NBA Week 6 thread (40-22, +$2226 on the year)...

[brooox]

just got on here a few weeks ago, i have been watching brewers picks and am very impressed.

[Stealth]

B7, keep up the great work. Only one loser, win tonight's game and we are back on track!!

[brewers7]

brewers any hockey plays tonight?

I will post shortly...I might have one play...

brewers7,I very rarely if ever go in to another's thread and say anything negative,but are you promoting Mansion and if not please give other example of books to use

I am not promoting ANYTHING...A friend told me how their exchange works and I just passed the info along...

There are other exchanges out there...BetFair, Parbet, Sportsbook.com...Didn't realize it would be an "issue"...


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Additional bet:

Monday, December 4

Dallas/Washington, 1Q, over 51.5 -- $58 to win $50

Juice was high at Pinny, so I went to 5dimes...Both teams are 11-5 to the Over in the 1Q, and Dallas has gone Over 5 straight 1Q's while Washington has gone Over 4 straight 1Q's...Both teams have been starting games with a lot of energy and hot shooting so I am hoping for more of the same tonight...

Good Luck...brewers7
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Monday's Picks for tracking purposes:

Sides:

1) NY, 2) Chi, 3) Was, 4) Milw, 5) Sac, 6) GS, 7) Ind

Totals:

1) Was ov, 2) Chi ov, 3) Sac ov, 4) NY un, 5) Milw ov, 6) Ind un, 7) GS un

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[Stealth]

Thanks B7

[the lumberjack]

thanks B!!!!!!

[TCB in a Flash]

thanks for the info and the picks b7!

[drugstuntman]

thanks brew !!!!!

[SACPAC]

Thanks And Good Luck B7...

[vinnyvegas]

Good luck tonight! Pound KU tonight!!

[brewers7]

I wonder about a cold spell, but I'll see if I cannot find one for tonight later today...

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Early looks at Tuesday's games:

Portland at Detroit: Raef LeFrentz is probable for Portland...Lindsey Hunter is questionable for Detroit...PORT has covered 7 of the last trips into DET...The Pistons just had an 8-game winning streak snapped last time out at CHAR...Wonder here if they may be looking ahead to Dallas next...PORT has become unpredictable now for me, but it's always hard for me to lay DD's in the NBA...PORT has lost 5 straight overall...Pistons still and Over team at Home under Flip Saunders although the last 4 between these two teams h2h have gone under at Detroit...

Dallas at New Jersey: No line posted...Vince Carter is probable for NJ...DAL shot just 39% on Monday much to my dismay (for the total) and now, after the 12-game winning streak comes to and end, this has to be a let-down spot IMO rather than a bounce-back spot because the air is let out of the balloon a bit once a long win streak ends...When long winning streaks come to an end, there just is a natural mental let-down, and it kind of acts like a chart-play for a game or 2...Dallas had won 11 straight (Covering 9) vs. NJ h2h before the Nets finally broke through on 3/19/06 at Home with a 100-89 win...NJ going the other way, after losing 6 straight, NJ has won 2 in a row...NJ is 1-0 SU & ATS on the back-end of bk-2-bks and while DAL is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS on the back-end of bk-2-bks, those numbers need to be broken down further...All 4 of the back-enders were at Home and the win vs. PHOE also had Phoe on a back-ender...Dallas also had a banged-up MEMP team and they were also on a back-ender, then it was the Wiz, a winless Road team and finally the Hornets, without West and Peja...So sorry, I am not impressed...These 2 teams have played Under 4 of the last 5 at the Meadowlands h2h...Nets have gone Over 3 straight overall...

Golden State at Houston: No line posted...Jason Richardson is expected to miss for GS...Tracy McGrady is probable for Houston...This is an automatic play for me, taking a bounce-back team after a 40-point loss and this trend is stronger when the team in this situational spot is .500 or better...HOU in a let-down spot after a dominating performance over Cleveland...GS is 2-1 ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks his season...HOU has had many games in this situational spot, having rest when their opponent does not, and are just 1-4 ATS (4-1 SU) ...HOU 2-6 ATs at Home, too, despite the 7-1 SU record...HOU 6 straight Unders and GS 4 straight Overs overall so we have a conflict here...Only 7 occurrences in the last 15 years with an Un6 taking on an Ov4 and there is no strong indication either way as 4 have gone Under...Only 2 previous occurrences had the Home team with the Under6 and those split...And in all 7 occurrences, the Ov4 team had rest every game...More pertinent may be the fact that GS is 3-0 to the Under in back-enders this season...5 of the last 6 on HOU in this h2h series have gone Under...GS 9-2 ATS last 11 trips to HOU...

Sacramento at Phoenix: No line posted...No word on Artest yet...Here we go with the 4-of-5 trend again...After an 8-3 ATS start for the Away Team playing 4-of-5 vs. a rested Team, the Pacers didn't cover at DEN on SAT to make it 8-4 ATS on the year...With all of the recent winning streaks of 6 or more being snapped the last 3 days (ORL a 6-gamer on SAT, DET an 8-gamer on SUN, and DAL a 12-gamer on MON), is it the Suns' turn to have their 6-game winning streak snapped?...Problem is PHOE has been tough at Home in NOV and DEC when they have rest and their opponent does not last year and this season...2-1 ATS already this season...SAC 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS in the back-end of bk-2-bks and 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS on the Road in this spot...on the Road with a 3-2-1 ATS record and they are 4-2 to the Over...SAC has covered 6 of 8 overall and 3 of 4 in PHOE h2h vs. the Suns and those same exact numbers apply to the Over...SAC 3-1 to the Over on back-enders this season...

Atlanta at Seattle: Revenge spot here for the Hawks after an OT loss to SEA on 11/11...Problem is SEA has won and covered 6 straight in this h2h series and 4 of those went Over...SEA had been Under 5 of 6 overall, but suddenly 2 straight Overs and ATL has 3 straight Overs after 5 of 6 Under...ATL has slipped to 4th in the league in FG% allowed while SEA is still dead last...

Miami at LA Clippers: Gary Payton is questionable for Miami...The Staples Center has seen a lot of basketball to this point of the season as the Clips and lakers have had a ton of Home games...,Pat Riley has straightened things out a bit for MIA as they have won 3 of their last 4 and Covered all 4 games...The Clips shot 60% their last game, so a knee-jerk reaction for me to fade them here, but they are still a bit of a chart-play as they have Covered 2 out of 3 after a NC7...Don't know if I can lay that many points, though...No read or angle to this point on the total, but 4 of the alst 5 between these 2 have gone Over h2h...

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[vinnyvegas]

Well, last night was a classic but I think you had it right. Bad beat as that last minute sucked. However, if not for the Mavs run in 4th, it was an under so no worries. I guess it could have gone either way. On to the next night!!

[drugstuntman]

I got 203 at cris, so I'll take the push.....1st quarter play was a winner, so not a bad night overall....I sense a hot streak, no cold streaks allowed !!!!!

[bwade210]

We were on the right side of that one, lets get them tomorrow!

[GrandPa]

prediction:

b7's plays will be on either:

1) GSt
or
2) NJ

Anxiously awaiting the post

Thanks for all the work b7

[Spencer3000]

thanks for the great info, brewers. I thought we had it last night. Anyways, I 'm gonna guess your play tonight is Golden State +7