Sunday Trends and Indexes 01/07

[pm530]

NCAAB
Dunkel



Sunday, January 7

Mississippi State at Tennessee
The Volunteers open their SEC schedule hoping to take advantage of Mississippi State's recent slump. The Bulldogs have lost back-to-back games at George Mason (63-59) and Missouri (83-75) and are now just 1-3 on the road. Tennessee comes in having won eight straight, including some big wins at home over Memphis (76-58) and Texas (111-105 in OT) in which Chris Lofton scored 34 and 35 points, respectively. Over his last six games, Lofton is averaging 27.16 points, giving Bruce Pearl a big-time scorer from the outside to counter State's low-post presence. Tennessee looks like a good pick to cover the Vegas line (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Vols favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 715-716: Michigan State at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 67.619; Indiana 74.502
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 7
Vegas Line: Indiana by 5
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5)

Game 717-718: South Florida at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 57.345; Pittsburgh 73.580
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 16
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+18 1/2)

Game 719-720: Dayton at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 57.258; Rhode Island 57.727
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Dayton by 1
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+1)

Game 721-722: Syracuse at Marquette
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 67.075; Marquette 66.655
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1
Vegas Line: Marquette by 4
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+4)

Game 723-724: Rutgers at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 52.364; Cincinnati 60.200
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+9)

Game 725-726: Buffalo at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 52.687; Bowling Green 51.506
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4)

Game 727-728: Kansas at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 73.082; South Carolina 63.958
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 9
Vegas Line: Kansas by 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-7)

Game 729-730: Stanford at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 61.309; Virginia 66.514
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 5
Vegas Line: Virginia by 8
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+8)

Game 731-732: Kent State at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 59.286; Miami (OH) 59.388
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+2)

Game 733-734: Wichita State at Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 66.160; Missouri State 72.579
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-4 1/2)

Game 735-736: St. Joseph's at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 58.371; Charlotte 57.779
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 1
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's

Game 737-738: Florida State at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 68.645; North Carolina 86.111
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 15
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-15)

Game 739-740: Mississippi State at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 65.694; Tennessee 75.988
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2)

[pm530]

NHL
Dunkel



Sunday, January 7

Phoenix at Chicago
The Coyotes are on their best run in nearly five years as they come into the contest with a five-game winning streak with four of those wins coming on the current road trip. Phoenix kept the streak alive by rallying from a three-goal third period deficit to a 5-4 overtime victory over Atlanta on Friday. The Blackhawks have dropped four of their last five and suffered their worst loss of the season in an 8-3 pounding against Nashville on Friday. The Coyotes look like a solid underdog pick in this one according to Dunkel, which has Phoenix favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 51-52: Philadelphia at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.486; Ottawa 12.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+1 1/2); Under

Game 53-54: New Jersey at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 13.080; Montreal 12.185
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+1 1/2); Over

Game 55-56: Phoenix at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 12.944; Chicago 11.698
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Over

Game 57-58: Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.041; Pittsburgh 12.723
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2); Under

Game 59-60: Detroit at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.206; Anaheim 12.550
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+1 1/2); Over

Game 61-62: Florida at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.070; Vancouver 13.112
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+1 1/2); Under

[pm530]

NBA
Write up


Sunday, January 7

Hot Teams
-- Wizards won fifteen of last nineteen games.
-- Houston won last five games, by 25,26,2,7,14 pts. Minnesota won six of its last eight games.
-- Orlando won last three games, allowing 75.3 ppg.
-- Suns won five in row, 21 of last 23 games. Golden State is 6-3 in its last nine games.
-- Dallas won its last thirteen games, covering last four.

Cold Teams
-- Raptors lost three of their last four games.
-- Memphis lost 16 of its last 20 games. Spurs lost three games in row, scoring just 87.7 ppg.
-- Celtics lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Portland lost six of its last eight games. Miami lost last five games (0-5 vs spread) but might get Wade back for this game.

Series Records
-- Wizards were 2-1 vs Toronto LY: 99-96/119-111/112-117.
-- Home side won both Houston-Minnesota games this season.
-- Spurs won five in row vs Memphis, by 1,3,7,10,3 points.
-- Orlando won four of its last five games vs Boston.
-- Suns are 2-0 vs Warriors this season: 113-110/105-101.
-- Miami beat Portland twice LY, by 21,29 points.
-- Home side won three of last four Laker games.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Rockets are 6-2 vs spread on front end of back/back.
-- Warriors are 1-9 SU (5-5 vs spread) if they played the night before.
-- Portland is 5-3 vs spread if it played the night before.

Totals
-- Over is 14-4 in Washington's last eighteen games.
-- Over is 9-2 in Minnesota's last eleven games.
-- Last eleven Memphis games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3 in Celtics' last nine games.
-- Four of last five Warrior games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-6 in Portland's last sixteen games.
-- Five of last seven Dallas games stayed under the total.

[pm530]

NHL
Write up


Sunday, January 7

Hot Teams
-- Ottawa won five of its last seven games.
-- New Jersey won five of its last six games.
-- Phoenix won last five games, outscoring foes 21-8.
-- Penguins won last three games, allowing three goals.
-- Canucks won six games in row, last three by single goal.

Cold Teams
-- Flyers lost twelve of last fifteen games.
-- Montreal lost four of its last five games.
-- Blackhawks lost four of their last five games.
-- Lightning lost three of last four road games.
-- Anaheim lost last four games, scoring nine goals. Detroit lost four of its last five road games.
-- Florida is 3-8 in its last eleven road games.

Series Records
-- Senators beat Philly twice this year, 6-3/3-2.
-- Canadiens beat Devils twice this year, both by 2-1 score.
-- Phoenix beat Chicago twice this year: 3-2so/2-1so.
-- Lightning won its last five games vs Pittsburgh.
-- Home side won both Detroit-Anaheim games this season.
-- Florida, Vancouver didn't play last season.

Back-to-Back Situations
-- Flyers are 3-2 on road if they played day before.
-- Montreal is 2-4 if it played the night before.
-- Red Wings are 2-5 if they played the day before.

Totals
-- Five of last six Ottawa games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1 in Devils' last four road games.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Chicago games.
-- Last five Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five games for both Anaheim, Detroit.
-- Six of last seven Florida games stayed under

[pm530]

NCAAB
Write up


Sunday, January 7

-- Home side won last four Michigan St-Indiana games, with the Spartans losing last two visits to this site, 78-71/78-74. Both are 0-1 in Big 11, so this becomes bigger. State is 0-2 on road, losing 65-58 at BC, 62-60 at Iowa. Indiana is 3-4 as a favorite.

-- South Florida, Pitt are in Big East together for third year; this is their first meeting. got good road win at Syracuse Thursday, they're 13-2, 5-2 vs spread as favorite. Bulls lost 69-50 at UConn in league opener; they're 1-2 on road, losing by 16 at UAB.

-- Visiting team won last three Dayton-URI games, with Flyers winning last visit here, 56-49. Dayton forced 17 turnovers, held Charlotte to 43% from floor in 66-63 win Thursday, while URI is also 1-0 in league, shooting 51% in 69-66 win over LaSalle.

-- Syracuse, Marquette also meeting for first time as members of Big East; Orange are out of NY for first time this season, this is their first true road game. Marquette missed MacNeal in loss at Providence during week. Big East home favorites are 8-2.

-- Rutgers (+9) lost 71-66 to Cincinnati in teams' only meeting as Big East members.This is worst Bearcat team since 80's; they've trailed by 20+ at half twice in last five games, and also lost on a neutral floor to Ohio. Knights are 1-4 on road (W vs Princeton)

-- Buffalo won three of last four games vs Bowling Green, going 1-1 on this floor; Bulls are 2-2 on road,losing 80-63 at Tulane, 77-61 at So. Florida. Falcons won eight of last 10 vs weak schedule. Dogs are 3-1 vs spread so far in MAC play.

-- Kansas opens league play Wednesday; they're 0-1 on road so far, losing 64-57 at DePaul. Big 12 road faves are 4-3 vs spread. South Carolina opens SEC play at Georgia Wednesday; they're 2-1 vs spread as underdog this season. SEC home dogs are 3-4.

-- Kent won 53-46 at Miami LY, their first win in last three visits to this site. Flashes lost three in row, five of last six games, after loss at Corpus Christi during the week. Miami lost six of its last seven games, but is 2-1 vs spread as favorite this season.

-- Wichita ended 4-game skid with thrashing of Bradley; they're 6-0 vs Missouri State last three years, winning its three visits to this difficult site, 68-62/63-61/81-63. Bears are 2-1 in Valley, 4-3 vs spread as favorite. MVC home favorites are 10-6 vs spread.

-- Charlotte (+4) won 57-50 at St Joe's in last series meeting, but 49ers are down this year, at 6-7; they're 6-1 if they score 70+ pts up to St Joe's to keep them below 70. Hawks are 7-5 after 89-41 thrashing of Duqeusne team that has beaten BC, Saint Louis.

-- Virginia led Gonzaga 60-26 at halftime in last game; they're lot better at home than on road, having also beaten Arizona in new arena. Stanford lost at home to rival Cal during week; they're 2-1 on road, winning at Fresno, ASU, losing 89-75 at Arizona.

-- North Carolina won four of last five games vs Florida St, with Seminoles losing last two visits to Deandome, 91-76/78-71. UNC on 9-game win streak; their last six wins are all by 21+ pts. ACC home favorites just 1-6 vs spread early in season.

-- Tennessee beat Miss State last two years, 64-63/88-65; Vols won last eight games, beating Memphis, Texas, Oklahoma St, so they're legit good. State is 1-3 on road, losing by 2 at Clemson, 4 at George Mason, 8 at pressing Missouri.

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 7th

Washington at Toronto, 1:05 EST
Washington: 10-1 Over after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Toronto: 19-31 ATS off a home game

Houston at Minnesota, 3:35 EST
Houston: 6-14 ATS off a win
Minnesota: 22-11 Over with a line of +3 to -3

San Antonio at Memphis, 4:05 EST
San Antonio: 34-19 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Memphis: 13-26 ATS off a home loss

Boston at Orlando, 6:05 EST
Boston: 24-11 ATS after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Orlando: 4-14 ATS off 3+ Unders

Golden State at Phoenix, 8:05 EST
Golden State: 8-22 ATS in January
Phoenix: 14-5 ATS after making 12+ three-pointers

Miami at Portland, 9:05 EST
Miami: 17-32 ATS off a non-conference game
Portland: 13-4 Over after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Dallas at LA Lakers, 9:35 EST NBATV
Dallas: 9-0 ATS away off a win as a road underdog
LA Lakers: 11-3 Over as an underdog

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

Six-Pack for Sunday

--. Trent Green wasn't the same player when he came back from his head injury. I'd use the word skittish.

-- A year later, still trying to figure out what Chiefs saw in Herman Edwards as a head coach that those of us in New York haven't seen.

-- Colts go back to Baltimore for a playoff game; good stuff.

-- Fitting that erratic Cowboys saw season end of string of ridiculous miscues. Exciting game, poorly played.

-- Instant replay showed its value in this game.

-- Discussion came up among friends as to who is the better coach, Parcells or Holmgren? Interesting debate.

[pm530]

Sunday's List of 13: Quick-hitting thoughts on a sunny day

13) Dallas-Seattle game was sure interesting, but very sloppy, typical of how lousy the NFC has been all season.

12) Suns' Pat Burke is NBA's only Irish-born player.

11) UAlbany hoop coach Will Brown got suspended for one game for what he said about his schedule on his website-- he criticized America East for having toplay four games in seven nights. Albany lost yesterday, with Brown sitting out.

10) Since they starting keeping track in '73, Moses Malone is the NBA's all-time leader in offensive rebounding (5.1/game).

9) Canisius has hoop player named Corey Herring who, in his four years of college ball, played for different coach in all four years, two at Baylor, two at Canisius.

8) JB Holmes had drives of 391,399 yards out in Hawai'i as he shot 68 on Friday. Must be fun to hit a ball that far.

7) Speaking of long drives, saw on poker telecast that famous gambler Amarillo Slim once won a large wager, when he said he could hit a golf ball a mile. He went to a frozen lake, teed it up and watched as the ball rolled for mile and a half.

6) If you keep track of such things, Joe Durant got 2007's first birdie; Will McKenzie got the first eagle.

5) Amazingly, Larry Brown got another job, with the 76ers. Wonder how much they'll wind up paying him to go away.

4) Knicks are only $44.6M over the salary cap; Dallas is next highest, $10.3M over, but they have good team, at least.

3) Meanwhile, Isiah Thomas and Matt Millen still have jobs.

2) Hey, Toronto Raptors are tied for first in their division; fact that they're 14-19 doesn't damper that, does it? Guess it does.

1) If the Mets sign Jeff Weaver, I'll chuckle, no, I'll laugh very loudly. Pass on Barry Zito, and pay Weaver big bucks? HA!!

Saturday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a Friday night
13) Tomorrow is January 6, and it is supposed to be over 60 here in America's second-favorite city. Lets just say we don't see 60 degrees often at this time of year. Its a little eerie.

12) You get Mike Breen and Hubie Brown calling an NBA tilt on a Friday night, and its a solid two hours of television.

11) Has a defending NBA champ ever looked worse than the Heat does right now?

10) If I was a Cleveland Indian fan, it wouldn't excite me a lot that our closer in '07 will be Keith Foulke.

9) Why do athletic directors hire search firms to help them in hiring a new coach? Isn't that their job? Or is it because the search firm helped the AD get the job he currently has, so the AD is returning the financial favor?

8) Southern Mississippi has a punter named Barefoot.

7) Marist has a hooper named Wilfred "Spongy" Benjamin, UNLV has a point guard named Wink Adams.

6) Chiefs have one of NFL's best running backs, playing at a Colts team that struggles against the run. The coin flip could actually be important in this game, since Indy will definitely want the ball first, to get that extra possession.

5) Oregon State hooper Sasa Cuic is fluent in five languages: English-Croatian-Serbian-Italian-Dutch.

4) Raiders will have their fifth coach in last seven seasons in 2007; in other words, it wasn't Art Shell's fault!!!!! Raiders are challenging the Lions as worst-run franchise in the NFL.

3) Speaking of which, Rod Marinelli fired Donnie Henderson, his defensive coordinator, and hired Joe Barry, who happens to be married to Marinelli's daughter. Now, Barry might be the best defensive coordinator since Buddy Ryan, but when you are an inept organization like Detroit, you lack credibility.

2) After he sits out next season, Bill Cowher will be perfectly positioned to be coach of the Dallas Cowboys in 2008.

1) Cowher is the 7th NFL coach to spend 15+ seasons in his first head coaching job; the other six coaches are all Hall of Famers. Cowher will be, too.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 7th

(TC) Michigan State at Indiana, 4:30 EST CBS
Michigan State: 9-21 ATS away off a road game
Indiana: 21-9 ATS after playing as an underdog

South Florida at Pittsburgh, 12:00 EST ESPN
South Florida: 6-0 ATS after scoring 50 points or less
Pittsburgh: 8-0 Over at home in January

Dayton at Rhode Island, 12:00 EST
Dayton: 0-7 ATS after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
Rhode Island: 7-0 Over off a win

(TC) Syracuse at Marquette, 8:00 EST
Syracuse: 4-19 ATS playing their second game in seven days
Marquette: 6-0 ATS at home playing their second game in eight days

Rutrgers at Cincinnati, 2:00 EST
Rutgers: 2-10 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Cincinnati: 8-1 Over after having 9 or less assists

Buffalo at Bowling Green, 2:00 EST
Buffalo: 6-0 ATS away after playing BB games as a home favorite
Bowling Green: 0-10 ATS off a road loss by 4 points or less

Kansas at South Carolina, 4:30 EST CBS
Kansas: 8-1 Under away off 4+ wins by 10+ points
South Carolina: 10-3 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

Stanford at Virginia, 5:00 EST FSN
Stanford: 6-0 ATS away in January
Virginia: 5-15 ATS after playing as a favorite

Kent State at Miami OH, 5:00 EST
Kent State: 14-4 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Miami OH: 8-1 Under at home in January

Wichita State at Missouri State, 5:30 EST ESPNU
Wichita State: 7-0 Under off BB Overs
Missouri State: 22-10 ATS as a favorite

St. Joseph's at Charlotte, 6:00 EST
St. Joseph's: 8-1 ATS off a conference win by 10+ points
Charlotte: 0-6 ATS at home in January

Florida State at North Carolina, 7:00 ESTFSN>
Florida State: 30-15 ATS off a home loss
North Carolina: 12-2 Over off 9+ wins

(TC) Mississippi State at Tennessee, 4:00 EST
Mississippi State: 2-11 ATS away after making 13+ three-pointers
Tennessee: 6-0 ATS in home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 7

(TC) Philadelphia at Ottawa, 3:05 EST
Philadelphia: 3-16 SU after allowing 4+ goals
Ottawa: 16-5 SU as a home favorite of -300 or higher

New Jersey at Montreal, 3:05 EST
New Jersey: 2-7 SU off a road win
Montreal: 14-4 SU off a loss

Phoenix at Chicago, 3:05 EST
Phoenix: 8-3 SU off BB road games
Chicago: 15-47 SU playing with revenge

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 7:35 EST
Tampa Bay: 7-19 SU playing their third game in four days
Pittsburgh: 9-2 SU off BB Unders

Detroit at Anaheim, 8:05 EST
Detroit: 1-7 SU off 5+ games with 30+ shots
Anaheim: 12-1 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

Florida at Vancouver, 10:05 EST
Florida: 17-47 SU in road games
Vancouver: 11-2 SU vs. non-conference opponents

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

Duplicated pm here.

[Udog]

Here, too.

[pm530]

Good luck Udog! ...and to all the Bettors Chat crew!!