The Bum's Novembers College Football Best Bets !

[StarDust Bum]

No. 17 UCLA visits No. 8 Stanford for Pac-12 title

UCLA BRUINS (9-2)
at STANFORD CARDINAL (9-2)


Pac-12 Championship Game - Stanford, CA
Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Stanford -8, Total: 44

No. 8 Stanford and No. 17 UCLA meet for the second time in seven days when the Pac-12 foes determine a conference champion on Friday night.

Stanford has won four straight (SU and ATS) in this series, including last week’s 35-17 road win adding to a 115-36 scoring advantage over the past three matchups. The Bruins entered last Saturday with 207 rushing YPG, but the Cardinal outrushed them 221 to 73 behind Stepfan Taylor’s 142 yards and 2 TD. Stanford leads the nation in run defense (71 YPG), sacks (53) and TFL (111), big reasons why it has won six straight games SU and six of seven ATS. However, UCLA is 4-1 SU on the road, scoring 39.4 PPG.

Can Stanford beat UCLA handily for the second time in a week? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

UCLA should have great confidence in freshman QB Brett Hundley who has thrown for 3,234 yards (8.1 YPA), 26 TD and just 10 INT this year. He has totaled at least 240 yards in every game this season, including 261 through the air last week. Stanford has now allowed 257 passing YPG this season (92nd in FBS). But the Bruins have to get top RB Jonathan Franklin (1,506 rush yds, 11 TD) more holes to run though. He entered last week with 227 yards on 37 carries (6.1 YPC) over three career games in this series, but managed just 65 yards on 21 carries (3.1 YPC) and a touchdown. The Bruins offense has not done a great job of ball protection in conference road games this year, committing 12 turnovers in four such games. The Bruins defense has been suspect against Pac-12 foes, especially in defending the pass. They have allowed an average of 284 passing YPG, including 319 YPG over the past three contests. But UCLA has helped itself by taking the football away, forcing multiple turnovers in nine of 12 games this season (29 total).

Stanford remains unbeaten with freshman QB Kevin Hogan starting under center in place of Josh Nunes. Hogan has completed 80-of-110 passes (73%) for 809 yards, 7 TD and 3 INT during his four-game win streak. He has really leaned on senior TE Zach Ertz in these four games, as Ertz has 31 catches for 293 yards and 3 TD. But as good as Hogan has been, the Cardinal ground game has been even better, averaging a hefty 194 rushing YPG during the six-game win streak. Taylor has 707 of these yards on the ground (118 YPG) and six touchdowns. On the defensive side of the ball, Stanford has been all over opposing quarterbacks, leading the nation with 4.4 sacks per game and 9.3 Tackles For Loss per game. UCLA got an up-close look at this front four last week, taking seven sacks from six different Cardinal defensive players. They would like to force more turnovers though, with just one takeaway in each of their past three home games.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, November 30

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N ILLINOIS (11 - 1) vs. KENT ST (11 - 1) - 11/30/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
KENT ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
KENT ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
KENT ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KENT ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
KENT ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
N ILLINOIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
N ILLINOIS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (9 - 3) at STANFORD (10 - 2) - 11/30/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
STANFORD is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 3-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 3-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, November 30, 2012

Northern Illinois vs. Kent State, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Northern Illinois: 1-5 ATS playing on a neutral field
Kent State: 7-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

(TC) UCLA at Stanford, 8:00 ET FOX
UCLA: 2-10 ATS away after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Stanford: 12-2 ATS off BB wins

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Friday, November 30

7:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. KENT STATE
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 7 games
Kent State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Kent State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois

8:00 PM
UCLA vs. STANFORD
UCLA is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Stanford
UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing UCLA

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 30

Game 305-306: Northern Illinois vs. Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 98.871; Kent State 87.722
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 11; 55
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 6; 58
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-6); Under

Game 307-308: UCLA at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 105.469; Stanford 116.796
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 11 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Stanford by 8; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-8); Under

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Friday's games
Kent State is going to bowl this year for first time in 40 years, and only second time ever; this is their first winning season since 2001- their only loss this year was 47-14 at Kentucky Sept 8; Golden Flashes won last 10 games, but lost last five games with Northern Illinois by average of 20 points, losing 40-10 LY in DeKalb LY. Northern Illinois lost MAC title game two years ago, then won it LY, rallying back from down 20-0; they are 11-1, with only loss 19-17 to Iowa in season opener on neutral field in Chicago. Huskies then had close games with Army (41-40), Kansas (30-23) but have only one MAC win by less than 14 points.

Stanford (-2) hammered UCLA 35-17 last week in Pasadena, now meet Bruins again for Pac-12 title. Cardinal outrushed UCLA 221-73, led by 11 at half- Bruins had 12 penalties for 135 yards. Stanford was held to 13 points in both its losses this year (@ Washington/@ Notre Dame in OT); they're 6-0 SU at home, but 1-4 as home favorite, with only one home win by more than 7 points. UCLA allowed 99 points in last three games. Both teams had emotional wins two weeks ago, its a short week playing third straight big game in bad weather. Rain/20 mph winds are expected in Bay Area all day Friday.

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[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF

Friday, November 30

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Northern Illinois vs. Kent State: What bettors need to know
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Northern Illinois at Kent State (6.5, 67.5)

For the first time since 2003, two ranked teams will meet in the Mid-American Conference championship game when No. 17 Kent State and No. 21 Northern Illinois meet Friday at Ford Field in Detroit. Recording-breaking seasons have both teams on the brink of program history and the stakes couldn’t be much higher for either team as a possible automatic bid to a BCS game awaits the winner. Although the MAC is not an automatic-bid BCS conference, league champions from mid-major conferences can receive one if they finish the season ranked in the top 16 and above a champion from an automatic-qualifying conference in the final BCS standings. The Golden Flashes enter the game on a school-record 10-game winning streak and have defeated 12 straight conference foes overall. The Huskies, winners of 11 straight, are riding a 16-game conference winning streak – a run that began with a 40-10 victory over Kent State last season.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2

LINE: Northern Illinois -6.5, O/U 67.5.

ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (11-1, 8-0 MAC): The Huskies will be seeking their second straight MAC title behind coach Dave Doeren and have already set a school record for victories. The offense is in the capable hands of darkhorse Heisman Trophy candidate Jordan Lynch, who extended his own FBS record of consecutive 100-yard rushing performances by a quarterback to 10 in the Northern Illinois’ 49-7 victory over Eastern Michigan on Saturday. In the same game, sophomore Tommylee Lewis became the first player in school history to score three kickoff return touchdowns in his career.

ABOUT KENT STATE (11-1, 8-0): The Golden Flashes, who have already locked up their first postseason game since the 1972 Tangerine Bowl, possess two 1,000-yard rushers in Dri Archer (1,373) and Trayion Durham (1,199), and as a result, rank 11th in the FBS in rushing offense. Archer – the school’s single season record-holder in touchdowns with 21 – leads the nation in kick return average, is fifth in all-purpose yards and tied for ninth in scoring. Kent State also ranks second in the FBS with a plus-20 turnover margin and 35 forced turnovers.

TRENDS:

* Huskies are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.
* Golden Flashes are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. a team with a winning record.
* Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Northern Illinois has won five straight games in this series.

2. Only Ohio State and Middle Tennessee have matched Kent State’s six-win increase from last season.

3. The Huskies and Golden Flashes are among five FBS teams to have won 15 of their last 17 games overall.

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NCAAF

Friday, November 30

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UCLA at Stanford: What bettors need to know
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UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal (-8, 44.5)

In a game few expected and under very unusual circumstances, No. 8 Stanford will play No. 16 UCLA for the second time in less than a week Friday in the Pac-12 Conference championship game with a Rose Bowl berth on the line. While conference championship games have brought about the possibility of meeting one opponent twice in the same season, it is extremely rare the same two schools could face each other twice over the course of six days. Entering the season, it seemed just as unlikely this game would feature anyone else beside Oregon and USC, but late-season losses to the Cardinal and Bruins, respectively, set the stage for UCLA to clinch its berth in the title game a week early while Stanford needed a win over the Bruins last week in order to hold off the Ducks in the North Division. And the Cardinal took advantage of the opportunity, trouncing UCLA 35-17 in Pasadena.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox.

LINE: Stanford -8, O/U 43.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 95 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 13 mph.

ABOUT UCLA (9-3, 6-3 Pac-12): Running back Johnathan Franklin needs 18 all-purpose yards to break Maurice Jones-Drew's school record and 66 yards rushing to set the Bruins’ single-season mark held by Karim Abdul-Jabbar. However, Franklin will have his work cut out for him against the nation’s top rushing defense – the same one that held him to 65 yards last week. Athletic freshman quarterback Brett Hundley was sacked seven times in the loss to the Cardinal, but is also on the brink of breaking several school records, including single-season total offense (needs 137 yards), passing yardage (236) and completions (27).

ABOUT STANFORD (10-2, 8-1): The Cardinal have won eight straight games and already secured a 10-win season for the third consecutive year – a school-record. Since Kevin Hogan replaced Josh Nunes in the win over Colorado on Nov. 3, the freshman quarterback has directed his team to victories over three ranked teams - Oregon State, Oregon and UCLA - in his first three career starts. Stepfan Taylor raised his career rushing total to 4,134 yards in the victory over UCLA and needs 36 yards in the rematch to break Darrin Nelson’s school record (1977-81).

TRENDS:

* Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings in Stanford.
* Over is 5-0 in Bruins’ last five games overall.
* Stanford is 5-0 ATS in its last five November games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Stanford has won eight straight and 19 of its past 20 home games.

2. UCLA’s four road wins this season are its most since winning five in 2002.

3. The Bruins and Cardinal will be playing for their first Rose Bowl berth since 1999 and 2000, respectively.

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/29/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
11/24/12 22-*25-*2 46.81% -*2750 Detail
11/23/12 13-*11-*1 54.17% +*450 Detail
11/22/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/20/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/17/12 49-*47-*2 51.04% -*1350 Detail
11/16/12 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
11/15/12 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
11/14/12 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail
11/10/12 43-*35-*1 55.13% +*2250 Detail
11/09/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/08/12 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
11/07/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
11/06/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
11/03/12 37-*34-*2 52.11% -*200 Detail
11/02/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
11/01/12 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail

Totals 186-*162-*8 53.45% +3900


Friday, November 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Northern Illinois - 7:00 PM ET Northern Illinois -7.5 500 MY MAC GOY

Kent State - Under 57.5 500

UCLA - 8:00 PM ET UCLA +9.5 500

Stanford - Under 47 500

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, December 1

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CINCINNATI (8 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (5 - 6) - 12/1/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (5 - 6) at S FLORIDA (3 - 8) - 12/1/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
S FLORIDA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (9 - 2) at TCU (7 - 4) - 12/1/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEXAS (8 - 3) at KANSAS ST (10 - 1) - 12/1/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KANSAS ST is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA ST (7 - 4) at BAYLOR (6 - 5) - 12/1/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BAYLOR is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (9 - 2) at NEVADA (7 - 4) - 12/1/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 108-66 ATS (+35.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 74-43 ATS (+26.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 108-66 ATS (+35.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 75-51 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-35 ATS (+30.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 63-31 ATS (+28.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
NEVADA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEVADA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEVADA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
NEVADA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
NEVADA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-1 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (1 - 10) at W VIRGINIA (6 - 5) - 12/1/2012, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 57-82 ATS (-33.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-95 ATS (-41.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 38-66 ATS (-34.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 10) at TEXAS ST (3 - 8) - 12/1/2012, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (8 - 3) - 12/1/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 8) - 12/1/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S ALABAMA (2 - 10) at HAWAII (2 - 9) - 12/1/2012, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
HAWAII is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (9 - 3) at TULSA (9 - 3) - 12/1/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TULSA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 2-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 2-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (11 - 1) vs. GEORGIA (11 - 1) - 12/1/2012, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ALABAMA is 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
GEORGIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (10 - 2) vs. GEORGIA TECH (6 - 6) - 12/1/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEBRASKA (10 - 2) vs. WISCONSIN (7 - 5) - 12/1/2012, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, December 1, 2012

(TC) Cincinnati at Connecticut, 3:30 ET ABC
Cincinnati: 5-1 Under as a road favorite
Connecticut: 19-7 ATS as a home underdog

(TC) Pittsburgh at South Florida, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Pittsburgh: 9-2 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
South Florida: 0-6 ATS at home off a conference game

(TC) Oklahoma at TCU, 12:00 ET ESPN
Oklahoma: 8-0 ATS away after allowing 24+ first-half points
TCU: 1-8 ATS off an ATS win

(TC) Texas at Kansas State, 8:00 ET ABC
Texas: 0-6 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards
Kansas State: 10-2 ATS off a loss by 28+ points

(TC) Oklahoma State at Baylor, 12:00 ET FX
Oklahoma State: 16-4 ATS off an Over
Baylor: 19-35 ATS at home in the second half of the season

Boise State at Nevada, 3:30 ET ABC
Boise State: 7-0 ATS away after scoring 24+ first-half points
Nevada: 0-6 ATS off a conference game

(TC) Kansas at West Virginia, 2:30 ET
Kansas: 9-23 ATS away off a home loss
West Virginia: 5-1 Over off 3+ games gaining 450+ total yards

New Mexico State at Texas State, 4:00 ET
New Mexico State: 2-10 ATS off 3+ games allowing 37+ points
Texas State: 4-0 ATS after allowing 37+ points


Added Games:

Middle Tennessee State at Arkansas State, 3:00 ET
Mid Tenn State: 18-7 ATS off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Arkansas State: 6-16 ATS off BB games committing 1 or 0 turnovers

(TC) Louisiana Lafayette at Florida Atlantic, 3:00 ET
LA Lafayette: 8-1 ATS away off BB conference games
Florida Atl: 1-9 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

South Alabama at Hawaii, 11:00 ET
South Alabama: 2-8 ATS playing on artificial turf
Hawaii: 10-3 Over after committing 0 turnovers


Championship Games:

Central Florida at Tulsa, 12:00 ET ESPN2
Central Florida: 7-1 Over vs. conference opponents
Tulsa: 17-7 ATS vs. conference opponents

Alabama vs. Georgia, 4:00 ET CBS
Alabama: 8-1 ATS away off a win by 17+ points
Georgia: 1-8 ATS as an underdog

Florida State vs. Georgia Tech, 8:00 ET ESPN
Florida State: 6-0 ATS off ATS losses in 4 of their last 5 games
Georgia Tech: 3-13 ATS off 4+ games gaining 225+ rushing yards

(TC) Nebraska vs. Wisconsin, 8:15 ET FOX
Nebraksa: 6-1 Over off a combined score of 20 points or less
Wisconsin: 21-9 ATS off BB losses


(TC) = Time Change

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Saturday, December 1

12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. TCU
Oklahoma is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma's last 8 games
TCU is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
TCU is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games

12:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. TULSA
Central Florida is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Central Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing Central Florida
Tulsa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Central Florida

12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. BAYLOR
Oklahoma State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baylor
Oklahoma State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 9 games
Baylor is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

2:30 PM
NICHOLLS STATE vs. OREGON STATE
Nicholls State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nicholls State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

2:30 PM
KANSAS vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Kansas is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Kansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
West Virginia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

3:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games

3:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
Middle Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 8 games when playing Middle Tennessee
Arkansas State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Middle Tennessee

3:30 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CONNECTICUT
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Connecticut
Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Connecticut is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home

TBA
BOISE STATE vs. NEVADA
Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Boise State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nevada
Nevada is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games

4:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. GEORGIA
Alabama is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games when playing Alabama
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. TEXAS STATE
New Mexico State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Texas State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games on the road
South Florida is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 5 games

8:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH
Florida State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 10 games
Georgia Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
TEXAS vs. KANSAS STATE
Texas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1, 8:15 PM
NEBRASKA vs. WISCONSIN
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Nebraska is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 6 games
Wisconsin is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

11:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. HAWAII
South Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
South Alabama is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games
Hawaii is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 1

Game 309-310: Cincinnati at Connecticut (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 91.487; Connecticut 79.196
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 12 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-4 1/2); Over

Game 311-312: Pittsburgh at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 92.297; South Florida 81.530
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12; 43
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: Oklahoma at TCU (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 105.948; TCU 105.596
Dunkel Line: Even; 65
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 6 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+6 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Texas at Kansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 99.455; Kansas State 120.588
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 21; 57
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 11 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-11 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Oklahoma State at Baylor (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 107.250; Baylor 107.842
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 1; 90
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 4 1/2; 86 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+4 1/2); Over

Game 319-320: Boise State at Nevada (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 93.616; Nevada 86.306
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 7 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10; 60
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+10); Over

Game 321-322: Kansas at West Virginia (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 75.502; West Virginia 97.866
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 22 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 19 1/2; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-19 1/2); Under

Game 323-324: New Mexico State at Texas State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 54.101; Texas State 75.483
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 21 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Texas State by 13; 57
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-13); Under

Game 325-326: Middle Tennessee State at Arkansas State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 82.684; Arkansas State 86.498
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 4; 66
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 10; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+10); Over

Game 327-328: UL-Lafayette at Florida Atlantic (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 85.773; Florida Atlantic 75.501
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 10 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 9; 60
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-9); Under

Game 329-330: South Alabama at Hawaii (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 66.634; Hawaii 64.769
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 2; 57
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 6; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+6); Over

Game 331-332: Central Florida at Tulsa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 97.356; Tulsa 90.726
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+2); Under

Game 333-334: Alabama vs. Georgia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 110.343; Georgia 111.264
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Alabama by 7 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+7 1/2); Over

Game 335-336: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 105.289; Georgia Tech 93.800
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 11 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Florida State by 14; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+14); Under

Game 337-338: Nebraska vs. Wisconsin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 100.012; Wisconsin 103.902
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 4; 53
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+3); Over

[StarDust Bum]

College football betting cheat sheet: Week 14

(23) Oklahoma State at Baylor (4, 87)

This a matchup of two of the nation's most balanced offenses and it shows in the total - the highest ever for a major football game. Both teams are among four FBS schools that average more than 300 passing yards and 200 rushing yards (Louisiana Tech and Texas A&M are the others). The Bears have won two straight and three of four to gain bowl eligibility, and the offense has led the surge with 52 points in each of the past two games. But Baylor has lost 15 of the last 16 meetings and hasn’t beaten the Cowboys since 2005. Oklahoma State is coming off a 51-48 overtime loss to rival Oklahoma. The Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

(11) Oklahoma at TCU (6.5, 60.5)

Oklahoma has won seven Big 12 titles since 2000 but needs a win and some help to secure another. The Sooners have won four straight, including a wild overtime victory over Oklahoma State last week. Landry Jones threw for 500 yards and three touchdowns on a school-record 71 pass attempts in the win. The Horned Frogs relied on their defense, which held the Longhorns to season lows in points and yards, in their 20-13 win last week over Texas. TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a win.

Central Florida at Tulsa (-2, 55)

The UCF Knights take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in the 2012 Conference USA Championship game. Both schools finished with identical overall (9-3) and conference records (7-1). UCF is in position to earn a conference championship thanks to its stout defense, which ranks first in the league in scoring defense (21.6) and second in yards allowed (374.9). Tulsa is 6-0 at home this season and has played under the total in all six of those wins. The team is dealing with the off-field distraction of Tulsa A.D. Ross Parmley being named in a betting scandal this week. According to reports, Parmley admitted to the FBI he previously bet on college and NFL football.

Kansas at West Virginia (-19.5, 71)

Kansas will conclude its woeful campaign on the road against West Virginia. The Jayhawks are winless against Big 12 foes this season and have dropped 20 conference games in a row. West Virginia is likely looking at a bid to the Holiday Bowl in San Diego should it win Saturday's contest. A loss would likely put the Mountaineers in the Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium. West Virginia snapped a five-game losing skid with a 31-24 triumph over Iowa State last Friday but is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home contests.

Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State (-9.5, 62.5)

The Sun Belt Conference doesn’t have a championship game, but Week 14’s tilt between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders will determine the conference champ. ASU, which is coming off a bye week, has won six straight games and has covered in each of its last four contests. The Blue Raiders have also been excellent against the spread recently, going 3-0-1 in their last four.

UL Lafayette at Florida Atlantic (9, 60)

Louisiana-Lafayette cruises into the final regular season game riding back-to-back wins and victories in three of four with the only blemish being a seven-point loss at Florida. FAU may have a 3-8 record, but the Owls have beaten both Troy and Western Kentucky in league play in the past four weeks. The Ragin’ Cajuns are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven meetings and the Owls are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.

(20) Boise State at Nevada (10, 60)

A win by the Broncos would give them a share of the Mountain West Conference title with San Diego State and Fresno State. And Nevada has already accepted a bid to the New Mexico Bowl. Boise State’s defense has been stellar all season and has forced 32 turnovers – 16 interceptions and 16 fumbles. The Broncos are fifth in scoring defense (14.4 points per game) and eighth in rushing defense (293.3 yards). The Wolf Pack are the only team in the country to score 30 or more points in each game but a leaky defense has allowed more than 30 six times. Nevada has played over the total in four of its last five games and the over is 4-0 in Boise State’s last four road games. Nevada also needs a win to go over its season win total of 7.5 games.

Cincinnati at Connecticut (5, 40.5)

With a win here and a loss by Rutgers on Thursday, Cincy would gain a share of the Big East title for the fourth time in five years. Connecticut, meanwhile, is a win away from gaining bowl eligibility for the fifth time in six seasons. The Huskies scored a total of 33 points during a four-game losing streak from Oct. 6 to Nov. 3. They've scored 47 in two wins since, although 13 of those points came in overtime against Louisville. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between the schools.

New Mexico State at Texas State (-13, 57)

The first-ever meeting between a couple of disappointing WAC programs takes place on Saturday, as the Texas State Bobcats play host to the New Mexico State Aggies. Back on Aug. 30, the Aggies began the season with a 49-19 win over FCS Sacramento State at home, but have since dropped 10 straight. New Mexico State has struggled mightily on offense recently, having been limited to 14 points or less in its last five games. Texas State has also been brutal, dropping five straight contests, but showed some life in a 38-31 defeat to Texas-San Antonio last week. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four games.

(2) Alabama vs. (3) Georgia (7, 50.5)

A berth in the BCS Championship Game against Notre Dame is at stake when Alabama and Georgia clash in Saturday’s SEC title game in the Georgia Dome in Atlanta. Alabama leads the nation in points allowed (9.3) and total defense (233.7). The Bulldogs rank 17th in points allowed (17.7) but have been especially stingy the last five games, allowing an average of 8.6 points. The schools have played over the total in their last four meetings and the Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games.

Pittsburgh at South Florida (6.5, 46.5)

The Panthers have shown a tendency to play to the level of their competition this season. Pitt is coming off a huge victory over Rutgers (its second win against a ranked opponent at the time), just two weeks after taking Notre dame to triple overtime. The Panthers have an opportunity to become bowl eligible with a victory and won’t be lacking motivation this weekend. South Florida is devastated by injuries at the QB position. Freshman Matt Floyd has yet to throw a touchdown pass in two starts and has led the offense to a total of 19 points in back-to-back losses at Miami and Cincinnati. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

(18) Texas at (6) Kansas State (-11, 63.5)

The Wildcats need to beat the Longhorns to clinch their first BCS berth since the 2004 Fiesta Bowl and at least a share of their first Big 12 title since 2003. The Longhorns fell out of the conference title picture with a 20-13 loss to TCU on Thanksgiving and are now simply trying to improve their bowl pecking order and play spoiler for a Kansas State team that has won the past four meetings with Texas. The Longhorns have won their last five road games, including all four this season, and they've beaten two ranked teams away from home this campaign (then No. 22 Oklahoma State, then-No. 20 Texas Tech). The underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings.

(13) Florida State vs. Georgia Tech (14, 62)

Both teams are coming off disappointing losses to their in-state rivals, with Florida State losing 37-26 to Florida and Georgia Tech falling 42-10 against Georgia. The winner of this contest advances to the Orange Bowl on New Year's Day, possibly against the Big East champion. The Seminoles boast the nation’s second-best defense, allowing 249.42 yards per game, but they’ll be without senior DE Cornellius Carradine (ACL) for the rest of the season. The prognosis for Georgia Tech’s leading rusher Orwin Smith is unclear for Saturday’s ACC title game. Smith was held out of practice again Wednesday because of his ankle injury suffered in the Duke game Nov. 17. The Seminoles are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four meetings.

(12) Nebraska vs. Wisconsin (3, 49)

With a Rose Bowl berth on the line Saturday, the Badgers are the only obstacle that remains in the way of the Cornhuskers winning their first Big Ten conference championship. Wisconsin is appearing in this game only because Ohio State and Penn State are ineligible for postseason play this season. The Badgers have dropped three of their last four games, but all three were in overtime. In fact, all five of Wisconsin’s losses this season have been by seven points or less and have come by a combined 19 points. The Cornhuskers have played over the total in their last eight neutral site games.

South Alabama at Hawaii (-6.5, 52.5)

The South Alabama Jaguars are 0-6 on the road this season, allowing 35.2 points per game away from home. And now the Jaguars face a long and difficult road trip to Hawaii for their season finale. "We're going to lose a day in travel, so we have had to kind of tighten our belts coming straight off the last game and get the game plan in even earlier than we normally would,'' Jaguars defensive coordinator Bill Clark said Wednesday. "It's a different feeling this week. You're at the end of a long season; as a player, you just have to fight through that. From a preparation standpoint, it's a time crunch trying to get ready.” South Alabama has failed to cover in its last four games overall. Sharps and the public are on Hawaii and have driven this line up a field goal since it opened.

[StarDust Bum]

Florida St. vs. Georgia Tech: What bettors need to know

Florida State vs. Georgia Tech (14, 61)

Fortunately for Florida State and Georgia Tech, neither team needed a win last week to reach Saturday’s ACC Championship Game in Charlotte, N.C. Both teams are coming off disappointing losses to their in-state rivals, with Florida State losing 37-26 to Florida and Georgia Tech falling 42-10 against Georgia. The Yellow Jackets won the ACC Coastal Division despite three conference losses, while the Seminoles blew any chance of reaching the BCS title game when they committed five turnovers in their loss to Florida. The winner advances to the Orange Bowl on New Year's Day, possibly against the Big East champion. Florida State leads the all-time series 12-9-1, with the last four meetings decided by a combined 16 points.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Florida State -14, O/U 61.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the SE.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (10-2, 7-1 ACC): The Seminoles are led by the nation's fourth-most efficient passer in quarterback EJ Manuel, who needs 33 passing yards to reach 3,000 this season. The 6-5 senior threw a season-high three interceptions in the loss against Florida. The Seminoles boast the nation’s second-best defense, allowing 249.42 yards per game, but they’ll be without senior defensive end Cornellius (Tank) Carradine for the rest of the season. Carradine, who leads the Seminoles with 80 tackles, suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee against the Gators. The secondary is led by cornerback Ronald Darby, who was named the ACC’s top defensive freshman.

ABOUT GEORGIA TECH (6-6, 5-3): The Yellow Jackets rank third in the nation in rushing at 323.3 yards per game, with senior guard Omoregie Uzzi leading an impressive offensive line. Senior quarterback Tevin Washington has 18 rushing touchdowns this season, and the team is hoping to get leading rusher Orwin Smith back after he missed last week’s game against Georgia with a sprained right ankle. Smith, who leads the ACC with an average of nine yards per carry, expects to practice this week and play in the title game. The Yellow Jackets are not as strong on the other side of the ball, where they rank 84th nationally in scoring defense while allowing an average of 31 points.

TRENDS:

* Over is 3-0-1 in Seminoles’ last four games overall.
* Seminoles are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games.
* Over is 5-1 in Yellow Jackets’ last six games following a loss.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Georgia Tech has lost five straight games against nationally ranked teams.

2. Florida State defensive coordinator Mark Stoops was named the University of Kentucky's new coach Tuesday, but will remain with the Seminoles at least through Saturday’s game.

3. The Yellow Jackets have requested a bowl-eligibility waiver from the NCAA in case they lose Saturday and fall to 6-7, which would make them ineligible for a bowl game.

[StarDust Bum]

Nebraska vs. Wisconsin: What bettors need to know

Nebraska vs. Wisconsin (3.5, 48.5)

Wisconsin played a significant role in ushering No. 12 Nebraska into the Big Ten Conference prior to the start of last season. Now, with a Rose Bowl berth on the line Saturday, the Badgers are the only obstacle that remains in the way of the Cornhuskers winning their first Big Ten conference championship. Wisconsin athletic director Barry Alvarez – a Nebraska graduate – was a key figure in brokering talks with the Big Ten for the Cornhuskers, easing their transition from the Big 12 in the process. In only its second season in the Big Ten, Nebraska will play for its 44th conference championship overall against the Badgers. Wisconsin, winner of the inaugural Big Ten championship last season, finished third in the Leaders Division, but is appearing in this game only because Ohio State and Penn State are ineligible for postseason play this season.

TV: 8:17 p.m. ET, Fox.

LINE: Nebraska -3.5, O/U 48.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-50s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 13 mph.

ABOUT NEBRASKA (10-2, 7-1 Big Ten): The Cornhuskers, playing in their first conference title game since winning the Big 12 in 1999, lead the conference in total offense (460.9 yards per game), rushing (252.2) and rank second in scoring (35.4). They should also get a boost from the fresh legs of Rex Burkhead, the team’s leading rusher from last season who has missed six games this year because of knee injuries. Burkhead returned from a four-game absence last Friday and rushed for 69 yards and a touchdown in Nebraska’s 13-7 victory over Iowa.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (7-5, 4-4): The Badgers have dropped three of their past four games, but all three were in overtime. In fact, all five of Wisconsin’s losses this season were by seven points or less and have come by a combined 19 points. Wisconsin is led by running back Montee Ball, who rushed for 90 yards and three touchdowns the Badgers’ 30-27 loss at Nebraska on Sept. 29. Ball set a FBS record last week with his 79th career touchdown in the team’s 24-21 setback at Penn State.

TRENDS:

* Under is 8-0 in Cornhuskers’ last eight neutral site games.
* Over is 4-1 in Badgers’ last five vs. a team with a winning record.
* Cornhuskers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 7-1 in Badgers’ last eight games following a loss.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Nebraska is in the midst of a six-game winning streak, its longest such same-season run since 2001.

2. Ball is 162 yards shy of becoming the 17th player in FBS history to rush for 5,000 yards in a career.

3. The Huskers were the only team to score more than 26 points against the Badgers this season

[StarDust Bum]

College football betting weather watch: Week 14

It's December. Which means keeping a close eye on the weather will be key moving forward with your college football handicapping.

Oklahoma State at Baylor (5, 87.5)

Site: Floyd Casey Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-70s with mostly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 13 mph.

Oklahoma at TCU (5.5, 60)

Site: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 14 mph.

Central Florida at Tulsa (-2.5, 54)

Site: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will be strong out of the south at 20 mph.

Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State (-10.5, 62.5)

Site: Liberty Bank Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the south at 14 mph.

Boise State at Nevada (8.5, 59)

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s and a 45 chance of rain. Winds will gust out of the south at 23 mph.

Cincinnati at Connecticut (4.5, 40.5)

Site: Rentschler Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-30s with a 50 percent of showers. Winds will blow out of the east at 5 mph.

South Alabama at Hawaii (-6.5, 52.5)

Site: Aloha Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-70s with a 55 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 7 mph.