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The Bum's Best Bets For Tuesday June 16th - MLB - NBA -NHL !

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  • #46
    Capping the Padres' plans and the biggest MLB betting movers and shakers

    After dumping an exorbitant amount of both money and resources this past offseason in an effort to upgrade their roster for a playoff push in 2015, it came as little surprise on Monday to learn that the struggling 32-33 San Diego Padres had handed manager Bud Black his walking papers.

    Black, who was with the club since 2007, was on thin ice after last year’s 77-85 campaign and clearly the new management team wasn’t about to stick with a guy who was underachieving so significantly with a revamped roster that hit the board at 20/1 to win the World Series on Opening Day.

    The big question now for the Padres is at what point does this team definitively answer the age-old question: Are we buyers or sellers? The MLB trade deadline is just over a month away and it’s hard to believe that San Diego’s front office will want to raise the white flag after such a headline-grabbing offseason.

    The upside here is that the Padres are just six games out of first place in the National League West, so two good weeks of baseball could have this team right back in the hunt. The downside is that the two clubs ahead of San Diego - Los Angeles and San Francisco - remain steady and consistent, exactly as both were intended to be back in late March.

    MOVERS & SHAKERS

    Let’s take an in-depth look at the 10 teams who have experienced the biggest swings in World Series price at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook since May 18:

    Heating up

    Texas Rangers (500/1 to 30/1): Considered by many to contend with the upstart Houston Astros for last place in the American League West, the Rangers have stunned baseball insiders and fans alike through the first 63 games of the season by taking advantage of a surprisingly weak division to reside 2.5 games out of first place.

    The Rangers won 13 of 17 contests beginning May 20 at Boston thanks, in large part, to the awakening of Prince Fielder, who is currently hitting an astounding .343 while leading the club in home runs, RBIs, on base percentage and hits. As of the current moment, the only question for this squad is what to do at third base once Adrian Beltre is ready to return, as highly-touted prospect Joey Gallo is mashing at a .300 clip with four jacks through his first 11 big league games.

    Pittsburgh Pirates (30/1 to 12/1): It was only a matter of time before former MVP Andrew McCutchen and company went streaking, as the Pirates currently boast a staggering plus-45 run differential, good for fourth in Major League Baseball.

    This squad will have its hands full trying to knock off the white-hot St. Louis Cardinals (six games back despite a 35-27 record), but the Pittsburgh rotation currently owns a collective ERA of just 2.65 (second in MLB) thanks to Cy Young candidate Gerrit Cole (10-2, 1.71 ERA). Take note that 10 of the Pirates’ next 13 games come against the likes of the White Sox, Reds and Braves, who are currently a combined 14 games under .500.

    San Francisco Giants (25/1 to 12/1): The defending champs scratched back into contention following a scorching month of May in which the team posted a 21-9 record with an astounding eight shutouts and a dramatic climb from 29th in MLB in runs scored to 16th. But the good times have come to an abrupt halt thanks to an eight-game home losing streak, shaky starting pitching and an untimely wrist injury to right fielder Hunter Pence.

    Recently it was noted that San Francisco General Manger Brian Sabean was in Chicago over the weekend scouting Reds soon-to-be free agent pitchers Johnny Cueto and Mike Leake, so a possible “We’re in it to win it” trade could be on the horizon. Still, it’s somewhat hard to envision this team making a deep postseason run with a rotation that features Tim Hudson, Ryan Vogelsong, Chris Heston and Tim Lincecum.

    Tampa Bay Rays (40/1 to 20/1): Like every year at this time, nobody gave the Rays a puncher’s chance at making any noise in 2015, yet the team sits tied for the lead in the AL East on June 15 (35-29) with a run differential of plus-14.

    Tampa Bay has won nine of its last 12 outings and has an emerging star in pitcher Chris Archer (7-4, 2.00 ERA), who has led the team’s rotation to a lights out ERA of 3.29 (fourth in MLB). Bettors should be weary of the streaking Blue Jays (winners of 11 straight), but we’ve seen that movie before and it doesn’t end well for the good folks of Toronto.

    Cleveland Indians (40/1 to 30/1): Be very, very careful about how you approach the Indians, as the club is currently trapped in “front office purgatory,” which is a blunt way of saying they aren’t sure whether they will be buyers or sellers come the late July trade deadline.

    Predicted by many to contend for the pennant, the left side of Cleveland’s infield has been a disaster (also as predicted by many) and the starting rotation has been slow out of the gates. But if Kluber, Carrasco & Co. can catch fire and the defense can hold down the fort in a more respectable fashion (SS prodigy Francisco Lindor was just called up), this team may be able to fight its way back into contention, as the Indians are just 6.5 games out of first place at the moment despite a 29-33 record.

    Cooling down

    Seattle Mariners (20/1 to 50/1): The good news for Mariners fans is that despite a horrific start to what was supposed to be a championship-contending season, Seattle is just 7.5 games out of first in the AL West thanks to an Astros team that has gone 2-8 over its last 10 games.

    The bad news - and there’s plenty - is that the bullpen is a mess (3.65 ERA, 19th in MLB), the team is a shockingly bad minus-45 in run differential (fifth-worst in MLB) and the club has been shutout in three of its last four outings. The key note to monitor here is the minus-45 run differential, which based on Pythagorean win/loss expectations has the Mariners as a 25-win team at the moment instead of their current record of 28-35, meaning this organization is likely to get worse before it gets better.

    Miami Marlins (60/1 to 100/1): Help is on the way in the form of phenom pitcher Jose Fernandez, but it may be too little too late for a Marlins team that is seven games out of first, has already fired one manager this season and is minus-22 in run differential. A fire sale is likely on the horizon if the team continues to feature 34-year-old Dan Haren and his 3.22 ERA as its ace pitcher.

    Boston Red Sox (30/1 to 50/1): One good week is all it would take for the Red Sox to climb back into contention in the AL East (eight games back), but even that looks to be too much for a floundering organization led by David Ortiz’s .229 batting average and high-priced free agent acquisition Pablo Sandoval’s unacceptable .389 slugging percentage.

    The Red Sox are getting torched in every way imaginable, which has been highlighted by an AL-worst minus-60 run differential. Don’t be surprised if the Red Sox become marquee sellers at the trade deadline.

    Cincinnati Reds (100/1 to 300/1): The Reds are 13 games out in the toughest division in baseball and currently boast just one player with a .300 batting average in second baseman Brandon Phillips (.302).

    Ranking 16th or worse in MLB in scoring, starting pitching ERA and bullpen ERA provides little hope that this club will turn things around before the July trade deadline, which means that pitchers Cueto and Leake could be on their way out of town in a hurry.

    Detroit Tigers (9/1 to 14/1): The Tigers have ripped off five wins over their last seven games after having dropped 11 of 13, so a three-game deficit between them and AL Central-leading Kansas City isn’t exactly a doomsday scenario.

    Former Cy Young winner Justin Verlander went five strong innings in his season debut on June 13, but the Tigers desperately need a left-handed bat in the lineup to provide some pop until the switch-hitting Victor Martinez (knee) returns from his rehab assignment.

    RESILIENCY

    When it comes to bouncing back after a loss, here are the best and the worst Major League Baseball has to offer:

    St. Louis Cardinals: 14-7 (.667)
    Chicago Cubs: 18-9 (.667)
    Los Angeles Dodgers: 17-9 (.654)
    Cleveland Indians: 19-13 (.594)
    Texas Rangers: 17-12 (.586)

    Philadelphia Phillies: 13-28 (.317)
    Miami Marlins: 13-23 (.361)
    Milwaukee Brewers: 15-24 (.385)
    Cincinnati Reds: 13-20 (.394)
    Colorado Rockies: 14-20 (.412)

    Note: The 34-30 San Francisco Giants rank sixth-worst in MLB in record when coming off a loss at 12-17 (.414).

    THESE DOGS LIKE TO BITE

    At the current moment, only four teams in Major League Baseball are turning a profit for bettors when posted in the underdog role. Those teams include:

    San Francisco Giants: 18-9 (.667)
    Minnesota Twins: 29-22 (.569)
    Kansas City Royals: 14-11 (.560)
    Houston Astros: 20-16 (.556)

    A GOOD NIGHT’S REST

    Which teams excel or falter the most when given exactly one day of rest?

    San Francisco Giants: 6-1 (.857)
    San Diego Padres: 4-1 (.800)
    Washington Nationals: 6-2 (.750)
    Detroit Tigers: 5-2 (.714)
    Toronto Blue Jays: 5-2 (.714)

    Minnesota Twins: 2-7 (.222)
    Baltimore Orioles: 2-5 (.286)
    Milwaukee Brewers: 2-4 (.333)
    Tampa Bay Rays: 2-4 (.333)
    Colorado Rockies: 3-6 (.333)

    All stats as of Monday, June 15.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #47
      Over wagers cashing with this umpire working

      The Over has gone 5-1 in the last six games when umpire Mike Estabrook is working behind home plate. That's where he'll be when Minnesota Twins visit the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday afternoon.

      Despite the hot over trend, the Over/Under record is 6-5 in the 11 games that Estabrook has umpired so far this season. There has been an average of 7.91 runs scored in his 11 ball games.

      With Michael Wacha probable for the Cardinals and Kyle Gibson scheduled to get the start for the Twins, oddsmakers have the total set at 7 for this matchup.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #48
        Dodgers' Kershaw won't face Rangers in Texas

        ARLINGTON, Texas - Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw isn't pitching in the two-game series against Texas but was still the most popular Dodgers player Monday.

        Kershaw went to high school at nearby Highland Park and had a contingent of around 70 people on hand for Monday night's game.

        Kershaw was too busy Monday to get worked up about missing the series. He will pitch against the Rangers Wednesday when the teams play in Los Angeles.

        "I've never pitched here, played one game here in high school, played first base," Kershaw said. "It's obviously not Dodger Stadium. It's a little bit more hitter friendly. I think 10 years from now, it'd be like 'Oh man I got to pitch here.' But at the end of the day Dodger Stadium is a better place to pitch so I'm not too upset about it."

        He was even able to find a bright spot about facing Texas in California Wednesday. It's one less bat he'll have to worry about because there will be no designated hitter.

        "They're swinging the bats really, really well right now," he said. "Fortunately, no DH in L.A., so they're going to have to make some decisions there. But they're playing really good right now so it's a tough matchup."

        Wednesday's game will mark the first time Kershaw has faced his hometown team.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #49
          Brewers claim 3B Dominguez from Astros

          Milwaukee on Tuesday claimed third baseman Matt Dominguez off waivers from Houston after he was designated for assignment last week.

          Dominguez, 25, was once a top prospect of the Florida Marlins, but has struggled offensively.

          In 2012, he was traded to the Astros and in 357 games for Houston, Dominguez hit just .233.

          Only second baseman Jose Altuve started more games for the Astros between 2013 and 2014 than Dominguez.

          The Brewers are stashing Dominguez at Triple-A Colorado Springs for now.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #50
            MLB Consensus Picks Up Dated as of 3:40 PM PST

            SIDES (ATS)

            Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

            1:45 PM Minnesota +151 304 25.65% St. Louis -164 881 74.35% View View

            7:05 PM Philadelphia +173 367 29.53% Baltimore -188 876 70.47% View View

            7:05 PM Chi. White Sox +143 390 30.64% Pittsburgh -155 883 69.36% View View

            7:08 PM Cincinnati +126 376 30.67% Detroit -136 850 69.33% View View

            3:45 PM Seattle -115 424 34.93% San Francisco +106 790 65.07% View View

            2:10 PM Colorado +158 377 34.94% Houston -172 702 65.06% View View

            10:05 PM Arizona +165 435 36.77% LA Angels -180 748 63.23% View View

            8:05 PM Cleveland +130 250 36.98% Chi. Cubs -141 426 63.02% View View

            8:05 PM LA Dodgers -150 562 44.64% Texas +138 697 55.36% View View

            7:10 PM Washington +114 608 50.88% Tampa Bay -123 587 49.12% View View

            7:10 PM Toronto +140 661 51.88% NY Mets -152 613 48.12% View View

            4:05 PM Atlanta +146 706 59.03% Boston -159 490 40.97% View View

            3:40 PM Oakland -108 692 59.09% San Diego +100 479 40.91% View View

            7:10 PM NY Yankees -104 856 69.82% Miami -104 370 30.18% View View

            8:10 PM Kansas City -108 940 73.78% Milwaukee +100 334 26.22% View View


            TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)

            Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds

            8:05 PM LA Dodgers 9.5 270 38.63% Texas 9.5 429 61.37% View View

            7:08 PM Cincinnati 8.5 264 39.82% Detroit 8.5 399 60.18% View View

            1:45 PM Minnesota 7 283 43.07% St. Louis 7 374 56.93% View View

            7:05 PM Chi. White Sox 7 323 44.19% Pittsburgh 7 408 55.81% View View

            7:10 PM Washington 7.5 315 46.32% Tampa Bay 7.5 365 53.68% View View

            7:05 PM Philadelphia 8.5 367 50.55% Baltimore 8.5 359 49.45% View View

            3:45 PM Seattle 7 342 51.58% San Francisco 7 321 48.42% View View

            2:10 PM Colorado 8.5 345 53.74% Houston 8.5 297 46.26% View View

            8:10 PM Kansas City 7.5 370 54.01% Milwaukee 7.5 315 45.99% View View

            7:10 PM NY Yankees 7.5 383 54.56% Miami 7.5 319 45.44% View View

            8:05 PM Cleveland 6.5 228 56.58% Chi. Cubs 6.5 175 43.42% View View

            4:05 PM Atlanta 9 396 57.31% Boston 9 295 42.69% View View

            10:05 PM Arizona 7.5 437 61.99% LA Angels 7.5 268 38.01% View View

            7:10 PM Toronto 7.5 456 63.16% NY Mets 7.5 266 36.84% View View

            3:40 PM Oakland 6.5 468 63.33% San Diego 6.5 271 36.67% View View

            Games are highlighted when more than 59% of all cash contests players choose outcome
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #51
              MLB EVENING SELECTIONS:


              Philadelphia - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -193 500 *****
              Baltimore - Over 8.5 500

              Chi. White Sox - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -153 500 *****
              Pittsburgh - Under 7 500 DOUBLE PLAY

              Cincinnati - 7:08 PM ET Detroit -136 500
              Detroit - Under 8.5 500

              NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET NY Yankees -104 500 GRAND SLAM
              Miami - Under 7.5 500

              Washington - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -125 500 DOUBLE PLAY
              Tampa Bay - Under 7.5 500

              Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Toronto +143 500 DOUBLE PLAY
              NY Mets - Over 7.5 500

              Cleveland - 8:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs -141 500
              Chi. Cubs - Over 6.5 500 GRAND SLAM

              LA Dodgers - 8:05 PM ET Texas +138 500 GRAND SLAM
              Texas - Under 9.5 500

              Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -108 500 DOUBLE PLAY
              Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

              Arizona - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels -180 500
              LA Angels - Over 7.5 500
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #52
                OMG I MUST BE DREAMING MORNING GAMES GO 9 - 1...........

                06/16/15 9-*1-*0 90.00% +*3950 Detail
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #53
                  Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores

                  9:00 PM EDT

                  711 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -4.5 -05 -3.5 -05 / -3 / -3.5 -05 -3.5 -04 -162

                  712 CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 195o05 194 / 194o11 / 194 193.5 +137

                  CLE-G-Kyrie Irving-OUT | CLE-PF-Kevin Love-OUT | TV: ABC
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    nba posted in a hour......good luck !
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      RECORD FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING

                      Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

                      06/16/15 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950


                      TUESDAY, JUNE 16

                      Game Score Status Pick Amount

                      Connecticut - 10:00 PM ET Seattle -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
                      Seattle - Over 140.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

                      Minnesota - 10:30 PM ET Los Angeles +10 500 *****
                      Los Angeles - Over 144.5 500 *****
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores

                        9:00 PM EDT

                        711 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -4.5 -05 -3 -13 / -3 / -3 -13 -3 -150 DOUBLE PLAY

                        712 CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 195o05 194 / 193.5 / 193.5u12 193.5 UNDER DOUIBLE PLAY +130

                        PICKCLE-G-Kyrie Irving-OUT | CLE-PF-Kevin Love-OUT | TV: ABC


                        Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores

                        9:00 PM EDT

                        711 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -4.5 -05 -3 -13 / -3 / -3 -13 -3 -150

                        712 CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 195o05 194 / 193.5 / 193.5u12 193.5 UNDER +130

                        PICKCLE-G-Kyrie Irving-OUT | CLE-PF-Kevin Love-OUT | TV: ABC
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment

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