Monday's Diamond Notes
June 5, 2017
Hottest team: Astros (10-0 past four games, 21-5 past 26 overall)
The Astros went without a loss last week, exorcising their demons in Arlington with a convincing three-game sweep of the Rangers. They outscored Texas 20-8, and they have posted 82 runs to just 36 during their 10-game run. They turn to Mike Fiers (2-2, 4.96 ERA) to keep the streak rolling in Kansas City on Monday. Fiers has served up 18 homers across 52 2/3 innings this season, although he has cut down on his long balls recently. He has allowed just two clouts across the past 16 2/3 innings over his past three outings. Houston was outscored 16-6 in their early-season three-game series against the Royals at Minute Maid Park back on April 7-9, so the Astros will have revenge on their minds.
Coldest team Cardinals (2-6 past eight games, 5-13 past 18 overall)
The Cardinals were swept by their rivals at Wrigley Field, as the defending champion Cubs got well at home. St. Louis will turn to ace Carlos Martinez to try and stem the tide of losing in Cincinnati. The last time Martinez was on the hill the Cards pushed aside the Dodgers by a 2-1 score at home on May 31. However, the last time Martinez worked on the road the Cardinals were clubbed by a 10-0 score in Denver by the red-hot Rockies. St. Louis has managed just one win over their past seven against a right-handed starter, and they're 0-7 in their past seven series openers. The good news is the Cardinals are 13-3 in Martinez's past 16 road outings against a team with a losing record.
Hottest pitcher: Gio Gonzalez, Nationals (4-1, 3.03 ERA)
Gonzalez has posted a .245 batting average and 1.40 WHIP across 68 1/3 innings over 11 starts this season, tasting defeat just once. He'll look to stay hot in a road outing in L.A. opposition Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-5, 3.91 ERA) and the Dodgers. The Nationals have been hot, winning six of their past seven road outings, and they're 4-0 in Gonzo's past five outings against National League West opponents. The Nats are also 5-1 over his past six outings against teams with an overall winning record. On the flip side, the Dodgers have dropped nine of Ryu's past 11 starts, while going 0-7 in his past seven attempts against teams with an overall winning record.
Coldest pitcher: Bartolo Colon, Braves (2-6, 6.99 ERA)
Colon is tied with Yankees SP Masahiro Tanaka (5-5, 6.34 ERA) for the most earned runs allowed this season, 43. The 44-year-old veteran is no longer fooling anyone, as the opposition is hitting .325 against Colon while he has an awful 1.66 WHIP. Colon has given up 77 hits over just 55 1/3 innings and he has won just once over his past eight starts dating back to April 16. He'll face the Phillies at SunTrust Park on Monday, and he has not endeared himself to the home fans yet. He is 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA over 20 1/3 innings across four starts. He also allowed four runs and a season-high 11 hits over seven innings in a loss April 21 at Philadelphia.
Biggest UNDER run: Dodgers (4-1 past five games, 9-4 past 13 overall)
The Dodgers have had some difficulty scoring runs lately, posting two or fewer runs in four of their past five outings. It's no surprise the 'under' is 4-1 during the span. They'll try to turn things around at home against the visiting Nationals, but as mentioned above, Washington SP Gio Gonzalez ranks 17th in the majors with a 3.03 ERA. The 'under' is 8-2 in Ryu's past 10 starts overall, including 4-1 in his past five against teams with a winning overall record. The under is also 6-2-1 over his past nine starts at home against teams with a winning overall mark while going 3-1-1 in Ryu's past five assignments against NL East foes.
Biggest OVER run: Braves (5-2-1 past eight games, 8-3-1 past 12 overall)
The Braves return home where they allowed 26 runs over the final three games of their previous homestand. The 'over' is 8-3-1 over their past 12 outings, and 6-1 over the past seven outings for Colon. The over is also 4-1 across his past five starts in a series opener while going 33-16-2 over Atlanta's past 51 home games overall. The over is also 35-17-1 in Atlanta's past 53 divisional games, although the 'under' has hit in four straight meetings against Philadelphia.
Matchup to watch: Royals vs. Astros
The Royals will host the red-hot Astros, looking to cool them off, or at least slow them down a little. It could be a high-scoring game at Kauffman Stadium on Monday, as Ian Kennedy of the Royals has served up nine homers over 45 2/3 innings across nine starts while going 0-5 with a 5.12 ERA this season. Astros SP Mike Fiers has allowed an American League-worst 18 home runs over 52 2/3 innings over 10 outings while the opposition is hitting .280 against him. Fiers has been terrible on the road, too, posting a 5.70 ERA over 30 innings across six starts. The 'over' has hit in Kennedy's past five outings while going 3-1-2 in the past six road assignments for Fiers. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Kansas City, too.
Betcha didn’t know: The third baseman for the Blue Jays, Josh Donaldson, has launched four home runs over his past five games. He returns to where it all started, as Toronto meets Oakland in the Bay Area to kick off a new series. Donaldson could find continued success against an Athletics pitching staff serving up 10.3 runs per game over their past four losses. Blue Jays DH Kendrys Morales has posted five games with two or more hits over his past 10 appearances, too, while Justin Smoak of the Jays has already racked up as many home runs (14) as he posted during the entire 2016 campaign.
Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-140) vs. Marlins
Biggest public underdog: Nationals (+130) at Dodgers
Biggest line move: Giants (+115 to -105) at Brewers
June 5, 2017
Hottest team: Astros (10-0 past four games, 21-5 past 26 overall)
The Astros went without a loss last week, exorcising their demons in Arlington with a convincing three-game sweep of the Rangers. They outscored Texas 20-8, and they have posted 82 runs to just 36 during their 10-game run. They turn to Mike Fiers (2-2, 4.96 ERA) to keep the streak rolling in Kansas City on Monday. Fiers has served up 18 homers across 52 2/3 innings this season, although he has cut down on his long balls recently. He has allowed just two clouts across the past 16 2/3 innings over his past three outings. Houston was outscored 16-6 in their early-season three-game series against the Royals at Minute Maid Park back on April 7-9, so the Astros will have revenge on their minds.
Coldest team Cardinals (2-6 past eight games, 5-13 past 18 overall)
The Cardinals were swept by their rivals at Wrigley Field, as the defending champion Cubs got well at home. St. Louis will turn to ace Carlos Martinez to try and stem the tide of losing in Cincinnati. The last time Martinez was on the hill the Cards pushed aside the Dodgers by a 2-1 score at home on May 31. However, the last time Martinez worked on the road the Cardinals were clubbed by a 10-0 score in Denver by the red-hot Rockies. St. Louis has managed just one win over their past seven against a right-handed starter, and they're 0-7 in their past seven series openers. The good news is the Cardinals are 13-3 in Martinez's past 16 road outings against a team with a losing record.
Hottest pitcher: Gio Gonzalez, Nationals (4-1, 3.03 ERA)
Gonzalez has posted a .245 batting average and 1.40 WHIP across 68 1/3 innings over 11 starts this season, tasting defeat just once. He'll look to stay hot in a road outing in L.A. opposition Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-5, 3.91 ERA) and the Dodgers. The Nationals have been hot, winning six of their past seven road outings, and they're 4-0 in Gonzo's past five outings against National League West opponents. The Nats are also 5-1 over his past six outings against teams with an overall winning record. On the flip side, the Dodgers have dropped nine of Ryu's past 11 starts, while going 0-7 in his past seven attempts against teams with an overall winning record.
Coldest pitcher: Bartolo Colon, Braves (2-6, 6.99 ERA)
Colon is tied with Yankees SP Masahiro Tanaka (5-5, 6.34 ERA) for the most earned runs allowed this season, 43. The 44-year-old veteran is no longer fooling anyone, as the opposition is hitting .325 against Colon while he has an awful 1.66 WHIP. Colon has given up 77 hits over just 55 1/3 innings and he has won just once over his past eight starts dating back to April 16. He'll face the Phillies at SunTrust Park on Monday, and he has not endeared himself to the home fans yet. He is 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA over 20 1/3 innings across four starts. He also allowed four runs and a season-high 11 hits over seven innings in a loss April 21 at Philadelphia.
Biggest UNDER run: Dodgers (4-1 past five games, 9-4 past 13 overall)
The Dodgers have had some difficulty scoring runs lately, posting two or fewer runs in four of their past five outings. It's no surprise the 'under' is 4-1 during the span. They'll try to turn things around at home against the visiting Nationals, but as mentioned above, Washington SP Gio Gonzalez ranks 17th in the majors with a 3.03 ERA. The 'under' is 8-2 in Ryu's past 10 starts overall, including 4-1 in his past five against teams with a winning overall record. The under is also 6-2-1 over his past nine starts at home against teams with a winning overall mark while going 3-1-1 in Ryu's past five assignments against NL East foes.
Biggest OVER run: Braves (5-2-1 past eight games, 8-3-1 past 12 overall)
The Braves return home where they allowed 26 runs over the final three games of their previous homestand. The 'over' is 8-3-1 over their past 12 outings, and 6-1 over the past seven outings for Colon. The over is also 4-1 across his past five starts in a series opener while going 33-16-2 over Atlanta's past 51 home games overall. The over is also 35-17-1 in Atlanta's past 53 divisional games, although the 'under' has hit in four straight meetings against Philadelphia.
Matchup to watch: Royals vs. Astros
The Royals will host the red-hot Astros, looking to cool them off, or at least slow them down a little. It could be a high-scoring game at Kauffman Stadium on Monday, as Ian Kennedy of the Royals has served up nine homers over 45 2/3 innings across nine starts while going 0-5 with a 5.12 ERA this season. Astros SP Mike Fiers has allowed an American League-worst 18 home runs over 52 2/3 innings over 10 outings while the opposition is hitting .280 against him. Fiers has been terrible on the road, too, posting a 5.70 ERA over 30 innings across six starts. The 'over' has hit in Kennedy's past five outings while going 3-1-2 in the past six road assignments for Fiers. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Kansas City, too.
Betcha didn’t know: The third baseman for the Blue Jays, Josh Donaldson, has launched four home runs over his past five games. He returns to where it all started, as Toronto meets Oakland in the Bay Area to kick off a new series. Donaldson could find continued success against an Athletics pitching staff serving up 10.3 runs per game over their past four losses. Blue Jays DH Kendrys Morales has posted five games with two or more hits over his past 10 appearances, too, while Justin Smoak of the Jays has already racked up as many home runs (14) as he posted during the entire 2016 campaign.
Biggest public favorite: Cubs (-140) vs. Marlins
Biggest public underdog: Nationals (+130) at Dodgers
Biggest line move: Giants (+115 to -105) at Brewers
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