Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, JUNE 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LAC at PHO 03:30 PM
LAC +4.0
U 220.0
+500 +500

ATL at PHI 08:00 PM
ATL +6.5
O 216.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/20/2021.......1-3-0....25.00%.....-11.50
06/19/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
06/18/2021.......0-4-0.....0.00%.....-22.00
06/17/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.......-0.50
06/16/2021.......2-2-0....50.00%.......-1.00
06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............36-38-1.......50.00%.....- 00.00


************************

BEST BETS:

06/20/2021...............1.-.3.-.0.............-11.50
06/19/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+10.00
06/18/2021...............0 - 4 - 0.............- 22.00
06/17/2021...............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/16/2021...............2 - 2 - 0...............-1.00
06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:.....................31 - 231 1..............-- 17.50

[Udog]

Monday’s 6-pack
Most games with 4+ RBI as a San Francisco Giant:
53— Barry Bonds
52— Willie McCovey
34— Willie Mays
32— Jeff Kent
25— Matt Williams
23— Orlando Cepeda

Quote of the Day
“It takes years to make an overnight success.”
Eddie Cantor

Monday’s quiz
Which actor played a District Attorney on Law & Order, and in real life, was a US Senator from Tennessee from 1994-2003?
(Hint: He also played the university president in Necessary Roughness)

Sunday’s quiz
Dodgers moved to Los Angeles after the 1957 season.

Saturday’s quiz
Parts of the famous movie Animal House were filmed at the University of Oregon.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Random stuff, and Mountain West football knowledge

Hawks 103, 76ers 96:
— Atlanta won despite Trae Young going 5-23 from the floor.
— Kevin Huerter (from suburban Albany) scored 27 points.
— Embiid scored 31 points, had 11 rebounds on a bum leg; he was a warrior in this series.

Suns 120, Clippers 114:
— Devin Booker scored 40 for Phoenix.
— Clippers are down 1-0 for third series in a row.
— Suns were +18 in the 14:00 Torrey Craig played.
— Clippers have played every other day since June 2nd.

Nationals 5, Mets 2:
— Kyle Schwarber homered three times, has 5 homers in last two games.

Brewers 7, Rockies 6:
— Colorado hit four homers in the 6th inning, erasing a 6-0 deficit, but those were the only runs they scored. Daniel Vogelbach knocked in the winning run in the 9th inning.

New York 2, A’s 1:
— Game ended with Sean Murphy grounding into a triple play on a 2-0 pitch, after the first two batters of the inning had walked.

Mariners 6, Rays 2 (10):
— Shed Long hit a walk-off grand slam in 10th inning.
— Rays lost their last six games.
— Tampa Bay is calling up its #1 prospect Wander Franco Tuesday.

Why do teams shift against everyone? Reds shifted against San Diego C Victor Caratini Sunday, like he was Reggie Jackson or Dave Winfield— the guy is batting .219.

Caratini sticks his bat out, hits a soft ground ball to shortstop, but problem is, the shortstop isn’t there, because the Reds shift against everyone. Caratini is hitting .219; the over-educated imbeciles who run some of these front offices justify their existence by shifting way too much.

Mountain West football knowledge:
Air Force
— Five new offensive linemen and a new QB; lot of questions on offense.
— Falcons have a new special teams coach; last guy was there 10 years.
— 3 starters back on offense, 1 on defense.

Boise State
— LY’s coach bolted to Auburn; the new coach was a defensive coordinator.
— Boise was 115th in country LY in rushing yardage; no bueno.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

Colorado State
— Rams played only four games LY; they want to run the ball more.
— State had five punts/kicks returned for TD’s last season; not good.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

Fresno State
— Bulldogs scored 30+ ppg, for third year in a row.
— Fresno gave up 212 rushing yards, 30 points/game LY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

Hawai’i
— Coach Graham’s son is the QB this season.
— Their kicker was only 2-7 on FG’s of 40+ yards LY.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

Nevada
— QB Strong threw 27 TD passes, only four INT’s last year.
— Wolf Pack brought in three D-I transfers for their secondary.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

UNLV
— Rebels recruited well last two years, also brought in some transfers.
— 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— When your season win total is 1.5 wins, expectations aren’t high.

New Mexico
— New QB Wilson started 25 games for Kentucky; he’s pretty good.
— Lobos couldn’t play at home LY, so getting back home should be fun.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.

San Diego State
— Aztecs threw only six TD passes LY, were 115th in passing yardage.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— San Diego State is temporarily playing home games 115 miles from campus.

San Jose State
— Spartans came out of nowhere to win league title LY, but lost their bowl game.
— San Jose’s QB Starkel will be protected by an OL with 91 returning starts.
— 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

Utah State
— New coach Anderson’s Arkansas State team threw for 364.4 ypg LY.
— Aggies gave up 34+ points in five of six games LY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Wyoming
— Cowboys completed less than half their passes the last three years.
— Wyoming returns its top 10 tacklers from last season.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Six actors/actresses who appeared in both Batman and the original Magnum PI:
— Cesar Romero— the Joker in Batman
— Alan Hale— best known as the Skipper on Gilligan’s Island
— Jill St John— Played Molly in two episodes of Batman
— Elisha Cook— was Icepick in Magnum PI
— Barbara Rush— Played Magnum’s aunt who had Alzheimer’s.
— Howard Duff— Played Cabala in Batman

Quote of the Day
“I’ve got a Trig midterm tomorrow, and I’m being chased by Guido, the killer pimp!!!”
Miles, in Risky Business

Tuesday’s quiz
Who did the Chicago Bears beat when they won their only Super Bowl title?

Monday’s quiz
Fred Dalton Thompson played a District Attorney on Law & Order, and in real life, was a US Senator from Tennessee from 1994-2003.

Sunday’s quiz
Dodgers moved to Los Angeles after the 1957 season.

****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Mets 4, Braves 2:
— Jacob deGrom allowed one hit in five innings, getting the win, but something is amiss with deGrom. He was lifted after throwing only 70 pitches, going thru the Braves’ order twice.

Here are deGrom’s last six starts:
May 25— 5 IP, 63 PT, gave up one run. Mets won 3-1.
May 31— 6 IP, 70 PT, gave up no runs. Mets won 6-2.
June 5— 7 IP, 85 PT, gave up no runs. Mets won 4-0.
June 11— 6 IP, 80 PT, gave up no runs. Mets won 3-2.
June 16— 3 IP, 37 PT, gave up no runs. Mets won 6-3
Last nite— 5 IP, 70 PT, gave up no runs. Mets won 4-2.

His numbers are tremendous, but they’re not extending him at all. His last four starts back in April, he threw 95-99-109-93 pitches.

Heading into Monday’s games, four of five NL Central teams were batting under .230. Only the Cincinnati Reds are batting over .230 as a team.

Indians 4, Cubs 0— Bottom 4th inning, Cubs have man on first, one out. Anthony Rizzo flies out to left, and the runner on first Javier Baez, forgets how many outs there and gets doubled off to end the inning. Cubs manager David Ross took Baez out of the game right there and then.

Cleveland P Aaron Civale had a 3-0 lead with two outs in 5th, when he called the trainer out and left the game— something wrong with his right hand. No bueno for Civale or those of us who have him in fantasy leagues— he’s a dependable guy.

Padres 6, Dodgers 2— This ended a 150-game streak of the Dodgers being favored in every game they had played since late 2019.

If the Washington NFL team wants a nickname, I have two suggestions:
a) Red Tails— This would come pretty close to the old name, and would honor a group of pilots from World War II. The team colors would all stay the same.
b) Sentinels— Nickname of the Washington team from the movie The Replacements, where Gene Hackman was coach, Keanu Reeves the QB.

Of the four teams left in the NBA playoffs, none of them has won an NBA title since Milwaukee won back in 1971, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar’s 2nd year as a pro.

Got my first college football magazine of the summer; here are things I learned from reading it:
Over last five years, these teams have the worst record against the spread:
— Bowling Green 29.2% ATS
— Akron 30.2% ATS
— Texas-El Paso 31.4%
— Arizona 32.0%
— Tennessee 35.7%

These teams have the best record against the spread:
— LSU 38-20-1, 65.3% ATS
— Wyoming/Eastern Michigan, both at 64.8%
— Buffalo, 63.9%- their coach moved on to Kansas.
— Utah, 63.6%

Last year was first time the Big X didn’t have have any offensive skill players drafted in the first round by the NFL.

Since 1985, Arizona Wildcats have had one QB drafted, Nick Foles in 3rd round, 2012.

Last year was first time in 80 years Michigan State didn’t have any players drafted.

Bryan Harsin is the new coach at Auburn, moving in from Boise State, where he went 69-19; his defensive coordinator is Derek Mason, formerly head coach at Vanderbilt.

There are 41 bowl games on this year’s docket; 43 were schedule last year, only 25 were played.

College football “free agency” is now a thing; here are winners/losers for this year:
Winners— Oklahoma, Florida State, Miami
Losers— Nebraska, Tennessee, Virginia Tech

Here is how Nick Saban’s teams have done the year after winning a national title:
2004, LSU— 9-3, lost bowl game to Iowa
2010, Alabama— 10-3, beat Michigan State in bowl
2012, Alabama— 12-1, won national title
2013, Alabama— 11-2, lost bowl to Oklahoma
2016, Alabama— 14-1, lost national title game to Clemson
2018, Alabama— 14-1, lost national title game to Clemson
2021, Alabama— ??????

College football coaches on the hot seat:
— Jim Harbaugh, Michigan— He’s signed thru 2025.
— Clay Helton, USC— Finished in top 25 three of six years.
— Jeff Brohm, Purdue— 8-16 in his last 24 games.
— Dino Babers, Syracuse— 6-17 last two years, after a 10-win 2018.
— Justin Fuente, Virginia Tech— 19-18 last three years, not good enough.

Top 5 quarterback transfers:
— McKenzie Milton, UCF to Florida State
— Jack Coan, Wisconsin to Notre Dame
— Charlie Brewer, Baylor to Arizona
— Alan Bowman, Texas Tech to Michigan
— Tyler Shough, Oregon to Texas Tech

Motto for modern college QB’s: If I ain’t starting, then I’ll be departing.

They tweaked the college overtime rules; teams have to go for 2 points after TD’s starting in the 2nd overtime. If a game gets to three OT’s, they just run alternate 2-point plays until someone wins. Thats a factor if the spread is between 2-8 points.

[Udog]

[Udog]

551LA CLIPPERS -552 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less in the current season.




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 22

LA Clippers @ Phoenix
Clippers
— Clippers have been playing every other day since June 2.
— Clippers won last two series, after falling behind 2-0 in both.
— Jackson/George shot 20-47 in Game 1; other three starters were 8-20.
— LA subs were a combined minus-35 in Game 1
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven road games.

Suns (lead series 1-0)
— Suns took only 9 FT’s in Game 1; Booker was 7-7
— Phoenix won 7 in row, 12 of last 14 games overall.
— Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95 points in its two playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Phoenix subs were a combined +35 in Game 1.

— Chris Paul/Kawhi Leonard probably won’t play in this game.
— Clippers won five of last seven series games.
— LA is 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Phoenix.
— Under is 4-3 in last seven series games.




NBA

Tuesday, June 22

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Trend Report
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LA Clippers @ Phoenix
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
LA Clippers is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, June 22

[Udog]

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, JUNE 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LAC at PHO 09:00 PM
PHO -4.5
O 223.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/22/2021.......0-2-0.....0.00%.....-11.00
06/20/2021.......1-3-0....25.00%.....-11.50
06/19/2021.......2-0-0...100.00%...+10.00
06/18/2021.......0-4-0.....0.00%.....-22.00
06/17/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%.......-0.50
06/16/2021.......2-2-0....50.00%.......-1.00
06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............36-40-1.......47.36%.....- 11.00


************************

BEST BETS:

06/22/2021...............0 - 2 - 0...........- 11.00
06/20/2021...............1.-.3.-.0.............-11.50
06/19/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+10.00
06/18/2021...............0 - 4 - 0.............- 22.00
06/17/2021...............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/16/2021...............2 - 2 - 0...............-1.00
06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:...................31 - 32 - 1..............-- 28.50

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in walks:
56— Joey Gallo, Tex
54— Yasmani Grandal, CWS
47— Carlos Santana, KC/Max Muncy, LA
46— Yandy Diaz, TB
45— Yoan Moncada, CWS
44— Freddie Freeman Atl/Juan Soto Wash

Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday

Wednesday’s quiz
What fine actor played the team doctor in Any Given Sunday?

Tuesday’s quiz
Chicago Bears beat New England when they won their only Super Bowl title after the 1985 season.

Monday’s quiz
Fred Dalton Thompson played a District Attorney on Law & Order, and in real life, was a US Senator from Tennessee from 1994-2003.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Weird story broke this week, about how basketball players for the Wisconsin Badgers were unhappy with their coach last year; at one point, the seven seniors met with head coach Greg Gard and the three assistant coaches and aired their grievances.

Here’s the thing; someone RECORDED THE WHOLE THING, and it became public, which makes the head coach look really bad. Recruiting just became a whole lot harder.

Wisconsin had a very experienced team last year; their starting 5 was older than the starting 5 for one or two NBA teams. The pandemic created unusual circumstances, which created a lot of tension. When you don’t win as much as you think you should, sometimes that spills over.

12) Suns 104, Clippers 103:
— Phoenix ran great OB under play, scoring on alley-oop with 0:00.7 left.
— Cam Payne led the Suns with 29 points.
— Clippers are down 2-0 for third series in a row.
— Suns’ star Devin Booker broke his nose during this game, came back and finished the game, scoring 20 points.

11) Detroit Pistons won the NBA Draft Lottery; I always wonder what the kid who is supposed to be the #1 pick thinks when he finds out where he is probably headed. Cade Cunningham is from Texas; he needs to buy a parka or two. Detroit gets very cold in the winter.

10) In the 7-game Hawks-76ers series, a very dramatic series, Ben Simmons took a total of three shots in the 4th quarter, none in Games 4-7. One of the more interesting parts of this summer will be if the 76ers unload Simmons or keep him.

9) Suns’ G Chris Paul said he won’t be playing in the Olympics this summer; same thing for Kyle Lowry, who is a free agent.

If I owned an NBA team and was paying guys $20-$30M a year (or more) to play for our team, I sure as hell wouldn’t want them playing in the freakin’ Olympics.

8) Baseball injuries:
— Twins’ OF Byron Buxton broke his pinky, is on the IL.
— Mets’ P Marcus Stroman (hip) left his start early Tuesday
— Mets’ P Joey Lucchesi will have Tommy John surgery
— Braves’ P Max Fried (blister) went on the IL.

7) Arizona Diamondbacks have already used 51 players this season, most of any team; Milwaukee has used 49 players. Lot of frequent flyer miles for guys going between AAA and the big leagues.

6) Two years ago, Diamondbacks were 85-77, a pretty good team, and that was with Paul Goldschmidt already off to St Louis. Wheels have fallen off since then; they’re 21-54 this year.

5) Sounds like the college football playoff is going to expand from four teams to 12 teams in 2023; they’re going through the process to make it happen this summer, a slow process, but there is just too much money at stake for this not to happen.

4) Sports betting became legal in Louisiana this week, should begin by football season.

3) Someone in California did a lab test on a Subway tuna sub, but found no tuna; not really sure what they did find, but hopefully nothing too bad. I’ve had more than my share of their subs over the years, though I get subs at Jersey Mike’s now.

2) Doc Rivers won an NBA title coaching the Celtics in 2008, then made it to the Finals in 2010. At that point, his career playoff record was 46-40, 38-26 with Boston.

Since then, Rivers’ playoff record is 52-54; he hasn’t been back to the Finals. Overall his playoff record is 98-94.

1) Miami Marlins’ P Sandy Alcantara is pretty good, but his teammates don’t hit much for him:
— Last night, Marlins’ bullpen lost game 2-1 in ninth inning.
— His previous start, Alcantara lost 1-0 to St Louis in ninth inning. Not good.

[Udog]

[Udog]

561ATLANTA -562 MILWAUKEE
ATLANTA is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, June 23

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Hawks
— Hawks won 15 of last 20 games (13-7 ATS).
— Under is 12-2-1 in their last 15 games.
— Atlanta won Game 7 in Philly Sunday.
— Hawks are 5-2 ATS in road playoff games.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.

Bucks
— Bucks won four of their last five games.
— Milwaukee won its Game 7 on Saturday.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 9-5-1 in last 15 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks’ starters were a combined +106 in Games 6-7 last series.
— Milwaukee won Game 7 despite Holiday shooting 5-23 from floor.

— Bucks won eight of last ten series games.
— Hawks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.




NBA

Wednesday, June 23
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

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Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 23

[Udog]