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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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  • Monday’s 6-pack
    Active leaders in most sacrifice bunts, career:
    108— Clayton Kershaw
    100— Elvis Andrus
    85— Johnny Cueto
    67— Julio Teheran
    64— Brett Gardner
    60— Adam Wainwright

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 554,522
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Experience is something you don’t get until just after you needed it.’’
    Steven Wright

    Monday’s quiz
    Who was manager of the Cincinnati Reds, last time they won a playoff game?

    Sunday’s quiz
    2017 was the last time two #1-seeds faced off for the national championship.

    Saturday’s quiz
    Fernando Tatis Sr hit two grand slams in one inning in a major league game in the late 90’s, against the Dodgers. Oddly, he hit both of them off the same pitcher.

    ************************************************** ***

    Monday’s Den: Random thoughts on a spring day…….

    13) First thing today is a survey question; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

    If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

    E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on.

    12) Tony LaRussa manages the White Sox now; he is 76 years old; there he was Sunday night, barking at 28-year old umpire Edwin Moscoso, who was working the plate. LaRussa probably has lot of clothes that are older than Moscoso.

    Chicago has a 3rd-string catcher/DH Yermin Mercedes, who got hits in his first eight AB’s this season, making him the first player since 1933 to do that. He is apparently a bad defensive catcher, but he can also hit. With Eloy Jimenez hurt, White Sox need another hitter.

    11) White Sox also have OF Billy Hamilton, who runs very fast but can’t hit; the guy has a career on-base %age of .296, a career OPS of .621- this is over nine years.

    Every time I see Hamilton bat, I hear my dad’s voice, what he always said about light hitters who ran very fast: “You can’t steal first base!!!”

    10) My A’s are off to a terrible start; they’re the first team in last 100 years to lose their first four games of the season to the same team, all by 4+ runs. Houston is a good team, but Brantley got hurt and missed Sunday’s game. A’s host the Dodgers next— yikes.

    9) Red Sox got swept at home by Baltimore, first time since 1948 that they lost their first three games of a season that were all at Fenway Park. Orioles led Sunday’s game 10-0 in third inning; the few fans that were there were not happy.

    8) Colorado Rockies have a pitcher named Tyler Kinley who apparently is a descendent of the former President William McKinley.

    On September 6, 1901, President McKinley was assassinated in Buffalo- he died eight days after he was shot. Fearing that anarchists might target the rest of the family, the Secret Service suggested that the family change their name a little, and that’s what happened.

    7) Speaking of pitchers in Colorado, if you’re a high school/college pitcher and the Rockies draft you, you have to get queasy, yes? Who succeeds pitching in such high altitude?

    6) Extra innings in the major leagues start with a runner on second base; there are a couple of baseball guys on TV who advocate intentionally walking the first hitter, saying it is easier to get out of a jam with a force play in effect, instead of just a guy on second.

    Don’t think any big league managers have tried that one yet; it conceivably could happen in the bottom half of the inning, if the score was tied. No one is going to put the winning run on base.

    5) Back to Colorado for a second; Saturday night, a Rockies runner steals second with two out, and a 1-2 count on Corey Seager. Rockies walk Seager intentionally to set up a force and bring Chris Taylor up, facing a righty pitcher. Can’t remember ever seeing an intentional walk when they count was 1-2.

    Taylor crossed up the strategy by banging a double off the leftfield wall.

    4) White Sox pitcher Lucas Giolito was miked in the dugout for a half inning of a game this weekend; he seemed at ease with a mike, which makes sense, since his grandfather was an actor named Warren Frost, who played George Costanza’s father-in-law on Seinfeld.

    Mr Frost had 36 acting credits, ranging from Death Valley Days to Matlock to Seinfeld; in 10-12 days, when Giolito’s playing days are done, he’ll make a good broadcaster.

    3) Maryland Terrapins have already poached transfers from Georgetown/Rhode Island this spring, as the new way to restock rosters isn’t so much recruiting high school kids as it is pillaging players from other schools. Georgetown has lost three starters the last two years.

    2) Last year, Mac MacClung bolted from Georgetown to Texas Tech, to play for coach Chris Beard, a very good coach. Imagine MacClung’s surprise last week when Beard bolted himself, from Lubbock to the Texas Longhorns. Transfer market goes both ways.

    1) QB Chase Daniel recently signed on as a backup with the LA Chargers; the guy is one of my heroes. He’s started five games in 11 years (five games!!!) but he’s banked $37.8M, plus the most popular guy on the team is usually the backup QB.

    261 career passes, $37.1M, plus he’ll be all set for a career as a coach or broadcaster when he retires. Thats a career you can get behind.

    Don’t forget to answer our survey question:

    If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

    Comment


    • 515DETROIT -516 OKLAHOMA CITY
      DETROIT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a home loss by 10 points or more in the current season.

      519NEW YORK -520 BROOKLYN
      BROOKLYN is 25-9 ATS (15.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

      521SACRAMENTO -522 MINNESOTA
      MINNESOTA is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

      523UTAH -524 DALLAS
      UTAH is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

      525CLEVELAND -526 SAN ANTONIO
      CLEVELAND is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

      527PHOENIX -528 HOUSTON
      PHOENIX is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

      Comment


      • NBA
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Monday, April 5


        Washington @ Toronto
        Wizards (17-31)
        — Wizards lost 11 of their last 14 games SU.
        — Wizards are 3-2 ATS in last five home games.
        — You’re reading ***************.com
        — Under is 5-1 in their last six games

        Raptors (19-30)
        — Toronto lost four of five, 15 of its last 18 games.
        — Raptors are 7-5 ATS in their last 12 home games.
        — 11 of last 17 Toronto games went over the total.

        — Toronto won last nine series games.
        — Wizards are 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
        — Last seven series games went over the total.

        New York @ Brooklyn
        Knicks (25-25)
        — New York lost three of their last four games.
        — Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
        — Under is 8-2 in New York’s last ten games.

        Nets (34-16)
        — Brooklyn won 18 of their last 22 games
        — Nets are 3-6 ATS in last eight games overall.
        — Nets are 4-5 ATS if they played night before.
        — Under is 7-1 in last eight Brooklyn games.

        — Nets won six of last eight series games.
        — Knicks covered four of last five visits to Brooklyn.
        — Under is 8-2 in last two series games (0-2 in last two)

        Utah @ Dallas
        Jazz (38-11)
        — Utah won its last eight games overall.
        — Jazz is 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games.
        — Under is 5-3 in Utah’s last eight games.

        Mavericks (27-21)
        — Mavericks are 9-5 SU since All-Star break.
        — Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
        — Under is 15-5 in last 20 Dallas games.

        — Utah won eight of last ten series games.
        — Jazz are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Dallas.
        — Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

        Sacramento @ Minnesota
        Kings (22-28)
        — Sacramento lost its last three games.
        — Kings are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
        — Under is 9-5 in Sacramento’s last 14 games.

        Timberwolves (12-38)
        — Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.
        — Wolves are 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall.
        — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

        — Teams split last eight series games.
        — Kings are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.
        — Three of last four series games stayed under.

        Detroit @ Oklahoma City
        Pistons (14-35)
        — Detroit lost six of its last eight games
        — Pistons are 8-5 ATS since the All-Star break.
        — Under is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five road games.

        Thunder (20-29)
        — Thunder are 1-5 SU in their last six games.
        — OKC is 3-5 ATS in their last eight home games.
        — Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

        — Thunder won last five series games.
        — Pistons are 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Oklahoma.
        — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

        Cleveland @ San Antonio
        Cavaliers (17-32)
        — Cleveland lost last five games, by 14-2-39-20-14 points.
        — Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
        — Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under the total.

        Spurs (24-23)
        — San Antonio lost seven of its last nine games.
        — Spurs lost last two games in OT, despite scoring 129-133 points.
        — Spurs are 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
        — Over is 7-3 in Spurs’ last ten games.

        — Spurs won seven of last nine series games.
        — Cavaliers are 2-2 ATS in last four trips to the Alamo.
        — Four of last five series games went over.

        Phoenix @ Houston
        Suns (34-14)
        — Phoenix won 26 of its last 32 games (22-10 ATS).
        — Suns are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 road games.
        — Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

        Rockets (13-36)
        — Houston lost 26 of its last 28 games (5-23 ATS).
        — Rockets are 2-18 ATS in last 20 home games.
        — Under is 15-8-1 in their home games.

        — Rockets won 8 of last ten series games (0-2 last two)
        — Suns covered five of last six visits to Houston.
        — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

        Comment


        • NBA

          Monday, April 5


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          New York @ Brooklyn
          New York
          New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
          Brooklyn
          Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 9 games at home

          Utah @ Dallas
          Utah
          Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
          Dallas
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah

          Washington @ Toronto
          Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Toronto
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          Toronto
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Washington

          Cleveland @ San Antonio
          Cleveland
          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
          San Antonio
          The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland
          San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland

          Detroit @ Oklahoma City
          Detroit
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Oklahoma City
          Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
          Oklahoma City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit

          Sacramento @ Minnesota
          Sacramento
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
          Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

          Phoenix @ Houston
          Phoenix
          Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
          Houston
          Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
          Houston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • NBA
            Dunkel

            Monday, April 5


            Comment


            • Hoop Trends for Monday April 5
              Vince Akins

              ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Phoenix at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

              -- The Suns are 10-0 ATS (11.20 ppg) after Chris Paul had at least 10 assists last game.

              ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Cleveland at San Antonio (7:10 p.m. ET)

              -- The Cavaliers are 0-12 ATS (-13.42 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after Collin Sexton was their high scorer last game.

              OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Phoenix at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

              -- The Rockets are 21-0-1 OU (13.09 ppg) with no rest after a loss in which they led after the third quarter.

              OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
              Matchup: Detroit at Oklahoma City (7:10 p.m. ET)

              -- The Thunder are 0-13 OU (-10.81 ppg) coming off a game as a dog in which they had more turnovers than assists.

              Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

              Comment


              • Tuesday’s 6-pack
                Active leaders in most sacrifice flies, career:
                115— Albert Pujols
                89— Evan Longoria
                86— Miguel Cabrera
                71— Yadier Molina
                67— Ryan Zimmerman
                62— Kurt Suzuki

                Americans who have died from COVID-19: 554,522
                PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                Quote of the Day
                “Thankfully, persistence is a great substitute for talent.”
                Steve Martin

                Tuesday’s quiz
                Where did Scott Drew coach, before going to Baylor?

                Monday’s quiz
                Dusty Baker was manager of the Cincinnati Reds, last time they won a playoff game.

                Sunday’s quiz
                2017 was the last time two #1-seeds faced off for the national championship.

                ************************************************

                Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

                We’re doing a survey this week; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

                If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

                E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on this week.

                13) Baylor 86, Gonzaga 70:
                — Game was 11-1 early on; Gonzaga never threatened to win.
                — Baylor led its two Final Four games by 25-10 points at halftime.

                — Baylor shot 10-23 on the arc, scored 1.26 ppp.
                — Great season ends for Gonzaga; they lost in finals twice in last four tournaments.

                12) 18 years ago, Scott Drew went to Waco to clean up an unspeakable mess; the previous coach had been fired after a Baylor player murdered another player, and the coach tried to frame the dead player as a drug dealer to cover up NCAA rules violations.

                Not good.

                Drew was advised not to take the Baylor job, that it was too big a mess, but by his fifth year in Waco, Baylor was 21-11, and in the NCAA Tournament. Two years later, he was in the Elite 8. Now he is a national champion.

                One of the great re-building jobs ever, for sure.

                11) Jets traded QB Sam Darnold to Carolina for three draft picks; a 2nd/4th/6th round pick, with two of those picks coming in 2022.

                Darnold was 13-25 as the Jets’ starting QB, but the franchise has been a mess; plus, he had mononucleosis at the start of last season. He is still only 23 years old, six months younger than Joe Burrow, the QB Panthers’ OC Joe Brady mentored at LSU.

                What do the Panthers do with Teddy Bridgewater? He has $10M of his $17M salary for next season fully guaranteed, which makes it harder to trade him.

                10) North Carolina hired alum/assistant coach Hubert Davis as its new basketball coach. Davis had been a Carolina assistant for nine years; he was working on ESPN before that. He played in the NBA for 12 years, has never been a head coach.

                UNC’s dilemma here here is that they seem to be obsessed with hiring alums to coach their basketball team, but a list of Tar Heel alums who are qualified to be an ACC head coach isn’t real long. Not sure this is an entry level position.

                9) Texas Tech replaced the departed Chris Beard with assistant Mark Adams, a defensive wizard who is a Tech alum (Beard is a Texas alum). We’ll see if Tech remains as active in the transfer portal as they were under Beard.

                8) Central Michigan picked a weird time to fire its coach Keno Davis; when you’ve been at a mid-major for nine years and have never made the NCAA’s, you’re on thin ice, but this seemed late, with recruiting/poaching already underway.

                Chippewas were 23-12 two years ago, but went 10-24 in MAC games the last two years- they haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2003, when they had future NBA big man Chris Kaman.

                7) Padres’ SS Fernando Tatis Jr subluxated his left shoulder while batting Monday night; they’ll examine him again today, but he appears headed to the IL. Subluxation is a partial dislocation of the shoulder.

                22-year old Tatis signed a 14-year, $340M deal this winter; they need him healthy.

                6) Last year was the first time EVER in the major leagues that #2 hitters in the lineup hit more home runs (332) than #3 hitters in the lineup (289).

                5) Last year was first time ever the Mets led the major leagues in batting average, but they were 13th in runs scored, which obviously is more important.

                4) Major League Baseball is moving this July’s All-Star Game to Denver; should make for quite the Home Run Derby.

                3) Indiana hired alum Dane Fife as an associate coach to new head coach Mike Woodson; Fife spent the last ten years working for Tom Izzo at Michigan State.

                2) Aaron Rodgers is hosting Jeopardy! this week and next; he was a contestant in a celebrity tournament a few years ago, now he is taking a shot at hosting it. How weird would it be if he retired from the NFL to replace Alex Trebek as the show’s next permanent host?

                1) Was talking the other day about guys discussing futures bets on the NFL; the Darnold trade is a good example of how wagering on stuff this long before the season starts has the potential for disaster.

                Jets are almost sure to have a rookie QB starting now; as I type this, the only two QB’s on their depth chart are James Morgan (FIU) and Mike White (Western Kentucky). New coach Robert Saleh comes to the Jets from San Francisco; would they trade for Jimmy Garoppolo?

                Don’t forget to answer our survey question:

                If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

                Comment


                • 529CHICAGO -530 INDIANA
                  INDIANA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

                  531PHILADELPHIA -532 BOSTON
                  PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

                  533NEW ORLEANS -534 ATLANTA
                  NEW ORLEANS are 38-54 ATS (-21.4 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

                  535LA LAKERS -536 TORONTO
                  LA LAKERS are 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) against Atlantic division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

                  537MEMPHIS -538 MIAMI
                  MEMPHIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

                  539DETROIT -540 DENVER
                  DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

                  541PORTLAND -542 LA CLIPPERS
                  PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Armadillo's Write-Up

                    Tuesday, April 6


                    Chicago @ Indiana
                    Bulls (20-28)
                    — Chicago lost seven of its last nine games SU.
                    — Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
                    — Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

                    Pacers (22-26)
                    — Indiana is 5-8 SU in its last thirteen games.
                    — Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine home games.
                    — Over is 6-2 in Indiana’s last eight home games.

                    — Pacers won nine of last ten series games.
                    — Bulls are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
                    — Last five series games went over the total.

                    New Orleans @ Atlanta
                    Pelicans (22-27)
                    — New Orleans is 5-3 SU in its last eight games.
                    — Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
                    — Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

                    Hawks (26-24)
                    — Hawks is 12-4 SU since they changed coaches.
                    — Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
                    — Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

                    — Hawks won last four series games, covered last six.
                    — Pelicans are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
                    — Last three series games went over the total.

                    Philadelphia @ Boston
                    76ers (34-16)
                    — 76ers won six of their last nine games.
                    — Sixers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
                    — Under is 8-3 in Philly’s last 11 games.

                    Celtics (25-25)
                    — Boston won four of its last six games.
                    — Celtics are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games.
                    — Under is 7-0 in their last seven home games.

                    — Teams split last ten series games.
                    — 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
                    — Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

                    LA Lakers @ Toronto
                    Lakers (31-19)
                    — Lakers lost six of their last nine games (2-7 ATS).
                    — Lakers are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 road games.
                    — Under is 9-1 in their ten games overall.

                    Raptors (20-30)
                    — Toronto lost 15 of its last 19 games.
                    — Raptors are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
                    — Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.

                    — Toronto won last ten series games (9-1 ATS)
                    — Lakers are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
                    — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

                    Memphis @ Miami
                    Grizzlies (24-23)
                    — Memphis won six of its last nine games.
                    — Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in last nine games overall.
                    — Last three Memphis games stayed under total.

                    Heat (26-24)
                    — Miami won/covered its last four games.
                    — Heat is 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
                    — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

                    — Heat won five of last seven series games.
                    — Grizzlies are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
                    — Five of last six series games went over.

                    Detroit @ Denver
                    Pistons (15-35)
                    — Detroit won three of its last five games
                    — Pistons are 9-5 ATS since the All-Star break.
                    — Under is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six road games.

                    Nuggets (31-18)
                    — Denver is 19-7 SU in its last 26 games overall.
                    — Nuggets are 4-6 ATS in last ten home games.
                    — Over is 5-2 in Denver’s last seven home games.

                    — Home side won last five series games.
                    — Pistons are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
                    — Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

                    Milwaukee @ Golden State
                    Bucks (32-17)
                    — Milwaukee won its last three games, by 1-15-18 points.
                    — Bucks are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
                    — Over is 9-4 in Milwaukee’s last 13 games.

                    Warriors (23-27)
                    — Golden State lost seven of its last eight games SU.
                    — Warriors are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
                    — Under is 3-1 in their last four games overall.

                    — Milwaukee won four of last five series games.
                    — Bucks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
                    — Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

                    Portland @ LA Clippers
                    Trailblazers (30-19)
                    — Portland won five of its last six games.
                    — You’re reading ***************.com
                    — Blazers are 3-1 ATS in last four road games.
                    — Over is 4-2 in Portland’s last six games.

                    Clippers (33-18)
                    — Clippers won seven of their last nine games.
                    — Clippers are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games at Staples.
                    — Clippers’ last three games stayed under the total.

                    — Clippers won/covered last four series games.
                    — Portland is 0-3 ATS in last three series games here.
                    — Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

                    Comment


                    • NBA

                      Tuesday, April 6


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Trend Report
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Chicago @ Indiana
                      Chicago
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Indiana
                      The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing on the road against Indiana
                      Indiana
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Chicago
                      Indiana is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago

                      New Orleans @ Atlanta
                      New Orleans
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                      New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      Atlanta
                      Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                      Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                      Philadelphia @ Boston
                      Philadelphia
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
                      Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                      Boston
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

                      LA Lakers @ Toronto
                      LA Lakers
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                      Toronto
                      Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
                      Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

                      Memphis @ Miami
                      Memphis
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
                      Memphis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
                      Miami
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Memphis

                      Detroit @ Denver
                      Detroit
                      Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
                      Denver
                      Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                      Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

                      Milwaukee @ Golden State
                      Milwaukee
                      Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                      Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State
                      Golden State
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games
                      Golden State is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Milwaukee

                      Portland @ LA Clippers
                      Portland
                      Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                      Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                      LA Clippers
                      LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
                      LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • NBA
                        Dunkel

                        Tuesday, April 6


                        Comment


                        • Hoop Trends for Tuesday April 6
                          Vince Akins

                          ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: Philadelphia at Boston (7:40 p.m. ET)

                          -- The 76ers are 11-0 ATS (6.00 ppg) as a favorite off a 10+ point loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers.

                          ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: Detroit at Denver (9:10 p.m. ET)

                          -- The Nuggets are 0-11 ATS (-7.68 ppg) at home off a win in which Nikola Jokic had at least 10 assists.

                          OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: Chicago at Indiana (7:10 p.m. ET)

                          -- The Bulls are 10-0-1 OU (9.14 ppg) on the road off a home game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

                          OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: Milwaukee at Golden State (10:10 p.m. ET)

                          -- The Warriors are 0-10-2 OU (-10.42 ppg) off a road loss in which Stephen Curry had a positive plus/minus.

                          Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

                          Comment


                          • Wednesday’s 6-pack
                            Since 2000, colleges with most defensive backs taken in NFL Draft:
                            32— Ohio State
                            25— Alabama, LSU
                            24— Florida, Miami, Virginia Tech
                            20— Florida State
                            19— Clemson, USC, Notre Dame
                            18— Georgia, Texas

                            Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,307
                            PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                            Quote of the Day
                            “I don’t think I’d need to give up football to do it. They film 46 days a year. I worked 187 this year in Green Bay. That gives me 178 days to do ‘Jeopardy!’ So I feel like I could fit 46 into that 178 and make it work. It would be a dream job for sure, and I’m not shy at all about saying I want the job. That’s how I went into it. I want an opportunity to be in the mix.”
                            Aaron Rodgers, who is looking for a second job

                            Wednesday’s quiz
                            Who was the host of Jeopardy!, before Alex Trebek?

                            Tuesday’s quiz
                            Scott Drew coached Valparaiso for a year, before going to Baylor. He replaced his dad Homer Drew at Valpo and when he left, his dad went back and coached there some more, then was replaced by his other son, Bryce Drew.

                            Monday’s quiz
                            Dusty Baker was manager of the Cincinnati Reds, last time they won a playoff game.

                            **************************************************

                            Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

                            We’re doing a survey this week; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

                            If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

                            E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on this week.

                            13) Once a week, I order take-out food from an Olive Garden restaurant near my house; I order by phone, pay with a credit card, drive there, text them with what number parking space I’m in, and they bring my food out. It is a tremendous service and not very expensive.

                            So this week it is nice out, so I’m sitting there in my car with the window open, waiting for my food, and this woman in a car two spaces away is on her phone, cursing her kids out. Loudly.

                            “You bleeping kids!!! You better bleeping do what I said, or I’m calling your bleeping father to knock the bleep out of you!!!” She wasn’t happy.

                            I had to put my COVID mask on to hide my laughing. Luckily the guy came out with my food and I was on my way. Hope the kids enjoyed their dinner.

                            12) How would you like to be Deshaun Watson’s agent? Couple of months ago, it probably was a great gig; 25-year old QB, what could go wrong? Lets say he plays 12 more years in the NFL, at $25M a year, which is probably conservative; that’s $300M in salary for the next 12 years.

                            Agent’s take is 3%, so that’s $9M for the agent. For representing one guy; these top agents have dozens of clients, so they’re cleaning up, but if Watson’s career blows up because of his current legal problems, that could be $9M or so down the drain. No bueno.

                            11) Dodgers 5, A’s 1
                            — Oakland is now 0-6, which isn’t good.
                            — All four of their losses were by 4+ runs. A loss is a loss, but still…….
                            — Last time the A’s were 0-6, their sixth loss was against Boston, whose starting pitcher that day was………Babe Ruth.

                            10) The new extra inning format was designed to prevent games from going deep into the night, but Tuesday we had these two scores:
                            — Red Sox 6, Rays 5 (12)
                            — Arizona 10, Colorado 8 (13)

                            Ryan McMahon hit three homers and a double for Colorado, and they still lost.

                            9) Today is the day Jay Bruce finds out if he is staying in the Bronx this season, or moving on to another big league team. He homered Tuesday, making his case to stay, but when the Rangers traded 2B Roughned Odor to Bronx, it seemed to pave the way for Bruce to leave town— you figure DJ Lemahieu moves to 1B, and Odor plays 2B.

                            If there was a DH in the National League, Bruce wouldn’t have to worry about employment, but not sure how many openings there are right now for guys with his skill set.

                            8) Texas-El Paso basketball coach Rodney Terry quit to be an assistant coach at Texas; he is the second head coach to quit, in order to join Chris Beard’s Longhorn staff. Terry was at UTEP for three years, going 29-27 the last two years, 16-18 in C-USA games- he was head coach at Fresno State for seven years before that.

                            7) Baylor Bears were the first team since UCLA in 1968 (with Lew Alcindor), to win both the national semifinal and final by 15+ points. Very impressive.

                            6) San Jose State hired former Colorado State/Nebraska coach Tim Miles, who has his work cut out with the Spartans, and that’s being kind.

                            My records go back to 1997; San Jose State hasn’t had a winning record in conference play once in that time- they went 17-16 one year, but were 5-11 in the WAC.

                            Coach Miles has a great podcast which will probably get put on hold now; he’s a pleasant guy and we wish him luck. What he needs more than luck are some new recruits.

                            5) Warriors 122, Bucks 121:

                            — Golden State wins for only 2nd time in last nine games.
                            — Bucks played without their star, Giannis Antetokounmpo
                            — Steph Curry scored 41 points; he is great fun to watch.

                            4) Padres’ SS Fernando Tatis has slight tearing in his labrum, but there is no damage to his rotator cuff; the Padres say he doesn’t require surgery. He is on the IL, will be tested in ten days or so; it is his non-throwing shoulder, but he hurt it while batting, so its hard to imagine this injury just goes away without some kind of surgery or extended rest.

                            3) Nationals 6, Braves 5:
                            — Juan Soto walked it off with a 9th inning single.
                            — Max Scherzer gave up homers in 1st, 2nd, 3rd innings, for first time in his 378 career starts.
                            — Braves are already 0-4.
                            — Nationals were playing their opener, after they put ten players on the IL.

                            2) Chicago Bears’ coach Matt Nagy will be calling plays again this fall, which may mean he was given the “make the playoffs or else” ultimatum. If he’s going to get fired, it might as well be his fault. Andy Dalton is Chicago’s new QB, which should be interesting.

                            1) As you probably already know, I’m a big LA Rams fan; had NFL Network on this week and the talking heads on their morning show all agreed that they’d rather have Sam Darnold on their team than Jared Goff. Seriously? Let’s examine the facts.

                            Darnold: three years, 13-25 record. No playoff games. 45 TD’s, 39 INT’s
                            Goff: five years, 42-27 record, 3-3 playoffs. 107 TD, 55 INT’s. Won an NFC title.

                            Goff is in Detroit now, but wake up people, he’s a pretty good QB.
                            — Won a playoff game in Seattle 12 days after his broken thumb was operated on
                            — Won an NFC title game 34-31 in New Orleans
                            — Beat Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes 54-51 in a Monday night game.

                            Yeah, he’s had better coaching than Darnold, and Goff’s contract is a burden on the salary cap, but he’s won big games for the last four years. Its about time people who supposedly know the sport acknowledge that.

                            Comment


                            • 545MINNESOTA -546 INDIANA
                              MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

                              547WASHINGTON -548 ORLANDO
                              WASHINGTON is 31-10 ATS (20 Units) in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less since 1996.

                              553DALLAS -554 HOUSTON
                              HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

                              555CHARLOTTE -556 OKLAHOMA CITY
                              CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

                              557MEMPHIS -558 ATLANTA
                              MEMPHIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

                              561UTAH -562 PHOENIX
                              UTAH is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

                              Comment


                              • NBA
                                Armadillo's Write-Up

                                Wednesday, April 7


                                Minnesota @ Indiana
                                Timberwolves (13-38)
                                — Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
                                — Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their last six games overall.
                                — Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

                                Pacers (22-27)
                                — Indiana is 5-9 SU in its last fourteen games.
                                — You’re reading ***************.com
                                — Pacers are 0-10 ATS in their last ten home games.
                                — Indiana is 6-3-1 ATS if it played the night before.
                                — Over is 6-3 in Indiana’s last nine home games.

                                — Pacers won last four series games.
                                — Minnesota covered three of last four visits to Indiana.
                                — Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

                                Washington @ Orlando
                                Wizards (17-32)
                                — Wizards lost 12 of their last 15 games SU.
                                — Wizards are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
                                — You’re reading ***************.com
                                — Under is 6-1 in their last seven games

                                Magic (17-33)
                                — Orlando lost 15 of its last 19 games.
                                — Magic is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games overall.
                                — Over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

                                — Orlando won last six series games, covered last five.
                                — Wizards are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Orlando.
                                — Five of last six series games went over.

                                New York @ Boston
                                Knicks (25-26)
                                — New York lost four of their last five games.
                                — Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
                                — Under is 8-3 in New York’s last 11 games.

                                Celtics (25-26)
                                — Boston is 5-8 SU in its last 13 games.
                                — Celtics are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
                                — Boston is 4-6 ATS if it played the night before.
                                — Under is 8-0 in their last eight home games.

                                — Celtics won eight of last ten series games.
                                — Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
                                — Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

                                New Orleans @ Brooklyn
                                Pelicans (22-28)
                                — New Orleans lost three of its last four games.
                                — Pelicans are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
                                — New Orleans is 3-5 ATS if it played night before.
                                — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

                                Nets (35-16)
                                — Brooklyn won 19 of their last 23 games
                                — Nets are 1-6 ATS in last seven games overall.
                                — Under is 7-2 in last nine Brooklyn games.

                                — Nets won last three series games, covered last four.
                                — Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
                                — Six of last seven series games went over.

                                Memphis @ Atlanta
                                Grizzlies (25-23)
                                — Memphis won seven of its last ten games.
                                — Grizzlies are 9-1 ATS in last ten games overall.
                                — Three of last four Memphis games stayed under total.

                                Hawks (27-24)
                                — Hawks is 13-4 SU since they changed coaches.
                                — Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
                                — Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

                                — Memphis won five of last eight series games.
                                — Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
                                — Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.

                                Dallas @ Houston
                                Mavericks (28-21)
                                — Mavericks are 10-5 SU since All-Star break.
                                — Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in last seven road games.
                                — Under is 16-5 in last 21 Dallas games.

                                Rockets (13-37)
                                — Houston lost 27 of its last 29 games (6-23 ATS).
                                — Rockets are 3-18 ATS in last 21 home games.
                                — Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

                                — Rockets won five of last seven series games.
                                — Dallas covered four of last five visits to Houston.
                                — Four of last five series games went over.

                                Charlotte @ Oklahoma City
                                Hornets (25-24)
                                — Charlotte won five of its last eight games SU.
                                — Hornets covered six of their last eight games.
                                — Under is 12-2 in Charlotte’s last 14 games.

                                Thunder (20-30)
                                — Thunder are 1-6 SU in their last seven games.
                                — OKC is 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
                                — Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

                                — Thunder won last five series games.
                                — Charlotte is 3-1 ATS in last four trips to Oklahoma.
                                — Last five series games stayed under the total.

                                San Antonio @ Denver
                                Spurs (24-24)
                                — San Antonio lost eight of its last ten games.
                                — Spurs are 4-0 ATS in last four road games- their last road game was 17 days ago.
                                — Over is 8-3 in Spurs’ last eleven games.

                                Nuggets (32-18)
                                — Denver is 20-7 SU in its last 27 games overall.
                                — Nuggets are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
                                — Over is 6-2 in Denver’s last eight home games.

                                — Nuggets won five of last seven series games.
                                — Spurs are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
                                — Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

                                Utah @ Phoenix
                                Jazz (38-12)
                                — Utah won eight of its last nine games overall.
                                — Jazz is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.
                                — Under is 6-3 in Utah’s last nine games.

                                Suns (35-14)
                                — Phoenix won 27 of its last 33 games (22-11 ATS).
                                — Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
                                — Over is 4-0 in their last four games.

                                — Suns won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
                                — Jazz covered three of last four visits to the desert.
                                — Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

                                Comment

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