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MLB Pick of the Day (by stats university professor)

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  • #16
    Good luck, Professor!

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    • #17
      Originally posted by moondog22 View Post
      I'm on the Reds too,good luck Professor
      We got it! Good job Cincy!

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      • #18
        Great! We have now won our past 2 bets, and today we are going to swing for the fences with a big underdog!

        RECORD:

        Bets won = 3
        Bets lost = 3
        Profit = -$0.58 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

        Today's pick of the day:

        Orioles (at +288 or 3.88) at Nationals

        We have 3 betting systems indicating to bet Baltimore (one of them being the most lucrative in 2019 BY FAR)!

        Let's review quickly two of them.

        "The Hot Teams Matchup" betting angle #1:

        "Bet a road team coming off a win when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

        PERFORMANCE:

        Over 7 years: +10.57 units from 163 bets (ROI = 6.5%)
        In 2019: +0.67 units from 17 bets

        "The Hot Bats" betting angle #1:

        "Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home."

        PERFORMANCE:

        Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%)
        In 2019: +32.72 units from 132 bets

        Since Baltimore is riding a 2-game winning streak while the Nationals are on a 5-game winning streak, we are betting the Orioles.

        Also, the Nationals have indeed won their past two games by scoring 6+ runs in each (7-5 and 7-2) so we must fade them.

        Have a great day savvy sports investors!

        Professor MJ

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        • #19
          good luck Professor

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          • #20
            Originally posted by moondog22 View Post
            good luck Professor
            Thanks, it's a long shot so I'll need it ;-)

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            • #21
              Baltimore +280 thanks Professor

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              • #22
                Pick for August 28

                KABOOM!!!!!!!!

                The Orioles pulled off a huge upset win in Washington last night. A big juicy return!

                RECORD:

                Bets won = 4
                Bets lost = 3
                Profit = +$2.30 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

                Today's pick of the day:

                Indians (at -172 or 1.581) at Tigers

                This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #1:

                "Suppose Team A beats Team B by 8+ runs, and they meet again the next day. Bet Team A."

                PERFORMANCE:

                Over 7 years: +49.17 units from 930 bets (ROI = 5.3%)
                In 2019: +11.82 units from 99 bets (ROI = 11.9%)

                Since Cleveland beat those same Tigers 10-1 last night, we are betting the Indians today.

                WARNING: you might believe that you should bet the Astros tonight, since they CRUSHED the Rays 15-1 yesterday. However, I've got a record-high 4 betting systems recommending to bet Tampa Bay. Since we have conflicting information I am going to stay away from that game. But if I was forced to bet it, I'd go with the Rays as fairly big underdogs.

                Best of luck!

                Professor MJ

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                • #23
                  Good luck, Professor! Thanks!

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                  • #24
                    Originally posted by Udog View Post
                    Good luck, Professor! Thanks!
                    You are so welcome buddy, let's keep it up!

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                    • #25
                      The good streak continued last night with another winner!

                      RECORD:

                      Bets won = 5
                      Bets lost = 3
                      Profit = +$2.88 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

                      Today's pick of the day:

                      Rays (at +209 or 3.09) at Astros

                      PAY ATTENTION!! Today's play meets the criteria of a record-setting FOUR betting systems at a time (out of my 19 different betting strategies). That's the highest number I've ever seen.

                      Let me tell you about just one of those four betting angles:

                      "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup": Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins.

                      PERFORMANCE:

                      Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%)
                      In 2019: +7.07 units from 103 bets (ROI = 6.9%)

                      Since Tampa Bay is coming off 4 straight losses while Houston is riding a 6-game winning streak, we are betting the Rays tonight.

                      Cheers!

                      Professor MJ

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                      • #26
                        Good luck, Professor! Thank you!

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                        • #27
                          What an unbelievable streak, we are on fire! Another big underdog that hits!

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                          • #28
                            Oh. My. God!

                            We have won our past 5 bets, including two HUGE underdogs (yesterday's Rays at +209 and the Orioles at +288 three days ago).

                            I guess it's fair to say we are ON FIRE!!!

                            RECORD:
                            • Bets won = 6
                            • Bets lost = 3
                            • Profit = +$4.97 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)



                            Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 11am Eastern Time):

                            Mariners (at +101 or 2.01) at Rangers

                            This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting angle #1:

                            "Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.50. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if its money line is 2.25 or less."

                            PERFORMANCE:
                            • Over 7 years: +37.79 units from 261 bets (ROI = 14.5%)
                            • In 2019: +2.42 units from 35 bets (ROI = 6.9%)



                            Since Seattle upset those same Rangers last night despite 2.69 odds and because today's odds are indeed lower than 2.25, we are betting the Mariners.

                            Have a great Labor Day weekend!

                            Professor MJ

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              RECORD:

                              Bets won = 6
                              Bets lost = 4
                              Profit = +$3.97 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

                              Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

                              Marlins (at +154 or 2.54) at Pirates

                              This is definitely the most promising pick for today because it meets the criteria of 4 different betting systems.

                              One of them is "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup" betting angle.

                              "Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

                              PERFORMANCE:

                              Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%)
                              In 2019: +7.07 units from 103 bets (ROI = 6.9%)

                              Since Miami is undergoing a 3-game losing streak while Pittsburgh is riding a 4-game winning streak, we are betting the Pirates (according to the strategy described above).

                              Have a great day!

                              Professor MJ

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by ProfessorMJ View Post

                                Since Miami is undergoing a 3-game losing streak while Pittsburgh is riding a 4-game winning streak, we are betting the Pirates (according to the strategy described above).
                                Sorry about the typo here, it should read "we are betting the MARLINS"

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