Picks For Thursday

[wayne1218]

Thanks for the explaination.

LMAO ... You being funny?

[wayne1218]

NBA
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"Triple" ( Units)
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708 ~ Cleveland ML (+130)




GOOD LUCK

[thaikarate1]

LMAO ... You being funny?

No really, I do enjoy how you made these bets and the way you bet them. Like Coverboy, he has +RL and -RL. I am very novice at this. Just follow you most of the times.

[Chado1]

I don't mind losing a parlay for $100 and knowing I dropped an even buck. I get SO PISSED off if i put 100 or 200 straight on a -160 and lose 160 or 320. I can make that parlay up with any other wins but i'm way behind the 8 ball when a loss puts me basically one and a half wagers in the hole. You then have to win two just to be up a half unit. It's tough to stay ahead that way unless you are winning them all. I also can't seperate two teams i love and pick just one. You know why ... because i will pick the one that loses 5 out of 10 times and at that price, i'll also be in the hole. I like to hook them up and get a + payout. If they go (1-1) i lose but guess what, going (1-1) playing them straight i'm still down almost as much and (0-2) straight would be a disaster.

It's my thinking and my thinking only but baseball is the ONE sport where i believe parlays are a must in place of laying juice. In a 6 month season, the juice will break you. (JMO).

Interesting perspective Wayne. I had never thought of it that in depth so yes I would have to agree with you. In the long run that would definately make sense. I will take that into consideration and thanks for the opinion buddy!!!

[WayneChung]

shaking the bush boss,would have checked your plays sooner but i've been out drifting in the toyota !!

[wayne1218]

No really, I do enjoy how you made these bets and the way you bet them. Like Coverboy, he has +RL and -RL. I am very novice at this. Just follow you most of the times.

Alot of times these parlays include teams favored by more than -160 and closer to -200 (give or take a little bit). If the numbers rise it is an even smarter wager imo. The money goes down a little on the + side but it looks way worse on the straight wagers side. Look at the same results if you use two teams that are favored @ -200 .......


Still Based on $100 wagers

If your two teams went (2-0)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = + $125
Both straight = + $200


If your teams went (1-1)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = - $100
Both straight = - $100


If your two teams went (0-2)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = - $100
Both straight = - $400


Going (1-1) has the exact same effect straight and in a parlay as you still lose $100. You may get $75 less if they win but you still make over a unit profit. If they both lose, the straight wager instead of the parlay is now costing you $400 or 4/1 vs the parlay. Yes, you lose $75 but you are risking $300 more too!!!

That seems to me to be a no brainer and as most will say that bookies love parlay players, i tend to disagree in bases. I think he would take a straight wager player laying wood 8 days a week over the parlay player. Again ... (JMO)!

[Chado1]

Alot of times these parlays include teams favored by more than -160 and closer to -200 (give or take a little bit). If the numbers rise it is an even smarter wager imo. The money goes down a little on the + side but it looks way worse on the straight wagers side. Look at the same results if you use two teams that are favored @ -200 .......


Still Based on $100 wagers

If your two teams went (2-0)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = + $125
Both straight = + $200


If your teams went (1-1)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = - $100
Both straight = - $100


If your two teams went (0-2)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = - $100
Both straight = - $400


Going (1-1) has the exact same affect straight and in a parlay as you still lose $100. You may get $75 less if they win but you still make over a unit profit. If they both lose, the straight wager instead of the parlay is now costing you $400 or 4/1 vs the parlay. Yes, you lose $75 but you are risking $300 more too!!!

That seems to me to be a no brainer and as most will say that bookies love parlay players, i tend to disagree in bases. I think he would take a straight wager player laying wood 8 days a week over the parlay player. Again ... (JMO)!

Yea you are definately right here Wayne. I never thought of it like this...In the long run this is the best way for sure...I am gonna lay off the heavy juicers and try this strategy from now on....thanks again!

[thaikarate1]

Alot of times these parlays include teams favored by more than -160 and closer to -200 (give or take a little bit). If the numbers rise it is an even smarter wager imo. The money goes down a little on the + side but it looks way worse on the straight wagers side. Look at the same results if you use two teams that are favored @ -200 .......


Still Based on $100 wagers

If your two teams went (2-0)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = + $125
Both straight = + $200


If your teams went (1-1)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = - $100
Both straight = - $100


If your two teams went (0-2)
------------------------------------------
NYY/Boston Parlay = - $100
Both straight = - $400


Going (1-1) has the exact same affect straight and in a parlay as you still lose $100. You may get $75 less if they win but you still make over a unit profit. If they both lose, the straight wager instead of the parlay is now costing you $400 or 4/1 vs the parlay. Yes, you lose $75 but you are risking $300 more too!!!

That seems to me to be a no brainer and as most will say that bookies love parlay players, i tend to disagree in bases. I think he would take a straight wager player laying wood 8 days a week over the parlay player. Again ... (JMO)!

I think I like this way better than CB -1 RL. This to me is a bad bet. If the team lose, you lose your ass off. If you really like that team, better to parlay it with the next favorite. This way, you don't lose as much.

What is your opinion on the -1 RL?

[Chado1]

I think I like this way better than CB -1 RL. This to me is a bad bet. If the team lose, you lose your ass off. If you really like that team, better to parlay it with the next favorite. This way, you don't lose as much.

What is your opinion on the -1 RL?

I was thinking the same myself...with CoverBoy's RL's....most of the time he is laying between -150 and -225 on a +1.5 RL....seems to be profitable for him but a losing day will kill him...Am I the only one that noticed this about his RL's?

[wayne1218]

I think I like this way better than CB -1 RL. This to me is a bad bet. If the team lose, you lose your ass off. If you really like that team, better to parlay it with the next favorite. This way, you don't lose as much.

What is your opinion on the -1 RL?

I started using it last year @ Pinnacle for the 1st time and i didn't do it long. I've been gambling a long time (Like many others) and i can't get past writing a "Push" in my notebook next to a baseball wager. I bet on so many teams that were up 2 in the 9th and watched a runner go from 1st to 2nd with no throw saying fielders indifference, no stolen base. Next you hear that the runner on 2nd means nothing as they are up 2 runs anyway and with 2 outs the only run that matters is the one at the plate. Guess what, with the 1st and 3rd basemen hugging the lines to prevent a double, i watched about 10 balls go through a hole and my team wins by 1 ... getting me the push. It was truly fucken disturbing to me to have my team win and gain NOTHING by it. It drove me crazy. Other teams were up by one in the 5th inning and nobody ever scored again. Again, a situation where i felt like i was losing and couldn't get that run i needed. Yes, i got the push but damnit, my team WON!

Everyone is different and i respect everyone's way of doing their own thing. It just didn't work for me. I'm used to a push in hoops or foots but it never felt right to me in bases. Therefore ... I guess i would have to say that personally, i'm not a fan of RL wagers at all unless it is the only game on the board.

[Spark]

Like that B and B parlay buddy ...

Good Luck and I am with you ... Never lay over -50 ... Great explanation ...

[wayne1218]

Like that B and B parlay buddy ...

Good Luck and I am with you ... Never lay over -50 ... Great explanation ...

Thanks buddy. We're talking a little baseball wagering tonight and i love it!

[Chado1]

BUMP for explanation of the +1.5 RL's...thanks again...

[wayne1218]

BUMP for explanation of the +1.5 RL's...thanks again...

Same thing as the -1 line chad. Too many times being burned up one and my team wins only to LOSE my wager. I will do the -1.5 line if i really like a big favorite and don't have anyone to put them with. I've never played a +1.5 line in my life. 1st off, i won't lay that juice to get +1.5, i'll just go for the even money and my team winning. I will do the same with a big dog. Instead of taking them +1.5, i'll just go for the big payout and the SU win. I've never ever looked at a +1.5 to wager on. It just doesn't interest me as i would rather just take teams to win or lose. A shitload of MLB games are decided by 1,2 or 3 runs and it's hard enough just getting the winner, let alone picking the margin. If i take a team +1.5 is it because i think they will lose by one run? I would have to be a genius to figure that out. If i take them +1.5 thinking they can win ... then i'll take them SU to win and take the extra money. Again, this is NOT downing anybody, it's just my opinion and what "I" like.

[wayne1218]

........ and that GS by Colorado may have just killed mine!