The Bum's 2018 NBA Trends/Stats/Best Bets Thru The Playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Blazers at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST

The 15-6 start for Los Angeles (17-12 SU, 16-13 ATS) seems like a distant memory as the Clippers own a 2-6 record in December. One of those victories came in overtime at Phoenix, while edging New Orleans on the road two weeks ago. The two home setbacks this month have been ugly, losing by 23 points to Miami and 24 points to Toronto. In spite of those two blowouts, the Clippers own a solid 9-3 record at Staples Center.

The Clippers snapped an 0-5 ATS skid with a narrow cover at Oklahoma City on Saturday in a 110-104 loss as 6 ½-point underdogs. Granted, L.A. needed to outscore OKC by 11 points in the fourth quarter to cash tickets, but the Clippers have allowed at least 110 points in eight of the past nine games. The Clips were able to get 50 points from Tobias Harris and Danilo Gallinari, but L.A. is still missing bench spark Lou Williams, who remains sidelined with a hamstring injury.

The Blazers (16-13 SU, 14-15 ATS) snapped a two-game skid by slowing down the red-hot Raptors on Saturday, 128-122 as 1 ½-point home underdogs. Eight Portland players finished in double-figures, led by Damian Lillard’s 24 points, while the Blazers dropped 70 points on Toronto in the second half. In the win, Portland ended a five-game UNDER streak as the OVER of 216 easily hit.

These two Western Conference squads have split a pair of matchups this season, both at the Moda Center. Portland pulled away from L.A. on November 8 to cash as five-point favorites, 116-105, while staying UNDER the total of 225 ½. The Clippers picked up revenge in the second matchup on November25 as four-point underdogs in a 104-100 triumph, as L.A. overcame a 13-point halftime deficit by outscoring Portland, 38-16 in the third quarter to blow the game open.

Double Rocket Revenge

In last season’s second round of the playoffs, Houston make quick work of Utah by winning, 4-1 to advance to the Western Conference Finals. Things have turned in Utah’s favor this season, as the Jazz (14-16 SU, 14-16 ATS) cruised past the Rockets (14-14 SU, 12-16 ATS) in a pair of routs in the first two matchups. In the most recent meeting in Salt Lake City earlier this month, the Jazz grounded the Rockets, 118-91 thanks to a 38-11 third quarter burst, in spite of only six points from Donovan Mitchell.

However, Utah has struggled since that rout of Houston by dropping three of the past four games. The most recent defeat came in Mexico City to Orlando on Saturday in a 96-89 setback as 6 ½-point favorites. Utah shot only 31% from the floor, while the Jazz finished UNDER the total for the fourth time in five games.

Houston is going in the opposite direction through this roller-coaster ride in the first two months of the season. The Rockets are on the uptick of late by winning three straight games, capped off by Saturday’s 105-97 triumph at Memphis, led by James Harden’s second consecutive triple-double with 32 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists. Mike D’Antoni’s squad owns a 7-1 record the last eight games at Toyota Center since starting 0-4 at home, which included an 11-point setback to Utah on October 24.

Spiked Out

The Spurs (15-15 SU, 14-15-1 ATS) were in control over the Bulls on Saturday by jumping out to a 19-point halftime lead. San Antonio was primed for its fifth consecutive win on its current homestand, but disaster struck in the second half as the Bulls outscored the Spurs, 55-31 to pick up the 98-93 upset as 9 ½-point underdogs. Now, San Antonio needs to regroup against Philadelphia, as the 76ers (20-11 SU, 14-17 ATS) wrap up a quick two-game road trip.

Philadelphia will be playing with no rest after pounding Cleveland in a revenge spot on Sunday, 128-105. Jimmy Butler returned to the 76ers’ lineup after missing the last two games with a groin injury as the forward put up 19 points, while Ben Simmons registered a triple-double by scoring 22 points, pulling down 11 rebounds, and dishing out 14 assists. The Sixers have struggled on the second of a back-to-back set this season by going 1-4 SU/ATS, while hitting the OVER four times in this situation.

Grizz Frizz

Following a strong start to the season, the Grizzlies (16-13 SU, 16-13 ATS) have lost four of five games to slip out of first place in the Southwest. The last two defeats for Memphis came at FedEx Forum to Houston and Miami after beginning the campaign with a 12-1 home record. The Grizzlies will have their hands full as they begin a four-game western road swing, which starts at Golden State on Monday, followed by stops in Portland, Sacramento, and Los Angeles to face the Lakers.

The Warriors (20-10 SU, 13-17 ATS) overcame a late 10-point deficit on Friday to stun the Kings, 130-125, led by Stephen Curry’s 35 points and 33 points from Kevin Durant. Golden State went from dropping six in a row away from Oracle Arena to winning four consecutive road games to vault back into the top spot of the Pacific. The Warriors pulled away from the Grizzlies in the first matchup this season in Oakland, 117-101 to cash as 14-point favorites.

Detroit Duel

The Pistons (14-13 SU, 14-13 ATS) put a halt to a six-game losing streak in an impressive 113-104 victory over the Celtics on Saturday as short home underdogs. Detroit avenged a pair of losses to Boston as Blake Griffin scored 27 points, while Andre Drummond pulled down 20 rebounds to give the Pistons its first home win since December 1 against Golden State.

Detroit welcomes in Milwaukee as the Bucks (19-9 SU, 15-12-1 ATS) finish off a three-game road trip within the division. The Bucks were tripped up at Indiana to begin the swing, but rebounded by beating Cleveland on Friday, 114-102 as 9 ½-point favorites. Giannis Antetokounmpo torched the Cavaliers for 44 points on 14-of-19 shooting, while knocking down 16 free throws. Milwaukee pounded Detroit in its first meeting at Fiserv Forum earlier this month, 115-92 as 7 ½-point favorites, while hitting the UNDER in the first of a current six-game UNDER streak.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 17

Milwaukee won four of its last six games; they’re 5-7 vs spread on road this year. Bucks’ last six games stayed under the total. Pistons lost five of their last six games; they’re 6-3-1 vs spread in last ten home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Home side won last seven Milwaukee-Detroit games; Bucks are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to the Motor City. Under is 4-0-1 in last five series games.

Suns won their last ten games after a 10-game skid; they’re 0-5 vs spread in their last five road games. Nine of last 11 games stayed under. New York lost six of its last seven games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Knicks won four of last six games with Phoenix; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Suns are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Manhattan.

Sacramento won six of its last eight games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Minnesota is home after an 0-4 road trip; they covered four of their last five home games. Under is 16-4-1 in Wolves’ last 21 games. Kings/Wolves split their last ten games; Sacramento covered three of last four. Kings are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Minnesota. Seven of last nine series games went over.

Chicago lost 10 of its last 12 games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 5-1 in Bulls’ games since the coaching change. Oklahoma City is 2-3 in its last five games; they’re 8-2-1 vs spread in their last 11 home games. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Bulls/Thunder split their last ten games; Chicago is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits to OKC. Five of last seven series games stayed under the total.

Utah lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Rockets won/covered its last three games; they covered their last three home games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Jazz won last two games with Houston, after losing seven of previous eight meetings; they’re 3-0 vs spread in last three visits here. Six of last eight series games stayed under.

Philly won seven of its last ten games; they’re 5-9 vs spread on road this year. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total. Spurs won/covered four of its last five games, all at home; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five games as a HF. San Antonio’s last four games stayed under the total. 76ers won last two games with San Antonio, after losing previous eight; Sixers covered their last three visits to the Alamo. Seven of last ten series games stayed under.

Memphis lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Golden State won five of its last six games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Warriors won five of last six games with Memphis; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Grizzlies are 2-4 vs spread in their last six visits to Oakland.

Portland is 4-8 in its last dozen games; they’re 1-9 vs spread in last 10 road games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Clippers lost five of their last six games (0-5-1 vs spread); they’re 8-3-1 vs spread at home. Four of their last six games stayed umder. Clippers lost four of last five games with Portland; five of last six series games stayed under. Trailblazers covered three of last four series games played here.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, December 17

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Trend Report
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Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Phoenix is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing New York
Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
New York is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing Phoenix
New York is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Sacramento is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Sacramento's last 15 games
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 11 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Minnesota's last 21 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

Utah Jazz
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Utah is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Houston
Utah is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Utah
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Chicago is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games
Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Oklahoma City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Philadelphia is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing San Antonio
Philadelphia is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
San Antonio is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Portland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Portland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
LA Clippers is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
LA Clippers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
LA Clippers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 10 games when playing at home against Portland

Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 18 games when playing Golden State
Memphis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Golden State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Golden State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Golden State's last 18 games when playing Memphis
Golden State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 17


Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 529-530
December 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.667
Detroit
112.118
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 13 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-3 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ New York

Game 531-532
December 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.733
New York
113.607
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 3
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 1 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-1 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Minnesota

Game 533-534
December 17, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
117.515
Minnesota
122.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8
231 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+8); Over

Chicago @ Oklahoma City

Game 535-536
December 17, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
106.755
Oklahoma City
122.666
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 16
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 13
213
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-13); Under

Utah @ Houston

Game 537-538
December 17, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.473
Houston
124.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
Even
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
213
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+5); Under

Philadelphia @ San Antonio

Game 539-540
December 17, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
119.403
San Antonio
118.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 1
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+1); Over

Memphis @ Golden State

Game 541-542
December 17, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.473
Golden State
134.727
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11
211
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-11); Under

Portland @ LA Clippers

Game 543-544
December 17, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
112.482
LA Clippers
116.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
219
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 17

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MILWAUKEE (19 - 9) at DETROIT (14 - 13) - 12/17/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 139-179 ATS (-57.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (6 - 24) at NEW YORK (9 - 22) - 12/17/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 48-62 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in the first half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (16 - 13) at MINNESOTA (13 - 16) - 12/17/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (7 - 23) at OKLAHOMA CITY (18 - 10) - 12/17/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (14 - 16) at HOUSTON (14 - 14) - 12/17/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 8-6 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (20 - 11) at SAN ANTONIO (15 - 15) - 12/17/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1062-933 ATS (+35.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 842-719 ATS (+51.1 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 350-291 ATS (+29.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 116-88 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 67-48 ATS (+14.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (16 - 13) at GOLDEN STATE (20 - 10) - 12/17/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-72 ATS (-21.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (16 - 13) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 12) - 12/17/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

Games to Watch - Week 10

While some leagues slow down as we head into holiday season, the NBA kicks into high gear, including having a handful of games on Christmas Day. We are, though, getting a little ahead of ourselves here, as there is a full week of NBA action to cram in before we get right into the heart of the Christmas schedule.

We might finally be starting to see some cracks in the Toronto Raptors armor in the Eastern Conference, as the chasing pack closed some ground last week. Things remain tight in the West, though, with Denver continuing to maintain their surprise lead at the top.

There are a lot of very good games on tap this coming week, but we have narrowed it down to three that we really like, so let’s take a closer look at our hand-picked games.

Monday - Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors

It is more than a little odd to be 30 games into the season and not see the Golden State Warriors sitting atop the Western Conference. There is no reason for any sort of alarm, though, as they are just a half game out of the top spot. They will get the new week started with a home tilt against the Memphis Grizzlies, who are currently in the #6 spot and just 4 games out of first place. This will be the second meeting between these two teams this season, with the Warriors taking the first game by a comfortable score of 117-101. That win represented the 3rd straight time that Golden State had beaten Memphis, a run that extends into last season. The Grizzlies have lost back to back games and could be in trouble against a Golden State team that is 12-3 at home this season.

Tuesday - Los Angeles Lakers at Brooklyn Nets

Prior to the start of the season, there were many people who doubted that LeBron James would able to seriously elevate the LA Lakers this season. The general consensus was that a couple of more pieces were required before the Lakers would be battling for the West. Fast forward 30 games and you find the LA Lakers in the #4 spot, just 2 ½ games back of the pace being set by the Denver Nuggets. It’s a great accomplishment to be sure, but there is still a lot of work to be done. The Lakers will head to NYC on Tuesday night to face the Brooklyn Nets as they look to get the week off to a winning start. The Lakers are a game below .500 on the road, but you have to like their chances against a Nets team that is just 6-10 in their own building.

Wednesday - Phoenix Suns at Boston Celtics

The Celtics ended last week with a loss that kept them down in the #5 spot in the Eastern Conference, but that defeat aside, there are still signs that Boston are snapping out of their early season swoon. They are now winners of 8 of their last 10 games and they have been particularly tough to beat at home, going 9-3 in the Garden to this point in the season. Next up is a home tilt against the truly awful Phoenix Suns, a team that has just 6 wins on the season and only 1 win away from home. It’s tough to see this being anything other than a blowout win for the Boston Celtics.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIL at DET 07:00 PM
DET +4.0
O 225.5

PHO at NY 07:30 PM
PHO +1.0
O 223.5

CHI at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC -12.5
U 212.5

UTA at HOU 08:00 PM
HOU -4.5
O 211.5

SAC at MIN 08:00 PM
SAC +8.0
O 232.0

PHI at SA 08:30 PM
SA -1.5
O 224.5

POR at LAC 10:30 PM
LAC -1.5
U 217.5

MEM at GS 10:30 PM
GS -10.5
O 210.0

[StarDust Bum]

Giannis has 32 and 12 as Bucks hold off Pistons 107-104
December 17, 2018
By The Associated Press

DETROIT (AP) Giannis Antetokounmpo had 32 points and 12 rebounds, and the Milwaukee Bucks held on for a 107-104 victory over the Detroit Pistons on Monday night when Blake Griffin missed a last-second 3-pointer.

Griffin actually missed two 3s in the final 14 seconds. The Detroit star already had a triple-double after three quarters, but it was a quiet fourth for him. Griffin finished with 19 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds, but he also had 10 turnovers.

The Pistons rallied from a 15-point, third-quarter deficit and took an 89-86 lead in the fourth. Antetokounmpo put Milwaukee up by three with a dunk, then added a three-point play and a driving layup to make it 107-100.

ROCKETS 102, JAZZ 97

HOUSTON (AP) - James Harden scored 47 points to help Houston hold off Utah for its fourth straight win.

It was the Rockets' first victory over the Jazz this season after dropping the first two meetings. The team's current winning streak comes following a three-game skid.

Houston led by double digits early in the fourth quarter, but poor shooting left the Rockets tied with about two minutes left. A 3-pointer by Harden put Houston back on top and he added two free throws with about a minute remaining to make it 99-94.

Under heavy pressure, Harden stepped back and hit a 3 to make it 102-97 with 13.3 seconds left.

Donovan Mitchell had 23 points for the Jazz, who have lost four of five.

Harden, who made 15 of 16 free throws, had six rebounds, five assists and five steals.

SPURS 123, 76ERS 96

SAN ANTONIO (AP) - Rudy Gay had 21 points and LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan each added 20 as San Antonio defeated Philadelphia.

San Antonio bounced back after squandering a 21-point lead in a loss to Chicago on Saturday night. The Spurs held an opponent under 100 points for the fifth straight game.

J.J. Redick and Ben Simmons each scored 16 points to lead the 76ers. Joel Embiid was limited to 13 points on 6-for-17 shooting and finished with 11 rebounds.

Aldridge added 10 rebounds and DeRozan had seven assists for the Spurs, who completed a 5-1 homestand.

THUNDER 121, BULLS 96

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Paul George scored 16 of his 24 points in the final five minutes of the first half and Oklahoma City rolled past Chicago.

George's outburst came in the last 4:47 of the second quarter as the Thunder outscored the Bulls 23-7 and built a 64-44 lead at the break. He scored just one point in the second half.

Russell Westbrook had 13 points, 16 rebounds and 11 steals for his 111th career triple-double. Steven Adams added 19 points and Dennis Schroder scored 18 for the Thunder.

Lauri Markkanen and Bobby Portis had 16 points apiece to lead the Bulls. Markkanen added 15 rebounds.

TIMBERWOLVES 132, KINGS 105

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Karl-Anthony Towns had 14 points and 14 assists in just 21 minutes, Andrew Wiggins scored 17 and Minnesota got a big boost from its bench in beating road-weary Sacramento.

Derrick Rose added 13 points and a season-high 11 assists while starting for injured point guard Jeff Teague. Minnesota led by 36 in the first half against Sacramento, which was coming off a 120-113 victory at Dallas a night earlier.

The Timberwolves returned home following an 0-4 trip, including a 141-130 loss at Sacramento.

Buddy Hield scored 21 points for the Kings but didn't play in the second half. Sacramento coach Dave Joerger didn't play any of his starters after halftime.

SUNS 128, KNICKS 110

NEW YORK (AP) - Devin Booker tied his season high with 38 points, T.J. Warren scored 17 of his 26 during Phoenix's 41-point third quarter and the Suns beat New York for their third straight victory.

Phoenix outscored New York 41-17 in the third and went on to win three consecutive games for the first time since March 2-5, 2017. The Suns won only four times in their first 28 games, but are 3 for 3 since.

Deandre Ayton finished with 21 points and 13 rebounds for the Suns in an impressive start to a five-game road trip, their longest of the season. Jamal Crawford had a career-high 14 assists as last-place Phoenix improved to 2-13 away from home, toughening up in the second half after giving up 12 offensive rebounds in the first.

Emmanuel Mudiay had 32 points, six rebounds and six assists for the Knicks, who lost for the seventh time in eight games. New York played without leading scorer Tim Hardaway Jr. because of a sore right heel.


PORTLAND 131, LA CLIPPERS 127

WARRIORS 110, GRIZZLES 93

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY DECEMBER 18, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:05 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers Bankers Life Fieldhouse
7:35 PM Los Angeles Lakers Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center
7:35 PM Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks State Farm Arena
9:05 PM Dallas Mavericks Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center

*************************

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

12/17/2018 8-8-0 50.00% -4.00
12/16/2018 6-8-0 42.86% -14.00
12/15/2018 7-4-1 63.64% +13.00
12/14/2018 10-6-0 62.50% +17.00
12/13/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
12/12/2018 9-13-0 40.91% -26.50
12/11/2018 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
12/10/2018 6-10-0 37.50% -25.00
12/09/2018 2-5-0 28.57% -17.50
12/08/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
12/07/2018 12-7-0 63.16% +21.50
12/06/2018 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
12/05/2018 9-6-0 60.00% +12.00
12/04/2018 6-4-0 60.00% +8.00
12/03/2018 3-9-0 25.00% -34.50
12/02/2018 6-6-0 50.00% -3.00
12/01/2018 7-7-0 50.00% -3.50

Record:......101-105-0.......49.02%--- -72.50


NBA BEST BETS:

DATE......................ATS...................UN ITS...................O/U...................UNITS..............TOTAL

12/17/2018............6 - 1.................+14.50.................1 - 5..................-22.00.............-7.50
12/16/2018............1 - 3.................-11.50..................3 - 2..................+4.00..............-7.50
12/15/2018............3 - 0.................+15.00.................2 - 3..................-6.50...............+8.50
12/14/2018............3 - 1.................+9.50...................3 - 1..................+9.50.............+19.00
12/13/2018............2 - 1.................+4.50...................0 - 4..................-22.00.............-17.50
12/12/2018............2 - 5..................-17.50.................2 - 4...................-12.00.............-29.50
12/11/2018............1 - 1..................-0.50...................0 - 2..................-11.00..............-11.50
12/10/2018............3 - 2..................+4.00..................1 - 3..................-11.50..............-7.50
12/09/2018............0 - 1..................-5.50....................2 - 2.................-1.00................-6.50
12/08/2018............1 - 0..................+5.00..................1 - 0..................+5.00...............+10.00
12/07/2018............0 - 3..................-16.50..................5 - 0.................+25.00.............+8.50
12/06/2018............1 - 2..................-6.00....................1 - 2.................-6.00................-12.00
12/05/2018............2 - 2..................-1.00....................6 - 4................+8.00................+7.00
12/04/2018............2 - 1.................+4.50...................1 - 2..................-6.00................-1.50
12/03/2018............1 - 3.................-11.50...................1 - 2.................-6.00.................17.50
12/02/2018............1 - 3.................-11.50...................2 - 1.................+4.50................-7.00
12/01/2018............2 - 2.................- 1.00....................3 - 4..................-7.00................-8.00

Record:...............30 - 31................-25.50.................34- 41...............-55.00................-80.50

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Teams in betting rotation who get highest %age of their points on 3’s:

44.9%- Citadel
43.5%- Detroit
43.1%- Dartmouth
42.3%- Purdue
41.9%- Eastern Washington
41.9%- Creighton

Quote of the Day
“I ain’t worried about nobody but myself.”
Jaguars’ CB Jalen Ramsey, when asked about his coach’s job status

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Jason Witten play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
The old TV show Homicide was set in Baltimore.

Sunday’s quiz
Baylor University is located in Waco, TX


*********************


Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Before the NFL season started, a courageous gambler wagered $70,000 on the Cleveland Browns to go over 5.5 wins this season. Now that person can put his/her feet up and relax for the last two weeks of the season with a winning ticket in pocket.

Well done, but wonder how often a team has fired its coach during the season and still went over its win total for the season?

12) My nomination for most underrated sports achievement of the last 20 years; Butler playing for the national title in college basketball two years in a row. Bulldogs are in the Big East now, but they were in the freakin’ Horizon League back then.

In seven years since Butler played for the national title, Horizon League teams are 0-7 in the NCAA tournament, 2-5 vs spread and they were the underdog in all seven games.

Brad Stevens coached Butler back then; now obviously, he is doing well in the NBA in Boston.

11) From Rick Gosselin: The Bill Vinovich officiating crew has called the fewest penalties in the NFL this season. The Vinovich crew also has worked five Sunday night prime-time games. The NFL prefers its primetime games not to have a lot of penalties called.

10) This is pretty cool: Drew Brees sent a customized game ball and a personalized letter to anybody that caught a pass from him or started on the offensive line during his career for their contributions to his all-time NFL passing yardage record.

9) From The Athletic: Since 2014, Houston Texans are 30-1 when leading at halftime; Dallas is 32-11, the Browns are 10-12.

8) Teams leading at halftime have won 76.3% of NFL playoff games since the league expanded to a 12-team playoff field in 1990.

7) Notre Dame’s Rex Pflueger will miss the remainder of this basketball season with a torn ACL; very big loss for a young Fighting Irish team (#282 in experience) that is 7-3.

6) Texas Tech is the only college basketball team in country that still hasn’t allowed more than a point per possession in a game this season; they play Duke Thursday night.

5) Cincinnati Reds sent 61 employees to Las Vegas for the winter meetings; they have all kinds of meetings/trade shows at the winter meetings, from front office people to trainers to souvenir sales. Plus its a reward for lot of hard work during the season.

4) If you’re in a dynasty league in fantasy baseball and you have Daniel Palka on your team, the Yonder Alonso trade is bad for you, because now Palka either plays LF or comes off the bench, with Jose Abreu/Alonso slotted to man the White Sox’ DH/first base spots.

3) Jeurys Familia got $31M from the Mets for three years, and another $1M if he gets traded; is this a great country or what?

2) Big money college sports claimed another casualty last weekend; the seven-year old Hy-Vee Classic, an annual doubleheader with Iowa’s four Division I hoop programs, is done after this week because the Big 14 is going to a 20-game conference schedule. God forbid Iowa play a non-conference team they could actually lose to.

Basically, Iowa is afraid of playing Drake and Northern Iowa every other year; imagine that?

1) Saints 12, Panthers 9— Cam Newton threw an INT in end zone near end of first half, then Carolina fumbled after a long run in Saints territory. Panthers’ defense played their hearts out, but Newton looks terrible, not sure if he is injured or not. He throws like his arm hurts.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 18

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CLEVELAND (7 - 23) at INDIANA (20 - 10) - 12/18/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 55-77 ATS (-29.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 67-50 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 13-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 12-8 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (18 - 12) at BROOKLYN (13 - 18) - 12/18/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BROOKLYN is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 140-98 ATS (+32.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (12 - 18) at ATLANTA (6 - 23) - 12/18/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 49-66 ATS (-23.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games in the first half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 187-231 ATS (-67.1 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 134-171 ATS (-54.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 10-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (15 - 13) at DENVER (20 - 9) - 12/18/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 422-342 ATS (+45.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 508-431 ATS (+33.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 83-54 ATS (+23.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 18

Cavaliers lost nine of last 12 games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last seven games went over total. Pacers won their last seven games, covered five of last six; they are 4-3 vs spread in last seven home games. Indiana’s last ten games stayed under. Home side won seven of last ten Cleveland-Indiana games; Cavaliers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits here. Last three series games went over the total.

Lakers won seven of their last ten games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Five of their last seven games went over. Brooklyn won last five games, covered last six; four of those six games were at home. Nets’ last three games went over. Lakers won five of their last six games with the Nets; LA is 3-1-1 vs spread in its last five visits to Brooklyn. Four of last six series games stayed under.

Wizards lost four of their last five games; they’re 4-12 vs spread on road this season. Five of their last six games went over. Atlanta lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Washington won five of its last seven games with the Hawks; they covered three of last four trips to Atlanta. Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games played here.

Dallas split its last six games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Denver won/covered 10 of its last 12 games; they won/covered their last six home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Nuggets won five of last seven games with Dallas; four of last six series games stayed under the total. Mavericks are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Denver.




NBA

Tuesday, December 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 23 games
LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
LA Lakers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Lakers's last 16 games when playing Brooklyn
LA Lakers is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
LA Lakers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Lakers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Brooklyn's last 16 games when playing LA Lakers
Brooklyn is 2-10-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Brooklyn is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Brooklyn's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Washington Wizards
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Washington is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Washington's last 19 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Atlanta's last 19 games when playing at home against Washington

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Denver
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 13 games
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Dallas
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Tuesday
Chris David

The NBA slows down the pace on Tuesday with four games and the oddsmakers are expecting three of the contests to be competitive. Favorites posted a 7-1 straight up record last night and the chalk managed to produce profits at the betting counter too with a 5-1-2 mark against the spread. Based on our closing the numbers, the Bucks (-3) and Rockets (-5) both pushed in their victories over the Pistons and Jazz respectively. The lone underdog occurred in the late-night tip as the Trail Blazers (+1 ½) nipped the struggling Clippers 131-127 at the Staples Center. The ‘over/under’ went 4-4 on Monday.

Cleveland (7-23 SU, 14-16 ATS) at Indiana (20-10 SU, 15-14-1 ATS)

Monday’s card saw a pair of double-digit favorites win and cover easily in the Thunder and Warriors. Indiana (-12 ½) will try to keep the ‘chalk’ express rolling on a Tuesday. I was told a long time ago to never be afraid to lay a heavy amount of points, in football or basketball, if the team you’re backing plays defense. Indiana certainly fits that criteria as it leads the league in scoring defense, allowing 101.2 points per game. That production has led to a 20-10 ‘under’ mark and they enter this matchup with 10 straight winning tickets to the low side.

Indiana also brings a seven-game winning streak (6-1 ATS) into this game against the Cavaliers. The Pacers have been double-digit favorites twice this season and they’re 2-0 but they haven’t covered in either win. Most recently, they got squeezed this past Sunday in their 110-99 win over the Knicks as 12-point favorites.

Cleveland isn’t a good team and if you’re backing them tonight, then you better hope for a stellar shooting night and I wish you luck with that against the Pacers. In the seven wins for the Cavaliers, they’re averaging 116.7 PPG. Outside of fading the public, the only other handicap you can make against the Pacers is a look-ahead spot as Indiana travels to Toronto on Wednesday.

These teams met in late October from Quicken Loans Arena and the Pacers ran past the Cavaliers 119-107 as seven-point road favorites.

L.A. Lakers (18-12 SU, 12-17-1 ATS) at Brooklyn (13-18 SU, 16-15 ATS)

This is a great matchup and even though the Nets probably won’t make the playoffs, the Barclays Center will be buzzing on Tuesday and it should be. Brooklyn has won five straight games, covered six in a row and it’s a young fun group to watch and they’re a tough out when the 3-pointers are dropping. Lately, the Nets can’t miss from anywhere and the team is averaging 121 PPG in their last six and that’s led to a 4-2 ‘over’ mark. They’re coming off a 144-127 wire-to-wire win over Atlanta on Sunday afternoon as seven-point favorites.

For this game, the Nets are underdogs to the Lakers (-2 ½) and Los Angeles will be looking to finish off its four-game road trip with a split after dropping two of their first three. The Lakers couldn’t keep up with the Wizards on Sunday as they got run 128-110 in D.C. while playing on no rest. Including the loss to Washington, the Lakers have gone 6-4 versus the Eastern Conference this season and they’ve burned backers at the betting counter (3-7 ATS).

Since starting the season 2-4, the Lakers have gone 16-8 and the key to that success has been rebounding off losses. During this span, Los Angeles has gone 6-1 after a setback. Even though we have plenty of different faces on the court tonight, the Lakers have had their way with the Nets recently, winning five of the last six meetings and they’ve gone 5-1 ATS during this span.

Washington (12-18 SU, 12-18 ATS) at Atlanta (6-23 SU, 11-18 ATS)

The Wizards opened as 4 ½-point road favorites and the relay money has pushed the number down to 3 ½. These teams just met a couple weeks ago and Washington (-3 ½) captured a 131-117 road win over Atlanta from State Farm Arena.

Despite being the more talented team, it’s hard to make a case for a Wizards team that has struggled on the road (4-12 SU, 4-12 ATS) this season. If you’re looking to back the Hawks tonight, I would suggest a money-line play (+140) knowing that Atlanta has gone 4-8 both SU and ATS as a home underdog and the point-spread hasn’t matter in any of those contests.

If you’re undecided on either side, the ‘over’ could be worth a look. It’s a high total (236) but Washington (19-11) and Atlanta (17-12) have both leaned to the ‘over’ this season and they just played to a shootout.

Dallas (15-12 SU, 17-11 ATS) at Denver (20-9 SU, 18-11 ATS)

Bettors could be scratching their heads on this game as two of their ATS darlings will square off from the Pepsi Center in the last game on the board Tuesday. At first glance, I thought the line on Denver (-5) was way too short especially when you look at the home-away numbers for the Nuggets (12-3 SU, 11-4 ATS) and Mavericks (2-10 SU, 5-7 ATS). Actually, it looks like a no-brainer to back Denver and anytime you think it’s too easy, we all know that it never is.

The Nuggets just completed a season sweep of Toronto on Sunday with a 95-86 win at home and they were three-point favorites in that game against a Raptors squad that didn’t have Kyle Lowry in the lineup. Two days later, the Nuggets are only giving an extra two points to a Dallas team that has only two road wins. Perhaps now you see what I’m getting at.

Including that win, Denver has won and covered six straight at home and what may surprise you is that the club is winning with defense (102.9 PPG) this season. The Mavericks limp into this game off back-to-back losses and they haven’t covered in three straight games. Dallas was on a great run (11-3 ATS) prior to this skid but a lot of the profits came at home. The Mavs haven’t lost three straight games since they were mired in a six-game skid that ended in early November.

The home team went 4-0 in the four meetings between the pair last season but the Mavericks covered in both of their wins and the two losses in Denver, which came by a combined five points (105-102, 91-89). It appears the oddsmakers are putting some stock into those tendencies for this year’s first encounter.

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 18


Cleveland @ Indiana

Game 545-546
December 18, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
110.218
Indiana
124.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 14
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 11 1/2
206
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-11 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Brooklyn

Game 547-548
December 18, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
120.118
Brooklyn
115.663
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 2
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-2); Under

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 549-550
December 18, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.831
Atlanta
110.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
237
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-2 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Denver

Game 551-552
December 18, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
124.403
Denver
126.411
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Nets are 10-0 ATS (+10.40 ppg) with rest facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.


ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-16 ATS (-11.44 ppg) on the road off a double-digit loss as a dog when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 20.5 fouls-against per game.


OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Hawks are 12-0 OU (+10.83 ppg) at home when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals.


OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-10 OU (-14.00 ppg) on the road with rest off a double-digit loss as a home dog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games.

[Udog]

By: Monique Vág



Shutting teams down at home

The Pacers have won seven straight and have posted one of the league's best home records at 11-4. Today the Pacers are 12.5-point favorites against a Cavaliers team that struggles offensively scoring 103.4 points per game on 44.5 percent shooting.

The Pacers have a highly ranked defense, allowing only 97.7 points per game on 43.8 percent shooting while at home, so the Cavs will have a difficult time putting points on the board. Bet Under the Cavaliers team total of 97.5.


Given the keys to the offense as a rookie

The Wizards travel to Atlanta to take on the league-worst Hawks. The Wizards have been one of the worst teams at defending opposing point guards allowing 25.2 points, 6.1 rebounds and a league-worst 9.2 assists per game to the position.

In a game which projects to be high scoring, this is a super favorable matchup for Hawks rookie Trae Young. Young has seen his scoring dip over the most recent five games, but has logged a double-double in two of the most recent three. Take his points, rebounds, and assists total Over 24.5.


Taking advantage of injuries

The Nets have won five straight, but once again find themselves as underdogs as they host the Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers will be without Michael Beasley and Brandon Ingram, while JaVale McGee is listed as questionable with the flu.

In the second meeting between these two teams last year, Nets guard Spencer Dinwiddie went 9 of 19 from the floor with seven rebounds and nine assists. With Allen Crabbe questionable, and the Nets already without Caris LeVert, look for Dinwiddie to continue orchestrating plays and logging extra minutes. Back Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 26.5.


One Dimensional

The Nets have been the league's highest scoring team by 13 points over their most recent three contests averaging an incredible 132 a game. The Lakers have also played well offensively averaging 113.4 on the year, including 116.3 over their most recent three games.

Defensively, over their most recent three games the Nets are surrendering 123 points per game on 54.9 percent shooting, while the Lakers have been allowing an average of 118 points per contest. With both teams scoring a lot while playing minimal defense, the Over 226.5 looks like a good bet.


Denver's home-court dominance

The Mavericks have been struggling recently. After winning four straight they have posted two back-to-back losses, including one to the cellar-dwelling Phoenix Suns. They have not fared well on the road this season, averaging only 104.2 points away from home.

Now is not the time to be in a shooting slump as the Mavs travel to Denver to play a Nuggets squad allowing only 99.8 points per game at home. With J.J. Barea, and Dennis Smith Jr. both questionable with injuries, look for the Nuggets to keep the Mavericks contained and hold their team total Under 102.