The Bum's 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 13

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MINNESOTA (39 - 29) at WASHINGTON (38 - 29) - 3/13/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 365-429 ATS (-106.9 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (39 - 28) at PHILADELPHIA (36 - 29) - 3/13/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 67-47 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (49 - 17) at BROOKLYN (21 - 46) - 3/13/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (21 - 46) at NEW YORK (24 - 43) - 3/13/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (40 - 29) at ATLANTA (20 - 47) - 3/13/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (36 - 29) at CHICAGO (23 - 43) - 3/13/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 129-175 ATS (-63.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 68-99 ATS (-40.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (29 - 38) at NEW ORLEANS (38 - 28) - 3/13/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 26-37 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 48-80 ATS (-40.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 174-220 ATS (-68.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (20 - 47) at SAN ANTONIO (37 - 30) - 3/13/2018, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (30 - 36) at UTAH (37 - 30) - 3/13/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (38 - 28) at PHOENIX (19 - 49) - 3/13/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 21-44 ATS (-27.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-39 ATS (-31.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (37 - 30) at LA LAKERS (30 - 36) - 3/13/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 142-181 ATS (-57.1 Units) in March games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
March 13, 2018

Game of the Night: Nuggets (-2, 230 ½) at Lakers – 10:35 PM EST

The Lakers (30-36 SU, 36-30 ATS) continue to defend their home court as Los Angeles improved to 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS since January 7 at Staples Center following Sunday’s 127-113 blowout of Cleveland. Julius Randle put together a career game against the Cavaliers by scoring 36 points and pulling down 14 rebounds, while Isaiah Thomas burned his former team for 20 points off the bench. The Lakers still have plenty of work to do if they want to make the playoffs as they sit 6 ½ games back of the eighth spot in the Western Conference.

Four teams are fighting it out for the final two positions in the Western playoff race as the Clippers, Jazz, Nuggets, and Spurs are the teams that are trying to draw either Golden State or Houston in the opening round. Denver (37-30 SU, 31-33-3 ATS) has struggled on the road this season by owning an 11-20 record away from the Pepsi Center, but has won three of its last four on the highway. The Nuggets are fresh off a 130-104 blowout of the Kings on Sunday as 11 ½-point home favorites, as Denver shot 56% from the floor, while center Nikola Jokic posted a triple-double by scoring 20 points, pulling down 10 rebounds, and dishing out 10 assists.

The home team has won all three matchups this season, as the Nuggets knocked off the Lakers last Friday, 125-116 as seven-point favorites. Los Angeles led by two points heading into the fourth quarter until Denver pulled away by outscoring the Lakers, 31-20 to pick up the home cover. Three Nuggets scored at least 21 points, led by Jamal Murray’s 22, as Denver knocked down 26-of-30 free throws in the win.

Not on Target

The race for first place in the Northwest division is a good one with Portland currently leading the way. All five squads have a chance to make the playoffs, while the team in the middle is Minnesota (39-29 SU, 31-35-2 ATS), who is primed for its first postseason appearance since 2004. The Wolves travel to Washington looking to improve on a dreadful 2-13 SU and 3-12 ATS road mark in 2018, including recent divisional setbacks at Utah and Portland.

Minnesota is coming off a solid 109-103 home victory over Golden State on Sunday afternoon as 3 ½-point underdogs to snap a three-game skid. The Wolves look to avenge a 92-89 setback to the Wizards from late November at the Target Center, as Minnesota owns a 2-10 record against Eastern Conference teams on the road. Washington (38-29 SU, 32-34-1 ATS) looks to bounce back from a 27-point loss at Miami on Saturday, while losing four of its past six games at Capital One Arena.

Pacing Up

Due to Cleveland’s recent struggles, Indiana (39-28 SU, 38-29 ATS) has taken advantage by grabbing first place in the Central division by a half-game heading into Tuesday’s action. The Pacers rallied past the Celtics on Sunday, 99-97 as 4 ½-point road underdogs, improving to 5-1 SU/ATS in the last six games. Indiana has tightened up its defense in this stretch by allowing less than 100 points five times, while cashing the UNDER in seven consecutive games overall.

The 76ers (36-29 SU, 36-27-2 ATS) return home from a 2-2 road trip, capped off by Sunday’s 120-97 blowout of the Nets as 5 ½-point favorites. Philadelphia has yet to lose at Wells Fargo Center in 2018 by posting a perfect 13-0 record, while amazingly covering 12 times in this span. The Sixers and Pacers have split a pair of matchups this season as Indiana won at home in early February, 100-92.

Sweet Sounds

One of the most incredible runs this season in the NBA has been produced by the Jazz (37-30 SU, 36-31 ATS), who own a remarkable 18-2 record the last 20 games. The biggest of this winning stretch came in an overtime victory at Detroit on January 24, as the Jazz host the Pistons tonight. Utah swept a three-game road swing over the weekend by rolling past New Orleans, 116-99 as 1 ½-point favorites.

The Jazz return to Salt Lake City to start a four-game homestand against four teams all sitting below the .500 mark. The Pistons (30-36 SU, 29-335-2 ATS) embark on a six-game road swing against Western Conference foes, starting with Utah, Denver, and Portland over the next five nights. Detroit is on 3-10 run since a five-game winning streak, coming off Friday’s 99-83 rout of Chicago as 7 ½-point favorites. The Pistons have struggled on the road of late by dropping nine straight away from Little Caesars Arena, while covering once in this stretch.

Grounded Pelicans

New Orleans (38-28 SU, 35-30-1 ATS) pulled off 10 consecutive victories heading into last Friday’s contest against Washington. Anthony Davis sat out due to injury and the Pelicans’ hot streak came to a screeching halt in a 116-97 home setback to the Wizards. Two nights later, New Orleans fell to Utah by 17 points as the Pelicans look to end their sudden losing streak against the Hornets.

Charlotte (29-38 SU, 27-36-4 ATS) snapped a five-game skid by holding off Phoenix on Saturday, 122-115, but failed to cash as 13-point favorites. Charlotte has slumped from an ATS standpoint of late by covering only once in the last six games, while losing at Boston, Philadelphia, and Toronto in this span. The Hornets have lost three straight meetings with the Pelicans since the start of last season, including a 101-96 home setback in late January.

Setting Suns

Phoenix (19-49 SU, 31-35-2 ATS) is back home for one game following an 0-4 road trip that included losses to Atlanta, Miami, Oklahoma City, and Charlotte. The Suns made a late run to cover as 13-point underdogs at Charlotte on Saturday, but Phoenix has put together an 0-8 ATS record in its last eight games off a cover. Phoenix is currently on a 1-15 run with the only victory coming at Memphis in late February, a Grizzlies’ team that has lost 18 straight games.

The Suns welcome in the Cavaliers (38-29 SU, 21-44-1 ATS), who are coming off consecutive losses in Los Angeles to the Clippers and Lakers. As a road favorite, Cleveland has compiled an embarrassing 2-13 ATS mark in their last 15 opportunities, including outright losses at Orlando, Sacramento, and Detroit. The Cavaliers have captured the last five matchups with the Suns since 2015, but have failed to cash in their past two road victories at Phoenix as a favorite.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
March 13, 2018

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 12-0-1 ATS (10.23 ppg) as a 8+ favorite coming off a game as a dog.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 12-0-2 OU (12.04 ppg) with rest off a road loss in which they never led.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pelicans are 0-11 ATS (-10.14 ppg) as a home favorite off a loss as a dog in which Anthony Davis had a double double.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Jazz are 10-0-1 ATS (13.36 ppg) at home coming off a win in a road game where they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Jazz are 11-0 ATS (13.41 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which Donovan Mitchell was not the high scorer.

-- The Hornets are 0-10 ATS (-11.00 ppg) as a dog off a win where Kemba Walker attempted more three pointers than two pointers.

[StarDust Bum]

Dinero Tracker - Mar. 13
March 13, 2018

Read the Dinero Tracker's mission statement here

Last night's ATS Records
NBA: 3-3 | NCAA BB: 3-2
I had plays on every CollegeInsider Tournament contest and already caught a tough loss you can credit March madness for. The college lock came in and both CIT totals hit, but the NBA guarantee came up short. Here is Monday's recap, complete with some of the highlights (and lowlights):

TUESDAY'S FREE SELECTION

The pick: Jazz -8
I hope Stan Van Gundy gets a crack at coaching the team he's helped put together when the Pistons shake up their current structure this offseason, but right now, it's unfair to expect much out of his team. Reggie Bullock joins Stanley Johnson in being hampered by back issues, so an already thin wing rotation is hurting. Reggie Jackson is close to returning, but his continued absence means Ish Smith, Jameer Nelson and Dwight Buycks continue in his place. Watching Brandon Jennings go off last night in his NBA return with the Bucks probably didn't sit too well with Detroit fans. Look for the Jazz to roll to a seventh straight win here. They've won the last four by double-digits and will do so again. Ride Utah and lay the points.

MONDAY'S FREE SELECTION

The pick: Bucks -7.5
Slowly but surely, Jabari Parker is working the rust off his game and becoming a factor as new head coach Joe Prunty gets to work on experimenting with putting his best lineups out there. The Bucks have been terrible against the spread of late, covering just one of their last eight games in a 2-9 run since Feb. 13, but have won and covered in their last three games as a road favorite and should control a game against a Grizzlies team that is been held 280 or fewer points and their last two contests. Ride Milwaukee.

Result: Milwaukee hooked up the freebie fans with a stress-free 121-103 rout in Memphis. It's on you if there were nervous mements when the Grizzlies closed within six with 6:30 to go, but you shouldn't be so skittish. The Bucks outscored Memphis 24-12 from that point to win 121-103. Brandon Jennings returned to the NBA with 16 points, eight boards and 12 assists in under 24 minutes of action. Anyone offering odds on him getting a second 10-day contract?

MONDAY'S LOCK

The pick: San Diego -9.5
Although USD head coach Lamont Smith resigned due to a sexual assault investigation, he ultimately wasn't charged. It sounds like the school is moving on, but his acquittal should make it easier for players to turn the page and this tournament offers a nice opportunity. The Torerors were fantastic at the Jenny Craig Pavilion this season and get a Hartford squad with limited depth that had to fly cross-country for this CIT opener. If John Carroll or J.R. Lynch get into foul trouble, this will get ugly. Ride San Diego -9.5, guaranteed.

Result: Hartford showed up ready to play, which kept the Toreros sharp early and allowed them to find a rhythm they sustained throughout despite top scorer Isaiah Pineiro landing in foul trouble. Six scored in double-figures as San Diego won 88-72.

LOCK THAT DIDN'T CLICK

The pick: Spurs/Rockets OVER 209.5
The Spurs will be relying on a team-based approach to offense without LaMarcus Aldridge in the mix, so Rudy Gay will likely have to be aggressive and isn't at 100% to trust in that role yet. With Manu Ginobili resting and Kawhi Leonard not debuting until later in the week, the Spurs are extremely vulnerable heading into Houston, where a fan base that hasn't seen its team in a while is set to pack the house for a rivalry game. With James Harden back, the Rockets are going to find easy offense and proved in Dallas that this road trip hasn't done anything to cool off their strokes or tire their legs. The Spurs are going to have to score to hang around, which means they can't slow the game down to have any shot. Ride the over, guaranteed.

Result: I wound up splitting here since the Rockets covered, but the Spurs getting so bogged down early doomed this play. Houston held San Antonio to 67 points through three quarters and 40.7 percent shooting for the evening.

BAD BEAT BULLETIN

The pick: Drake -8.5
Abilene Christian found out that it would make its postseason debut a few days ago since they didn't qualify for even the Southland Tourney. The Wildcats are extremely limited in terms of depth, so they can't afford Jalone Friday or Jaren Lewis landing in foul trouble. Keeping both out against a team that can attack proficiently is unlikely, so expect Reed Timmer to be able to close out a double-digit win down the stretch, keeping Abilene Christian from hanging around. Ride Drake -8.5.

Result: Friday did land in foul trouble and the Bulldogs pulled away in the second half, reaching the 2:00 mark up by 10 after a Nick McGlynn layup. Abilene Christian than forced OT with a 10-0 run highlighted by sloppy Drake turnovers. Drake won in OT, but it finished 80-73.


TOTAL RECALL

The pick: Liberty/North Carolina A&T UNDER 141
This is an awfully high total for a Ritchie McKay-coached team, especially given the fact that unlike many MEAC teams, the Aggies don't prefer to run at all costs. They have bigs who can at least make their presence felt down low, so unless we get a bad whistle, I don't see these teams combining to reach this total. Ride the under in this CIT contest.

Result: This wasn't in doubt after the opening tip-off, and at one point, I think the Flames caught fire -- sorry -- and hit seven straight shots. Liberty won 65-52.

UPSET CITY

The pick: IPFW -5
The Mastodons have a huge edge here, getting to roll out of bed ready to play this morning in their home gym against a team that is going to run with them. On TV, too. Look for a wide open game in this CIT opener, which you can watch on CBS College Sports Network. Ride IPFW and the over for the in-game parlay.

Result: Central Michigan pulled off the first upset of the week, claiming the first postseason tourney game 94-89 in Fort Wayne. The Mastodons had their chances to take control, but missed too many wide open 3-point looks they typically make.

SWING AND A MISS

The pick: Heat +7
The Heat know they have to push tempo to stay engaged in Portland given how well Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum are playing, so look for the faster pace that prevailed against Washington to be in play here, especially with Hassan Whiteside and Dwyane Wade, both ball-stoppers, sidelined here. The Heat should hang around. Take the points with Miami and ride the over for the in-game parlay.

Result: Miami made a late run, but was largely overwhelmed by Portland's Damian Lillard and Jusuf Nurkic in a 115-99 loss. Those two combined for 59 points to lead the Trail Blazers to their league-best 10th consecutive win.

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, MARCH 13
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

IND at PHI
IND +6.5
O 211.5

MIN at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -3.5
O 218.0

TOR at BK 07:30 PM
TOR -9.0
U 219.0

DAL at NY 07:30 PM
DAL +1.0
O 216.0

OKC at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +6.5

LAC at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI +7.0
U 225.5

CHA at NO 08:00 PM
CHA +5.0
U 230.0

ORL at SA 08:30 PM
SA -10.5
U 201.5

DET at UTA 09:00 PM
UTA -8.5
U 195.5

CLE at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO +7.5
O 230.0

DEN at LAL 10:30 PM
DEN -2.0
O 230.5

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MARCH 14, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Amway Center
8:00 PM Washington Wizards Boston Celtics TD Garden
10:00 PM Miami Heat Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
10:30 PM Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


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March NBA Record:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/13/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +21.00
03/12/2018 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
03/11/2018 10-8-0 55.56% +6.00
03/10/2018 7-3-0 70.00% +18.50
03/09/2018 13-7-0 65.00% +26.50
03/08/2018 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
03/07/2018 4-10-0 28.57% -35.00
03/06/2018 7-7-1 50.00% -3.50
03/05/2018 7-7-0 50.00% -3.50
03/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
03/03/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
03/02/2018 9-10-0 47.37% -10.00
03/01/2018 6-2-0 83.00% +19.00

Totals.............98 - 84........53.84%....+68.00

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Some prop bets for the NCAA tournament; wins by conference:

— ACC— 14 wins

— Big East— 8.5 wins

— Big X— 8.5 wins

— #1 seeds— 11.5 wins

— #2 seeds— 10.5 wins

— #3 seeds— 8 wins


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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Minnesota Vikings made their decision; they give Kirk Cousins $84M for three years, all fully guaranteed, to be their QB. Cousins has a 26-30-1 career W-L record, 0-1 in playoffs.

12) Minnesota went 11-3 with Case Keenum at QB LY; Keenum signed with the Broncos on Monday; he threw for 3,547 yards and 22 TD’s last season.

11) Drew Brees re-signed with the Saints; he turned down $60M guaranteed from someone else (Cardinals? Vikings?) before deciding to stay in New Orleans.

10) Cardinals gave oft-injured QB Sam Bradford $20 ($15M guaranteed) for one year. As a long-time Ram fan, I endorse the Keenum signing; the Bradford signing? Not so much.

9) Jets signed Teddy Bridgewater and re-signed Josh McCown, meaning they probably ain’t drafting another quarterback next month.

8) Gonzaga lost the national title game 71-65 last April, ending an odd run to the Final Four- they were 1-4-1 vs spread in their NCAA tournament games last spring.

7) Florida made the Elite 8 in each of its last five NCAA tournaments- hard to do that.

6) Since 2010, Villanova is 5-2 in its first-round games, 1-4 in second round games; the one time they won in second round, they won national title two years ago.

5) Arkansas is probably glad just to be in a different region than North Carolina this year; last three times the Razorbacks made the NCAA’s, they lost to the Tar Heels in the second round. If they play UNC in this year’s tournament, it’ll be in the Final Four.

4) Why gambling on NIT/CBI/CIT games can be dicey; USC star Chimezie Metu sat out Trojans’ NIT game Tuesday, for no reason except he didn’t want to get hurt. Not sure that Metu will get picked in the first round of the NBA Draft— he is a junior, so if he got hurt, he could come back to school next year, but it is a free country, and he chose not to play.

Late night update: With Metu sitting on bench, NC-Asheville played its heart out but fell short, losing 103-98 in double OT at USC- they led by six points in overtime.

3) Virginia loses its best guy off the bench, DeAndre Hunter for the season with a broken wrist.

2) Radford 71, LIU 61— Radford advances to play Villanova Thursday; no 16-seed has ever beaten a #1-seed. Last nine years, #16-seeds who won the play-in game are 7-11 vs spread in their next game, against a #1-seed.

1— St Bonaventure 65, UCLA 58— Season that started with shoplifting in China ended with an ugly loss on a Tuesday night in Dayton. Bruins turned ball over 20 times (-14), shot 10-30 on arc. Bonnies’ Stocker was doubtful to play, then played all 40:00, scored 26 points- they won despite star Adams going 2-16 from the floor.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 14

Bucks won six of last eight games with the Magic; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Orlando. Four of last six series games stayed under. Milwaukee won its last two games after a 1-6 skid; they’re 7-1 this season as road favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Orlando are off an 0-5 road trip; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as home underdogs. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Wizards/Celtics split their last eight meetings; Washington is 1-5 vs spread in last six visits to Boston. Seven of last nine series games went over. Wizards lost five of their last seven games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Six of their last eight games went under the total. Celtics won six of their last eight games; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Miami won eight of last ten games with the Kings; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Eight of last ten series games went over. Heat won six of their last nine games; they’re 4-5 vs spread as road favorites. Seven of their last ten games went over. Sacramento lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 3-9 in last 12 games as home underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Golden State won its last six games with the Lakers but LA covered last three; Lakers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Last three series games went over. Lakers are 1-4 vs spread on road if they played night before; they won eight of last ten games, are 4-1 vs spread in last fie road games. Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. Golden State is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games; five of the six games stayed under.




NBA

Wednesday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE @ ORLANDO
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games on the road
Orlando is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games

WASHINGTON @ BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Boston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington

MIAMI @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games

LA LAKERS @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games on the road
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


--------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 14


Milwaukee @ Orlando

Game 601-602
March 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.284
Orlando
114.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 8 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+8 1/2); Under

Washington @ Boston

Game 603-604
March 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.843
Boston
117.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-2); Under

Miami @ Sacramento

Game 605-606
March 14, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
122.749
Sacramento
111.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 11 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6 1/2); Under

LA Lakers @ Golden State

Game 607-608
March 14, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
117.404
Golden State
127.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7
225
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-7); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (36 - 31) at ORLANDO (20 - 48) - 3/14/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (38 - 30) at BOSTON (46 - 21) - 3/14/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (36 - 32) at SACRAMENTO (21 - 47) - 3/14/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (31 - 36) at GOLDEN STATE (51 - 16) - 3/14/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
March 14, 2018

Game of the Night: Wizards (-3, 204 ½) at Celtics – 8:00 PM EST

These two Eastern Conference squads played seven games in their second round playoff series last season with the home team winning each time. So of course the first two meetings this season have seen the road squad capturing victory in each instance. The Wizards (38-30 SU, 32-35-1 ATS) knocked off the Celtics on Christmas day, 111-103 as four-point underdogs at TD Garden, but Boston downed Washington in overtime in D.C. on February 8 by a 110-104 count as two-point favorites.

The Celtics (46-21 SU, 40-25-2 ATS) are the walking wounded currently as forward Marcus Smart is sidelined with a right thumb injury, while leading scorer Kyrie Irving will miss tonight’s contest with a sore left knee. On top of those injuries, forward Al Horford is questionable with an illness, as the Celtics try to rebound from a 99-97 home setback to the Pacers on Sunday as 4 ½-point favorites.

Washington travels to Beantown following a 116-111 home loss to Minnesota on Tuesday after blowing an eight-point lead going into the final quarter. Markieff Morris led the Wizards with 27 points, but Washington was outscored, 34-21 in the last 12 minutes of the game to drop to 2-9-1 ATS in the past 12 opportunities as a home favorite. The Wizards own a mediocre mark when playing with no rest at 5-6 SU/ATS, including a 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS mark on the road in this role.

Lake Night in Oakland

The Lakers (31-36 SU, 37-30 ATS) began the season at 11-27, but the Purple and Gold has rolled to a 20-9 record the past 29 games. The latest victory came against the Nuggets on Tuesday, 112-103 as two-point underdogs to improve to 12-1 in the previous 13 contests at Staples Center. Both Kyle Kuzma and Julius Randle posted exact 26-point and 13-rebound stat lines for Los Angeles, while knocking down 15 three-pointers.

Los Angeles travels up I-5 to face Golden State (51-16 SU, 28-38-1 ATS), who will be without several of its stars. Stephen Curry remains sidelined with an ankle injury suffered last week against San Antonio, while Draymond Green will sit with right shoulder soreness. The Warriors return home following a pair of road defeats at Portland and Minnesota, while Steve Kerr’s squad has failed to cover the number in six straight games.

The Lakers have cashed in all three matchups with the Warriors this season, including taking two of those games to overtime at Staples Center. In the most recent meeting at Oracle Arena in late December, the Warriors held off the Lakers, 113-106, but L.A. took home the money as 11 ½-point underdogs. All three games have sailed OVER the total, but the Warriors are currently on a 5-1 UNDER run.

Cold Road

The Heat (36-32 SU, 34-29-5 ATS) have received a boost since acquiring former franchise star Dwyane Wade by winning seven of eight home games. However, Miami has struggled on the highway by losing all five road games since Wade returned, while the Heat have dropped eight consecutive contests away from American Airlines Arena. The most recent setback came at Portland on Monday, 115-99 as six-point underdogs, while Wade and Hassan Whiteside each sat out due to injury.

Both players will sit again tonight as the Heat visit Sacramento (21-47 SU, 31-34-3 ATS), who posted a 3-2 record on its most recent homestand. The Kings are fresh off a pair of road losses at Denver and Oklahoma City, but managed a cover as 13 ½-point underdogs in Monday’s 106-101 defeat to the Thunder. Sacramento shocked Miami on January 25 as 9 ½-point ‘dogs, 89-88, ending a six-game losing streak to the Heat dating back to 2015.

Out of Tricks

A brutal season for Orlando (20-48 SU, 32-35-1 ATS) hit a low point on Tuesday in a 108-72 setback at San Antonio as 10 ½-point underdogs. The Magic lost all five games on their road swing, while dropping eight consecutive contests away from central Florida since mid-February. Orlando has won two straight at home as the Magic try to extend that streak as the Bucks invade Amway Center.

Milwaukee (36-31 SU, 27-35-5 ATS) is riding a two-game hot streak following a 1-6 stretch as the Bucks blew out the hapless Grizzlies on Monday, 121-103. Since the start of February, the Bucks own a dreadful 6-12 ATS record, including a 3-7 ATS ledger as a favorite. Milwaukee has captured the first two matchups with Orlando this season, including a 111-104 road victory as five-point favorites on February 10.

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 14
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIL at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +10.0
O 207.0

WAS at BOS 08:00 PM
WAS -3.5
U 201.0

MIA at SAC 10:00 PM
MIA -6.5
U 207.0

LAL at GS 10:30 PM
LAL +6.0
U 224.0

[StarDust Bum]

Warriors beat Lakers 117-106 despite missing 3 All-Stars
March 15, 2018

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Kevin Durant scored 26 points and the injury-plagued Golden State Warriors pulled away in the fourth quarter to beat the Los Angeles Lakers 117-106 on Wednesday night while missing Stephen Curry on his 30th birthday and their two other All-Stars.

Zaza Pachulia returned to the starting lineup for the first time since the All-Star break and had 10 points, 12 rebounds and five assists for the banged-up defending champions, who already had clinched a sixth straight playoff berth this week without playing.

Coach Steve Kerr's non-traditional, late-season starting lineup of Durant, Quinn Cook, Nick Young, Kevon Looney and Pachulia worked as the Warriors won their eighth straight home game.

Julius Randle had 22 points and 10 rebounds before fouling out late as the Lakers were without starting forward Kyle Kuzma because of a sprained right ankle. Los Angeles had won two straight and three of four. Isaiah Thomas added 20 points with five 3-poitners and seven assists, while Lonzo Ball dished out 11 assists.

WIZARDS 125, CELTICS 124, 2 OT

BOSTON (AP) - Bradley Beal scored 34 points, including a three-point play with 1:25 left in the second overtime, and Washington beat short-handed Boston.

Jayson Tatum missed a 3-pointer just before the buzzer that could have won it for the Celtics, who were without six players and missed several opportunities to put away the Wizards.

Otto Porter Jr. finished with 18 points and 11 rebounds. Markieff Morris scored 20 points, Ian Mahinmi added 14 and Tomas Satoransky had 10 points for Washington, which played the night before but still had enough energy at the end to rally past the weary Celtics, who blew a 20-point lead.

Boston patched together a lineup without All-Star point guard Kyrie Irving (knee) and center Al Horford (illness), two of the four regulars who were sidelined.

Marcus Morris led Boston with 31 points and pulled down 19 rebounds, but made a costly defensive error in the closing seconds of regulation. Terry Rozier added 21 points and nine assists, and Tatum scored 19 points for the Celtics.

MAGIC 126, BUCKS 117

ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Jonathon Simmons scored a career-high 35 points, D.J. Augustin added 32 and Orlando bounced back from an embarrassing defeat to beat Milwaukee.

Simmons was 7 of 12 from 3-point range and Augustin hit 6 of 9, three of them in the fourth quarter to help Orlando pull away.

Nikola Vucevic had 22 points, nine rebounds and nine assists for the Magic, who were routed 108-72 Tuesday night in San Antonio, their fifth straight loss.

Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 38 points for Milwaukee, which has lost seven of 10.

KINGS 123, HEAT 119, OT

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) - De'Aaron Fox made a layup at the buzzer to force overtime, Zach Randolph scored the first three points of the extra period and finished with 22, and Sacramento recovered after blowing a 16-point lead in the fourth quarter to beat Miami.

Randolph added a key block on Justise Winslow with 1:19 remaining in OT as Sacramento swept Miami for the first time since 2001-02.

That overshadowed an impressive night by Miami's Goran Dragic, who scored 11 straight points in the fourth quarter to fuel the Heat's comeback and matched his season high of 33 points. But Dragic missed a tying turnaround jumper with 20 seconds left in overtime, then stepped out of bounds with the ball with 12.3 remaining.

Randolph had the first three points in overtime with a free throw and 17-foot jumper. Fox made a short runner, Bogdan Bogdanovic hit a 28-foot 3-pointer and Buddy Hield added four free throws.

Hield finished with 24 points, Fox had 20 and Bogdanovic added 14 for Sacramento.

[StarDust Bum]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY MARCH 15, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:00 PM Toronto Raptors Indiana Pacers Bankers Life Fieldhouse
7:30 PM Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Philips Arena
7:30 PM Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Madison Square Garden
8:00 PM Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies FedExForum
8:00 PM Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets Toyota Center
8:30 PM New Orleans Pelicans San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
9:00 PM Detroit Pistons Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
9:00 PM Phoenix Suns Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
10:00 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter

*********************

March NBA Record:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/14/2018 3-5-0 37.50% -12.50
03/13/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +21.00
03/12/2018 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
03/11/2018 10-8-0 55.56% +6.00
03/10/2018 7-3-0 70.00% +18.50
03/09/2018 13-7-0 65.00% +26.50
03/08/2018 4-6-0 40.00% -13.00
03/07/2018 4-10-0 28.57% -35.00
03/06/2018 7-7-1 50.00% -3.50
03/05/2018 7-7-0 50.00% -3.50
03/04/2018 5-9-0 35.71% -24.50
03/03/2018 10-4-0 71.43% +28.00
03/02/2018 9-10-0 47.37% -10.00
03/01/2018 6-2-0 83.00% +19.00

Totals.............101 - 89........53.15%....+55.50

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some prop bets for the NCAA tournament; wins by team: (Westgate SuperBook)

— wins for Villanova, 3.5 (under -$120)

— wins for Duke, 3 (under -$130)

— wins for Michigan State, 2.5 (under -$135)

— wins for Virginia, 4 (under -$140)

— wins for North Carolina 2.5 (under -$140)

— wins for Michigan 2 (under -$130


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) USC star Chimezie Metu sat out the Trojans’ NIT game Tuesday, because he doesn’t want to get hurt before the NBA Draft, which is in late June. This ignited a heated Twitter debate.

I’ll say this: Metu has the right to do as he pleases, it is a free country. But…….

In 2000, Kenyon Martin was the star of a Cincinnati team that was going to be a #1-seed in the NCAA’s, but in the first round of the C-USA tournament, he broke his leg and also injured knee ligaments, the kind of disastrous injury that Metu obviously fears now.

Long story short: Martin was still picked 1st in the NBA Draft that year; he played 15 years in the NBA, scored over 9,200 points and earned $113M in his career.

My opinion is that you should finish what you start, but thats just my opinion.

12) Klay Thompson has apparently broken his right thumb, will miss at least four games; he hasn’t missed more than five games in a season since he became a full-time starter.

11) Stupid new baseball rule: In minor league baseball this year, all extra innings will start with a runner on second base. I’m beginning to think the people who run baseball don’t like baseball.

10) Patrick Beilein is the 34-year old coach at LeMoyne, a D-II school in Syracuse; he is the son of Michigan coach John Beilein. It has been rumored that Patrick Beilein has already gotten three job offers from D-I schools this spring.

9) Ole Miss is going to hire Middle Tennessee State coach Kermit Davis, whose dad used to be the coach at Mississippi State. Rough couple weeks for the Blue Raiders, who got screwed out of an NCAA tournament bid and now are losing their coach of the last 16 years.

8) Memphis went 21-13 this year, but apparently they fired Tubby Smith this week and will hire Anfernee Hardaway as his replacement. John Calipari spoiled this fanbase forever; they ran Josh Pastner out of town after he went 166-73 with the Tigers and now they got rid of Tubby, whose career record is 597-302. Tough town.

7) Evansville fired Marty Simmons after 11 years and zero NCAA tournament bids; he went 25-9, 24-12 two and three years ago, but didn’t win Arch Madness so now he is unemployed.

6) Arizona Cardinals signed Mike Glennon as their backup QB, which is a good thing if they’re going to start Sam Bradford at QB this fall.

Bradford has a 34-45-1 W-L record in NFL, missing 48 games in his eight NFL seasons. He has a very bad knee that Mike Zimmer recently called “degenerative.” He is not dependable.

5) There are 11 teams in this year’s NIT that would be favored over Syracuse on a neutral floor.

4) Toys ‘r Us is closing its 800 stores in this country; that just sounds kind of sad.

3) Cleveland Browns’ tackle Joe Thomas retired this week; the man played 10,363 consecutive snaps in the NFL without missing a play, which is astounding for an offensive lineman.

2) Saw a baseball shift this week I’ve never seen before; Kris Bryant is batting for the Cubs with a man on 3rd. San Diego put three infielders on the left side of the infield, and the 1B almost halfway to 2B. If Bryant hits the ball to the right side of the infield, not sure how they get him out, unless he hits it hard right at the first baseman.

1— Dee Gordon is playing centerfield for the Mariners this spring, at least he was until Robinson Cano strained a hamstring. Seattle’s TV guys were bragging on the Mariners’ bullpen, so we’ll see how well they do this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 15


Toronto @ Indiana

Game 701-702
March 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
127.508
Indiana
120.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Atlanta

Game 703-704
March 15, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
111.508
Atlanta
109.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+5); Over

Philadelphia @ New York

Game 705-706
March 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
120.836
New York
107.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 13
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 9
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-9); Under

LA Clippers @ Houston

Game 707-708
March 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.060
Houston
129.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+11 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Memphis

Game 709-710
March 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.395
Memphis
110.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2); Under

New Orleans @ San Antonio

Game 711-712
March 15, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
120.563
San Antonio
119.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+4); Under

Phoenix @ Utah

Game 713-714
March 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
103.892
Utah
127.381
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 23 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 12 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-12 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Denver

Game 715-716
March 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
114.966
Denver
119.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8
216
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+8); Under

Cleveland @ Portland

Game 717-718
March 15, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
117.660
Portland
128.268
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 10 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
222
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-4); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (50 - 17) at INDIANA (40 - 28) - 3/15/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 192-240 ATS (-72.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
INDIANA is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
INDIANA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 68-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 9-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (29 - 39) at ATLANTA (20 - 48) - 3/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 8-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (36 - 30) at NEW YORK (24 - 44) - 3/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (37 - 29) at HOUSTON (53 - 14) - 3/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 216-270 ATS (-81.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 51-70 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-5 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (23 - 44) at MEMPHIS (18 - 49) - 3/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (39 - 28) at SAN ANTONIO (38 - 30) - 3/15/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1037-910 ATS (+36.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 827-706 ATS (+50.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 528-443 ATS (+40.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 188-147 ATS (+26.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 211-163 ATS (+31.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 183-141 ATS (+27.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (19 - 50) at UTAH (38 - 30) - 3/15/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season.
UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 171-124 ATS (+34.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (30 - 37) at DENVER (37 - 31) - 3/15/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (39 - 28) at PORTLAND (41 - 26) - 3/15/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons