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  • NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, March 15


    Home side won last nine Toronto-Indiana games; Raptors are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits here, all of which stayed under. Toronto won its last nine games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last seven games as road favorites. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Pacers won six of their last seven games; they’re 5-5 as home underdogs. Nine of their last ten games went under the total.

    Hornets won six of last seven games with the Hawks; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Atlanta. Eight of last ten series games stayed under. Charlotte lost six of its last seven games; they’re 4-2 as road favorites. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Hawks lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 4-6 in last 10 games as home underdogs. Seven of their last ten games went under the total.

    Knicks lost three of last four games with Philly; five of last six series games stayed under total. 76ers covered their last four visits to Manhattan. Philly split its last 10 games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. New York lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread); they failed to cover last seven games as home underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Clippers won three of last four games with Houston; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Four of last five series games stayed under. Clippers won seven of their last nine games; they’re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Rockets won 19 of their last 20 games; they’re 5-9 in last 14 games as home favorites. Last four series games stayed under.

    Road team won seven of last ten Chicago-Memphis games; Bulls covered three of last four trips to Memphis. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Chicago lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 1-8 in last nine games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Grizzlies lost their last 18 games (last win Jan 29); they’re 6-10 as home favorites. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

    Pelicans won three of last four games with the Spurs; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. New Orleans won eight of its last 10 games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as road underdogs. Eight of their last ten games went over total. San Antonio lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Spurs’ last five games all stayed under.

    Jazz won nine of last ten games with Phoenix but Suns covered four of last five; Phoenix is 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to SLC. Six of last nine series games stayed under. Phoenix lost its last six games; they’re 4-6 in last ten games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Utah won its last seven games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as home favorites. Eight of their last ten games stayed under.

    Nuggets are 5-3 in last eight games with Detroit; last seven series games stayed under the total. Pistons are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Denver. Detroit lost eight of its last ten games; they are 1-10 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went under the total. Denver split its last ten games; they’re 5-7 in last dozen games as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

    Home side won last eight Cleveland-Portland games; Cavaliers are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Cleveland is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 7-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Trailblazers won their last 10 games; they covered last five games as home favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • NBA

      Thursday, March 15


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TORONTO @ INDIANA
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
      Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games

      CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
      Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against Charlotte
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Charlotte

      PHILADELPHIA @ NEW YORK
      Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing New York
      New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

      CHICAGO @ MEMPHIS
      Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games

      LA CLIPPERS @ HOUSTON
      LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Houston is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games

      NEW ORLEANS @ SAN ANTONIO
      New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
      San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against New Orleans

      PHOENIX @ UTAH
      Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Phoenix's last 22 games when playing Utah
      Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
      Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

      DETROIT @ DENVER
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Denver
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Detroit
      Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

      CLEVELAND @ PORTLAND
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
      Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
      Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • Inside the Paint - Thursday
        March 15, 2018


        Since the first and second round of the NCAA Tournament will be taking center stage over the next four days, VegasInsider.com will be focusing on the 48 games played in that event.

        If you’re like myself and you don’t enjoy wagering on the kids, then be sure to check out my NBA pieces for the next four days. We’ve got 30 games to handicap and rather than break down the entire card, I’m going to provide my quick handicap, top selections and leans.

        Fearless Predictions

        Since the All-Star break, I started posting these selections and they’ve gone 8-6 (57%) which includes a 0-1 mark last Saturday. However, my slight lean plays did manage to go 4-1 but who’s counting. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

        Over 217 Philadelphia-New York, Philadelphia Team Total Over 113

        It’s hard to trust the 76ers as road favorites (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS) this season which is why I’m looking at the total in this game. When laying points as visitors, the ‘over’ has gone 11-2 in those games and I expect more points in this matchup. Philadelphia’s defense (108 PPG) has been much weaker on the road and the defense of the Knicks has allowed 117.1 PPG since Kristaps Porzingis went down to an injury. The 76ers also enter this game off a 101-98 loss on Tuesday to Indiana and they’re responded well lately off setbacks, scoring 128 and 120 in their last two situations.

        Detroit +8 over Denver

        It’s hard to make a case for the Pistons, who have lost eight of their last 10 and the Blake Griffin experiment has taken them from a possible playoff spot to a date in the upcoming draft lottery. Despite the poor form, this selection is based off the opening number. I felt the Nuggets should’ve been listed higher than -7 ½ and the early wagers have been placed on the home team. Denver came out flat in a 112-103 loss against the Lakers on Tuesday and it has had a knack of losing two straight this season (10 times). For what it’s worth, Detroit is 1-1 in its last two trips to Denver and the loss was by three points. I’m expecting another tight game and the points are too hard to pass up.

        Under 212 ½ Phoenix-Utah

        It’s hard to bet an ‘under’ with the Suns since their defense (113.7 PPG) is absolutely atrocious but Utah isn’t exactly a juggernaut (102.9 PPG) on offense and you can’t ignore what the Jazz have been doing defensively lately. They’re ranked second in points per game allowed (100 PPG) and during their recent run (19-2 SU), the Jazz have surrendered triple digits four times. Lastly, the Jazz have gone 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite this season and the ‘under’ has cashed in all four games. Barring a lights out shooting display by the Suns, I’d be surprised to see them get into the nineties.

        Other Leans and Projections

        These selections were on my radar and I guess you could call them my "First Four Out."

        Charlotte (ML -200)

        L.A. Clippers +11 ½ over Houston

        Under 212 ½ Chicago-Memphis

        Under 219 ½ New Orleans-San Antonio

        Cleveland (ML +170)



        THURSDAY, MAR. 15
        Rotation Teams Projection


        701 Toronto 108
        702 Indiana 100

        703 Charlotte 115
        704 Atlanta 113

        705 Philadelphia 125
        706 New York 116

        707 L.A. Clippers 108
        708 Houston 116

        709 Chicago 99
        710 Memphis 100

        711 New Orleans 102
        712 San Antonio 108

        713 Phoenix 88
        714 Utah 100

        715 Detroit 111
        716 Denver 113

        717 Cleveland 110
        718 Portland 108
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • Hoop Trends - Thursday
          March 15, 2018



          ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

          -- The Raptors are 16-0 ATS (10.81 ppg) on the road off a win in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

          OU TREND OF THE DAY:

          -- The 76ers are 10-0 OU (11.85 ppg) as a road favorite with rest after they had at least 15 fewer shots than their opponent

          PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

          -- The Pacers are 0-11-1 OU (-14.88 ppg) after Victor Oladipo had a plus/minus at least 5 more than the team’s margin.

          CHOICE TREND:

          -- The Suns are 11-0 ATS (8.77 ppg) as a 8+point dog off a 10+ point loss in which they had more turnovers than assists.

          ACTIVE TRENDS:

          -- The Grizzlies are 0-13-2 ATS (-5.07 ppg) with more than one day of rest off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

          -- The Jazz are 12-0 ATS (14.12 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which Donovan Mitchell was not the high scorer.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • THURSDAY, MARCH 15
            GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

            TOR at IND 07:00 PM
            IND +4.0
            U 212.0

            CHA at ATL 07:30 PM
            CHA -5.5
            U 219.0

            PHI at NY 07:30 PM
            PHI -9.5
            U 217.0


            LAC at HOU 08:00 PM
            HOU -11.5
            O 225.0

            CHI at MEM 08:00 PM
            MEM -1.0
            U 211.5

            NO at SA 08:30 PM
            NO +4.5
            U 219.5

            PHO at UTA 09:00 PM
            PHO +13.5
            U 213.0

            DET at DEN 09:00 PM
            DEN -8.5
            U 215.5


            CLE at POR 10:00 PM
            POR -6.0
            O 220.5
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • DAV at UK 07:10 PM
              DAV +4.5
              U 141.0


              SDSU at HOU 07:20 PM
              HOU -4.5

              SFA at TTU 07:27 PM
              TTU -11.5
              O 137.0

              ULM at PEAY 08:00 PM
              PEAY -4.5
              U 144.5


              ALA at VT 09:20 PM
              VT -2.5
              U 141.0


              BUFF at ARIZ 09:40 PM
              BUFF +8.0
              O 157.5


              MONT at MICH 09:50 PM
              MONT +10.0
              O 134.0

              SBON at FLA 09:57 PM
              FLA -6.0
              U 143.0
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • Rockets beat Clippers, clinch Southwest Division title
                March 16, 2018


                HOUSTON (AP) James Harden scored 24 points, Eric Gordon added 23 and the Houston Rockets outlasted the Los Angeles Clippers for a 101-96 victory on Thursday night.

                The Clippers scored six straight points, with four from Austin Rivers, to cut the lead to a basket with less than a minute left. But on the next possession, Harden stepped back and knocked down a long 2-pointer with Rivers in his face to make it 100-96.

                Rivers missed a 3-pointer after that before Harden made one of two free throws with 6.2 seconds left to secure the victory.

                It's Houston's third straight win and snaps a three-game winning streak for the Clippers. The victory, coupled with a loss by the Pelicans to the Spurs, wrapped up the Southwest Division title for the Rockets.

                Tobias Harris led the Clippers with 29 points and Rivers had 20.

                TRAIL BLAZERS 113, CAVALIERS 105


                PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) - CJ McCollum scored 29 points and Portland won its NBA-best 11th straight game with a victory over Cleveland.

                Damian Lillard added 24 points for the Blazers, on their longest run since also winning 11 in a row in 2013. It was the Blazers' eighth straight win at home.

                LeBron James had 35 points, including a highlight-reel dunk in the first quarter that had the fans at the Moda Center momentarily stunned. He also had 14 rebounds for his sixth straight double-double. Kyle Korver added 19 points.

                RAPTORS 106, PACERS 99

                INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - DeMar DeRozan scored 24 points, Jonas Valanciunas added 16 points and 17 rebounds, and Toronto rallied late to get past Indiana for its 10th straight victory.

                The Raptors need one more win to tie the franchise's longest winning streak. They haven't lost since Feb. 23 and broke a tie with the 2016-17 squad for longest road winning streak, which is now at eight.

                But it sure wasn't easy on a night Darren Collison scored 22 points and Al Jefferson had a season-high 20 for Indiana.

                SPURS 98, PELICANS 93

                SAN ANTONIO (AP) - LaMarcus Aldridge scored 25 points, Dejounte Murray had 18 points and 12 rebounds, and San Antonio overcame another late rally to beat New Orleans.

                New Orleans was playing hours after learning Pelicans owner Tom Benson had died. Benson was hospitalized with the flu on Feb. 16 and never recovered. The 90-year-old native of San Antonio owned both the Pelicans and the Saints.

                Anthony Davis finished with 21 points and 14 rebounds, but fouled out after playing 36 minutes. New Orleans fell to sixth in the West.

                76ERS 118, KNICKS 110

                NEW YORK (AP) - Joel Embiid had 29 points and 10 rebounds, Ben Simmons finished with a triple-double, and Philadelphia used a big final period to rally past New York.

                The Sixers, who hold the sixth spot in the Eastern Conference playoff race, trailed by as many as 13 points in the third quarter before storming back in the final period, going on a 20-6 run during the last five minutes of regulation.

                Simmons finished with 13 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds.

                Michael Beasley had 24 points and 13 rebounds, and Courtney Lee and Trey Burke each contributed 16 points for the Knicks, who have lost a season-high nine straight games and 17 of 18. The Knicks' last win came on Feb. 22 at Orlando.

                NUGGETS 120, PISTONS 113

                DENVER (AP) - Nikola Jokic had 23 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists for his eighth triple-double of the season, Jamal Murray added 26 points and Denver's playoff hopes received a much-needed boost with a victory over Detroit.

                Will Barton hit a big basket down the stretch and later knocked down two free throws to help the Nuggets hold off a Pistons team that trailed by as many as 26 points in the third quarter. The Nuggets now hit the road for a pivotal seven-game trip.

                The fading Pistons dropped their 11th straight road game despite Andre Drummond scoring 21 points and grabbing 17 rebounds. Blake Griffin added 26 points and nine assists.

                Jokic's eight triple-doubles are the most by a Nuggets player in a season since Fat Lever had nine in 1988-89.

                JAZZ 116, SUNS 88

                SALT LAKE CITY (AP) - Donovan Mitchell scored 23 points and Rudy Gobert had 21 points and 13 rebounds to lead Utah over Phoenix, its eighth consecutive victory.

                Joe Ingles scored 17 points, including four 3-pointers, and Jae Crowder added 12 for the Jazz, who have won 20 of their last 22 games.

                T.J. Warren paced Phoenix with 19 points while Josh Jackson had 17 and Devin Booker had 12. The Suns have lost seven in a row.

                Ricky Rubio had 12 points and 11 assists, and Dante Exum made his first appearance of the season for the Jazz and finished with 10 points.

                HORNETS 129, HAWKS 117


                ATLANTA (AP) - Dwight Howard scored 20 of his season-high 33 points in the second half, Nicolas Batum had a triple-double and set a career high with 16 assists, and Charlotte beat Atlanta.

                Kemba Walker added 24 points and Marvin Williams had 17 for Charlotte, which kept its slim playoff hopes alive. The Hornets began the night having lost six of seven and were in 10th place in the Eastern Conference, 6+ games behind No. 8 Miami with 13 games remaining.

                Taurean Prince finished with 22 points and rookie John Collins tied a career high with 21 for Atlanta, the worst team in the East at 20-49.

                BULLS 111, GRIZZLIES 110

                MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) - Antonio Blakeney made two of three free throws with 1.8 seconds left as Chicago handed Memphis its 19th straight loss.

                On the game's final play, Memphis got the ball to Marc Gasol for a baseline fadeaway that was long. JaMychal Green tipped it in but after the horn, although it appeared to be basket interference anyway.

                Zach LaVine led the Bulls with 20 points while playing only three quarters, while Bobby Portis scored 17. Denzel Valentine had 15 points, going 5 of 7 from outside the arc.

                Tyreke Evans had 25 points and nine assists for Memphis, while Gasol added 21 points and 10 rebounds. Jarell Martin scored 15 points and Green finished with 15 points and 10 rebounds.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • B]Friday’s 6-pack[/B]

                  Odds you can get on various World Series matchups:

                  14-1- Astros-Dodgers

                  18-1– Indians-Dodgers

                  18-1— Astros-Nationals

                  22-1— Indians-Nationals

                  30-1— Red Sox-Cubs

                  150-1— A’s-Dodgers— Hey, a guy can dream.

                  Quote of the Day
                  “I say that after a lot of reflection and mostly a lot of belief that, ultimately, what is the most important thing in life is to be happy. As much as it was a great honor to be the voice of ‘Monday Night Football’ – and you guys know me well enough, and certainly a lot of my friends and family do – it wasn’t a tremendous amount of fun the last two years…….”
                  ESPN’s Sean McDonough, who will no longer be on Monday Night Football

                  Friday’s quiz
                  What is the capital of Kentucky?

                  Thursday’s quiz
                  No #16-seed has ever beaten a #1-seed in the NCAA tournament.

                  Wednesday’s quiz

                  James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.


                  Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a basketball Thursday


                  Night Games
                  16) Buffalo 89, Arizona 68— Complete ass-kicking; Bulls outhustled Arizona, they made 15-30 on the arc and they looked like the better team. Arizona kids quit in the last 10:00.

                  This is first time since 2012 a MAC team won an NCAA tournament game; it is only the second time in last eight years Arizona didn’t make the Sweet 16. With all their legal issues, could be a long time before they get there again.

                  15) Houston 67, San Diego State 65— Rob Gray scored 39 of Houston’s 67 points, including the game-winner with 0:01 left; I don’t want to say he’s a ballhog, but he took 25 shots, 15 more foul shots and he had zero assists. It is amazing how he dominates the ball, but he made 12-25 from the floor and the Cougars advance.

                  14) Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 81— Pet Peeve of the Day; calling a flagrant foul when a defender intrudes the space of the guy with the ball, and the offensive player swings the ball to create space and plugs the defender in the face with the ball or his elbow. Whats he supposed to do?

                  20 years ago, we used to teach this about rebounding: “Catch-Tuck-Swing” the ball, and if the guy on the other team didn’t want to get drilled in the face, he’d move his face. Now in our soft society, that would be a foul on the guy with the ball, maybe a flagrant foul. It shouldn’t be.

                  13) Kentucky 78, Davidson 73— Davidson hit a 3-ball with 0:00.6 to cover the spread, but now Kentucky plays Buffalo Saturday for a spot in the Sweet 16.

                  Kentucky went 0-for-6 outside the arc against Davidson, which ended a 1,047-game streak in which Kentucky made at least one 3-pointer. It was the longest active streak in the country, dating back to November 26, 1988.

                  12) Texas Tech 70, Stephen F Austin 60— Lumberjacks led by 3 at the half; but Keenan Evans scored 23 points for the Red Raiders and Tech gets their first NCAA tournament win since 2005.

                  11) Michigan 61, Montana 47— Griz led this game 10-0 early, but Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since 2006- they’re just not good enough to beat a top 20 opponent.

                  10) Florida 77, St Bonaventure 62— Bonnies made tournament for first time since 2012, beat UCLA Tuesday, but ran out of gas here and got drilled by the Gators, who now play Texas Tech.

                  I’m still amazed one of the genius AD’s at the big money schools hasn’t scooped up Bonnies’ coach Mark Schmidt— he is a very good coach. Ain’t easy to recruit players to Olean, NY.

                  9) Villanova 87, Radford 61— Worst game of the day, a total mismatch; now the Wildcats face their bugaboo, the second round of the tournament.

                  Since 2010, Villanova is 1-4 in the second round of the NCAA’s, losing two of last three years in 2nd round as a #1-seed; the one time they won was two years ago, when they went on to win the national title. Villanova plays Virginia Tech Saturday.

                  Day games
                  1) Rhode Island 83, Oklahoma 78 OT— First game of the tournament was terrific; Sooners led by 8 late in first half, then trailed by 6 with 4:10 left in regulation, before URI missed a point-blank putback at the buzzer to force OT, where the Rams prevailed.

                  Oklahoma winds up losing 12 of its last 16 games. URI moves on to play Duke.

                  2) Loyola Chi 64, Miami FL 62— Donte Ingram stuck a 3-ball with 0:00.3 left to send Ramblers on to the next round in their first NCAA appearance since 1985. Loyola outscored Miami 8-2 over the last 2:47; they were +6 in turnovers (16-10) for the game.

                  This is the 14th consecutive year that a #11 seed beat a #6 seed

                  3) Gonzaga 68, NC-Greensboro 64— Games like this are what make the NCAA tournament great. Condescending jerks like Jay Bilas think the NCAA’s should be the best 68 teams in country, rather than the champs from all 32 D-I leagues, but if that were the case, the Spartans wouldn’t have been invited— we’d get the 13th place team in the ACC.

                  Zags led by 12 with 16:00 left, but UNCG took a 64-62 lead with 1:46 to play- Gonzaga scored the last six points of the game. Exciting game, for sure.

                  4) Ohio State 81, South Dakota State 73— This game was 70-70 with 1:53 left, but then SD State fouled the 3-point shooter on the next two trips and that was that. Jackrabbits dared Ohio State to shoot 3-pointers; OSU was 12-40 outside the arc, 15-32 inside arc.

                  South Dakota State’s Mike Daum is an NBA player; he is a sturdy 6-8 guy with 3-point range; he had 27 in this game, and star freshman Jenkins had 16. If those two guys are back in school next year, the Jackrabbits should go dancing again.

                  5) Duke 89, Iona 67— Gaels shot 38.3% on arc for season; they were 5-24 in this game, as Duke ran out to a 53-39 halftime lead and coasted home from there.

                  6) Seton Hall 94, NC State 83— Pirates are #55 experience team in country, NC State is #179, which explains this result. Seton Hall led 51-41 at the half and held the Wolfpack off in a game with lot of fouls. Solid first season for Kevin Keatts with NC State, finishing at 21-12. ACC lost two teams already; Wolfpack and Miami.

                  7) Kansas 76, Penn 60— Quakers led 21-11 early, then reality set in. Penn had a senior named Caleb Wood, only senior in their rotation. He was 4-12 behind the arc in this game, only 12 shots he took all day. He shot 38% behind arc for the year; thats a good gig, just shooting 3’s.

                  Penn was first Ivy League team to be a 16-seed since Princeton in 1989.

                  8) Tennessee 73, Wright State 47— Total mismatch, other than first 2:00, when Raiders led 2-0. Vols are just so much more athletic than Wright State. Tennessee has all five of its starters back next year, so they should be even better. Wright State’s only senior starter was Grant Benzinger, son of former major leaguer Todd Benzinger— he was 2-16 from floor in this game.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MARCH 16, 2018
                    Time (ET) Away Home Site
                    7:00 PM Boston Celtics Orlando Magic Amway Center
                    7:00 PM Brooklyn Nets Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Center
                    7:30 PM Dallas Mavericks Toronto Raptors Air Canada Centre
                    8:00 PM Los Angeles Clippers Oklahoma City Thunder Chesapeake Energy Arena
                    10:30 PM Miami Heat Los Angeles Lakers Staples Center
                    10:30 PM Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


                    ***************************

                    March NBA Record:

                    DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

                    03/15/2018 5-13-0 27.78% -46.50
                    03/14/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
                    03/13/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +21.00
                    03/12/2018 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
                    03/11/2018 10-8-0 55.56% +6.00
                    03/10/2018 7-3-0 70.00% +18.50
                    03/09/2018 13-7-0 65.00% +26.50
                    03/08/2018 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
                    03/07/2018 4-10-0 28.57% -35.00
                    03/06/2018 7-7-1 50.00% -3.50
                    03/05/2018 7-7-0 50.00% -3.50
                    03/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
                    03/03/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
                    03/02/2018 9-10-0 47.37% -10.00
                    03/01/2018 6-2-0 83.00% +19.00

                    Totals...........106 - 102......50.96%....+9.00
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • NBA knowledge

                      Friday’s NBA


                      Celtics won six of last seven games with the Magic; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Orlando. Six of last nine series games went over. Boston lost three of its last five games; they are 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as road favorites. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Magic lost five of its last six games; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Seven of their last ten games stayed under.

                      76ers won six of last nine games with the Nets; under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Nets are are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Philly. Brooklyn lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Sixers split their last six games; they’re 3-6 vs spread if they played night before, 11-2 in last 13 games as home favorites. Under is 7-2 in last nine Philly games.

                      Raptors won four of last five games with Dallas; under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Dallas is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to Canada. Mavericks won three of last four games; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road underdogs- their last three games stayed under. Toronto won its last ten games (8-2 vs spread); they’re 6-3 in last nine games as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

                      Thunder won six of last eight games with the Clippers; six of those games went over. LA is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to OKC. Clippers are 5-3 vs spread when playing 2nd consecutive night on road; they won five of last seven games, are 10-2 in last dozen games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under. Thunder won their last four games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

                      Warriors won eight of last ten games with Sacramento, but Kings covered four of last six series games; Kings are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Five of last six series games stayed under. Sacramento split its last eight games; they’re 9-4 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Golden State won eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as home favorites. Six of their last seven games stayed under.

                      Lakers won three of last four games with Miami; last three series games went over. Heat is 1-3 vs spread in last four series games in Staples Center. Miami lost its last nine road games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. Lakers won seven of last ten games; they’re 6-4 as home favorites. Four of their last six games stayed under.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

                        Odds you can get on various World Series matchups:

                        14-1- Astros-Dodgers

                        18-1– Indians-Dodgers

                        18-1— Astros-Nationals

                        22-1— Indians-Nationals

                        30-1— Red Sox-Cubs

                        150-1— A’s-Dodgers— Hey, a guy can dream.


                        **********

                        Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a basketball Thursday


                        Night Games
                        16) Buffalo 89, Arizona 68— Complete ass-kicking; Bulls outhustled Arizona, they made 15-30 on the arc and they looked like the better team. Arizona kids quit in the last 10:00.

                        This is first time since 2012 a MAC team won an NCAA tournament game; it is only the second time in last eight years Arizona didn’t make the Sweet 16. With all their legal issues, could be a long time before they get there again.

                        15) Houston 67, San Diego State 65— Rob Gray scored 39 of Houston’s 67 points, including the game-winner with 0:01 left; I don’t want to say he’s a ballhog, but he took 25 shots, 15 more foul shots and he had zero assists. It is amazing how much he dominates the ball, but he made 12-25 from the floor and the Cougars advance.

                        14) Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 81— Pet Peeve of the Day; calling a flagrant foul when a defender intrudes the space of the guy with the ball, and the offensive player swings the ball to create space and plugs the defender in the face with the ball or his elbow. Whats he supposed to do?

                        20 years ago, we used to teach this about rebounding: “Catch-Tuck-Swing” the ball, and if the guy on the other team didn’t want to get drilled in the face, he’d move his face. Now in our soft society, that would be a foul on the guy with the ball, maybe a flagrant foul. It shouldn’t be.

                        13) Kentucky 78, Davidson 73— Davidson hit a 3-ball with 0:00.6 to cover the spread, but now Kentucky plays Buffalo Saturday for a spot in the Sweet 16.

                        Kentucky went 0-for-6 outside the arc against Davidson, which ended a 1,047-game streak in which Kentucky made at least one 3-pointer. It was the longest active streak in the country, dating back to November 26, 1988.

                        12) Texas Tech 70, Stephen F Austin 60— Lumberjacks led by 3 at the half; but Keenan Evans scored 23 points for the Red Raiders and Tech gets their first NCAA tournament win since 2005.

                        11) Michigan 61, Montana 47— Griz led this game 10-0 early, but Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since 2006- they’re just not good enough to beat a top 20 opponent.

                        10) Florida 77, St Bonaventure 62— Bonnies made tournament for first time since 2012, beat UCLA Tuesday, but ran out of gas here and got drilled by the Gators, who now play Texas Tech.

                        I’m still amazed one of the genius AD’s at the big money schools hasn’t scooped up Bonnies’ coach Mark Schmidt— he is a very good coach. Ain’t easy to recruit players to Olean, NY.

                        9) Villanova 87, Radford 61— Worst game of the day, a total mismatch; now the Wildcats face their bugaboo, the second round of the tournament.

                        Since 2010, Villanova is 1-4 in the second round of the NCAA’s, losing two of last three years in 2nd round as a #1-seed; the one time they won was two years ago, when they went on to win the national title. Villanova plays Virginia Tech Saturday.

                        Day games
                        1) Rhode Island 83, Oklahoma 78 OT— First game of the tournament was terrific; Sooners led by 8 late in first half, then trailed by 6 with 4:10 left in regulation, before URI missed a point-blank putback at the buzzer to force OT, where the Rams prevailed.

                        Oklahoma winds up losing 12 of its last 16 games. URI moves on to play Duke.

                        2) Loyola Chi 64, Miami FL 62— Donte Ingram stuck a 3-ball with 0:00.3 left to send Ramblers on to the next round in their first NCAA appearance since 1985. Loyola outscored Miami 8-2 over the last 2:47; they were +6 in turnovers (16-10) for the game.

                        This is the 14th consecutive year that a #11 seed beat a #6 seed

                        3) Gonzaga 68, NC-Greensboro 64— Games like this are what make the NCAA tournament great. Condescending jerks like Jay Bilas think the NCAA’s should be the best 68 teams in country, rather than the champs from all 32 D-I leagues, but if that were the case, the Spartans wouldn’t have been invited— we’d get the 13th place team in the ACC.

                        Zags led by 12 with 16:00 left, but UNCG took a 64-62 lead with 1:46 to play- Gonzaga scored the last six points of the game. Exciting game, for sure.

                        4) Ohio State 81, South Dakota State 73— This game was 70-70 with 1:53 left, but then SD State fouled the 3-point shooter on the next two trips and that was that. Jackrabbits dared Ohio State to shoot 3-pointers; OSU was 12-40 outside the arc, 15-32 inside arc.

                        South Dakota State’s Mike Daum is an NBA player; he is a sturdy 6-8 guy with 3-point range; he had 27 in this game, and star freshman Jenkins had 16. If those two guys are back in school next year, the Jackrabbits should go dancing again.

                        5) Duke 89, Iona 67— Gaels shot 38.3% on arc for season; they were 5-24 in this game, as Duke ran out to a 53-39 halftime lead and coasted home from there.

                        6) Seton Hall 94, NC State 83— Pirates are #55 experience team in country, NC State is #179, which explains this result. Seton Hall led 51-41 at the half and held the Wolfpack off in a game with lot of fouls. Solid first season for Kevin Keatts with NC State, finishing at 21-12. ACC lost two teams already; Wolfpack and Miami.

                        7) Kansas 76, Penn 60— Quakers led 21-11 early, then reality set in. Penn had a senior named Caleb Wood, only senior in their rotation. He was 4-12 behind the arc in this game, only 12 shots he took all day. He shot 38% behind arc for the year; thats a good gig, just shooting 3’s.

                        Penn was first Ivy League team to be a 16-seed since Princeton in 1989.

                        8) Tennessee 73, Wright State 47— Total mismatch, other than first 2:00, when Raiders led 2-0. Vols are just so much more athletic than Wright State. Tennessee has all five of its starters back next year, so they should be even better. Wright State’s only senior starter was Grant Benzinger, son of former major leaguer Todd Benzinger— he was 2-16 from floor in this game.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • NBA
                          Dunkel

                          Friday, March 16



                          Boston @ Orlando

                          Game 801-802
                          March 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Boston
                          00.000
                          Orlando
                          00.000
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Boston

                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Boston

                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Boston
                          ( );

                          Brooklyn @ Philadelphia

                          Game 803-804
                          March 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Brooklyn
                          113.129
                          Philadelphia
                          119.318
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Philadelphia
                          by 6
                          224
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Philadelphia
                          by 8 1/2
                          218
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Brooklyn
                          (+8 1/2); Over

                          Dallas @ Toronto


                          Game 805-806
                          March 16, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Dallas
                          117.142
                          Toronto
                          126.687
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Toronto
                          by 9 1/2
                          208
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Toronto
                          by 11 1/2
                          213
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Dallas
                          (+11 1/2); Under

                          LA Clippers @ Oklahoma City


                          Game 807-808
                          March 16, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          LA Clippers
                          00.000
                          Oklahoma City
                          00.000
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          LA Clippers

                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          LA Clippers

                          Dunkel Pick:
                          LA Clippers
                          ( );

                          Sacramento @ Golden State

                          Game 809-810
                          March 16, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Sacramento
                          113.701
                          Golden State
                          122.494
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Golden State
                          by 8 1/2
                          219
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Golden State
                          by 12
                          214
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Sacramento
                          (+12); Over

                          Miami @ LA Lakers


                          Game 811-812
                          March 16, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Miami
                          00.000
                          LA Lakers
                          00.000
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Miami

                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Miami

                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Miami
                          ( );
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • NBA
                            Long Sheet

                            Friday, March 16


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            BOSTON (46 - 22) at ORLANDO (21 - 48) - 3/16/2018, 7:05 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                            BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            BROOKLYN (21 - 47) at PHILADELPHIA (37 - 30) - 3/16/2018, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 86-62 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games this season.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            BROOKLYN is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games this season.
                            BROOKLYN is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
                            BROOKLYN is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
                            BROOKLYN is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                            BROOKLYN is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                            BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                            PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DALLAS (22 - 46) at TORONTO (51 - 17) - 3/16/2018, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            DALLAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Friday nights this season.
                            TORONTO is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
                            TORONTO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
                            TORONTO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                            TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
                            DALLAS is 406-331 ATS (+41.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 500-419 ATS (+39.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 183-138 ATS (+31.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
                            DALLAS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                            TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                            4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            LA CLIPPERS (37 - 30) at OKLAHOMA CITY (41 - 29) - 3/16/2018, 8:05 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            SACRAMENTO (22 - 47) at GOLDEN STATE (52 - 16) - 3/16/2018, 10:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            GOLDEN STATE is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                            GOLDEN STATE is 8-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MIAMI (36 - 33) at LA LAKERS (31 - 37) - 3/16/2018, 10:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                            LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • NBA

                              Friday, March 16


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Trend Report
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              BOSTON @ ORLANDO
                              Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                              Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
                              Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

                              BROOKLYN @ PHILADELPHIA
                              Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
                              Philadelphia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
                              Philadelphia is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

                              DALLAS @ TORONTO
                              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Toronto
                              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                              Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                              Toronto is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

                              LA CLIPPERS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
                              LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
                              Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers

                              MIAMI @ LA LAKERS
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                              LA Lakers is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

                              SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN STATE
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Golden State
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
                              Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                              Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • Hoop Trends - Friday
                                March 16, 2018


                                ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

                                -- The Celtics are 12-0 ATS (10.17 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog.

                                OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                                -- The Thunder are 0-19 OU (-15.53 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest off a 10+ point win as a favorite.

                                PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

                                -- The 76ers are 11-0 ATS (9.23 ppg) at home after Joel Embiid had a double double last game.

                                CHOICE TREND:


                                -- The Lakers are 10-0 ATS (10.30 ppg) as a home favorite after they had no more than 40% of the total rebounds last game.

                                ACTIVE TRENDS:


                                -- The Magic are 0-13-1 ATS (-12.36 ppg) off a win as a dog in which Nikola Vucevic was not their high scorer last game.

                                -- The Raptors are 0-8-1 OU (-13.33 ppg) as a 8+ favorite after DeMar DeRozan was their high scorer last game.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

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