MLB Pick of the Day (by stats university professor)

[ProfessorMJ]

RECORD:

Bets won = 11
Bets lost = 11
Profit = +2.50$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Reds (at ) at Cubs

This play meets the criteria of 3 betting systems at a time, including the most lucrative in 2019 called "The Hot Bats":

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%)
In 2019: +33.64 units from 147 bets (ROI = 22.9%)

Since Chicago's last two games were both wins by scoring 16 and 14 runs respectively, we are fading them today.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

RECORD:

Bets won = 11
Bets lost = 11
Profit = +2.50$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Reds (at ) at Cubs

This play meets the criteria of 3 betting systems at a time, including the most lucrative in 2019 called "The Hot Bats":

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%)
In 2019: +33.64 units from 147 bets (ROI = 22.9%)

Since Chicago's last two games were both wins by scoring 16 and 14 runs respectively, we are fading them today.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

Odds are at +250 or 2.50 right now on Pinnacle.

[moondog22]

I have +150 at BETUS and +153 at Pinnacle

[ProfessorMJ]

I have +150 at BETUS and +153 at Pinnacle

That's right, +150, it was a typo. 2.50 or +150

[ProfessorMJ]

RECORD:

Bets won = 11
Bets lost = 12
Profit = +1.50$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

I'm gonna do something special today by providing 2 picks instead of just one. They both meet the criteria of 3 betting systems at a time!!! This has proven to triple the ROI in 2019.

Reds (at +141 or 2.41) at Cubs
Mets (at -143 or 1.699) at Rockies

One of the betting angles recommending these picks is called "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup":

"Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%)
In 2019: +14.24 units from 121 bets (ROI = 11.8%)

Since Cincinnati has lost its last game while the Cubs are riding a 5-game winning streak, we are betting the Reds.

Also, considering the Mets have lost their past two games while the Rockies are on a 4-game winning streak, we are betting New York.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

[Udog]

Good luck, Professor!

[ProfessorMJ]

For the very first time I provided 2 picks of the day because I felt both were very strong plays. And both won! Good job Reds & Mets!!

RECORD:

Bets won = 13
Bets lost = 12
Profit = +3.61$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time):

Padres (at +135 or 2.35) at Brewers

This play is based on the same betting angle as yesterday: "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup" betting angle:

Since San Diego is undergoing a 6-game losing streak while Milwaukee is riding a 4-game winning streak, we are going against the grain by betting the "cold" team: the Padres!

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

The last 3 picks have been winners, hopefully the good run continues today!

RECORD:

Bets won = 14
Bets lost = 12
Profit = +4.96$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Twins (at -250 or 1.40) vs Royals

This play meets the criteria of 2 betting systems, including "The Scoring Drought" betting angle:

"Suppose a team loses 2 straight games, while scoring 0-1-2 run(s) in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is greater than 2.50 (so you bet a home favorite)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.99 units from 332 bets (ROI = 8.1%)

Since Kansas City has lots its past two games by scoring 0 and 1 run respectively (and they are indeed on the road with large odds), we are fading them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

Now 4 straight bets won, and also 8 of the past 12. Let's finish the season strong!

RECORD:

Bets won = 15
Bets lost = 12
Profit = +$5.36 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Phillies (at +170 or 2.70) at Indians

This pick is based on 2 betting systems, one of them being "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #2:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 7+ runs. If Team A's next game is against Team C, bet Team C."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +20.39 units from 590 bets (ROI = 3.5%)
In 2019: +1.35 units from 65 bets (ROI = 2.1%)

Since Cleveland won its last game by a 7-run margin and they are facing a new opponent today, we are fading them.

Have a good Friday!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

RECORD:

Bets won = 15
Bets lost = 13
Profit = +4.36$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

A's (at -340 or 1.29) vs Rangers

This pick is based on 2 different betting systems, including "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #1:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 8+ runs, and they meet again the next day. Bet Team A."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +49.17 units from 930 bets (ROI = 5.3%)
In 2019: +13.26 units from 123 bets (ROI = 10.8%)

Since Oakland beat Texas 8-0 last night, we are betting the A's to repeat.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

RECORD:

Bets won = 16
Bets lost = 13
Profit = +4.65$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Yankees (at -303 or 1.33) vs Blue Jays

This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle:

"Fade a road team whose winning streak of length 5+ was just snapped in their previous game (so you bet the HOME team)."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +22.06 units from 281 bets (ROI = 7.9%)
In 2019: -1.33 units from 30 bets

Since Toronto just saw its 5-game winning streak snapped yesterday, we are fading them in New York.

Enjoy your Sunday!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

RECORD:

Bets won = 17
Bets lost = 13
Profit = +4.98$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Nationals (at -191 or 1.524) vs Phillies

This pick is based on "The Cold Teams Matchup" betting angle #1:

"Bet a home team coming off a loss when facing a road team coming off 1-2-3 straight losses. Bet only if the home team's money line is 1.667 or less."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +32.68 units from 347 bets (ROI = 9.4%)
In 2019: -$2.48 units from 36 bets (ROI = -6.9%)

Both Philadelphia and Washington are on a 1-game losing streak and the Nats' odds are indeed smaller than 1.667, so we are betting them today.

Cheers!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

We are 11-5 over the past 16 daily picks. We're going after a big underdog today.

RECORD:

Bets won = 18
Bets lost = 13
Profit = +5.50$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

White Sox (at +237 or 3.37) vs Indians

This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #2:

"Suppose Team A beats Team B by 7+ runs. If Team A's next game is against Team C, bet Team C."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +20.39 units from 590 bets (ROI = 3.5%)
In 2019: -0.35 units from 69 bets

Since Cleveland won its previous match by a 9-run margin against a different team, we are betting against them.

Best of luck!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

Yesterday's long shot didn't hit, unfortunately. Let's keep grinding!

RECORD:

Bets won = 18
Bets lost = 14
Profit = +4.50$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Diamondbacks (at +107 or 2.07) vs Cards

This pick is based on 2 betting angles at a time!

First: "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle:
"Fade a road team whose winning streak of length 5+ was just snapped in their previous game (so you bet the HOME team)."
PERFORMANCE:
Over 7 years: +22.06 units from 281 bets (ROI = 7.9%)

St. Louis got its 6-game winning streak snapped last night and they are indeed playing on the road this afternoon.

Second: "The Big Upset" betting angle #1:
"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.50. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if its money line is 2.25 or less."
PERFORMANCE:
Over 7 years: +37.79 units from 261 bets (ROI = 14.5%)

Arizona upset those same Cardinals yesterday at +179 odds, they are playing each other again today and the odds on the D-Backs are indeed less than +125 so we are betting them.

Cheers!

Professor MJ

[ProfessorMJ]

RECORD:

Bets won = 19
Bets lost = 14
Profit = +5.57$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play)

Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle):

Angels (at +208 or 3.08) vs Astros

It's a long shot, but I'm going for it!

This pick is based on "The Stingy Pitchers" betting angle:

"Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while allowing just 0 or 1 run in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is 2.50 or less."

PERFORMANCE:

Over 7 years: +26.54 units from 375 bets (ROI = 7.1%)

Since Houston shutout their opponents in their past two games, we are betting against them today.

Best of luck!