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Inside the Paint - Tuesday
March 6, 2017
ATS Rankings · Totals (O/U) Report · Betting Projections Even though the Heat (+370) and Nets (+700) captured big road wins last night as heavy underdogs versus the Cavaliers and Grizzles respectively, bettors watched the favorites go 8-3 straight up and 6-4-1 against the spread on Monday. The ‘under’ went 6-3 and a pair of totals pushed.
Portland (26-35 SU, 25-36 ATS) at Oklahoma City (35-28 SU, 34-28-1 ATS)
These teams will meet for the fourth and final time on Tuesday from Chesapeake Energy Arena. If you’re handicapping this matchup based on head-to-head trends, then a lean to Oklahoma City fits in this spot knowing the home team has won nine straight in this series.
The pair squared off last Thursday in Portland and the Trail Blazers captured a 114-109 win as one-point home underdogs and that was the second time this season they notched 114 at home versus OKC.
In the first meeting from OKC on Super Bowl Sunday, the Thunder pulled out a 105-99 victory. The six-point margin was tighter than the previous three at this venue, with OKC winning by 11, 16 and 34 points.
Oddsmakers opened the Thunder as a 6 ½-point favorite for Tuesday and the number moved to 7 at most betting shops. OKC enters this game in poor form, losers in three straight and that includes a humbling 104-89 setback at Dallas on Sunday. It was the 16th time this season that OKC was held under 100 and when that happens, the club has gone 4-12 in those games.
Portland has had trouble holding anybody down this season, allowing 110.8 points per game and that number goes up 112.1 PPG away from the Moda Center.
Following the win over the Thunder on Thursday, the Trail Blazers ran past the Nets 130-116 on Saturday as 10 ½-point home favorites.
On the road, the Trail Blazers have struggled to a 10-22 SU and 11-21 ATS record. When catching points as a visitor, Portland is a dreadful 4-16 SU and 6-14 ATS.
Portland was supposed to be in action last night but its game versus Minnesota was postponed due to a slippery court caused by condensation from an ice sheet underneath the Target Center.
Since the Trail Blazers didn’t play last night, you could throw out the back-to-back numbers but the travel factor will still apply on Tuesday. For what it’s worth, Portland started off the season 0-5 when playing on no rest but it’s gone 4-1 both SU and ATS since then and that includes a run of three straight wins.
These teams combined for 223 points last week and the ‘over’ of 222 ½ barely connected. Portland enters this game on a 4-0 run to the high side and it’s been a solid ‘over’ wager (35-26) this season. OKC has leaned to the ‘under’ (32-27) but the ‘over’ has gone 17-13 at home.
NBATV will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.
L.A. Lakers (19-44 SU, 27-34-2 ATS) at Dallas (26-36 SU, 35-27 ATS)
The Mavericks have won 13 straight encounters against the Lakers and that includes three wins this season. Even more impressive, Dallas has covered 10 of those games. During this run at home, the Mavs have gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS, which includes a 122-73 victory on Jan. 22 as six-point home favorites.
Fast forward to Tuesday and the line is nearly double that price with the Mavericks opening as 10-point home favorites.
Dallas has gone 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS since the All-Stark break and the defense has been exceptional with only one opponent posting triple digits and that came in a 100-95 loss at Atlanta. The Mavericks haven’t given double digits all season but they’ve won and covered five straight and eight of the last 10 in this role.
The Lakers started off the season in decent fashion, going 10-10 through their first 20 games. Since then, the club is 9-34 (21%) and they enter this game on a six-game losing skid. They’re lacking any offensive punch and trading away shooting guard Lou Williams certainly didn’t help. They’re averaging 98 PPG since the All-Star break and 18 of their 19 wins have come when they score over 100, which tells you how poor the defense has been (110.8 PPG) under head coach Luke Walton.
If Los Angeles shoots lights out, it certainly has a shot and it did so in recent road wins over the Bucks (122-114) and Knicks (121-107). However, the Mavs are in a different class defensively and that’s part of the reason bettors are starting at a total of 205 for this game.
Dallas has seen the ‘under’ cash in eight of its last 10 and the Lakers are 4-2 to the low side since the All-Star break. The ‘under’ has gone 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between the pair.
Washington (37-24 SU, 34-27 ATS) at Phoenix (21-42 SU, 32-29-2 ATS)
The late-night game is arguably the toughest to handicap because the Wizards have struggled on the road this season (11-15 SU, 13-13 ATS) and they’ll be facing a Phoenix team that will be going for a season-high fourth straight win. As a road favorite, Washington has gone 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS.
They both played on Sunday and the pair both captured tight victories. Washington rallied past Orlando 115-114 at home while Phoenix nipped Boston 109-106 in a buzzer beater in the desert.
The Wizards have gone 3-3 since the All-Star break and while that record includes an impressive win over the Warriors, they also lost the 76ers and have gone 2-4 ATS during this span.
Meanwhile, the Suns have won and covered three straight at home and are 4-2 ATS in the same span. You could argue that Phoenix should be 5-1 ATS but a brutal 120-113 overtime loss to Chicago as a six-point underdog didn’t sit well for their backers.
Washington has won three in a row (2-1 ATS) against Phoenix, but all of the decisions came by seven points or less. In the first regular season meeting, the Wizards earned a 106-101 win but failed to cover as 7 ½-point home favorites.
The Suns haven’t been stellar at home this season, going 13-18 SU and 17-14 ATS. However, they’ve beat up on teams from the Eastern Conference with a 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS record.
Phoenix has watched the ‘over’ go 8-5 in those games versus the East and they own the second best ‘over’ mark in the NBA this season at 39-23. Washington has also been a strong lean to the high side (35-24-1) this season and that’s why you’re staring at a total of 225 ½ on Tuesday.
Lastly, make a note that this will be the first of five straight on the road for Washington and all of the opponents have losing records. I mention that because the Wizards are 0-3 ATS in their last three versus clubs below .500 and those tendencies are tough to break at times.
March 6, 2017
ATS Rankings · Totals (O/U) Report · Betting Projections Even though the Heat (+370) and Nets (+700) captured big road wins last night as heavy underdogs versus the Cavaliers and Grizzles respectively, bettors watched the favorites go 8-3 straight up and 6-4-1 against the spread on Monday. The ‘under’ went 6-3 and a pair of totals pushed.
Portland (26-35 SU, 25-36 ATS) at Oklahoma City (35-28 SU, 34-28-1 ATS)
These teams will meet for the fourth and final time on Tuesday from Chesapeake Energy Arena. If you’re handicapping this matchup based on head-to-head trends, then a lean to Oklahoma City fits in this spot knowing the home team has won nine straight in this series.
The pair squared off last Thursday in Portland and the Trail Blazers captured a 114-109 win as one-point home underdogs and that was the second time this season they notched 114 at home versus OKC.
In the first meeting from OKC on Super Bowl Sunday, the Thunder pulled out a 105-99 victory. The six-point margin was tighter than the previous three at this venue, with OKC winning by 11, 16 and 34 points.
Oddsmakers opened the Thunder as a 6 ½-point favorite for Tuesday and the number moved to 7 at most betting shops. OKC enters this game in poor form, losers in three straight and that includes a humbling 104-89 setback at Dallas on Sunday. It was the 16th time this season that OKC was held under 100 and when that happens, the club has gone 4-12 in those games.
Portland has had trouble holding anybody down this season, allowing 110.8 points per game and that number goes up 112.1 PPG away from the Moda Center.
Following the win over the Thunder on Thursday, the Trail Blazers ran past the Nets 130-116 on Saturday as 10 ½-point home favorites.
On the road, the Trail Blazers have struggled to a 10-22 SU and 11-21 ATS record. When catching points as a visitor, Portland is a dreadful 4-16 SU and 6-14 ATS.
Portland was supposed to be in action last night but its game versus Minnesota was postponed due to a slippery court caused by condensation from an ice sheet underneath the Target Center.
Since the Trail Blazers didn’t play last night, you could throw out the back-to-back numbers but the travel factor will still apply on Tuesday. For what it’s worth, Portland started off the season 0-5 when playing on no rest but it’s gone 4-1 both SU and ATS since then and that includes a run of three straight wins.
These teams combined for 223 points last week and the ‘over’ of 222 ½ barely connected. Portland enters this game on a 4-0 run to the high side and it’s been a solid ‘over’ wager (35-26) this season. OKC has leaned to the ‘under’ (32-27) but the ‘over’ has gone 17-13 at home.
NBATV will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.
L.A. Lakers (19-44 SU, 27-34-2 ATS) at Dallas (26-36 SU, 35-27 ATS)
The Mavericks have won 13 straight encounters against the Lakers and that includes three wins this season. Even more impressive, Dallas has covered 10 of those games. During this run at home, the Mavs have gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS, which includes a 122-73 victory on Jan. 22 as six-point home favorites.
Fast forward to Tuesday and the line is nearly double that price with the Mavericks opening as 10-point home favorites.
Dallas has gone 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS since the All-Stark break and the defense has been exceptional with only one opponent posting triple digits and that came in a 100-95 loss at Atlanta. The Mavericks haven’t given double digits all season but they’ve won and covered five straight and eight of the last 10 in this role.
The Lakers started off the season in decent fashion, going 10-10 through their first 20 games. Since then, the club is 9-34 (21%) and they enter this game on a six-game losing skid. They’re lacking any offensive punch and trading away shooting guard Lou Williams certainly didn’t help. They’re averaging 98 PPG since the All-Star break and 18 of their 19 wins have come when they score over 100, which tells you how poor the defense has been (110.8 PPG) under head coach Luke Walton.
If Los Angeles shoots lights out, it certainly has a shot and it did so in recent road wins over the Bucks (122-114) and Knicks (121-107). However, the Mavs are in a different class defensively and that’s part of the reason bettors are starting at a total of 205 for this game.
Dallas has seen the ‘under’ cash in eight of its last 10 and the Lakers are 4-2 to the low side since the All-Star break. The ‘under’ has gone 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between the pair.
Washington (37-24 SU, 34-27 ATS) at Phoenix (21-42 SU, 32-29-2 ATS)
The late-night game is arguably the toughest to handicap because the Wizards have struggled on the road this season (11-15 SU, 13-13 ATS) and they’ll be facing a Phoenix team that will be going for a season-high fourth straight win. As a road favorite, Washington has gone 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS.
They both played on Sunday and the pair both captured tight victories. Washington rallied past Orlando 115-114 at home while Phoenix nipped Boston 109-106 in a buzzer beater in the desert.
The Wizards have gone 3-3 since the All-Star break and while that record includes an impressive win over the Warriors, they also lost the 76ers and have gone 2-4 ATS during this span.
Meanwhile, the Suns have won and covered three straight at home and are 4-2 ATS in the same span. You could argue that Phoenix should be 5-1 ATS but a brutal 120-113 overtime loss to Chicago as a six-point underdog didn’t sit well for their backers.
Washington has won three in a row (2-1 ATS) against Phoenix, but all of the decisions came by seven points or less. In the first regular season meeting, the Wizards earned a 106-101 win but failed to cover as 7 ½-point home favorites.
The Suns haven’t been stellar at home this season, going 13-18 SU and 17-14 ATS. However, they’ve beat up on teams from the Eastern Conference with a 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS record.
Phoenix has watched the ‘over’ go 8-5 in those games versus the East and they own the second best ‘over’ mark in the NBA this season at 39-23. Washington has also been a strong lean to the high side (35-24-1) this season and that’s why you’re staring at a total of 225 ½ on Tuesday.
Lastly, make a note that this will be the first of five straight on the road for Washington and all of the opponents have losing records. I mention that because the Wizards are 0-3 ATS in their last three versus clubs below .500 and those tendencies are tough to break at times.
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