The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, February 8

Cleveland at Indiana, 7:05 PM ET
Cleveland: 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better
Indiana: 19-6 ATS vs. division opponents

San Antonio at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
San Antonio: 1-5 ATS after scoring 85 points or less
Philadelphia: 17-6 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog

Denver at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
Denver: 9-1 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more
Atlanta: 10-26 ATS off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more

LA Lakers at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
Los Angeles: 10-25 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
Detroit: 19-5 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210

Washington at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
Washington: 15-4 ATS after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points
Brooklyn: 8-17 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

Miami at Milwaukee, 8:05 PM ET
Miami: 12-2 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
Milwaukee: 3-11 ATS against Southeast division opponents

Phoenix at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Phoenix: 20-34 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games
Memphis: 13-2 ATS in home games after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

Utah at New Orleans, 8:05 PM ET
Utah: 91-51 ATS after 3 straight games where opponent grabbed 45 or less rebounds
New Orleans: 15-28 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games

Toronto at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
Toronto: 10-1 ATS off an home win scoring 110 or more points
Minnesota: 2-12 ATS after 4 or more consecutive overs

LA Clippers at New York, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 4-15 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games
New York: 17-8 ATS after playing a home game

Chicago at Golden State, 10:35 PM ET
Chicago: 9-2 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games
Golden St: 1-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games

Boston at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
Boston: 27-13 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Sacramento: 7-23 ATS after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
February 8, 2017

Game of the Night – Celtics at Kings – 10:30 PM EST

Boston looks to extend its season-high winning streak to eight games as the Celtics embark on a four-game road swing. The Celtics (33-18 SU, 26-23-2 ATS) begin their trip in Sacramento, as six of the seven victories during this hot streak came at TD Garden.

Brad Stevens’ club finished off a sweep of the Los Angeles squads, capped off by Sunday’s 107-102 triumph over the Clippers. However, old friend Paul Pierce knocked down a late three-pointer to give L.A. the cover as 5 ½-point underdogs, as Boston is 0-4 ATS the last four games.

Sacramento (20-32 SU, 25-25-2 ATS) erased a 27-point deficit to tie Chicago on Monday night, but the Kings ultimately fell to the Bulls, 112-107 to suffer their 15th loss at Golden 1 Center. The Kings couldn’t capitalize off Saturday’s upset of Golden State as Dave Joerger’s team has dropped nine of their last 11 home contests, including a 2-4 ATS mark in its last six opportunities as a home underdog. To make matters worse, star center DeMarcus Cousins will be out after getting slapped with a one-game suspension following his 16th technical foul of the season.

The Celtics held off the Kings in their first matchup back in early December, 97-92 at TD Garden. Sacramento managed a cover as six-point underdogs in spite of shooting 37% from the floor, while Celtics’ star Isaiah Thomas was limited 6-of-21 shooting, but scored 20 points. Boston has lost its last four of its last five visits to Sacramento, but owns a solid 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS mark in the role of a road favorite.

Bounce-Back Mode

Golden State returns to the court for the first time since getting tripped up at Sacramento on Saturday in overtime as 14 ½-point favorites. The Warriors own a perfect 7-0 record this season off a loss, but have covered only three times in this situation as the defending Western Conference champions host the Bulls. Golden State has won 15 of its past 16 contests at Oracle Arena, while averaging 123.3 points per game during this home stretch.

Chicago staved off Sacramento on Monday, 112-107 to pick up the second victory on its six-game road swing, as the Bulls have three contests remaining before heading home. Fred Hoiberg’s squad has covered in all three games in the role of an underdog, while cashing the OVER in all three contests. Jimmy Butler hopes to return to the lineup for Chicago after missing the last two games with a heel contusion, as the Bulls try to avenge a pair of losses to the Warriors from last season.

Central Clash

The top two teams in the Central division meet up in Indianapolis as the Pacers look to beat the Cavaliers for the second time this season. Indiana extended its winning streak to seven by edging Oklahoma City on Monday, 93-90, while limiting his fourth straight opponent to below 97 points. Dating back to December 30, the Pacers have won 14 of their past 18 games, including nine of the last 10 contests at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

The Cavaliers outlasted the Wizards on Monday in overtime, 140-135 in probably the top game of the regular season so far. Cleveland snapped Washington’s 17-game home winning streak behind Kevin Love’s 39 points and LeBron James’ game-tying three-pointer late in regulation. Tyronn Lue’s squad is rolling of late following a three-game skid in late January by winning five of the past six contests, but own a 3-7 ATS mark in the previous 10 games away from Quicken Loans Arena. The Cavaliers have struggled in Indianapolis recently by dropping four of the past five road meetings, including a 10-point defeat (without James) in mid-November.

Do It Again?

The Heat keep finding ways to win as Miami’s winning streak moved to 11 games after edging Minnesota on Monday by two points. Miami was sitting in the basement of the Southeast division at 11-30 last month before putting together 11 consecutive victories to have an outside shot at the playoffs. The Heat faces Milwaukee for the final time in the regular season after the home team captured the first three meetings.

The Bucks return home following a 137-112 blowout of the Suns on Saturday to close out a three-game road trip as Milwaukee posted a 45-point first quarter. Last season’s leading scorer Khris Middleton will make his season debut tonight after missing the 50 games following hamstring surgery. The Bucks have slumped to a 2-5 record the past seven contests at BMO Harris Bradley Center, including a 1-5 ATS mark in the last six in the role of a home favorite.

Big-Time Backwards

New York and Los Angeles basketball is trending in the wrong direction of late as the Knicks and Clippers meet at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are a complete mess on the court by going 6-18 since Christmas and off the court with all the Carmelo Anthony trade rumors.

The Clippers haven’t been much better since Chris Paul injured his thumb by compiling a 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS mark in the last eight games. Los Angeles has allowed over 100 points in all eight of these contests, but the Clippers have beaten the Knicks eight straight times.

Perfect Philadelphia

Since the calendar turned to 2017, the 76ers have put together an 8-0 ATS mark at home, while winning seven times at Wells Fargo Center. The Sixers will be tested tonight when the Spurs invade the City of Brotherly Love as San Antonio is coming off only its sixth road loss of the season on Monday in Memphis. In spite of Philadelphia’s recent home prowess, the 76ers have dropped six of their past seven games overall, including a 102-86 setback at San Antonio as 17-point underdogs last Thursday.

Taking It Easy

The first team of New Orleans meets the current Big Easy squad tonight as the Jazz visit the Pelicans. Utah continues a three-game road trip following an impressive 120-95 blowout of Atlanta on Monday to extend its winning streak to three. The Jazz snapped an 0-7 ATS run on the road, while improving to 9-4 ATS in the role of an away favorite.

Utah faces New Orleans for the first time this season after splitting four matchups last season, as the Pelicans look to build a winning streak following Monday’s victory over the Suns. New Orleans has held its own as a home underdog of three points or more this season by posting a perfect 5-0 ATS mark, including outright wins over San Antonio, Cleveland, and Boston.

Head-to-Head Trends

-- The Wizards have captured five straight matchups with the Nets, including two victories this season. Washington heads to Brooklyn seeking its sixth consecutive road cover, while the Nets have dropped 10 straight games.

-- The Hawks edged the Nuggets by one point in Denver back in December as the teams meet in Atlanta tonight. The Nuggets have fallen in seven of their past eight trips to Philips Arena with their last victory in Atlanta coming in March 2011.

-- The Lakers snapped a 12-game road skid in Monday’s blowout of the Knicks as Los Angeles ventures to Detroit. The Pistons rallied past the Lakers at Staples Center last month, but Detroit has lost three of the past four home meetings with Los Angeles.

-- Memphis routed Phoenix on the road last month as the Suns travel to FedEx Forum. The Suns cashed in both visits to Memphis last season as an underdog, while posting a 6-3 ATS mark in its past nine as a road underdog.

-- Toronto has owned Minnesota through the years by winning 18 of the last 20 matchups since 2006. The Raptors outlasted the Wolves in December, 124-110, but Minnesota tripped up Toronto at Target Center last season, 117-112.

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 8

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SA at PHI 07:00 PM

PHI +11.0

O 209.0

CLE at IND 07:00 PM

IND +3.5

O 217.0

WAS at BK 07:30 PM

BK +10.5

O 222.5

LAL at DET 07:30 PM

DET -7.0

U 218.0

DEN at ATL 07:30 PM

ATL -3.5

U 225.0

PHO at MEM 08:00 PM

PHO +9.0

U 211.5

UTA at NO 08:00 PM

NO +3.5

U 199.0

MIA at MIL 08:00 PM

MIA +4.0

O 209.0

TOR at MIN 08:00 PM

TOR -3.5

U 212.5

LAC at NY 08:00 PM

LAC -1.5

U 221.0

BOS at SAC 10:30 PM

BOS -8.5

O 211.5

CHI at GS 10:30 PM

CHI +14.0

O 223.5

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday’s six-pack

— Golden State is raising ticket prices up to 25% next year, because they can; they have a waiting list of 32,000 people waiting for season tickets.

— Major league baseballs are made in Costa Rica; minor league baseballs are made in China.

— Akron Rubber Ducks of the Eastern League have 22 Fireworks Nights this year; thats almost one-third of all their home games. Fireworks are popular.

— 742 pitchers were used in the major leagues last year, 24.7 per team.

— Jabari Parker hurt his knee last night, looked like a serious injury. We hope it isn’t.

*************************

Thursday’s List of 13: Wrapping up an evening of basketball

13) VCU 54, George Washington 53— VCU pulled a successful scam; down a point with 0:00.4 left, the inbounder runs the baseline, the GW guy ran with him on the baseline and a VCU guy comes up and sets a screen, gets run over by the GW guy and the ref calls a foul!!!!

VCU hits the foul shots and wins by a point, second time in five days they won a road game they were trailing with less than a second to play. That doesn’t happen a lot.

12) Minnesota 101, Iowa 89 2OT— Gophers led this game 40-29 at the half; they really needed this win, just their second in their last seven games. Mason had 25 points with only one turnover for Minnesota in a hectic game.

If you laid seven points with the Gophers, someone was smiling down on you.

12a) Wyoming 102, Fresno State 100, 4OT— Not sure why Wyoming brings two of its better players off the bench, but they do. Cowboys’ McManamen hit his first seven 3’s in this game, then missed his last six. Dalton had 21 points, 20 boards off the bench for Wyoming.

They had 11,841 fans at the UNLV-Nevada game, biggest crowd in Reno history.

11) Wizards 114, Nets 110 OT— Brooklyn has lost 11 in a row overall, 13 in a row at home, and they want to kick the Islanders out of the Barclays Center? Oy.

10) Seton Hall 72, Providence 70 OT— Game was 41-36 at the half; for people who played the over (135.5), second half of this game was nauseating. The overtime was more uplifting.

Both of these teams are on NCAA bubble or just off it; this really did have feel of a tournament game, albeit a bad tournament game. Providence led by 15 in the first half.

9) Tennessee 75, Ole Miss 66— Vols ended game on a 17-2 run; Rebels didn’t score a basket for last 3:55 of game; they led 64-58 when they scored with 3:56 left to play.

8) Baylor 72, Oklahoma State 69— Bears led this game 70-57 with 4:14 left, then didn’t score for next four minutes. The Big X is a brutal league; there are no bad teams. None.

Baylor did a great job in last 0:10 when OSU had the ball down 3- they defended the arc really well. They didn’t so such a great job in the 4:00 before that, as far as scoring points.

7) This game was Tuesday, but it was an exceptional game……..
Alabama 90, South Carolina 86 4OT’s— Gamecocks were 3-30 in the first half. 3 for 30!!!! They were +10 in turnovers, made 35-50 on the foul line but still lost. Alabama is quietly 7-4 in SEC with four road wins.

6) Morehead State 101, Murray State 100 OT— Belmont’s two main challengers in OVC played an extra 5:00 here. Morehead led by 12 at half, has now won six of its last seven games. Murray was 13-23 on the arc, was +5 in turnovers but still lost.

5) Pittsburgh 83, Boston College 72— Panthers break their 8-game losing streak; five of those eight losses were by 8 or less points. Wonder if Kevin Stallings wishes he was back in the SEC?

4) Spurs 111, 76ers 103— Philly is 13-18 when Joel Embiid plays, 5-16 when he does not.

3) UConn 97, South Florida 51— USF needs a coach for next year; two years ago, they wanted to hire Manhattan’s Steve Masiello but didn’t because of concerns about his resume. Those concerns have been dealt with, but Manhattan hasn’t won much since then. Still think he would be a good fit for the Bulls.

2) Heat 106, Bucks 88— Miami was 11-30 at the halfway point of the season; since then, they are 12-0, and are only a couple games out of a playoff berth. Erik Spoelstra can really coach.

1— Clippers 119, Knicks 115— Former NBA star Charles Oakley had an incident at this game and was escorted out by the police; hope it is nothing serious. About ten years ago, I was in Orlando watching AAU games in the summer, and Oakley was there with Michael Jordan watching Jordan’s sons play.

Charles Oakley is a HUGE man; he would be very high on the list of people I wouldn’t want to be mad at me. Ever.

According to the NYPD, Oakley was charged with three misdemeanor counts of assault for hitting security guards and criminal trespassing.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (18 - 33) at ORLANDO (20 - 34) - 2/9/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 7-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (38 - 17) at CHARLOTTE (24 - 28) - 2/9/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 314-258 ATS (+30.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
CHARLOTTE is 47-73 ATS (-33.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 159-199 ATS (-59.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (35 - 15) at OKLAHOMA CITY (30 - 23) - 2/9/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 170-123 ATS (+34.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (33 - 19) at DALLAS (20 - 32) - 2/9/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 369-303 ATS (+35.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (33 - 18) at PORTLAND (23 - 30) - 2/9/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 67-46 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 9

Philly lost its last five games, is 0-5 vs spread in last five road games. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Orlando lost seven of its last nine games, is 4-6-1 as a favorite- they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. 76ers lost six of last seven games with Orlando; they split last four visits to Magic Kingdom. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Houston won three o fits last four games, is 2-6 vs spread in their last eight road games. Under is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Hornets lost seven of their last eight games, are 0-5 vs spread in last five home tilts. Five of last six Charlotte games went over the total. Rockets won nine of last ten games with Charlotte, winning three of last four visits to North Carolina. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Cleveland won/covered its last four games, with three of those four wins on road. Nine of their last 11 games went over total. Oklahoma City lost four of last six games; they won seven of their last eight home games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Thunder lost their last four games with Cleveland; five of last six series games stayed under the total. Cavaliers won three of last five visits here.

Jazz won last four games overall, won four of last five on road; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine road games. Four of last five Utah games went over total. Dallas lost its last two games but won four of its last five at home. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Utah won its last three games with Dallas, by 16-3-5 points; Jazz won last two visits here, both in OT. Four of last five series games went over the total.

Boston had their 7-game win streak snapped last night; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six games on foreign soil. Last four Celtic games stayed under total. Trailblazers are 5-3 in their last eight games overall, 7-4 vs spread in last 11 home games. Under is 11-4 in their last fifteen home games. Portland won six of its last eight games with Boston, winning three of last four played here. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.




NBA

Thursday, February 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Philadelphia's last 24 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Orlando's last 24 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHARLOTTE
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Charlotte's last 19 games when playing Houston
Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:30 PM
UTAH vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Utah

10:30 PM
BOSTON vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Portland is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Boston
Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston

[StarDust Bum]

NBA (PROFESSIONAL)

DUNKEL'S HIGHLIGHTED GAME

Boston at Portland - Thursday February 9, 2017
The Celtics head to Portland tonight where they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games versus the Trail Blazers. Boston is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2).


THURSDAY FEBRUARY 9, 2017

Boston
@
Portland
Game 709-710
February 9, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating: Boston
129.219
Portland
125.733
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Boston
by 3 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Portland
by 1 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick: Boston
(+1 1/2); Under

Utah
@
Dallas
Game 707-708
February 9, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating: Utah
129.820
Dallas
117.441
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Utah
by 12 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Utah
by 4
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah
(-4); Over

Cleveland
@
Oklahoma City
Game 705-706
February 9, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Cleveland
121.363
Oklahoma City
126.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Oklahoma City
by 5
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Oklahoma City
by 10
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland
(+10); Over

Houston
@
Charlotte
Game 703-704
February 9, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Houston
124.835
Charlotte
114.271
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Houston
by 10 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Houston
by 3
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston
(-3); Under

Philadelphia
@
Orlando
Game 701-702
February 9, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Philadelphia
107.523
Orlando
115.468
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Orlando
by 8
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Orlando
by 5 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick: Orlando
(-5 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
February 9, 2017

Favorites produced a 9-3 straight up record on Wednesday and the ‘chalk’ managed to go 7-5 against the spread as well. Two of the three underdogs that won outright were at home as Minnesota and Sacramento knocked off a pair of Eastern Conference contenders in Toronto and Boston respectively.

The other ‘dog to cash was Miami, who dropped the Bucks 106-88 in wire-to-wire fashion while catching four points. The Heat have now won a season-high 12 straight (11-0-1 ATS) and the club has been listed as ‘dogs in seven of those games. The run has a great possibility of reaching 15 with the Nets, 76ers and Magic on tap.

The ‘over’ went 7-5 on Wednesday and is now 9-6 (60%) the last two nights in the NBA.

Game of the Night - Cleveland at Oklahoma City (TNT, 8:05 p.m. ET)

This was expected to be the top matchup to watch on Thursday but the latest reports have the trio of LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love resting for Cleveland (36-15 SU, 23-26-2 ATS) on Thursday.

The Cavaliers won and covered their fourth straight game last night by running past Indiana 132-117 as 3 ½-point road favorites. Along with playing the back-to-back spot, tonight’s matchup is the third game in four nights for Cleveland and bettors should be aware that it has been a great team to fade on zero days rest this season. The club has gone 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS when facing back-to-back spots and that includes a winless mark (0-6 SU, 0-6 ATS) on the road.

Oklahoma City (30-23 SU, 29-23-1 ATS) is now listed as high as a nine-point favorite over the Cavs and it’s been a solid investment (18-7 SU, 16-8 ATS) at home this season. However, the Thunder are just 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS versus the Eastern Conference in OKC and its 2-6 overall versus the Central Division.

These teams recently met on Jan. 29 and Cleveland coasted to a 107-91 victory over Oklahoma City as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Including this win, the Cavaliers have won four and covered straight versus the Thunder and they’re 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 encounters.

The ‘under’ is on 5-1 run between the pair in this series but Cleveland enters this game on an 8-2 ‘over’ streak yet those numbers should obviously ignored with the Cavaliers sitting their top three players.

Along with this matchup, we have four other betting opportunities in the NBA on Thursday and below is my quick handicap.

Philadelphia (18-34 SU, 30-22 ATS) at Orlando (20-34 SU, 22-30-2 ATS)

I thought this line would open a little higher (Magic -4 ½) but it’s a tough handicap since neither team is in great form. Philadelphia was on fire in January but has come back to life this month with a 0-5 record (2-3 ATS). Meanwhile, Orlando is 3-7 in its last 10 games and surprisingly, the team has played better on the road (11-18) than at home (9-16) this season. The Magic are 5-4 as a home favorite but only 2-5-2 ATS in that role.

The Magic have won the first two meetings (1-1 ATS) against the 76ers this season, both victories coming on the road. Despite owning losing records the last few seasons, Philadelphia has managed to go 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four trips to Orlando.

Philadelphia dropped a 111-103 decision last night to San Antonio as a 12-point home underdog and will be facing a back-to-back situation tonight. The 76ers have gone 3-9 on zero days rest this season but they’ve managed to go 6-6 versus the number in these situations. The ‘over’ has gone 8-4 in these games.

76ers center Joel Emiid (knee) has missed 10 of the last 11 games for the team and is expected to sit this game out as well.

Houston (38-17 SU, 31-24 ATS) at Charlotte (24-28 SU, 22-28-2 ATS)

If you handicap this game based on past history, you’re leaning to Houston to win the game outright. The Rockets have gone 17-3 in their last 20 meetings in this series, which includes a 121-114 victory on Jan. 10 as 8 ½-point home favorites. Charlotte covered the number in that loss and 3-1 ATS in the last four matchups versus the Rockets. The ‘over’ cashed in the last two games between the pair but that was preceded by a 7-0 ‘under’ streak in this series.

The Rockets opened as four-point road favorites and they enter this game off back-to-back wins. Houston hasn’t won three straight since early January and its recent form as a road favorite (2-4 SU, 0-6 ATS) doesn’t provide bettors much confidence.

Making a case for Charlotte isn’t easy either, knowing the club just snapped a seven-game losing streak on Tuesday in a 111-107 win over the lowly Nets. The Hornets are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 and are still winless (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS) when listed as home underdogs.

Utah (34-19 SU, 23-29-1 ATS) at Dallas (20-32 SU, 28-24 ATS)

The Jazz will be looking to complete a four-game season sweep of the Mavericks when the pair square off on Thursday. Utah ripped Dallas 97-81 in the first encounter back in November but its last two wins only came by three and five points, both resulting in ATS wins for the Mavericks.

Utah is in solid form, winners in four straight (3-1 ATS) and that includes a 127-94 blowout victory at New Orleans last night. The Jazz have been respectable when playing on no rest this season, going 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS. Delving into those B2B records further, the club started 2-0 on the road but has dropped four straight as a visitor with no rest and all of the losses came by nine-plus points.

The Jazz are listed as a four-point road favorite and what's really impressive is that haven't lost in that role this season, going 13-0 SU and 9-4 ATS.

Dallas enters this game off back-to-back losses but those setbacks came after the club had won and covered six of their last seven games. Since dealing with injuries in November, Dallas has turned it around and has only dropped three consecutive games once in the last two months.

Despite having some low totals posted in their matchups, these teams have seen the ‘over’ go 4-1 in their last five meetings. Thursday’s number is hovering between 192 and 193 points.

Boston (33-19 SU, 26-24-2 ATS) at Portland (23-30 SU, 22-31 ATS)

These teams met a couple weeks ago in Boston and the Trail Blazers captured a 127-123 overtime victory as 7 ½-point road underdogs. Portland has won three of the four previous meetings in this series at the Moda Center, which includes a 116-109 last season.

Boston had its seven-game winning streak snapped last night as it was thumped 108-92 by Sacramento as an 8 ½-point road favorite. Despite racking up wins, the Celtics are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight games.

Fatigue hasn’t been a factor this season for Boston, who has won eight of its last nine games when playing on no rest. Overall, the Celtics are 8-3 SU 7-4 ATS in back-to-back-spots and that includes a 4-2 road mark.

Portland enters this game with a little pep in its step after it edged Dallas 114-113 on Tuesday. The Trail Blazers are 5-3 in their last eight games and have been installed as short favorites (-1 ½) in this matchup.

Terry Stotts and company had a lot of past success at home but that hasn’t been the case this season (14-11 SU, 12-13 ATS), especially against teams from the East. The Blazers are just 4-5 at home in non-conference matchups and Boston enters this game as one of 10 teams in the league that owns a winning mark (14-11 SU, 15-8-2 ATS) on the road.

TNT will provide coverage of this game at 10:30 p.m. ET.

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 9

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

HOU at CHA 07:00 PM

HOU -3.0

U 226.0

PHI at ORL 07:00 PM

PHI +6.0

U 209.0

CLE at OKC 08:00 PM

CLE +11.0

O 207.0

UTA at DAL 08:30 PM

UTA -4.0

O 193.5

BOS at POR 10:30 PM

BOS +1.5

U 219.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds to win the World Series this season:

— Chicago Cubs 11-4

— Boston Red Sox 11-2

— Cleveland Indians 6-1

— Los Angeles Dodgers 10-1

— Washington Nationals 11-1

— Houston Astros 12-1

Quote of the Day
“Hell is empty. All the devils are here.”
William Shakespeare

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Thursday night of hoops

13) Before I start in on Thursday’s college games, there was a high school game this week in California that ended 146-123. A 32:00 high school game ended 146-123. No bueno.

Lonzo Ball’s (PG at UCLA) brother is in 10th grade; he scored 92 points in this game for the winning team, 41 in the 4th quarter, but he rarely crossed half court to defend in the second half. All of this raises numerous questions.

— What coach allows their players not to play defense, just so he can show off?
— What parent is OK with their son and his team embarrassing an opponent? The winning team was fouling on purpose, just to get the ball back— this is OK?
— Who coaches the other team? You have to double or triple-team the kid, just so he can’t make fools out of your players. Thats the least you need to do.
— Refs are probably relieved that no one on the losing team tried to put the kid into a wall for being a self-absorbed human being.
— The kid is an outstanding player, already committed to UCLA, and he is only in 10th grade, so this is likely to be repeated at times over the next two years.

12) Duke 86, North Carolina 78— Sorry to disagree with Duke alum Jay Bilas, but Auburn-Alabama football is a much bigger rivalry than this game; I mean, someone poisoned a tree over the Iron Bowl. I didn’t even know it was possible to poison a tree. Duke was 13-27 on the arc.

Weird fact; these teams have met only once in last 12 ACC tournaments. Surprising.

If I’m running ESPN, I bring in UNC alum Brad Daugherty for a 3-man booth for these rivalry games, with Dan Shulman and Bilas. Too may Dukies on network TV.

11) Wofford 131, Samford 127, 4OT— This is the third night in a row a game went four OT’s. Samford led by 6 at the half, made 14-27 on the arc but lost.

10) Purdue 69, Indiana 64— Swanigan had 16 points, 14 boards and I thought he got by far the worst of the officiating- couple fouls against him were total home court calls. . Swanigan has improved his draft stock by staying in college this year. Indiana is 15-10, 5-7 in the Big 14; they need to start winning some games, so Selection Sunday isn’t a very long day.

9) Northeastern 73, Charleston 72— Kid on Northeastern grabbed an airball, tossed up an underhanded flip at the buzzer and it went in, giving Huskies an unlikely win in a game they trailed by 16 at the half. Cougars fall out of a tie for first place in the CAA.

8) Furman 60, Chattanooga 56— Paladins are in first place in an improved Southern Conference; well-balanced Paladins start three juniors and a senior- no one on Furman scored more than 13 points in this game. Chattanooga is 2-3 in its last five games.

7) Rice 89, FIU 78— 16-8 Owls are headed for only their second winning season since 2005; they’re 7-5 in Conference USA.

6) Colorado 81, Washington 66— Huskies’ star freshman Markelle Futlz didn’t play because of a sore knee, which should raise red flags in front offices all over the bottom half of the NBA. Buffs are now 4-8 in Pac-12, after starting out 0-7 in conference games.

5) Wisconsin 70, Nebraska 69 OT— Nigel Hayes tore the Cornhuskers’ hearts out with a 3-pointer with 0:18.4 left in OT, after Nebraska had tied the game with a 3-ball at buzzer of regulation. Nebraska has now lost eight of its last nine games.

4) Cal State-Bakersfield 72, New Mexico State 53— Roadrunners hand NM State their first loss in WAC, are now tied with Aggies in loss column for first place.

3) Liberty 92, Gardner-Webb 87, 2OT
NC-Asheville 104, Winthrop 101, 2OT— Both winners are 11-2 and tied for first place in the Big South, but they both were fully extended here.

2) UCLA 82, Oregon 79— Highly entertaining two hours; Ducks controlled the game early, led by 9 at the half, by 13 with 12:00 left, but then UCLA got momentum in the second half and surged to a win that avenged their 89-87 loss in Eugene back in December.

1— St Mary’s and Gonzaga both won their games vs inferior opponents last night, setting up Saturday’s showdown in Moraga. Gonzaga won first meeting with St Mary’s 79-56 at home Jan 14.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 10

Heat won its last 12 games (10-2 vs spread); they covered four of last six road games. Three of their last four games went over total. Brooklyn lost its last 11 games but is 8-5 vs spread in its last 13; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Miami won nine of last ten games with the Nets (8-1-1 vs spread), winning/covering last five visits here. Last three series games stayed under total.

San Antonio won four of its last five games; they’re 7-9 vs spread in last 16 road games. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Pistons won seven of last eight home games, covering last four. Eight of their last ten games went over the total. Spurs won/covered their last four games with Detroit, winning by 17-10 points in last two visits to Motor City. Three of last four series games stayed under total.

Denver lost five of its last six road games, 0-3 vs spread in last three; Nuggets lost four of last six games overall. Six of their last eight games went over. New York lost five of its last six games, is 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Home side won gift of last nine Denver-New York games with Nuggets winning last four; they lost three of last four visits to Manhattan. Six of last seven series games stayed under.

Los Angeles lost six of last eight games but covered six of last seven, including five of last six on the road. Four of their last five games went over. Bucks lost 11 of last 13 games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight at home. Over is 5-1 in their last six home games. Lakers lost five of last seven games with Milwaukee, but covered last four; they lost last five games in Milwaukee, covering last two. Three of last four series games went over. First game for Bucks since star Parker was injured.

New Orleans lost five of last six games; they lost last five road games (2-3 vs spread). Four of their last six games stayed under total. Minnesota lost four of last five games; they’re 7-3 in last ten home games, 2-5 vs spread in last seven. Wolves’ last nine games went over total. Pelicans won eight of last ten games with Minnesota, winning three of last four visits to Twin Cities. Last five series games went over the total.

Washington had its 17-game home win streak snapped Monday; they’re 8-1 in last nine games overall, 14-3-1 vs spread in last 18 at home. Four of their last five games went over. Indiana won seven of its last eight games; they covered their last three road games. Five of last six Indiana games stayed under. Pacers won five of last seven games with Washington; they won four of last six visits here. Eight of last nine series games went over total.

Memphis is 2-0 vs Golden State this year, after losing previous seven games with the Warriors. Golden State won four of last five visits here. Golden State won six of its last seven games, is 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Grizzlies won five of last seven games, are 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last eight games went over. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

DeMarcus Cousins is back here for Kings. Sacramento lost four of last six home games, are 3-11 vs spread in last 14 home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Atlanta won three of last four games; they’re 10-4 vs spread in last 14 road games. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games. Hawks won/covered nine of last ten games with Sacramento, winning four of last five visits here; they lost last visit here, 91-88. Last three series games stayed under total.

Chicago won three of last five games; they covered four of last five on the road. Four of their last five games went over total. Suns lost eight of last nine games, are losing last seven home games (0-5 vs spread in last five). Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Bulls won seven of last ten games with Phoenix; they won three of last four visits to the desert. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, February 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games at home

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. NEW YORK
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing Denver
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver

7:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
LA Lakers are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MINNESOTA
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MEMPHIS
Golden State is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Golden State is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 23 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

10:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Atlanta is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Sacramento is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, February 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (23 - 30) at BROOKLYN (9 - 44) - 2/10/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 59-73 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
BROOKLYN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (40 - 12) at DETROIT (25 - 28) - 2/10/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 74-56 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 328-270 ATS (+31.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 304-243 ATS (+36.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 96-74 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (23 - 29) at NEW YORK (22 - 32) - 2/10/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NEW YORK is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in February games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (18 - 37) at MILWAUKEE (22 - 29) - 2/10/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 61-82 ATS (-29.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-82 ATS (-37.2 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 344-418 ATS (-115.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 247-301 ATS (-84.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (20 - 33) at MINNESOTA (20 - 33) - 2/10/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MINNESOTA is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 345-406 ATS (-101.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 201-249 ATS (-72.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (29 - 23) at WASHINGTON (31 - 21) - 2/10/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 208-155 ATS (+37.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 145-184 ATS (-57.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (44 - 8) at MEMPHIS (33 - 22) - 2/10/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 156-119 ATS (+25.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 140-112 ATS (+16.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 130-103 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 206-162 ATS (+27.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-7 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (31 - 22) at SACRAMENTO (21 - 32) - 2/10/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 53-78 ATS (-32.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (26 - 27) at PHOENIX (16 - 37) - 2/10/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, February 10


Chicago @ Phoenix

Game 867-868
February 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
117.157
Phoenix
112.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 4 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
N/A

Atlanta @ Sacramento

Game 865-866
February 10, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
122.756
Sacramento
117.376
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 5 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-1); Over

Golden State @ Memphis

Game 863-864
February 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
134.495
Memphis
122.273
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 12
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-7 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Washington

Game 861-862
February 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
124.933
Washington
122.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+5); Under

New Orleans @ Minnesota

Game 859-860
February 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
115.514
Minnesota
114.889
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3 1/2); Under

LA Lakers @ Milwaukee

Game 857-858
February 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
115.442
Milwaukee
118.090
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 4 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+4 1/2); Over

Denver @ New York

Game 855-856
February 10, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
112.119
New York
122.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 10 1/2
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2 1/2
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-2 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Detroit

Game 853-854
February 10, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
127.529
Detroit
118.035
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 9 1/2
197
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4
209
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-4); Under

Miami @ Brooklyn

Game 851-852
February 10, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
124.605
Brooklyn
113.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 11
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Friday, February 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday’s NBA Game of the Day: Pacers at Wizards
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Wizards 17 game home winning streak came to an end earlier this week. Can they start another streak when they host the Pacers Friday night?

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards (-5, 214.5)

Two teams surging up the standings in the Eastern Conference square off when the Indiana Pacers visit the Washington Wizards on Friday. The Wizards had a 17-game home winning streak come to an end on Monday but bounced back with an overtime win at Brooklyn on Wednesday while the Pacers' seven-game winning streak was coming to an end in a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Washington battled into overtime in one of the best games of the NBA season but was denied an 18th consecutive home win in Monday's 140-135 loss to the Cavaliers and had to fight off a bit of a hangover from that outing before putting away the Nets 114-110. "We were trying to find a rhythm," Wizards coach Scott Brooks told reporters after Wednesday's triumph. "Some parts of the game looked good and some parts of the game we’re going to push fast forward on our film tonight and try to keep finding the good things we can do." The Pacers led Cleveland at halftime on Wednesday but completely fell off the pace after the break and ended up falling 132-117. "It's one game," star forward Paul George told reporters. "We look past this. We played a really good team tonight. We know what beat us and we know the reason why we lost tonight. ... If we're serious about where we want to get to, then we'll respond Friday."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, FSN Indiana, CSN Mid-Atlantic (Washington)

LINE HISTORY: The Wizards opened as 5-point home favorites and the total hit the board at 214.5. As of Friday morning there had been no movement to either number.

INJURY REPORT:

Pacers - PF Thaddeus Young (Out, wrist)

Wizards - PF Markieff Morris (Questionable, calf), PF Daniel House (Mid-February, wrist)

POWER RANKINGS: Indiana (-3.2) - Washington (-5.5) + home court (-3) = Washington -5.3

ABOUT THE PACERS (29-23 SU, 23-28-1 ATS, 27-25 O/U): Indiana allowed an average of 96.3 points during its seven-game winning streak and held four straight opponents under 100 points before letting up on that end Wednesday. The Pacers were outscored 40-18 in the decisive third quarter and allowed Cavaliers sharpshooter Kyle Korver to go 8-of-9 from 3-point range in the loss. "At the start of the third quarter, you can't come out not focused and ready to go as we did," Indiana coach Nate McMillan told reporters. "You've got to be calm in games like this. We got rattled. ... It was a good lesson for us. We should learn from this."

ABOUT THE WIZARDS (31-21 SU, 30-22 ATS, 32-20 O/U): One of Washington's 17 straight home wins came over Indiana, a 111-105 on Dec. 28 that pulled the team within a game of .500 at 15-16. The Wizards are now third in the Eastern Conference behind Cleveland and Boston and are getting star-level performances from shooting guard Bradley Beal, who followed up a 41-point effort on Monday with 31 points in 41 minutes at Brooklyn. The 23-year-old did not play more than 73 games in any of his first four seasons and was limited to 55 last season but only missed four games so far this season and is logging heavy minutes (39.3 in the first four games this month) along with backcourt mate John Wall (42.3 minutes in February).

TRENDS:

* Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Wizards are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
* Over is 9-2 in Pacers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 home games.
* Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
* Pacers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Washington.

CONSENSUS: 65 percent of users are siding with the home favorite Washington Wizards and Over is picking up 78 percent of the totals wagers.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, February 10

Miami at Brooklyn, 7:35 PM ET
Miami: 11-2 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games
Brooklyn: 7-25 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days

San Antonio at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
San Antonio: 14-6 ATS after a non-conference game
Detroit: 11-22 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

Denver at New York, 7:35 PM ET
Denver: 14-4 ATS in road games off a road loss
New York: 1-9 ATS in home games in February games

LA Lakers at Milwaukee, 8:05 PM ET
Los Angeles: 60-30 ATS in road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread
Milwaukee: 2-11 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games

New Orleans at Minnesota, 8:05 PM ET
New Orleans: 15-5 ATS after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers
Minnesota: 5-16 ATS off an home win scoring 110 or more points

Indiana at Washington, 8:05 PM ET
Indiana: 3-15 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more
Washington: 12-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

Golden State at Memphis, 8:05 PM ET
Golden State: 13-4 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more
Memphis: 4-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders

Atlanta at Sacramento, 10:35 PM ET
Atlanta: 37-22 ATS after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls
Sacramento: 7-21 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games

Chicago at Phoenix, 10:35 PM ET
Chicago: 43-68 ATS after playing a road game
Phoenix: 24-11 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more