yard receiver and a 1,000-yard rusher for the first time in the same season with quarterback Matt Scott throwing for 3,008 yards, Austin Hill catching 68 passes for 1,119 yards and Carey tied for second nationally with 19 rushing touchdowns. Carey is looking to become the first Arizona player to win the national rushing title. Scott is averaging 345 yards in total offense to lead the Pac-12, but struggled at times last week against Utah after missing the previous game with a concussion. On defense, linebacker Marquis Flowers has a team-high 5.5 sacks and four takeaways in the last five games.

TRENDS:

* Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five Friday games.
* Over is 5-0 in Wildcats’ last five home games.
* Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Sun Devils have outscored their opponents 124-63 in the first quarter.

2. The Wildcats are 6-1 and averaging 45.9 points at home.

3. Arizona leads the series 47-37-1 and has won three of four, including a 31-27 victory in Tempe last season.

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College football betting weather watch: Week 13

It's November. Which means keeping a close eye on the weather will be key moving forward with your college football handicapping. Here is our weather report for Friday's games.

Ohio at Kent State (-8.5, 60)

Site: Dix Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s with a 55 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the SW at 16 mph.

Nebraska at Iowa (16.5, 49)

Site: Kinnick Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-30s under partly cloudy skies. But winds will gust out of the NW at 20 mph.

Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (20.5, 61.5)

Site: Rynearson Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-30s with a 45 percent chance of a rain/snow mix. Winds will blow out of the west at 20 mph.

Ball State at Miami (OH) (7, 61.5)

Site: Fred C. Yager Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 15 mph.

West Virginia at Iowa State (2.5, 68.5)

Site: Jack Trice Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and clear skies. Winds will blow out of the NW at 17 mph.

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/22/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/20/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/17/12 49-*47-*2 51.04% -*1350 Detail
11/16/12 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
11/15/12 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
11/14/12 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail
11/10/12 43-*35-*1 55.13% +*2250 Detail
11/09/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/08/12 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/07/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/06/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
11/03/12 37-*34-*2 52.11% -*200 Detail
11/02/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
11/01/12 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail

Totals 150-*125-*5 54.55% +6250


Friday, November 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Syracuse - 11:00 AM ET Syracuse -7 500
Temple -

Ohio - 11:00 AM ET Ohio +9.5 500
Kent State -

Nebraska - 12:00 PM ET Nebraska -16.5 500
Iowa - Under 49.5 500

Ball State - 1:00 PM ET Ball State -7 500
Miami (Ohio) -

Northern Illinois - 1:00 PM ET Northern Illinois -20.5 500
Eastern Michigan - Under 61.5 500

Marshall - 2:00 PM ET Marshall +6.5 500
East Carolina - Over 72.5 500

Buffalo - 2:00 PM ET Buffalo +10 500
Bowling Green - Under 43 500

Louisiana State - 2:30 PM ET Louisiana State -12.5 500
Arkansas - Over 50.5 500

Utah - 3:00 PM ET Utah -23.5 500
Colorado - Under 52 500

Central Michigan - 3:00 PM ET Central Michigan -11 500
Massachusetts - Over 55.5 500

West Virginia - 3:30 PM ET Iowa State +2.5 500
Iowa State - Over 69 500

Washington - 3:30 PM ET Washington State +13.5 500
Washington State - Over 51 500

South Florida - 7:00 PM ET South Florida +13.5 500
Cincinnati - Under 48 500

Arizona State - 10:00 PM ET Arizona State +3 500
Arizona - Under 70 500

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NCAAF

Saturday, November 24

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Michigan at Ohio State: What bettors need to know
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Michigan at Ohio State (-4, 55.5)

Ohio State is not eligible for the postseason this year. That means no Big Ten championship game and no BCS bowl at the end for a team that has yet to take a loss. The annual showdown with Michigan on Saturday in Columbus is big enough with the postseason still on the table, but this year the 20th-ranked Wolverines represent the Super Bowl for Ohio State. Michigan snapped a seven-game losing streak in the series last season. The Buckeyes are one of two teams in the FBS entering the weekend undefeated (along with Notre Dame) and will challenge a stout Wolverines defense with Braxton Miller and the spread offense. Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer is getting his first taste of the rivalry but is well aware of the tradition and the pressure to win this game. Michigan coach Brady Hoke earned the respect and adoration of the Wolverines faithful by snapping the seven-game losing streak and will be trying to guide his team to its first win in the Horseshoe since 2000.

TV: 12 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: Ohio State -4, 55.5 O/U.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark with mostly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the WNW at 13 mph.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (8-3, 6-1 Big Ten): The Wolverines will know by the time they take the field if they have a shot at the Big Ten championship game and the BCS bowl that goes to the winner. Currently tied with Nebraska atop the Legends Division, Michigan needs the Cornhuskers to lose at Iowa on Friday. Either way, the Wolverines will throw a new-look offense at the Buckeyes. Quarterback Devin Gardner took over when Denard Robinson went down with nerve damage in his throwing elbow and stayed at QB when Robinson returned last week. With Robinson serving as wide receiver, running back and option quarterback, Michigan rolled up 513 total yards in a 42-17 victory. Gardner threw for three touchdowns and rushed for three more. Hoke has suggested that Robinson may be able to throw some passes this week, though Gardner will likely start under center.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (11-0, 7-0): If it weren’t for the sanctions stemming from the end of Jim Tressel’s tenure, Meyer’s team would be fighting Notre Dame for the top spot in the BCS standings this week. Meyer has been quick to dismiss the what-ifs and focus on this week. Michigan has not faced a quarterback as dynamic as the Buckeye’s Miller, who has guided his team to the top scoring offense in the Big Ten at 38.2 points. Miller is a lot like Robinson at Michigan but has taken a big step forward this season and enters the final game with 1,850 passing yards and 1,214 yards on the ground. He will be looking to bounce back after a sub-par performance in last week’s 21-14 overtime victory at Wisconsin. Carlos Hyde scored the overtime winner in that game as Miller was held out of the end zone for the first time this season.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 5-0 in Wolverines’ last five November games.
* Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings at Ohio State.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Ohio State has not finished undefeated since the 2002 squad won the National Championship.

2. Robinson totaled 337 yards of offense and five touchdowns in leading the Wolverines to a 40-34 victory in last season’s meeting.

3. Robinson needs one passing touchdown to become the first player in Big Ten history to post 50 passing TDs and 40 rushing TDs in his career.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 24

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Oregon at Oregon State: What bettors need to know
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Oregon at Oregon State (9.5, 66)

The 116th edition of the Civil War was on track to represent a chance for No. 4 Oregon to complete a perfect season. Now the Ducks might not even be playing in the Pac-12 title contest even if they beat No. 17 Oregon State in Corvallis on Saturday. Oregon’s perfect season was derailed in overtime by Stanford on Nov. 17 and now the Ducks have to beat Oregon State and have UCLA knock out Stanford to reach the conference championship game. The Beavers are 5-0 at home and are frothing to end Oregon’s four-game winning streak in the series. Oregon State would finish in a three-way for the North Division crown if it beats Oregon and Stanford loses, but the Cardinal claim the division title in that scenario since they defeated both Oregon schools.

TV: 3 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network.

LINE: Oregon -9.5, 66 O/U.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-40s with an 85 percent chance of showers. Winds will be calm.

ABOUT OREGON (10-1, 7-1 Pac-12): The Ducks have won 15 consecutive road games, the longest active streak in the nation. Senior running back Kenjon Barner has rushed for 1,426 yards, but has failed to hit the century mark in either of the last two games. He had 66 yards against Stanford, one week after having only 65 against California. Redshirt freshman quarterback Marcus Mariota is completing 69.8 percent of his passes and has thrown 29 touchdown passes and only six interceptions. Senior linebacker Michael Clay has a team-best 82 tackles and had a staggering 20 against Stanford. The Ducks have intercepted 20 passes and returned four for touchdowns.

ABOUT OREGON STATE (8-2, 6-2): The Beavers have a stout defense that ranks second in the Pac-12 in scoring defense (18.6) and has intercepted 17 passes. Senior cornerback Jordan Poyer has six picks and 12 over his standout career. Oregon State defense is allowing opponents to convert only 28.9 percent of third-down opportunities. A year ago, Beavers’ opponents converted 47.4 percent. Sophomore quarterback Sean Mannion passed for 325 yards and matched a career-best with four touchdowns passes in a 62-14 dismantling of California. Sophomore Terron Ward rushed for 128 yards and two touchdowns against the Golden Bears.

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Over is 4-1 in Ducks’ last five road games.
* Over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.
* Road team is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Oregon leads the series 59-46-10. Oregon State’s most-recent victory was a 38-31 double-overtime win in 2007.

2. The Beavers have turned the football over only 14 times, the fewest in the Pac-12.

3. The Ducks had scored 42 points or more in 13 straight games – an NCAA record – before tallying just 14 in the loss to Stanford.