Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

Hoop Trends for Monday April 26
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Atlanta at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Pistons are 11-0-2 on the ATS (8.31 ppg) facing an opponent that has a season-to-date average of at least 1.30 points per field goal attempt.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Dallas at Sacramento (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mavericks are 0-13 on the ATS (-11.65 ppg) off a home game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Memphis at Denver (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Grizzlies are 12-0 OU (13.21 ppg) with no rest after they had at least 30% of their points from three-pointers last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Boston at Charlotte (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-17-1 OU (-14.89 ppg) when OG Anunoby has made more three-pointers than two-pointers the game prior.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the Big X football title this fall:
4-5— Oklahoma
5-2— Iowa State
7-2— Texas
7-1— Oklahoma State
22-1— West Virginia
28-1— Kansas State, TCU
40-1— Baylor, Texas Tech
150-1— Kansas
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 572,201
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“Aaron’s (Rodgers) our guy. He’s going to be our quarterback for the foreseeable future.”
Green Bay Packers GM Brian Gutekunst

Tuesday’s quiz
When Catfish Hunter threw a perfect game in a 4-0 win for the A’s in 1968, which future Hall of Famer knocked in three of Oakland’s four runs?

Monday’s quiz
Seven active NFL QB’s have thrown six TD passes in a game:
Brady, Fitzpatrick, Foles, Mahomes, Rodgers, Roethlisberger, Trubisky

Sunday’s quiz
Nick Foles is the only active NFL quarterback who has thrown 7 TD’s in a game.

***********************************************

Tuesday’s quiz: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Giants 12, Rockies 0— Rough day for the Colorado franchise; their GM jumped/got pushed, then they went out and trailed 9-0 in the 2nd inning in San Francisco.

Will the next GM decide whether or not to trade Trevor Story, or is the owner deciding that? Right now, the franchise appears to be a mess.

12) Texas Longhorns have already poached four basketball players from other schools:
— Creighton, Kentucky, Utah, Vanderbilt.

Or, as Jerry Tarkanian famously said, “I prefer transfers; their cars are already paid for”

Thats the new thing in college basketball; don’t recruit freshmen, steal other team’s players.

11) Sometimes great things happen by accident.

Week 8 of the 1984 NFL season, 49ers are in Houston to play the Oilers; coach Bill Walsh is bored the night before the game, is watching the local Houston news in his hotel room, when he sees the highlights of a small college football game played that day.

Thats where Walsh discovered Jerry Rice, watching the local news in his hotel room.

10) One of the best ongoing arguments is debating which quarterback was better than all the others, because everyone uses different criteria to decide.

I’ve had this debate with several different people; it is always fun.

9) Atlanta Braves won the last 60 times they’ve led after 8 innings, the longest active streak in the major leagues.

8) Back in 1985, Michael Jordan’s contract with Nike said that if Nike didn’t sell $4M in Air Jordans by Michael’s third year in the NBA, Nike could end the deal.

In the first month Air Jordans were on sale, in six test markets, Nike sold $29M worth of Air Jordans.

7) So far this young season, teams have stolen 28 bases against the Dodgers; no other team has given up more than 15 stolen bases.

6) This week in 1904, Jack Chesbro won his first game of the season; he went on to go 41-12 that year, starting 51 of the 55 games he appeared in. 41 wins is definitely a record that will never, ever be broken.

5) Bill Fralic was an offensive lineman for the Atlanta Falcons in the 80’s; he was the second pick in the 1985 draft. As part of his contract, Fralic is still getting paid $150,000 a year, and will be for the rest of his life. Pretty good deal.

4) Ryan Griffin has been the Tampa Bay Bucs’ backup QB the last six years, winning a Super Bowl ring last year, making into Hard Knocks a few years ago. This fall, Griffin will be the first QB ever to be on the Buccaneers’ roster seven years in a row.

Here’s the thing; in these last six years, Griffin threw a total of four passes.

3) Happy birthday this week to a couple of legends; Al Pacino turned 81 years old, Carol Burnett turned 88.

2) Shohei Ohtani is hitting .300 in his first 80 at-bats this season; he is also 1-0, 3.29 in three starts pitching, making him a very unique two-way player.

Monday night in Arlington, Ohtani went 2-3, scored three runs, knocked in two, and pitched five innings as the Angels beat Texas 9-4. When Ohtani pitches and bats, the Angels can’t have a DH, so when Ohtani gave up four runs in the first inning, Joe Maddon had to be a little queasy.

But Ohtani blanked Texas out in innings 2-5; he is an interesting player.

1) NFL Network has run some half-hour shows this week, dealing with each year’s draft; I hadn’t seen all of them before, but they’re very well done and worth watching, a history of the league, lot of good nuggets, some of which will undoubtedly make it into this space.

[Udog]

553PORTLAND -554 INDIANA
INDIANA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

555MILWAUKEE -556 CHARLOTTE
MILWAUKEE is 29-11 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the last 3 seasons.

555MILWAUKEE -556 CHARLOTTE
Mike Budenholzer is 29-11 ATS (16.9 Units) in road games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points (Coach of MILWAUKEE)

557OKLAHOMA CITY -558 BOSTON
BOSTON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

559BROOKLYN -560 TORONTO
TORONTO is 53-33 ATS (16.7 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

559BROOKLYN -560 TORONTO
Nick Nurse is 53-33 ATS (16.7 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season (Coach of TORONTO)

561MINNESOTA -562 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

563DALLAS -564 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, April 27

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 27

Oklahoma City @ Boston
Thunder (20-41)
— Thunder lost 14 in row, 17 of last 18 games.
— OKC is 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 13-3 in their last 16 road games.

Celtics (32-29)
— Boston lost three of its last four games.
— Celtics are 5-3 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games

— Celtics won six of last seven series games.
— Thunder is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Bucks (37-23)
— Milwaukee lost three of its last five games SU.
— Bucks are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 4-1 in Milwaukee’s last five road games.

Hornets (30-30)
— Charlotte lost six of its last nine games SU.
— Hornets are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games.
— Under is 19-6 in Charlotte’s last 25 games.

— Hornets are 2-0 vs Milwaukee this year, winning by 12-8 points.
— Bucks are 0-6 ATS in last six visits to Charlotte. /
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Portland @ Indiana
Trailblazers (32-28)
— Portland lost last five games, three by 1 or 2 points.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 0-4 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 9-4 in Portland’s last 13 games.

Pacers (29-31)
— Indiana won its last three games after a 1-4 skid.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Pacers are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five home games.

— Portland won seven of last ten series games.
— Blazers are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Brooklyn @ Toronto
Nets (41-20)
— Brooklyn won three of its last four games SU.
— Nets are 3-5 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine Brooklyn road games.

Raptors (26-35)
— Toronto won/covered five of its last six games.
— Raptors are 5-0 ATS in last five home games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

— Raptors won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Nets are 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Minnesota @ Houston
Timberwolves (18-44)
— Minnesota won four of its last six games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wolves are 5-5-1 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Rockets (15-46)
— Houston lost 36 of its last 40 games SU.
— Rockets are 6-6 ATS in last dozen games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

— Rockets won six of last seven series games.
— Minnesota is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Dallas @ Golden State
Mavericks (33-27)
— Mavericks won three of their last four games.
— Mavericks are 6-4 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 10-5 in last 15 Dallas games.

Warriors (31-30)
— Golden State won seven of its last nine games SU.
— Warriors are 5-2 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.

— Dallas won five of last six series games.
— Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Oakland/SF
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, April 27

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Trend Report
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Oklahoma City @ Boston
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games at home

Milwaukee @ Charlotte
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home

Portland @ Indiana
Portland
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games

Brooklyn @ Toronto
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Brooklyn is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Houston
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

Dallas @ Golden State
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games


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[Udog]

Hoop Trends for Tuesday April 27
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Milwaukee at Charlotte (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 11-0 ATS (12.86 ppg) off a win as a home dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Portland at Indiana (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Pacers are 0-12 ATS (-6.88 ppg) at home coming off a road game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Oklahoma City at Boston (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Celtics are 14-0-1 OU (14.60 ppg) coming off a road loss where they had at least 30% of their points on threes.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Milwaukee at Charlotte (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 0-13 OU (-19.12 ppg) after Devonte Graham was their high scorer last game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
States with the biggest (legal) sports betting handles in March:
$860M— New Jersey
$641M— Nevada
$560M— Pennsylvania
$384M— Michigan
$317M— Indiana
$301M— Colorado
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 572,201
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“I do feel like I’m being targeted every night. I have felt like I’ve been targeted, but I am just going to continue to play as hard as I can, I want the Philly fans to know that I am out there giving 130 percent every night. The calls might not go my way, I might seem a little frustrated, but I am out there to help this team win a championship.”
Dwight Howard, who has 15 technical fouls this season

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the Mets’ manager, last time they played in a World Series?

Tuesday’s quiz
When Catfish Hunter threw a perfect game in a 4-0 win for the A’s in 1968, the future Hall of Famer who knocked in three of Oakland’s four runs was……..Catfish Hunter. This was five years before the DH. Catfish was a pretty good hitter.

Monday’s quiz
Seven active NFL QB’s have thrown six TD passes in a game:
Brady, Fitzpatrick, Foles, Mahomes, Rodgers, Roethlisberger, Trubisky

************************************************** **

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings

13) Julius Erving listed his top two all-time NBA teams; they raised some eyebrows.
1st team:
— Oscar Robertson, Jerry West, Elgin Baylor, Bill Russell, Wilt Chamberlain

2nd team:
— Magic Johnson, Michael Jordan, Larry Bird, Karl Malone, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

Again, this is Julius Erving saying this, not me. We all have our own opinions.

12) Indians 7, Twins 4:
— Minnesota was 36-24 last year; they’re 7-15 this year.
— Twins are 0-7 in one-run games, 0-5 in extra innings.
— Franmil Reyes hit two homers for Cleveland.

11) Dodgers’ 1B Max Muncy had a stretch over the weekend where he reached base nine out of ten times, but problem is, he didn’t have any hits in that span, just 8 walks and a HBP.

In his last nine games, Muncy is 1-26, with 12 walks.

10) These Kentucky Derby notes are from ESPN’s Chris Fallica:
— Last time a horse won the Kentucky Derby from the #14 post? 1961 (Carry Back)
— Since then, eight horses from the 14-post have been top three betting choices.
— Last five years, the 14-post has been a top-4 betting choice all five years, but only one of those horses cracked the trifecta.

9) Dallas 133, Golden State 103
— Mavericks ended the first quarter on a 25-0 run.
— Dallas made 18-35 shots behind the arc.
— Apparently Golden State had been playing better since they stopped practicing; their last practice was April 8, but they got squashed in this game.

8) 38-year old Arthur Smith is the Atlanta Falcons’ new head coach; his father is the guy who founded FedEx. The younger Smith played college football at North Carolina, was recently the offensive coordinator for the Tennessee Titans.

7) Blue Jays 9, Nationals 5:
— Vladimir Guerrero Jr becomes youngest player in MLB history with a 3-HR, 7 RBI game.

6) Baseball stuff:
— Bronx Bombers acquired LHP Wandy Peralta and a player to be named later from San Francisco Giants in exchange for OF Mike Tauchman.
— Reliever Jerry Blevins retired after a 13-year career, spent with four teams.

5) 29-year old Drew Valentine is the new basketball coach at Loyola Chi, replacing Porter Moser, who bolted to Oklahoma. Valentine graduated from college only eight years ago.

4) NHL is going to get a lot more exposure, with NBC Sports Network going off the air this summer. NHL has new deals with ESPN/Turner; will Charles Barkley give his hockey picks before games?

3) 529 different players have played in at least one NBA game this season.

2) There is going to be a 6-team baseball draft league, leading up to July’s amateur draft, with all six managers being former major league players. Amateur players who are hoping to be drafted will play ball; I’m assuming they’ll use wooden bats, which they don’t use in college.

Baseball draft has traditionally been the first week in June, with the short season leagues getting underway couple weeks later, but those leagues are out of business now, as MLB took over the minor leagues, starting this season.

1) If you’ve hit more sacrifice flies than you’ve been walked/hit bye pitch, then your on-base %age will actually be lower than your batting average. Sacrifice bunts don’t count as at-bats, but sacrifice flies do.

[Udog]

565ATLANTA -566 PHILADELPHIA
ATLANTA is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

567LA LAKERS -568 WASHINGTON
LA LAKERS are 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

569ORLANDO -570 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

573CHICAGO -574 NEW YORK
CHICAGO is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

575SAN ANTONIO -576 MIAMI
MIAMI is 64-45 ATS (14.5 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

577NEW ORLEANS -578 DENVER
NEW ORLEANS are 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.

581UTAH -582 SACRAMENTO
UTAH is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 28

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 28

Orlando @ Cleveland
Magic (18-43)
— Orlando lost 12 of its last 13 games.
— Magic is 6-4 ATS in last ten road games.
— Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games overall.

Cavaliers (21-40)
— Cleveland lost eight of its last ten games SU.
— Cavaliers are 2-4 ATS in last six home games.
— Over is 8-5 in last 13 Cleveland games.

— Orlando won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
— Magic is 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Ohio.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Hawks (34-28)
— Hawks is 20-8 SU since they changed coaches.
— Hawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

76ers (40-21)
— 76ers lost four of their last five games SU.
— Sixers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.
— Under is 16-6 in Philly’s last 22 games.

— Atlanta won five of last seven series games.
— Hawks are 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Philly.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games

LA Lakers @ Washington
Lakers (36-25)
— Lakers lost three of their last four games.
— Lakers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 8-4 in their 12 games overall.

Wizards (27-34)
— Wizards won nine of last 12 games SU (9-3 ATS).
— Wizards are 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight home games

— Wizards won six of last nine series games.
— Lakers are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Washington.
— Four of last six series games stayed under the total.

Charlotte @ Boston
Hornets (30-31)
— Charlotte lost seven of its last ten games SU.
— Hornets are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
— Under is 20-6 in Charlotte’s last 26 games.

Celtics (32-30)
— Boston lost four of its last five games.
— Celtics are 6-9 ATS in their last 15 home games.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 games

— Celtics won six of last eight series games
— Hornets are 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Boston.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games

Chicago @ New York
Bulls (26-35)
— Chicago lost seven of its last 11 games SU.
— Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight road games.

Knicks (34-28)
— New York won 9 of last 10 games (12-1 ATS last 13).
— Knicks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games.
— Over is 10-3 in New York’s last 13 games

— Knicks won five of last seven series games
— Bulls are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Manhattan.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

San Antonio @ Miami
Spurs (31-29)
— San Antonio won five of its last six games.
— Spurs are 7-1 ATS in last eight road games.
— Under is 6-1 in Spurs’ last seven games.

Heat (32-30)
— Miami won/covered four of its last six games.
— Heat is 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.

— Heat won four of last five series games.
— Spurs are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Portland @ Memphis
Trailblazers (33-28)
— Portland lost five of its last six games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 9-5 in Portland’s last 14 games.

Grizzlies (31-29)
— Memphis is 4-3 in its last six games SU.
— 4th game in six nights for the Grizzlies.
— Grizzlies are 17-5 ATS in last 22 games overall.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Memphis games.

— Teams are playing each other for third time in six nights.
— Memphis is 4-3 in last seven series games.
— Blazers are 0-3 ATS in last six visits to Memphis.
— Three of last four series games went over the total.

New Orleans @ Denver
Pelicans (27-34)
— New Orleans lost five of its last seven games.
— Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Nuggets (40-21)
— Denver won 14 of its last 17 games.
— Nuggets are 2-4 ATS in last six home games.
— Over is 4-2 in Denver’s last six home games.

— New Orleans won four of last six series games.
— Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
— Six of last seven series games stayed under.

LA Clippers @ Phoenix
Clippers (43-20)
— Clippers won 17 of their last 21 games.
— Clippers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Six of last seven Clipper games stayed under the total.

Suns (43-18)
— Phoenix won seven of its last ten games (3-3 last six).
— Suns are 1-3 ATS in their last four home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 12-4 in their last 16 games.

— Clippers won eight of last ten series games.
— LA is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Phoenix.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games

Utah @ Sacramento
Jazz (44-17)
— Utah lost three of its last five games.
— Jazz is 3-7 ATS in its last ten road games.
— Under is 6-1 in Utah’s last seven games.

Kings (25-36)
— Sacramento won three of its last five games.
— Kings are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 7-4 in Sacramento’s last 11 home games.

— Utah won five of last six series games
— Jazz are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Sacramento.
— Six of last nine series games went over the total.

[Udog]

NBA

Wednesday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Orlando @ Cleveland
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games

LA Lakers @ Washington
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 11 games
Washington
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Charlotte @ Boston
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

Chicago @ New York
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games
New York is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

San Antonio @ Miami
San Antonio
San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

Portland @ Memphis
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Portland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

New Orleans @ Denver
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Denver
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Utah @ Sacramento
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing Utah

LA Clippers @ Phoenix
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
LA Clippers is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games


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[Udog]

Hoop Trends for Wednesday April 28
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: LA Clippers at Phoenix (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 11-0 ATS (12.55 ppg) on the road coming off a 10+ point loss.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Memphis (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-12 ATS (-11.75 ppg) coming off a road win where Damian Lillard made more three pointers than two pointers.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Antonio at Miami (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 12-0-1 OU (8.92 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Charlotte at Boston (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Hornets are 0-14 OU (-17.93 ppg) after Devonte Graham was their high scorer last game

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds for this week’s Valspar Championship:
17-2— Justin Thomas
10-1— Dustin Johnson
20-1— Paul Casey, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Reed
22-1— Corey Conners
28-1— Scottie Scheffler
31-1— Russ Henley, Sungjae Im, Louis Oosthuizen
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 573,420
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“………like an explosion. It’s like you almost go into shock. You think, ‘Is the next one the one that’s going to take me out?’”
Former umpire Dale Scott, describing getting hit in the mask by a foul tip

Thursday’s quiz
Who is the last player the Rams drafted in the first round?

Wednesday’s quiz
Terry Collins was the Mets’ manager, last time they played in a World Series.

Tuesday’s quiz
When Catfish Hunter threw a perfect game in a 4-0 win for the A’s in 1968, the future Hall of Famer who knocked in three of Oakland’s four runs was……..Catfish Hunter. This was five years before the DH. Catfish was a pretty good hitter.

************************************************** ****

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) NFL Draft will happen in Cleveland Thursday-Saturday; six years ago, the NFL pushed back its draft to help promote the movie Draft Day, but Radio City Music Hall wasn’t available for the later date, so they took the NHL’s lead and moved the draft to Chicago that year.

They quickly realized they had stumbled upon a great idea, moving the draft around the country, mostly to cities that will never host a Super Bowl. It is good for the league.

12) Thursday is just the first round; Rams haven’t had a first round pick since 2016, so my laptop will be doing double duty- there are five baseball games tonight, too.

11) Carolina Panthers are switching to FieldTurf in their home stadium this year, leaving the NFL with 14 artificial turf fields, 16 grass fields (two stadiums are shared by teams).

10) Carolina traded QB Teddy Bridgewater to Denver Thursday, getting a 6th-round pick from the Broncos. Panthers acquired Sam Darnold from the Jets, making Bridgewater expendable.

Someone posted a betting ticket on Twitter, where a guy wagered $1,000 at 20-1 odds a few weeks ago, that Bridegwater would take the Broncos’ first snap from center in September. He is either really smart, really lucky or he had some inside knowledge.

9) Suns 109, Clippers 101— Phoenix clinches its first playoff appearance in 11 years; Monty Williams has to be NBA Coach of the Year, right?

8) Chicago White Sox are 12-10 so far this year, but if you bet them in first 5 innings play, then they’re 15-2-5; they’ve trailed only two of 22 games after the 5th inning. Their bullpen hasn’t been good. Chicago is 2-7 in games where the winning run scored from the 7th inning on.

7) I am convinced that major league umpires have been schooled to call more strikes on check swings this season, probably to quicken pace of play. MLB wants quicker games, but they also want more scoring; can’t have both of those things, fellas.

6) Nolan Ryan struck out seven guys late in his career, whose fathers he had struck out earlier in his career.

5) Braves 10, Cubs 0— Chicago used three position players to pitch in this game; they’re 10-14 and in last place in the NL Central. Maybe I’m just a miserable older person, but if my team was losing 10-0, I wouldn’t be yukking it up while the first baseman pitched. I understand that it is a long season and all, but the Cubs don’t look like a team that cares a whole lot.

4) Red Sox 1, Mets 0— Mets scored one run the last two nights; they’ve scored a total of 13 runs in Jacob deGrom’s five starts, and he knocked in a couple of those himself.

Fans are booing Francisco Lindor already; who is going to be the first guy who gets booed who says he misses last year’s cardboard cutouts?

3) Ole Miss fired offensive line coach/running game coordinator Randy Clements, three days after its spring football game. The firing was for football reasons and not related to any off-the-field issues, but Ole Miss led the SEC in rushing yardage last year.

Must be an interesting story tucked away in there somewhere.

2) End of this month meant scouring the Extra Innings Package, trying to find a decent pitcher to add to my fantasy squad. You never have pitching in keeper leagues, especially this year, when younger pitchers might hit an innings limit later on and get shut down for the year.

Long time ago, maybe 10-12 years ago, I had this guy pitching for the Padres; my pitching staff had fallen apart and I was clutching at straws trying to find capable pitchers. It wasn’t going well; this guy was pitching against Arizona and Tom Candiotti was the TV analyst.

Candiotti spent about two innings explaining why this guy would never be an effective starting pitcher in the majors; I went to my computer and cut the guy, while he was still pitching in the game. Candiotti was right; the guy wound up going 4-10 for San Diego that year.

1) Haven’t decided yet what format tomorrow’s den will take; there will be a ton of info to go thru, as all four team sports, plus golf are going on. If I do a running diary, it is more likely to be Friday than tonight.

It is good to be getting back to normal, that’s for sure.

[Udog]

501DALLAS -502 DETROIT
DALLAS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

503BROOKLYN -504 INDIANA
INDIANA is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

505GOLDEN STATE -506 MINNESOTA
GOLDEN STATE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

507MILWAUKEE -508 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

511NEW ORLEANS -512 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 29






NBA

Thursday, April 29

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Detroit
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

Brooklyn @ Indiana
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 14 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Indiana is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Brooklyn

Milwaukee @ Houston
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Golden State @ Minnesota
Golden State
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Minnesota is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Toronto @ Denver
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto


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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 29

Dallas @ Detroit
Mavericks (34-27)
— Mavericks won four of their last five games.
— Mavericks are 7-4 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Dallas road games.

Pistons (19-43)
— Detroit is 3-4 SU in its last seven games
— Pistons are 15-10-1 ATS since the All-Star break.
— Under is 3-0 in Detroit’s last three games.

— Dallas won three of last four series games.
— Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Brooklyn @ Indiana
Nets (42-20)
— Brooklyn won four of its last five games SU.
— Nets are 4-2 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten Brooklyn road games.

Pacers (29-32)
— Indiana won three of its last four games SU.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Pacers are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Over is 5-1 in Indiana’s last six home games.

— Brooklyn won/covered last three series games.
— Nets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Milwaukee @ Houston
Bucks (38-23)
— Milwaukee won three of its last four games SU.
— Bucks are 6-2 ATS in last eight road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 5-1 in Milwaukee’s last six road games.

Rockets (15-47)
— Houston lost 37 of its last 41 games SU.
— Rockets are 6-7 ATS in last thirteen games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Milwaukee won three of last four series games.
— Bucks are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

Golden State @ Minnesota
Warriors (31-31)
— Golden State won seven of its last ten games SU.
— Warriors are 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Timberwolves (19-44)
— Minnesota won five of its last seven games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wolves are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Warriors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
Pelicans (27-35)
— New Orleans lost six of its last eight games.
— Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

Thunder (21-41)
— Thunder lost 17 of its last 19 games.
— OKC is 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six home games.

— Thunder won five of last six series games.
— Pelicans are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Toronto @ Denver
Raptors (26-36)
— Toronto won/covered five of its last seven games.
— Raptors are 1-9 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Nuggets (41-21)
— Denver won 15 of its last 18 games.
— Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 4-1 in Denver’s last five games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Denver is 3-2 in last five road series games.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.