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Cnotes 2020/2021 NHL Season Long Trends, News, Notes, Picks !

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  • Saturday’s 6-pack
    NFL leaders in rushing yardage last year:

    2,027— Derrick Henry, Tenn
    1,557— Dalvin Cook, Minn
    1,169— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
    1,104— Aaron Jones, GB
    1,070— David Montgomery, Chi
    1,070— James Robinson, Jax
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 574,383
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    Quote of the Day
    “Hell of a place to retire to.”
    A judge on an old episode of Law and Order, when told a witness had retired to Albany. I live a mile outside Albany; I like it here, except in winter.

    Saturday’s quiz
    Where did Hall of Fame linebacker Lawrence Taylor play his college football?

    Friday’s quiz
    Blake Bortles was the Jacksonville Jaguars’ QB the last time they played a playoff game, in 2017.

    Thursday’s quiz
    Jared Goff is the last player the Rams drafted in the first round, in 2016.

    ************************************************** *

    Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday

    — First things first, get well soon to Rams’ GM Les Snead, who tested positive for COVID this week; he is running the Rams’ draft from his garage— looks like a pretty nice garage.

    — Houston Texans took Stanford QB Davis Mills in the 3rd round, raising even more ?s about the status of Deshaun Watson.

    Mills only started 11 games at Stanford; he is a developmental project.
    Texans have Tyrod Taylor, who was in Buffalo when they drafted Josh Allen, in LA when the Chargers drafted Justin Herbert.

    Will Watson get traded, suspended or both? The TV guys seemed unanimous that no matter what, he’s played his last game for the Texans.

    — This was the first time ever Northwestern had two players drafted in the first round.

    — Chicago Bears drafted QB Justin Fields; they also have Andy Dalton/Nick Foles. Foles is guaranteed $9M over the next two years; going to be difficult to trade him.

    — Dodgers lost nine of their last 12 games; they’ve scored total of 10 runs in their last six road games.

    — Aaron Rodgers threw 48 TD passes last year; Green Bay punted 47 times. They really going to trade him? Hell, they drafted a WR Friday whose name is A. Rodgers (Amari Rodgers)

    — Celtics 143, Spurs 140:
    Spurs led by 32 points in the 2nd quarter.
    Jayson Tatum scored 60 points for Boston.

    — Phillies are 13-13, which doesn’t sound too impressive, but they’re in first place in NL East.

    — Francisco Lindor is hitting .189, he is 4 for his last 29 and the Mets are 9-11. Not exactly what the new billionaire owner had in mind when he signed Lindor to a 10-year, $341M contract this winter.

    — No Big X players were taken in the first round of the draft; six guys from Alabama were taken in the first round, and 8 of the first 38 choices were Crimson Tide alums.

    — This is the first year since 1999 where QB’s were the first three picks in the NFL Draft; that year, it was Tim Couch, Donovan McNabb, Akili Smith. Drafting is an inexact science, no matter how much money they throw at it.

    — Seattle Mariners lost 19 of their last 21 games in Houston.

    — What week does Trevor Lawrence start at QB for Jacksonville? Gardnew Minshew could start the season under center, but Lawrence has to play at some point in 2021, right?

    — Patrick Mahomes didn’t play until the last game of his rookie season; I’m not saying Lawrence wouldn’t be better off watching for a year, but that hasn’t been the recent trend in the NFL.

    — Nationals 2, Marlins 1 (10)— Kyle Schwarber hit a walk-off homer. Game was 0-0 after nine.

    — NFL Network ran a great segment, a chalkboard session with former coach Steve Mariucci and Florida QB Kyle Trask, who wound up getting picked by Tampa Bay.

    I enjoy those 1-on-1 segments, where the coach challenges the player’s football IQ by showing him some X’s-and-O’s, then changing the subject for a few minutes, before asking the player to regurgitate the X’s-and O’s he was just shown. Trask did it very well.

    Trask is an unusual case; he didn’t even start in high school, playing behind D’Eriq King, who now plays at Miami FL. Trask did start for the Florida Gators for two years.

    — If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    NL— Phillies, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: Padres @ Dodgers
    AL— Red Sox, Royals, A’s. Wild Card: Mariners @ White Sox

    Comment


    • 1BUFFALO -2 BOSTON
      BUFFALO is 7-35 ATS (-31.5 Units) off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

      3TAMPA BAY -4 DETROIT
      DETROIT is 21-67 ATS (-31.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.

      5PITTSBURGH -6 WASHINGTON
      WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite in the current season.

      7NEW JERSEY -8 PHILADELPHIA
      PHILADELPHIA is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

      7NEW JERSEY -8 PHILADELPHIA
      ALAIN VIGNEAULT is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals (Coach of PHILADELPHIA)

      9NY RANGERS -10 NY ISLANDERS
      NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

      11COLUMBUS -12 CAROLINA
      CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (8.4 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

      13OTTAWA -14 MONTREAL
      OTTAWA is 2-20 ATS (-20 Units) off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

      15VANCOUVER -16 TORONTO
      VANCOUVER is 22-15 ATS (15.3 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      17SAN JOSE -18 COLORADO
      SAN JOSE is 132-105 ATS (16.5 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.

      Comment


      • NHL
        Dunkel

        Saturday, May 1


        Comment


        • NHL

          Saturday, May 1


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Buffalo @ Boston
          Buffalo
          Buffalo is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
          Boston
          Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
          Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Tampa Bay @ Detroit
          Tampa Bay
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
          Tampa Bay is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Detroit
          Detroit
          Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

          Columbus @ Carolina
          Columbus
          Columbus is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Carolina
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
          Carolina
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games at home
          Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

          NY Rangers @ NY Islanders
          NY Rangers
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
          NY Rangers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
          NY Islanders
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
          NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Rangers

          New Jersey @ Philadelphia
          New Jersey
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
          New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
          Philadelphia
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games at home

          Pittsburgh @ Washington
          Pittsburgh
          Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh

          Ottawa @ Montreal
          Ottawa
          Ottawa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
          Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          Montreal
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 12 games when playing Ottawa
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

          Vancouver @ Toronto
          Vancouver
          The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Vancouver's last 15 games when playing Toronto
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
          Toronto
          Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
          Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

          Florida @ Chicago
          Florida
          Florida is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games
          Chicago
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

          San Jose @ Colorado
          San Jose
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games on the road
          Colorado
          Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
          Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Dallas @ Nashville
          Dallas
          Dallas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Nashville
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games when playing on the road against Nashville
          Nashville
          Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
          Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

          St. Louis @ Minnesota
          St. Louis
          St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
          St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

          Los Angeles @ Anaheim
          Los Angeles
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
          Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Anaheim
          Anaheim
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Anaheim's last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles

          Vegas @ Arizona
          Vegas
          Vegas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
          Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Arizona
          Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vegas
          Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas

          Calgary @ Edmonton
          Calgary
          Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
          Edmonton
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Edmonton's last 13 games
          Edmonton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • Sunday’s 6-pack
            Managers with the most career ejections:

            162— Bobby Cox
            121— John McGraw
            100— Leo Durocher
            96— Earl Weaver
            88— Frankie Frisch, Tony LaRussa
            84— Ron Gardenhire
            Americans who have died from COVID-19: 574,383
            PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


            Quote of the Day
            “It’s Vegas. You lose track of time in those casinos. There’s no windows, no clocks. He’s probably on a heater. And you never walk away from the table when you’re on a heater.”
            Sid Garner, from The Hangover

            Sunday’s quiz
            Of the 32 current NFL head coaches, how many have won a Super Bowl?

            Saturday’s quiz
            Hall of Fame linebacker Lawrence Taylor played his college football at North Carolina.

            Friday’s quiz
            Blake Bortles was the Jacksonville Jaguars’ QB the last time they played a playoff game, in 2017.

            ************************************************** **

            Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

            13) There is a young man named Jamie Newman who was a QB at Wake Forest for three years:
            — He backed up John Wolford one year, the guy who was the Rams’ backup LY
            — Newman split time as a starter his second year.
            — He threw for 2,868 yards his third year with the Deacons. Pretty good season.

            Then he decided to bolt to greener pastures and transferred to Georgia before the 2020 season, hoping to raise his NFL Draft profile, but then opted out of that season, because of COVID/injury concerns. He figured, or his people figured, that his draft value would be enhanced somehow by his sitting out- they were wrong.

            Newman wasn’t drafted this weekend; he signed on with the Eagles as an undrafted free agent. Had he played at Georgia last year, he undoubtedly would’ve been drafted, but now he has to make the NFL the hard way. Cost him a lot of money, at least for now.

            Sometimes the grass isn’t greener on the other side.

            12) Mel Kiper Jr is an NFL Draft expert: here is how he thinks some teams did:
            Teams he gave an A grade to:
            — Los Angeles Chargers
            — Miami Dolphins
            — New Jersey Jets got an A-minus.

            Teams who got his lowest grades:
            — Pittsburgh Steelers got a C+
            — New Orleans Saints got a C+
            — Indianapolis Colts got a C+

            11) NFL Draft is a fascinating process; like I’ve said before, the average NFL team is worth $3B, yet teams approach the draft in many different ways. Some are obviously smarter than others.

            No one KNOWS who did the best this weekend; part of it is having coaches who will get the most out of the talent that the GM assembles. It’ll be a few years before we really know who did the best drafting this weekend.

            10) NFL changed things up some for Day 3 of the draft; they had some coaches/owners announce their team’s picks, which was a good idea.

            Jerry Jones announced one of the Cowboys’ picks with his teenage grandson; must be fun having a grandfather who owns an NFL team.

            Dallas used its first six draft picks on defensive players, by the way.

            9) The Aaron Rodgers soap opera is becoming tiresome; now the Interweb says he wants the Green Bay GM fired. The weird thing about the Packers is that they’re publicly owned, so who does he air his complaints to?

            There are 360,760 people who are Packers stockholders. There is a small executive committee that actually runs the team.

            Packers went 26-6 the last two years; hard to imagine the GM getting fired.

            8) Rams haven’t had a first round pick since 2016, won’t have another one until at least 2024, but Mel Kiper gave them a B+ grade. Les Snead is a really good GM who would rather trade for proven players than draft rookies.

            7) Madison Bumgarner started the season by going 0-2, 11.19 in his first three starts. Since then, he’s gone 3-0, 1.06 in his last three starts. Go figure.

            6) Cincinnati Reds’ 1B Joey Votto hit his 300th home run this weekend; he’ll be an interesting case when his Hall of Fame voting happens.

            Votto has a career .418 on-base percentage, which is tremendous; made six All-Star Games, finished in top three of the MVP voting three times, winning once. I’m guessing he’ll make it.

            5) Orioles 8, A’s 4:
            — Oakland started this season 1-7
            — A’s then won their next 13 games.
            — Now they’ve lost five of their last seven games.

            Very strange.

            4) Major league teams now script off days for their players; Bronx TV announcer Michael Kay was talking about this Saturday, how Giancarlo Stanton didn’t play Saturday, even though he was 11-20 in his last four games.

            Kay acknowledged that fans get ticked off about stars getting “days off”; hell, Stanton is a DH, why does he need a day off, especially when his bat is red hot?

            I only care because he’s on my fantasy team, but Stanton looks like an NFL tight end; it is ludicrous that he hasn’t played in the field yet this season. Who is making these decisions? Doubt it is the manager; am guessing the GM/analytics people call the shots.

            3) Brewers 6, Dodgers 5 (11)— Dodgers are struggling; they’ve lost 10 of their last 13 games, and now P Dustin May is hurt. They need injured OF Cody Bellinger back in the lineup.

            2) Mets 5, Phillies 4— There was a really, really terrible call made in this game at 2nd base, an out-of-baseline call against Andrew McCutchen— I saw the replay and laughed, it was so bad.

            Calls like this need to be reviewable; this would’ve taken 15 seconds to correct. A young umpire named Jose Navas made the call. Bryce Harper got thrown out because he was arguing from the dugout. Phillies would’ve had go-ahead run on 2nd base in the 8th inning; game was tied at the time. Michael Conforto hit the winning home run a few minutes later.

            1) Minor league baseball makes its return on Tuesday; someone said on TV the other night that teams will play Tuesday-Sunday each week, playing six-game series, to lessen travel. It’ll be fun to check the minor league boxscores again, this I know.

            Comment


            • 31TAMPA BAY -32 DETROIT
              DETROIT is 21-67 ATS (-31.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons.




              NHL
              Dunkel

              Sunday, May 2







              NHL

              Sunday, May 2


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Tampa Bay @ Detroit
              Tampa Bay
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
              Tampa Bay is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing Detroit
              Detroit
              Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
              Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • Monday’s 6-pack
                Over last 5 years, colleges with most NFL Draft picks:

                51— Alabama
                43— Ohio State
                39— LSU
                36— Michigan
                33— Florida
                30— Georgia
                Americans who have died from COVID-19: 574,383
                PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                Quote of the Day
                “Whoever came up with that (bleep) needs to be fired. That’s wack. You’ve got to earn your spot to be in the postseason. No consolation for finishing last. That’s corny.”
                Lebron James, talking about the NBA’s new play-in tournament; he doesn’t like it.

                Monday’s quiz
                When Larry Bird/Magic Johnson played in the national title game in 1979 with Indiana State, Michigan State, who were the other two teams in the Final Four that year?

                Sunday’s quiz
                Of the 32 current NFL head coaches, eight have won a Super Bowl.

                Saturday’s quiz
                Hall of Fame linebacker Lawrence Taylor played his college football at North Carolina.

                ************************************************** *******

                Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

                13) Oy.

                A’s pitcher Jesus Luzardo has a hairline fracture in his left (throwing hand) pinkie; apparently Luzardo was playing a video game before his start Saturday and bumped his hand on a desk, and broke his finger, which explains why he pitched badly against the Orioles.

                12) Reds 13, Cubs 12:
                — Cincy 3B Mike Moustakas homered, doubled, got hit by a pitch and grounded into two double plays- you don’t see that every day.

                It is possible that Cubs’ manager David Ross is overmatched in this job; Reds had winning run on third with no one out in 10th inning, and Nick Castellanos up— he was already 4-5 for the game, with two homers.

                Castellanos up, Votto on deck, you have to walk both of them, create a force at the plate and bring up Moustakas, who had already grounded into two double plays. But no, they pitch to the red-hot Castellanos, he singles to center, game over.

                Both teams hit five homers in this game.

                11) Mets 8, Phillies 7:
                — Bryce Harper hurt his wrist late in this game (check status)
                — Rhys Hoskins appeared to hit a game-tying 3-run homer in 9th inning, but replays showed the ball hit the top of the fence, so Hoskins got a double.
                — Two bullpens gave up 12 runs in seven IP; the starters were pretty good.

                10) Braves’ catcher Travis d’Arnaud tore ligaments in his thumb, will have surgery and is on the 60-day disabled list, big loss for Atlanta.

                9) Giants 7, Padres 1— In four starts since his no-hitter, Joe Musgrove is 0-3, 5.21.

                8) Cleveland P Triston McKenzie threw 57 pitches Saturday; only one fair ball was hit. He walked four, struck out six hitters, gave up five runs in two IP.

                7) A’s 7, Orioles 5— Oakland CF Ramon Laureano had a great 8th inning; with the score 5-5, he robbed DJ Stewart of extra bases with a great catch against the CF fence to end the top of the inning, then he hit a 2-run homer in the bottom of the 8th to send everyone home happy.

                Oakland is 7-0 this season in games where winning run scores from the 7th inning on.

                6) Watching games all day Sunday on DirecTV, following the progress of guys on my fantasy team, the CBSSports.com fantasy website is faster than my satellite dish.

                Results of plays would pop up on my screen before the pitcher threw the ball on my TV— has to be a 2-second delay.

                5) Heading into Sunday’s games, these teams had the worst bullpen ERA’s:
                6.68— Detroit
                5.51— Cincinnati
                5.11— Colorado

                4) Dodgers 16, Milwaukee 4— AJ Pollock knocked in 8 runs, Matt Beaty knocked in 7 runs, as Dodgers took out the frustrations from their recent skid out on a tired Brewer pitching staff.

                3) Of the seven teams in first place or tied for first place, five of them have given up more runs than they’ve scored, which is kind of weird.

                2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
                — NL: Wash/NYM, Brewers, Giants, Wild Card: Cardinals @ Dodgers
                — AL: Red Sox, Royals, A’s. Wild Card: Mariners @ White Sox

                1) 65 SEC players were taken in the NFL Draft, the most of any league. 8 of the first 38 players taken came from Alabama; that has to help their recruiting, not that it needs a lot of help.

                Comment


                • 33NY ISLANDERS -34 BUFFALO
                  NY ISLANDERS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

                  35PITTSBURGH -36 PHILADELPHIA
                  PITTSBURGH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals over the last 2 seasons.

                  37CHICAGO -38 CAROLINA
                  CAROLINA is 14-3 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

                  39WASHINGTON -40 NY RANGERS
                  WASHINGTON is 12-20 ATS (-16 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

                  41NASHVILLE -42 COLUMBUS
                  NASHVILLE is 13-1 ATS (13 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

                  43BOSTON -44 NEW JERSEY
                  NEW JERSEY is 5-19 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

                  45WINNIPEG -46 OTTAWA
                  WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a road loss against a division rival in the current season.

                  47TORONTO -48 MONTREAL
                  TORONTO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

                  49DALLAS -50 FLORIDA
                  FLORIDA is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games in the current season.

                  51ANAHEIM -52 ST LOUIS
                  ST LOUIS are 1-7 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

                  Comment


                  • NHL
                    Dunkel

                    Monday, May 3


                    Comment


                    • NHL

                      Monday, May 3


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      Trend Report
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      NY Islanders @ Buffalo
                      NY Islanders
                      NY Islanders is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
                      Buffalo
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

                      Chicago @ Carolina
                      Chicago
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
                      Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
                      Carolina
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
                      Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

                      Boston @ New Jersey
                      Boston
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
                      Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
                      New Jersey
                      New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
                      The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Jersey's last 8 games at home

                      Washington @ NY Rangers
                      Washington
                      Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
                      NY Rangers
                      NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
                      NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

                      Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia
                      Pittsburgh
                      Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                      Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                      Philadelphia
                      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
                      Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

                      Nashville @ Columbus
                      Nashville
                      Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
                      Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
                      Columbus
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games at home
                      Columbus is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home

                      Toronto @ Montreal
                      Toronto
                      Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                      Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                      Montreal
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games at home
                      Montreal is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto

                      Winnipeg @ Ottawa
                      Winnipeg
                      Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ottawa
                      Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
                      Ottawa
                      Ottawa is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Ottawa's last 12 games at home

                      Dallas @ Florida
                      Dallas
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Florida
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
                      Florida
                      Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games when playing Dallas

                      Vegas @ Minnesota
                      Vegas
                      Vegas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
                      Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                      Minnesota
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
                      Minnesota is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Vegas

                      Anaheim @ St. Louis
                      Anaheim
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
                      St. Louis
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
                      St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

                      Los Angeles @ Arizona
                      Los Angeles
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
                      Arizona
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

                      Edmonton @ Vancouver
                      Edmonton
                      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Edmonton's last 14 games
                      Vancouver
                      Vancouver is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Edmonton
                      Vancouver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Edmonton

                      Colorado @ San Jose
                      Colorado
                      Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
                      Colorado is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
                      San Jose
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games
                      San Jose is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Colorado


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • Tuesday’s 6-pack
                        Other teams who have had lot of players in last five NFL Drafts:

                        6) Miami— 29
                        7) Clemson/Notre Dame 27
                        9) Oklahoma 25
                        10) Penn State/Washington 24
                        12) Auburn 23
                        13) Texas A&M/Utah 21

                        Americans who have died from COVID-19: 577,054
                        PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                        Quote of the Day
                        “There’s no such thing as a sure thing. Thats why they call it gambling.”
                        Oscar Madison

                        Tuesday’s quiz
                        In the great TV show The Odd Couple, what did Felix Unger do for a living?

                        Monday’s quiz
                        When Larry Bird/Magic Johnson played in the national title game in 1979 with Indiana State, Michigan State, DePaul/Pennsylvania were the other two teams in the Final Four that year. A team from the Ivy League made the Final Four.

                        Sunday’s quiz
                        Of the 32 current NFL head coaches, eight have won a Super Bowl.

                        ************************************************** ********

                        Tuesday’s Den: Trends for American League teams

                        Orioles
                        — Baltimore is 4-10 at home, scoring more than 4 runs in only two games.
                        — Orioles scored 5+ runs in seven of their 15 road games (10-5)
                        — Orioles are 10-8 vs righty starters, 4-7 vs southpaws.

                        Red Sox
                        — Boston is 14-1 when it scores 4+ runs, 3-11 when they do not.
                        — Red Sox are 7-3 vs lefty starters, 10-9 vs righties.
                        — Boston is 5-2 in one-run games.

                        White Sox
                        — If you like to bet first 5 innings props, you probably know the White Sox are 18-4-5 in the first five innings so far this season.
                        — Problem is, they’re 15-12 in the standings; they’ve been poor in the late innings.
                        — Chicago is 11-0 when it scores 5+ runs, 4-12 when it doesn’t.

                        Indians: In Monday’s game, these hitters started for Cleveland

                        — Leadoff hitter, batting .194
                        — #2 hitter, hitting .200
                        — #8 hitter, batting .136
                        — #9 hitter, batting .152

                        Indians are 13-1 when they score 4+ runs, 1-12 when they do not.

                        Tigers
                        — Detroit scored 3 or fewer runs in 19 of their first 29 games.
                        — Tigers led after five innings once in their last 17 games.
                        — They’ve scored 24 fewer runs than any other American League team.

                        Astros
                        — Houston is 6-0 at home if they score 5+ runs, 1-7 if they don’t.
                        — Astros are 13-7 vs division rivals, 2-6 vs everyone else.
                        — Houston is 3-5 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

                        Royals
                        — Kansas City is 6-1 in one-run games.
                        — Royals’ last five games went over the total.
                        — Kansas City is 4-1 in 2nd game of a series, if they lost the opener.

                        Angels
                        — Halos are 10-1 if they score 5+ runs, 3-13 if they don’t.
                        — Angels are 6-9 vs AL West rivals, 7-5 vs everyone else.
                        — Angels are 12-10 vs righty starters, 1-4 vs lefties.

                        Twins
                        — Minnesota is 4-1 in home series openers, 1-4 in road series openers.
                        — Twins’ last six games went over the total.
                        — Minnesota is 7-2 if it scores 6+ runs, 4-14 if they don’t.

                        New York
                        — New York is 10-1 when they score 5+ runs, 4-13 when they do not.
                        — New York is 3-5 in games when winning run scores from 7th inning on.
                        — Six of their last seven road games stayed under the total.

                        A’s
                        — A’s are 8-3 vs lefty starters, 10-9 vs righties.
                        — Oakland is 7-0 in games when winning run scores from 7th inning on.
                        — Six of their last seven road games stayed under the total.

                        Mariners
                        — Seattle is 7-4 in one-run games, 3-0 in extra innings.
                        — Mariners are 7-2 at home if they score 4+ runs, 1-5 if they don’t.
                        — Seattle is 4-2 in home series openers.

                        Rays
                        — Rays are 8-5 on the road, 7-10 at home.
                        — Tampa Bay went 4-6 on its last homestand; they led one game after five innings.
                        — Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

                        Rangers
                        — Texas is 2-8 in series openers.
                        — Rangers are 10-3 if they score 5+ runs, 3-14 if they don’t.
                        — Under is 12-4 in their home games.

                        Blue Jays
                        — Toronto won six of its last seven home games (in Florida).
                        — Blue Jays are 8-3 at home, 6-10 on the road.
                        — Toronto is 1-4 in second game of a series, if they won the opener.

                        Comment


                        • 59BOSTON -60 NEW JERSEY
                          NEW JERSEY is 5-19 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

                          61CHICAGO -62 CAROLINA
                          CAROLINA is 14-3 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

                          63PITTSBURGH -64 PHILADELPHIA
                          PITTSBURGH is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals over the last 2 seasons.

                          65NY ISLANDERS -66 BUFFALO
                          NY ISLANDERS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

                          67EDMONTON -68 VANCOUVER
                          VANCOUVER is 5-0 ATS (9.3 Units) in home games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.




                          NHL
                          Dunkel

                          Tuesday, May 4







                          NHL

                          Tuesday, May 4


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Trend Report
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          NY Islanders @ Buffalo
                          NY Islanders
                          NY Islanders is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
                          Buffalo
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

                          Chicago @ Carolina
                          Chicago
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Carolina
                          Carolina
                          Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                          Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

                          Boston @ New Jersey
                          Boston
                          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing New Jersey
                          Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
                          New Jersey
                          New Jersey is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
                          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Jersey's last 8 games when playing Boston

                          Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia
                          Pittsburgh
                          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                          Philadelphia
                          Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
                          Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

                          Edmonton @ Vancouver
                          Edmonton
                          Edmonton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                          Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                          Vancouver
                          Vancouver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Edmonton
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Edmonton


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Comment


                          • Wednesday’s 6-pack
                            Odds to win the PGA Championship, later this month:

                            +1225— Justin Thomas
                            +1350— Jon Rahm
                            +1400— Dustin Johnson
                            +1600— Bryson DeChambeau
                            +1800— Jordan Spieth
                            +1900— Xavier Schauffele

                            Americans who have died from COVID-19: 577,651
                            PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


                            Quote of the Day
                            “As times keep going on, the game stays the same. I mean, the game has been the same since the Civil War. When it’s game time, when it’s my turn to hit in the box, it’s not Luis, its not Chili, it’s not the analytic department that’s in the box hitting. It’s Pete Alonso. It’s me. And that’s the same thing with every single one of those guys in the clubhouse.”
                            Pete Alonso, on the Mets changing hitting coaches

                            Wednesday’s quiz
                            Actor Burgess Meredith played Mick, the boxing trainer in Rocky; which villain did he play in the old Batman TV series?

                            Tuesday’s quiz
                            In the great TV show The Odd Couple, Felix Unger was a photographer (portraits a specialty)

                            Monday’s quiz
                            When Larry Bird/Magic Johnson played in the national title game in 1979 with Indiana State, Michigan State, DePaul/Pennsylvania were the other two teams in the Final Four that year. A team from the Ivy League made the Final Four.

                            **********************************************

                            Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

                            13) Giants 12-6, Rockies 4-8:
                            — Brandon Belt had five RBI in the first inning of the opener.
                            — Rockies scored six runs in the 7th inning of the nightcap.
                            — Charlie Blackmon hit a walk-off homer to get Colorado the split.

                            Think about it; it ain’t easy to get five RBI in one inning.

                            12) Cubs 7-4, Dodgers 1-3:
                            — Clayton Kershaw threw 39 pitches, got only three outs in the opener.
                            — Cubs won nightcap despite going 2-20 with men in scoring position.
                            — David Bote got the walk-off hit to give Chicago a sweep.

                            11) Kris Bryant is a third baseman, but he is versatile; this was the 12th game in a row that Bryant played in the outfield, instead of 3B- he also played some at 1B. Going to be really interesting to see if the Cubs trade Bryant this summer, and if so, to whom?

                            10) Mets fired their two hitting coaches; I had no idea there is also this analytical approach to hitting, where you just try to hit homers all the time, and pull the ball.

                            Chili Davis, the hitting coach who got fired, is an old-school coach who preached hitting line drives and spraying the ball. That isn’t what the Mets want, though, so a change was made.

                            Hope the new hitting coaches can fix Dom Smith; he is hitting .222 so far, and isn’t looking like the guy who hit .316 LY, sparking my fantasy team to an unexpectedly good season.

                            9) This was the first NFL Draft in 80 years where no Michigan State players were taken.

                            8) Last weekend, the Jets drafted two guys named Michael Carter:
                            — a North Carolina RB
                            — a Duke DB

                            When they turned in the card for the first Michael Carter they drafted, they originally thought they turned in the wrong card, but it wasn’t and they wound up with both of them anyway.

                            7) Denver Broncos RT Ja’Wuan James tore his achilles while working out on his own, which may turn out to be a very expensive injury.

                            Had the injury happened at the Broncos’ facility, the team would’ve been on the hook for the $10M he was supposed to be paid this season. But he was working out on his own, so the team isn’t obligated to pay him this season— he also opted out last year because of COVID.

                            6) Cubs’ 2B Javier Baez has struck out 40 times this season; 27 of the 40 third strikes were out of the strike zone— he has a tendency to chase pitches when behind in the count.

                            5) Dodgers lost P Dustin May for the season; he needs Tommy John surgery (elbow)

                            4) Jacob deGrom was scratched from his start last night because of “right lat inflammation”; he didn’t go on the IL yet. He has an 0.51 ERA in his first five starts.

                            Christian Yelich (back) went back on the IL again, after one day off the IL.

                            3) I read on the Interweb yesterday that dogs don’t like salt, which may explain why you never see them eating popcorn.

                            2) CC Sabathia is retired from baseball, but now his wife has become a player agent.

                            1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
                            — NL: Phillies, Cardinals, Giants, Wild Card: LA or SD @ Milwaukee
                            — AL: Red Sox, CWS/KC, A’s. Wild Card: Seattle @ CWS or Kansas City

                            Comment


                            • 1NASHVILLE -2 COLUMBUS
                              NASHVILLE is 14-1 ATS (14 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

                              5WASHINGTON -6 NY RANGERS
                              WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a road win by 2 goals or more in the current season.

                              7DALLAS -8 TAMPA BAY
                              DALLAS are 8-26 ATS (-21.5 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

                              9ANAHEIM -10 ST LOUIS
                              ST LOUIS are 4-10 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games vs. losing teams in the current season.

                              11VEGAS -12 MINNESOTA
                              VEGAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) off a road loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

                              13WINNIPEG -14 CALGARY
                              CALGARY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the current season.

                              15LOS ANGELES -16 ARIZONA
                              ARIZONA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons.

                              17COLORADO -18 SAN JOSE
                              SAN JOSE is 4-20 ATS (-14 Units) against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

                              79MONTREAL -80 OTTAWA
                              MONTREAL is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

                              Comment


                              • NHL
                                Dunkel

                                Wednesday, May 5


                                Comment

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