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Week 7 Preview: Ravens at Jaguars
BALTIMORE RAVENS (4-1)
at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (1-5)
Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Baltimore -10, Total: 39
The sizzling-hot Ravens try to notch their fourth win in a row (SU and ATS) and hand the Jaguars their sixth straight defeat when the two teams hook up on Monday Night Football.
Baltimore is putting up 33.3 PPG during its three-game surge, while Jacksonville has scored only 11.2 PPG during its slide. The Jags have used RB Maurice Jones-Drew and an improved defense to stay competitive since rookie QB Blaine Gabbert took over, but the Ravens defense will be the toughest test Gabbert has faced yet. The Ravens have allowed 100 team rushing yards just once through five games, so Gabbert will likely have to make a play at some point. That’s bad news for Jacksonville considering the rookie’s league-worst 48.8% completion percentage. The Ravens have established themselves as a decent offensive team to go along with their elite defense. QB Joe Flacco is coming off his second 300-yard passing performance in his past three games. The Ravens are 7-1 SU (3-2-3 ATS) against the Jags since 2000, including a 27-7 crushing the last time they met in 2008. The pick here is BALTIMORE to keep on rolling with a big win.
This pair of FoxSheets trends also favor the Ravens:
John Harbaugh is 12-3 ATS (80.0%, +8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of BALTIMORE. The average score was BALTIMORE 30.1, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 2*).
JACKSONVILLE is 3-14 ATS (17.6%, -12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. The average score was JACKSONVILLE 18.2, OPPONENT 26.8 - (Rating = 2*).
Flacco (7 TD, 4 INT) has been wildly inconsistent, and his 51.4% completion rate is third-worst in the league among starting quarterbacks. The same cannot be said for RB Ray Rice, who has 700 total yards and four touchdowns this year. He rushed for 101 yards and added 60 more through the air in last week’s win over Houston. The Ravens are 4-0 when outrushing their opponent this year, averaging 141 rushing YPG in the four victories. The defense remains top-notch, leading the NFL in scoring (14.2 PPG) and ranking third in the league in yardage (286 YPG). This is even more remarkable considering the team has just 10 sacks on the year (T-22nd in NFL), and two of its cornerbacks have missed nearly the entire season (Chris Carr - hamstring and Jimmy Smith - ankle), and will likely not play Monday night either.
The Jaguars have even more injuries to concern themselves with. TE Zach Miller (shoulder) was placed on IR and OG Eben Britton was a late scratch before Sunday’s loss to Pittsburgh when his back tightened up in pre-game warmups. The defense is a bigger mess, as DE Aaron Kampman (knee), LB Clint Session (elbow) and CB Derek Cox (groin) are all questionable to suit up. If Jacksonville is to hang around in this game, it will be due to the legs of Maurice Jones-Drew. Despite his team’s poor record and league-worst passing game (138 YPG), Jones-Drew has rushed for 80+ yards and 4.0 YPC in all six games, totaling 572 yards on 4.8 YPC. The defense has played pretty well all things considered (325 YPG, 8th in NFL), but it has only generated 11 sacks and six turnovers in six games. The strength of the defense is the linebackers, as Paul Posluszny and Daryl Smith each have 32 solo tackles and five passes defensed this year.
BALTIMORE RAVENS (4-1)
at JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (1-5)
Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Baltimore -10, Total: 39
The sizzling-hot Ravens try to notch their fourth win in a row (SU and ATS) and hand the Jaguars their sixth straight defeat when the two teams hook up on Monday Night Football.
Baltimore is putting up 33.3 PPG during its three-game surge, while Jacksonville has scored only 11.2 PPG during its slide. The Jags have used RB Maurice Jones-Drew and an improved defense to stay competitive since rookie QB Blaine Gabbert took over, but the Ravens defense will be the toughest test Gabbert has faced yet. The Ravens have allowed 100 team rushing yards just once through five games, so Gabbert will likely have to make a play at some point. That’s bad news for Jacksonville considering the rookie’s league-worst 48.8% completion percentage. The Ravens have established themselves as a decent offensive team to go along with their elite defense. QB Joe Flacco is coming off his second 300-yard passing performance in his past three games. The Ravens are 7-1 SU (3-2-3 ATS) against the Jags since 2000, including a 27-7 crushing the last time they met in 2008. The pick here is BALTIMORE to keep on rolling with a big win.
This pair of FoxSheets trends also favor the Ravens:
John Harbaugh is 12-3 ATS (80.0%, +8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of BALTIMORE. The average score was BALTIMORE 30.1, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 2*).
JACKSONVILLE is 3-14 ATS (17.6%, -12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. The average score was JACKSONVILLE 18.2, OPPONENT 26.8 - (Rating = 2*).
Flacco (7 TD, 4 INT) has been wildly inconsistent, and his 51.4% completion rate is third-worst in the league among starting quarterbacks. The same cannot be said for RB Ray Rice, who has 700 total yards and four touchdowns this year. He rushed for 101 yards and added 60 more through the air in last week’s win over Houston. The Ravens are 4-0 when outrushing their opponent this year, averaging 141 rushing YPG in the four victories. The defense remains top-notch, leading the NFL in scoring (14.2 PPG) and ranking third in the league in yardage (286 YPG). This is even more remarkable considering the team has just 10 sacks on the year (T-22nd in NFL), and two of its cornerbacks have missed nearly the entire season (Chris Carr - hamstring and Jimmy Smith - ankle), and will likely not play Monday night either.
The Jaguars have even more injuries to concern themselves with. TE Zach Miller (shoulder) was placed on IR and OG Eben Britton was a late scratch before Sunday’s loss to Pittsburgh when his back tightened up in pre-game warmups. The defense is a bigger mess, as DE Aaron Kampman (knee), LB Clint Session (elbow) and CB Derek Cox (groin) are all questionable to suit up. If Jacksonville is to hang around in this game, it will be due to the legs of Maurice Jones-Drew. Despite his team’s poor record and league-worst passing game (138 YPG), Jones-Drew has rushed for 80+ yards and 4.0 YPC in all six games, totaling 572 yards on 4.8 YPC. The defense has played pretty well all things considered (325 YPG, 8th in NFL), but it has only generated 11 sacks and six turnovers in six games. The strength of the defense is the linebackers, as Paul Posluszny and Daryl Smith each have 32 solo tackles and five passes defensed this year.
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