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Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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  • NBA

    Wednesday, April 21


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Chicago @ Cleveland
    Chicago
    Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games at home

    Golden State @ Washington
    Golden State
    Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Brooklyn @ Toronto
    Brooklyn
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games
    Toronto
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn

    Oklahoma City @ Indiana
    Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
    Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

    Phoenix @ Philadelphia
    Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Phoenix is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    Utah @ Houston
    Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Utah

    Atlanta @ New York
    Atlanta
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    New York
    New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Miami @ San Antonio
    Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 13 games on the road
    Miami is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
    San Antonio
    San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
    San Antonio is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Miami

    Detroit @ Dallas
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
    Detroit is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 13 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games

    Memphis @ LA Clippers
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
    LA Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

    Denver @ Portland
    Denver
    Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
    Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
    Portland is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Denver

    Minnesota @ Sacramento
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
    Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Minnesota


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, April 21


      Chicago @ Cleveland
      Bulls (24-33)
      — Chicago lost five of its last seven games SU (2-5 ATS).
      — Bulls are 1-3 ATS in their last four road games.
      — Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

      Cavaliers (20-37)
      — Cleveland lost five of its last six games SU.
      — Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
      — Three of last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.

      — Chicago won four of last five series games.
      — Bulls are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Cleveland.
      — Last three series games stayed under the total.

      Oklahoma City @ Indiana
      Thunder (20-38)
      — Thunder lost 11 in row, 14 of last 15 games.
      — OKC is 6-9 ATS in their last 15 road games.
      — Under is 12-2 in their last 14 road games.

      Pacers (26-31)
      — Indiana lost four of its last five games.
      — You’re reading ***************.com
      — Pacers are 1-12 ATS in their last 12 home games.
      — Over is 5-3 in Indiana’s last eight games.

      — Pacers won three of last four series games.
      — Thunder is 3-2 ATS in its last five trips to Indiana.
      — Last seven series games stayed under the total.

      Phoenix @ Philadelphia
      Suns (41-16)
      — Phoenix won 33 of its last 41 games (5-6 ATS last 11).
      — Suns are 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
      — You’re reading ***************.com
      — Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games.

      76ers (39-18)
      — 76ers won 11 of their last 16 games.
      — Sixers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
      — Under is 14-4 in Philly’s last 18 games.

      — Phoenix won/covered last three series games.
      — Suns are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Philly.
      — Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

      Golden State @ Washington
      Warriors (29-29)
      — Golden State won five of its last six games SU.
      — Warriors are 3-6 ATS in last nine road games.
      — Under is 13-5 in their last 18 road games.

      Wizards (24-33)
      — Wizards won seven of last nine games SU (7-2 ATS).
      — Wizards are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
      — Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games

      — Golden State won six of last eight series games.
      — Warriors are 1-3 ATS in last four visits here.
      — Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

      Brooklyn @ Toronto
      Nets (39-19)
      — Brooklyn is 5-4 SU its last nine games.
      — Nets are 3-4 ATS in last seven road games.
      — Over is 6-2 in last eight Brooklyn games.

      Raptors (24-34)
      — Toronto won/covered its last three games.
      — Raptors won/covered their last three home games.
      — Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

      — Toronto won last five series games.
      — Nets are 2-2 ATS in last four road series games.
      — Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

      Atlanta @ New York
      Hawks (32-26)
      — Hawks is 18-6 SU since they changed coaches.
      — Hawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games.
      — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

      Knicks (32-27)
      — New York won its last seven games, covered last ten.
      — Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last ten home games.
      — Over is 7-3 in New York’s last ten games.

      — Knicks won five of last six series games.
      — Hawks are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
      — Over is 4-1 in last five series games.

      Utah @ Houston
      Jazz (43-15)
      — Utah won five of its last seven games.
      — Jazz is 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games.
      — Under is 5-2 in Utah’s last seven road games.

      Rockets (15-43)
      — Houston lost 33 of its last 37 games (9-27 ATS).
      — Rockets are 4-4 ATS in last eight road games.
      — Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

      — Teams split last six series games.
      — Jazz is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
      — Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

      Detroit @ Dallas
      Pistons (18-40)
      — Detroit lost 11 of its last 17 games
      — Pistons are 13-8-1 ATS since the All-Star break.
      — Under is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.

      Mavericks (30-26)
      — Mavericks lost four of their last five games.
      — Mavericks are 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
      — Under is 20-8 in last 28 Dallas games.

      — Teams split last eight series games.
      — Pistons are 3-1-1 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
      — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

      Miami @ San Antonio
      Heat (30-28)
      — Miami split its last eight games SU.
      — Heat is 3-6 ATS in last nine road games.
      — Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.

      Spurs (28-28)
      — San Antonio won four of its last six games.
      — Spurs are 9-2 ATS in last ten road games.
      — Under is 3-0 in Spurs’ last three games.

      — Miami won three of last four series games.
      — Heat is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
      — Three of last four series games stayed under.

      Memphis @ LA Clippers
      Grizzlies (29-27)
      — Memphis is 7-4 in its last 11 games SU.
      — Grizzlies are 15-3 ATS in last 18 games overall.
      — Over is 8-1 in last nine Memphis games.

      Clippers (41-19)
      — Clippers won 15 of their last 18 games.
      — Clippers are 5-1 ATS in last six home games.
      — Three of last four Clipper games stayed under the total.

      — Clippers won five of last seven series games.
      — Memphis is 1-3 ATS in last four series games played here.
      — Last three series games stayed under the total.

      Denver @ Portland
      Nuggets (36-20)
      — Denver won 11 of its last 13 games.
      — Nuggets are 3-1 ATS in last four road games.
      — Under is 7-1-1 in Denver’s last nine road games.

      Trailblazers (32-24)
      — Portland lost six of its last eight games.
      — You’re reading ***************.com
      — Blazers are 3-5 ATS in last eight home games.
      — Under is 7-3 in Portland’s last ten games.

      — Denver won four of last five series games.
      — Nuggets covered three of last four visits to Portland.
      — Four of last six series games stayed under.

      Minnesota @ Sacramento
      Timberwolves (16-43)
      — Minnesota split its last six games.
      — You’re reading ***************.com
      — Wolves are 4-6 ATS in last ten road games.
      — Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

      Kings (23-35)
      — Sacramento lost 10 of its last 11 games.
      — Kings are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
      — Under is 5-3 in Sacramento’s last eight games.

      — Timberwolves won four of last six series games.
      — Minnesota is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Sacramento.
      — Four of last five series games stayed under the total.
      Last edited by Udog; 04-21-2021, 11:47 AM.

      Comment


      • Hoop Trends for Wednesday April 21
        Vince Akins

        ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
        Matchup: Atlanta at New York (8:10 p.m. ET)

        -- The Knicks are 12-0 ATS (10.38 ppg) after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game.

        ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
        Matchup: Utah at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

        -- The Rockets are 0-17 ATS (-9.71 ppg) at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ point loss.

        OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
        Matchup: Minnesota at Sacramento (10:10 p.m. ET)

        -- The Kings are 10-0 OU (17.95 ppg) at home off a home game where DeAaron Fox was not their high scorer.

        OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
        Matchup: Miami at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

        -- The Heat are 0-10 OU (-21.50 ppg) on the road coming off a win.

        Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

        Comment


        • Thursday’s 6-pack
          Active leaders in career games pitched:

          790— Joe Smith
          777— Tyler Clippard
          738— Sergio Romo
          733— Joakim Soria
          695— Oliver Perez
          639— Kenley Jansen
          Americans who have died from COVID-19: 567,557
          PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


          Quote of the Day
          “Put a tent on that circus.”
          Mets’ TV guy Gary Cohen, after the Cubs scored seven runs in the 4th inning Wednesday, helped by a couple errors by the Mets.

          Thursday’s quiz
          When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, who did they beat?

          Wednesday’s quiz
          Peyton Manning was the first pick of the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the #2 pick.

          Tuesday’s quiz
          Rick Pitino has had a long, very successful coaching career; his first head coaching job was at Boston University, from 1978-83

          ************************************************** *******

          Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

          13) Braves 4, Bronx 1— Atlanta starter Ian Anderson blanked New York for 6.2 innings last night; he went to Shenendehowa HS in Clifton Park, NY, about 15 miles north of Armadillo World HQ. Pretty strong performance 160 miles south of home.

          Knicks 137, Hawks 127 OT— 10-15 miles away at Madison Square Garden, Kevin Huerter scored 17 points for Atlanta; he also went to Shenendehowa, before going to Maryland.

          Pretty cool coincidence for two high school friends/teammates.

          12) Knicks, by the way, have now won eight games in a row, covered 11 in a row; they’re the #4 seed in the Eastern Conference. Going to be an interesting vote between Tom Thibodeau and the Suns’ Monty Williams, for NBA Coach of the Year.

          11) Arizona 8, Cincinnati 5:
          — Strong candidate for Bad Beat of the Week, if you had Reds/under. Cincinnati led this game 3-0 in ninth inning, but Josh VanMeter hit a 3-run tater to tie the game, then the Snakes scored five runs in the 10th inning.
          — Reds gets Castellano back from suspension Thursday, a big deal for their lineup.

          10) Marlins 3, Orioles 0:
          — Trevor Rogers is 2-1, 1.64 in four starts; he’s looking pretty good.

          9) A’s 13, Twins 12 (10):
          — Weird game; after not scoring a run in a doubleheader Tuesday, Minnesota scored 12 runs here and still loses— their defense fell apart in the last inning.
          — Hector Cruz homered twice for the Twins.

          — Minnesota had 18 hits, but they pinch-ran for Josh Donaldson in the 10th inning and it badly compromised their infield defense, which cost them the game.

          8) Cubs 16, Mets 4:
          — Things got so bad that 3B Luis Guillorme pitched the bottom of the 8th inning.
          — When Javier Baez batted in against Guillorme, he hit lefty for only the third time in his career, so as not to screw up his righty swing against a position player.
          — When the home team announcer says “Put a tent on this circus” after a bad half-inning, you know the team’s defense needs some work.

          7) From 2000-09, 95 position players pitched in big league games. Since 2010, 310 position players have toed the rubber. White Sox used two position players to pitch in Monday’s loss.

          6) Pacers 122, Thunder 116— Oklahoma City lost its last 12 games; their last win was way back on March 31. Thunder has a boatload of draft picks coming up over the next few years; they’re going to need them.

          5) Braves 4, Bronx 1— New York has scored 3 or fewer runs in 11 of 17 games; they’re 6-11. Not sure how the batting coach keeps his job— you can’t fire the players.

          4) Bad news for the Padres; P Dinelson Lamet left Wednesday’s start after 29 pitches with tightness in his forearm, a bad omen as he tries to recover from last year’s injury issues.

          San Diego gets talked up a lot as a viable rival for the world champion Dodgers but they’re 10-10 and looking very average.

          3) Evil bastard alert: Hong Kong police arrested a 19-year old guy who bilked a 90-year old woman out of $32M. The woman lives in Hong Kong’s most expensive neighborhood; the evil bastard has obviously never heard of the term “karma” before.

          2) Genius alert: Houston Rockets’ guard Kevin Porter Jr will miss time because of a violation of the NBA’s health/safety protocols after he visited a Miami strip club with teammate Sterling Brown- Brown was assaulted in a fracas at the club.

          1) NFL schedule gets released May 12 at 8pm; its not so much who you play as when you play them. That would be a great reality show, how they make the schedule, how they pick which games are in primetime.

          Comment


          • 553NEW ORLEANS -554 ORLANDO
            NEW ORLEANS are 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) in road games off a home loss in the last 3 seasons.

            555PHOENIX -556 BOSTON
            BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

            557PHILADELPHIA -558 MILWAUKEE
            PHILADELPHIA is 38-21 ATS (14.9 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

            559DETROIT -560 SAN ANTONIO
            SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

            561CHARLOTTE -562 CHICAGO
            CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

            563LA LAKERS -564 DALLAS
            LA LAKERS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.




            NBA
            Dunkel

            Thursday, April 22







            NBA

            Thursday, April 22


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Phoenix @ Boston
            Phoenix
            Phoenix is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
            Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
            Boston
            Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

            New Orleans @ Orlando
            New Orleans
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games when playing Orlando
            Orlando
            Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
            Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

            Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
            Philadelphia
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
            Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games at home
            Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

            Detroit @ San Antonio
            Detroit
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing San Antonio
            San Antonio
            San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
            San Antonio is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit

            Charlotte @ Chicago
            Charlotte
            Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
            Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Charlotte

            LA Lakers @ Dallas
            LA Lakers
            LA Lakers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
            LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
            Dallas
            The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 14 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




            NBA
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Thursday, April 22


            Phoenix @ Boston
            Suns (42-16)
            — Phoenix won 34 of its last 42 games (5-6-1 ATS last 12).
            — Suns are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

            Celtics (31-27)
            — Boston won six of its last seven games.
            — Celtics are 5-8 ATS in their last 13 home games.
            — Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games

            — Phoenix won three of last four series games.
            — Suns covered their last four visits to Boston.
            — Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

            New Orleans @ Orlando
            Pelicans (25-33)
            — New Orleans lost its last four games, two in OT.
            — Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
            — Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

            Magic (18-40)
            — Orlando lost nine of its last ten games.
            — Magic is 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
            — Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.

            — Magic won last five series games.
            — Pelicans are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Orlando.
            — Last three series games went over the total.

            Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
            76ers (39-19)
            — 76ers lost their last two games, after a 7-2 run.
            — Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
            — Under is 14-5 in Philly’s last 19 games.

            Bucks (35-22)
            — Milwaukee is 3-5 in its last eight games SU.
            — Bucks are 0-6 ATS in last six home games.
            — You’re reading ***************.com
            — Over is 14-7 in Milwaukee’s last 21 games.

            — Bucks won five of last seven series games.
            — 76ers are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Wisconsin.
            — Last three series games went under the total.

            Detroit @ San Antonio
            Pistons (18-41)
            — Detroit lost 12 of its last 18 games
            — Pistons are 14-8-1 ATS since the All-Star break.
            — Under is 7-5 in Detroit’s last dozen road games.

            Spurs (28-29)
            — San Antonio lost eight of its last 12 games.
            — Spurs are 2-9 ATS in last 11 home games.
            — Under is 4-0 in Spurs’ last four games.

            — Spurs won eight of last ten series games.
            — Detroit is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Alamo.
            — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

            Charlotte @ Chicago
            Hornets (28-29)
            — Charlotte lost five of its last six games SU.
            — Hornets are 3-4 ATS in their last seven road games.
            — Under is 17-5 in Charlotte’s last 22 games.

            Bulls (24-34)
            — Chicago lost six of its last eight games SU.
            — Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
            — Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

            — Charlotte won five of last seven series games.
            — Hornets are 2-2 ATS in last four trips to Chicago.
            — Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

            LA Lakers @ Dallas
            Lakers (35-23)
            — Lakers split their last dozen games SU.
            — Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
            — Over is 6-3 in their nine games overall.
            — Anthony Davis returns here, on a minutes limit.

            Mavericks (31-26)
            — Mavericks lost four of their last six games.
            — Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
            — Over is 3-1 in last four Dallas games.

            — Lakers won/covered six of last seven series games.
            — LA covered its last three visits to Dallas.
            — Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

            Comment


            • Hoop Trends for Thursday April 22
              Vince Akins

              ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
              Matchup: Charlotte at Chicago (9:10 p.m. ET)

              -- The Bulls are 12-0-1 ATS (10.23 ppg) coming off a loss as a road favorite where they allowed at least 15 points more than projected.

              ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
              Matchup: Detroit at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

              -- The Pistons are 0-12 ATS (-8.12 ppg) as a dog with no rest after they had 30+ assists last game.

              OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
              Matchup: Detroit at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

              -- The Pistons are 16-0 OU (15.09 ppg) as a 8+ point dog after allowed at least 45 points in the paint and being outscored in the paint last game.

              OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
              Matchup: Charlotte at Chicago (9:10 p.m. ET)

              -- The Hornets are 0-11 OU (-10.00 ppg) with less than two days rest off a game as a dog.

              Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

              Comment


              • Friday’s 6-pack
                Major league leaders in run differential:

                +37— Dodgers
                +24— Milwaukee
                +23— Boston
                +17— Cincinnati
                +14— White Sox
                +10— Toronto, San Francisco
                Americans who have died from COVID-19: 569,438
                PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                Quote of the Day
                “Every GOAT I’ve trained is driven more by failure than success. They wouldn’t trade their failures for anything.”
                Tom House

                Friday’s quiz
                Who led the major leagues in hits from 1990-99?
                Hint: He isn’t a Hall of Famer.

                Thursday’s quiz
                When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, they beat Cleveland.

                Wednesday’s quiz
                Peyton Manning was the first pick of the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the #2 pick.

                ************************************************** *************

                Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

                13) Cleveland pitcher Aaron Civale is on my fantasy baseball team; turned the Indians’ game on last night to watch him pitch against New York, thought he got squeezed by the home plate umpire in the first inning. Strike zone seemed to widen some when Cleveland batted.

                I can be paranoid now and then, so checked at the boxscore to see who the home plate umpire was; as long as I didn’t see one name, it would be no big deal. But then I saw it……..

                Sure enough, Will Bleepin’ Little was umpiring home plate; Cleveland wasn’t going to win.

                12) Since the start of the 2015 season, Bronx Bombers are 12-1 when Little calls balls/strikes in their games; in the one loss, the last out was a fly ball to the fence that would’ve won the game.

                Back in 2017, I was sitting at a bar having lunch, watching the A’s play in the Bronx; they lost 3-2, the only game A’s 2B Jed Lowrie has ever been thrown out of, that’s how bad Little was.

                Sure enough, Indians lost 6-3 last night, though Civale did OK. Little shouldn’t be allowed to ump behind the plate when the Bronx Bombers are playing.

                11) The new thing in baseball is having players who can play several positions; it helps if guys get hurt and makes teams more flexible, but I’m thinking it also hurts a team’s defense— if a guy is playing several positions, he has to practice lot of different throws, hard to excel at any one of the positions.

                Watching lot of games every night, between the shifts putting fielders in unusual places, and guys playing several positions, think infield defense has suffered some so far this season.

                10) St Louis Cardinals scored 44 runs in Jack Flaherty’s first four starts, winning all four.

                Cardinals scored 7 runs in Carlos Martinez’s first four starts, losing all four.

                9) Giants 3, Marlins 0— This is a genuinely weird stat; Giants’ backup C Curt Casali started this game, and for his 5th straight start, the Giants threw a shutout.

                8) Arizona 14, Cincinnati 11 (10):
                — Game was 2-1 Arizona after the 5th inning.
                — David Peralta was 5-6 with seven RBI for Arizona.
                — Cincinnati hit six home runs and still lost.

                7) Padres 3, Dodgers 2— San Diego 2B Jake Cronenworth made two great defensive plays to help save this game, starting an 8th inning double play after fielding a vicious smash hit by Sheldon Neuse. He doesn’t field the ball, and the Dodgers tie the game, at least.

                6) Blake Snell has started four games for San Diego, but pitched a total of only 15.1 innings; that isn’t enough, especially with Dinelson Lamet now out with another arm injury. In four starts, Snell hasn’t gotten an out after the 5th inning.

                Aces on a pitching staff have to give the bullpens a breather, or else the bullpens will get worn out as the summer goes on.

                5) College football teams will have to try 2-point conversions after TD’s in the second overtime period of games rather than the third, according to a change approved Thursday by the NCAA.

                If the game is still tied after the second OT, then they’ll do 2-point conversion shootouts, kind of the way the NHL does their shootouts.

                4) If the NBA regular season ended today, the Knicks would have home court edge in the first round of the playoffs— didn’t see that coming.

                3) Baseball injuries:

                — Cubs put OF Joc Pederson (wrist) on IL
                — Padres put P Dinelson Lamet (arm) on IL
                — Giants put SS Donovan Solano (calf) on IL
                — Marlins put 3B Brian Anderson (oblique) on IL.

                2) I’m not fond of mock drafts; there are too many of them. I’m interesting in what a guy like Mel Kiper or Daniel Jeremiah on NFL Network, but when the same person does four of them, then throws in a bunch of trades, they’re just making stuff up for clickbait.

                It becomes a waste of time.

                Plus I root for the Rams, who haven’t made a first round pick since 2016, so it doesn’t matter as much to me as it does to other fans.

                1) NL East standings:
                7-7: Mets
                9-9: Phillies
                8-10: Marlins, Braves
                7-9: Nationals

                Going to be an interesting summer in that division.

                Comment


                • 567MIAMI -568 ATLANTA
                  MIAMI is 29-15 ATS (12.5 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

                  571WASHINGTON -572 OKLAHOMA CITY
                  WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

                  573LA CLIPPERS -574 HOUSTON
                  HOUSTON is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

                  575MEMPHIS -576 PORTLAND
                  MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

                  577DENVER -578 GOLDEN STATE
                  DENVER is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

                  Comment


                  • NBA
                    Dunkel

                    Friday, April 23


                    Comment


                    • NBA

                      Friday, April 23


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Trend Report
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Miami @ Atlanta
                      Miami
                      The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 14 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
                      Atlanta
                      Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home
                      Atlanta is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

                      Boston @ Brooklyn
                      Boston
                      Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                      Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      Brooklyn
                      Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
                      Brooklyn is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

                      Cleveland @ Charlotte
                      Cleveland
                      Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
                      Charlotte
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

                      LA Clippers @ Houston
                      LA Clippers
                      LA Clippers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
                      LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                      Houston
                      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games
                      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers

                      Washington @ Oklahoma City
                      Washington
                      Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
                      Oklahoma City
                      Oklahoma City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Washington
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home

                      Denver @ Golden State
                      Denver
                      Denver is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
                      Denver is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
                      Golden State
                      Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Denver

                      Memphis @ Portland
                      Memphis
                      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
                      Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                      Portland
                      Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games at home


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • NBA
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Friday, April 23


                        Miami @ Atlanta
                        Heat (31-28)
                        — Miami won/covered its last three games.
                        — Heat is 4-6 ATS in last ten road games.
                        — Under is 11-3 in their last 14 road games.

                        Hawks (32-27)
                        — Hawks is 18-7 SU since they changed coaches.
                        — Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
                        — Under is 7-3 in their last ten home games.

                        — Miami won five of last seven series games.
                        — Heat are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
                        — Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

                        Boston @ Brooklyn
                        Celtics (32-27)
                        — Boston won seven of its last eight games.
                        — Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games.
                        — Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games

                        Nets (39-20)
                        — Brooklyn is 3-4 SU its last seven games.
                        — Nets are 3-7 ATS in last ten home games.
                        — Over is 6-3 in last nine Brooklyn games.

                        — Nets won four of last five series games.
                        — Celtics are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Brooklyn.
                        — Four of last six series games went over.

                        Cleveland @ Charlotte
                        Cavaliers (21-37)
                        — Cleveland lost five of its last seven games SU.
                        — Cavaliers are 5-8 ATS in last 13 road games.
                        — Over is 7-3 in last ten Cleveland games.

                        Hornets (28-30)
                        — Charlotte lost six of its last seven games SU.
                        — Hornets are 1-3 ATS in their last four home games.
                        — Under is 18-5 in Charlotte’s last 23 games.

                        — Cleveland won three of last four series games.
                        — Cavaliers are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
                        — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

                        LA Clippers @ Houston
                        Clippers (42-19)
                        — Clippers won 16 of their last 19 games.
                        — Clippers are 5-3 ATS in last eight road games.
                        — Four of last five Clipper games stayed under the total.

                        Rockets (15-44)
                        — Houston lost 34 of its last 38 games (9-29 ATS).
                        — Rockets are 2-7 ATS in last nine home games.
                        — Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

                        — Clippers won three of last four series games.
                        — LA covered three of last four visits to Houston.
                        — Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

                        Washington @ Oklahoma City
                        Wizards (25-33)
                        — Wizards won seven of last nine games SU (7-2 ATS).
                        — Wizards are 5-1 ATS in last six road games.
                        — Under is 12-4 in their last 16 games

                        Thunder (20-39)
                        — Thunder lost 12 in row, 15 of last 16 games.
                        — OKC is 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games.
                        — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

                        — Wizards won three of last four series games.
                        — Washington is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to OKC.
                        — Three of last four series games stayed under.

                        Denver @ Golden State
                        Nuggets (38-20)
                        — Denver won 12 of its last 14 games.
                        — Nuggets are 3-2 ATS in last five road games.
                        — Under is 8-1-1 in Denver’s last ten road games.

                        Warriors (29-30)
                        — Golden State won five of its last seven games SU.
                        — Warriors are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
                        — Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

                        — Golden State won five of last seven series games.
                        — Nuggets are 0-4-1 ATS in last five trips to the Bay Area.
                        — Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

                        Memphis @ Portland
                        Grizzlies (29-28)
                        — Memphis is 3-5 in its last eight games SU.
                        — Grizzlies are 15-4 ATS in last 19 games overall.
                        — Over is 8-2 in last ten Memphis games.

                        Trailblazers (32-26)
                        — Portland lost last three games, last two by one point each.
                        — You’re reading ***************.com
                        — Blazers are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
                        — Under is 8-3 in Portland’s last 11 games.

                        — Home team won last nine series games.
                        — Grizzlies are 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
                        — Over is 3-2 in last five series games.

                        Comment


                        • Hoop Trends for Friday April 23
                          Vince Akins

                          ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: LA Clippers at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

                          -- The Clippers are 10-0 ATS (8.60 ppg) as a favorite with less than two days rest after a win in which they trailed by at least 15 points.

                          ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: LA Clippers at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

                          -- The Rockets are 0-18 ATS (-9.81 ppg) at home with less than two days rest coming off a 10+ point loss.

                          OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: Miami at Atlanta (7:40 p.m. ET)

                          -- The Hawks are 13-0 OU (17.96 ppg) after their opponent shot 50% or better from beyond the arc last game.

                          OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
                          Matchup: Miami at Atlanta (7:40 p.m. ET)

                          -- The Heat are 0-11 OU (-21.45 ppg) on the road coming off a win.

                          Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

                          Comment


                          • Great Job Rance looking for to Stardust Bum returning!

                            Comment


                            • Saturday’s 6-pack
                              Major league leaders in batting average (minimum 30 AB’s):

                              .429— Yermin Mercedes, CWS
                              .408— Brandon Nimmo, NYM
                              .394— Ronald Acuna Jr, Atl
                              .393— Mike Trout, LAA
                              .382— Jesse Winker, Cin
                              .381— Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Tor
                              Americans who have died from COVID-19: 570,987
                              PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                              Quote of the Day
                              “I get frustrated. I feel like there are a lot of people in the draft [where] some guys get a pass and some guys don’t. Certainly people have taken shots at Justin.”
                              Ohio State coach Ryan Day, talking about Justin Fields’ draft status with the media

                              Saturday’s quiz
                              In the history of major league baseball, who has pitched in the most games?
                              Hint: He was a reliever; not in the Hall of Fame, no longer active

                              Friday’s quiz
                              Mark Grace led the major leagues in hits from 1990-99.

                              Thursday’s quiz
                              When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, they beat Cleveland.

                              *************************************************

                              Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

                              — Got my first vaccine shot Friday morning. Allow me to preach for a few minutes:

                              Left my house at 9:15am; walked back in the house at 10:17am.

                              Drove to a ****, walked into the clearly marked area; military people were all over to guide me to the right place.

                              Gave the people my information, waited on line for a few minutes, got my shot, sat in a waiting area for 15 minutes and decompressed, then I went home.

                              Second shot is in three weeks; very simple process. Very well-organized site.

                              I encourage EVERYONE to get vaccinated, so our lives can get back to normal.

                              — One of the amusing things about being old(ER) is how young people sometimes talk to me.

                              I gave the guy my phone number to put in the computer; “Is that a landline or a cellphone?”
                              “Sir, do you have E. MAIL?” Like it is a foreign language or something.

                              Oy.

                              — Over the last four seasons, Jacob deGrom has 33 no-decisions in 80 starts; his ERA in those 33 no-decisions is 1.74, which is pretty remarkable.

                              — Los Angeles Dodger pinch hitters are 0-18 this season, with two walks.

                              — Dodgers’ SS Corey Seager is 11-20 against Colorado this season.
                              Corey Seager is 1-21 against San Diego this season.

                              — Dodgers have been favored to win their last 99 games, the longest-such streak in the last five years.

                              — Friday night. Tampa Bay P Tyler Glasnow became the first big league pitcher since 1902 (1902!!!) to give up 4+ runs in the first inning of a game, while also striking out four batters in that same inning.

                              — Thursday night, Seattle Mariners scored 7 runs on 3 hits; they’re the first team since 1994 to score 7+ runs on 3 or fewer hits.

                              — Houston Astros’ SS Carlos Correa is a free agent this winter; he’s already turned down a deal worth $125M over five years, figured he’ll make more than that in free agency.

                              Here’s the thing: Correa has played more than 110 games in a season ONCE in his career, and that was way back in 2016. One of the best abilities is availability; Correa has been productive in playoff games, but if you want to bank $30M a year, you need to be productive most every day.

                              — Kansas City Chiefs/Baltimore Ravens made a trade Friday:
                              Chiefs get:
                              — Pro Bowl tackle Orlando Brown
                              — A 2021 2nd-round pick (# 58)
                              — A 2022 6th-round pick.

                              Ravens get:
                              — KC’s 2021 1st-round pick (#31 overall),
                              — KC’s 3rd-round pick (#94)
                              — KC’s 4th-round pick (#136)
                              — A 2022 5th-round pick

                              — Memphis 130, Portland 128— These teams are playing each other three times in six days, which is very weird scheduling by the NBA.

                              — Random trivia: actor George Clooney is the nephew of the famous singer Rosemary Clooney; apparently, I’m the only person in America who didn’t know this.

                              — When I was a kid, people were always saying how you should aspire to be a doctor or a lawyer, jobs where you make a lot of money. Sound advice.

                              If I was advising a young person, I’d tell him to become a beer distributor; you still make a lot of money, and you ain’t ever going to run out of customers. Plus, it doesn’t require graduate school.

                              When I was a kid, two guys in my neighborhood drove Cadillacs:
                              — Mr Reilly, who owned two funeral homes
                              — Mr Oliver, the beer distributor

                              Comment


                              • 501TORONTO -502 NEW YORK
                                NEW YORK is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game in the current season.

                                503PHILADELPHIA -504 MILWAUKEE
                                PHILADELPHIA is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

                                505DETROIT -506 INDIANA
                                INDIANA is 0-13 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

                                509CHICAGO -510 MIAMI
                                CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the current season.

                                511LA LAKERS -512 DALLAS
                                DALLAS are 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

                                513MINNESOTA -514 UTAH
                                UTAH is 12-4 ATS (7.6 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

                                515HOUSTON -516 DENVER
                                HOUSTON is 36-52 ATS (-21.2 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

                                Comment

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