Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, JUNE 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DEN at PHO 09:30 PM
PHO -5.5
U 222.5
+500 +500


*****************


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............15-18-1.......45.00%.....- 24.00


************************

BEST BETS:

06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:.....................11 - 13- 1.............. -16.50

[Udog]

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............17-18-1.......48.57%.....- 14.00


************************

BEST BETS:

06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:.....................13 - 13- 1................ -6.50

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in RBI:
48— Devers, Meadows, Guerrero
46— Abreu, Aguilar
45— Trey Mancini
44— Adolis Garcia, Grichuk, Ohtani
43— Yuli Gurriel
41— Olson, Crawford, Escobar

Quote of the Day
“The biggest concern is MLB manipulates the baseballs year in and year out depending on the free agency class. Oh, no, that’s a fact. Yes, guys have talked about it. It’s not a coincidence. It definitely is something that they did.”
Pete Alonso of the Mets

Thursday’s quiz
Before becoming the Wizards in 1997, what was Washington’s NBA team’s nickname?

Wednesday’s quiz
Besides coaching the Giants, Jim Fassel coached the Utah Utes in college

Tuesday’s quiz
When Kareem Abdul-Jabbar entered the NBA (as Lew Alcindor), he played for the Milwaukee Bucks; they won the NBA title in Kareem’s 2nd season, the Bucks’ third year in existence

*************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— I’m sitting here like a damn fool at 3:45am watching the replay of a 1985 Bears-Packers game from Lambeau Field. Tim Ryan is the play-by-play guy, I’m assuming Johnny Morris is the analyst- he did most of the Bears’ games back then.

’85 Bears might’ve had the greatest defense ever; they didn’t allow any points in their first two playoff games, then won the Super Bowl 46-10. Great team.

They played the Rams in the NFC title game that year; I had just turned 26, so supposedly I was an adult, but that day? Not so much.

Bears led 10-0 near the end of the first half, but Rams are driving; I was very excited about the Rams’ chances, this was their third straight year in the playoffs. Was a big fan of Dieter Brock, their QB, an import from the CFL.

I’m still a little superstitious about what clothes I wear when the Rams play, but back then, I took it to extremes; that year, it was a blue Rams polo shirt and white shorts. Every week.

My house has a big kitchen in the back; my dad and I are back there, and two of my college friends are there. Rams hand the ball to Eric Dickerson just before halftime, he runs the ball inside the 5-yard line, but for whatever reason, they call timeout and don’t score.

Not good.

I know I’m about to flip out, because the game was effectively over, so I just storm out the back door and go sit on the hood of my car for the entire halftime. As I’m leaving the house, I hear my dad yelling/laughing “Don’t be an idiot!!!”

It was January, it was Albany, and it was bleeping cold out. I’m sitting on the hood of my car in a golf shirt and shorts- no bueno, but it took me several minutes to realize how cold it was, that’s how mad I was. I’m waving at cars driving by; finally I go back inside and watch the inevitable loss. My friends got a good laugh out of it. I wasn’t laughing.

When I say it was cold out, I’m talking ten below zero cold. Not my finest moment.

In this Bears-Packers game, Forrest Gregg was Green Bay’s coach, Jim Zorn their QB- it was the first of only five starts for Zorn with the Packers.

Bob McElwee was the ref in this game; 14 years later, he was the ref in the Super Bowl when the Rams beat Tennessee, the greatest game ever played. No sitting on my car that night.

To further show my maturity level back then, when the Bears played New England in the Super Bowl two weeks later, I went to a house party with friends, but I refused to watch the game. Played ping pong the whole game; I like ping pong. Not sure I like it that much, but it was a fun night.

— 29-year old Patrick Wisdom is hitting .364 in his first 16 games for the Cubs this season, with eight home runs. He is smoking hot right now; with David Bote/Matt Duffy on the IL, will be interesting to see how much Wisdom has to hit to keep his starting job.

— NBA Summer League is going to be August 8-17 in Las Vegas; that’s a really fun event to watch, 5-6 games every day, in air conditioning with an excellent concession stand. If you’re a big NBA fan, this should be on your to-do list of things to see.

— Enough already with Aaron Rodgers; the constant drama around him is numbing.

a) If he gets traded, report it
b) If he reports to training camp, report it
c) If he retires, report it

Otherwise, STFU!!!!

— Astros 8, Red Sox 3— First time this year Boston starting pitchers allowed 5+ runs in consecutive games.

— A’s 4, Diamondbacks 0— Arizona has lost its last 19 road games.

— Mets 14, Orioles 1— Baltimore is 5-2 this month; they were 5-23 in May.

— Texas Rangers DFA’d DH Chris Davis, who was hitting .157 with two homers, while getting paid $16.75M this season.

— Indiana Pacers fired coach Nate Bjorkgren, who went 34-38 in his only season on the Pacers’ bench. Indiana had made the playoffs nine of the previous ten years.

— Back in the mid-80’s, some people ran a business near Harvard University where they delivered condoms to college students.

Their motto: “We come before you do.”

[Udog]

BROOKLYN (54 - 25) at MILWAUKEE (50 - 28) - 6/10/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BROOKLYN is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
BROOKLYN is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
BROOKLYN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-43 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 235-285 ATS (-78.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LA CLIPPERS (51 - 29) at UTAH (57 - 21) - 6/10/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games this season.
UTAH is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 88-74 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

[Udog]

523LA CLIPPERS -524 UTAH
UTAH is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games after 5 or more consecutive wins in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, June 10






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, June 10

Brooklyn @ Milwaukee
Nets (lead series, 2-0)
— Harden is injured, won’t play in this game- he played 1:00 in Game 1.
— Brooklyn won/covered 11 of its last 12 games.
— Nets scored 125.5 ppg in last six games.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Brooklyn games.
— Nets were 36-82 on arc, 14-16 on foul line in Games 1-2.
— Brooklyn won Game 2 by 39.

Bucks
— Does Milwaukee want to compete? Big question here.
— Bucks are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 6-4 in last ten Milwaukee games.
— Bucks are 4-8-1 ATS in game following their last 13 losses.
— Milwaukee’s bench shot a combined 17-46 in Games 1-2.
— Whatever their best effort is, Bucks figure to give it here.

— Nets won four of last six series games.
— Brooklyn is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 4-0 in last four series games.

LA Clippers @ Utah
Clippers
— Clippers starters were minus-31, subs +16 in Game 1.
— Third game in five nights for the Clippers.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 13-6-1 in last 20 Clipper games.
— Paul George was 4-17 from floor in Game 1.

Jazz (Utah leads 1-0)
— Mitchell scored 45 points in Game 1.
— Utah won 12 of its last 15 games SU.
— Jazz is 5-8-1 ATS in its last 14 home games.
— PG Conley had an injury at end of Memphis series (check status)
— Over is 10-3 in last 13 Utah games.
— Jazz haven’t gotten past this round of playoffs since 2007.

— Jazz won eight of last 11 series games.
— Clippers are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games.




NBA

Thursday, June 10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

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Brooklyn @ Milwaukee
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Brooklyn is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

LA Clippers @ Utah
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

THURSDAY, JUNE 10
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BK at MIL 07:30 PM
BK +3.5
O 234.0
+500 +500

LAC at UTA 10:00 PM
UTA -3.0
O 223.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............20-19-1.......51.28%.....- 4.50


************************

BEST BETS:

06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:.....................16 - 14- 1................ +3.00

[Udog]

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

— Started my college football research this week; last couple of football seasons have been weird for me, with the pandemic last year making it unusual for everyone, after my retina detached in October 2019, which screwed up the rest of that season for me.

I’ll be posting some notes on college football from now until Labor Day; we start today with some stuff from the SEC. I’m told they really like college football in the south.

— LSU went 5-5 LY, despite a +9 turnover ratio. They overhauled their coaching staff over the winter. Problem is, Joe Burrow lives in Cincinnati now. Ed Orgeron is a way better recruiter than he is a tactician; his new coordinators will need to be sharp guys.

— Kentucky had a +10 turnover ratio; they went 4-6 in the regular season, but somehow made it to a bowl game, where they beat NC State 23-21.

— Alabama also had a +10 turnover ratio; they won the national championship. Crimson Tide has only three starters back on offense this year.

Four new head coaches in the SEC this year:
Auburn, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt

— Bad news for Ole Miss: they only have four starters back on defense.
— Good news for Ole Miss: their defense sucked LY; it’ll be better with new starters.

As the better college football magazines come out later this month, I’ll post better info, but we’re starting slow, which is fine, since we have a lot of time until the season starts.

One quick Pac-12 note; Stanford started last year 0-2, then won its last four games, by a total of 10 points:
— won 24-23 @ California
— won 31-26 @ Washington
— won 27-24 @ Oregon State
— won 48-47 @ UCLA, in OT

They lost their only home game LY, 35-32 to Colorado.

— Willie Adames was hitting .197 when Tampa Bay traded him to Milwaukee; in his first 18 games for the Brewers, he’s hitting .308, and has been an offensive spark.

— In 2015, Matt Harvey was 13-8, 2.71 in 29 starts for the Mets, when they lost the World Series to Kansas City. He was a big deal in New York City, the Dark Knight. Long time ago.

Since then, Harvey is 29-50 in the major leagues; his ERA the last three years: 7.09, 11.57, 7.41 In his last seven starts this year, he’s allowed 36 runs in 23.2 innings pitched. Why is he still in the major leagues?

— Minnesota 7, New York 5— Josh Donaldson tied it with a 9th inning homer, Hector Cruz walked it off two batters later with another one. Aroldis Chapman faced four hitters; they all scored.

— Arizona Diamondbacks fired their hitting coaches; you lose 19 road games in a row, and heads are going to roll. Doubtful that Arizona’s pitching is the hitting coaches’ fault, but you never know.

— ESPN’s Tim Kurkjian, on base running in the big leagues these days: “……..bad baserunning, the worst I can remember in the 41 years that I have covered the game.”

Kurkjian isn’t an overly critical guy; those words carry some weight.

Dusty Baker agrees: “Baserunning is terrible today. The two things we need the most work on is outfielders throwing and baserunning. Baserunning is just horrible.”

— White Sox 2B Nick Madrigal tore his right hamstring, could be out for the year.

— Bucks 86, Nets 83— NBA offices had to be relieved with this score; they need some series to be interesting, especially one with a New York City team in it. Nets still lead series 2-1.

— Jazz 117, Clippers 111– Donovan Mitchell has scored 82 points in first two games of this series, which Utah won despite PG Mike Conley being out with an injury.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL— Mets, Mil or Cubs, Giants. Wild Card: Padres @ Dodgers
AL— Rays, White Sox, A’s Wild Card: Astros @ Red Sox

[Udog]

[Udog]

531PHILADELPHIA -532 ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

533PHOENIX -534 DENVER
PHOENIX is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Friday, June 11






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, June 11

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
76ers
— Embiid scored 79 points in two games, playing with torn meniscus.
— 76ers won 15 of their last 19 games (12-7 ATS).
— Over is 7-2 in Philly’s last nine games.
— Simmons was 3-12 on foul line in Games 1-2.
— Philly’s starters are +107 so far in this series.
— Philly is in this round for third time in four years; its been 20 years since they got beyond this round.

Hawks (series 1-1)
— Hawks won 12 of last 15 games (10-5 ATS).
— Under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.
— Atlanta is in this round for first time in five years.
— Hawks covered their last four home games.
— In series so far, Atlanta subs were +50, starters minus-110.
— Hawks were 20-47 on the arc in Game 1, 11-30 in Game 2.

— 76ers won five of last eight series games.
— 76ers are 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
— Over is 7-4 in last 11 series games.

Phoenix @ Denver
Suns (lead series 2-0)
— Phoenix won nine of its last 11 games overall.
— Suns are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix allowed 105 or fewer points in all their playoff wins.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Phoenix scored 71 points in second half of Game 2.

Nuggets
— Nuggets are 4-4 SU in the playoffs so far.
— Denver won 25 of its last 36 games SU.
— Nuggets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Denver scored 120+ points in its playoff wins, 109 or fewer in losses.
— Nuggets were outscored 32-17 on foul line in first two games.

— Denver had won 7 of last 8 games vs Phoenix, before this series.
— Suns are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.




NBA

Friday, June 11
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

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Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Phoenix @ Denver
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, JUNE 11
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHI at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +1.0
U 224.5
+500 +500

PHO at DEN 10:00 PM
DEN -1.5
O 223.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

06/11/2021.......0-4-0......0.00%.......-22.00
06/10/2021.......3-1-0.....75.00%.......+9.50
06/09/2021.......2-0-0....100.00%.....+10.00
06/08/2021.......0-3-1......12.50%......-16.50
06/07/2021 ......2-2-0 .....50.00%....... -1.00
06/06/2021 ......2-2-0..... 50.00% ......-.1.00
06/05/2021 ......1-1-0..... 50.00%...... -.0.50
06/04/2021...... 0-2-0....... 0.00% .....-11.00
06/03/2021 ......2-2-0 ......50.00% .....-.1.00
06/02/2021...... 4-4-0 ......50.00% .....-.2.00
06/01/2021 ......4-2-0 ......66.67% ....+.9.00

Totals.............20-23-1.......46.51%.....- 26.50


************************

BEST BETS:

06/11/2021...............0 - 4 - 0..............-22.00
06/10/2021...............3 - 1 - 0...............+9.50
06/09/2021...............2 - 0 - 0..............+10.00
06/08/2021...............0 - 3 - 1...............-16.50
06/07/2021...............2 - 2 - 0............... - 1.00
06/06/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/05/2021...............1 - 1 - 0................- 0.50
06/04/2021...............0 - 2 - 0................-11.00
06/02/2021...............2 - 2 - 0................- 1.00
06/01/2021...............4 - 1 - 0...............+14.50

Totals:.....................16 - 18- 1..............- 19.00