Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

559INDIANA -560 WASHINGTON
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

561MINNESOTA -562 BROOKLYN
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

567MEMPHIS -568 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

569DALLAS -570 OKLAHOMA CITY
DALLAS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) vs. losing teams in the current season.

571TORONTO -572 DETROIT
TORONTO is 49-28 ATS (18.2 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

571TORONTO -572 DETROIT
Nick Nurse is 49-28 ATS (18.2 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season (Coach of TORONTO)

573SACRAMENTO -574 SAN ANTONIO
SACRAMENTO is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

575CLEVELAND -576 UTAH
UTAH is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

577CHICAGO -578 GOLDEN STATE
CHICAGO is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game in the current season.

579MILWAUKEE -580 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 37-20 ATS (15 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent in the last 3 seasons.


----------------------------------


NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 29







---------------------------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 29

Indiana @ Washington
Pacers (21-23)
— Indiana won four of its last five games.
— Pacers are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 12-4-1 in Indiana’s last 17 games.

Wizards (16-28)
— Wizards lost nine of last 12 games (5-7 ATS)
— Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last dozen home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games

— Indiana won five of last six series games.
— Pacers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Washington.
— Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games.

New Orleans @ Boston
Pelicans (20-25)
— New Orleans is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Pelicans are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Celtics (23-23)
— Boston is 4-6 SU since the All-Star break.
— Celtics are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Pelicans new 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Minnesota @ Brooklyn
Timberwolves (11-35)
— Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
— Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
— Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games.

Nets (31-15)
— Brooklyn won 17 of their last 20 games (14-6 ATS).
— Nets are 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Brooklyn games.

— Minnesota won/covered last five series games.
— Wolves are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
— Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Miami @ New York
Heat (22-24)
— Miami lost its last six games (0-6 ATS)
— Heat is 0-3 ATS in last three road games.
— Under is 6-1 in their last seven road games.

Knicks (24-22)
— New York won four of its last five games.
— Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 5-1 in New York’s last six games.

— Miami won eight of last ten series games.
— Heat is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Three of last four series games went over.

Toronto @ Detroit
Raptors (18-28)
— Toronto lost 13 of its last 15 games.
— Raptors are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
— 10 of last 14 Toronto games went over the total.

Pistons (12-33)
— Detroit lost 13 of its last 17 games
— Pistons are 9-5 ATS in last 14 games overall.
— Under is 14-7 in Detroit’s last 21 games.

— Pistons won five of last eight series games.
— Toronto is 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Detroit.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Memphis @ Houston
Grizzlies (21-22)
— Memphis is 4-6 SU in its last ten games.
— Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in last five games overall.
— Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

Rockets (13-32)
— Houston lost 22 of its last 24 games (4-20 ATS).
— Rockets are 2-16 ATS in last 18 home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Teams split last eight series games.
— Memphis is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Mavericks (23-21)
— Mavericks are 5-5 since All-Star break.
— Mavericks are 5-7 ATS in last dozen road games.
— Under is 12-4 in last 16 Dallas games.

Thunder (19-26)
— Thunder are 3-5 SU in their last eight games.
— OKC is 4-6 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

— Dallas won five of last eight series games.
— Mavericks are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to Oklahoma.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Sacramento @ San Antonio
Kings (21-25)
— Sacramento won six of its last seven games.
— Kings are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games.
— Under is 7-3 in Sacramento’s last ten games.

Spurs (23-20)
— San Antonio lost four of its last five games.
— Spurs are 1-3 ATS in last four home games.
— Over is 4-2 in Spurs’ last six games.

— Sacramento won four of last six series games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Cleveland @ Utah
Cavaliers (17-29)
— Cleveland is 3-7 SU since the All-Star break.
— Cavaliers are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games.
— Last three Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Jazz (34-11)
— Utah won its last five games overall.
— Jazz is 15-2-1 ATS in its last 18 home games.
— Over is 6-4 in Utah’s last ten home games.

— Jazz won last five series games (4-0-1 ATS)
— Cavaliers are 0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Utah.
— Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games.

Chicago @ Golden State
Bulls (19-25)
— Chicago lost five of its last six games SU.
— Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Warriors (22-24)
— Golden State lost its last four games SU.
— Warriors are 0-3 ATS in last three home games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games overall.

— Golden State won last seven series games.
— Bulls are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to the Bay Area.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers
Bucks (29-16)
— Milwaukee lost its last two games, after a 13-1 run.
— Bucks are 1-6 ATS in last seven road games.
— Over is 7-2 in Milwaukee’s last nine games.

Clippers (31-16)
— Clippers won/covered their last five games.
— Clippers are 8-2 ATS in last ten home games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Milwaukee won last four series games.
— Bucks covered once in last five series games played here.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.


-------------------------------------


NBA

Monday, March 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indiana @ Washington
Indiana
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

New Orleans @ Boston
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Brooklyn
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Brooklyn is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games

Miami @ New York
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

Toronto @ Detroit
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 17 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home

Dallas @ Oklahoma City
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Dallas

Sacramento @ San Antonio
Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio
San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Sacramento
San Antonio is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Sacramento

Cleveland @ Utah
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Chicago @ Golden State
Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


---------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Monday March 29
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Boston (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 13-0-1 ATS (8.89 ppg) at home off a road win in which they trailed after the third quarter.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacrmento at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 0-11 ATS (-11.18 ppg) at home with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacrmento at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 19-0 OU (13.95 ppg) as a dog with rest off a home game that had at least eight lead changes.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Dallas at Oklahoma City (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mavericks are 0-16 OU (-19.94 ppg) as a road favorite when the line is at least eight points lower than their last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

IND at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS +5.0
O 233.5

MIN at BK 07:30 PM
MIN +11.0
O 239.0

MIA at NY 07:30 PM
NY +4.0
O 204.5

NO at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -2.5
O 229.5

DAL at OKC 08:00 PM
DAL -11.0
U 221.0

MEM at HOU 08:00 PM
MEM -8.0
O 225.5

TOR at DET 08:00 PM
DET +3.0
O 214.0

SAC at SA 08:30 PM
SAC +2.5
O 229.5

CLE at UTA 09:00 PM
CLE +16.0
O 219.5

MIL at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -2.5
O 231.5

CHI at GS 10:00 PM
GS +1.0
O 226.5



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/28/2021..........4 - 4....50.00%......- 2.00
03/27/2021..........4 - 10...28.57%......-35.00
03/26/2021..........6 - 9.....40.00%......-14.50
03/25/2021..........3 - 5.....37.50.........-12.50
03/24/2021..........9-7-0....56.25%.....+.6.50
03/23/2021..........3-9-0....25.00%......-34.50
03/22/2021..........7-4-0....63.63%......+13.00
03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS............129 -136 -4.....48.67%......- 98.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Since 2000, biggest upsets in March Madness:
+14— Bucknell over Kansas, 2005
+15— Oral Roberts over Ohio State, 2021
+16.5— Middle Tennessee State over Michigan State, 2016
+17.5— Hampton over Iowa State, 2001
+20.5— UMBC over Virginia, 2018
+21— Norfolk State over Missouri, 2012

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 549,664
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“I would for sure, 100 percent, do that deal again. Again, you guys don’t have the advantages of knowing everything I know, but literally no part of me regrets doing that deal. I have not second-guessed it for a moment.”
Houston Rockets’ GM Rafael Stone, on trading James Harden.
Last four years, Houston was 217-101; under this genius’s leadership this year, they’re 13-32.

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time Kelvin Sampson made it to the Final Four, who was he coaching?

Monday’s quiz
Washington’s Bradley Beal is leading the NBA in scoring this season, at 31.3 ppg.

Sunday’s quiz
Seattle Mariners have gone the longest without making the playoffs- last time they made the postseason was 2001.

-------------------------------

Tuesday’s Den: American League trends and notes…….

Baltimore
— Last made playoffs in 2016.
— combined record, last 3 years: 126-258
— went 11-9 vs NL East LY, 14-26 vs their division rivals.
— 7-12 in one-run games LY,

Boston
— Made playoffs 10 of last 18 years.
— 11-20 at home, 13-16 on road LY.
— 7-17 vs lefty starting pitchers LY, 17-19 vs righties.
— Why did they trade Mookie Betts?

Chicago White Sox
— Made playoffs LY for first time since 2008; their last winning season was 2012.
— went 2-8 in last 10 games, then lost in playoffs, then fired the manager.
— 76-year old Tony LaRussa is the old/new skipper; he last managed in 2011.
— 14-0 vs lefty starters, 21-25 vs righties LY. 14-0!!!!
— New closer Hendriks had 39 saves last two years; in the 8 years before that, he had one.

Cleveland
— Last losing season was in 2012.
— Made playoffs four of last five years.
— Letting SS Lindor bolt to the Mets will obviously hurt them.
— Won 8 of last 10 games LY, then lost 12-3/10-9 in playoffs.

Detroit
— Went combined 198-345 the last four years.
— Last made the playoffs in 2014.
— 11-7 vs NL Central LY, went 12-28 vs division rivals.
— 7-4 vs lefties, 16-31 vs righties LY.

Houston
— 29-31 LY, still made playoffs for 5th time in six years.
— went 2-7 in extra innings last year.
— 12-10 vs lefties, 17-21 vs righties LY.
— Will miss departed Springer, injured Verlander.

Kansas City
— won World Series six short years ago.
— last three years, they’re a combined 143-241
— 15-15 at home, 11-19 on road LY.
— Adding 1B Carlos Santana should upgrade the offense.

LA Angels
— haven’t made made playoffs since 2014.
— last time they won a playoff game? 2009.
— 16-15 at home, 10-19 on road last year.
— went 7-13 vs NL West, 19-21 vs their division rivals.

Minnesota
— Lost an amazing 18 playoff games in a row.
— made playoffs three of last four years.
— Were 24-7 at home, 12-17 on road last year.
— Last two years, went a combined 137-85.

A’s
— made playoffs last three years, and six of last nine.
— were 22-10 at home, 14-14 on road LY.
— went 6-0 in extra-inning games last year.
— 11-3 vs lefty starters, 25-21 vs right starters.

Bronx
— made playoffs 22 of last 26 years.
— 11-18 on road, 22-9 at home LY.
— 26-19 vs righty starters, 7-8 vs lefties LY.
— need Judge/Stanton to both stay healthy for once.

Seattle
— Last made playoffs in 2001, longest active drought in MLB
— have been over .500 three times in last seven years.
— 20-20 vs division rivals, 7-13 vs NL West LY.
— 14-10 at home, 13-23 on road last year.
— Have already committed to using 6-man rotation at start of this year.

Tampa Bay
— made playoffs last two years, lost World Series 4-2 LY.
— went 40-20 LY, best record in American League.
— went 14-5 in one-run games, which suggests regression this year.
— 31-12 vs righties, 9-8 vs lefties LY.

Texas
— last made playoffs in 2016.
— Last four years, they’re combined 56 games under .500.
— went 6-24 on road LY; were 16-14 in their new domed stadium.
— minus-88 run differential LY was worst in major leagues.

Toronto
— made playoffs 3 of last 6 years
— from 2017-19, were a combined 54 games under .500.
— were 17-9 at home, 15-19 on road LY.
— went 13-10 in one-run games LY, T2 for most in MLB.

[StarDust Bum]

501CHARLOTTE -502 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 203-247 ATS (-68.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

503PHILADELPHIA -504 DENVER
PHILADELPHIA is 18-4 ATS (13.6 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

505ATLANTA -506 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

507ORLANDO -508 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 66-44 ATS (17.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 30









NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 30

Charlotte @ Washington
Hornets (23-22)
— Charlotte won seven of its last 11 games SU.
— Hornets are 5-7 ATS in their last doze road games.
— Under is 5-1 in Charlotte’s last six games.

Wizards (17-28)
— Wizards split its last six games SU.
— Washington is 7-3 ATS if it played night before.
— Wizards are 9-4 ATS in last thirteen home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 3-2 in their last five games

— Charlotte won five of last seven series games.
— Hornets are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Washington.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Philadelphia @ Denver
76ers (32-14)
— 76ers won 15 of their last 19 games.
— Sixers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 6-2 in Philly’s last eight road games.

Nuggets (28-18)
— Denver is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games overall.
— Nuggets are 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Denver’s last five home games.

— Philly is 5-3 in last eight series games.
— 76ers covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

Orlando @ LA Clippers
Magic (15-31)
— Orlando lost 21 of its last 27 games.
— Magic is 6-2 ATS in last eight games overall.
— Under is 8-1 in their last nine road games.

Clippers (32-16)
— Clippers won/covered their last six games.
— Clippers are 9-2 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Clippers won last ten series games (7-3 ATS)
— Magic is 2-2 ATS in last four series games played here.
— Under is 6-1-1 in last eight series games.

Atlanta @ Phoenix
Hawks (23-23)
— Hawks lost three of their last four games.
— Hawks are 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 road games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Suns (31-14)
— Phoenix won 23 of its last 29 games (21-8 ATS).
— Suns are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

— Atlanta won four of last five series games.
— Hawks are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games, 0-2 in last two.




NBA

Tuesday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Charlotte @ Washington
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Philadelphia @ Denver
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Denver
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Orlando @ LA Clippers
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Phoenix
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Atlanta is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games


--------------------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Tuesday March 30
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Phoenix (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hawks are 14-0 ATS (11.57 ppg) off a loss as a dog where they were outscored by at least 10 points in the paint.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Denver (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 0-11 ATS (-4.95 ppg) after a game as a road dog in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Charlotte at Washington (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Wizards are 8-0 OU (14.62 ppg) at home after Russell Westbrook had a triple double last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at L.A. Clippers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Magic are 0-12 OU (-10.38 ppg) off a road loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the second half than the first half.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at WAS 07:00 PM
CHA -3.5
U 228.5

PHI at DEN 09:00 PM
PHI +5.0
U 220.5

ORL at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -11.5
U 215.0

ATL at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -6.0
U 220.0



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/28/2021..........4 - 4....50.00%......- 2.00
03/27/2021..........4 - 10...28.57%......-35.00
03/26/2021..........6 - 9.....40.00%......-14.50
03/25/2021..........3 - 5.....37.50.........-12.50
03/24/2021..........9-7-0....56.25%.....+.6.50
03/23/2021..........3-9-0....25.00%......-34.50
03/22/2021..........7-4-0....63.63%......+13.00
03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS............129 -136 -4.....48.67%......- 98.00

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at WAS 07:00 PM
CHA -3.5..........114 - 104.......WINNER
U 228.5........................WINNER

PHI at DEN 09:00 PM
PHI +5.0.........95 - 104.........LOSER
U 220.5....................WINNER

ORL at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -11.5...............103 - 96....LOSER
U 215.0...................WINNER

ATL at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -6.0........110 - 117........WINNER
U 220.0...............LOSER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/30/2021..........5 - 3....62.50%.......+8.50
03/28/2021..........4 - 4....50.00%......- 2.00
03/27/2021..........4 - 10...28.57%......-35.00
03/26/2021..........6 - 9.....40.00%......-14.50
03/25/2021..........3 - 5.....37.50.........-12.50
03/24/2021..........9-7-0....56.25%.....+.6.50
03/23/2021..........3-9-0....25.00%......-34.50
03/22/2021..........7-4-0....63.63%......+13.00
03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS............134 -139 -4.....49.08%......- 89.50

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds for the Masters next week:
8-1— Dustin Johnson
9-1— Bryson DeChambeau
11-1— Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas
14-1— Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth
20-1— Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka
22-1— Patrick Cantlay

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 550,903
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“A thief is a thief, whether he steals a diamond or a cucumber.”
Old Indian proverb

Wednesday’s quiz
When was last time three #1-seeds made the Final Four?

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time Kelvin Sampson made it to the Final Four, he was coaching Oklahoma.

Monday’s quiz
Washington’s Bradley Beal is leading the NBA in scoring this season, at 31.3 ppg.

*************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) UCLA 51, Michigan 49:
— UCLA lost their last four games before the NCAA’s; they were down 5 with 1:27 left in the play-in game, against Michigan State.
— Michigan was 6-11 on foul line in a 2-point loss.
— Bruins have played six OT games this year; two of them were in the NCAA’s.
— Here’s the thing: if Mick Cronin’s relatives filled out brackets, no way they picked the Bruins.

12) Baylor 81, Arkansas 72:
— Bears are 9-2 since their 21-day COVID pause in February.
— Baylor never trailed, led 29-11 right off the bat, made 8-15 on the arc.
— Bears are diverse; they force ton of turnovers, are best in country shooting on the arc.

11) Houston 67, Oregon State 61:
— Each region has teams seeds from #1-16: Houston beat seeds #15-10-11-12
— Cougars have won 11 games in a row.
— Houston shot only 32.3% from floor, but had 19 offensive rebounds.

10) Gonzaga 85, USC 66:
— Gonzaga is 30-0, with ONE WIN by less than 10 points.
— Zags never trailed in this game, led 49-30 at halftime.
— USC has #7 eFG% defense in country; Zags shot 57.8% inside arc.

9) Tip of the cap to Oral Roberts sophomore Max Abmas, who led ORU to a Summit League title, then two wins in the NCAA Tournament. Kid led the country in scoring, at 24.2 ppg.

In Oral Roberts’ six postseason games, the Summit/NCAAs, Abmas NEVER came out of the game, played the whole 245:00 (one game went OT). In those six games, Abmas:
— shot 32-57 inside arc
— shot 13-45 on the arc
— shot 40-46 on foul line
— also had 34 assists
— 23.8 ppg, 5-1 record on the biggest stage. Good for him.

Next question is, unfortunately, how many phone calls has the kid gotten about transferring to a higher-profile program? Come on, kids who are way worse than Abmas have bolted low or mid-majors to be role players for the $$$ teams. Loyalty is becoming obsolete.

We’ll see what happens.

8) Speaking of which, Kentucky poached grad transfer Kellen Grady away from Davidson; Grady 2,000 points+ in his Davidson career and is a career 36.6% 3-point shooter.

Three years ago, Grady scored 16 points against Kentucky in an NCAA tourney game.

7) NFL is upgrading its schedule to 17 games next season; AFC teams will all get the extra home game next year, then NFC teams get the extra home game in even-numbered years.

The extra game will pit division vs division; for 2021:
— NFC West vs AFC North
— NFC East vs AFC East
— NFC North vs AFC West
— NFC South vs AFC South

6) Here is how the length of NFL schedules have worked over the years:
1947-60— 12 games
1961-77— 14 games; from 1966-77, 14 games in 15 weeks
1978-89— 16 games/season
1990-2020— 16 games in 17 weeks.

5) Final Four is set:
— two #1-seeds, a #2-seed and a #11-seed
— 7th year in a row, a team seeded #5 or lower wins a region.
— Third time in five years a double-digit seed goes to the Final Four.

4) This year was first time since 2001 that the Pac-12 had three teams in Elite 8.

3) Pac-12 has done so well in the NCAA tournament that the Washington Huskies have moved up 43 spots in the kenpom.com rankings, since they played their last game.

2) I can’t help it, every time I see Dick Vitale’s GEICO commercial, I laugh/smile; the guy dumps a cooler of water over his head— he is 81 years old. The commercial has been on TV a lot, but it never stops being funny. Hope I live as long as Coach Vitale, and would love to have his energy.

1) Was watching Daily Wager on ESPN2; good program, but they’re talking about betting NFL futures already and it is freakin’ March 30. Too early.

— Haven’t had the draft yet.
— Trading may not be over yet.
— The freakin’ schedule hasn’t been released yet.
— How can you wager on things when so much is still unknown?

[StarDust Bum]

509MIAMI -510 INDIANA
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

511PORTLAND -512 DETROIT
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points in the current season.

513HOUSTON -514 BROOKLYN
HOUSTON is 26-53 ATS (-32.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

515DALLAS -516 BOSTON
DALLAS are 40-22 ATS (15.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

517UTAH -518 MEMPHIS
UTAH is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

523SACRAMENTO -524 SAN ANTONIO
SACRAMENTO is 27-12 ATS (13.8 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

525MILWAUKEE -526 LA LAKERS
MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

527CHICAGO -528 PHOENIX
CHICAGO is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.


----------------------------


NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 31






-----------------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 31

Portland @ Detroit
Trailblazers (28-18)
— Portland won 11 of its last 15 games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 4-4 ATS in last eight road games.
— Over is 11-5 in Portland’s last 16 road games.

Pistons (13-33)
— Detroit lost 13 of its last 18 games
— Pistons are 7-3 ATS since the All-Star break.
— Under is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five road games.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Portland is 0-4 ATS in last four trips to Detroit.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.

Miami @ Indiana
Heat (23-24)
— Miami lost six of its last seven games (1-6 ATS)
— Heat is 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

Pacers (21-24)
— Indiana won four of its last six games.
— Pacers are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 9-5 in Indiana’s last 14 home games.

— Indiana won last two series games, after losing 7 of previous 8.
— Miami covered three of last four visits to Indiana.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Dallas @ Boston
Mavericks (24-21)
— Mavericks are 6-5 SU since All-Star break.
— Mavericks are 3-1 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 12-5 in last 17 Dallas games.

Celtics (23-24)
— Boston is 4-7 SU since the All-Star break.
— Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four home games.

— Celtics won seven of last nine series games.
— Dallas is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Houston @ Brooklyn
Rockets (13-33)
— Houston lost 23 of its last 25 games (4-21 ATS).
— Rockets are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.

Nets (32-15)
— Brooklyn won 18 of their last 21 games
— Nets are 1-5 ATS in last six games overall.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Brooklyn games.

— James Harden against his old team.
— Nets won three of last four series games.
— Rockets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Utah @ Memphis
Jazz (35-11)
— Utah won its last six games overall.
— Jazz is 3-7 ATS in its last ten road games.
— Under is 4-2 in Utah’s last six games.

Grizzlies (22-22)
— Memphis is 5-3 SU in its last eight games.
— Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in last six games overall.
— Over is 5-0 in their last five games.

— Utah won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
— Jazz are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
— Last four series games went over the total.

New York @ Minnesota
Knicks (24-23)
— New York won four of its last six games.
— Knicks covered their last four road games.
— Under is 6-1 in New York’s last seven games.

Timberwolves (11-36)
— Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
— Wolves are 6-5 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

— Timberwolves won four of last five series games.
— Knicks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Toronto @ Oklahoma City
Raptors (18-29)
— Toronto lost 14 of its last 16 games.
— Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
— 11 of last 15 Toronto games went over the total.

Thunder (19-27)
— Thunder are 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
— OKC is 4-7 ATS in their last 11 home games.
— Over is 7-1 in their last eight home games.

— Road team won eight of last nine series games.
— Raptors covered four of last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games.

Sacramento @ San Antonio
Kings (22-25)
— Sacramento won seven of its last eight games.
— Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 3-0 in Sacramento’s last three road games.

Spurs (23-21)
— San Antonio lost five of its last six games.
— Spurs are 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Spurs’ last seven games.

— Kings won 132-115 here Monday night.
— Sacramento won five of last seven series games.
— Kings are 4-2 ATS in last six series games.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Milwaukee @ LA Lakers
Bucks (29-17)
— Milwaukee lost its last three games.
— Bucks are 1-7 ATS in last eight road games.
— Over is 8-2 in Milwaukee’s last ten games.

Lakers (30-17)
— Lakers lost four of their last six games (1-5 ATS).
— Lakers are 7-10 ATS in their last 17 home games.
— Under is 10-3 in their 13 home games.

— Milwaukee won seven of last ten series games.
— Bucks are 2-2 ATS in last four series games played here.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Chicago @ Phoenix
Bulls (19-26)
— Chicago lost six of its last seven games SU.
— Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Suns (31-14)
— Phoenix won 24 of its last 30 games (21-9 ATS).
— Suns are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last eight games.

— Suns won six of last nine series games.
— Bulls are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Phoenix.
— Four of last five series games stayed under.


------------------------------


NBA

Wednesday, March 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Portland @ Detroit
Portland
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

Miami @ Indiana
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games

Dallas @ Boston
Dallas
Dallas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Houston @ Brooklyn
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Houston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

Utah @ Memphis
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 12 games when playing at home against Utah

Toronto @ Oklahoma City
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

New York @ Minnesota
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing New York

Sacramento @ San Antonio
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Sacramento
San Antonio is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Sacramento

Milwaukee @ LA Lakers
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games

Chicago @ Phoenix
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


-----------------------------------------


Hoop Trends for Wednesday March 31
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Memphis (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 14-0 ATS (10.96 ppg) with rest after outscoring their opponent in the paint by at least 10 points last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS (-6.17 ppg) as a dog off a road game in which Karl Anthony Towns scored at least 30 points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 12-0 OU (13.88 ppg) as a dog with rest coming off a 10+ point win as a road dog.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Brooklyn (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-14-1 OU (-8.57 ppg) coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 31
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIA at IND 07:00 PM
IND +1.5
U 218.5

POR at DET 07:00 PM
DET +7.5
O 221.0

HOU at BK 07:30 PM
BK -12.5
U 230.0

DAL at BOS 07:30 PM
DAL -1.0
U 222.5

TOR at OKC 08:00 PM
TOR -8.0
O 223.0

UTA at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM +6.0
U 226.0

NY at MIN 08:00 PM
NY -3.5
U 218.5

SAC at SA 08:30 PM
SAC +2.5
O 231.0

MIL at LAL 10:00 PM
MIL -8.5
U 222.0

CHI at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -7.5
U 217.5



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/30/2021..........5 - 3....62.50%.......+8.50
03/28/2021..........4 - 4....50.00%......- 2.00
03/27/2021..........4 - 10...28.57%......-35.00
03/26/2021..........6 - 9.....40.00%......-14.50
03/25/2021..........3 - 5.....37.50.........-12.50
03/24/2021..........9-7-0....56.25%.....+.6.50
03/23/2021..........3-9-0....25.00%......-34.50
03/22/2021..........7-4-0....63.63%......+13.00
03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS............134 -139 -4.....49.08%......- 89.50

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 31
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIA at IND 07:00 PM
IND +1.5...........92 - 87......LOSER
U 218.5.................WINNER

POR at DET 07:00 PM
DET +7.5..........124 - 101
O 221.0..................WINNER

HOU at BK 07:30 PM
BK -12.5.............108 - 120
U 230.0.....................WINNER

DAL at BOS 07:30 PM
DAL -1.0.............113 - 108
U 222.5.................WINNER

TOR at OKC 08:00 PM
TOR -8.0.........103 - 113......LOSER
O 223.0.....................LOSER

UTA at MEM 08:00 PM
MEM +6.0............111 - 107......WINNER
U 226.0...........................WINNER

NY at MIN 08:00 PM
NY -3.5..........101 - 102......LOSER
U 218.5.....................WINNER

SAC at SA 08:30 PM
SAC +2.5...............106 - 120....LOSER
O 231.0................LOSER

MIL at LAL 10:00 PM
MIL -8.5..............112 - 97......WINNER
U 222.0.......................WINNER

CHI at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO -7.5............116 - 121.........LOSER
U 217.5.............................LOSER



NBA DAILY RECORD BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/31/2021..........9 - 8 ... 52.94%......+1.00
03/30/2021..........5 - 3....62.50%.......+8.50
03/28/2021..........4 - 4....50.00%......- 2.00
03/27/2021..........4 - 10...28.57%......-35.00
03/26/2021..........6 - 9.....40.00%......-14.50
03/25/2021..........3 - 5.....37.50.........-12.50
03/24/2021..........9-7-0....56.25%.....+.6.50
03/23/2021..........3-9-0....25.00%......-34.50
03/22/2021..........7-4-0....63.63%......+13.00
03/21/2021........11-4-0....73.33.........+ 33.00
03/20/2021.........3-4-0.....42.85..........-7.00
03/19/2021.........7-7-0.....50.00%.......-3.50
03/18/2021.........4-7-0.....36.36%.......-18.50
03/17/2021.........6-11-0....35.29%......-30.50
03/16/2021..........7-2-0.....77.77%.......+24.00
03/15/2021..........4-5-0.....44.44%.......- 7.50
03/14/2021..........6-6-0.....50.00%.......- 3.00
03/13/2021..........4-6-0.....40.00%.......-13.00
03/12/2021..........3-8-0.....27.27%.......-29.00
03/11/2021 ........10-5-0.....66.66%......+22.50
03/10/2021.......... 3-1-0 ......75.00%....... +950
03/04/2021 ..........9-7-2...... 55.56% .......+650
03/03/2021 ..........12-8-0 .....60.00%.... +1600
03/02/2021............ 4-7-1 .......37.50%..... -1850

TOTALS............143 -147 -4.....49.08%......- 49.31

****************************************

Feb. Best Bets Totals:..........144 Wins..........141 Loses.......50.52%........-57.50

Jan. Best Bets Totals:............64 Wins..........65 Loses.........49.61%........- 41.00

Dec. Best Bet Totals:.............4..Wins.......... 6,Loses.........40%.............- 13.00

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds for the Texas Open this week:
11-1— Jordan Spieth
14-1— Tony Finau
15-1— Scott Scheffler
19-1— Abraham Ancer, Hideki Matsuyama
21-1— Corey Connors
30-1— Ryan Palmer

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 550,903
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“It’s a beautiful day for a ballgame. Let’s play two today!”
Ernie Banks

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of baseball, what Hall of Famer threw the only no-hitter on Opening Day?

Wednesday’s quiz
2015 was last time three #1-seeds made the Final Four; Wisconsin, Kentucky, Duke.

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time Kelvin Sampson made it to the Final Four, he was coaching Oklahoma.

***********************

Thursday’s Den: Random thoughts on Opening Day

Before we start, happy birthday to my grandmother; today was her birthday. Very nice lady. Not sure April 1 is a great day for a birthday.

13) Will be fun to see fans in the stands; hopefully by the end of this season, stands will be full again, but for now, hearing real people cheer will be enough. Cardboard cutouts are cool, but they don’t make any noise.

For the record, the best cardboard cutout last year was the one in Kansas City of Bernie Lomax, the main character from the Weekend at Bernie’s movies.

12) Houston Astros made the expanded playoffs LY, despite a 29-31 record; how will they bounce back this year? They won the 2017 World Series, lost the ’19 Series in seven games; this year they’ll be without Verlander (hurt), Springer (free agent to Toronto).

Last year, Jose Altuve hit .219 in the regular season, then hit 18-48 (.375) in playoffs, so we’ll see what this year brings.

11) Baseball has done a very smart thing, letting players watch video of their at-bats on iPads during the game. Players couldn’t do that last year- from what you hear on TV, it hampered some hitters, who are creatures of habit. Baseball wants more offense, right?

10) Los Angeles Dodgers are loaded; they won World Series LY for first time since 1988, and appear to be headed that way again this year, especially after adding pitching ace Trevor Bauer as a free agent.

Their TV guys have been fairly cocky this spring; on how many teams would David Price or Tony Gonsolin not be in the starting rotation?

9) Seattle and the Angels are two teams that will apparently use 6-man pitching rotations this season, somehow new to MLB. Teams in Japan do this; starters generally pitch once a week.

Teams are guarding against ramping up a pitcher’s innings too much from one year to the next; for instance, Seattle’s Marco Gonzales threw 69.1 IP LY; he threw 203 the year before. Doubtful they want him ramping back up to 203 until next season.

8) Steve Cohen is the new owner of the Mets; supposedly, Bobby Axelrod on Showtime’s Billions was modeled after Cohen, a wildly successful hedge fund trader. In other words, he is really, really rich.

Cohen’s Mets offered newly-acquired SS Francisco Lindor $320M for 10 years; Lindor’s people are asking for 12 years, $385M. We’ll see how that works out.

LATE UPDATE: Here’s how it worked out: Lindor signed a 10-year deal for $341M Wednesday night.

7) Umpire Ángel Hernández lost his lawsuit against MLB alleging racial discrimination; hired as a big league umpire in 1993, the Cuban-born Hernandez alleged he was discriminated against because he had not been assigned to the World Series since 2005 and had been passed over for crew chief.

From the judge who decided the case:
“The explicit reason MLB offers — that according to (Joe) Torre, Hernández ‘has not demonstrated the leadership ability and situation-management skills in critical high-pressure roles on a consistent basis’ — is presented in clear and specific terms.”

In other words, Hernandez should be glad he has a lucrative job that he doesn’t do very well.

6) Colorado Rockies traded star 3B Nolan Arenado to St Louis, and with SS Trevor Story headed for free agency, he could be the next to leave Denver, which can’t make fans in Denver happy.

Are the Rockies headed for a total rebuild? Colorado won 87-91 games in 2017/’18, but now they’re looking like a doormat.

5) Can Giancarlo Stanton/Aaron Judge stay healthy this season?
— Last two years, Stanton played a total of 41 regular season games.
— Last three years, Judge played 112-102-28 games.
— Stanton went 8-26 with six homers in seven playoff games LY; they need him for six months, not seven games.

4) Angels have lot of hitting, lot of star power; Trout, Pujols, Rendon, Ohtani, but pitching is important in baseball and the Angels don’t have much of that.

In 12 games as a major league pitcher, Ohtani has given up 26 runs in 53.1 IP; there is very little evidence that he’ll be a good major league pitcher.

3) Lot of hype around the Padres/White Sox; there is no doubt that 76-year Tony LaRussa’s return to the dugout will be fascinating to follow in Chicago.

LaRussa hasn’t managed since 2011; he’s won three World Series as a skipper, but the world is a different place than it was 10 years ago. He did a dugout interview during a spring training game a few days ago and it…….um…….didn’t go well.

Random LaRussa trivia; he pinch-hit for the A’s in their first-ever home game in Oakland, way back in 1968.

2) Baseball needs the universal DH, for a few reasons:
— They want more scoring; pitchers can’t hit
— They want more balls in play; DH’s put balls in play
— Pitchers get hurt hitting/running the bases. Not good.

1) I’ll be looking at how the new experimental rules work once the minor leagues get rolling in May; I like the anti-shifting rules, the pitch-clock thing isn’t necessary. The 3-batter minimum for relievers is a great rule.

I can’t stand the extra inning rules or 7-inning doubleheaders. Media guys like shorter extra innings, since it makes their job easier, but to me it cheapens the game.

As for the automated strike zone, no thank you!!! Just let umpires do their jobs, and hire better umpires than Angel Hernandez.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds for the Texas Open this week:
11-1— Jordan Spieth
14-1— Tony Finau
15-1— Scott Scheffler
19-1— Abraham Ancer, Hideki Matsuyama
21-1— Corey Connors
30-1— Ryan Palmer

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 550,903
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“It’s a beautiful day for a ballgame. Let’s play two today!”
Ernie Banks

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of baseball, what Hall of Famer threw the only no-hitter on Opening Day?

Wednesday’s quiz
2015 was last time three #1-seeds made the Final Four; Wisconsin, Kentucky, Duke.

Tuesday’s quiz
Last time Kelvin Sampson made it to the Final Four, he was coaching Oklahoma.

***********************

Thursday’s Den: Random thoughts on Opening Day

Before we start, happy birthday to my grandmother; today was her birthday. Very nice lady. Not sure April 1 is a great day for a birthday.

13) Will be fun to see fans in the stands; hopefully by the end of this season, stands will be full again, but for now, hearing real people cheer will be enough. Cardboard cutouts are cool, but they don’t make any noise.

For the record, the best cardboard cutout last year was the one in Kansas City of Bernie Lomax, the main character from the Weekend at Bernie’s movies.

12) Houston Astros made the expanded playoffs LY, despite a 29-31 record; how will they bounce back this year? They won the 2017 World Series, lost the ’19 Series in seven games; this year they’ll be without Verlander (hurt), Springer (free agent to Toronto).

Last year, Jose Altuve hit .219 in the regular season, then hit 18-48 (.375) in playoffs, so we’ll see what this year brings.

11) Baseball has done a very smart thing, letting players watch video of their at-bats on iPads during the game. Players couldn’t do that last year- from what you hear on TV, it hampered some hitters, who are creatures of habit. Baseball wants more offense, right?

10) Los Angeles Dodgers are loaded; they won World Series LY for first time since 1988, and appear to be headed that way again this year, especially after adding pitching ace Trevor Bauer as a free agent.

Their TV guys have been fairly cocky this spring; on how many teams would David Price or Tony Gonsolin not be in the starting rotation?

9) Seattle and the Angels are two teams that will apparently use 6-man pitching rotations this season, somehow new to MLB. Teams in Japan do this; starters generally pitch once a week.

Teams are guarding against ramping up a pitcher’s innings too much from one year to the next; for instance, Seattle’s Marco Gonzales threw 69.1 IP LY; he threw 203 the year before. Doubtful they want him ramping back up to 203 until next season.

8) Steve Cohen is the new owner of the Mets; supposedly, Bobby Axelrod on Showtime’s Billions was modeled after Cohen, a wildly successful hedge fund trader. In other words, he is really, really rich.

Cohen’s Mets offered newly-acquired SS Francisco Lindor $320M for 10 years; Lindor’s people are asking for 12 years, $385M. We’ll see how that works out.

LATE UPDATE: Here’s how it worked out: Lindor signed a 10-year deal for $341M Wednesday night.

7) Umpire Ángel Hernández lost his lawsuit against MLB alleging racial discrimination; hired as a big league umpire in 1993, the Cuban-born Hernandez alleged he was discriminated against because he had not been assigned to the World Series since 2005 and had been passed over for crew chief.

From the judge who decided the case:
“The explicit reason MLB offers — that according to (Joe) Torre, Hernández ‘has not demonstrated the leadership ability and situation-management skills in critical high-pressure roles on a consistent basis’ — is presented in clear and specific terms.”

In other words, Hernandez should be glad he has a lucrative job that he doesn’t do very well.

6) Colorado Rockies traded star 3B Nolan Arenado to St Louis, and with SS Trevor Story headed for free agency, he could be the next to leave Denver, which can’t make fans in Denver happy.

Are the Rockies headed for a total rebuild? Colorado won 87-91 games in 2017/’18, but now they’re looking like a doormat.

5) Can Giancarlo Stanton/Aaron Judge stay healthy this season?
— Last two years, Stanton played a total of 41 regular season games.
— Last three years, Judge played 112-102-28 games.
— Stanton went 8-26 with six homers in seven playoff games LY; they need him for six months, not seven games.

4) Angels have lot of hitting, lot of star power; Trout, Pujols, Rendon, Ohtani, but pitching is important in baseball and the Angels don’t have much of that.

In 12 games as a major league pitcher, Ohtani has given up 26 runs in 53.1 IP; there is very little evidence that he’ll be a good major league pitcher.

3) Lot of hype around the Padres/White Sox; there is no doubt that 76-year Tony LaRussa’s return to the dugout will be fascinating to follow in Chicago.

LaRussa hasn’t managed since 2011; he’s won three World Series as a skipper, but the world is a different place than it was 10 years ago. He did a dugout interview during a spring training game a few days ago and it…….um…….didn’t go well.

Random LaRussa trivia; he pinch-hit for the A’s in their first-ever home game in Oakland, way back in 1968.

2) Baseball needs the universal DH, for a few reasons:
— They want more scoring; pitchers can’t hit
— They want more balls in play; DH’s put balls in play
— Pitchers get hurt hitting/running the bases. Not good.

1) I’ll be looking at how the new experimental rules work once the minor leagues get rolling in May; I like the anti-shifting rules, the pitch-clock thing isn’t necessary. The 3-batter minimum for relievers is a great rule.

I can’t stand the extra inning rules or 7-inning doubleheaders. Media guys like shorter extra innings, since it makes their job easier, but to me it cheapens the game.

As for the automated strike zone, no thank you!!! Just let umpires do their jobs, and hire better umpires than Angel Hernandez.

[Udog]

Friday’s 6-pack
Top six states in sports betting handle for this February:
$743M— New Jersey
$554M— Nevada
$510M— Pennsylvania
$326M— Michigan
$274M— Indiana
$266.5M— Colorado

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 550,903
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“The transfer portal is a huge part of the college game and will continue to be.”
UNLV coach Kevin Kruger

Friday’s quiz
Which active player has the most career home runs against the Oakland A’s?

Thursday’s quiz
In the history of baseball, Bob Feller threw the only no-hitter on Opening Day, in 1940.

Wednesday’s quiz
2015 was last time three #1-seeds made the Final Four; Wisconsin, Kentucky, Duke.

********************

Friday’s Den: Wrapping up Opening Day
Lot of stuff happened Thursday; we’ll stick with baseball today, get to the rest tomorrow.

13) Colorado 8, Dodgers 5:
— Cody Bellinger hit a home run that deflected off the left fielder’s glove, but the runner on base thought the LF caught the ball, so he went back to first and Bellinger passed him, which means Bellinger was called out— the baserunner scored.
— Chris Owings had three hits, scored three times for the Rockies.

12) Pirates 5, Chicago 3:
— Both starting P’s threw 63 pitches in three IP on a 36-degree day.
— Kyle Hendricks walked a batter in three consecutive innings, first time he’s ever done that.
— Pirates were 3-20 with runners in scoring position, Cubs 0-5

11) Philadelphia 3, Braves 2 (10)
— Phillies’ new-look bullpen threw 3.1 scoreless innings.
— Jean Segura’s single to left field in 10th inning was the walk-off hit.
— Pablo Sandoval hit a pinch-hit HR for Atlanta’s only runs.

10) San Diego 8, Diamondbacks 7:
— Hosmer had three hits, three RBI for San Diego.
— Bumgarner gave up six runs in four IP for Arizona.
— Arizona was down 6-1, scored six runs in the 5th, but couldn’t hold the lead.

9) Cardinals 11, Cincinnati 6:
— St Louis is first team since the 2010 Braves to score 6+ runs in first inning on Opening Day.
— Castillo gave up 10 runs in 3.1 IP.
— Goldschmidt/Arenado went a combined 6-10, scored four runs.

8) Blue Jays 3, Bronx 2 (10)
— Toronto wore powder blue road jerseys, like teams wore in the 70’s/80’s.
— Top four batters in the New York lineup went 1-18 with eight K’s.
— Sanchez hit a 2-run homer for New York’s only runs.

7) Detroit 3, Indians 2:
— Miguel Cabrera hit his 488th career home run.
— It snowed during first three innings of this game.
— Cesar Hernández had the first hit in the major leagues this year.

6) Kansas City 14, Rangers 10:
— Game was 5-5 after the first inning; not much pitching.
— Two starting pitchers combined to get five outs, give up 11 runs.
— Merrfield, Isbel, Taylor all had three hits for the Royals.

5) Rays 1, Miami 0:
— Meadows hit an 8th-inning homer for the game’s only run.
— Glasnow, Alcantara both threw six shutout innings.
— Aguilar had two of Miami’s three hits.

4) Milwaukee 6, Twins 5 (10):
— Five of Milwaukee’s six runs were unearned.
— Brewers scored three runs in 9th to force extra innings.
— Josh Donaldson (hamstring) left this game very early on.

3) Angels 4, White Sox 3:
— Angels scored twice in bottom of 8th inning.
— Angels gave 2B Fletcher a 5-year, $26M extension Thursday.
— Only two starting pitchers all day got wins: Boyd/Greinke.

2) Astros 8, A’s 1:
— Brantley had single, double, homer for Houston.
— Greinke threw six shutout innings, allowing 3 baserunners.
— A’s bullpen gave up five runs in 3.2 IP.

[Udog]

543GOLDEN STATE -544 TORONTO
TORONTO is 49-29 ATS (17.1 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

545HOUSTON -546 BOSTON
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.

547DALLAS -548 NEW YORK
DALLAS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the current season.

549CHARLOTTE -550 INDIANA
INDIANA is 331-251 ATS (54.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1996.

553ATLANTA -554 NEW ORLEANS
ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

555CHICAGO -556 UTAH
UTAH is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

557OKLAHOMA CITY -558 PHOENIX
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

561LA LAKERS -562 SACRAMENTO
LA LAKERS are 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, April 2