The Bum's Major League Baseball Best Bets for July - Picks, News, Trends !

[StarDust Bum]

MLB MONEYLINE

MLB > (905) NY METS@ (906) CHICAGO CUBS | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Play ON NY METS using money line in All games when playing on Monday
The record is 23 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+20.9 units)

MLB > (917) TEXAS@ (918) LA ANGELS | 2016-07-18 22:05:00 - 2016-07-18 22:05:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in Road games in night games
The record is 50 Wins and 34 Losses for the last two seasons (+33.62 units)

MLB > (913) CLEVELAND@ (914) KANSAS CITY | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Play ON KANSAS CITY using money line in Home games against division opponents
The record is 14 Wins and 2 Losses for the this season (+12.75 units)

MLB > (917) TEXAS@ (918) LA ANGELS | 2016-07-18 22:05:00 - 2016-07-18 22:05:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in All games against division opponents
The record is 26 Wins and 13 Losses for the this season (+17.25 units)

MLB > (913) CLEVELAND@ (914) KANSAS CITY | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Play ON CLEVELAND using money line in All games when the total is 8 to 8.5
The record is 31 Wins and 11 Losses for the this season (+18 units)

MLB > (911) MINNESOTA@ (912) DETROIT | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA using money line in All games after a loss
The record is 16 Wins and 41 Losses for the this season (-20.6 units)

MLB > (921) TAMPA BAY@ (922) COLORADO | 2016-07-18 20:40:00 - 2016-07-18 20:40:00
Play AGAINST TAMPA BAY using money line in All games in July games
The record is 10 Wins and 27 Losses for the last two seasons (-21.15 units)

MLB > (901) MIAMI@ (902) PHILADELPHIA | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Play ON PHILADELPHIA using money line in All games when the total is 7 or less
The record is 12 Wins and 6 Losses for the this season (+12.17 units)

MLB > (907) SAN DIEGO@ (908) ST LOUIS | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Play AGAINST ST LOUIS using money line in All games in home games
The record is 20 Wins and 28 Losses for the this season (-17.5 units)

MLB > (921) TAMPA BAY@ (922) COLORADO | 2016-07-18 20:40:00 - 2016-07-18 20:40:00
Play AGAINST TAMPA BAY using money line in all games
The record is 35 Wins and 56 Losses for the this season (-27.45 units)

MLB > (907) SAN DIEGO@ (908) ST LOUIS | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Play ON SAN DIEGO using money line in All games in night games
The record is 34 Wins and 28 Losses for the this season (+17.72 units)

MLB > (907) SAN DIEGO@ (908) ST LOUIS | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Play AGAINST ST LOUIS using money line in Home games in night games
The record is 10 Wins and 18 Losses for the this season (-14.15 units)

MLB > (911) MINNESOTA@ (912) DETROIT | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA using money line in All games against division opponents
The record is 7 Wins and 23 Losses for the this season (-14.4 units)

-------------------

MLB RUNLINE

MLB > (911) MINNESOTA@ (912) DETROIT | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play ON DETROIT in All games as a home favorite when the run line price is +135 to +160
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the this season (+15.05 units)

MLB > (913) CLEVELAND@ (914) KANSAS CITY | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Play ON KANSAS CITY in Home games when playing with a day off
The record is 21 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (+21 units)

MLB > (909) BALTIMORE@ (910) NY YANKEES | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Play AGAINST NY YANKEES in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 1 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-15.1 units)

MLB > (921) TAMPA BAY@ (922) COLORADO | 2016-07-18 20:40:00 - 2016-07-18 20:40:00
Play AGAINST TAMPA BAY in Road games in July games
The record is 3 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (-15.6 units)

MLB > (917) TEXAS@ (918) LA ANGELS | 2016-07-18 22:05:00 - 2016-07-18 22:05:00
Play AGAINST TEXAS in All games in July games
The record is 1 Wins and 11 Losses for the this season (-12.6 units)

MLB > (905) NY METS@ (906) CHICAGO CUBS | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Play ON NY METS in All games when playing on Monday
The record is 21 Wins and 6 Losses for the last two seasons (+16.15 units)


MLB > (907) SAN DIEGO@ (908) ST LOUIS | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Play ON SAN DIEGO in Road games in night games
The record is 21 Wins and 5 Losses for the this season (+15 units)

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MLB TOTALS

MLB > (909) BALTIMORE@ (910) NY YANKEES | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Play OVER BALTIMORE on the totalin All games when the total is 9 to 9.5
The record is 22 Overs and 5 Unders for the this season (+17.7 units)

MLB > (911) MINNESOTA@ (912) DETROIT | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the totalin All games in night games
The record is 35 Overs and 13 Unders for the this season (+21.85 units)

MLB > (911) MINNESOTA@ (912) DETROIT | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in all games
The record is 54 Overs and 30 Unders for the this season (+22.35 units)

MLB > (911) MINNESOTA@ (912) DETROIT | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the totalin All games as a road underdog of +125 to +150
The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders for the this season (+10.15 units)

MLB > (919) CHI WHITE SOX@ (920) SEATTLE | 2016-07-18 22:10:00 - 2016-07-18 22:10:00
Play OVER SEATTLE on the totalin Home games in July games
The record is 15 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+12 units)

MLB > (903) ATLANTA@ (904) CINCINNATI | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play OVER CINCINNATI on the total in all games
The record is 51 Overs and 32 Unders for the this season (+17.95 units)

MLB > (903) ATLANTA@ (904) CINCINNATI | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Play OVER CINCINNATI on the totalin All games against right-handed starters
The record is 41 Overs and 24 Unders for the this season (+15.9 units)

MLB > (921) TAMPA BAY@ (922) COLORADO | 2016-07-18 20:40:00 - 2016-07-18 20:40:00
Play OVER COLORADO on the totalin Home games after a loss
The record is 45 Overs and 23 Unders for the last two seasons (+20.45 units)

[StarDust Bum]

TOP POWER LINES

MLB > (909) BALTIMORE @ (910) NY YANKEES | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Line: BALTIMORE BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE140
Edge On: BALTIMORE (27)

MLB > (901) MIAMI @ (902) PHILADELPHIA | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Line: MIAMI BTB PowerLine: MIAMI187
Edge On: MIAMI (7)

MLB > (905) NY METS @ (906) CHICAGO CUBS | 2016-07-18 19:05:00 - 2016-07-18 19:05:00
Line: CHICAGO CUBS-152 BTB PowerLine: CHICAGO CUBS-163
Edge On: CHICAGO CUBS (11)

MLB > (911) MINNESOTA @ (912) DETROIT | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Line: MINNESOTA BTB PowerLine: MINNESOTA103
Edge On: MINNESOTA (28)

MLB > (903) ATLANTA @ (904) CINCINNATI | 2016-07-18 19:10:00 - 2016-07-18 19:10:00
Line: ATLANTA BTB PowerLine: ATLANTA-113
Edge On: ATLANTA (4)

MLB > (907) SAN DIEGO @ (908) ST LOUIS | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Line: ST LOUIS-174 BTB PowerLine: ST LOUIS-178
Edge On: ST LOUIS (4)

MLB > (913) CLEVELAND @ (914) KANSAS CITY | 2016-07-18 20:15:00 - 2016-07-18 20:15:00
Line: CLEVELAND BTB PowerLine: CLEVELAND146
Edge On: CLEVELAND (6)

MLB > (921) TAMPA BAY @ (922) COLORADO | 2016-07-18 20:40:00 - 2016-07-18 20:40:00
Line: COLORADO-129 BTB PowerLine: COLORADO-175
Edge On: COLORADO (46)

MLB > (915) HOUSTON @ (916) OAKLAND | 2016-07-18 22:05:00 - 2016-07-18 22:05:00
Line: HOUSTON BTB PowerLine: HOUSTON145
Edge On: HOUSTON (12)

MLB > (917) TEXAS @ (918) LA ANGELS | 2016-07-18 22:05:00 - 2016-07-18 22:05:00
Line: TEXAS BTB PowerLine: TEXAS-109
Edge On: TEXAS (9)

MLB > (919) CHI WHITE SOX @ (920) SEATTLE | 2016-07-18 22:10:00 - 2016-07-18 22:10:00
Line: SEATTLE+126 BTB PowerLine: SEATTLE-112
Edge On: SEATTLE (38)

[StarDust Bum]

7/17 - Sunday's Results: 4 - 0 - 1 + 5.42


July's Totals: 84 - 86 + 17.80 49.41 %


Overall : 256 - 242 + 49.36 51.40 %



Good Luck Will Post Monday's Nights Dogs and Totals Later

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, JULY 18

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIA at PHI 07:05 PM

PHI +173


NYM at CHC 07:05 PM

CHC -148


BAL at NYY 07:05 PM

BAL -116

O 9.0


MIN at DET 07:10 PM

MIN +126

O 10.5


ATL at CIN 07:10 PM

ATL +121

O 9.0


SD at STL 08:15 PM

STL -174

O 8.5


CLE at KC 08:15 PM

CLE -152


TB at COL 08:40 PM

O 11.0


HOU at OAK 10:05 PM

HOU -132

U 8.5


TEX at LAA 10:05 PM

LAA -106

O 8.5


CHW at SEA 10:10 PM

O 7.5

[StarDust Bum]

TB at COL 08:40 PM

O 11.0


Over in the Colorado game wasn't highlighted..........as a best bet

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Monday, July 18


O's Gausman has allowed 1 ER in 14 IP vs Yanks in 2016 & 6 of his 7 career starts vs NYY finished UNDER. BAL/NYY T:9


Tigers have won last 6 vs Twins and have won 5 of Boyd's 7 career starts at home in Detroit.
MIN +128 DET -139

[StarDust Bum]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Cubbie Pride

Since taking all seven regular season meetings in 2015, the Cubs have lost eight in a row to the Mets - the revenge angle could be strong at Wrigley this week.

Power Sports breaks down the best MLB betting notes so you can handicap every series like a pro in the first full week since the All-Star break, including the Mets and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Cubbie Pride

Since taking all seven regular season meetings in 2015, the Cubs have lost eight in a row to the Mets - that obviously includes getting swept in last year’s National League Championship Series. It also includes a sweep at Citi Field that took place earlier this month.

But the revenge angle could be strong here at Wrigley this week. In Friday’s column, I stated that I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to see the NL Central leaders win their series against Texas (took 2 of 3) and I’m of the same mindset here. Not only is this series contested at the Friendly Confines, but the Cubs get to trot out Lester and Arrieta in the first two games.

The Mets offense (28th in runs scored) has fallen off dramatically this season.

First Time for Everything

In one of the real “stunners” of the weekend, San Diego swept San Francisco.

Believe it or not, but that was the first sweep for the Padres all season! It’s just their fourth three-game win streak of 2016 and so far they are 0-3 in this spot, having been shut out twice.

Their opponent starting Monday is St. Louis, who shockingly has the third worst home record in the entire National League (20-28). The Padres have actually played the Cardinals tough over the last three seasons, going 8-9 against them.

National Importance

Sticking with the National League, there’s a big series starting Tuesday as the Nationals host the Dodgers.

In my eyes, Washington has emerged as the second best team in all of baseball (Cubs) and they have the edge at home as Los Angeles has been a losing proposition (-5.7 units) on the road. It is still unknown as to when Clayton Kershaw will be making his return to the mound, but it doesn’t seem like it will be in the Nation’s Capital.

This is also a revenge situation for the Nats as they were swept at Dodger Stadium back in June.

Pitching Notes

* The White Sox desperately need a quality start from Chris Sale on Monday. Their left-handed ace was shockingly shelled by Atlanta in his last start before the All-Star Break (allowed eight runs!), not to mention the team has scored a grand total of one run its last four games. Sale still has a 14-4 TSR though (3.38 ERA, 1.04 WHIP) and will be facing a team (Seattle) that scored only two runs in its last two games.

* Tyler Anderson is a name to potentially keep an eye on. A rookie southpaw for Colorado, he’s obviously at a disadvantage having to regularly pitch at Coors Field. But the Rockies finally might have a pitcher who can consistently strike batters out (so key with that thin air). He has a 32-6 KW rate thus far (six starts) and has allowed three earned runs or less every time out.

Hitter Notes

* So much for sacrifice. A day after the Indians did a well-publicized “sacrifice” (google it, if interested) on catcher Yan Gomes (in the hopes of getting him out of a season-long slump), he injured his shoulder and now may possibly miss the remainder of the regular season. While catcher is a tough position to have an injury, what is Cleveland really going to be missing here? Gomes was hitting only .165 for the year, including a 0 for 27 stretch heading into Sunday.

* Cleveland will be facing Kansas City starting Monday. The Royals have a hitter of their own who has been in a season-long funk, that being Alex Gordon, who is hitting just .207 for the year with a .692 OPS. Gordon is just a .188 career hitter against Corey Kluber, whom KC will face in Monday’s opener.

Totals Trend

The Over has cashed in each of the last six starts made by Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola. He faces off against Jose Fernandez on Monday, at home.

Monday's Weather Report:

Thunderstorms are expected to be the theme of the week as a massive system is being forecast to stall and stretch from the Midwest all the way to the East coast. Let's get into it.

* There is a chance of thunderstorms in The Bronx where the first place Orioles will be in town to take on the Yankees. There is a 60 percent chance of rain to go along with hot and humid conditions this evening. The total is currently set at 9.0.

* Thunderstorms will also be an issue in Philadelphia where the Phillies will be hosting the Miami Marlins. There is also a 60 percent chance of rain for this one with hot, humid air conditions and a 10 mph wind blowing out to right field. The total is currently set at 7.0.

* There is a chance of thunderstorms in Cincinnati where the Reds will host the Atlanta Braves. There is a 50 percent chance of rain and hot, sticky air throughout the game. The total is set at 9.0.

* Busch Stadium in St. Louis will be another sight for a potential light show tonight. The San Diego Padres will be in town to take on the Cards and there is a 30 percent chance of rain, temperatures in the mid-90's, humidity levels at around 70 percent, and a 5 mph breeze blowing out to left field. The total is set at 8.5.

* Denver will have a 50 percent chance of rain and thunderstorms tonight with the Tampa Bay Rays coming to town to take on the Rockies in interleague action. There will be a 5-10 mph swirling wind throughout the evening. The total is currently 11.5.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Monday, July 18


Indians have lost Kluber's last 5 starts at Royals & have lost his last 8 Monday starts. CLE -165 KC (Volquez) +140

[StarDust Bum]

Baseball Capsules
July 19, 2016


CHICAGO (AP) Anthony Rizzo hit a three-run homer, Jon Lester pitched 7 2/3 innings and the Chicago Cubs stopped an eight-game losing streak against the New York Mets with a 5-1 victory on Monday night in a rematch of last year's NL Championship Series.

With one out and two on in the third inning, Rizzo fouled off five straight 2-2 pitches from Steven Matz before driving a changeup deep into the right-center bleachers for his 22nd homer.

Lester (10-4) allowed one run - Wilmer Flores' leadoff homer in the seventh - and four hits in his first win in a month. Matz (7-6) was charged with four runs and eight hits in five-plus innings, dropping to 0-5 in his last nine starts.

MARLINS 3, PHILLIES 2

PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Jose Fernandez tied a career-high with 14 strikeouts, and Martin Prado hit a solo homer off Brett Oberholtzer (2-2) in the 11th.

Fernandez pitched 6 1/3 innings and became the pitcher to reach 500 strikeouts in the fewest innings: 400.

Christian Yelich hit an RBI double off Jeanmar Gomez with two outs in the ninth and scored on Marcell Ozuna's single.

Kyle Barraclough (6-2) pitched one inning, and A.J. Ramos finished for his 30th save, retiring Maikel Franco on a game-ending flyout to the warning track

TIGERS 1, TWINS 0

DETROIT (AP) - Matt Boyd (1-2) allowed three hits in six innings, sending last-place Minnesota to another loss just hours after it announced the firing of general manager Terry Ryan.

Justin Upton homered in the second. Three relievers finished for the Tigers, with Francisco Rodriguez pitching a hitless ninth for his 26th save.

YANKEES 2, ORIOLES 1

NEW YORK (AP) - Alex Rodriguez hit his 696th career homer - his first since June 18 - Ivan Nova (7-5) grinded through six innings and Aroldis Chapman hit 105 mph while locking down his 19th save.

The No Runs DMC triad, possibly in its final days with Andrew Miller and Chapman rumored to be on the trade block, covered the final three innings to extend its scoreless streak to 22 innings. The Yankees are 18-1 when all Dellin Betances and the other two relievers pitch in the same game.

Kevin Gausman (1-7) also allowed Brian McCann's sacrifice fly in the third and fell to 0-1 in three starts against New York this season despite a 1.31 ERA over 20 2/3 innings.

REDS 8, BRAVES 2

CINCINNATI (AP) - Zack Cozart, Joey Votto and Eugenio Suarez all homered in the fourth inning of a matchup between the NL's two worst teams.

The Reds (35-58) have taken three of five this season against the Braves, who have the majors' worst record (32-61). Atlanta is 19-31 at Great American Ball Park, including five losses in its last six games.

Matt Wisler (4-9) has given up five homers in his last two starts.

Brandon Finnegan (5-7) allowed two runs and seven hits in five-plus innings.

CARDINALS 10, PADRES 2

ST. LOUIS (AP) - Mike Leake (7-7) had his second straight double-digit strikeouts game with no walks, joining Bob Gibson (1968-69) as the only St. Louis pitchers to accomplish the feat, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. Leake struck out a season-best 11, allowing one run and six hits in six innings.

Pinch-hitter Matt Adams' two-run double keyed a four-run sixth. Randal Grichuk and Jedd Gyorko connecting in consecutive at-bats in the seventh, and Stephen Piscotty homered into the third deck in left in the eighth.

Christian Friedrich (4-6) gave up four runs - three earned - and six hits in 5 1/3 innings.

ROYALS 7, INDIANS 3

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - Jarrod Dyson hit a grand slam off Jeff Manship following a pair of walks by Bryan Shaw (1-4), capping a seven-run rally in the eighth.

Corey Kluber scattered five hits and took the mound to begin the eighth with a 2-0 lead. But manager Terry Francona and trainer James Quinlan came from the dugout and pulled Kluber because of a right calf cramp on a night with a 90-degree gametime temperature.

Luke Hochevar (2-2) worked a scoreless eighth, and Wade Davis got the final out for his 20th save.

ATHLETICS 7, ASTROS 4

OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - Yonder Alonso drove in three runs with a pair of two-out hits to back Kendall Graveman's fifth consecutive win, and the Athletics beat the Astros.

Khris Davis hit his fourth home run in three games, Marcus Semien had two hits and scored twice while Ryon Healy added an RBI double for the A's.

Oakland has won three of four since the All-Star break.

Graveman (6-6) allowed three runs over seven innings to earn his second straight win over Houston. Dyan Dull retired three batters and Ryan Madson pitched the ninth for his 20th save.

Starter Mike Fiers (6-4) allowed six runs over 3 2/3 innings to remain winless in five career starts against Oakland.

MARINERS 4, WHITE SOX 3

SEATTLE (AP) - Adam Lind hit a three-run pinch-hit homer in the ninth inning to give the Mariners an improbable comeback victory over the White Sox, handing Chicago its fifth consecutive loss and wasting a dominant performance by Chris Sale.

Seattle, which had managed just one hit in eight innings off Sale, rallied against closer David Robertson (0-2), who had recorded 13 straight save opportunities.

Sale, bidding to become the first 15-game winner in the majors, allowed just a first-inning single en route to eight scoreless innings.

David Rollins (1-0) pitched the ninth inning for the win.

ANGELS 9, RANGERS 5

ANAHEIM, Calif. (AP) - Mike Trout hit a three-run homer to help the Angels rally from four runs down and beat the Rangers.

With the score tied 5-5 in the seventh, Jeff Bandy was hit by a pitch from Keone Kela (1-1) to start the bottom of the inning and moved to third on Simmons' double. One out later, Calhoun hit a fielder's choice to second, driving in Bandy with the go-ahead run, and Trout followed with his homer over the left-field fence.

J.C. Ramirez (2-3) pitched 1 2/3 innings for the win, and Cam Bedrosian got the last three outs.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Lot of Republicans hate Donald Trump; someone planted blatant plagiarism into Melania Trump's speech last night, mirroring a Michelle Obama speech from 2008 to make the candidate look bad. This year, making people look bad isn't so hard.

-- No actual politician would be stupid enough to plagiarize and thinking you can get away with it, not in this day and age. Unless it was intentional.

-- Mariners 4, White Sox 3-- Chris Sale threw eight shutout innings on 100 pitches, but was lifted after the 8th with a 3-0 lead. Aaron Lind hit a 3-run walkoff homer.

-- It is July 19 and the Jets haven't signed their starting quarterback yet.

-- Twins fired GM Terry Ryan; not only does Minnesota stink, they owe Hughes and Mauer a total of $86M, after this season.

-- RIP Marion Campbell. Known as the Swamp Fox, the former NFL coach was a defensive wizard who played for the 1960 Eagles' title team.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Looking at Mountain West football......

Air Force-- 9-2-1 vs spread at home last two years; they were +22 in turnovers back in 2009, re -16 since then. Lost three of last four bowls, allowing 38.8 ppg; are 7-16 vs spead coming off a loss.

Boise State-- 27-4 SU in Mountain West last five years; won four of last five bowls (3-1 vs Pac-12 teams). Are only 11-20 as home favorite since 2011, 4-3 as underdogs last decade, 9-3 vs spread coming off a loss. +76 in turnovers last seven years.

Colorado State-- Rams are 12-4 as home favorites since '12, 10-18 as road underdog since '08. State is 16-9 SU in league snce '13- they lost 45-10/28-23 in last two bowls. Underdog is 3-1-1 vs spread in their last five games with Colorado.

Fresno State-- Bulldogs are 9-17 last two years; their 3-9 record LY was worst since 1978. Fresno is 12-7 as home favorite under DeRuyter, but 6-11 as home dog since 2006. Fresno lost its last five bowl games, last four by 23+ points.

Hawai'i-- Last bowl was in 2010, last bowl win in '06; new coach is an alum. Open this season in Australia, against Cal. Rainbows are 1-6 as home favorite, 6-11 as dog at home- they were last favored on road in 2011. Are -54 in turnovers last four years.

Nevada-- Covered 10 of last 12 road games, six of last seven as road dog; they're 14-4 vs spread coming off a loss. Are 18-20 SU last three years, despite its +27 turnover ratio. Wolf Pack lost three of last four bowls, has 10 starters back on offense.

UNLV-- 32-92 SU last 10 years, 20-59 in league. Rebels are 13-5 as road dogs the last three years, 1-8 as home dogs last since '14. Have JC QB who was at Nebraska, so he knows Cotton's offense. Have been to one bowl since 2000, lost that one.

New Mexico-- 18-32 under Davie (3-33 three years before him). LY was first bowl since '07; are 10-5 as road underdog since then, but 15-21-1 as home dog. Last bowl they were in that wasn't on home field was in 2004- have 10 starters back on defense.

San Diego State-- Were +22 in turnovers LY, after being -16 previous six seasons. Aztecs are 6-2 as road favorite since '12, 16-7-1 off win since '13- they're 2-3 in last five bowls (were favored in 4 of 5). State is 13-15 as home favorite under Long. .

San Jose State-- Favorites covered 20 of their last 24 games; covered 8 of last 10 as favorite; they're 1-9 vs spread in last 10 games as road dog. Spartans won last four bowls; last bowl loss was in '87. State is -22 in turnovers last three years.

Utah State-- Won 23 of last 26 home games, have only three defensive starters back this year. Aggies are 27-13 as road dogs since '07, 12-8 as home favorites since 2012. Have had a new offensive and new defensive coordinator in each of last three years.

Wyoming-- Last bowl was in 2011; last bowl win was in '09. 8-14 vs spread in last 22 home games; 4-8 as home faves since '12. Had only 7 seniors LY, have 18 now, and 17 starters back. Cowboys are 24-11 as road underdogs since 2009.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, July 19


Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh

Game 953-954
July 19, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Guerra) 14.850
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 12.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+115); Under

San Francisco @ Boston

Game 975-976
July 19, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Peavy) 16.832
Boston
(Porcello) 14.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-160
10
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+140); Over

LA Dodgers @ Washington

Game 955-956
July 19, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kazmir) 17.008
Washington
(Lopez) 14.572
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-105); Over

Tampa Bay @ Colorado

Game 977-978
July 19, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 15.299
Colorado
(Chtwood) 14.173
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-155
12
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+135); Under

Atlanta @ Cincinnati

Game 957-958
July 19, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Jenkins) 11.850
Cincinnati
(Reed) 15.459
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-140); Over

Toronto @ Arizona

Game 979-980
July 19, 2016 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Sanchez) 17.446
Arizona
(Godley) 13.853
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-175
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-175); Over

NY Mets @ Chicago Cubs

Game 959-960
July 19, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 12.112
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 16.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 4 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-160); N/A

San Diego @ St. Louis

Game 961-962
July 19, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Rea) 16.832
St. Louis
(Mrtinez) 14.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-205
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+175); Over

Baltimore @ NY Yankees

Game 963-964
July 19, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Worley) 16.762
NY Yankees
(Eovaldi) 13.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-105); Under

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 965-966
July 19, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Milone) 14.809
Detroit
(Sanchez) 17.303
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-150
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-150); Under

Cleveland @ Kansas City

Game 967-968
July 19, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Salazar) 17.451
Kansas City
(Flynn) 14.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-120); Over

Houston @ Oakland

Game 969-970
July 19, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Keuchel) 17.546
Oakland
(Overton) 14.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-150); Under

Texas @ LA Angels

Game 971-972
July 19, 2016 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lohse) 14.947
LA Angels
(Lincecum) 13.484
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+105); Over

Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 951-952
July 19, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Urena) 14.286
Philadelphia
(Velsquez) 17.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-135); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Seattle

Game 973-974
July 19, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Quntana) 12.584
Seattle
(Miley) 16.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 4 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-105); Under

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, July 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (50 - 42) at PHILADELPHIA (43 - 51) - 7:05 PM
JOSE URENA (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against MIAMI this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JOSE URENA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

VINCENT VELASQUEZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
VELASQUEZ is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (39 - 51) at PITTSBURGH (47 - 45) - 7:05 PM
JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 72-113 (-34.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 145-110 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 22-16 (+9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 9-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
PITTSBURGH is 145-110 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 34-27 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 111-86 (+16.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 88-54 (+28.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 68-37 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GUERRA is 10-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GUERRA is 6-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
GUERRA is 10-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 51-62 (-18.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

JUNIOR GUERRA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

JAMESON TAILLON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA DODGERS (52 - 42) at WASHINGTON (56 - 37) - 7:05 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 146-115 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 2-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-69 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 11-20 (-13.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 9-17 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 49-40 (-4.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 36-34 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 109-85 (-8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 23-32 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 2-11 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 139-116 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 138-115 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 87-79 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 57-58 (-14.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.2 Units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
KAZMIR is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.340.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (32 - 61) at CINCINNATI (35 - 58) - 7:10 PM
TYRELL JENKINS (R) vs. CODY REED (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 19-43 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 39-64 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-30 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 98-157 (-45.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 54-74 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 98-157 (-45.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 18-41 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 77-115 (-26.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 380-410 (-100.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 380-351 (-89.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 26-40 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

TYRELL JENKINS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

CODY REED vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (49 - 43) at CHICAGO CUBS (56 - 36) - 7:05 PM
NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARRIETA is 55-24 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 55-23 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 32-12 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1544-1659 (-271.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 824-775 (-165.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 5-9 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 213-262 (-78.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1487-1572 (-246.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 253-248 (-63.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1130-1233 (-210.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 738-807 (-189.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-1 (+4.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SYNDERGAARD is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.044.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (41 - 52) at ST LOUIS (48 - 44) - 8:15 PM
COLIN REA (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 111-74 (+21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-29 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
REA is 10-6 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
REA is 10-6 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
REA is 12-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 21-28 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 0-6 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Tuesday this season.
ST LOUIS is 21-28 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 11-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 7-15 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

COLIN REA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
REA is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.778.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MARTINEZ is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.385.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (53 - 38) at NY YANKEES (46 - 46) - 7:05 PM
VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 53-38 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-15 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 49-32 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-26 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-27 (+10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 23-39 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-3 (+0.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

VANCE WORLEY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
EOVALDI is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.661.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (33 - 59) at DETROIT (49 - 44) - 7:10 PM
TOM MILONE (L) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-59 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-30 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-24 (-15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 33-59 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-35 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-44 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-42 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 49-44 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 14-2 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
DETROIT is 44-41 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 28-20 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MILONE is 68-47 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 66-44 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 48-28 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 33-22 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 9-2 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 42-44 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

TOM MILONE vs. DETROIT since 1997
MILONE is 3-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.487.
His team's record is 5-2 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-0. (+7.2 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 4-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 1.128.
His team's record is 6-6 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (54 - 38) at KANSAS CITY (47 - 45) - 8:15 PM
DANNY SALAZAR (R) vs. BRIAN FLYNN (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 5-6 (+0.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SALAZAR is 6-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.147.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.7 units)

BRIAN FLYNN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (50 - 43) at OAKLAND (41 - 52) - 10:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. DILLON OVERTON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 5-6 (-0.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. OAKLAND since 1997
KEUCHEL is 2-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.76 and a WHIP of 1.253.
His team's record is 7-4 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.1 units)

DILLON OVERTON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (55 - 39) at LA ANGELS (41 - 52) - 10:05 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 20-44 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 55-39 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 31-14 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 12-5 (+8.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
TEXAS is 26-24 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 26-13 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 26-14 (+16.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 54-36 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 39-25 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 41-28 (+16.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 22-16 (+8.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 38-51 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 6-5 (+1.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LOHSE is 4-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.28 and a WHIP of 1.751.
His team's record is 5-7 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.6 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. TEXAS since 1997
LINCECUM is 2-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.448.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (45 - 47) at SEATTLE (47 - 46) - 10:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-25 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-39 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
QUINTANA is 32-46 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 6-0 (+6.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
SEATTLE is 40-24 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-13 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 19-10 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 123-132 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 60-67 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 225-222 (-53.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
SEATTLE is 117-129 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 43-48 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 35-51 (-20.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 51-70 (-30.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-30 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-20 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.646.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

WADE MILEY vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MILEY is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.51 and a WHIP of 1.603.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (57 - 36) at BOSTON (51 - 39) - 7:10 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PEAVY is 24-38 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 3-15 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-36 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 802-822 (+44.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1111-932 (+116.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 588-572 (+56.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 392-396 (+36.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 758-750 (+46.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BOSTON is 200-215 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 107-106 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-37 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 177-190 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 51-56 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-31 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 17-29 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEAVY is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.19 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

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TAMPA BAY (35 - 57) at COLORADO (43 - 49) - 8:40 PM
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 35-57 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-12 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 13-27 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TAMPA BAY is 21-35 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-45 (-26.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-38 (-23.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 217-295 (-86.2 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 65-102 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
CHATWOOD is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.909.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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TORONTO (52 - 42) at ARIZONA (40 - 53) - 9:40 PM
AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
GODLEY is 7-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GODLEY is 7-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GODLEY is 6-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 17-33 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 17-33 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 14-22 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 12-26 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 5-13 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 70-127 (-43.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 24-62 (-31.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

AARON SANCHEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACK GODLEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, July 19

National League
Marlins @ Phillies
Urena is making his first MLB start; he is 1-1, 7.52 in 16 MLB games (20.1 IP) and 1-3, 3.99 in 10 AAA starts this season.

Velasquez is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Phillies are 5-2 in his home starts.

Marlins won six of last seven games; over is 17-6 in their last 23 true road games. Philly lost three of last four games, under is 10-2-1 in its last 13 at home.

Brewers @ Pirates
Guerra is 3-1, 1.61 in his last four starts; under is 8-2-1 in his last 11. Milwaukee is 6-0 in his road starts.

Taillon is 2-1, 3.86 in five starts this year (over 4-1).

Brewers lost four of their last five games; they're 5-10 in road series openers. Under is 5-2-2 in their last nine games. Pittsburgh won 10 of its last 14 games; they're 9-5 in home series openers. Last five Pirate home games went over the total.

Dodgers @ Nationals
Kazmir is 2-0, 4.05 in his last four starts; five of his last seven starts went over. Dodgers are 4-4 in his road starts.

Lopez is making first MLB start; he was 4-5, 3.19 in 16 minor league starts this year, mostly in AA Eastern League.

Dodgers are 6-9 in last 15 road games, 5-10 in road series openers. Five of LA's last seven road games went over total. Washington won five of its last six games; they're 10-4 in home series openers. Last six National games stayed under the total.

Braves @ Reds
Jenkins allowed one run in 4.2 IP (64 PT) in his first '16 start. .

Reed is 0-4, 10.22 in five MLB starts (over 5-0). .

Atlanta is 4-8 in its last 12 games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Cincinnati lost eight of last 12 home games, over is 15-7-1 in Reds' last 23 games.

Mets @ Cubs
Syndergaard is 1-2, 5.52 in his last three starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Mets are 5-2 in his road starts.

Arrieta is 1-3, 7.17 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1). Cubs are 5-3 in his home starts.

Mets lost nine of last 13 road games; under is 15-4 in New York's last 19 road games. Cubs won four of last five games; last six games at Wrigley Field stayed under.

Padres @ Cardinals
Rea is 2-0, 4.91 in his last four starts; nine of his last 11 went over. San Diego won five of his six road starts.

Martinez is 4-1, 1.49 in his last eight starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six. Cardinals lost six of his last seven home starts.

Padres won three of last four games; their last three games went over. St Louis lost five of last eight home games; three of their last four games went over.

American League
Orioles @ New York
Worley is 1-0, 6.75 in two starts (over 1-1), last of which was April 15.

Eovaldi is 0-4, 9.61 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over. New York is 5-2 in his home starts.

Orioles won six of last nine games, their last six games stayed under. New York won four of its last six games, their last four games stayed under.

Twins @ Tigers
Milone is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts; five of his last seven went over. Minnesota lost four of his five road starts.

Sanchez is 0-6, 8.14 in his last eight starts (over 7-3 in his last 10). Detroit is 2-4 in his home starts.

Minnesota lost three of last four games; six of Twins' last seven road games went over. Detroit won five of last six home games, ten of its last 13 games stayed under the total.

Indians @ Royals
Salazar is 3-1, 2.54 in his last four starts; five of his last six went over. Cleveland split his 10 road starts.

Flynn is making first MLB start; he is 2-1, 3.04 in nine AAA games (four starts) this year. He is 1-0, 2.39 in 13 MLB games (26.1 IP), but no starts

Indians won 10 of last 14 road games; under is 5-3-1 in Tribe's last nine road games. Kansas City lost eight of last 12 games; six of last nine KC stayed under the total. Cleveland lost its last five games in Kansas City.

Astros @ A's
Keuchel is 3-0, 3.34 in his last five starts; six of his last nine stayed under. Houston is 4-6 in his road starts.

Overton is 1-1, 11.42 in two starts (over 2-0).

Astros won nine of last 12 road games; four of their last five road games went over. Oakland is 15-23 in last 38 games overall, 6-11 in last 17 at home. Five of their last seven home tilts went over the total.

Rangers @ Angels
Lohse allowed six runs in five IP (109 PT) in his first '16 start.

Lincecum is 0-3, 8.66 in his last four starts (under 3-2).

Texas lost 12 of last 16 games; over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games. Angels won eight of last ten games, four of their last six stayed under the total.

White Sox @ Mariners
Quintana is 2-0, 3.46 in his last two starts; under is 15-2 in his last 17 starts. Chicago split his ten road starts.

Miley is 0-4, 6.00 in his last four starts; over is 7-2-2 in his last 11. Seattle is 3-4 in his home starts.

White Sox lost their last four games, scoring one run; three of their last four games stayed under. Seattle lost seven of last ten games; four of their last five home games went over.

Interleague
Giants @ Red Sox
Peavy is 4-1, 3.51 in his last six starts (under 5-1). Giants are 3-5 in his road starts.

Porcello is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; Red Sox are 9-0 in his home starts. Over is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts.

Giants lost their last three games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games. Giants are 8-7 in their road series openers. Boston won eight of last ten games; they're 9-7 in home series openers. Last five Boston games stayed under the total.

Rays @ Rockies
Snell is 1-4, 5.74 in his last five starts (under 4-2). .

Chatwood is 0-1, 6.94 in his last three starts (over 3-0); Colorado is 3-5 in his home starts.

Tampa Bay lost its last 11 road games; Rays' last six games stayed under total. Colorado is 10-6 in last 16 home games, eight of last 12 games at Coors Field went over the total.

Blue Jays @ Diamondbacks
Sanchez is 3-0, 2.18 in his last five starts; Jays are 6-4 in his road starts. Last four Sanchez starts stayed under the total.

Godley is 2-0, 4.91 in his last two starts (over 2-0).

Toronto is 4-7 in its last 11 road games, 9-6 in road series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Arizona lost 13 of last 17 games but won last two; they're 3-13 in home series openers. Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten home games.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Mia-Phil-- Urena 0-0; Velasquez 10-5
Mil-Pitt-- Guerra 10-3; Taillon 3-2
LA-Wsh-- Kazmir 10-8 (4-0 last 4); Lopez 0-0
Atl-Cin-- Jenkins 0-1; Reed 0-5
NY-Chi-- Syndergaard 11-6; Arrieta 13-5 (3-5 last 8)
SD-StL-- Rea 10-6; Martinez 8-9

Balt-NY-- Worley 2-0; Eovaldi 8-8 (0-4 last 4)
Min-Det-- Milone 4-4; Sanchez 3-10 (0 of last 8)
Cle-KC-- Salazar 11-6; Flynn 0-0
Hst-A's-- Keuchel 9-10 (5-0 last 5); Overton 1-1
Tex-LAA-- Lohse 0-1; Lincecum 2-3
Chi-Sea-- Quintana 9-9; Miley 9-7 (0-4 last 4)

SF-Bos-- Peavy 10-8; Porcello 14-4 (7-0 last 7)
TB-Colo-- Snell 1-5; Chatwood 10-6
Tor-Az-- Sanchez 11-7; Godley 2-0

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Mia-Phil-- Urena 0-0; Velasquez 3-14
Mil-Pitt-- Guerra 2-13; Taillon 1-5
LA-Wsh-- Kazmir 10-18; Lopez 0-0
Atl-Cin-- Jenkins 0-1; Reed 4-5
NY-Chi-- Syndergaard 4-17; Arrieta 3-18
SD-StL-- Rea 9-16; Martinez 1-17

Balt-NY-- Worley 0-2; Eovaldi 4-16
Min-Det-- Milone 0-8; Sanchez 5-13
Cle-KC-- Salazar 1-17; Flynn 0-0
Hst-A's-- Keuchel 4-19; Overton 1-2
Tex-LAA-- Lohse 0-1; Lincecum 2-5
Chi-Sea-- Quintana 4-18; Miley 7-16

SF-Bos-- Peavy 4-18; Porcello 7-18 (5 of last 6)
TB-Colo-- Snell 2-6; Chatwood 6-16
Tor-Az-- Sanchez 3-18; Godley 1-2

Umpires
Mia-Phil-- Favorites won 10 of last 12 Hallion games.
Atl-Cin-- Six of last nine Barksdale games stayed under.
NY-Chi-- Nine of 12 Cooper games stayed under total.
SD-StL-- Over is 6-3-2 in last eleven Vanover games.

Balt-NY-- Six of last eight Tichenor games stayed under.
Min-Det-- Last eight Layne games went over the total.
Cle--KC-- Over is 5-3-1 in last nine Eddings games.
Hst-A's-- Last five Gonzalez games stayed under.
Tex-LA-- 12 of last 13 Wegner games went over total.
Chi-Sea-- Last four Danley games stayed under.

TB-Colo-- Home side won 11 of last 12 Fagan games.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, July 19

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers

7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Miami

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. CINCINNATI
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. BOSTON
San Francisco is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:15 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

8:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing San Diego
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:40 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Colorado is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

9:40 PM
TORONTO vs. ARIZONA
Toronto is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Arizona is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Oakland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games on the road
Texas is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 15 games at home
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. SEATTLE
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Tuesday, July 19

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Tuesday's MLB Game of the Day: Mets at Cubs
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cubs' Jake Arrieta has not recorded a quality start in his last four outings and has lasted six innings in just one of those starts.

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs (A: +135, H: -145, Total: 7.0)

The "friendly confines" of Wrigley Field have been anything but kind to the New York Mets. The Mets have lost eight straight regular-season road games to the Chicago Cubs, a streak they’ll try to break in the second contest of a three-game set Tuesday.

Chicago improved its National League-best home record to 29-15 with a 5-1 victory in the series opener, getting a three-run blast from Anthony Rizzo and a strong outing from Jon Lester. The loss snapped the Mets’ streak of eight straight wins against the Cubs, including a sweep in last year’s NL Championship Series and a four-game sweep earlier this month in New York. The Cubs’ starting pitching, which limped into the All-Star break, has turned in four solid starts to begin the second half. The Mets will try to beat reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Jake Arrieta for the second time in 2 1/2 weeks after touching him for four runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings July 2 in New York.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, SNY (New York), CSN Chicago, ESPN

INJURY REPORT:

Mets - SP N. Syndergaard (Probable Tuesday, arm), RP J. Henderson (15-Day DL, bicep), 1B L. Duda (15-Day DL, back), 3B D. Wright (60-Day DL, neck).

Cubs - CF D. Fowler (15-Day DL, hamstring), RP T. Cahill (15-Day DL, knee), 3B C. Coghlan (15-Day DL, ribs), LF J. Soler (15-Day DL, hamstring).

WEATHER REPORT: The weather forecast couldn't be more perfect for what, on paper, looks like a potential game of the year candidate. Clear skies, temperatures in the low-80's, and a bit of a breeze (5 mph) blowing in from right field will welcome these two teams to the field Tuesday night.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (9-4, 2.56 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (12-4, 2.68)

Syndergaard, who has been battling bone chips in his elbow, received a few extra days coming out of the All-Star break. The 23-year-old has been inconsistent over the past couple of weeks, but he held the Cubs to one run over seven innings July 3 in New York. Syndergaard is 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA in two starts against Chicago.

Arrieta has not recorded a quality start in his last four outings and has lasted six innings in just one of those starts. The 30-year-old’s last outing before the All-Star break was a rough one, as he allowed six runs over six innings in a loss at Pittsburgh. Arrieta is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA in six starts against the Mets.

TRENDS:

* Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 Tuesday games.
* Mets are 7-0 in Syndergaard's last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
* Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Cubs are 11-3 in Arrieta's last 14 home starts.
* Over is 7-1 in Syndergaard's last 8 starts overall.
* Under is 9-2 in Cubs last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Mets are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is favoring the home favorite Chicago Cubs at a rate of 64 percent. Early returns on the total were showing 86 percent of the wagers on Under 7.0.