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  • #76
    Sweet 16's Invaluable Players

    March 23, 2015

    Maryland’s Melo Trimble fell to the ground like he’d been hit with the force of Wladimir Klitschko’s stiffest jab. It wasn’t Dr. Steelhammer, but rather 6-9, 235-pound Nathan Adrian who delivered the blow, a devastating shoulder-led body check that should’ve been whistled an offensive foul but wasn’t because college refs, as you’ve seen, are the worst.

    Trimble wasn’t able to return, diagnosed with a head injury. He spent the rest of Sunday evening’s NCAA Tournament game on the bench, head tucked inside his jersey in despair. The Mountaineers went on to a 69-59 victory, marching on to the Sweet 16.

    Hope you were able to get an in-game play in once it was determined he wouldn’t be back, since the Terps had no chance of dealing with West Virginia’s pressure without him. Despite being just a freshman, Trimble carved out a place as one of college basketball’s most invaluable pieces. His unflappable demeanor, deft passing and feathery shooting touch had carried Maryand to a second-place finish in the Big Ten when the preseason media poll picked them to finish 10th in their first season in the conference.

    Tenth? They were in the country's top 10 most of the season. Coaches voted Trimble First Team All-Big Ten. He was that good. The Terps were predictably finished without their best player.

    The remaining 16 teams all have a catalyst they can’t be without either. Here’s a ranking of them, so if one lands in foul trouble or winds up flat on his back via crippling moving screen, you can move in and take advantage.

    16. Xavier- Matt Stainbrook: The Musketeers run most of their offense through their leading scorer and rebounder. At 6-10 and over 260 pounds, he’s an imposing presence who commands a double-team against smaller defenders. He’ll be Xavier’s backbone against Arizona.

    15. Oklahoma- Buddy Hield: He’s shot 10-for-29 in this tournament, but is still the most dynamic athlete the Sooners throw out there. Right now, he’s settling for far too many jumpers and not taking advantage of his physical gifts. That must change against Sparty.

    14. Michigan State- Denzel Valentine: Although you can make a great case for Branden Dawson and Travis Trice, Valentine is a unique player who seemingly makes everything run more smoothly as the Spartans best passer. Because he’s 6-5 and built solidly, he’s a walking matchup problem.

    13. Gonzaga- Kyle Wiltjer: The Kentucky transfer is 18-for-24 so far in these NCAAs, including 6-for-9 from 3-point range. Being 6-10 doesn’t hurt either, since he’s likely to have to do some banging against UCLA’s bigs. Despite many other candidates, he’s been unquestionably the best of the Zags all season.

    12. Wichita State- Fred Van Vleet: His regular-season numbers were underwhelming given the expectations, but as expected, one of the country’s top floor generals has turned his game up 10 notches. He dominated Kansas with 17-6-6 after dropping 27 points on Indiana. This is who we expected to see.

    11. Arizona- T.J. McConnell: Stanley Johnson is the top-five pick and there are other standouts like Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Brandon Ashley, but this particular bunch of ‘Cats can’t function without McConnell at the controls. The veteran fifth-year senior put Arizona on his back when Ohio State threatened most, leaving the court for all of one minute. His 19 points were the second-most he’s scored this season. Every one of them were necessary, which he knew.

    10. N.C. State- Trevor Lacey:Lightning-quick point guard Kat Barber and powerful bigs Abdul-Malik Abu and Beejay Anya have been critical x-factors, but the Wolfpack really thrive when their Alabama transfer has it going. He’s the main 3-point threat, but far from just a shooter, coming up with nine boards against LSU and dishing out four assists in each NCAA win.

    9. Louisville- Terry Rozier: Prized power forward Montrezl Harrell is 1B, but it’s Rozier who has to key the press, run the offense and control the pace, not to mention likely being the primary scorer as he was against Northern Iowa. Most didn’t expect the Cardinals to handle UNI as easily as they did, which was only accomplished due to Rozier’s masterful 25-point, 5-rebound, 7-assist performance.

    8. Kentucky- Willie Cauley-Stein: The reason he’s so low on this list is because of the embarrassment of riches the ‘Cats have inside, but he’s still the best of the bunch. Although freshman Karl-Anthony Towns is a beast in post and Kentucky’s top offensive player, making history hinges on defense, which no one delivers quite like Cauley-Stein. He’s second to Towns in blocks, but his mobility makes him the ideal choice to show against opposing guards, using his length to bog down offenses. UK isn’t quite as stifling when he sits.

    7. West Virginia- Devin Williams: The Mountaineers have proven they can compete without senior guards Juwan Staten, so Williams is by far the guy they can’t be without most. That could be an issue, since the 6-9, 255-pound sophomore is foul-prone. He’s critical to surviving against Kentucky’s trees and has stepped up in the postseason, averaging 18.3 points and 9.8 rebounds when you combine the Big 12 and NCAA Tourneys.

    6. UCLA- Bryce Alford: Kevon Looney and Norman Powell are more talented, but the Bruins are here because of the coach’s son. Not only is Alford running the show at the point, he’s shooting 12-for-16 (75 percent) from 3-point range, including the controversial goaltending-aided one. Averaging 24.5 through two games, staying up on Alford is going to be a key part of Gonzaga’s game plan, leaving more room for other Bruins to operate.

    5. Notre Dame- Jerian Grant: There’s nothing on the floor he doesn’t do for the Fighting Irish. While Pat Connaughton is similarly essential, Grant is averaging 16.5 points, four rebounds and five assists, numbers right in line with his season averages. He’s the heartbeat for Mike Brey’s squad.

    4. Utah- Jakob Poeltl: The Austrian 7-footer will tangle with Duke’s Jahlil Okafor and has been a force in the post. Defensively, he’s been the anchor, while also finishing 27 of his last 35 field goal attempts, mostly on dunks and putbacks. Don’t let that fool you. He’s skilled.

    3. Wisconsin- Frank Kaminsky: The Badgers derive their confidence from the likely National Player of the Year. He’s such a difficult matchup for opposing bigs that he makes an offense you think would be stagnant dynamic. The Badgers are averaging 79 points per game in these NCAAs thanks to Kaminsky being 16-for-27 from the floor, averaging 23.5 points and 9.5 boards per game. Given North Carolina’s size, he’ll need to be great for Wisconsin to avoid the upset.

    2. Duke- Jahlil Okafor: The likely No. 1 pick in the NBA draft takes the Blue Devils from good to great. He’s risen to the occasion in the postseason, averaging 25 points on 34-for-45 shooting over the last three games. Because of how unstoppable he’s been in the post, Duke has yet to be challenged.

    1. North Carolina- Marcus Paige: Not only would the Tar Heels have lost to Arkansas had he not gotten it together offensively, they would have done so in embarrassing fashion. Paige took over with 13 of UNC's 17 points during a stretch where they pulled away from a Razorbacks team that had the pace where they wanted it as Paige’s teammates carelessly threw the ball all over the place. He took control, settled things down and is the brains of Roy Williams’ operation. The Tar Heels have no shot against Wisconsin unless the top point guard in the country is right.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #77
      Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

      Current odds to win the Masters in a couple weeks.........

      6-1-- Rory McIlroy-- Currently 116th on World Money List.

      10-1-- Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth- They can't serve Waffle House at Champions' Dinner; Augusta National doesn't deal with brand name foods.

      12-1-- Jason Day-- Playing better this year becase he is healthy.

      15-1-- Adam Scott, Dustin Johnson-- Scott is currently 75th on that $$$ list.

      25-1-- Mickelson-Fowler-Stenson-Snedeker-Walker-Reed

      30-1-- Justin Rose-Matt Kuchar-- Anyone know which network carries Masters? They really should advertise more.



      **********

      Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

      13) You meet all kinds of interesting people hanging around a sportsbook or a casino bar; this week has been no exception. I've met a homeless guy who spends his afternoons drinking free beer by the sportsbook, an elderly Wisconsin fan, a gambler from Illinois who was the best story teller I've ever met-- I've learned a lot in the last eight days-- hopefully it'll make this website more fun for you to read.

      12) College basketball coaching carousel is starting to spin: rumors have Arizona State getting rid of Herb Sendek today; SE Missouri and Bradley fired their coaches, and an interesting hire was Steve McClain at Ill-Chicago. He was pretty good while at Wyoming and has been an assistant at Indiana ever since.

      11) BJ Johnson transfers from Syracuse to LaSalle; he had 19 points in a February game with Notre Dame, but scored only 4.2 ppg this season. Couple kids transferred out of South Florida; Anthony Collins only has one year left wherever he goes.

      10) Murray State 83, Tulsa 62-- Racers looked like a top 20 team in crushing Tulsa on its home court- they made 14-25 from arc, led by 18 at halftime and won easily even though star Cameron Payne fouled out with 8:00 left.

      9) Mike Brey's mother, who passed away Saturday, swam in the 1956 Olympics and once held the world record in the butterfly.

      8) Louisiana Tech 84, Texas A&M 72-- Another mid-major spanks an SEC team on its home court; Tech coach Michaeel White is son of Duke's AD, brother of Buffalo's AD- he has a brother-in-law working with him in Ruston.

      7) Bucks-Nets have played three times this season; two of three games went to triple overtime. Jason Kidd jumping from Brooklyn to Milwaukee has already made the games emotionally charged, but two triple OT games in same year makes it moreso.

      6) Celtics are currently #8 seed in the East; they're eight games under .500. Suns and Pelicans are both over .500 but out of the playoff picture right now. Seems wrong.

      5) Relaxed Monday afternoon, watched the A's play in the South Point sportsbook; weird seeing Brandon Moss play against the A's. He helped them so much last three seasons. $1.25 hot dogs by the sportsbook are tremendous, by the way.

      4) New York City talk show nitwits were making a big stink out of the Mets starting Bartolo Colon in the season opener. Anyone with half a brain realizes the Mets are going to limit Matt Harvey's innings by stretching out his starts where they can, so they don't have to shut him down in September, the way Washington did with Stephen Strasburg a few years ago. but everyone is a critic, so......

      3) Alabama is poised to offer Wichita State's Gregg Marshall $3M a year to coach the Crimson Tide; going to be very interesting; a) if he takes the job or not b) where they turn if he declines their offer. Nick Saban casts a very large shadow.

      2) ESPN's 30 for 30 show on former NBA player Chris Herren and his fight against substance abuse is just tremendous television. Very very sad in spots; the story is heading to a happy conclusion, but obviously it is a daily struggle he fights. If you haven't seen it is really is worth watching-- an amazing true story.

      1) Had the pleasure to meet website readers Mike/Martha/Walt this weekend; Mike is a sharp gambler who scored big at the baccarat table before leaving town. Walt is a big Notre Dame fan, but I won't hold that against him. Really nice people; it was a pleasure to hang out and shoot the breeze with them.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #78
        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Tuesday, March 24

        NIT games
        Miami won five of last six games, including three of last four true road games. Richmond won eight of last nine games, but 0-2 vs ACC teams this season, losing to NC State by 12, Wake Forest by 2; Spiders needed OT to get by Arizona State last game- they trailed 60-57 with 2;50 left. Richmond won its last six home games. A-14 teams are 4-2 vs spread in postseason games, 1-1 as favorites. ACC underdogs are 2-0 vs spread.

        Vanderbilt won seven of its last eight games, is 12-3 outside SEC; Vandy won last three road games, at Tennessee/Ole Miss/St Mary's. Stanford is 3-4 in its last seven games but won five of last six at home; Cardinal has big edge in esperience- Vandy is 5th-youngest team in US. Pac-12 home teams are 9-2 vs spread this postseason, 5-2 if favored. SEC underdogs are 3-4 against spread this postseason.




        NCAAB

        Tuesday, March 24

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        MIAMI vs. RICHMOND
        The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 15 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Richmond's last 5 games at home
        Richmond is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

        See more trends!
        MARCH 24, 9:00 PM
        VANDERBILT vs. STANFORD
        Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Vanderbilt is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
        Stanford is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Stanford's last 8 games at home


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NCAAB

        Tuesday, March 24


        Underdogs continue to reward bettors in CBI

        Underdogs went 3-1 against the spread in four games on the board in the College Basketball Invitational Monday.

        The 3-1 ATS record moves the underdog's overall record to 10-1-1 ATS in all games in the CBI thus far.

        Loyola-Chicago has been the only favorite to cover thus far, defeating Oral Roberts 86-78 and cashing as a 6-point favorite Monday night.

        There are no games on the board Tuesday as the CBI takes a brief hiatus before resuming Wednesday.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #79
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Tuesday, March 24

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VANDERBILT (21 - 13) at STANFORD (21 - 13) - 3/24/2015, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MIAMI (23 - 12) at RICHMOND (21 - 13) - 3/24/2015, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MIAMI is 125-85 ATS (+31.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
          MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 111-74 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
          MIAMI is 111-74 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
          MIAMI is 123-85 ATS (+29.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
          MIAMI is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
          RICHMOND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
          RICHMOND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #80
            Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

            Current odds to win the college football championship next fall.........

            7-2-- Ohio State-- Biggest problem is they have too many quarterbacks.

            13-2-- TCU-- Horned Frogs are primed for a big season.

            7-1-- Alabama-- By then, Tide fans will forget who they hired as basketball coach.

            15-1-- Baylor-- Art Briles is breaking in a new QB this year.

            18-1-- Michigan State-- Mark Dantonio is America's most underrated coach.

            20-1-- Clemson/LSU-- Both Death Valleys will be tough places to visit.



            **********

            Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind........

            13) One of highlights of trip was watching Golden State hold the Wizards to one basket in third quarter Monday night, as some know-it-all nitwit behind me cursed out the Wizards out because he bet on them. Then the jackass called his wife and told her he had to work late, as he went off to a strip club with his buddy. What a gem.

            12) Over last eight years, underdogs are 23-9 vs spread in regional semifinals of the NCAA tournament. Having time to prepare helps the underdog.

            11) New York Rangers are now 17-4-3 since goalie Henrik Lundqvist got hurt; they'll have an interesting decision to make when the playoffs roll around.

            10) Miami 63, Richmond 61-- Hurricanes were down 18 at one point.

            9) Cubs want to send 3B phenom Kris Bryant down to AAA for a few weeks so they keep him under club control for one extra year; problem is, the kid has nine HRs this spring and if the Cubs are really serious about contending this serason, they need to put their best club on the field from Day One- that team would appear to include Bryant.

            8) After this season, college basketball players won't be able to transfer and become immediately eligible, if they've already graduated college- that rule was becoming a problem for mid-majors, with kids skipping out for better leagues.

            7) Pitt's women's team got a technical foul before the game for not putting its lineup in on time for a tournament game in Tennessee. How many assistant coaches you think they have? Talk about incompetence.

            6) Saw a guy score from second base without a throw on a wild pitch in the Angel-Ranger game Tuesday; we're entering dog days of spring training for position players; spring training is as long as it is to get the pitchers ready to go.

            5) How does the coach of an undefeated team not win Coach of ther Year? Don't tell me Kentucky has great players; who do you think recruited them and yes, recruiting is a big part of coaching, maybe the biggest part.

            4) Brett Favre is the only QB in NFL history to start all 16 games after he turned 39 years old. Peyton Manning turned 39 this week.

            3) Dodgers signed Cuban 2B Olivera to a six-year, $62M contract, even though he is rumored to have a bad elbow that will prevent him from playing 3B.

            2) I highly recommend Steak 'n Shake in the South Point casino; its tremendous!!!.

            1) Golden State is having a great season, but their first round playoff opponent could easily be Oklahoma City; if Durant comes back for that series, how confident are you that the Warriors will advance to the second round?
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #81
              NCAAB
              Long Sheet

              Wednesday, March 25

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              LOUISIANA TECH (27 - 8) at TEMPLE (25 - 10) - 3/25/2015, 9:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              TEMPLE is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
              LOUISIANA TECH is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
              LOUISIANA TECH is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
              TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              MURRAY ST (29 - 5) at OLD DOMINION (26 - 7) - 3/25/2015, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              MURRAY ST is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
              OLD DOMINION is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons.
              OLD DOMINION is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
              MURRAY ST is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              MURRAY ST is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
              MURRAY ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
              OLD DOMINION is 119-161 ATS (-58.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
              OLD DOMINION is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              OLD DOMINION is 2-0 against the spread versus MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons
              OLD DOMINION is 1-1 straight up against MURRAY ST over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              TENN-MARTIN (20 - 12) at E KENTUCKY (21 - 11) - 3/25/2015, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              TENN-MARTIN is 67-97 ATS (-39.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
              TENN-MARTIN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games this season.
              TENN-MARTIN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road lined games this season.
              TENN-MARTIN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
              E KENTUCKY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
              E KENTUCKY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
              E KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              E KENTUCKY is 2-1 against the spread versus TENN-MARTIN over the last 3 seasons
              E KENTUCKY is 2-1 straight up against TENN-MARTIN over the last 3 seasons
              1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              VERMONT (20 - 13) at LA-MONROE (23 - 12) - 3/25/2015, 8:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              LA-MONROE is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
              LA-MONROE is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
              LA-MONROE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
              LA-MONROE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              SEATTLE (18 - 15) at LOYOLA-IL (21 - 13) - 3/25/2015, 8:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              LOYOLA-IL is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
              LOYOLA-IL is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
              LOYOLA-IL is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              W VIRGINIA (25 - 9) vs. KENTUCKY (36 - 0) - 3/26/2015, 9:45 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              W VIRGINIA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.


              Head-to-Head Series History
              There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




              NCAAB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Wednesday, March 25

              NIT games
              Temple was 34-49 on foul line in 82-75 win over Louisiana Tech Nov 17 in Philly; Bulldogs were 12-26 on line in game they led 38-34 at the half. Owls won six of last seven games, winning first two NIT games by 6-13 points. Tech won 10 of last 12 games; they won 84-72 at Texas A&M Monday nite, making 11-27 on arc in game they trailed by 7 late in first half. A-14 teams are 4-3 against spread this postseason, 1-2 as favorites. C-USA teams are 4-5, 3-2 as underdogs.

              Murray State was 14-25 on arc in easy 83-62 win at Tulsa Monday nite; now they travel to Virginia to play Old Dominion team that won eight of last nine games, losing to Middle Tennessee in C-USA tourney. Racers won last eleven true road games, are 3-0 vs C-USA teams, beating Middle Tennessee by 19, WKU by 12, UTEP by 15. C-USA teams are 4-5 vs spread this postseason, 1-3 as favorites; OVC teams are 5-1 against the spread as underdogs.

              CBI games
              Long road trip for Vermont after its 78-71 home win over Radford couple nights ago; Catamounts scored 81.5 ppg in winning first two CBA games, with impressive win at Hofstra. UL-Monroe won four of last five games, winning first two CBI games by total of six points. Skyhawks won five of their last six home games, losing only to Georgia State. Sun Belt teams are 5-1 vs spread this postseason, 1-0 as favorites. America East teams are 2-2 vs spread, 2-1 as underdogs.

              Long road trip for Seattle after they beat Booker-less Colorado 72-65 at home Monday night; Redhawks won seven of last nine games, but lost last five true road games- their last true road win was Jan 22. Loyola Chi won five of last six games, winning first two CBI games 3-8 points. WAC teams are 1-2 vs spread as underdogs this postseason; teams from mvc are 6-4 vs spread, 4-4 when favored.

              CIT tournament
              Eastern Kentucky won 66-58 in OVC opener at Tenn-Martin Jan 8, as Colonels turned ball over only five times (+6), shot 67% inside arc, 22-27 on foul line. EKU won 10 of its last 12 games with both lossrs coming vs Belmont; Colonels won their last nine home games. UT-Martin won its first two CIT games by 25-11 points, both on road; they've won four of last five road games overall.




              NCAAB

              Wednesday, March 25

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              7:00 PM
              TENNESSEE-MARTIN vs. EASTERN KENTUCKY
              Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Kentucky
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee-Martin's last 7 games on the road
              Eastern Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Kentucky's last 5 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 25, 7:00 PM
              MURRAY STATE vs. OLD DOMINION
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Murray State's last 8 games on the road
              Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games

              See more trends!
              MARCH 25, 8:00 PM
              VERMONT vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
              No trends available
              Louisiana-Monroe is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games at home

              See more trends!
              MARCH 25, 8:00 PM
              SEATTLE vs. LOYOLA OF CHICAGO
              Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Loyola of Chicago's last 5 games at home
              Loyola of Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

              See more trends!
              MARCH 25, 9:00 PM
              LOUISIANA TECH vs. TEMPLE
              Louisiana Tech is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games on the road
              Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 6 games
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #82
                NCAAB

                Wednesday, March 25


                Underdogs scorching ATS in NIT lately

                Underdogs posted a record of 2-0 against the spread in the two NIT games Tuesday evening, making it five straight ATS wins for the dog in the tournament.

                Richmond closed as 2.5-point favorites against Miami, but lost 63-61. In Tuesday's other matchup, Stanford closed as 4.5-point favorites over Vanderbilt and were victorious by a score of 78-75.

                To date in the tournament, underdogs are 13-12-1 ATS.

                There are a pair of games Wednesday as Old Dominion hosts Murray State and Louisiana Tech visits Temple.


                Wichita State moves to -2 after opening at Pick

                After many offshore sportsbooks opened the Wichita State Shockers-Notre Dame Fighting Irish Sweet 16 matchup as a Pick em, they've adjusted to the former as 2-point favorites.

                The Shockers, 1-1 against the spread in two tournament games, dispatched Kansas 78-65 to get into the Sweet 16. The Irish defeated Northeastern and Butler in the tournament, but have yet to cover a spread, winning both games by a combined seven points.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #83
                  2015 NIT, CBI, CIT Results

                  March 24, 2015


                  National Invitation Tournament (NIT)

                  REGION 1 - OLD DOMINION
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 18 Charleston Southern at Old Dominion (-13) 65-56 Underdog-Under (142)
                  Mar. 18 Green Bay at Illinois State (-2.5) 69-56 Favorite-Under (139.5)
                  Mar. 17 William & Mary at Tulsa (-7) 70-67 Underdog-Under (142.5)
                  Mar. 17 UTEP at Murray State (-5.5) 81-66 Favorite-Under (151)
                  Mar. 23 Murray State (+3) at Tulsa 83-62 Underdog-Over (143)
                  Mar. 23 Illinois State at Old Dominion (-4.5) 50-49 Underdog-Under (128.5)
                  Mar. 25 Murray State at Old Dominion - -

                  REGION 2 - RICHMOND
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 18 St. Francis Brooklyn at Richmond (-10) 84-74 Push-Over (132)
                  Mar. 18 Arizona State (+1.5) at UConn 68-61 Underdog-Under (134.5)
                  Mar. 17 North Carolina Central at Miami, Fl. (-8.5) 75-71 Underdog-Over (128)
                  Mar. 17 Illinois at Alabama (-2) 79-58 Favorite-Over (135.5)
                  Mar. 21 Alabama at Miami, Fl. (-4.5) 73-66 Favorite-Over (135.5)
                  Mar. 22 Arizona State at Richmond (-4.5) 76-70 (OT) Favorite-Over (136)
                  Mar. 24 Miami, Fl. (+2.5) at Richmond 63-61 Underdog-Under (133)

                  REGION 3 - TEMPLE
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 18 Bucknell at Temple (-12.5) 73-67 Underdog-Under (144)
                  Mar. 17 George Washington (+4.5) at Pittsburgh 60-54 Underdog-Under (135)
                  Mar. 17 Montana at Texas A&M (-10) 81-64 Favorite-Over (134.5)
                  Mar. 17 Central Michigan at Louisiana Tech (-6.5) 89-79 Favorite-Over (154.5)
                  Mar. 22 George Washington at Temple (-4.5) 90-77 Favorite-Over (128.5)
                  Mar. 23 Louisiana Tech (+3) at Texas A&M 84-72 Underdog-Over (143)
                  Mar. 25 Louisiana Tech at Temple - -

                  REGION 4 - COLORADO STATE
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 18 South Dakota State (+8) at Colorado State 86-76 Underdog-Over (153)
                  Mar. 18 Vanderbilt (+3) at Saint Mary's 75-64 Underdog-Over (143.5)
                  Mar. 17 UC Davis at Stanford (-8.5) 77-64 Favorite-Under (151)
                  Mar. 17 Iona at Rhode Island (-7) 88-75 Favorite-Over (153.5)
                  Mar. 20 South Dakota State at Vanderbilt (-8.5) 92-77 Favorite-Over (148)
                  Mar. 22 Rhode Island at Stanford (-5) 74-65 Favorite-Under (143)
                  Mar. 24 Vanderbilt at Stanford (-4.5) 78-75 Underdog-Over (146)

                  SEMIFINALS & FINALS
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 31 Miami, Fl. vs. TBA - -
                  Mar. 31 Stanford vs. TBA - -
                  Apr. 2 - - -

                  College Basketball Invitational (CBI)

                  FIRST ROUND
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 17 Rider at Loyola Chicago (-5.5) 62-59 Underdog-Under (130)
                  Mar. 18 Gardner-Webb at Colorado (-11) 87-78 Underdog-Over (159)
                  Mar. 18 Pepperdine at Seattle (+5) 62-45 Underdog-Under (126)
                  Mar. 18 Stony Brook at Mercer (-2) 72-70 Push-Over (132)
                  Mar. 18 Eastern Michigan at Louisiana Monroe (+1.5) 71-67 Underdog-Over (131.5)
                  Mar. 18 Vermont (+6) at Hofstra 85-81 Underdog-Over (154)
                  Mar. 18 Radford (+1) at Delaware State 78-57 Underdog-Under (154)
                  Mar. 18 UC Santa Barbara at Oral Roberts (+3) 91-87 Underdog-OVer (144.5)

                  QUARTERFINALS, SEMIFINALS, FINALS
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 23 Radford at Vermont (-8.5) 78-71 Underdog-Over (140.5)
                  Mar. 23 UL Monroe (+4.5) at Mercer 71-69 Underdog-OVer (130.5)
                  Mar. 23 Oral Roberts at Loyola-Chicago (-6) 86-78 Favorite-Over (141)
                  Mar. 23 Colorado at Seattle (+5.5) 72-65 Underdog-Under (141.5)
                  Mar. 25 Vermont vs. UL-Monroe - -
                  Mar. 25 Loyola-Chicago vs. Seattle - -
                  Mar. 30 - - -
                  Apr. 1 - - -

                  CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT)

                  FIRST ROUND
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 16 New Hampshire at NJIT (-6.5) 84-77 Favorite-Over (132)
                  Mar. 17 Eastern Illinois (+7) at Oakland 97-91 Underdog-Over (147)
                  Mar. 17 James Madison at USC Upstate (-5.5) 73-72 Underdog-Over (144)
                  Mar. 17 Bowling Green (-5.5) at Saint Francis (PA) 67-64 Underdog-Under (135)
                  Mar. 17 Norfolk State at Eastern Kentucky (-10.5) 81-75 Underdog-Over (139)
                  Mar. 17 UL-Lafayette (-2.5) at Incarnate Word 83-68 Favorite-Under (162)
                  Mar. 18 UMES at High Point (-8) 70-64 Underdog-Under (149)
                  Mar. 18 Dartmouth at Canisius (-3) 87-72 Favorite-Over (131.5)
                  Mar. 18 Texas A&M Corpus Christi (+6.5) at Florida Gulf Coast 75-69 Underdog-Over (135)
                  Mar. 18 Cleveland State (+1) at Western Michigan 86-57 Underdog-Over (140.5)
                  Mar. 18 Kent State (+4) at Middle Tennessee 68-56 Underdog-Under (129)
                  Mar. 18 UNC Wilmington at Sam Houston State (-8) 87-71 Favorite-Over (142)
                  Mar. 18 Northern Arizona (-2) at Grand Canyon 75-70 Favorite-Under (151)
                  Mar. 18 IPFW at Evansville (-7) 82-77 Underdog-Over (150)
                  Mar. 18 Sacramento State (-2) at Portland 73-66 Favorite-Under (150)
                  Mar. 19 UT Martin (+2.5) at Northwestern State 104-79 Underdog-Over (176)

                  SECOND ROUND AND QUARTERFINALS
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 20 High Point at Eastern Kentucky (-5.5) 66-65 Underdog-Under (139.5)
                  Mar. 21 Canisius (+8) at Bowling Green 82-59 Underdog-Over (138)
                  Mar. 21 Tennessee-Martin (+3.5) at South Carolina Upstate 60-49 Underdog-Under (143)
                  Mar. 21 UL-Lafayette (+6.5) at Sam Houston State 71-70 Underdog-Under (148.5)
                  Mar. 21 Northern Arizona (+3.5) at Sacramento State 78-73 Underdog-Over (146)
                  Mar. 23 Cleveland State at NJIT (+3) 80-77 Underdog-Over (140)
                  Mar. 23 Evansville (-3) at Eastern Illinois 83-68 Favorite-Over (147)
                  Mar. 23 Kent State (-3) at Texas A&M Corpus Christi 69-65 Favorite-Under (135.5)

                  SEMIFINALS & FINALS
                  Date Matchup Score ATS Result
                  Mar. 31 - - -
                  Apr. 2 - - -
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

                    Current odds to win the college basketball championship...........

                    Kentucky, even-- Wager against them at your own peril.

                    Arizona, 11-2-- Good to have a solid senior point guard.

                    Wisconsin/Duke, both 8-1-- Lots of Badger fans here in Las Vegas.

                    Gonzaga 10-1-- Trying to get to first Final Four.

                    Michigan State, 12-1-- Four straight Sweet 16's, four straight bowl wins.

                    Utah, 20-1-- There is another Coach K making noise this March.


                    **********

                    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random stuff as I head on home

                    13) Over last four years, underdogs are 23-9 vs spread in this round of NCAAs, so you figure if someone is going to get Kentucky, it could be here. Having a lot of prep time to devise a unique strategy could be a reason why.

                    12) Over that same period, #1-seeds are 3-10 against the spread in this round.

                    11) Nevada hires Eric Musselman over Tony Barbee as its basketball coach, maybe because Musselman worked at LSU this year for Trent Johnson, who is one of the best coaches Nevada has had. Wolf Pack is going to move up in Mountain West.

                    10) Joakim Noah had 14 assists against Toronto last week, the first NBA center since 1990 with 14+ assists in a game.

                    9) Halftime score Wednesday in New York: Clippers 63, Knicks 33. Oy.

                    8) Iowa Hawkeyes are letting QB Jake Rudock transfer and play without sitting a year, quite an indictment, seeing as Rudock has been the Hawkeyes' starter the last two seasons and he is rumored to be heading to Big 14 rival Michigan.

                    7) Dalton State won the NAIA basketball championship, in only the second season since they revived their program after a 35-year hiatus. Thats hard to do.

                    6) Old Dominion 72, Murray State 69-- Wild game, with two 3-pointers made in last 0:03.5; Racers lost two games since Thanksgiving, both on banked-in 3-pointers.

                    5) Nothing against Belmont, but watching Murray State play twice this week, I'm feeling cheated they didn't play in NCAAs; think they could've made the Sweet 16, but thats the tightrope mid-majors walk in their conference tournaments.

                    4) A's sent reliever Ryan Cook to AAA, which is surpising; he's helped the ballclub a lot the last few years, but he's had a rough spring. I'm guessing there is going to be a pretty active shuttle between Oakland and their new AAA team in Nashville.

                    3) There is an Arena Football team here in Las Vegas this year, the third time the AFL has tried to find a home in the desert. Singer Vince Neil is the team's owner, joining Gene Simmons as an Arenaball owner.

                    2) Nothing is as uplifting as walking thru a casino just before midnight, and seeing a family of six trudging along, with the mom pushing the youngest in a stroller, while the other three urchins (none older than 10) follow the dad like little ducklings.

                    Start 'em early, people!!!!

                    1) I'm headimg home today after a terrific vacation at South Point, which is a very good place to stay. I highly recommend it........
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      NCAAB
                      Dunkel

                      Thursday, March 26

                      West Virginia vs Kentucky

                      Game 803-804
                      March 26, 2015 @ 9:45 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      West Virginia
                      67.841
                      Kentucky
                      82.214
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Kentucky
                      by 14 1/2
                      132
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Kentucky
                      by 13
                      136 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Kentucky
                      (-13); Under

                      Wichita State vs Notre Dame

                      Game 805-806
                      March 26, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Wichita State
                      73.508
                      Notre Dame
                      70.124
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Wichita State
                      by 3 1/2
                      133
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Wichita State
                      by 1
                      137 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Wichita State
                      (-1); Under

                      Xavier vs Arizona

                      Game 807-808
                      March 26, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Xavier
                      68.911
                      Arizona
                      76.968
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Arizona
                      by 8
                      139
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Arizona
                      by 11
                      136
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Xavier
                      (+11); Over

                      North Carolina vs Wisconsin

                      Game 809-810
                      March 26, 2015 @ 7:45 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      North Carolina
                      73.039
                      Wisconsin
                      75.880
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Wisconsin
                      by 3
                      146
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Wisconsin
                      by 6
                      142
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      North Carolina
                      (+6); Over

                      Evansville vs UL Lafayette

                      Game 811-812
                      March 26, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Evansville
                      55.921
                      UL Lafayette
                      57.907
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      UL Lafayette
                      by 2
                      158
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      UL Lafayette
                      by 3 1/2
                      154
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Evansville
                      (+3 1/2); Over



                      Friday, March 27

                      North Carolina State vs Louisville

                      Game 877-878
                      March 27, 2015 @ 7:35 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      North Carolina St
                      69.286
                      Louisville
                      65.134
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      North Carolina State
                      by 4
                      126
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Louisville
                      by 2 1/2
                      130
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      North Carolina St
                      (+2 1/2); Under

                      Michigan State vs Oklahoma

                      Game 879-880
                      March 27, 2015 @ 10:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Michigan State
                      68.207
                      Oklahoma
                      69.751
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Oklahoma
                      by 1 1/2
                      131
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Michigan State
                      by 2 1/2
                      134 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Oklahoma
                      (+2 1/2); Under

                      UCLA vs Gonzaga

                      Game 881-882
                      March 27, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      UCLA
                      63.617
                      Gonzaga
                      75.710
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Gonzaga
                      by 12
                      149
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Gonzaga
                      by 8 1/2
                      143 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Gonzaga
                      (-8 1/2); Over

                      Utah vs Duke

                      Game 883-884
                      March 27, 2015 @ 9:45 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Utah
                      70.258
                      Duke
                      78.614
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Duke
                      by 8 1/2
                      140
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Duke
                      by 5
                      135
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Duke
                      (-5); Over
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        NCAAB
                        Long Sheet

                        Thursday, March 26

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        W VIRGINIA (25 - 9) vs. KENTUCKY (36 - 0) - 3/26/2015, 9:45 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        W VIRGINIA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        WICHITA ST (30 - 4) vs. NOTRE DAME (31 - 5) - 3/26/2015, 7:15 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        WICHITA ST is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                        WICHITA ST is 42-21 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        WICHITA ST is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                        WICHITA ST is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                        WICHITA ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
                        WICHITA ST is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
                        WICHITA ST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
                        WICHITA ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                        WICHITA ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
                        WICHITA ST is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
                        NOTRE DAME is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        XAVIER (23 - 13) vs. ARIZONA (33 - 3) - 3/26/2015, 10:15 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        ARIZONA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
                        ARIZONA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
                        ARIZONA is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
                        ARIZONA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                        ARIZONA is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                        ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                        XAVIER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
                        XAVIER is 193-150 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                        XAVIER is 117-84 ATS (+24.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        N CAROLINA (26 - 11) vs. WISCONSIN (33 - 3) - 3/26/2015, 7:45 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        WISCONSIN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                        WISCONSIN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                        N CAROLINA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                        N CAROLINA is 149-113 ATS (+24.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        EVANSVILLE (21 - 12) at LA-LAFAYETTE (22 - 13) - 3/26/2015, 7:30 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        EVANSVILLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                        EVANSVILLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                        EVANSVILLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Friday, March 27

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        NC STATE (22 - 13) vs. LOUISVILLE (26 - 8) - 3/27/2015, 7:35 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        LOUISVILLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                        LOUISVILLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
                        NC STATE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                        NC STATE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        NC STATE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                        NC STATE is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
                        NC STATE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
                        NC STATE is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
                        NC STATE is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
                        NC STATE is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
                        NC STATE is 58-32 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
                        NC STATE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                        NC STATE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
                        NC STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
                        NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                        LOUISVILLE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                        NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        MICHIGAN ST (25 - 11) vs. OKLAHOMA (24 - 10) - 3/27/2015, 10:05 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        MICHIGAN ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
                        MICHIGAN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
                        MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
                        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        UCLA (22 - 13) vs. GONZAGA (34 - 2) - 3/27/2015, 7:15 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        UCLA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                        UCLA is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                        UCLA is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        UCLA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                        UCLA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                        UCLA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        GONZAGA is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
                        GONZAGA is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
                        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        UTAH (26 - 8) vs. DUKE (31 - 4) - 3/27/2015, 9:45 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        DUKE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                        DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
                        DUKE is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                        DUKE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
                        DUKE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
                        UTAH is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
                        UTAH is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
                        UTAH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                        UTAH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
                        UTAH is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                        UTAH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                        UTAH is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                        DUKE is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
                        DUKE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        KENT ST (23 - 11) at N ARIZONA (21 - 14) - 3/27/2015, 9:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        N ARIZONA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
                        N ARIZONA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
                        N ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
                        N ARIZONA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
                        N ARIZONA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
                        N ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                        KENT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                        KENT ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        KENT ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                        KENT ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
                        KENT ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #87
                          NCAAB
                          Short Sheet

                          Thursday, March 26

                          Sweet 16 Betting Trends

                          #1 Kentucky vs. #5 West Virginia

                          Kentucky 10-2 SU & 9-2 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Kentucky 3-7 Over/Under L10 Sweet 16
                          Kentucky 5-0 SU & ATS L5 Sweet 16 appearances
                          Kentucky's last Sweet 16 appearance last year (2014) won 74-69 against Louisville
                          West Virginia 2-3 SU & 4-1 ATS in Sweet 16
                          West Virginia's last Sweet 16 appearance in 2010, where they won 69-56

                          #1 Seed vs. #5 Seed

                          #1 seed 16-4 SU & 9-9-2 ATS when meeting in NCAA March Madness
                          #1 seed 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS L3 meetings in NCAA March Madness
                          10-10 Over/Under


                          #1 Wisconsin vs. #4 North Carolina

                          Wisconsin 3-4 SU & 5-2 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Wisconsin 2-5 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          Wisconsin's last Sweet 16 appearance last year (2014), beat Baylor 69-52, as 4-pt Favorites (1-0 SU & ATS)
                          Wisconsin 2-0 SU & ATS since 2012 in Sweet 16
                          North Carolina 9-0 SU & 6-3 ATS
                          North Carolina 2-6 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          North Carolina 1-5 Over/Under last 6 Sweet 16 appearances
                          North Carolina's last Sweet 16 appearance 2012

                          #1 Seed vs. #4 Seed

                          #1 seed 14-6 SU & 10-10 ATS when meeting in NCAA March Madness
                          7-13 Over/Under


                          #1 Duke vs. #4 Utah

                          Duke 6-7 SU & 4-7-2 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Duke 5-8 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          Duke 2-4 SU & ATS last 6 Sweet 16 appearances
                          Duke 1-4 Over/Under last 5 Sweet 16
                          Duke's last Sweet 16 appearance in 2013, where they beat MSU 71-61 as 2-pt Favorites (1-0 SU & ATS)
                          Duke made Sweet 16 appearances in 2013, 2011, 2010, 2009
                          Utah 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Utah 0-2 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          Utah has not been to Sweet 16 since 2005

                          #1 Seed vs. #4 Seed

                          #1 seed 14-6 SU & 10-10 ATS when meeting in NCAA March Madness
                          7-13 Over/Under


                          #2 Arizona vs. #6 Xavier

                          Arizona 7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Arizona 8-1 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          Arizona's last appearance in Sweet 16 was last year (2014), won 70-64, as 7.5-pt Favorites
                          1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS
                          Xavier 2-3 SU, 5-0 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Xavier 4-1 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          Xavier's last Sweet 16 appearance was in 2012, where they lost 75-70, as 6.5-pt Dogs (0-1 SU & 1-0 ATS)

                          #2 Seed vs. #6 Seed

                          #2 seed 14-2 SU & 7-9 ATS when meeting in NCAA March Madness
                          #2 seed 2-5 ATS L7 meetings in NCAA March Madness
                          7-7 Over/Under


                          #2 Gonzaga vs. #11 UCLA

                          Gonzaga 1-4 SU, 1-3-1 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Gonzaga 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS L4 Sweet 16 appearances
                          Gonzaga hasn't been in Sweet 16 since 2009, where they lost 98-77 to North Carolina
                          UCLA 4-5 SU, 1-8 ATS in Sweet 16
                          UCLA 4-1 Over/Under L5 in Sweet 16

                          #2 Seed vs. #11 Seed

                          #2 seed 7-0 SU & 4-2-1 ATS when meeting in NCAA March Madness
                          3-4 Over/Under


                          #3 Oklahoma vs. #7 Michigan State

                          Oklahoma 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in Sweet 16
                          Oklahoma 2-2 Over/Under L4 in Sweet 16
                          Oklahoma's last appearance in Sweet 16 was in 2009
                          Michigan St 8-4 SU & 6-6 ATS in Sweet 16
                          MSU 3-9 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          MSU 0-3 ATS L3 in Sweet 16 - 2014, 2013, 2012
                          MSU 0-3 Over/Under L3 in Sweet 16 2014, 2013, 2012
                          MSU's last appearance in Sweet 16 was last year (2014), where they beat Virginia 61-59 as 3-pt Favorites (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)

                          #3 Seed vs. #7 Seed

                          Since 2012, #7 seed is 2-0 SU & ATS in NCAA March Madness


                          #3 Notre Dame vs. #7 Wichita State

                          Notre Dame only 1 Sweet 16 appearance - 2003
                          Notre Dame 2003 0-1 SU & ATS when they lost 88-71 to Arizona
                          Wichita State 1-1 SU & ATS during their only 2 appearances in Sweet 16
                          Wichita State 0-2 Over/Under in 2 Sweet 16 appearance
                          Wichita State's last Sweet 16 appearance was in 2013 (#9 seed), beat LaSalle 72-58

                          #3 Seed vs. #7 Seed

                          Since 2012, #7 seed is 2-0 SU & ATS in NCAA March Madness


                          #4 Louisville vs. #8 NC State

                          Louisville 6-2 SU & ATS in Sweet 16
                          Louisville 4-2 Over/Under L6 Sweet 16 appearances, 2-0 Over/Under L2 years (2014, 2013)
                          Louisville's last Sweet 16 appearance was last year (2014), where they lost 74-69 to Kentucky
                          NC State 0-2 SU & 1-1 ATS in only 2 Sweet 16 appearances
                          NC State 0-2 Over/Under in Sweet 16
                          NC State's last appearance was in 2012, where they lost 60-57, but covered as 9-pt Dogs

                          #4 Seed vs. #8 Seed

                          #4 seed 1-4 SU & ATS in L6 meetings in NCAA March Madness
                          2-2 Over/Under
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            NCAAB
                            Armadillo's Write-Up

                            Thursday, March 26

                            My concern for Wichita State is that their win over Kansas was its Super Bowl, not having played Jayhawks since 1993. Shockers won 11 of last 12 games, are 12-2 out of conference. Notre Dame is in Sweet 16 for first time since '03; coach Brey lost his mom Saturday, so he was gone for part of prep for this. Irish won last seven games, winning first two tourney games by total of seven points. ACC underdogs are 3-0 vs spread in this postseason; MVC teams are 7-4, 5-4 as favorites. Last four 3-seeds who were favored in this round all failed to cover the spread.

                            North Carolina won its last 11 games in this round, but were favored in 10 of 11 games, and one-point dog in 11th game; their last loss in Sweet 16 was 1992. Tar Heels won five of last six games overall; they split two games vs Big 14 teams, losing to Iowa, beating Ohio State. Wisconsin is on 8-game win streak, may get PG Jackson back here; Badgers lost by 10 to Duke in its only ACC game. Last nine times a #1-seed played a 4-seed in this round, underdog covered seven times. ACC underdogs are 3-0 vs spread this postseason; Big 14 teams are 4-8 vs spread, 2-3 if favored.

                            West Virginia freshman Miles opened his mouth yesterday, assuring that Kentucky won't overlook WV here; Mountaineers had lost three of last four games before allowing 61.5 ppg in winning first two tourney games- they force turnovers 28.3% of time. Kentucky is unbeaten, with last six wins all by 13+ points; they only turn ball over 16.3 times a game, #35 at protecting ball. Big X teams are 4-6 vs spread this postseason; this is the first time they're a dog. SEC teams are 8-7 vs spread, 3-4 when favored. Huggins is 8-2 vs Calipari, but those were Cincinnati-Memphis games.

                            Sean Miller was coach at Xavier before before Arizona, hired Chris Mack as an assistant, so this is friends opposing each other. Wildcats won five of last six games, but were fortunate to play 14-seed Georgia State in the second round. Arizona won its last 13 games, winning first two tourney games by 21-15 points; Wildcats lost three games this year, all to teams who missed NCAA tournament. Last seven 2-seeds who played in this round went 3-4 vs spread. Pac-12 teams are 9-3 vs spread this spring, 5-3 as favorites. Big East teams are 6-4 vs spread, 2-2 as underdogs.

                            NIT games

                            CBI games

                            CIT tournament
                            UL-Lafayette won nine of last ten games, scoring 77 ppg in pair of road wins in this tournament; Ragin' Cajuns turn ball over 20.5 times a game, but sub a lot and play fast tempo (#13). Evansville is 12-2 in non-MVC games, scoring 82.5 ppg in winning first two CIT games, last of which was at Eastern Illinois. Sun Belt teams are 6-1 vs spread this postseason, 2-0 as favorites; MVC teams are 7-4 vs spread, 2-0 as underdogs.
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              NCAAB

                              Thursday, March 26

                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Trend Report
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              7:15 PM
                              WICHITA STATE vs. NOTRE DAME
                              No trends available
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games
                              Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

                              7:47 PM
                              NORTH CAROLINA vs. WISCONSIN
                              No trends available
                              Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

                              8:30 PM
                              EVANSVILLE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Evansville's last 5 games on the road
                              Evansville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games at home
                              Louisiana-Lafayette is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

                              9:45 PM
                              WEST VIRGINIA vs. KENTUCKY
                              No trends available
                              Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                              Kentucky is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games

                              10:17 PM
                              XAVIER vs. ARIZONA
                              No trends available
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
                              Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


                              Friday, March 27

                              7:15 PM
                              UCLA vs. GONZAGA
                              No trends available
                              Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Gonzaga's last 5 games

                              7:37 PM
                              NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
                              No trends available
                              Louisville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
                              Louisville is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

                              9:45 PM
                              UTAH vs. DUKE
                              No trends available
                              Duke is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke's last 7 games

                              10:00 PM
                              KENT STATE vs. NORTHERN ARIZONA
                              Kent State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games
                              Northern Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                              10:07 PM
                              MICHIGAN STATE vs. OKLAHOMA
                              No trends available
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 7 games
                              Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                NCAAB

                                Thursday, March 26

                                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                NCAA tournament biggest betting mismatches: Sweet 16
                                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-13.5, 136.5)

                                Mountaineers’ second-chance looks vs. Wildcats’ weak rebounding

                                Kentucky may have defeated Cincinnati by 13 points in the Round of 32, but the Bearcats had UK faithful sweating a bit. Cincinnati wasn’t afraid of the big bad Wildcats and pushed around Kentucky inside, grabbing 19 offensive rebounds and scoring 14 second-chance points.

                                West Virginia presents even more of a threat on the offensive glass. The Mountaineers average 14.3 offensive rebounds per game – second in the nation – and create 13.1 extra scoring chances per contest – most in the country by a lot (VCU was second at 7.6). The Wildcats, on the year, allowed opponents to scoop up 9.4 offensive boards an outing – 236th in Div. I. Kentucky has the talent to overcome that glaring weakness, but you never want to give away this many extra looks with a spread this big.


                                North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Wisconsin Badgers (-6, 144)

                                Tar Heels’ poor shooting vs. Wisconsin’ ability to slow down the game

                                Roy Williams’ game plan is about as secret as Kanye West’s innermost thoughts. The Heels are going to run and gun, push the tempo and attempt to score as many buckets in transition as they can. North Carolina ranks near the top of the country in possessions per game, at 71.9, and has even cranked that knob to 11 in the tournament, with 79.2 possessions in their track meet with Arkansas in the Round of 32.

                                Williams and the Tar Heels are approaching a very large speed bump in the Sweet 16. Wisconsin, known for its clock-eating offense under Bo Ryan, sits with just 61 possessions per game – sixth fewest in the country. What that does is drag the pace to a standstill and force UNC to play a halfcourt game. According to TheTarHeelBlog.com, North Carolina is 13-3 SU when possessing the ball 70 or more times but just 13-8 when posting less than 70 possessions this season. The Tar Heels aren’t a great shooting team in a half-court set and will struggle to get the looks they want against the Badgers.


                                Utah Utes vs. Duke Blue Devils (-5.5, 135)

                                Utes’ towering frontcourt vs. Jahlil Okafor’s foul shooting

                                Okafor has been great in the opening two games of the tournament, setting Duke’s freshmen NCAA scoring record with 47 points combined versus Robert Morris and San Diego State. Okafor even went 100 percent from the stripe against the Aztecs – 2 for 2 – but Duke fans aren’t counting on their star big man to knock them down at the stripe. For all his talents, Okafor is a terrible foul shooter, hitting just 51.6 percent from the line this season.

                                Utah presents a tall task for the project No. 1 overall pick in the NBA Draft – namely 7-foot freshman center Jakob Poeltl, who is quickly pumping up his draft stock this March. The native of Austria had 12 points in the win against Georgetown, handling a very tough Hoyas frontcourt. Behind Poeltl is fellow 7-footer Dallin Bachynski and 6-foot-10 Jeremy Olsen. That’s plenty of beef and 15 fouls the Utes can throw at Okafor. And with the way Utah is shooting the ball from deep, Duke can’t afford to trade 1-for-2 trips to the stripe against 3-pointers from the Utes.


                                Michigan State Spartans vs. Oklahoma Sooners (+2, 134.5)

                                Spartans half-court defense vs. Sooners’ up-tempo attack

                                Michigan State had better get its rest before Friday’s Sweet 16 game. The Spartans face a Sooners offensive that loves to push the tempo and fire up the quick shot, something MSU just doesn’t run into much playing in the methodical pace of the Big Ten. Michigan State, which had just 56 possessions in the win over Virginia, last faced a team with this pace in a 96-90 OT loss to Minnesota in late February. Sparty fired up 63 shots (average only 55.8) and turned the ball over 13 times in that contest.

                                Oklahoma will attempt to beat MSU down the floor and escape playing in a half-court offense, something the Spartans defend against better than most. In the win over Virginia, it was Tom Izzo’s adjustments on help defense that led MSU to a berth in the Sweet 16. The Sooners, who average 18.5 seconds per possession, want to avoid a physical grinder and turn this into a game of “catch us if you can”.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                                Comment

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