In the South Carolina Game- Spurrier has to be winging his visor out the window when he won 27-20 over Wofford last week. Knowing Spurrier from Florida- he will come at Fla Atlantic all day long. Fl Atl has little defense to talk about and their offense will be on their own side of the field most of the game.
In South Carolina's last eight home games versus a team with a losing record the OVER is 8-0.
Lou -9 To -14.5 Vs K State
V Tech -26 To -28.5 Vs Cinn
Tulsa +6.5 To +4.5 Vs Navy
Utah St +31.5 To +28 Vs Byu
Fsu -28 To -31 Vs Rice
Tex -20 To -26 Vs Iowa St
Marshall +24 To +21 Vs Tenn
Wva -19 To -22 Vs Ecu
Akron -14.5 To -17 Vs N Tex
Neb -18 To -23.5 Vs Troy
Wash +5 To +3 Vs Ucla
W Mich -27 To -31 Vs Temp
Usc -16 To -23 Vs Arz
Utah -5 To -9 Vs Sdst
Oak St +3 To -1 Vs Hou
Org St -21 To -26 Vs Idaho
"The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
bwade- How does the public perceive a game when Vegas has it capped as it does. We love the big favorites and feel they will blow out most teams. I mentioned last year that every point taken away from a total can increase your chances of winning by at least 2 %. I had data back then to back it up but do not at this time. Take for instance K State and Louisville. Almost 10% added makes it 60 % chance that K St will cover in my opinion. Do I choose to play it- Thinking about it.
Most of you maybe thinking how defensive South Carolina is- how Auburn and LSU was a big defensive game- how So. Car. has a receiver out- how it is gonna rain hard to plow your thinking on the Under. My analysis shows the opposite.
South Carolina/Auburn Over 37
South Carolina defense is allowing 11 points per game and yet they haven't face an offensive team like Auburn. Auburn has two weeks to get ready for Florida. Total goes over as South Carolina must go to the air and opportunistic Tigers will be waiting. 34-9 Probably. I would also say to take the Tigers but my forte is on totals.
"The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
Question was - do you rate this as a 10* play- I admit these are the only plays to really follow from me. Check the rain issue. South Carolina cannot run on Auburn and the ball will possibly be taken in more by the defense than you would imagine. To make the correct bet on this game-- watch the weather and the lines (Possibly lower) before gametime )
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