Pac-12 Tournament Preview
March 9, 2015
March 11-14
All games played at MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas, NV
TECH NOTES:
-- Dogs of < 8 pts are 12-4 ATS vs opp off BB SU wins
-- Favorites are 4-1 ATS off 3+ SU losses
-- DD favorites are 6-1 ATS off SUATS win
-- #1 seeds are 6-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win
-- #2 seed dogs are 5-1 ATS L6
-- #3 seeds are 1-5 ATS w/revenge
-- #4 seeds are 0-4 ATS vs opp off BB SU losses
-- #5 seeds off BB SU losses are 4-0 ATS
-- #10 seeds are 2-8 SUATS L10
PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: ARIZONA, UTAH, OREGON, UCLA
THE WAY WE SEE IT: After being gutted by the NBA in last year’s draft when nine Pac-12 players were taken – including six in the first round – the conference was left with only six teams returning 3 or more starters this season. In the end, ARIZONA showed the most muscle as it crushed quality opponents, winning all nine contests against .750 or greater foes. Keep that in mind when the Big Dance rolls around. A loss to UCLA in the title game last year was the 4th straight championship loss for the Wildcats in this tourney. A Top 10 offensive field goal percentage and rebound margin team this year, the Cats will be on a mission...
The blue-collar crew from UTAH asserted itself when it finished in the Top 10 in offensive and defensive field goal percentage – the only team in the land to make that claim. As a result, the Utes were a money-making machine in the process, going 14-3 ATS versus sub .700 foes. That makes them a hard fade in this tourney...
OREGON managed to escape the brutal mountain trip to Colorado and Utah this season and it paid off with Joseph Young leading the Ducks to a 23-win campaign. Despite bowing out to UCLA in the first round of this tourney last season, Oregon still owns a shimmering 17-9 SUATS all-time mark in this event, including a championship two seasons ago...
While seven different teams have managed to win this tourney in its 12-year history, UCLA managed to capture its 3rd crown last year. The Bruins have been money in the bank in this event when playing off a double-digit spread win (6-0 ATS) and also own a sharp 5-2 SUATS mark versus sub .550 opposition.
THE SLEEPER: CALIFORNIA
After hitting an 0-6 wall early in January, the Bears showed resiliency by bouncing back with 5 straight wins. A 21-win team last year with a winning record away form home, look for Cal to makes amends for a pair of one-and-outs the last two years in this tourney. The Bears should claw their way into the 20-win club in this tourney behind a coach (Cuonzo Martin) that is 16-7 ATS in his career as a dog in games off a win.
KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY ON THE UNDERDOG IN THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
When UCLA tripped up top seed Arizona in the title game last season, it improved the record of the dog in Pac-12 championship games to 7-1 ATS the last eight years. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it – and we’re not about to.
March 9, 2015
March 11-14
All games played at MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas, NV
TECH NOTES:
-- Dogs of < 8 pts are 12-4 ATS vs opp off BB SU wins
-- Favorites are 4-1 ATS off 3+ SU losses
-- DD favorites are 6-1 ATS off SUATS win
-- #1 seeds are 6-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win
-- #2 seed dogs are 5-1 ATS L6
-- #3 seeds are 1-5 ATS w/revenge
-- #4 seeds are 0-4 ATS vs opp off BB SU losses
-- #5 seeds off BB SU losses are 4-0 ATS
-- #10 seeds are 2-8 SUATS L10
PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: ARIZONA, UTAH, OREGON, UCLA
THE WAY WE SEE IT: After being gutted by the NBA in last year’s draft when nine Pac-12 players were taken – including six in the first round – the conference was left with only six teams returning 3 or more starters this season. In the end, ARIZONA showed the most muscle as it crushed quality opponents, winning all nine contests against .750 or greater foes. Keep that in mind when the Big Dance rolls around. A loss to UCLA in the title game last year was the 4th straight championship loss for the Wildcats in this tourney. A Top 10 offensive field goal percentage and rebound margin team this year, the Cats will be on a mission...
The blue-collar crew from UTAH asserted itself when it finished in the Top 10 in offensive and defensive field goal percentage – the only team in the land to make that claim. As a result, the Utes were a money-making machine in the process, going 14-3 ATS versus sub .700 foes. That makes them a hard fade in this tourney...
OREGON managed to escape the brutal mountain trip to Colorado and Utah this season and it paid off with Joseph Young leading the Ducks to a 23-win campaign. Despite bowing out to UCLA in the first round of this tourney last season, Oregon still owns a shimmering 17-9 SUATS all-time mark in this event, including a championship two seasons ago...
While seven different teams have managed to win this tourney in its 12-year history, UCLA managed to capture its 3rd crown last year. The Bruins have been money in the bank in this event when playing off a double-digit spread win (6-0 ATS) and also own a sharp 5-2 SUATS mark versus sub .550 opposition.
THE SLEEPER: CALIFORNIA
After hitting an 0-6 wall early in January, the Bears showed resiliency by bouncing back with 5 straight wins. A 21-win team last year with a winning record away form home, look for Cal to makes amends for a pair of one-and-outs the last two years in this tourney. The Bears should claw their way into the 20-win club in this tourney behind a coach (Cuonzo Martin) that is 16-7 ATS in his career as a dog in games off a win.
KEY TOURNEY BEST BET: PLAY ON THE UNDERDOG IN THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
When UCLA tripped up top seed Arizona in the title game last season, it improved the record of the dog in Pac-12 championship games to 7-1 ATS the last eight years. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it – and we’re not about to.
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