The Bum's National Basketball League October-November Picks/Trends/News !!

[StarDust Bum]

Pro Basketball Trend Report

PHILADELPHIA (0 - 12) at CHARLOTTE (6 - 6) - 11/20/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 60-33 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


BROOKLYN (2 - 10) at BOSTON (6 - 5) - 11/20/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 55-41 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
BOSTON is 87-125 ATS (-50.5 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


DETROIT (6 - 5) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


NEW YORK (6 - 6) at OKLAHOMA CITY (7 - 5) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SAN ANTONIO (9 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 11) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


HOUSTON (5 - 7) at MEMPHIS (6 - 6) - 11/20/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


UTAH (6 - 5) at DALLAS (8 - 4) - 11/20/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 291-239 ATS (+28.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
UTAH is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


PHOENIX (6 - 5) at DENVER (6 - 6) - 11/20/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 53-29 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LA CLIPPERS (6 - 5) at PORTLAND (4 - 9) - 11/20/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 229-285 ATS (-84.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
PORTLAND is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CHICAGO (8 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (13 - 0) - 11/20/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TORONTO (7 - 6) at LA LAKERS (2 - 9) - 11/20/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA knowledge

Hot teams
-- Hornets won six of their last nine games (1-2HF).
-- Celtics won three of their last four games (2-3HF).
-- Knicks won four of their last six games (4-1AU). Thunder also won four of last six games (4-3HF).
-- Spurs won their last six games (4-1AF).
-- Memphis won its last three games (2-3HF).
-- Dallas won its last five games (2-1HF). Jazz are 6-4 in last ten games (4-0AU).
-- Phoenix won three of its last four games (0-0AF). Nuggets won four of last six games (2-1HU).
-- 13-0 Warriors are 1-4 in last five games as a home favorite. Bulls won their last four games (2-0AU).

Cold teams
-- 0-12 76ers are 3-2 as road underdogs.
-- Nets lost ten of their first 12 games (4-0 last four AU).
-- Detroit lost four of its last five games (0-2AF). Minnesota lost five of its last six (1-2HU).
-- Pelicans lost their last five games (0-2HU).
-- Rockets lost four of last five games (1-1AU).
-- Clippers lost five of their last seven games (1-2AF). Portland lost its last seven games (1-1HU).
-- Lakers lost five of their last six games (1-1HU). Toronto lost last three games (2-2AF).

Series records
-- 76ers lost four of last five games with Charlotte, but are 3-1 vs spread in last four series games.
-- Celtics won three of their last four games with Brooklyn.
-- Pistons lost last ten games with Minnesota (1-8-1 vs spread).
-- Thunder won six of last eight with New York (3-1 vs spread last four).
-- Spurs lost three of last four games with New Orleans.
-- Grizzlies won four of last six games with Houston.
-- Mavericks won eight of last nine games with Utah.
-- Suns won seven of last eight games with Denver.
-- Clippers won three of last four games with Portland.
-- Bulls won four of last six games with Golden State.
-- Lakers won seven of last ten games with Toronto.

Totals
-- Three of last four Philly games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Brooklyn games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine New York games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten San Antonio games.
-- Last three Memphis games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Dallas road games went over.
-- Five of last seven Denver games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Clipper games went over total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Chicago games.
-- Six of last seven Laker games stayed under total.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 20

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

PHI at CHA 07:00 PM

PHI +10.5 *****

O 198.0


BK at BOS 07:30 PM

BOS -9.0

U 203.0


NY at OKC 08:00 PM

OKC -6.5 DOUBLE PLAY

O 206.5


SA at NO 08:00 PM

SA -7.5

U 200.0 DOUBLE PLAY


DET at MIN 08:00 PM

MIN +2.5 TRIPLE PLAY

O 203.5


HOU at MEM 08:00 PM

HOU +4.0

U 201.5


UTA at DAL 08:30 PM

UTA +1.5 DOUBLE PLAY

U 196.0


PHO at DEN 09:00 PM

PHO -2.5 SLAM DUNK

O 207.0


LAC at POR 10:00 PM

POR +3.5 TRIPLE PLAY

O 209.0


TOR at LAL 10:30 PM

TOR -7.0

U 204.0


CHI at GS 10:30 PM

GS -8.5 SLAM DUNK

O 210.5

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's six-pack

-- Jaguars 19, Titans 13-- Jax'ville could be in first place Sunday night.

-- Warriors 124, Clippers 117-- Golden State was down 23 in second quarter.

-- I learned yesterday that pina coladas were invented in a San Juan bar; thats the kind of info they pass on during blowouts in a tournament in Puerto Rico.

-- Temple 75, Minnesota 70-- Good ballgame. Owls-Butler is good game today.

-- Iowa 89, Marquette 61-- Game was 48-21 at the half. Looks like Buzz Williams got out of Milwaukee just in time.

-- Houston Cougars more than doubled football coach Herman's salary, hoping it'll be enough to keep him in town another year. We'll see about that.


Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend.......

13) I'm looking for teams that score touchdowns.........

Baltimore-Denver game in Week 1 didn't have an offensive TD by either side. NFL teams are 2-15 this season when not scoring an offensive TD, so take away that game in Denver and teams are 1-14 this season when they don't score an offensive TD, with Denver in Week 5 (@ Oakland) only winner. Scoring touchdowns is important.

12) Packers-Vikings is for first place in the NFC North; Green Bay lost last three games after a 6-0 start. Minnesota covered its last eight games, is 7-2.

11) Here are the 11 D-I basketball coaches who used to be head coaches in NBA:

Mike Dunlap, LMU.....Leonard Hamilton, Florida State.......Lon Kruger, Oklahoma
John Calipari, Kentucky.....Rick Pitino, Louisville......Avery Johnson, Alabama
Reggie Theus, Cal-Northridge.....Eddie Jordan, Rutgers.....Larry Brown, SMU
Eric Musselman, Nevada........Larry Krystkowiak, Utah

10) Oklahoma State-Baylor could be ugly if freshman QB Stitham sits out with a bad back; I'm doubting Baylor has a quality third-string QB. Oklahoma State hasn't lost yet; they play Oklahoma next week.

9) Lot of subplots in Chicago, with former Broncos Fox/Cutler hosting Denver team giving 4th-year backup QB Osweiler his first careet start. Bears have been hot, could be headed toward contention in the Wild Card race.

8) Good college basketball tournament in Puerto Rico; finals Sunday will have the Butler-Temple winner against the Utah-Miami winner. Either way, good game.

7) Can't believe I'm typing this, but there are Interweb rumors that LSU might fire my man Les Miles. LSU is road dog at Ole Miss after losing to Alabama/Arkansas; would be a good game for the Mad Hatter to win.

6) Carson Palmer once forced a trade away from the Bengals, a divorce that helped both sides; now Palmer faces Cincinnati in what could be a Super Bowl preview.

5) North Carolina is visiting Northern Iowa Saturday, an odd bit of scheduling; UNC scored 87 ppg in winning its first three games, even without star G Paige.

4) Ohio State-Michigan State should be a good game; not sure why Buckeyes have to play Michigan State/Michigan back-back, not great scheduling.

3) Looks like Mark Sanchez gets the nod at QB for the Eagles, who at 4-5 are a big disappointment and have same record as the visiting Bucs, where people are happy with rookie QB Winston. Natives will be restless with Chip Kelly if he loses here.

2) USC-Oregon should be a fun game; road side won last three series games with an average total of 90.3. Ducks gained 730 yards in last meeting. Trojans won last four games overall. LY, Vernon Adams was QB for a I-AA team; this will be interesting.

1) If Atlanta and Jets win Sunday and they're both going up against backup QBs, the 4-6 Jacksonville Jaguars would be tied for first place in the AFC South. .

[StarDust Bum]

Preview: Kings (4-9) at Magic (6-6)

Date: November 21, 2015 5:00 PM EDT

Even when the Orlando Magic aren't playing well offensively, their play on the other end is giving them a chance to win.

They'll aim for a seventh victory in 10 games Saturday night against the visiting Sacramento Kings.

The Magic (6-6) won 104-101 in overtime against Minnesota on Wednesday despite shooting 37.3 percent. They held the Timberwolves to 41 second-half points to force the extra period after trailing by 14 at halftime.

They've shot 39.1 percent or worse in three victories but hold opponents to 42.3 to rank among the league leaders.

Evan Fournier put Orlando ahead with a 3-pointer with 3.1 seconds left in overtime and was 5 of 7 from beyond the arc with 26 points. Fournier is averaging 19.4 points compared to 12.0 in 2014-15, the seventh-largest increase in the NBA this season.

Elfrid Payton added 24 points and six rebounds while fellow starters Victor Oladipo and Nikola Vucevic struggled. Oladipo was 0 for 6 with one point in 20 minutes after missing two games with a concussion, and Vucevic had eight points on 4-for-13 shooting.

Oladipo played seven minutes after halftime while Vucevic didn't see the floor at all over the final 29 minutes.

"I'm not trying to send messages," coach Scott Skiles said. "I mean, I get a fairly sizable check every two weeks to win games. That's what I'm trying to do. I felt like we got some good energy out of (backups)."

Orlando's bench also struggled, though, going 12 of 36 from the floor.

The Kings (4-9) showed improvement with a three-game winning streak but have since dropped back-to-back games at Atlanta and Miami.

DeMarcus Cousins will be back after serving a one-game suspension in Thursday's 116-109 loss to the Heat after his forearm shot to the head of Atlanta's Al Horford in Wednesday's defeat.

Sacramento fell to 0-5 without its All-Star big man, who is averaging 27.5 points and 11.1 rebounds. Rudy Gay also didn't return after suffering a shoulder injury on a drive to the basket in the third quarter, though he's expected to play.

"Our two superstars were out but guys stepped up when needed," Rajon Rondo said. "We were able to make a run at it but we weren't able to continue to get enough stops."

Rondo had 18 assists, 14 points and nine rebounds, narrowly missing a fifth triple-double in seven games.

"He's playing like Rondo," Miami's Dwyane Wade said. "As a fan of the game, I'm just happy to see him healthy and when he's healthy he's one of the top point guards in this league. He's back to proving that."

The Kings continue this five-game trip having gone 0-4 on the road after not taking much advantage of an early home-heavy schedule.

Orlando shot 53.6 percent while winning both of last season's meetings. Oladipo played one of his best games as a pro in a 119-114 victory March 6, scoring 32 on 14-of-24 shooting with 10 assists.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA ATS

NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play ON INDIANA against the spread in All games in November games
The record is 28 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (+18.1 units)

NBA MONEYLINE

NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play AGAINST INDIANA using money line in All games on Saturday games
The record is 3 Wins and 12 Losses for the last two seasons (-17.35 units)

NBA > (711) NEW YORK@ (712) HOUSTON | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play AGAINST NEW YORK using money line in All games in November games
The record is 9 Wins and 28 Losses for the last three seasons (-24.85 units)

NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play AGAINST INDIANA using money line in Home games on Saturday games
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (-15.45 units)

NBA > (709) WASHINGTON@ (710) DETROIT | 2015-11-21 19:35:00 - 2015-11-21 19:35:00
Play AGAINST DETROIT using money line in All games as a favorite
The record is 32 Wins and 32 Losses for the last three seasons (-42.55 units)

NBA > (711) NEW YORK@ (712) HOUSTON | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON using money line in All games as a favorite
The record is 3 Wins and 5 Losses for the this season (-18.6 units)

NBA > (707) PHILADELPHIA@ (708) MIAMI | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in All games against Atlantic division opponents
The record is 15 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.15 units)

NBA > (705) ATLANTA@ (706) CLEVELAND | 2015-11-21 19:35:00 - 2015-11-21 19:35:00
Play ON CLEVELAND using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 34 Wins and 17 Losses for the last two seasons (+18.25 units)

NBA > (701) SACRAMENTO@ (702) ORLANDO | 2015-11-21 17:05:00 - 2015-11-21 17:05:00
Play AGAINST SACRAMENTO using money line in All games against Southeast division opponents
The record is 33 Wins and 68 Losses for the since 1992 (-43.1 units)

NBA TOTALS

NBA > (713) MEMPHIS@ (714) SAN ANTONIO | 2015-11-21 20:35:00 - 2015-11-21 20:35:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 46 Overs and 87 Unders for the last three seasons (+36.4 units)

NBA > (703) MILWAUKEE@ (704) INDIANA | 2015-11-21 19:05:00 - 2015-11-21 19:05:00
Play UNDER INDIANA on the totalin Home games in November games
The record is 3 Overs and 16 Unders for the last three seasons (+12.7 units)

NBA > (707) PHILADELPHIA@ (708) MIAMI | 2015-11-21 20:05:00 - 2015-11-21 20:05:00
Play UNDER MIAMI on the totalin All games after a non-conference game
The record is 9 Overs and 25 Unders for the last two seasons (+15.1 units)

NBA > (705) ATLANTA@ (706) CLEVELAND | 2015-11-21 19:35:00 - 2015-11-21 19:35:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 31 Overs and 62 Unders for the last three seasons (+27.9 units)

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Some college football trends to ponder for today's games........

-- Michigan State is 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games as an underdog.

-- Oklahoma won/covered last five games, scoring 55.2 ppg.

-- Average total in last three USC-Oregon games is 90.3.

-- 10-0 Houston won last two games by combined total of four points.

-- K-State won seven games in row vs Iowa State, winning last four played in Little Apple by average score of 35-18.

-- Iowa is 10-0, but is 0-4 vs spread as Big 14 home favorite this year.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) If you enjoy pro football and want to learn more about it, read this piece about how Carson Palmer prepared for a game against the Browns last month.

Interesting stuff about how NFL teams prepare for a game.

12) If you didn't use the link or it didn't work, article tells how Carson Palmer had to learn 171 plays (plus formations/blocking schemes) in five days in preparation for the Cardinals' game in Cleveland. Interesting look behind the scenes.

11) Miami 90, Utah 66-- Miami-Butler is good title game in Puerto Rico Sunday.

10) Movie stuff: They're coming out with a new movie about Texas Longhorns called My All American- actor who plays coach Darrell Royal looked familiar to me, so I had to look him up. Guy's name is Aaron Eckhart-- turns out he played the assistant coach for the Sharks in Any Given Sunday, the movie where Al Pacino was coach, Cameron Diaz was the team's owner and Barry Switzer the TV announcer.

9) Hofstra 82, Florida State 77-- Hofstra dressed nine guys; three of them fouled out, a 4th guy had four fouls, but they made 10-22 from arc and held off Seminoles team that was 0-10 from arc in first half. Joe Mihalich is a very good coach.

8) Cavaliers' center Timofey Mozgov (deltoid injury) is out for next 10-14 days. he is a good player the Knicks stupidly traded in the Carmelo Anthony deal.

7) Knicks 93, Thunder 90-- That said, Phil Jackson has done good job re-building the Knicks. Not many people thought he would do it- still a ways to go, but they're fun to watch and should make the playoffs at least.

6) Tex-Arlington 73, Ohio State 68-- Thought this was a woman's score first time I saw it, but it was not; Buckeyes were 13-27 on foul line, got outrebounded by nine on a bad night for the Big 14 (Michigan lost to Xavier, Northwestern needed OT to beat Columbia of the Ivy League) and Duquesne beat Penn State by 26.

5) Cameron Maybin had a nice year for the Braves LY, his reward was getting dealt back to his original team the Tigers Friday, and Atlanta didn't get much for him. One of the fascinating things about baseball is how different people see the same things but draw different conclusions from them.

When Detroit got rid of Maybin ten years ago, he was part of the package that brought Miguel Cabrera to Motown, pretty good deal for the Tigers.

4) Rumors have Giants competing with the Dodgers for Zack Greinke's services in the free agent market; either that, or they're just trying to drive the price up, though the Dodgers seem to have an unlimited budget- they were paying $88M LY to guys who weren't even on their team.

3) A's signed 35-year old Rich Hill to a $6M contract for next year; Hill made zero big league starts from 2010-14, then started four games for Boston in September and went 2-1, 1.55, which paid off with a $6M deal from my favorite team. Oy.

2) Air Force 37, Boise State 30-- First time since 1993 Boise State lost home games on consecutive weekends.

1) Raptors beat Lakers last night, but Toronto center Jonas Valanciunas broke his hand and will miss some time......Golden State beat the Bulls; not sure if they're ever going to lose a game.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, November 21


Sacramento @ Orlando

Game 701-702
November 21, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
115.616
Orlando
114.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
191
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+2); N/A

Milwaukee @ Indiana

Game 703-704
November 21, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
116.312
Indiana
117.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
189
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+5); Under

Atlanta @ Cleveland

Game 705-706
November 21, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
117.151
Cleveland
125.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 8 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-5 1/2); N/A

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 707-708
November 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
105.218
Miami
122.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 17
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 13 1/2
192 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-13 1/2); Over

Washington @ Detroit

Game 709-710
November 21, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.404
Detroit
119.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
194
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3); N/A

New York @ Houston

Game 711-712
November 21, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.864
Houston
118.829
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 5
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5); Under

Memphis @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
November 21, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.925
San Antonio
129.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 10
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 7 1/2
189 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-7 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, November 21

Hot teams
-- Magic won five of last seven games (0-2HF).
-- Pacers won seven of their last nine games (1-2HF).
-- Cavaliers are 6-0 at home, 3-3 as home favorites.
-- Wizards won last two games, by 10-29 points (0-2AU). Detroit won its last two games, by 5-10 (0-2HF).
-- Miami won four of its last five games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Knicks won last three games, covered last six (5-1AU).
-- Grizzlies won their last four games (1-2AU). Spurs won six of their last seven games (3-2HF).

Cold teams
-- Kings lost all four road games (2-2AU).
-- Milwaukee lost four of its last five games (3-3AU).
-- Hawks lost three of their last four games (1-0AU).
-- 76ers are 0-13, 3-3 as road underdogs.
-- Rockets lost five of their last six games (0-6HF).

Series records
-- Kings won five of last six games with Orlando.
-- Bucks lost eight of last ten games with Indiana.
-- Cavaliers swept Atlanta 4-0 in LY's playoffs (3-1 vs spread).
-- Wizards won four of last six games with Detroit.
-- Heat won three of last four games with Philly (2-1-1 vs spread).
-- Knicks lost last ten games with Houston (2-8 vs spread).
-- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Memphis.

Totals
-- Last three Orlando games went over total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games stayed under; six of Cavaliers' last seven games went over
-- Six of last eight Washington games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Miami games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in New York's last ten games.
-- Three of last four Memphis games went over.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Saturday, November 21

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games on the road
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DETROIT
Washington is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Washington

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. HOUSTON
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games when playing New York

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Saturday
November 21, 2015


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 12-0-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Jan 05, 2013 as a favorite with at most one day of rest off a loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pistons are 12-0 OU (14.46 ppg) since Apr 09, 2012 with at most one day of rest after a game in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 11-0 OU (14.09 ppg) since Apr 08, 2015 after John Wall had a positive plus/minus.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-11-1 ATS (-6.21 ppg) since Mar 01, 2013 with at most one day of rest after a double digit win at home in which they scored 10 or fewer fast break points.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-10 OU (-6.45 ppg) since Jan 27, 2015 after Marc Gasol had a double double in a win.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 21

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SACRAMENTO (4 - 9) at ORLANDO (6 - 6) - 11/21/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-64 ATS (-29.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 56-86 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (5 - 7) at INDIANA (7 - 5) - 11/21/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 131-175 ATS (-61.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 184-227 ATS (-65.7 Units) after a division game since 1996.
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games this season.
INDIANA is 49-24 ATS (+22.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (9 - 5) at CLEVELAND (9 - 3) - 11/21/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 61-47 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (0 - 13) at MIAMI (7 - 4) - 11/21/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 109-144 ATS (-49.4 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 114-152 ATS (-53.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 4) at DETROIT (7 - 5) - 11/21/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 97-137 ATS (-53.7 Units) in November games since 1996.
DETROIT is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (7 - 6) at HOUSTON (5 - 8) - 11/21/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 292-230 ATS (+39.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (9 - 3) - 11/21/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 912-795 ATS (+37.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 722-613 ATS (+47.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 464-386 ATS (+39.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 189-133 ATS (+42.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 128-90 ATS (+29.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 144-108 ATS (+25.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SAC at ORL 05:00 PM

SAC +1.5 DOUBLE PLAY

O 209.0 DOUBLE PLAY


MIL at IND 07:00 PM

MIL +5.0

U 193.5


WAS at DET 07:30 PM

DET -3.0 DOUBLE PLAY

O 205.5


ATL at CLE 07:30 PM

ATL +5.5

O 198.5


PHI at MIA 08:00 PM

MIA -14.0

U 194.0


NY at HOU 08:00 PM

NY +4.5 TRIPLE PLAY

U 201.5


MEM at SA 08:30 PM

MEM +7.5 DOUBLE PLAY

U 190.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 11 season record: 30-29-2

6) Broncos +1 (404)-- Osweiler getting first NFL start in his fourth year.

5) Vikings -1 (409)-- Minnesota covered its last eight games.

4) Bengals +5 (410)-- Long trip on short week after first loss.

3) Packers +1 (414)-- Lot of opinions on this game, both ways.

2) Jets -2 (514)-- Fitzpatrick had left thumb operated on nine days ago.

1) Cowboys even (515)-- As you can tell, Romo is back at QB.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) Michigan State 17, Ohio State 14-- When was last time Buckeyes had five first downs in an entire game? Spartans held Ohio State to 132 yards on 45 plays; they've beaten Michigan/Ohio State without leading at any time before the last play. After the game, rats started jumping off the Ohio State ship (see quote above).

12) Baylor 45, Oklahoma State 35-- Bears hadn't won in Stillwater since 1939, but they were the dominant team in this game; It is interesting how a guy like RGIII was such a great player at Baylor but when he goes to the pros, he is useless; is Art Briles that great a coach that he puts his players in a position to win better than the coaches in the NFL? When the #3 QB comes in and looks like Dan Fouts......

11) Ole Miss 38, LSU 17-- Wheels have fallen off for the Tigers, who lost last three games and looked totally disorganized at times in this game- they've got 40 guys in the NFL, most of any school-- as a result are very, very young in some spots, their main weakness is at QB. How that kid still plays is beyond me; he isn't good.

10) Oregon 48, USC 28-- Vernon Adams threw six TDs, had five incompletions; that is usually a good sign you're going to win- they averaged over 16 ypa, while Trojans had 12 penalties for 124 yards.

9) North Carolina 30, Virginia Tech 27 OT-- When Tar Heels lost their opener to South Carolina, who would've thought UNC wouldn't lose again while Spurrier would not finish season? This was an emotional day in Blacksburg, Frank Beamer's last game at Virginia Tech after 29 years.

8) Northern Iowa 71, North Carolina 67-- Tar Heels' basketball team has a tradition of playing a road game near home of their older players- this game was for Marcus Paige, but he is hurt and hasn't played yet, which cost them here. Good win for MVC and for anyone who beats Northern Iowa this season, as far as power ratings go.

7) Some other basketball doings Saturday:
Davidson 82, Charleston 81-- Rick Barry's son Canyon had 31 for Charleston, is averaging 28 ppg.......Little Rock 49, San Diego State 43-- Ugly offense for Aztecs.

6) Northwestern 13, Wisconsin 7-- Not often a team is -5 in turnovers, goes 2-13 on third down and only loses 13-7. This game was so bad that Badger fans were throwing snowballs at the Wisconsin cheerleaders in the second half.

5) UConn 20, Houston 17-- Cougars raised their coach's salary 250% this week and then promptly lost for first time. Still amazes me that UConn and Houston are in the same league-- thats an NFL-length road trip for a game.

4) As for the SEC, why on God's green earth do they play I-AA teams? Alabama should be embarrassed to play a I-AA team, it is ripping off fans who pay to go to the games and it makes zero sense. Then South Carolina loses to The Citadel- no bueno.

Florida 20, Florida Atlantic 14 OT
Georgia 23, Georgia Southern 17 OT-- Whichever league is best is cyclical, lot of it depends on which teams don't lose guys early to the NFL, but I don't want to hear boo about how great the SEC is this year, because it isn't.

Their games are still lot of fun to watch on TV, but the quality of the QBs in the SEC stinks except for Prescott, Kelly and the kid at Arkansas. Going OT with teams from the Sun Belt and C-USA is embarrassing, though not nearly as bad as losing to I-AA Citadel, like South Carolina did.

3) Kansas State 38, Iowa State 35-- Cyclones had the ball and 35-28 lead with 1:31 left and K-State was down to one timeout. Any idiot knows you take a knee three times, punt the ball with less than 0:20 left and go home happy, but no, they run the ball and fumble. K-State ties the game, kicks off and Iowa State fumbles again. Oy.

I'm not a big "fire the coach" guy, but Paul Rhoads deserves to get the ziggy after this horrendous exhibition of coaching malpractice.

2) South Florida 65, Cincinnati 27-- Imagine betting on Cincinnati, laying 2.5 points and watching them trail 51-3 at the half? Tommy Tuberville expressed interest in the vacant Miami job; I'm guessing this will get his name scratched off that list.

1) Mississippi State 51, Arkansas 50-- Razorbacks scored 50+ points in three of last five games, didn't win any of them in regulation- they won twice in OT.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 22

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TORONTO (8 - 6) at LA CLIPPERS (6 - 6) - 11/22/2015, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 204-257 ATS (-78.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PHOENIX (7 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 11) - 11/22/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 101-71 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 54-29 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 63-44 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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BOSTON (7 - 5) at BROOKLYN (2 - 11) - 11/22/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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DALLAS (9 - 4) at OKLAHOMA CITY (7 - 6) - 11/22/2015, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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GOLDEN STATE (14 - 0) at DENVER (6 - 7) - 11/22/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 61-41 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PORTLAND (5 - 9) at LA LAKERS (2 - 10) - 11/22/2015, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 138-179 ATS (-58.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons