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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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    • 521MIAMI -522 MILWAUKEE
      MIAMI is 69-47 ATS (17.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

      523PORTLAND -524 DENVER
      PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.




      NBA
      Dunkel

      Monday, May 24







      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Monday, May 24


      Game 2’s, best-of-7:
      Miami @ Milwaukee
      Heat
      — Miami covered 13 of its last 17 games.
      — Heat is 7-2 ATS in last nine road games.
      — Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
      — Butler was 4-22 from floor in Game 1.
      — Miami was 20-50 on arc, 16-49 inside arc.

      Bucks (lead 1-0)
      — Milwaukee is 9-2 its last 11 games SU.
      — Bucks are 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
      — You’re reading ***************.com
      — Over is 5-3 in Milwaukee’s last eight games.
      — Bucks were +13 on boards in Game 1.

      — Milwaukee is 4-3 in last seven series games.
      — Heat is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Milwaukee.
      — Four of last five series games stayed under.

      Portland @ Denver
      Trailblazers (lead 1-0)
      — Portland won 11 of its last 13 games.
      — You’re reading ***************.com
      — Blazers are 8-1 ATS in last nine road games.
      — Over is 3-2-1 in Portland’s last six road games.
      — Blazers outscored Denver 38-25 in 3rd quarter of Game 1.
      — Portland played only eight guys Saturday.

      Nuggets
      — Denver won 21 of its last 29 games.
      — Nuggets are 4-7 ATS in last 11 home games.
      — Over is 5-2 in Denver’s last seven games.
      — Portland outscored Denver 18-4 on foul line Saturday.
      — Lot of pressure on favored Denver in this game.

      — Denver won five of last eight series games.
      — Blazers are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Denver.
      — Five of last nine series games stayed under.




      NBA

      Monday, May 24


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Trend Report

      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Miami @ Milwaukee
      Miami
      Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
      Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Milwaukee
      Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Milwaukee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

      Portland @ Denver
      Portland
      Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
      Portland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      Denver
      Denver is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
      Denver is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Portland


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • Tuesday’s 6-pack
        NFL over/under win totals:

        — LA Rams 10, -140
        — Dolphins 9, -130
        — Vikings 8.5, -160
        — Patriots 9.5, +100
        — Saints 9.5, -105
        — Giants 7.5, -105

        Quote of the Day
        “I don’t know if it has ever been harder to manage a roster, manage player development. You’re talking about things that are outside of our control as far as transfer portal and COVID. Nobody has ever had to deal with the social media phenomena with recruiting the way it is. But you know what? That’s what they pay us for. That’s the job. It’s still the greatest job on Earth.”
        Missouri football coach Eli Drinkwitz

        Tuesday’s quiz
        Which state is known as “The Land of 10,000 Lakes”?

        Monday’s quizActor Tom Selleck played one year of D-I college basketball, at USC.

        Sunday’s quiz
        Kevin Bacon played the losing attorney in A Few Good Men.

        ************************************************** **

        Tuesday’s Den: Trends for National League teams

        Diamondbacks:
        — Lost their last 13 road games.
        — 3-8 at home, if they score less than 7 runs.
        — Lost nine of ten one-run games.

        Braves:
        — 20-7 if they score 5+ runs, 3-17 if they do not.
        — Lost last four home series openers.
        — Lost five of six extra-inning games.

        Cubs:
        — Won 8 of their last ten home games.
        — 11-3 vs lefty starters, 13-19 vs righties.
        — Under is 6-2 in their last eight road games.

        Reds:
        — Lost six of their last seven home games.
        — 11-3 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.
        — Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games.

        Rockies:
        — Lost 17 of their first 20 road games.
        — Won six of last eight home games.
        — 8-5 vs lefty starters, 11-24 vs righties.

        Dodgers:
        — 16-5 so far against their NL West rivals.
        — Won nine of last ten home games.
        — 5-2 in home series openers, 2-5 in road series openers.

        Marlins:
        — Won eight of their last 11 home games.
        — 2-6 in road series openers.
        — 4-9 in one-run games.

        Brewers:
        — Lost 10 of last 15 home games.
        — 3-6 vs lefty starters, 21-17 vs righties.
        — 8-5 in one-run games, 4-2 in extra innings.

        Mets
        — Currently have 16 players on injured list.
        — 11-5 at home, 10-15 on the road.
        — 10-5 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.

        Phillies:
        — 15-10 at home, 8-15 on road.
        — Under is 6-2 in their last eight road games.
        — Scored in 1st inning in six of last ten road games.

        Pirates:
        — Lost 8 of their last ten road games.
        — Lost five of six home series openers.
        — 7-16 vs division rivals, 11-12 vs everyone else.

        Cardinals:
        — Won six of last eight home games.
        — 10-6 in series openers.
        — 13-7 vs NL Central rivals, 13-14 vs everyone else.

        Padres:
        — Won their last ten home games.
        — 6-0 vs American League teams.
        — Over is 12-4 in their last sixteen games.

        Giants:
        — 13-5 in day games, 1-4 in extra inning games.
        — 10-5 in series openers.
        — Scored in first inning in six of last 11 road games.

        Nationals:
        — 12-10 at home, 8-13 on the road.
        — 6-4 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.
        — Under is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

        Comment


        • Comment


          • 531BOSTON -532 BROOKLYN
            BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) on Tuesday nights in the current season.

            533LA LAKERS -534 PHOENIX
            LA LAKERS are 46-77 ATS (-38.7 Units) off a road loss against a division rival since 1996.

            535DALLAS -536 LA CLIPPERS
            LA CLIPPERS are 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




            NBA
            Dunkel

            Tuesday, May 25







            NBA
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Tuesday, May 25


            Game 2’s, best-of-7:
            Boston @ Brooklyn
            Celtics
            — Boston lost six of its last eight games.
            — Tatum was only 6-20 from floor in Game 1.
            — Celtics are 9-5 ATS in their last 14 road games.
            — Under is 5-0 in their last five games

            Nets (lead 1-0)
            — Brooklyn won/covered its last six games.
            — Nets are 7-1 ATS in last eight home games.
            — Under is 7-3 in last ten Brooklyn games.
            — Nets outscored Boston 57-40 in 2nd half of Game 1.

            — Nets won six of last seven series games.
            — Celtics are 0-6 ATS in last six visits to Brooklyn.
            — Last four series games stayed under the total.

            LA Lakers @ Phoenix
            Lakers
            — Lakers won six of their last seven games SU
            — Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine road games.
            — Under is 8-4-1 in their 13 games.
            — Davis shot 5-16 from floor, was minus -18 in Game 1.

            Suns (lead 1-0)
            — Phoenix won its last four games.
            — Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Over is 21-7 in their last 28 games.
            — Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
            — Ayton shot 10-11 from floor, had 16 rebounds in Game 1.

            — Lakers won seven of last 11 series games.
            — LA is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
            — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

            Dallas @ LA Clippers
            Mavericks (lead 1-0)
            — Mavericks won 10 of their last 13 games.
            — Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
            — Over is 5-1 in last six Dallas games.
            — Doncic scored 31 points, had triple/double in Game 1.

            Clippers
            — Clippers lost nine of their last 12 games.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Clippers are 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
            — Under is 13-3-1 in last 17 Clipper games.
            — Clipper starters were a combined minus-70 in Game 1.

            — Teams split last eight series games.
            — Dallas is 2-2 ATS in last four road series games.
            — Last four series games stayed under the total.




            NBA

            Tuesday, May 25

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Trend Report

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Boston @ Brooklyn
            Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
            Brooklyn
            Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
            Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

            LA Lakers @ Phoenix
            LA Lakers
            LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 14 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
            Phoenix
            Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 11 games

            Dallas @ LA Clippers
            Dallas
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
            LA Clippers
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Dallas
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games at home


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • Wednesday’s 6-pack
              College football over/under win totals:

              — Alabama 11.5
              — Clemson 11.5
              — Cincinnati 10
              — Auburn 7
              — Arkansas 5.5
              — Baylor 5.5

              Quote of the Day
              “The time when there is no one there to feel sorry for you or to cheer for you is when a player is made.”
              Tim Duncan

              Wednesday’s quiz
              What year was the first night World Series game?
              (Hint: the Orioles played in that game)

              Tuesday’s quiz
              Minnesota is known as “The Land of 10,000 Lakes”.

              Monday’s quiz
              Actor Tom Selleck played one year of D-I college basketball, at USC.

              *********************************************

              Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

              13) Umpire Joe West worked in his 5,376th major league game last night, breaking the all-time record. He first umpired in the big leagues at age 24, which is pretty amazing.

              12) Speaking of umpires, saw something I don’t think I ever saw before. Sunday night in St Louis, Adam Wainwright is pitching to Kris Bryant in the 4th inning— first two pitches of the at-bat are both marginal, are both called strikes.

              Cubs manager David Ross comes out of the dugout and gets in the face of the home plate ump, who throws him out of the game- his guy didn’t strike out, he just took two pitches, and the manager gets tossed. Game was scoreless at the time.

              Maybe Ross bet the over, I don’t know, or maybe the ump had the under; Wainwright wound up having 31 of his pitches called strikes, which is a really, really high number. Cubs starter Davies only had 12 strikes called, but he is more of a pitch-to-contact guy.

              Anyway, it struck me as odd. Erich Bacchus was the ump, a new umpire.

              11) Then there is Houston P Cristian Javier, who threw 94 pitches in his start at Texas Sunday; only 8 of those 94 pitches were put into play. 50 strikes, 44 balls; six walks, five strikeouts- he gave up only one hit, but lasted only 4.2 innings in the Astros’ 3-2 loss.

              These days, one of the starting pitcher’s jobs is to get deeper into games, to take the strain off of the bullpen, seeing how the starters are supposed to be the team’s best pitchers. Finishing six innings consistently helps a team that day, and for the next couple days.

              10) Genius alert: Indians P Zach Plesac suffered a non-displaced fracture of his right (throwing) thumb when he was really mad after a bad start, and was tearing his jersey off in anger— his right hand smacked against a chair, and he broke his thumb. Awesome.

              9) Toronto shortstop Bo Bichette is hitting 2-31 against Tampa Bay this year, .325 against everyone else, which adds up to .270 overall.

              8) Tampa Bay has used 49 different lineups in its first 50 games; if they ever decide to do another Moneyball movie, they should do it on the Rays, who do some very unusual things.

              7) Colorado Rockies are now 3-18 on the road after splitting a pair at CitiField this week; they were the first team to start a season 2-17 on the road since the ’06 Kansas City Royals.

              6) Houston Astros are 3-12 on the road when they score less than 7 runs; they’re 8-0 on the road if they score 7+ runs.

              5) Baseball injury stuff:
              — Bruce Harper (forearm) went on the IL
              — Corey Kluber (elbow) left his start Tuesday after 3 innings.
              — Zach Plesac (thumb) went on the IL
              — Noah Syndergaard left his rehab start after only one inning, which obviously is bad news.

              4) Cowboys’ LB Jaylon Smith wants to switch from #54 to #9; when an NFL player wants to switch numbers, the rules say he has to buy out the current inventory of jerseys/T-shirts of his old number- that will cost Smith around half a million bucks.

              He must really like number 9.

              3) Wayne Gretzky is going to be an NHL analyst on TNT next fall, when that network begins its coverage of the NHL. You never know if a guy is going to be good or not on the air; Gretzky is probably the greatest player ever, but will he be critical? Funny? Will he tell great stories from his career, without harping on himself?

              I would bet on him to be good, but time will tell.

              2) Back in my high school days, I took a course on speed reading, it was an actual course, taught by Mr O’Brien, who looked a little like Burl Ives, the singer.

              Anyway, all I remember about the course was that they told you when you read a book, to read the first and last paragraph of each chapter, then the first sentence of every other paragraph.

              They said a well written book would contain the vast majority of its information in those areas, and you could save a lot of time by skipping the rest. Wonder if they still teach that stuff?

              Also, I am told they don’t teach cursive writing in schools anymore; how do people learn how to sign their names?

              1) If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
              NL: Mets-Cardinals-Padres. Wild Card: Giants @ Dodgers
              AL: Rays-White Sox-A’s. Wild Card: New York @ Boston

              Comment


              • Comment


                • 541WASHINGTON -542 PHILADELPHIA
                  WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better in the current season.

                  543ATLANTA -544 NEW YORK
                  NEW YORK is 17-2 ATS (14.8 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

                  545MEMPHIS -546 UTAH
                  UTAH is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.




                  NBA
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Wednesday, May 26


                  Game 2’s, best-of-7:
                  Washington @ Philadelphia
                  Wizards
                  — Wizards won three of their last five games SU.
                  — Washington is 4-2-1 ATS in last seven road games.
                  — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
                  — In Game 1, Wizards’ starters other than Beal/Westbrook were minus-49

                  76ers (lead 1-0)
                  — 76ers won 11 of their last 13 games (8-5 ATS).
                  — Sixers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
                  — Over is 5-1 in Philly’s last six home games.
                  — In Game 1, 76ers outscored Washington 23-12 on foul line.

                  — 76ers won last six series games.
                  — Wizards are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Philly.
                  — Under is 3-2 in last five series games.

                  Atlanta @ New York
                  Hawks (lead 1-0)
                  — Hawks won eight of last nine games (6-3 ATS).
                  — Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
                  — Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
                  — In Game 1, Bogdanovic was +17; no one else was better than +8.

                  Knicks
                  — New York won four of its last six games.
                  — Knicks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.
                  — Under is 6-2 in New York’s last eight games.
                  — Knicks are in playoffs for first time in eight years.
                  — In Game 1, Randle was only 6-23 from floor.

                  — Knicks won four of last five series games.
                  — Three of last six series games went to OT.
                  — Hawks are 2-4 ATS in last six trips to Manhattan.
                  — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

                  Memphis @ Utah
                  Grizzlies (lead 1-0)
                  — Memphis won eight of its last nine games SU.
                  — Grizzlies are 5-7 ATS in last 12 games, 4-2 in last six on road.
                  — Under is 7-3 in last ten Memphis games.
                  — In Game 1, Memphis won despite their subs shooting 7-21.
                  — Grizzlies took 80 two-point shots, 20 3’s.

                  Jazz
                  — Utah won seven of its last ten games SU.
                  — Jazz is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games.
                  — Under is 3-1 in Utah’s last four games.
                  — In Game 1, Conley was +11; they were minus-14 in 15:00 he sat out.
                  — Jazz took 47 3’s, only 34 two-point shots.

                  — Utah won last six series games (4-2 ATS)
                  — Grizzlies are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
                  — Over is 4-1 in last five series games.




                  NBA

                  Wednesday, May 26

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Trend Report

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Washington @ Philadelphia
                  Washington
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                  Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
                  Philadelphia
                  Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

                  Atlanta @ New York
                  Atlanta
                  Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
                  New York
                  New York is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

                  Memphis @ Utah
                  Memphis
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
                  Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
                  Utah
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
                  Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Wednesday, May 26


                    Comment


                    • Thursday’s 6-pack
                      Week 1 NFL spreads:

                      — Dallas @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
                      — Arizona @ Tennessee (-2.5)
                      — Seattle @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
                      — Minnesota (-3) @ Cincinnati
                      — Philadelphia @ Atlanta (-3.5)
                      — Jacksonville (-2.5) @ Houston

                      Quote of the Day
                      “I didn’t actually know the playbook, necessarily, really, really good, and that’s no one else’s fault but my fault. Our play calls were simple when I was in. I didn’t have alerts and checks. Where now, I feel comfortable and I can maneuver my way through these things.”
                      Dolphins’ QB Tua Tagovailoa

                      Thursday’s quiz
                      Which NBA team drafted Anthony Davis when he came out of college in 2012?

                      Wednesday’s quiz
                      The first night World Series game was in 1971, Orioles-Pirates

                      Tuesday’s quiz
                      Minnesota is known as “The Land of 10,000 Lakes”.

                      **************************************************

                      Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

                      — Thumbs up to DMV in Albany; was there Wednesday morning to get my Real ID, which I thought I needed in order to travel again. Turns out they pushed all that back to 2023, but I got the Real ID, crossing one thing off my to-do list for 2023.

                      — Travel tip; if you’re going to Las Vegas during football season, don’t stay on the Strip if the Raiders are home that weekend. Rooms at the Luxor/Excalibur are both over $400 for the Saturday night of the weekend I was looking at, and they ain’t the classiest joints in town.

                      Looking at weekends where the Raiders aren’t home, rates are pretty normal.

                      Rates at the SouthPoint were pretty good for the weekend the Raiders were home; that’s a few miles south of Allegiant Stadium. Good place.

                      — How pitchers have fared after throwing their no-hitters this season:
                      1) Joe Musgrove
                      — Went 0-4, 5.63 in his next five starts, then 2-0, 0.75 in his last two.

                      2) Carlos Rodon:
                      — Is 3-2, 2.08 in six starts since his no-hitter.

                      3) Madison Bumgarner:
                      — His no-hitter was 7 innings, but it was a no-hitter.
                      — is 2-2, 3.54 in five starts since; he’s been batting leg problems.

                      4) John Means:
                      — Is 0-0, 2.92 in two starts since the no-hitter; not sure where Orioles would be without him.

                      5) Wade Miley:
                      — Allowed nine runs in two starts (7.2 IP) since the no-hitter, is currently on the IL.

                      6) Spencer Turnbull:
                      — Allowed three runs in six IP, in his first start after the no-hitter.

                      7) Corey Kluber:
                      — Left his last start after 3 innings (shoulder), his first since the no-hitter.
                      — He had thrown 100+ pitches in three of his previous four starts.

                      — Braves’ OF Marcell Ozuna is out six weeks after dislocating two fingers while sliding headfirst into third base the other night. This is why some guys wear those oven mitts while running the bases, to protect their fingers.

                      — They showed a clip of Clayton Kershaw’s MLB debut in 2008 yesterday; he was pitching against Albert Pujols who, 13 years later, is now his teammate with the Dodgers.

                      — Amazon just bought MGM studios for $8B; they figure to use MGM’s massive collection of movies to help market Amazon Prime Video.

                      — NFL salary cap was $198.2M last year; it’ll be $182.5M this year, because of the pandemic.

                      — Is it weird that I watched a movie on TV the other night, then just got a recommendation on a similar movie on my phone? Do they track everything we do/watch?

                      — Lot of baseball in the Big Apple today; twinbills in the Bronx and at CitiField, after lot of rain in New York City cancelled Wednesday’s games.

                      Comment


                      • Comment


                        • 551MILWAUKEE -552 MIAMI
                          MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

                          553PHOENIX -554 LA LAKERS
                          LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

                          555DENVER -556 PORTLAND
                          PORTLAND is 44-26 ATS (15.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.




                          NBA
                          Dunkel

                          Thursday, May 27







                          NBA
                          Armadillo's Write-Up

                          Thursday, May 27


                          Game 3’s, best-of-7:
                          Milwaukee @ Miami
                          Bucks (lead 2-0)
                          — Milwaukee won first two series games, by 2-34 points.
                          — Bucks are 1-3-1 ATS in last five road games.
                          — You’re reading ***************.com
                          — Milwaukee led last game 78-51 at the half.
                          — Bucks were 22-53 on arc last game.
                          — Bucks were +38 on boards in first two games.

                          Heat
                          — Miami covered 13 of its last 18 games.
                          — Heat is 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
                          — Dragic had 43 points off bench in first two games.
                          — Butler was 4-22 from floor in Game 1, 4-10 in Game 2.
                          — Miami was 20-50 on arc in Game 1, 8-28 in Game 2.

                          — Milwaukee is 5-3 in last eight series games.
                          — Bucks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
                          — Four of last six series games stayed under.

                          Phoenix @ LA Lakers
                          Suns (series 1-1)
                          — Phoenix won four of its last five games.
                          — Suns are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
                          — You’re reading ***************.com
                          — Over is 22-7 in their last 29 games.
                          — Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
                          — Chris Paul played only 23:00 in Game 2 (check status)

                          Lakers
                          — Davis shot 5-16 from floor, was minus -18 in Game 1; in Game 2, he was 18-21 on foul line, scored 34 points with 7 assists, much more assertive.
                          — Lakers won seven of their last eight games SU
                          — Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
                          — Under is 8-5-1 in their 14 games.
                          — LA is just 17-59 on arc in two games.

                          — Lakers won seven of last 11 series games.
                          — Suns are 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
                          — Under is 7-4 in last 11 series games.

                          Denver @ Portland
                          Nuggets
                          — Nuggets were 4-8 on line in Game 1, 24-30 in Game 2.
                          — Denver won 22 of its last 30 games SU.
                          — Nuggets are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
                          — Jokic scored 34-38 points in first two games.
                          — Denver shot over 50% from floor both games.

                          Trailblazers (series 1-1)
                          — Portland won 11 of its last 14 games.
                          — You’re reading ***************.com
                          — Blazers are 2-4 ATS in last six home games.
                          — Denver had 61-73 points at halftime of the two games.

                          — Blazers made 35-73 3’s in two games, which is really good.
                          — Portland turned ball over 6 times in Game 1, 21 times in Game 2.

                          — Denver won six of last nine series games.
                          — Blazers are 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Portland.
                          — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.




                          NBA

                          Thursday, May 27

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Trend Report

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Milwaukee @ Miami
                          Milwaukee
                          Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
                          Miami
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
                          The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 15 games

                          Phoenix @ LA Lakers
                          Phoenix
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
                          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 12 games
                          LA Lakers
                          LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                          LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

                          Denver @ Portland
                          Denver
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
                          Portland
                          Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
                          Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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                          Comment


                          • Friday’s 6-pack
                            Nevada casinos’ net win in April:

                            — sports betting $27.2M
                            — craps $28.1M
                            — baccarat $29.4M
                            — roulette $32.4M
                            — blackjack $70.2M
                            — penny slots $340.8M

                            Quote of the Day
                            “We are bitterly disappointed that the great Oklahoma-Nebraska rivalry, on the 50th anniversary of the Game of the Century, will kick off at 11 a.m. [local time]. We tried every possible avenue to proactively make our case. The Big 12 Conference also supported our strenuous efforts to secure a more traditional time that would honor this game and our fans. However, in the end, our TV partner chose to exercise its full contractual rights and denied our requests.”
                            Oklahoma AD Joe Castiglione

                            Friday’s quiz
                            Which major league team once drafted Tom Brady as a catching prospect?

                            Thursday’s quiz
                            New Orleans Hornets drafted Anthony Davis when he came out of college in 2012; they became the Pelicans two years later.

                            Wednesday’s quiz
                            The first night World Series game was in 1971, Orioles-Pirates

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                            Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the long weekend here…….

                            13) Trade deadline is going to be fascinating in baseball this summer, as teams try to keep their rosters fresh with healthy bodies. Guys are dropping like flies; will big market contenders part with prospects to try and acquire players who will help them win now, seeing how everyone should be operating at 100% capacity attendance-wise, by the end of June?

                            12) Bucks 113, Heat 84:
                            — Milwaukee leads series 3-0, winning last two games by 34-29 points.
                            — Miami was 20-50 on arc in Game 1, lost in OT; they haven’t been the same since.
                            — Dragic started this game for the Heat but went only 3-14 from floor.

                            11) Nuggets 120, Blazers 115:
                            — Denver grabs a 2-1 series lead.
                            — Carmelo Anthony is minus-29 in 69:00 in this series.
                            — Jokic scored 36 points, had 11 rebounds, five assists.

                            10) Lakers 109, Suns 95:
                            — LA grabs a 2-1 series lead.
                            — Suns scored only 12 points in second quarter.
                            — Anthony Davis scored 34 points, grabbed 11 rebounds.

                            9) Orioles’ CF Cedric Mullins is 17-44 this season in the first inning, the most first inning hits of any major leaguer so far this season.

                            8) Cubs 5, Pirates 3— Chicago’s bullpen has thrown 34.2 consecutive scoreless innings, the best stretch in franchise history. Cubs now trail St Louis by only a half-game in NL Central.

                            7) Have to feel bad for Pirates’ P Tyler Anderson; he gave up two extra runs in this game after his 1B made the worst defensive play I’ve ever seen in a big league game.

                            Man on second, two out, Javy Baez hits a grounder to 3rd; throw pulls the 1B off the bag, but he is standing there with the ball, blocking Baez from getting to the bag.

                            Instead of giving up, Baez retreats towards home and the 1B chases him like an idiot, instead of just going and touching first base. When the 1B sees the running from second trying to score, he actually flips the ball to the catcher, and Diaz sprints to an uncovered first base.

                            The guy “scoring” from second wouldn’t have scored if he had just tagged Baez. Totally brain dead; if I was the Pirates’ GM, I’d have sent the 1B down to AAA or released him.

                            In Anderson’s last home start, a high pop up between the mound and home plate landed untouched with two out in an inning; next batter hit a two-run homer. The guy has no luck.

                            6) Cubs TV guy/former MLB pitcher Jim Deshaies was telling a story on the air Wednesday, about when he was teammates with John Elway in the NY-Penn League, with Oneonta.

                            Elway considered baseball his summer job; he knew his future was in football; Deshaies was saying that Elway, a lefty hitter, was a skilled bunter who would drag bunts for hits, and that he probably would’ve made the majors, had he stuck with baseball. Elway hit .318 with a .432 on-base %age, in his one season with Oneonta.

                            I’m thinking he made the right career choice.

                            5) Brewers 6, Padres 5 (10)— Jackie Bradley Jr had his first game-winning RBI in 3,448 career plate appearances, which was the most PA’s of any active player without a walk-off RBI. Jake Lamb (2,359) now has the most.

                            4) MLB suspended former Mets’ manager Mickey Callaway thru 2022 and the Angels fired him as pitching coach, following an investigation into sexual harassment allegations.

                            3) College football over/under win totals are out; not a lot of respect for UNLV’s squad, as they start their first season in front of fans as the new Allegiant Stadium. UNLV’s win total for this season is a paltry 1.5.

                            2) They released the college bowl schedule this week; things kick off on December 17, with the Bahamas Bowl and Belk Bowl.

                            1) December 29, there is a Fenway Bowl at 11am, followed by the Pinstripe Bowl at 2:15. I’m not sure college kids are going to be real excited about freezing their butts off in Boston/Bronx on a Wednesday afternoon in late December.

                            Hawai’i Bowl is Christmas Eve; I expect to be watching that in a casino in the desert. Nothing says you have no social life as much as watching a bowl game in a casino on Christmas Eve!!!!

                            Comment


                            • Comment


                              • 561NEW YORK -562 ATLANTA
                                ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

                                563BROOKLYN -564 BOSTON
                                BOSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

                                565LA CLIPPERS -566 DALLAS
                                LA CLIPPERS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.



                                NBA
                                Dunkel

                                Friday, May 28







                                NBA
                                Armadillo's Write-Up

                                Friday, May 28


                                Game 3’s, best-of-7:
                                New York @ Atlanta
                                Knicks
                                — New York won five of its last seven games.
                                — Knicks were down 13 at half in Game 2, rallied to tie series.
                                — Under is 7-2 in New York’s last nine games.
                                — Knicks are in playoffs for first time in eight years.
                                — In first two games, Randle was only 11-39 from floor.

                                Hawks (series 1-1)
                                — Hawks won eight of last ten games (6-4 ATS).
                                — Atlanta’s subs were minus-51 in Game 2.
                                — Under is 5-0 in their last five games.
                                — In Game 1, Bogdanovic was +17; he shot 2-13 on arc in Game 2.
                                — Hawks had only 6 turnovers in Game 1, had 13 last game.

                                — Knicks won five of last six series games.
                                — Three of last seven series games went to OT.
                                — Knicks are 3-0-1 ATS in last four trips to Atlanta.
                                — First two games in this series stayed under.

                                Brooklyn @ Boston
                                Nets (lead 2-0)
                                — Brooklyn won/covered its last seven games.
                                — Nets are 7-5 ATS in last dozen road games.
                                — Under is 7-4 in last 11 Brooklyn games.
                                — Nets trailed Game 1 at half, led Game 2 71-47 at half.

                                Celtics
                                — Boston lost seven of its last nine games.
                                — Tatum was only 9-32 from floor in first two games.
                                — Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
                                — Under is 5-1 in their last six games

                                — Nets won seven of last eight series games.
                                — Nets are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
                                — Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

                                LA Clippers @ Dallas
                                Clippers
                                — Clippers lost eight of their last 12 games.
                                — You’re reading ***************.com
                                — Clippers are 2-6 ATS in last eight road games.
                                — Over is 3-1 in last four Clipper games.
                                — Clipper starters were combined minus-134 in first two games.

                                Mavericks (lead 2-0)
                                — Mavericks won 11 of their last 14 games.
                                — Mavericks are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
                                — Over is 6-1 in last seven Dallas games.
                                — Doncic scored 31-39 in first two games.
                                — Dallas is 35-70 on the arc in this series.

                                — Dallas is 5-4 in last nine series games.
                                — Clippers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
                                — Five of last six series games stayed under the total.
                                — Game 2 was 73-71 at halftime; not lot of defense there.




                                NBA

                                Friday, May 28

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                                Trend Report

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                                New York @ Atlanta
                                New York
                                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
                                New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
                                Atlanta
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
                                Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                                Brooklyn @ Boston
                                Brooklyn
                                Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
                                Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
                                Boston
                                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games

                                LA Clippers @ Dallas
                                LA Clippers
                                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Dallas
                                LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                                Dallas
                                Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
                                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games


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