Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

561PHILADELPHIA -562 ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

563UTAH -564 LA CLIPPERS
UTAH is 16-4 ATS (11.6 Units) after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Monday, June 14






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, June 14

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
76ers (lead series 2-1)
— Embiid scored 106 points in three games, playing with torn meniscus.
— 76ers won 16 of their last 20 games (13-7 ATS).
— Over is 8-2 in Philly’s last ten games.
— Simmons was 7-20 on foul line in Games 1-3.
— Philly’s starters are +161 so far in this series; that’s very good.
— Philly is in this round for third time in four years; its been 20 years since they got beyond this round.

Hawks
— Hawks won 12 of last 16 games (10-6 ATS).
— Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
— Atlanta is in this round for first time in five years.
— Hawks covered four of their last five home games.
— In series so far, Atlanta subs are +3, starters minus-143.
— Hawks were 20-47 on the arc in Game 1, 17-53 in Games 2-3.

— 76ers won six of last nine series games.
— 76ers are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Atlanta.
— Over is 8-4 in last 12 series games.

Utah @ LA Clippers
Jazz (Utah leads 2-1)
— Bogdanovic was held to 9 points in Game 3.
— Utah won 13 of its last 17 games SU.
— Jazz is 5-3 ATS in its last eight road games.
— PG Conley didn’t play in first three games of series (check status)
— Over is 12-3 in last 15 Utah games.
— Jazz haven’t gotten past this round of playoffs since 2007.
— Clarkson scored 24 points in Game 2, was 5-16 in Game 3.

Clippers
— Clippers starters were minus-62, subs +7 in Games 1-2.
— Clippers starters were +71 in Game 3.
— Clipper subs were +59 in Game 3.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 13-8-1 in last 22 Clipper games.
— Leonard/George combined to score 65 points in Game 3.

— Home side won all three games in this series.
— Jazz won nine of last 13 series games.
— Utah is 3-3 ATS in last six road series games.
— Under is 5-3-1 in last nine series games.




NBA

Monday, June 14
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Trend Report

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Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah


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[Udog]

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, JUNE 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHI at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +3.0
O 225.5
+500 +500

UTA at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -5.0
O 223.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............27-26-1.......50.94%.....- 8.00


************************

BEST BETS:

06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:.....................23 - 21- 1..............- 0.50

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Worst records in the major leagues:
20-47— Arizona
22-43— Baltimore
23-42— Pittsburgh
26-40— Minnesota
26-41— Colorado
25-41— Texas

Quote of the Day
“I definitely see it as Jimmy’s (Garoppolo) the starter. But if Trey’s ready to compete, I have no problem with it. I don’t sit there and say, ‘Hey, we’re not playing a rookie quarterback. We have to rest him the first year.’ … I don’t really make any decisions like that until I actually have an opinion on it. And that’ll take to how I see him in camp. If he comes in and he’s playing at a high level and we think he gives us the best chance to win, we wouldn’t hesitate to do that.”
49ers coach Kyle Shanahan

Tuesday’s quiz
Jim Mora Sr coached the Saints/Colts in the NFL, but what team did he lead to two USFL championships?

Monday’s quiz
Marv Levy went 123-78 as coach of the Buffalo Bills, winning four AFC titles; he went 31-42 as coach of the Chiefs, from 1978-82.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie Dave, where Kevin Kline plays the US President, Ben Kingsley played the Vice-President.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) An infielder in Korean pro baseball scratched the cornea in his eye last week, when he rubbed sweat out of his eye, only did it too vigorously.

I meant to mention this last year, after my cataract surgery; the surgeon had mentioned to me to be careful when washing around the eyes— you can do damage to a delicate area.

12) If I was a big league ballplayer and they told me they traded me, the first thing I’d want to know, other than where I was going, is who did you get for me?

11) Giants 5, Diamondbacks 2— Arizona has now lost 20 in a row on the road.

10) A’s 8, Angels 5:
— Mitch Moreland got his 1,000th career hit in this game.
— Mark Canha is 9th Oakland player ever to play LF-CF-RF, all in the same game.

9) Hawks 103, 76ers 100:
— Atlanta wins after trailing by 18 at one point; series is 2-2.
— Joel Embiid went 4-20 from floor, 0-12 in 2nd half. He is playing with torn meniscus in his knee.

8) Clippers 118, Utah 104:
— LA led 30-13 after first quarter, never looked back.
— Home side won all four series games.
— Utah’s subs shot a combined 4-20 from the floor.

7) Do young actors get starstruck when they do scenes with really famous actors?

I’m thinking of one of the last scenes in Last Vegas; the young concierge is saying goodbye to the four older dudes he helped out during the movie, but not just any older dudes:

Robert DeNiro, Morgan Freeman, Michael Douglas, Kevin Kline.

Has to be the young guy’s career highlight, right?

6) Red Sox 2, Blue Jays 1— Toronto won 18-4 Sunday, then trailed 1-0 here with two outs in 9th, when Vladimir Guerrero tied the game with a dramatic homer. Rafael Devers walked it off in bottom of the 9th by hitting a ball off the Green Monster.

Coming into this game, Red Sox starting pitchers had allowed 40 runs in their previous 39 IP, so this had to be a relief for them.

5) Baseball injuries:
— Cleveland P Shane Bieber (shoulder)
— Royals OF Andrew Benitendi (ribs)
— Rays P Tyler Glasnow (elbow)

4) A’s manager Bob Melvin got his 1,300th career win over the weekend, making him the 35th big league skipper to hit that milestone.

3) There is going to be a new NHL team in Seattle next fall; the expansion draft is next month, which should be interesting.

— How hard will the new team try to win quickly?
— Which players will be left unprotected?
— When is Seattle getting a new NBA team?

2) There is apparently a chicken wing shortage in Buffalo, which has raised prices.

“This time last year, an order of 20 from us came to $25 even [after tax]; right now it’s $31.53” s restaurant manager told the New York Post.

— Back in 2018, an oversupply in chicken wing production forced the process to slow.
— During the pandemic last year, a shortage of workers and bursting demand for takeout worsened the crunch.
— The big winter storm in Texas in February made supply-chain matters worse when farmers had to euthanize hundreds of thousands of chicks and destroy hundreds of thousands of eggs.

So far, no one is suggesting that fowl play is involved.

1) RIP to the great actor Ned Beatty, who passed away over the weekend, at age 83. One of our best character actors, Beatty has 228 movie credits, including Network, Superman, Deliverance and He Got Game. He was even a judge in Law & Order once. RIP, sir.

[Udog]

[Udog]

571MILWAUKEE -572 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 15

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
Bucks
— In Games 3-4, Giannis/Middleton were 47-97; rest of Bucks were 26-81.
— Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 8-4 in last 12 Milwaukee games.
— Milwaukee’s bench shot a combined 25-72 in Games 1-4.
— Connaughton was +23 in 22:00 off bench in Game 4; rest of Bucks’ subs were a combined minus-23.

Nets (series 2-2)
— Harden/Irving are both out for this game.
— Brooklyn scored 125-115 points in its series wins, 83-96 in losses.
— Under is 5-0 in last five Brooklyn games.
— Durant was 9-25 from floor in Game 4.
— Brooklyn covered its last eight home games.
— Games 3-4 is first time all year Nets scored less than 100 in consecutive games.

— Home side won all four series games (3-0-1 ATS)
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Milwaukee is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Brooklyn.
— Under is 6-0 in last six series games.




NBA

Tuesday, June 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

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Milwaukee @ Brooklyn
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, June 15

[Udog]

[Udog]

MILWAUKEE (52 - 28) at BROOKLYN (54 - 27) - 6/15/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-44 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 236-286 ATS (-78.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-39 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 45-36 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 44-33 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BROOKLYN is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
BROOKLYN is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 41-30 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 84-57 ATS (+21.3 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, JUNE 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIL at BK 08:30 PM
BK +4.0
O 218.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/15/2021.......2-0-0..100.00%.....+10.00
06/14/2021.......2-2-0...50.00%........-1.00
06/13/2021.......4-0-0..100.00%......+20.00
06/12/2021.......1-1-0....50.00%........-0.50
06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............29-26-1.......52.72%.....+ 2.00


************************

BEST BETS:

06/15/2021...............2 - 0 - 0.............+ 10.00
06/14/2021...............2 - 2 - 0..............- 1.00
06/13/2021...............4 - 0 - 0...........,+ 20.00
06/12//2021..............1 - 1 - 0..............- 0.50
06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:.....................25 - 21- 1..............-+ 9.50

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win US Open golf tournament:
19-2— Jon Rahm
15-1— Dustin Johnson
16-1— Bryson Dechambeau
18-1— Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele
19-1— Collin Morikawa
21-1— Jordan Spieth

Quote of the Day
“I’d probably quit football if I had to play for somebody else. I am a Raider for my entire life. I’m going to root for one team for the rest of my life — it’s the Raiders. So, I just feel that so strong in my heart I don’t need a perfect situation … to make things right. I’d rather go down with the ship, you know what I’m saying, if I have to.”
Raiders’ QB Derek Carr

Wednesday’s quiz
What team did Orel Hershiser finish his 18-year major league career with?

Tuesday’s quiz
Jim Mora Sr coached the Saints/Colts in the NFL; he led the Philadelphia/Baltimore Stars to two USFL championships.

Monday’s quiz
Marv Levy went 123-78 as coach of the Buffalo Bills, winning four AFC titles; he went 31-42 as coach of the Chiefs, from 1978-82.

*****************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings and Big 14 football knowledge

Nets 114, Bucks 108:
— Milwaukee was up 16 points at the half.
— Durant scored 49 points, had 17 rebounds, 10 assists.
— James Harden wasn’t expected to play, but played 46:00.
— Brooklyn leads series 3-2.

— Bad news for the Tampa Bay Rays; ace P Tyler Glasnow has a partial tear in his right UCL; team isn’t sure if surgery will be needed.

— Oakland A’s announced that manager Bob Melvin will back next year, which will be his 12th year managing in Oakland. He’s a very, very good manager.

— Royals’ OF Jorge Soler has already reached base on catcher’s interference six times this year; the record is 12, set by Jacoby Ellsbury five years ago.

— CFL announced that their 14-game season will start August 5; the Grey Cup game will be played December 12, in Hamilton.

Mets 3, Cubs 2
— Mets threw tying run out at plate in 9th inning, on great relay from CF.
— Cubs’ 3B Kris Bryant left game after he was hit on hand by a pitch.

Giants 9, Diamondbacks 8:
— Arizona led this game 7-0 in 2nd inning, 8-3 after five.
— Mike Yastzremski hit a grand slam in the 8th inning.
— Arizona has lost 12 in row overall, 21 in row on the road.

Notes on Big 14 football teams:
Illinois
— Former Wisconsin/Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is new HC.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
— Illinois’ last winning season was in 2011.

Indiana
— Went 6-2 LY, gave the coach a raise to $4.9M a year.
— Last two years, Hoosiers are 15-5 against the spread.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

Iowa
— Lost first two games 24-20/21-20 LY, then won last six games.
— Hawkeyes will have 3 new starters on OL this fall.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Maryland
— Locksley is 8-43 as a head coach, 6-17 at Maryland.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Former Florida HC Ron Zook will coach special teams.

Michigan
— Gave up 34.5 ppg LY, fired the DC.
— Wolverines will have another new starting QB this year.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.

Michigan State
— Spartans brought in 20 transfers this season.
— QB Anthony Russo started 26 games at Temple.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Minnesota
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Gave up 207.1 rushing yards/game LY (#102)
— Gophers poached kicker from Kent State to help their special teams.

Nebraska
— Went 3-5 LY, with a minus-11 turnover ratio.

— Cornhuskers have five 6th-year seniors on their defense.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

Northwestern
— Played in Big 14 title game LY, beat Auburn in their bowl.
— only 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense this year.
— Lost their QB and top four WR’s from last season.

Ohio State
— Ryan Day is 23-2 SU coaching the Buckeyes.
— OSU has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
— Buckeyes don’t have a QB who has a thrown a college pass.

Penn State
— Started 0-5 LY, won last four games; were minus-7 in turnovers.
— Gave up 27.7 ppg LY, most in school history.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.

Purdue
— Went 6-12 SU the last two seasons.
— ranked 124th in country in rushing LY (81.5 ypg)
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

Rutgers
— Hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2014.
— K-State transfer Youngblood ran three kicks back for TD’s in 2019.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.

Wisconsin
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Ranked 103rd in country in yards/game LY.
— Last time Badgers didn’t go bowling; 2001.

[Udog]

[Udog]

581ATLANTA -582 PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 13-35 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

583LA CLIPPERS -584 UTAH
UTAH is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, June 16

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Hawks
— Hawks won 13 of last 17 games (11-6 ATS).
— Under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games.
— Atlanta is in this round for first time in five years.
— Hawks are 3-2 ATS in road playoff games.
— In series so far, Atlanta subs are +8, starters minus-133.
— Hawks were 20-47 on the arc in Game 1, 29-93 in Games 2-4.
— Trae Young had 25 points, 18 assists last game.

76ers (series 2-2)
— Embidd was 4-20 in Game 4, 0-12 in second half. He’s playing hurt.
— Embiid scored 106 points in first three games, playing with torn meniscus.
— 76ers won 16 of their last 21 games (13-8 ATS).
— Over is 8-3 in Philly’s last 11 games.
— Simmons was 8-25 on foul line in Games 1-4.
— Philly’s starters are +144 so far in this series.
— Philly is in this round for third time in four years; its been 20 years since they got beyond this round.

— 76ers won six of last ten series games.
— Hawks are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Philly.
— Over is 8-5 in last 13 series games.

LA Clippers @ Utah
Clippers
— Clippers led last game 68-44 at the half.
— Clippers starters were minus-62, subs +7 in Games 1-2.
— Clippers starters were +120 in Games 3-4.
— Clipper subs were +80 in Games 3-4.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 3-1-1 ATS in road playoff games.
— Under is 14-8-1 in last 23 Clipper games.

Jazz (series 2-2)
— Home side won all four games in this series.
— Utah won 13 of its last 18 games SU.
— Jazz is 3-1-1 ATS in home playoff games.
— PG Conley didn’t play in first four games of series (check status)
— Over is 12-4 in last 16 Utah games.
— Jazz haven’t gotten past this round of playoffs since 2007.
— Clarkson scored 24 points in Game 2, was 8-28 in Games 3-4.

— Home side won all four games in this series.
— Jazz won nine of last 14 series games.
— Clippers are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Utah.
— Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.