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Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, December 22
Georgia beat Georgia Tech the last three years, all by 14+ points; Dawgs lost four of last six visits here. Georgia is 6-4 vs schedule #302; they’re experience team #244 whose subs are playing minutes #7. Dawgs turn ball over 22.5% of time (#319); they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 4-15-2 points. Tech lost at home to Gardner-Webb Monday, then won at Arkansas Wednesday; Yellow Jackets are 6-4 vs schedule #230- they’re experience team #262 whose defensive eFG% is #9 in country- they force turnovers 21.8% of time (#54).
Clemson beat South Carolina last two years, by 16-2 points; Tigers won five of their last seven visits to Columbia. Clemson is 8-3 vs schedule #215, 8-0 vs teams outside top 100; they’re #54 experience team that makes 59.2% of its shots inside arc (#3), forcing turnovers 21.3% of time. Carolina lost its last three games, by 9-11-17 points; they’re 4-6 vs schedule #193, only 3-3 in home games, with losses to Stony Brook/Wofford. Gamecocks’ eFG% is #269; they’ve made only 30.5% of their 3’s (#289), are 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing all four games by 9+ points.
Kentucky/North Carolina split last four meetings; they split pair of games two years, that were decided by total of five points. Kentucky is 8-2 vs schedule #308; they’re 0-2 away from Rupp Arena, losing by 34 to Duke, 1 to Seton Hall, both on neutral floors. Wildcats are experience team #351 that is #3 on offensive boards, dominated lesser opponents. UNC is 8-2 vs schedule #48 after beating Gonzaga LW; Tar Heels are #174 experience team that is top 10 rebounding team- they’re 2-2 vs top 100 teams. Carolina is playing tempo #8 so far this season.
Wichita State won its last three games, is 7-4 vs schedule #134; Shockers are experience team #277 (#346 in MC) whose eFG% is #280- they’re making only 31.8% of shots on arc (#257), 46.5% of shots inside arc (#277)- this is their first true road game. VCU lost its last two games, is 7-4 vs schedule #51; Rams are experience team #227 whose subs are playing minutes #30. VCU has #313 eFG%; they’re turning ball over 20.9% of time (#268), shooting 27.9% on arc (#326). VCU is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with four wins by 11+ points.
Former Big East rivals UConn/Villanova meet for first time since Huskies upset Villanova in 2nd round of NCAAs five years ago. UConn is 9-3 vs schedule #334; they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, beating Syracuse on neutral floor, losing other three games by 19-4-8 points. 8 of their 9 wins are over teams who are ranked outside top 200. Villanova lost its last two games by total of 7 points; Wildcats are 8-4 vs schedule #64- they’re #188 experience team that is playing tempo #347. Villanova is 3-3 vs top 100 teams; they’re making 55.4% of shots inside arc (#52).
Arizona State made 14-28 on arc in 95-85 upset win at Kansas LY, after trailing 15-2 early on; Jayhawks took 38 3’s, only 29 2’s in that game. ASU lost two of last three games; this is their first home game in three weeks; Sun Devils are 8-2 vs schedule #105- they’re experience team #297 that is a top 10 rebounding team- they split four top 100 games. Kansas is 10-0 vs #16 schedule; they’ve got six top 100 wins. Jayhawks have three neutral floor wins; this is their first true road game this year. Kansas is #287 experience team whose subs play minutes #264.
Montana lost four of last five D-I games; they’re 4-4 vs schedule #79. Grizzlies are experience team #13 that is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, scoring 55 ppg in their only true road games this season- they were held to 42 points in loss at Arizona Wednesday. Montana is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#65). South Dakota State is 10-4 vs schedule #322; Jackrabbits are experience team #182 whose bench is playing minutes #338. State has made 44.4% of its 3’s this season, #1 in nation; their eFG% is #3. Jackrabbits are 1-2 vs top 150 teams, with best win over #136 Grand Canyon.
UCLA beat Ohio State 86-73 in last meeting two years ago in Las Vegas, but Bruins were 12-0 at the time, Buckeyes were in midst of a 4-7 skid. UCLA lost by 29 at Cincinnati Wednesday; they are 3-4 in last seven games- Bruins are 7-4 vs schedule #113. UCLA is experience team #349 that is 0-3 away from Pauley Pavilion, losing by 20-16-29 points. Ohio State is 10-1 vs schedule #209; Buckeyes are experience team #246 that is 4-1 vs top 100 teams, with only loss 72-62 at home to Syracuse. OSU has wins at Clemson/Cincinnati, a neutral floor win over Illinois.
Saint Mary’s beat Western Kentucky 73-51 in last meeting two years ago. Gaels won five of last six games after a 3-4 start; SMC is #272 experience team that is 2-5 vs teams in top 150, with 73-58 win at New Mexico State in their only true road game. Gaels have #9 eFG% in country, making 39.5% of 3’s, 56.2% inside arc- they play slow (#323) pace. WKU lost five of last seven games, is 5-6 vs schedule #63; their last four games were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Hilltoppers are #326 experience team that is 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
BYU is 3-4 in its last seven games, with couple losses in OT; Cougars are experience team #145 (#22 in MC) that is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 16-3-10 points. BYU is 8-5 vs schedule #252; they’re 3-3 vs teams in top 150- their 30.3% 3-point shooting (#295) is hurting them. San Diego State hasn’t played in 10 days; their last D-I game was two weeks ago. Aztecs are 5-4 vs schedule #126; they’re experience team #221 (#76 in MC) that is making 39.2% of its 3’s (#28) with a thin roster (subs play minutes #325)- they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, beating Xavier.
Auburn made 12-27 on arc in 81-77 win at Murray State LY, after being down 12-2 early; Tigers are 9-2 vs schedule #92 after losing 78-71 at NC State Wednesday. Auburn is experience team #40 that is leading country in forcing turnovers (28.4%) and blocked shots (21.1%). Tigers are 4-2 vs top 100 teams; they’re scoring 39% of their points behind arc (#37). This is bigger game for Murray State team that is 7-1 vs schedule #315; Racers are experience team #181 that lost 78-72 at Alabama, in their only top 100 game this season- they force turnovers 23.3% of time.
Washington State is 7-3 vs easiest schedule in country; they lost by 6 at New Mexico State in only top 100 game this season. Coogs scored 80+ points in all their wins, were held under 70 in two of three losses. Wazzu is playing tempo #15 but is turning ball over 15.2% of time. San Diego is 9-3 vs schedule #145, but 1-2 vs Pac-12 teams, beating Colorado at home, losing by 3 at Washington, 10 at Oregon. Toreros are experience team #6 that is 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100; they play in Orleans Arena every year, in WCC tourney in March.
NC-Greensboro won its last three games with Samford, by 6-13-16 points; Spartans won last three visits to Samford, by 5-16-6 points. UNCG won its last four games, is 11-2 vs schedule #266- their only losses are at LSU, Kentucky. Spartans are experience team #123 that is 3-2 in true road games; their two top 200 wins are over La Tech, Radford. Samford is 10-3 after 83-70 loss at Tennessee Wednesday; Bulldogs have played schedule #330- they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 18-6-13 points- they’re making 39.3% of their 3’s.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, December 22
Georgia beat Georgia Tech the last three years, all by 14+ points; Dawgs lost four of last six visits here. Georgia is 6-4 vs schedule #302; they’re experience team #244 whose subs are playing minutes #7. Dawgs turn ball over 22.5% of time (#319); they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 4-15-2 points. Tech lost at home to Gardner-Webb Monday, then won at Arkansas Wednesday; Yellow Jackets are 6-4 vs schedule #230- they’re experience team #262 whose defensive eFG% is #9 in country- they force turnovers 21.8% of time (#54).
Clemson beat South Carolina last two years, by 16-2 points; Tigers won five of their last seven visits to Columbia. Clemson is 8-3 vs schedule #215, 8-0 vs teams outside top 100; they’re #54 experience team that makes 59.2% of its shots inside arc (#3), forcing turnovers 21.3% of time. Carolina lost its last three games, by 9-11-17 points; they’re 4-6 vs schedule #193, only 3-3 in home games, with losses to Stony Brook/Wofford. Gamecocks’ eFG% is #269; they’ve made only 30.5% of their 3’s (#289), are 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing all four games by 9+ points.
Kentucky/North Carolina split last four meetings; they split pair of games two years, that were decided by total of five points. Kentucky is 8-2 vs schedule #308; they’re 0-2 away from Rupp Arena, losing by 34 to Duke, 1 to Seton Hall, both on neutral floors. Wildcats are experience team #351 that is #3 on offensive boards, dominated lesser opponents. UNC is 8-2 vs schedule #48 after beating Gonzaga LW; Tar Heels are #174 experience team that is top 10 rebounding team- they’re 2-2 vs top 100 teams. Carolina is playing tempo #8 so far this season.
Wichita State won its last three games, is 7-4 vs schedule #134; Shockers are experience team #277 (#346 in MC) whose eFG% is #280- they’re making only 31.8% of shots on arc (#257), 46.5% of shots inside arc (#277)- this is their first true road game. VCU lost its last two games, is 7-4 vs schedule #51; Rams are experience team #227 whose subs are playing minutes #30. VCU has #313 eFG%; they’re turning ball over 20.9% of time (#268), shooting 27.9% on arc (#326). VCU is 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with four wins by 11+ points.
Former Big East rivals UConn/Villanova meet for first time since Huskies upset Villanova in 2nd round of NCAAs five years ago. UConn is 9-3 vs schedule #334; they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, beating Syracuse on neutral floor, losing other three games by 19-4-8 points. 8 of their 9 wins are over teams who are ranked outside top 200. Villanova lost its last two games by total of 7 points; Wildcats are 8-4 vs schedule #64- they’re #188 experience team that is playing tempo #347. Villanova is 3-3 vs top 100 teams; they’re making 55.4% of shots inside arc (#52).
Arizona State made 14-28 on arc in 95-85 upset win at Kansas LY, after trailing 15-2 early on; Jayhawks took 38 3’s, only 29 2’s in that game. ASU lost two of last three games; this is their first home game in three weeks; Sun Devils are 8-2 vs schedule #105- they’re experience team #297 that is a top 10 rebounding team- they split four top 100 games. Kansas is 10-0 vs #16 schedule; they’ve got six top 100 wins. Jayhawks have three neutral floor wins; this is their first true road game this year. Kansas is #287 experience team whose subs play minutes #264.
Montana lost four of last five D-I games; they’re 4-4 vs schedule #79. Grizzlies are experience team #13 that is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, scoring 55 ppg in their only true road games this season- they were held to 42 points in loss at Arizona Wednesday. Montana is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#65). South Dakota State is 10-4 vs schedule #322; Jackrabbits are experience team #182 whose bench is playing minutes #338. State has made 44.4% of its 3’s this season, #1 in nation; their eFG% is #3. Jackrabbits are 1-2 vs top 150 teams, with best win over #136 Grand Canyon.
UCLA beat Ohio State 86-73 in last meeting two years ago in Las Vegas, but Bruins were 12-0 at the time, Buckeyes were in midst of a 4-7 skid. UCLA lost by 29 at Cincinnati Wednesday; they are 3-4 in last seven games- Bruins are 7-4 vs schedule #113. UCLA is experience team #349 that is 0-3 away from Pauley Pavilion, losing by 20-16-29 points. Ohio State is 10-1 vs schedule #209; Buckeyes are experience team #246 that is 4-1 vs top 100 teams, with only loss 72-62 at home to Syracuse. OSU has wins at Clemson/Cincinnati, a neutral floor win over Illinois.
Saint Mary’s beat Western Kentucky 73-51 in last meeting two years ago. Gaels won five of last six games after a 3-4 start; SMC is #272 experience team that is 2-5 vs teams in top 150, with 73-58 win at New Mexico State in their only true road game. Gaels have #9 eFG% in country, making 39.5% of 3’s, 56.2% inside arc- they play slow (#323) pace. WKU lost five of last seven games, is 5-6 vs schedule #63; their last four games were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Hilltoppers are #326 experience team that is 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
BYU is 3-4 in its last seven games, with couple losses in OT; Cougars are experience team #145 (#22 in MC) that is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 16-3-10 points. BYU is 8-5 vs schedule #252; they’re 3-3 vs teams in top 150- their 30.3% 3-point shooting (#295) is hurting them. San Diego State hasn’t played in 10 days; their last D-I game was two weeks ago. Aztecs are 5-4 vs schedule #126; they’re experience team #221 (#76 in MC) that is making 39.2% of its 3’s (#28) with a thin roster (subs play minutes #325)- they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, beating Xavier.
Auburn made 12-27 on arc in 81-77 win at Murray State LY, after being down 12-2 early; Tigers are 9-2 vs schedule #92 after losing 78-71 at NC State Wednesday. Auburn is experience team #40 that is leading country in forcing turnovers (28.4%) and blocked shots (21.1%). Tigers are 4-2 vs top 100 teams; they’re scoring 39% of their points behind arc (#37). This is bigger game for Murray State team that is 7-1 vs schedule #315; Racers are experience team #181 that lost 78-72 at Alabama, in their only top 100 game this season- they force turnovers 23.3% of time.
Washington State is 7-3 vs easiest schedule in country; they lost by 6 at New Mexico State in only top 100 game this season. Coogs scored 80+ points in all their wins, were held under 70 in two of three losses. Wazzu is playing tempo #15 but is turning ball over 15.2% of time. San Diego is 9-3 vs schedule #145, but 1-2 vs Pac-12 teams, beating Colorado at home, losing by 3 at Washington, 10 at Oregon. Toreros are experience team #6 that is 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100; they play in Orleans Arena every year, in WCC tourney in March.
NC-Greensboro won its last three games with Samford, by 6-13-16 points; Spartans won last three visits to Samford, by 5-16-6 points. UNCG won its last four games, is 11-2 vs schedule #266- their only losses are at LSU, Kentucky. Spartans are experience team #123 that is 3-2 in true road games; their two top 200 wins are over La Tech, Radford. Samford is 10-3 after 83-70 loss at Tennessee Wednesday; Bulldogs have played schedule #330- they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 18-6-13 points- they’re making 39.3% of their 3’s.
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