Cnotes College Hoops Picks,Trends News 2018-2918 !

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BING at MICH 12:00 PM
BING +32.5

NAVY at COR 01:00 PM
COR -7.5

HC at IONA 01:00 PM
HC -2.5
U 147.5

EVAN at M-OH 01:00 PM
M-OH -6.5

FIU at OHIO 02:00 PM
OHIO -8.0

LEH at WVU 02:00 PM
WVU -13.0

OAK at YSU 02:00 PM
OAK -5.0

PRE at JAC 02:00 PM
JAC -2.0

RID at VCU 02:00 PM
VCU -11.5

UTM at BGSU 02:30 PM
O 154.0

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INDPU at WRST 03:00 PM
O 143.0

LIP at CLEM 03:00 PM
CLEM -7.5

NORAL at EIU 03:00 PM
EIU -7.0

APP at SLU 03:00 PM
APP +9.5

**********************

NMSU at CSU 04:00 PM
NMSU -7.0

DREX at HOF 04:00 PM
O 158.5

MSM at MINN 04:00 PM
MINN -24.0

JMU at ELON 04:00 PM
ELON +0.0
O 142.0

UCRV at WMU 04:00 PM
WMU -8.5

TOWS at CWM 04:00 PM
TOWS +8.0

*********************

MTU at URI 05:00 PM
URI -14.5

PFW at NDSU 05:00 PM
PFW +5.5
O 153.5

DEL at NE 05:00 PM
DEL +13.0
O 141.0

CLMB at NW 05:00 PM
NW -14.0

DEN at WIU 05:30 PM
DEN +2.5

ORU at NEOM 05:30 PM
NEOM -8.5

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MASS at UGA 06:00 PM
UGA -7.5

UIC at NKU 06:00 PM
NKU -9.0

ALA at SFA 06:00 PM
ALA -7.0
U 141.5

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DETU at CLEVST 07:00 PM
CLEVST -3.0
O 144.5

LIU at FOR 07:00 PM
FOR -6.5

UCD at USC 09:00 PM
USC -13.5

[StarDust Bum]

TOP 25 REWIND: No. 16 Kentucky finding a groove for SEC play
December 30, 2018
By The Associated Press

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) It looks like Kentucky has figured a few things out, just in time for Southeastern Conference play.

The 16th-ranked Wildcats won at rival Louisville on Saturday in their first road game of the season. That followed a win against a ranked North Carolina team a week earlier and marked their third straight victory against a power-conference opponent - promising signs in a season that started with a blowout loss to Duke.

''This is the process you go through,'' Wildcats coach John Calipari said after the 71-58 win against the Cardinals. ''But I never lost any confidence in the kids. I told them that. But you're going to have to play different.''

Kentucky started the year ranked No. 2, but perceptions changed during that 118-84 loss to now-No. 1 Duke to open the season, a game in which the Blue Devils shot 54 percent, collected 22 assists and only turned the ball over four times.

The Wildcats have lost just once since then, falling to Seton Hall on a 3-pointer in the final seconds of overtime. They're poised to climb in Monday's new AP Top 25 poll.

Along the way, Calipari has talked to his team about sharing the basketball. And they've become one of the nation's best on the offensive glass, ranking third nationally in KenPom's offensive rebounding percentage (40.8).

There has been defensive improvement, too. In the past two games, Kentucky has held the Tar Heels and the Cardinals to a combined 39.8 percent shooting. Some of the credit goes to freshman guard Ashton Hagans, who is developing into an on-the-ball defensive presence and has 11 steals in the past two games, including eight against UNC.

It was after the UNC win that Calipari noted: ''We're not the same team we were two weeks ago. It's not even close.''

Good timing, too. The Wildcats open SEC play at Alabama next weekend.

''Last game was a good stepping stone, and today we made another big step in the right direction,'' freshman guard Tyler Herro said after the Louisville win. ''Every game's going to be one where they want to beat us real bad, but (we're) just coming in and getting better.''

Herro added: ''We've been over that Duke game for a while.''

QUIET WEEK

Christmas week meant a light schedule for AP Top 25 teams, with Kentucky's trip to Louisville standing out on a slate that lacked any matchups between ranked programs.

HOME SURPRISE

No. 17 Arizona State had earned a couple of impressive wins, notably by beating current No. 19 Mississippi State in November and then-No. 1 Kansas in the days before Christmas. Yet the Sun Devils returned from the holiday with a surprising home loss to Princeton .

It was Princeton's first win against a ranked opponent since 2012. The Sun Devils shot 32 percent in a performance that coach Bobby Hurley called ''a step back.''

That loss was part of a rough December for the Pac-12, which has only Arizona State inside the AP Top 25.

ROUGH TRIP

No. 15 Wisconsin suffered its own upset, this one on the road at Western Kentucky in the Badgers' first visit to a mid-major school since the 2014-15 season.

Wisconsin entered the game ranked in the top 20 of KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency rankings, but the Hilltoppers shot nearly 68 percent after halftime and finished the game with a 38-31 rebounding advantage.

THE ADDITIONS

North Carolina State (No. 20) and Oklahoma (No. 25) were last week's new additions to the poll, though only the Wolfpack played a game with that newly earned ranking.

N.C. State had no trouble beating Loyola-Maryland on Friday in its first game as a ranked team since January 2013. It pushed the Wolfpack (12-1) to the program's best start since 2005-06, with Atlantic Coast Conference play starting in the coming week.

''We have gotten better,'' Wolfpack coach Kevin Keatts said. ''We have been able to develop our depth with some guys ... who got some playing time lately who will really help us once we get in the ACC.''

[StarDust Bum]

cbb dec. Record opinions and best bets:

12/30/2018 19-19-0 50.00% -9.50
12/29/2018 31-31-0 50.00% -15.50
12/28/2018 12-13-0 48.00% -11.50
12/25/2018 3-4-1 42.86% -7.00
12/24/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0.50
12/23/2018 13-4-1 76.47% +43.00
12/22/2018 39-46-1 45.88% -58.00
12/21/2018 25-18-1 58.14% +26.00
12/20/2018 14-6-0 70.00% +37.00
12/19/2018 26-26-0 50.00% -13.00
12/18/2018 23-19-0 54.76% +10.50
12/17/2018 11-11-0 50.00% -5.50
12/16/2018 23-8-0 74.19% +71.00
12/15/2018 37-34-2 52.11% -2.00
12/14/2018 3-3-1 50.00% -1.50
12/13/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
12/12/2018 12-9-0 57.14% +10.50
12/11/2018 5-16-0 23.81% -63.00
12/10/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
12/09/2018 11-6-2 64.71% +22.00
12/08/2018 20-19-2 51.28% -4.50
12/07/2018 6-5-3 54.55% +2.50
12/06/2018 2-10-0 16.67% -45.00
12/05/2018 30-36-1 45.45% -48.00
12/04/2018 19-21-0 47.50% -20.50
12/03/2018 6-8-0 42.86% -14.00
12/02/2018 8-7-0 53.33% +1.50
12/01/2018 43-57-1 43.00% -98.50

Recrod.......441-422-1.......51.10%.....-186.50


cbb best bets:


date....................ats......................u nits...................o/u......................units...............total

12/30/2018.........7 - 9....................-14.50..................2 - 4....................-12.00..............-26.50
12/29/2018.......13 - 15...................-17.50..................1 - 6....................-28.00..............-45.50
12/28/2018.........5 - 3.....................+8.50..................1 - 4....................-17.00...............-8.50
12/25/2018.........1 - 1.....................-0.50...................1 - 3....................-11.50...............-12.00
12/24/2018.........0 - 1.....................-5.50...................1 - 0....................+5.00................-0.50
12/23/2018.........5 - 1....................+19.50.................4 - 0....................+20.00..............+39.50
12/22/2018........17 - 21..................-30.50..................8 - 6....................+7.00................-23.50
12/21/2018.........8 - 6....................+12.00..................2 - 4....................-12.00...............+00.00
12/20/2018.........7 - 4....................+13.00..................2 - 1....................+4.50................+17.50
12/19/2018.........9 - 7....................+6.50....................5 - 5....................-2.50.................+4.00
12/18/2018........10 - 6...................+17.00..................0 - 1.....................-5.50................+11.50
12/17/2018.........8 - 3....................+23.50..................1 - 2.....................-6.00................+17.50
12/16/2018.........6 - 2....................+19.00..................2 - 0....................+10.00..............+29.00
12/15/2018........12 - 18..................-39.00...................6 - 1....................+24.50..............-14.50
12/14/2018.........2 - 1.....................+4.50...................1 - 2....................-6.00.................-1.50
12/13/2018.........2 - 0.....................+10.00..................0 - 2....................-11.00...............-1.00
12/12/2018.........4 - 4.....................-2.00.....................2 - 0....................+10.00..............+8.00
12/11/2018.........1 - 7.....................-33.50...................0 - 3....................-16.50...............-50.00
12/10/2018.........4 - 0.....................+20.00..................0 - 2....................-11.00...............+9.00
12/09/2018.........7 - 1.....................+29.50..................1 - 3....................-11.50...............+18.00
12/08/2018.........6 - 9.....................-19.50....................0 - 3....................-16.50..............-36.00
12/07/2018.........2 - 1.....................+4.50....................3 - 1....................+9.50...............+14.00
12/06/2018.........2 - 5.....................-17.50....................0 - 4....................-22.00...............-39.50
12/05/2018.........12 - 8...................+10.50...................5 - 2...................+14.00...............+24.50
12/04/2018.........7 - 7.....................-3.50......................2 - 1...................+4.50................+1.00
12/03/2018.........2 - 1.....................+4.50.....................0 - 2...................-11.00................-6.50
12/02/2018.........2 - 4.....................-12.00....................2 - 0...................+10.00...............- 2.00
12/01/2018........13 - 12...................-1.00.....................5 - 5....................-2.50..................-3.50

Record:..........175 - 153...................+6.50................56 - 65.................-83.50..................-77.00

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks for Week 17 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest:

1) Colts, -3 (972)- W

2) Browns, +6 (904)- W

3) Bills, -3.5 (847)- W

4) Eagles, -6.5 (800)- W

5) Vikings, -4.5 (758)- L

6) Texans, -6.5 (670)- W

Final season record: 56-45-3


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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Cowboys 36, Giants 35— Not sure why Dallas played QB Prescott whole game, but they did and WR Beasley made a great catch with 1:12 left to win this game. Cowboys host Seattle next week; they’re in playoffs for only third time in last nine years.

Giants split their last eight games, scoring 27+ points in four of last five; six of those eight games were decided by four of fewer points. Big Blue lost nine of its last 11 games with Dallas.

Ravens 26, Browns 24— Baltimore was 4-5 and everyone assumed John Harbaugh was history, but they started rookie QB Jackson after their bye week and went on a 6-1 run that won them a division title. Ravens led this game 20-7 at halftime, then hung on for dear life; Browns had ball on their 40-yard line in last 1:20, but couldn’t get in field goal range.

Cleveland finished 7-8-1, their best record in 11 years; Mayfield is entrenched as their QB, and if you watched Hard Knocks this past summer, that probably surprises you. Good for them, but it sounds like Cleveland is going hire Mike McCarthy as head coach, instead of Gregg Williams.

Ravens host Chargers in playoffs next week; they upset Bolts 22-10 in Carson last week.

There was huge call in Ravens’ favor in last 2:00 of first half; Jackson fumbled near goal line, but whistle blew while Browns were running ball back for TD. That call may have kept Steelers out of the playoffs.

Colts 33, Titans 17— Colts bounced back from 1-5 start to make playoffs for first time in four years. Indy visits Houston next week; they split a pair of 3-point decisions with the Texans this season. In second half of season, Colts were 4-0 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

Mariota didn’t play, Titans didn’t win; Tennessee finished 9-7 for third year in row; they fired Mike Mularkey after he made playoffs LY, but Vrabel didn’t make playoffs this year, despite winning four of last five games.

Patriots 38, Jets 3— Bill Belichick has been the Patriots’ coach since 2000; Jets fired Todd Bowles after the game. Patriots are #2 seed in AFC; as for rest of AFC East since 2000……..

— Buffalo coaches: Phillips, Williams, Mularkey, Jauron, Gailey, Marrone, Ryan, McDermott
— Miami coaches: Wannstedt, Saban, Cameron, Sparano, Philbin, Gase.
— Jets coaches: Groh, Edwards, Mangini, Ryan, Bowles.

Eagles 24, Redskins 0— Philly outgained Redskins 360-89, held Washington to 8 first downs, 0-9 on third down plays. Eagles made playoffs when the Bears won in Minnesota; they visit Chicago in first round game next week. Foles re-injured his ribs, didn’t finish this game, but defending Super Bowl champs won five of their last six games.

Redskins started season 5-2, but were ravaged by injuries; they scored 16 or fewer points in their last five games, starting four QB’s in their last seven games.

Bears 24, Vikings 10— Chicago won/covered nine of last ten games; in their last four games, they allowed only two offensive TD’s on 41 drives. Bears host Philly in playoffs next week.

Since 2004, Minnesota has had 11 different QB’s; Zimmer fired his OC during the season this year. Vikings are 47-32-1 under Zimmer, but he needs to get his offense in order next year.

Texans 20, Jaguars 3— Houston won 11 of last 13 games; they host Colts in playoffs next week. Texans are in playoffs for fifth time in last eight years.

Jacksonville went 10-6 LY and made playoffs for first time in decade; they lost 3-9 in last 12 games, scoring 17 or fewer points in last five games. Kyler Murray would look very good in a Jacksonville uniform next fall.

Falcons 34, Buccaneers 32— Atlanta swept the Bucs this year, scoring 34 points in both games; Falcons showed some grit, winning last three games after a 4-9 start. Average total in last six games in this series is 59.2.

Tampa Bay fired Dirk Koetter after the game; kind of unfair to keep the GM and fire the coach when the QB is the guy who got suspended for off-field hijinx which threw the Bucs’ offense into disarray. Buccaneers haven’t made the playoffs since 2007- they were -18 in turnovers TY.

Bills 42, Dolphins 17— Miami went 4-9 after starting season 3-0; they lost their last seven road games, and were 2-6 as road underdogs this year. Dolphins converted 10 of last 50 plays on third down; I’m really not sure why they’re so committed to Tannehill as their QB.

Buffalo is 8-4 in its last dozen games with Miami, winning six of last seven series games played here; they outgained Dolphins 796-400 in two meetings this season, but split the games.

Steelers 16, Bengals 13— Pittsburgh misses playoff for first time in five years; they lost four of their last six games- four of their last five games were decided by exactly three points.

Bengals were one of six teams not to score an offensive TD this week; Cincy lost nine of its last 11 games, missing playoffs for third year in row. Bengals haven’t won a playoff game since 1991.

Chargers 23, Broncos 9— 12-4 Chargers didn’t win AFC West, so they’re going to Baltimore for first-round playoff game this week; they were upset 22-10 at home by Ravens in Week 16. LA won five of its last six games overall. Chargers are 7-0 outside of LA this season.

Denver finishes with consecutive losing season for first time since 70’s; have to think they’re going to be changing head coaches this winter.

Seahawks 27, Cardinals 24— Seahawks won six of last seven games, will visit Dallas in most interesting of the four playoff games next week; their last seven games with Arizona were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Cardinals had won their last three visits to Seattle.

There are rumors that Arizona will fire HC Wilks after only one year; would be second year in row that the coach QB Josh Rosen played for got fired— his coach at UCLA (Jim Mora) got the boot after last season. Redbirds should hire a QB guru to tutor young Rosen.

Arizona gets the #1 pick in drat for first time since 1958, when they were based in Chicago; that year, Redbirds took QB King Hill with first pick- he started only 29 games in 12 years, and most of those were for the Eagles.

Rams 48, 49ers 32— 49ers turned ball over on their first three drives; on their first two drives, Rams started on SF 7 and SF 13-yard line, scoring TD’s both times. 49ers went 0-8 on road this year for first time since 1979, the year the Rams made Super Bowl for the first time.

LA gets a first-round bye and will host a playoff game on January 12th, a Saturday night.

Lions 31, Packers 0— Six highest-paid QB’s in the NFL missed playoffs this year:
— Aaron Rodgers: $33.5M
— Matt Ryan: $30M
— Kirk Cousins: $28M
— Jimmy Garoppolo: $27.5M
— Matthew Stafford: $27M
— Derek Carr: $25M

Chiefs 35, Raiders 3— Oakland was 12-4 only two years ago, but things change quickly in the NFL- they went 10-22 the last two seasons. If I was paying a coach $100M over ten years, I’d have expected more than a 4-12 first season. Here is the draft order for April’s draft:

1) Cardinals
2) 49ers
3) Jets
4) Raiders
5) Buccaneers
6) Giants

Panthers 33, Saints 14— The game meant nothing for New Orleans and it showed, since Drew Brees was in street clothes. Teddy Bridgewater is a free agent this winter, so the game meant a lot to him; have feeling he’ll be a starter somewhere in NFL next season.

Carolina snapped a 7-game skid here; Ron Rivera will return as coach next season. Had they lost this game, Panthers would’ve been first team ever to finish season 6-10 after having been 6-2.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 31

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MARSHALL (7 - 5) at VIRGINIA (11 - 0) - 12/31/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 114-147 ATS (-47.7 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARSHALL is 114-147 ATS (-47.7 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CREIGHTON (9 - 4) at PROVIDENCE (10 - 3) - 12/31/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 3-3 against the spread versus CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 3-3 straight up against CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONMOUTH (0 - 12) at PENNSYLVANIA (10 - 3) - 12/31/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENNSYLVANIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
MONMOUTH is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 102-136 ATS (-47.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 102-136 ATS (-47.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 1-0 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 1-0 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTANA ST (4 - 7) at N ARIZONA (2 - 9) - 12/31/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
MONTANA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
N ARIZONA is 70-102 ATS (-42.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ARIZONA is 3-0 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
N ARIZONA is 2-1 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (7 - 5) at IDAHO (3 - 9) - 12/31/2018, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
IDAHO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 2-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 2-1 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IDAHO ST (5 - 5) at E WASHINGTON (2 - 10) - 12/31/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
E WASHINGTON is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
E WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games this season.
E WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
E WASHINGTON is 39-67 ATS (-34.7 Units) in December games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N COLORADO (7 - 5) at PORTLAND ST (5 - 6) - 12/31/2018, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N COLORADO is 3-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 3-0 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTANA (8 - 4) at SOUTHERN UTAH (5 - 5) - 12/31/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN UTAH is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 3-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 3-0 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB

Monday, December 31

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Trend Report
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Marshall @ Virginia
Marshall
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 7 games on the road
Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Monmouth @ Pennsylvania
Monmouth
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Monmouth's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Monmouth's last 6 games on the road
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Pennsylvania is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Centenary (NJ) @ UMBC
Centenary (NJ)
No trends to report
UMBC
No trends to report

Hartford @ Boston College
Hartford
No trends to report
Boston College
Boston College is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Chestnut Hill @ Maryland-Eastern Shore
Chestnut Hill
No trends to report
Maryland-Eastern Shore
No trends to report

NJIT @ Duquesne
NJIT
No trends to report
Duquesne
Duquesne is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Duquesne is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Oberlin @ Kent State
Oberlin
No trends to report
Kent State

Kent State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kent State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

North Greenville @ South Carolina
North Greenville
No trends to report
South Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Carolina's last 10 games

UNC Asheville @ Vanderbilt
UNC Asheville
No trends to report
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Montana State @ Northern Arizona
Montana State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montana State's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montana State's last 7 games on the road
Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Montana State
Northern Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montana State

Texas Lutheran @ Sam Houston State
Texas Lutheran
No trends to report
Sam Houston State
No trends to report

Albany @ Niagara
Albany
No trends to report
Niagara
Niagara is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Niagara is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Creighton @ Providence
Creighton
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Creighton's last 8 games when playing Providence
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Creighton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Providence
Providence
Providence is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Providence's last 8 games when playing Creighton

Weber State @ Idaho
Weber State
Weber State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Weber State's last 13 games on the road
Idaho
Idaho is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Weber State
Idaho is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Weber State

Idaho State @ Eastern Washington
Idaho State
Idaho State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Washingto
Idaho State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Idaho State
Eastern Washington is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Idaho State

Northern Colorado @ Portland State
Northern Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland State
Portland State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland State's last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Colorado
Portland State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Alabama A&M @ Pepperdine
Alabama A&M
No trends to report
Pepperdine
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pepperdine's last 5 games
Pepperdine is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Montana @ Southern Utah
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Utah
Montana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Utah
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 6 games when playing Montana

Cal State-Bakersfield @ Gonzaga
Cal State-Bakersfield
Cal State-Bakersfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cal State-Bakersfield is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Gonzaga is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home


-----------------------------------------------------------


NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 31


Monmouth @ Pennsylvania

Game 755-756
December 31, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Monmouth
41.180
Pennsylvania
58.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pennsylvania
by 17 1/2
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pennsylvania
by 14
134
Dunkel Pick:
Pennsylvania
(-14); Over

Marshall @ Virginia

Game 751-752
December 31, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
50.639
Virginia
66.582
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 16
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 20
136
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(+20); Under

Montana State @ Northern Arizona

Game 757-758
December 31, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana State
41.183
Northern Arizona
39.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana State
by 1 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Arizona
by 1
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montana State
(+1); Under

Creighton @ Providence

Game 753-754
December 31, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Creighton
64.240
Providence
61.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Creighton
by 2 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Providence
by 1
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Creighton
(+1); Under

Idaho State @ East Washington

Game 761-762
December 31, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho State
44.791
East Washington
56.562
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Washington
by 12
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 2 1/2
146
Dunkel Pick:
East Washington
(-2 1/2); Over

Weber State @ Idaho

Game 759-760
December 31, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Weber State
48.725
Idaho
47.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Weber State
by 1
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Weber State
by 6 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(+6 1/2); Under

Northern Colorado @ Portland St

Game 763-764
December 31, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Colorado
53.112
Portland St
47.967
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Colorado
by 5
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Colorado
by 2 1/2
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Colorado
(-2 1/2); Under

Montana @ Southern Utah

Game 765-766
December 31, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana
53.994
Southern Utah
47.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 6
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 9 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Utah
(+9 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 31

Marshall lost four of its last six games, is 7-5 vs schedule #152- they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 37-1-24 points and 76-72 home win vs #84 Hofstra. Thundering Herd is experience team #151 that is playing pace #7- they force turnovers 23.9% of time (#18), but their defensive eFG% is #213. Virginia plays slowest tempo in country, is 11-0 vs schedule #270; Cavaliers are experience team #209 that has #7 eFG% defense- teams are shooting only 24.4% on arc against them, worst in country. Virginia held its last four opponents to 52 or fewer points.

Providence is 9-4 vs Creighton in Big East play; teams split last six meetings, trading wins in last two Big East tourneys. Bluejays are 1-4 at Providence, with losses by 13-12-4-14 points. Favorites are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games. Creighton is 2-3 in its last five games; Bluejays are experience team #293 that is 2-4 vs top 100 teams, with best wins over Clemson/ETSU- they’re shooting 43.1% on arc (#5), have best eFG% (60.9%) in country. Friars won seven of last eight games but hasn’t played in 10 days; they’re 2-1 vs top 100 teams, losing by 19 to Michigan.

Penn beat Monmouth 101-96 in 4 OT’s LY, in epic game where both teams took 50+ FT’s and Penn blew 15-point 2nd half lead (Hawks led by 5 in 4th OT). Quakers got crushed 77-45 at Toledo Saturday, snapping their 5-game win streak; Penn is 9-3 vs schedule #141- they’re experience team #79 that already has wins over Miami, Villanova. Monmouth is 0-12 vs #46 schedule; they’ve scored 60+ points only once in last six games. Hawks are experience team #259 that is shooting 24.5% on arc (#351), turning ball over 22.8% of time (#327).

Montana State/Northern Arizona split their last ten meetings; Bobcats are 2-3 in last five visits to Flagstaff. MSU won three of last four games after an 0-6 start vs D-I teams; Bobcats are #55 experience team that won its Big Sky opener by 30 at So Utah Saturday, making 13-26 on arc in its first win in six true road games. State scored 81+ points in all three of its D-I wins. NAU lost its last eight games, is 2-9 vs schedule #157- Lumberjacks are experience team #322 that is 2-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200- their last win was November 14 at Omaha.

Idaho is 4-2 vs Weber State in Big Sky play, winning all three meetings in Moscow, by 2-4-5 points- home side won five of the six meetings. Wildcats are 5-5 vs schedule #165, winning Big Sky opener by 12 at EWU; Weber is 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 8-14-12 points. Idaho lost its last five games, is 1-5 vs schedule #287; Vandals are experience team #341 that forces fewest turnovers in country (12.7% of time). Idaho is 6-34 on arc in its last couple games; they lost conference opener by 17 at home to Idaho State Saturday.

Eastern Washington won 14 of last 16 games with Idaho State, winning last three by 7-12-5 points; Bengals lost 13 of last 14 visits to EWU, winning 75-71 (+10) here three years ago. ISU is 3-5 vs schedule #55; they’re experience team #71 that won its Big Sky opener by 17 at Idaho on Saturday. State is 3-4 in true road games, with wins at Boise State/Santa Clara. EWU is 1-10 vs schedule #20; Eagles lost last seven D-I games, are shooting 29.7% outside arc (#305), 44.4% inside arc (#312). EWU is experience team #238 whose only D-I win was Nov 17.

Northern Colorado won its last three games vs Portland State, by 14-3-7 points; Bears are 3-2 in last five visits here, winning 73-59/85-78 in last two. NCU lost four of last five games, but won Big Sky opener by 5 in Sacramento Saturday; Bears are experience team #262 that doesn’t sub a lot (bench minutes #331)- are 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with only loss on a neutral floor to SIU-E last week. Portland State lost its last three games, by 19-27-5 points; they haven’t played in 11 days. Vikings are 0-6 vs top 200 teams, are shooting 21.4% on arc, worst in country.

Montana is 10-0 vs Southern Utah last six years, winning all five visits here, by 12-8-17-15-30 points. Grizzlies are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 7-27-7-13 points; they’re experience team #13 that is 6-4 vs schedule #70- they’re playing slow (#302) tempo so far this season. SUU lost five of last six D-I games, losing last two games by 42-30 points- they’re #232 experience team that is turning ball over 20.2% of time, shooting only 58.1% on foul line (#349). Thunderbirds have been without UNLV transfer Morgan the last eight games.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 31
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MRSH at UVA 01:00 PM
UVA -19.0
O 138.5

MONM at PENN 01:00 PM
PENN -13.5
O 136.5

MTST at NAU 02:00 PM
NAU +1.0
U 157.0

UNCA at VAN 02:00 PM
UNCA +28.0

NJIT at DUQ 02:00 PM
DUQ -5.5

CRE at PROV 04:00 PM
PROV -3.0
U 152.5

IDST at EWU 04:05 PM
IDST +3.0
O 146.5

WEB at IDHO 05:00 PM
WEB -7.5
O 148.0

UNCO at PRST 05:05 PM
UNCO -1.5
U 163.0

AAMU at PEPP 06:00 PM
PEPP -16.0

MONT at SUU 08:30 PM
MONT -10.0
U 141.0

CSB at GONZ 09:00 PM
GONZ -25.5
O 151.5

[Udog]

Hot & Not Report
YouWager

After skipping last week's piece for the holidays, I'm back with one more final Hot or Not piece for 2018. I would like to wish all of you a Happy New Year out there, but a flip of the calendar means college basketball conference play has arrived. I thought it would be best to take another look at the CBB landscape one final time for 2018 before these teams get locked into two months of conference play and rivalry angles etc coming into play.

So here is a look at a few of the current Top 25 ranked teams that have been great on or against bets during the non-conference slate of their schedule. Will these teams stay on these streaks now that conference play has arrived?

Who's Hot

Top 25 teams from the ACC – Combined 45-23-3 ATS

To have the best teams from the ACC cashing at such a high rate in non-conference play is somewhat expected as it tends to be the deepest conference every year, but it's also a run that I can assure you won't last now that conference games are here.

The ACC currently has six teams in the AP Top 25 – Duke, Virginia, Florida State, Virginia Tech, North Carolina and NC State – and only FSU enters the new year with a losing ATS record (5-6-1 ATS). Four of the other five schools -everyone but North Carolina – have at least eight ATS victories and are cashing at least 66% of the time. That's rather impressive when you think about it, because it's the Duke's of the world that get saddled with inflated spreads to cover more often than not, and the Blue Devils are up there amongst the leaders at 8-4 ATS.

However, the issue here now becomes the fact that with many of these top ACC teams covering the spreads at a high rate, handicapping ACC games when these schools are up against each other becomes that much tougher. Spreads will be tougher to decipher in a Duke/Virginia game and it may be all about situational analysis and who's coming off what, or have so-and-so on deck.

There still might be a clear class distinction within the ACC Conference between these teams currently ranked and those currently not – six of nine non-ranked ACC programs have losing ATS records overall – but it's those games between powerhouses from this conference where you'll really want to make sure you do your homework going into them.


Who's Not

Top 25 teams from the SEC are basically a coin-flip at 24-22-2 ATS

It appears as though the conference that's getting hit the hardest as being a victim of their own success in the betting markets is the SEC. Their four teams ranked in the Top 25 – Tennessee, Auburn, Kentucky, and Mississippi State are basically no better than a coin-flip against the spread, and that's with a few of them already being involved in big time matchups so far.

It's been those high profile matchups that have made these SEC teams tough to trust because whether it's during, right before, or right after these games, there tends to be an inexplicable loss mixed in as well.

That hasn't been the case for Tennessee who's only SU defeat came in OT on a neutral floor vs Kansas, so nothing to worry about there. The Volunteers have had their ATS trouble by failing to cover as big favorites – 0-3-1 ATS when favored by 19 or more – as they get those inflated numbers attached to them and can't come through.

For Kentucky it was that embarrassing route at the hands of Duke to open the year that soured many on their early season prognostications, as most of their ATS losses have come as heavy chalk as well. They did manage to beat UNC outright as a small underdog, and with all the talent the Wildcats have from top to bottom, you've got to like their chances of improving their ATS mark significantly over these next two months, especially if the general perception of them is still rather low.

The SEC is a conference that I'd expect to see perhaps double the amount of ranked teams they've got now (4) get invited to the NCAA Tournament come March, so conference play should be where we get to see the overall depth of this conference. That may make for some more ATS losses for these Top 25 teams within the conference, but with Auburn and Mississippi State there as well, I'll be looking to play on these top caliber squads more often than not.

[StarDust Bum]

cbb dec. Record opinions and best bets:

12/31/2018 12-9-0 57.14% +10.50
12/30/2018 19-19-0 50.00% -9.50
12/29/2018 31-31-0 50.00% -15.50
12/28/2018 12-13-0 48.00% -11.50
12/25/2018 3-4-1 42.86% -7.00
12/24/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0.50
12/23/2018 13-4-1 76.47% +43.00
12/22/2018 39-46-1 45.88% -58.00
12/21/2018 25-18-1 58.14% +26.00
12/20/2018 14-6-0 70.00% +37.00
12/19/2018 26-26-0 50.00% -13.00
12/18/2018 23-19-0 54.76% +10.50
12/17/2018 11-11-0 50.00% -5.50
12/16/2018 23-8-0 74.19% +71.00
12/15/2018 37-34-2 52.11% -2.00
12/14/2018 3-3-1 50.00% -1.50
12/13/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
12/12/2018 12-9-0 57.14% +10.50
12/11/2018 5-16-0 23.81% -63.00
12/10/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
12/09/2018 11-6-2 64.71% +22.00
12/08/2018 20-19-2 51.28% -4.50
12/07/2018 6-5-3 54.55% +2.50
12/06/2018 2-10-0 16.67% -45.00
12/05/2018 30-36-1 45.45% -48.00
12/04/2018 19-21-0 47.50% -20.50
12/03/2018 6-8-0 42.86% -14.00
12/02/2018 8-7-0 53.33% +1.50
12/01/2018 43-57-1 43.00% -98.50

Recrod.......453-431-1.......51.24%.....-176.00


cbb best bets:


date....................ats......................u nits...................o/u......................units...............total

12/31/2018.........5 -3.....................+8.50..................2 - 2....................-1.00................+7.50
12/30/2018.........7 - 9....................-14.50..................2 - 4....................-12.00..............-26.50
12/29/2018.......13 - 15...................-17.50..................1 - 6....................-28.00..............-45.50
12/28/2018.........5 - 3.....................+8.50..................1 - 4....................-17.00...............-8.50
12/25/2018.........1 - 1.....................-0.50...................1 - 3....................-11.50...............-12.00
12/24/2018.........0 - 1.....................-5.50...................1 - 0....................+5.00................-0.50
12/23/2018.........5 - 1....................+19.50.................4 - 0....................+20.00..............+39.50
12/22/2018........17 - 21..................-30.50..................8 - 6....................+7.00................-23.50
12/21/2018.........8 - 6....................+12.00..................2 - 4....................-12.00...............+00.00
12/20/2018.........7 - 4....................+13.00..................2 - 1....................+4.50................+17.50
12/19/2018.........9 - 7....................+6.50....................5 - 5....................-2.50.................+4.00
12/18/2018........10 - 6...................+17.00..................0 - 1.....................-5.50................+11.50
12/17/2018.........8 - 3....................+23.50..................1 - 2.....................-6.00................+17.50
12/16/2018.........6 - 2....................+19.00..................2 - 0....................+10.00..............+29.00
12/15/2018........12 - 18..................-39.00...................6 - 1....................+24.50..............-14.50
12/14/2018.........2 - 1.....................+4.50...................1 - 2....................-6.00.................-1.50
12/13/2018.........2 - 0.....................+10.00..................0 - 2....................-11.00...............-1.00
12/12/2018.........4 - 4.....................-2.00.....................2 - 0....................+10.00..............+8.00
12/11/2018.........1 - 7.....................-33.50...................0 - 3....................-16.50...............-50.00
12/10/2018.........4 - 0.....................+20.00..................0 - 2....................-11.00...............+9.00
12/09/2018.........7 - 1.....................+29.50..................1 - 3....................-11.50...............+18.00
12/08/2018.........6 - 9.....................-19.50....................0 - 3....................-16.50..............-36.00
12/07/2018.........2 - 1.....................+4.50....................3 - 1....................+9.50...............+14.00
12/06/2018.........2 - 5.....................-17.50....................0 - 4....................-22.00...............-39.50
12/05/2018.........12 - 8...................+10.50...................5 - 2...................+14.00...............+24.50
12/04/2018.........7 - 7.....................-3.50......................2 - 1...................+4.50................+1.00
12/03/2018.........2 - 1.....................+4.50.....................0 - 2...................-11.00................-6.50
12/02/2018.........2 - 4.....................-12.00....................2 - 0...................+10.00...............- 2.00
12/01/2018........13 - 12...................-1.00.....................5 - 5....................-2.50..................-3.50

Record:..........180 - 156...................+15.00................58 - 67.................-84.50..................-69.50

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack

NBA’s top six players in 3-point %age:

6) Bojan Bogdanovic, Pacers 46%

5) Derrick Rose, Wolves 46.2%

4) Danilo Gallinari, LAC 46.4%

3) Davis Bertans, Spurs 48%

2) Joe Harris, Nets 48.3%

1) Seth Curry, Trailblazers 50%

Quote of the Day
“Throughout my career as an athletic director, I have maintained a belief that making a head coaching change during a season is rarely in the best interests of our student-athletes or program.”
UCLA AD Dan Guerrero, who fired his basketball coach anyway on Monday

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Shaquille O’Neal play his college basketball?

Monday’s quiz
Fred Dalton Thompson played a DA on Law and Order for five years, then later ran for the Republican nomination for President in 2008.

Sunday’s quiz
In the great TV show M*A*S*H*, Hawkeye Pierce’s real name was Benjamin Franklin Pierce.

*****************************

Tuesday’s List of 13; Happy New Year, everyone!!!!

13) This is the first NFL season ever where no team finished 8-8; NFL went to the 16-game schedule in 1978, with two seasons since then shortened by work stoppages.

12) Eight NFL head coaches were fired Sunday/Monday, 25% of the league’s coaches.

11) Steelers’ star WR Antonio Brown missed Sunday’s game with the Bengals, but apparently he wasn’t hurt, he was being disciplined after an incident in practice with a teammate, who was Ben Rothlisberger. Witnesses say it was a fairly ugly incident.

Sounds like it was an unhappy year in Pittsburgh, with Le’Veon Bell’s holdout and the coach screwing up game management situations and now Brown at odds with teammates. Throw in the defensive coordinator not knowing that Bengals’ TE Tyler Eifurt was hurt back in October, and it wouldn’t be surprising if whole lot of people were let go Monday, but they weren’t.

10) Oakland Raiders hired NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock as its GM; Mayock has been contributing to NFL Network and NFL.com since 2004, mostly in scouting, but he’s never worked in an NFL front office before.

Raiders have three first round draft picks in April and $100M in cap room to work with.

9) UCLA’s basketball team is 7-6 and has lost its last four games, which cost Steve Alford his job Monday. Bruins lost at home to Belmont, Liberty- those teams are both ranked in the top 80, but the coaching change was made, even before conference play begins. Our society isn’t terribly patient. Alford is a good guy; not sure why a move had to be made right now.

Alford/UCLA never seemed like a great match; will be fascinating to see where Bruins set their sights for a new coach. Murry Bartow is the interim coach; his father Gene was the coach who replaced John Wooden at UCLA, and who later started UAB’s basketball program.

Would Billy Donovan have any interest in the UCLA job? I’d have to ask, if I’m UCLA.

8) Mark Richt was fired as football coach at Miami; official word was “retired”, but guys don’t quit jobs like that. Richt is 58, would be curious to hear him on TV, hopefully learn from him.

Houston fired coach Major Applewhite; Dana Holgorsen has been mentioned as a potential target for the Cougars, but how is Houston a better job than West Virginia? Kliff Kingsbury has apparently turned down “a lucrative offer” from Houston to stay on as an assistant at USC.

7) Manny Diaz left as DC at Miami to become head coach at Temple, but when Richt retired (or was fired), Diaz quickly bolted Temple and is now the head coach at Miami. Oy.

6) Ole Miss signed former Michigan/Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez as its new OC, joining former Colorado coach Mike MacIntyre as its new DC, giving the Rebels an impressive staff around relatively inexperienced head coach Matt Luke.

6) This from the Grand Forks Herald:

Dan Shrader is a 38-year old full-time sanitation worker in the Minneapolis/St Paul area, who spends 50 hours a week driving a daily garbage route, dumping trash at the landfill and helping manage a 32-truck fleet.

He never played in the NHL, he never played college or pro hockey, he never played organized hockey growing up, period, but he is an amateur scout for the Winnipeg Jets, in charge of watching the Minnesota region for prospects. Pretty good second job for a garbageman.

If you like something a lot and work hard enough at it, all things are possible.

5) Hartford 79, Boston College 78 OT— ACC teams shouldn’t lose to America East teams.

4) City of Toronto had free bus/subway service from 7pm-7am New Year’s Eve, which is really good. More cities should do that; the less people who drive on New Year’s Eve, the better.

3) Stanford 14, Pittsburgh 13— Condoleeza Rice was on the Stanford sidelines for this game; not sure if she was auditioning for a coaching job or not. Pitt finishes year 7-7; always wondered if kids like enjoy going to El Paso for a bowl- seems like an unusual place for a bowl.

2) Oregon 7, Michigan State 6— In its last four games, Michigan State scored 6-6-14-6 points. That not good. Before Monday, last time they completed more than half their passes was October 27.

Mario Cristobal gets a bowl win in his first year at Oregon; it was Ducks’ first bowl wins since 2014, in a season when they had their third HC in last three years.

1) Hope you guys out there all have a Happy New Year; thanks for reading. I’m hoping that 2019 will be a year when we all get along better and tolerate each other’s opinions more. Our diversity is part of what makes this country unique, in a good way.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 1


Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech

Game 601-602
January 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
62.157
Virginia Tech
71.224
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 9
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 11
141
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(+11); Under

Northridge @ San Diego St

Game 603-604
January 1, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northridge
39.734
San Diego St
64.629
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 25
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 15 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-15 1/2); Under

Marquette @ St John's

Game 605-606
January 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marquette
73.741
St John's
63.930
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marquette
by 10
170
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marquette
by 1
156
Dunkel Pick:
Marquette
(-1); Over

CS-Fullerton @ Washington

Game 607-608
January 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
CS-Fullerton
51.822
Washington
66.613
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 15
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 12 1/2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-12 1/2); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (10 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 1) - 1/1/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CS-NORTHRIDGE (5 - 8) at SAN DIEGO ST (7 - 5) - 1/1/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 71-99 ATS (-37.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MARQUETTE (11 - 2) at ST JOHNS (12 - 1) - 1/1/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 129-90 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 129-90 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in January games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 2-2 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
ST JOHNS is 2-2 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CS-FULLERTON (4 - 9) at WASHINGTON (8 - 4) - 1/1/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CS-FULLERTON is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 1

Notre Dame won five of last six games with Virginia Tech, winning last two visits here, by 25-5 points. Underdogs covered three of last four series games. Tech is 11-1 this season vs schedule #319; they’re 3-1 vs top 100 teams, with wins by 9-16-12 points and 63-62 loss at Penn State. Hokies are experience team #88 that is shooting 44.4% on arc (#3), and has best eFG% in country- they force turnovers 25.1% of time (#5). ND won its last four games, is 10-3 vs schedule #318; they’re #304 experience team whose three losses are all by five or fewer points.

Cal-Northridge won its last three games, is 5-8 vs schedule #290; Matadors are in total rebuild, are experience team #339- they’re 1-3 vs teams in top 150, with losses by 15-14-35 points, with 81-80 win over #150 Rider. CSUN his turning ball over 20.2% of time (#242); they start three freshmen, one soph, and the coach’s son. San Diego State got hammered at home by Brown in last game (were down 28 at half); Aztecs are 6-5 vs schedule #116- they’re 3-1 vs teams outside top 200, with wins by 16-39-43 points- they start Mountain West play Saturday in Boise.

Marquette won five of last seven games with St John’s, losing last two visits to NYC by 14-8 points. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. Golden Eagles won their last eight games, are 12-2 vs schedule #210; they’re experience team #207 (#95 in MC) that shoots 38.8% on arc (#31). Marquette lost its only true road game, by 23 at Indiana Nov 14. St John’s is 12-1 (vs schedule #335) after 76-74 loss at Seton Hall Saturday; Red Storm is #152 experience team that doesn’t sub much (bench minutes #344)- they shoot 39.8% on arc (#15).

Cal State-Fullerton is disappointing 2-9 vs schedule #11; Titans are experience team #41 that made NCAA’s LY- they’re 0-6 vs top 100 teams, with all losses by 8+ points, though loss at Arizona St was in double OT. Fullerton was #2 in country LY at getting to foul line; right now, they’re #231, so they’re not taking ball to hole as well. Washington is 8-4 vs schedule #47; Huskies are experience team #48 (#1 in MC) that is 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with four wins by 14+ points- they’re forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#84).




NCAAB

Tuesday, January 1

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Trend Report
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Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cal State-Northridge @ San Diego State
Cal State-Northridge
Cal State-Northridge is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cal State-Northridge is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
San Diego State
San Diego State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
San Diego State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games

Marquette @ St. John's
Marquette
Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Marquette is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
St. John's
St. John's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. John's is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

Cal State-Fullerton @ Washington
Cal State-Fullerton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cal State-Fullerton's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cal State-Fullerton's last 7 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, JANUARY 1
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ND at VT 01:00 PM
VT -10.5
U 141.5

CSN at SDSU 03:00 PM
SDSU -14.5
U 157.0

MARQ at SJU 07:00 PM
MARQ +1.5
O 155.5

CSF at WASH 10:00 PM
WASH -12.5
U 137.5

[StarDust Bum]

St. John's routs No. 16 Marquette 89-69
January 1, 2019
Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) Shamorie Ponds scored 20 of his 26 points in the first half, dominating a highly anticipated matchup between two of the nation's top guards, and St. John's rebounded impressively from its first loss of the season by routing No. 16 Marquette 89-69 on Tuesday night at Carnesecca Arena.

Marvin Clark II had 22 points and Mustapha Heron added all 16 of his after halftime for the Red Storm (13-1, 1-1 Big East), who snapped Marquette's eight-game winning streak.

With leading scorer Markus Howard held to eight points on 2-for-15 shooting, the Golden Eagles (11-3, 0-1) got blown out in their conference opener. Howard entered averaging 25.1 points per game, best in the Big East and ranked fifth in the country.

Joey Hauser had 15 points to lead Marquette, which went 6 for 21 from 3-point range (28.6 percent).

No. 9 FLORIDA STATE 87, WINTHROP 76

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) - Terance Mann scored 22 points and Phil Cofer added 14, helping Florida State hold off Winthrop for its seventh straight victory.

The Seminoles have opened with a 12-1 record for the fourth time in school history, matching their best start.

Mann shot 10 of 11 from the floor, scoring 14 second-half points and grabbing seven rebounds. Cofer made four of his five shots in the first half but missed all the in the second.

Florida State was up 56-38 but Winthrop charged back to trail 63-61 with 11:50 left. The Seminoles, however, stayed in control.

Adam Pickett scored 19 points and Charles Falden added 15 for Winthrop (8-5), whose four-game winning streak ended.

No. 10 VIRGINIA TECH 81, NOTRE DAME 66

BLACKSBURG, Va. (AP) - Ty Outlaw hit three 3-pointers in a 22-9 second-half run and Virginia Tech beat Notre Dame.

Kerry Blackshear Jr. led the way with 21 points, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Ahmed Hill scored 17 apiece and Outlaw finished with 14 for the Hokies (12-1, 1-0 Atlantic Coast Conference). Virginia Tech led just 49-44 before Alexander-Walker sparked the run with a pair of driving baskets.

T.J. Gibbs scored 19 points, 13 in the second half, as Notre Dame (10-4, 0-1) had its four-game winning streak snapped. D.J. Harvey added 16 and Nate Laszewski had 14.

Outlaw's first 3-pointer gave Virginia Tech a 60-47 lead, and his third made it 71-53. The Fighting Irish closed to within 71-60 with just under four minutes to play, but after a timeout by the Hokies, Outlaw hit again from behind the arc to settle them down.

[StarDust Bum]

Cbb January Opinions and Best Bets

01/01/2019 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50


College Hoops Best Bets:

DATE.........................ATS.................. ....UNITS...................O/U......................UNITS...............TOTAL

01/01/2019..............1 - 3......................-11.50..................1 - 1.....................-0.50.................-12.00

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday’s 6-pack

NBA’s top six players free throw shooters (min 50 att):

6) JJ Redick, 76ers 109-120, 90.8%

5) Kevin Durant, Warriors 269-295, 91.2%

4) Stephen Curry, Warriors 130-142, 91.5%

3) Lou Williams, Clippers 169-184, 91.8%

2) Danilo Gallinari, Clippers 191-207, 92.3%

1) Malcolm Brogdon, Bucks 56-57, 98.2%

Quote of the Day
“We felt it important to extend and amend Lincoln’s contract at this time as we want him at the University of Oklahoma for a long time. He is a great coach and role model for our student-athletes. His record of success speaks for itself. Lincoln is also the right representative for our university in such a high-profile position. I am proud to work with him and anxious to support him as he takes our program into the future.”
Oklahoma president James Gallogly; lets see the Sooners go 7-5 a couple years in a row and see what a great role model they think Riley is.

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the only NFL QB to take every offensive snap for his team this season?

Tuesday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal played his college basketball at LSU.

Monday’s quiz
Fred Dalton Thompson played a DA on Law and Order for five years, then later ran for the Republican nomination for President in 2008.

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Wednesday’s List of 13: Wrapping up the first day of 2019

13) Forgot to mention this Monday, but NFL gets the Week 17 thing right; every game is a divisional rivalry game, and the most meaningful games are stuffed into the 4:25 window of games, to maximize drama. Makes handicapping more difficult, but so be it.

12) There are rumors going around Las Vegas these days that UNLV is going to have a new basketball coach next year, and that guy is coaching in Greece right now— Rick Pitino.

11) Kentucky 27, Penn State 24— Wildcats win 10+ games in same football season for first time since 1977. Kentucky led 27-7, were outgained 407-297, but hung on for the win- they ran a punt back for a touchdown, the first punt return Penn State allowed for a TD since 2012.

10) Houston snags football coach Dana Holgorsen away from West Virginia, giving him $20M over five years; not often a guy voluntarily leaves a Big X program for an AAC team, but money talks……

9) Of the 12 teams who made NFL playoffs this year, Rams played most games (4-3) against them this season. Bears (2-1), Ravens (1-2) played the fewest.

8) Jets could be a good over bet for wins next season; since 2000, here are the Jet head coaches, 1st year and then after……

2000 Al Groh First year: 9-7 Replaced after one year
2001 Herm Edwards: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 29-35
2006: Eric Mangini: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 13-19
2008: Rex Ryan: First year: 9-7 Rest of time: 37-43
2015: Todd Bowles: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 14-34

7) Speaking of the Jets, how does the coach at Iowa Freakin’ State turn down an interview with an NFL team? Matt Campbell doesn’t want to coach in the NFL? Fine, but interviewing with an NFL team wouldn’t at least be a good experience for him? I laughed when I saw this note.

6) Agreed that Steve Alford/UCLA was an odd fit, but here is the list of coaches who made 3+ Sweet 16’s in the last five years:
Alford, Beilein, Calipari, Few, Huggins, Krzyzewski, Sean MIller, Self, Williams.

Firing Alford before conference play was insulting, and probably done to placate a big-money donor. Wonder if it’ll hurt them in finding a high-profile replacement.

5) Gambling is difficult: Monday, Weber State (-6.5) won 93-87 at Idaho. Weber was up 41-16 with 5:49 left in first half, led by 22 at the half, but didn’t cover. Idaho made 10-19 3-pointers but covered by only a half-point. Weber was the right side in the game, but not the winning side.

4) Ohio State 28, Washington 23— I wonder if Urban Meyer will ever coach again; hopefully he will never be on TV again, just a totally humorless, serious person who was a great coach but for Pete’s sake, tell a joke or say something sarcastic now and then- its not that hard.

3) LSU 40, Central Florida 32— Tigers’ QB Joe Burrow was 21-34 for 394 yards and four TD’s as LSU ended UCF’s 25-game winning streak. Burrow led LSU to a 10-3 record this season; he was the 3rd-string QB at Ohio State before this year. Think about that for a second.

2) Lions fired OC Jim Bob Cooter Tuesday; officially it is a “mutual parting of ways” which is a nice way of Matt Patricia saying, “Take a hike!!!!”

Jets/Cardinals need to look at Cooter to help develop their young QB’s.

1) Tuesday is usually garbage day in my neighborhood, but because of New Year’s Day, it got pushed back a day this week. Lot of my neighbors didn’t get the memo and put their garbage out Monday night, and it was really windy Tuesday morning, so the neighborhood was a mess Tuesday morning, lot of stuff everywhere. Not a great way to start 2019.