The Bum's 2016 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News-Stats !

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Sunday’s games

Cavaliers won six of last seven games with Charlotte, covering five of last six. Four of last five series games went over total. Hornets lost last four visits to Cleveland, are 0-3 vs spread in last three. Charlotte is 3-0 on road but they were favored in all three games; they’re 0-2 as a home dog. Cavaliers are 1-4 as a home favorite; their last three home games went over the total.

Lakers won four of last six games with Minnesota; six of last eight series games went over the total. LA covered four of last five visits here (2-3 SU); they’re 5-1 as a road underdog this year after spanking the Pelicans last night- over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Minnesota lost at home to the Clippers last night; they’re 2-6 this season, with last three games going over.

Thunder won nine of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered seven of last eight series games- four of last five series games went over the total. Orlando lost its last three games, by 32-13-16 points; they’re 1-3 vs spread on road, 1-2 as underdogs. Oklahoma City lost its last two home games, is 3-2 as a home favorite. Five of their last seven games stayed under total.

Warriors beat Suns by 6 in Phoenix couple weeks ago; they’ve won last eight games with the Suns, but Phoenix covered the last three. Four of last six series games went over total. Suns got whacked at home by Brooklyn last night; they’ve lost three of last four games- their last seven went over total. Warriors are 2-2 as a home favorite; their last three games all went over.

Portland won nine of its last ten games with Denver, covering three of last four. Seven of last nine series games went over total. Nuggets lost last five visits to Portland (2-3 vs spread), with three of last four going over. Denver got beat at home by Detroit last night; they lost four of last five games, with three of last four going over total. Portland won four of last five games; they’re 2-1 as home favorites.

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NBA RECORD + BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
11/02/2016 9-10-1 47.37% -1000
11/03/2016 5-4-0 55.56% +300
11/04/2016 7-8-0 46.67% -900
11/05/2016 9-6-0 60.00% +1200
11/06/2016 5-5-0 50.00% -250
11/07/2016 6-7-0 46.15% -850
11/08/2016 4-7-0 36.36% -1850
11/10/2016 3-5-0 37.50% -1250
11/11/2016 7-9-0 43.75% -1450
11/12/2016 10-10-1 50.00% -500

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 56-67-2 45.53% -8850

O/U Picks 62-66-1 48.44% -5300

BEST BETS:

ATS: 42 - 36 - 2

NBA UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE DAY 1 - 0 ( DENVER + 4 COVERS 107-108 )

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NBA Capsules
November 13, 2016

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Klay Thompson hit a go-ahead 3-pointer with 4:31 left and another with 3:13 remaining to score a season-high 30 points, Stephen Curry also had 30 points with five 3s, and the balanced Golden State Warriors held off the Phoenix Suns 133-120 on Sunday night.

Kevin Durant added 29 points, nine rebounds and five assists as Golden State just missed a third 30-point performance by its star three. The Warriors avoided a second home loss at this early stage that would have matched their total of two defeats at Oracle Arena in each of the past two regular seasons.

Thompson shot 11 for 18 also with five 3s and scored 14 of his points in the fourth, while Draymond Green finished with 14 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds for Golden State.

Eric Bledsoe and T.J. Warren scored 20 points apiece to lead six players in double figures for the Suns.

MAGIC 119, THUNDER 117

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Serge Ibaka's baseline jumper with less than a second remaining lifted Orlandao past Oklahoma City.

Ibaka, who was traded from the Thunder to the Magic in the offseason, scored a career-high 31 points and added nine rebounds and four blocks.

With the score tied in the final minute, Oklahoma City's Russell Westbrook missed a pull-up jumper, and Orlando rebounded and called timeout with 11 seconds remaining to set up Ibaka's winner with 0.4 seconds left.

Westbrook finished with 41 points, 16 assists and 12 rebounds for his third triple-double of the season and 40th of his career. The Thunder had won 20 straight when Westbrook tallied a triple-double.

Elfrid Payton scored 23 points and Evan Fournier added 21 for the Magic, who snapped a three-game losing streak.

CAVALIERS 100, HORNETS 93

CLEVELAND (AP) - LeBron James sparked a fourth-quarter comeback with 11 points, Channing Frye scored a season-high 20 and Cleveland beat Charlotte.

James, who finished with 19 points, also had five assists in the final period. He had eight points on 4-of-15 shooting through three quarters.

Kyrie Irving scored 19 points and Kevin Love added 17, but neither played in the fourth quarter as Cleveland coach Tyronn Lue stuck with the group that helped Cleveland take control of the game.

Kemba Walker scored 21 points for the Hornets, who have lost two straight after starting the season 6-1.

TIMBERWOLVES 125, LAKERS 99

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Andrew Wiggins had a career-high 47 points, equaling the entire Lakers starting lineup to lead Minnesota.

Wiggins made 14 of 21 shots and Nemanja Bjelica added a career-high 24 points and eight rebounds for the Timberwolves, who played without starting guard Zach LaVine and reserve forward Shabazz Muhammad. Both missed the game with sore right knees.

Lou Williams scored 13 of his 17 points in the fourth quarter for the Lakers, who got 47 points from their starters and 52 from their bench. Julius Randle had 14 points and six rebounds and Jordan Clarkson scored 14.

TRAIL BLAZERS 112, NUGGETS 105

PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) - Damian Lillard scored 32 points and the Trail Blazers handed the struggling Nuggets their fourth straight loss.

CJ McCollum added 21 points for the Blazers, who have won five of their last six games. Portland trailed 57-50 at the break, but came alive in the second half and outscored Denver 36-15 in the third quarter.

Jamal Murray hit a 3-pointer to pull Denver within 110-105 in the final seconds, but the rally came up short. It was the Blazers' seventh straight victory over the Nuggets at the Moda Center.

Murray and Danilo Gallinari led the Nuggets with 19 points apiece and Kenneth Faried added 18. The Nuggets have struggled with injuries this season and have just three wins.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s games

Pacers won seven of last eight games with Orlando (7-1 vs spread); three of last four series games stayed under. Magic lost four of last five visits here (1-4 vs spread) but won last one. Orlando snapped 3-game skid with win at OKC yesterday; they’re 2-2 as road underdogs, Four of last six Magic games stayed under. Indiana is 2-2 as home favorite; they lost three of last four games. Over is 6-2 in Pacers’ last eight games.

Thunder won eight of last ten games with Detroit, but Pistons covered four of last five; last four series games stayed under the total. OKC won three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Thunder lost at home to Orlando yesterday; they lost last three games, are 1-1 as road dogs. Detroit won/covered all four of its home games; they’ve lost three of last four games overall. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Knicks lost their last five games with Dallas; Mavericks won last three visits here, by 2-20-7 points. Over is 3-2 in last five series games. Dallas is 2-3 as a road underdog; they’ve lost six of their first eight games, with five of last seven staying under total. New York is 2-1 as a home favorite; they’ve lost five of last seven series games. Over is 2-2 in Knicks’ home games.

Celtics won their last four games with New Orleans (3-1 vs spread); they won last two visits to Bourbon Street by 6-18 points. Over is 3-2 in their last five visits here. Boston is 2-0 as a road favorite; favorite covered four of their five road games (2-3 SU). Last three Boston games stayed under the total. New Orleans is 0-5 at home; they were favored in four of five games. Four of last five Pelican games went over total.

Houston won its last five games with Philly; 76ers covered three of last four series games. Sixers lost their last five visits here (2-3 vs spread) but covered last two. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. 76ers are 1-8 this season, 1-2 as a road underdog, losing road games by 16-7-21 points. Houston split its two home games, which were decided by total of 7 points; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Spurs won/covered their last eight games with Miami, last three of which went over the total. Heat lost last three visits to Alamo by 13-17-24 points. Miami lost six of its last seven games; they’re 1-4 as an underdog, 1-2 on road, losing last two away games by 9-12 points. Spurs won last two games by 6-10 points; they’re 2-3 as home favorites, losing three of last four SU at home. Spurs’ last three games stayed under the total.

Memphis is 6-4 in its last ten games with Utah; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Grizzlies lost last two visits here, by 5-10 points. Memphis lost three of last four games; they’re 0-3 as a road underdog, losing away games by 7-36-10 points. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Jazz won six of its last eight games; they’re 2-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite. Five of last six Jazz games went over the total.

Clippers won five of last seven games with Brooklyn; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Nets lost last five visits to Staples to play the Clippers, covering three of last four. LA is off to a 9-1 start; they’re 4-1 as home favorites, with all four of their home wins by 13+ points. Clippers’ last three home games stayed under. Brooklyn won three of last five games; they’re 3-1 as a road underdog. Over is 3-1 in their road games.

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NBA BETTING TRENDS

Money Line


8:35 pm 11/14/2016
(511) MIAMI @(512) SAN ANTONIO
Play ON MIAMI using the money line in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent.
The record is 14 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+12.15 units)
BET NOW!
8:05 pm 11/14/2016
(509) PHILADELPHIA @(510) HOUSTON
Play AGAINST PHILADELPHIA using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 3 Wins and 49 Losses for the last three seasons (-42.6 units)
BET NOW!
7:35 pm 11/14/2016
(503) OKLAHOMA CITY @(504) DETROIT
Play AGAINST DETROIT using the money line in All games against Northwest division opponents.
The record is 47 Wins and 68 Losses since 1996 (-52.45 units)
BET NOW!
7:35 pm 11/14/2016
(505) DALLAS @(506) NEW YORK
Play ON DALLAS using the money line in Road games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 27 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (+20.5 units)
BET NOW!

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NBA BETTING TRENDS

Half Time Over


8:05 pm 11/14/2016
(509) PHILADELPHIA @(510) HOUSTON
Play OVER HOUSTON on the first half total in All games after a division game.
The record is 16 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+12.7 units)
BET NOW!

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NBA BETTING TRENDS

Half Time Under


10:35 pm 11/14/2016
(515) BROOKLYN @(516) LA CLIPPERS
Play UNDER LA CLIPPERS on the first half total in All games after scoring 105 points or more.
The record is 13 Overs and 34 Unders for the last two seasons (+19.7 units)
BET NOW!
10:35 pm 11/14/2016
(515) BROOKLYN @(516) LA CLIPPERS
Play UNDER LA CLIPPERS on the first half total in Home games after scoring 105 points or more.
The record is 6 Overs and 22 Unders for the last two seasons (+15.4 units)
BET NOW!
9:05 pm 11/14/2016
(513) MEMPHIS @(514) UTAH
Play UNDER UTAH on the first half total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 20 Overs and 57 Unders for the last three seasons (+35 units)
BET NOW!
9:05 pm 11/14/2016
(513) MEMPHIS @(514) UTAH
Play UNDER UTAH on the first half total in All games after a non-conference game.
The record is 15 Overs and 45 Unders for the last three seasons (+28.5 units)
BET NOW!
8:05 pm 11/14/2016
(507) BOSTON @(508) NEW ORLEANS
Play UNDER BOSTON on the first half total in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games.
The record is 29 Overs and 61 Unders for the last three seasons (+29.1 units)
BET NOW!

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NBA BETTING TRENDS

Over


8:05 pm 11/14/2016
(507) BOSTON @(508) NEW ORLEANS
Play OVER NEW ORLEANS on the total in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game.
The record is 27 Overs and 6 Unders for the last two seasons (+20.4 units)
BET NOW!

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NBA BETTING TRENDS

Under


10:35 pm 11/14/2016
(515) BROOKLYN @(516) LA CLIPPERS
Play UNDER LA CLIPPERS on the total in Home games after scoring 105 points or more.
The record is 4 Overs and 23 Unders for the last two seasons (+18.6 units)
BET NOW!
8:35 pm 11/14/2016
(511) MIAMI @(512) SAN ANTONIO
Play UNDER MIAMI on the total in All games after a non-conference game.
The record is 18 Overs and 45 Unders for the last three seasons (+25.2 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

NBA RECORD + BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 9-8-0 52.94% +100
11/02/2016 9-10-1 47.37% -1000
11/03/2016 5-4-0 55.56% +300
11/04/2016 7-8-0 46.67% -900
11/05/2016 9-6-0 60.00% +1200
11/06/2016 5-5-0 50.00% -250
11/07/2016 6-7-0 46.15% -850
11/08/2016 4-7-0 36.36% -1850
11/10/2016 3-5-0 37.50% -1250
11/11/2016 7-9-0 43.75% -1450
11/12/2016 10-10-1 50.00% -500
11/13/2016 2-7-1 22.22% -2850

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 56-71-3 44.09% -11050

O/U Picks 64-69-1 48.12% -5950

BEST BETS:

ATS: 44 - 43 - 1

NBA UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE DAY 1 - 0 ( DENVER + 4 COVERS 107-108 )

[StarDust Bum]

Texans 24, Jaguars 21— Jax is one of three teams (Cards, Giants) not to score on their first drive of a game: their offense has been outscored 7-0 by opponents’ defense on first drive of their nine games. Texans are now 1-3 on road, after losing first three road games by combined score of 84-22. Jaguars have zero takeaways in their last five games (-12).

Chiefs 20, Panthers 17— In their last two games, both wins, KC has one offensive TD, eight FGs, six 3/outs. Carolina led this game 17-6 in 4th quarter, but Newton threw a pick-6, then Panthers fumbled it away again in last minute when game was tied.

Carolina started second half with a 20-play drive that took 10:08 off the clock, but they wound up punting on the drive- they didn’t score in the second half.

Denver 25, Saints 23— One of weirdest endings in NFL history; Saints tied game on a 32-yard TD with 1:22 left, but Broncos blocked PAT, ran it back for the game-winning two points. New Orleans averaged 9.8 yds/pass attempt but turned ball over 4 times (-2) which is most always fatal. Broncos converted 11 of 19 third down plays, had 9-yard edge in field position.

Rams 9, Jets 6— On Hard Knocks this summer, rookie WR Cooper was having issues catching punts, so coach Jeff Fisher stepped in and gave him some tips— Fisher ran punts back when he played. With this game tied 6-6 in 4th and Cooper returning punts for banged-up Austin (leg), Cooper made an excellent catch on a short punt that gave Rams good field position on their own 48. If he lets it bounce, Rams could’ve lost 15-20 yards of field position. From there, LA drove for the game-winning FG. Good coaching helps.

That said, on their last 32 drives, Rams have scored one touchdown, tried six FGs; how much worse could rookie QB Goff really be? LA has four wins; they didn’t score a TD in two of them. The defense could use some help.

Eagles 24, Falcons 15— Philly is 4-0 at home, allowing 38 points, giving up three offensive TDs on 42 drives. Atlanta had scored 106 points in its last three games; holding them to 15 is really impressive. Falcons were 2-11 on 3rd down in this game, ran ball only 13 times for 48 yards.

Redskins 26, Vikings 20— Atlanta started 5-0 last season and missed playoffs; is Minnesota headed in same direction? Vikings have lost four games in a row, their OC quit- they missed PAT after their third TD and then got shut out in second half. Vikings have only two takeaways in last three games. Over is 5-0 in Washington home games.

Titans 47, Packers 25— Tennessee tried onside kick to start game, which didn’t work; still, they are first team since 1986 (Giants) to lead Green Bay by 21 points in first quarter. On their first three drives, Tennessee’s offense ran 17 plays for 236 yards and three TDs- their TE’s ran amok, with over 100 receiving yards and two TDs in first half alone.

Bucs 36, Bears 10— This seems like a good time to point out that NFL’s TV ratings have gone down in every Presidential election year, not just this year, and by as much as 10% in 2000, so things should get back to normal from here on in, at least as far as TV ratings go.

This is an awful loss for the Bears, who didn’t get a first down in the second half- they ran 12 plays for -13 yards in the whole second half. No bueno.

CFL playoffs— Edmonton 24, Hamilton 21 and BC Lions 32, Winnipeg 31.

Dolphins 31, Chargers 24— On his last five drives, Philip Rivers threw four INTs and a TD pass; the 3rd INT was run back for the game-winning Miami TD by Kiko Alonso. San Diego held Ajayi to 79 rushing yards, Over is now 8-2 in Charger games this year; those of us who have NFL Sunday Ticket will miss them next week, their bye week. Miami has won four games in a row.

Cardinals 23, 49ers 20– Kaepernick played well in leading 49ers back to tie game with 1:55 left, but Palmer drove Arizona 69 yards for the winning FG at the gun. Penalty yardage in this game: SF 100, Arizona 10. Cardinals turned ball over four times (-3) but won, which rarely happens.

Cowboys 35, Steelers 30— Pittsburgh went for two points four times and went 0-4. What is the reason for doing it after your first two TDs of the game? Dallas has won eight in row for first time since 1977; there were seven lead changes in this game. Pittsburgh/Green Bay both have Hall of Fame QBs and are both 4-5; go figure.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s games

Pacers won seven of last eight games with Orlando (7-1 vs spread); three of last four series games stayed under. Magic lost four of last five visits here (1-4 vs spread) but won last one. Orlando snapped 3-game skid with win at OKC yesterday; they’re 2-2 as road underdogs, Four of last six Magic games stayed under. Indiana is 2-2 as home favorite; they lost three of last four games. Over is 6-2 in Pacers’ last eight games.

Thunder won eight of last ten games with Detroit, but Pistons covered four of last five; last four series games stayed under the total. OKC won three of last four visits here (1-3 vs spread). Thunder lost at home to Orlando yesterday; they lost last three games, are 1-1 as road dogs. Detroit won/covered all four of its home games; they’ve lost three of last four games overall. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Knicks lost their last five games with Dallas; Mavericks won last three visits here, by 2-20-7 points. Over is 3-2 in last five series games. Dallas is 2-3 as a road underdog; they’ve lost six of their first eight games, with five of last seven staying under total. New York is 2-1 as a home favorite; they’ve lost five of last seven series games. Over is 2-2 in Knicks’ home games.

Celtics won their last four games with New Orleans (3-1 vs spread); they won last two visits to Bourbon Street by 6-18 points. Over is 3-2 in their last five visits here. Boston is 2-0 as a road favorite; favorite covered four of their five road games (2-3 SU). Last three Boston games stayed under the total. New Orleans is 0-5 at home; they were favored in four of five games. Four of last five Pelican games went over total.

Houston won its last five games with Philly; 76ers covered three of last four series games. Sixers lost their last five visits here (2-3 vs spread) but covered last two. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. 76ers are 1-8 this season, 1-2 as a road underdog, losing road games by 16-7-21 points. Houston split its two home games, which were decided by total of 7 points; under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Spurs won/covered their last eight games with Miami, last three of which went over the total. Heat lost last three visits to Alamo by 13-17-24 points. Miami lost six of its last seven games; they’re 1-4 as an underdog, 1-2 on road, losing last two away games by 9-12 points. Spurs won last two games by 6-10 points; they’re 2-3 as home favorites, losing three of last four SU at home. Spurs’ last three games stayed under the total.

Memphis is 6-4 in its last ten games with Utah; under is 7-2 in last nine series games. Grizzlies lost last two visits here, by 5-10 points. Memphis lost three of last four games; they’re 0-3 as a road underdog, losing away games by 7-36-10 points. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Jazz won six of its last eight games; they’re 2-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite. Five of last six Jazz games went over the total.

Clippers won five of last seven games with Brooklyn; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Nets lost last five visits to Staples to play the Clippers, covering three of last four. LA is off to a 9-1 start; they’re 4-1 as home favorites, with all four of their home wins by 13+ points. Clippers’ last three home games stayed under. Brooklyn won three of last five games; they’re 3-1 as a road underdog. Over is 3-1 in their road games.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 10 of the Westgate Super Contest:

6) San Diego Chargers (412) -4- L

5) Carolina Panthers (417) -3- L

4) Green Bay Packers (521) -2.5- L

3) Atlanta Falcons (538) even- L

2) New Orleans Saints (550) -2.5- L

1) Pittsburgh Steelers (671) -2.5- L

Seahawks 31, Patriots 24– How sweet was this for Pete Carroll? Lost to New England in the Super Bowl couple years ago, fired by the Patriots so they could hire Belichick. Small consolation but also a great game. Wilson looked little more mobile, which generates their offense.

Rough day for the favorites: 3-9 against the spread.

Season record: 18-41-2…….popular opinion is taking a beating!!!!

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Texans 24, Jaguars 21— Jax is one of three teams (Cards, Giants) not to score on their first drive of a game: their offense has been outscored 7-0 by opponents’ defense on first drive of their nine games. Texans are now 1-3 on road, after losing first three road games by combined score of 84-22. Jaguars have zero takeaways in their last five games (-12).

Chiefs 20, Panthers 17— In their last two games, both wins, KC has one offensive TD, eight FGs, six 3/outs. Carolina led this game 17-6 in 4th quarter, but Newton threw a pick-6, then Panthers fumbled it away again in last minute when game was tied.

Carolina started second half with a 20-play drive that took 10:08 off the clock, but they wound up punting on the drive- they didn’t score in the second half.

Denver 25, Saints 23— One of weirdest endings in NFL history; Saints tied game on a 32-yard TD with 1:22 left, but Broncos blocked PAT, ran it back for the game-winning two points. New Orleans averaged 9.8 yds/pass attempt but turned ball over 4 times (-2) which is most always fatal. Broncos converted 11 of 19 third down plays, had 9-yard edge in field position.

Rams 9, Jets 6— On Hard Knocks this summer, rookie WR Cooper was having issues catching punts, so coach Jeff Fisher stepped in and gave him some tips— Fisher ran punts back when he played. With this game tied 6-6 in 4th and Cooper returning punts for banged-up Austin (leg), Cooper made an excellent catch on a short punt that gave Rams good field position on their own 48. If he lets it bounce, Rams could’ve lost 15-20 yards of field position. From there, LA drove for the game-winning FG. Good coaching helps.

That said, on their last 32 drives, Rams have scored one touchdown, tried six FGs; how much worse could rookie QB Goff really be? LA has four wins; they didn’t score a TD in two of them. The defense could use some help.

Eagles 24, Falcons 15— Philly is 4-0 at home, allowing 38 points, giving up three offensive TDs on 42 drives. Atlanta had scored 106 points in its last three games; holding them to 15 is really impressive. Falcons were 2-11 on 3rd down in this game, ran ball only 13 times for 48 yards.

Redskins 26, Vikings 20— Atlanta started 5-0 last season and missed playoffs; is Minnesota headed in same direction? Vikings have lost four games in a row, their OC quit- they missed PAT after their third TD and then got shut out in second half. Vikings have only two takeaways in last three games. Over is 5-0 in Washington home games.

Titans 47, Packers 25— Tennessee tried onside kick to start game, which didn’t work; still, they are first team since 1986 (Giants) to lead Green Bay by 21 points in first quarter. On their first three drives, Tennessee’s offense ran 17 plays for 236 yards and three TDs- their TE’s ran amok, with over 100 receiving yards and two TDs in first half alone.

Bucs 36, Bears 10— This seems like a good time to point out that NFL’s TV ratings have gone down in every Presidential election year, not just this year, and by as much as 10% in 2000, so things should get back to normal from here on in, at least as far as TV ratings go.

This is an awful loss for the Bears, who didn’t get a first down in the second half- they ran 12 plays for -13 yards in the whole second half. No bueno.

CFL playoffs— Edmonton 24, Hamilton 21 and BC Lions 32, Winnipeg 31.

Dolphins 31, Chargers 24— On his last five drives, Philip Rivers threw four INTs and a TD pass; the 3rd INT was run back for the game-winning Miami TD by Kiko Alonso. San Diego held Ajayi to 79 rushing yards, Over is now 8-2 in Charger games this year; those of us who have NFL Sunday Ticket will miss them next week, their bye week. Miami has won four games in a row.

Cardinals 23, 49ers 20– Kaepernick played well in leading 49ers back to tie game with 1:55 left, but Palmer drove Arizona 69 yards for the winning FG at the gun. Penalty yardage in this game: SF 100, Arizona 10. Cardinals turned ball over four times (-3) but won, which rarely happens.

Cowboys 35, Steelers 30— Pittsburgh went for two points four times and went 0-4. What is the reason for doing it after your first two TDs of the game? Dallas has won eight in row for first time since 1977; there were seven lead changes in this game. Pittsburgh/Green Bay both have Hall of Fame QBs and are both 4-5; go figure.

Seahawks 31, Patriots 24– How sweet was this for Pete Carroll? Lost to New England in the Super Bowl couple years ago, fired by the Patriots so they could hire Belichick. Small consolation but also a great game. Wilson looked little more mobile, which generates their offense.

Rough day for the favorites: 3-9 against the spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, November 14

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. INDIANA
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Orlando is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DETROIT
Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW YORK
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 15 games at home
New York is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

8:30 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games

10:30 PM
BROOKLYN vs. LA CLIPPERS
Brooklyn is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 20 of the LA Clippers last 24 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, November 14

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers

Game 515-516
November 14, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
115.462
LA Clippers
135.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 20 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 14 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-14 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Utah

Game 513-514
November 14, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
111.267
Utah
126.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15 1/2
179
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-4); N/A

Miami @ San Antonio

Game 511-512
November 14, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
117.513
San Antonio
125.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 8
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12 1/2
190 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+12 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Houston

Game 509-510
November 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
113.771
Houston
117.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+11 1/2); Under

Boston @ New Orleans

Game 507-508
November 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
115.544
New Orleans
113.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 5
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+5); Under

Dallas @ New York

Game 505-506
November 14, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.566
New York
115.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 4 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4 1/2); N/A

Oklahoma City @ Detroit

Game 503-504
November 14, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
121.956
Detroit
119.479
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+3 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Indiana

Game 501-502
November 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
113.159
Indiana
116.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
192
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 7 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7 1/2); N/A

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, November 14

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ORLANDO (4 - 6) at INDIANA (4 - 6) - 11/14/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (6 - 4) at DETROIT (5 - 5) - 11/14/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
DETROIT is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 6) at NEW YORK (3 - 6) - 11/14/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (5 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 9) - 11/14/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 8) at HOUSTON (5 - 4) - 11/14/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 306-246 ATS (+35.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (2 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (7 - 3) - 11/14/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 112-151 ATS (-54.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 961-836 ATS (+41.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 54-39 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 489-407 ATS (+41.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 82-46 ATS (+31.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 318-260 ATS (+32.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 286-232 ATS (+30.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 386-307 ATS (+48.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (4 - 5) at UTAH (7 - 4) - 11/14/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (4 - 5) at LA CLIPPERS (9 - 1) - 11/14/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 246-296 ATS (-79.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's Top Bets
November 14, 2016


NBA Betting Preview

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Houston Rockets

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Houston (-11.5); Total set at 214.5

This is definitely not the most attractive NBA game on tonight's card from a pure fan perspective, but that doesn't mean you can't add a unit or two to your bankroll from it.

The 1-8 SU Philadelphia 76ers are in Houston to take on a Rockets team that just split a home-and-home with the title contending Spurs. The 106-100 home loss by Houston on Saturday night was the first game back after a five-game road trip that saw Houston go 3-2 SU, close it out with a road victory at San Antonio as 8.5-point underdogs, and play some quality teams like Atlanta and Cleveland along the way.

After all those tough games against elite competition, the Rockets get to welcome in the lowly 76ers tonight and we should see a high-tempo, up-and-down game.

Houston has had a tendency to play down to the level of their competition in year's past and that has to be a little concerning if you are considering laying the double digit points tonight.

However, it's not the point spread that I'm looking at as this total – as high as it is – still seems a bucket or two too low. Yes, the 214.5 number is in line with the season average of points allowed for both teams – Houston allows 106.7 and Philly gives up 108.2 – but the likely game script of this game suggests we won't see much defense.

Houston has had trouble keeping the opposition below the century mark this year, and only once have they held an opponent under 98 points. For all of Philadelphia's youth and inexperience, the 76ers have shown lately that their offense is starting to take shape with three of their last five games seeing 101 or more points scored.

Two of those three outings came in a home-and-home series with Indiana, but the 101 points they put up on Cleveland raised some eyebrows about the potential of the 76ers offense.

With the Rockets knack for playing down to their opponent, and in this case it will be Houston's defense that slacks, Philly's young scorers like Jahlil Okafor and Joel Embiid should have strong performances.

As a double-digit home favorite, Houston's got to be looking at this game as one they should easily take simply by relying on James Harden and the offense. Philly has not held an opponent to less than 102 points all year (ironically it was the defending champion Cavaliers) and Harden and company should take full advantage.

Houston has gone 'under' the total in four of their last five games overall, and are 0-2 O/U at home this year, but this is exactly the spot and opponent where the home fans should see one of those memorable offensive performances from this team.

With everyone basically shooting the lights out against the 76ers this year, one of the league's best scorers in Harden will reach 30+. Houston has to believe that they should have no problem winning this game easily by not worrying about defense too much and baiting the Sixers into a track meet.

The Rockets have more depth and better shooters all around and that's definitely the style of play we should see.

What puts this total play 'over' the top – pun intended – is the fact that current betting percentages on this total at Vegasinsider.com show it's about a 50/50 split. Yet, this number has actually already been bumped up a point from opening up at 213.5 and I've got to agree with this move.

Houston fans are used to seeing plenty of points from both teams in their building and this should be the first time this year that they'll get to see that.

Best Bet: Take Over 214.5 points.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Monday
November 14, 2016

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mavericks are 0-14 ATS (-8.04 ppg) off a road game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers since Mar 10, 2015.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 0-11 OU (-21.27 ppg) at home with rest off a win as a favorite since Feb 24, 2016.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 0-9 OU (-21.83 ppg) since Feb 24, 2016 at home after Deandre Jordan shot better than 66% from the field.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Heat are 10-0 ATS (8.85 ppg) after a game as a home dog in which they had 5 or fewer offensive boards since Jan 28, 2004.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Grizzlies are 7-0 OU (11.29 ppg) since Jan 14, 2016 after Marc Gasol was the Grizzlies’ high scorer.

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

ORL at IND 07:00 PM

ORL +7.5 *****

O 206.5

OKC at DET 07:30 PM

DET +1.5

U 204.0 *****

DAL at NY 07:30 PM

DAL +3.5

O 204.5

PHI at HOU 08:00 PM

HOU -11.5

O 213.5 *****

BOS at NO 08:00 PM

BOS -4.5 *****

O 212.0 *****

MIA at SA 08:30 PM

SA -11.5 *****

O 192.5

MEM at UTA 09:00 PM

UTA -6.5 *****

U 191.0 *****

BK at LAC 10:30 PM

BK +16.0 *****

U 213.0