The Bum's NHL Best Bets-Trends-News Etc. !

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 10 of the Westgate Super Contest:

6) San Diego Chargers (412) -4

5) Carolina Panthers (417) -3

4) Green Bay Packers (521) -2.5

3) Atlanta Falcons (538) even

2) New Orleans Saints (550) -2.5

1) Pittsburgh Steelers (671) -2.5

Season record: 18-35-2


Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up the first part of the weekend

Wrapping up the first part of the sports weekend……..
13) Pitt 43, Clemson 42— Watson was 52-70/580 passing, but threw three INTs and Clemson didn’t score in 4th quarter. Panthers kicked 48-yard FG with 0:06 left to send everyone in Death Valley home unhappy.

12) UNLV 69, Wyoming 66 OT— Weird game. Rebels ran for 401 yards, totally dominated with their running game but still needed OT to beat lackluster Wyoming team that turned ball over four times. UNLV’s basketball team lost 76-68 Friday nite; the football team outscored them.

11) USC 26, Washington 13— Trojans are now 7-3 after a 1-3 start and Clay Helton has fought off the critics to lead his team to a decent season. Total upheaval in the top five this week, with Clemson, Washington, Michigan all losing Saturday. As for the Huskies, if your school color is purple, then wear purple jerseys (not black) for the biggest game of your season.

10) Miami Oh 35, Buffalo 24— Red Hawks started out this season 0-6, after being 5-19 the last two years, but have righted ship, won five games in a row and if they win their last game, they’ll be 6-6 and bowl eligible. Won’t be a great bowl, but when you were 0-6, any bowl will do. Three of their five wins came on the road; impressive turnaround.

9) Iowa 14, Michigan 13— Wolverines have now lost their last four visits to Iowa City, hadn’t won at Iowa since 2005. True freshman made a 33-yard FG at the gun to win it, in a game where neither side had 250 total yards. Kirk Ferentz had five state troopers around him after the game; I bet Iowa’s governor isn’t protected that well.

8) Albany 87, Penn State 81— Great Danes were supposed to open the season at Duke, but due to NY State not allowing anyone in state employ to do business in North Carolina because of the LGBT/bathroom issue, that game was cancelled and Albany scheduled Penn State instead, and they scored a solid road win.

7) Penn State 45, Indiana 31— Hoosiers (+7) led 31-28 with 5:00 left; Penn State scored a TD with 3:58 left, kicked a FG with 1:07 left that pushed the spread, but then, with 0:29 left, Penn State ran a fumble in from nine yards out for the covering TD, in a very brutal beat for Indiana backers.

6) South Florida 49, Memphis 42— After watching this game, I’m half-thinking that USF doesn’t have an actual offense; they just line up in spread, snap the ball and junior QB Flowers runs amok and makes something happen out of the chaos. Bulls have a lot of fast guys, but no wonder Florida State beat ‘em by three TD’s- they can match USF’s speed.

5) Georgia 13, Auburn 7— Hard to cover a 10.5-point spread if you score 7. Auburn gained a total of 164 yards on 54 plays- they had zero first downs in the second half. Some of these teams in the AAC, Big 12 get that in the first quarter of games. The SEC title game is going to be awful, probably a 20+ pointspread with Alabama ready to crush whoever shows up.

4) West Virginia 24, Texas 20— Mountaineers have four road games this year: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Texas and Iowa State— why are they in the Big X? It makes no sense for them not to play Va Tech, Pitt, Penn State, Maryland, Virginia- the teams close to them. Texas is 5-5 and people have to be wondering why they fired Mack Brown.

3) Louisville 44, Wake Forest 12— Deacons led this game 12-3 at the half, 12-10 after three quarters, so what we have here is a misleading final score.

2) Oklahoma 45, Baylor 24— Bears were 6-0 but have now lost three games in row, giving up 914 rushing yards and 142 points. Wonder if they’ll go to a bowl game. given the off-field issues the program has.

1) Ole Miss 29, Texas A&M 28— Freshman QB Shea Patterson, in his first college start, was 25-42/338 passing, as he rallied Rebels from down 21-6 for the unlikely win. You win on the road with a freshman making his first college start in November, that is solid coaching, especially since the kid drove the bus with his passing, he just didn’t hand off and manage the game.

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday’s games

Winnipeg won four of its last five games with the Kings; over is 4-0-3 in last seven series games. Los Angeles lost four of its last six visits to Manitoba. Kings lost last two games 4-1/2-1; they’re 2-6 on road, with four of last five staying under total. Winnipeg won three of last five games with four of last six going over total- they’re 4-4 at home.

Dallas Stars won their last ten games with Vancouver; five of last seven went over total. Stars won last four visits to Vancouver by combined score of 12-6. Dallas won its last two road games after losing six of first seven; three of their last four games overall went over total. Canucks lost 10 of their last 11 games, with three of last four going over the total.

Ottawa won eight of last ten games with Minnesota; under is 3-0-2 in last five series games. Wild lost four of last five visits to Ottawa. Minnesota lost three of last four games after losing in Philly last night; they’re 3-5 on road. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Ottawa won five of its last seven games- nine of their last ten games stayed under the total.

Chicago won its last five games with Montreal; under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Canadiens were outscored 20-10 in losing last five visits here- over is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Montreal won its last four games, outscoring foes 17-7; their only loss in regulation was 10-0 in Columbus. Blackhawks won seven of last eight games; under is 3-1-1 in their last five.

Road team won nine of last ten Boston-Colorado games, with Avalanche winning three of last four; six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Bruins won four of their last five visits to Denver. Boston won in Arizona last nite, has won six of last eight games. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five road games. Coyotes lost six of last nine games; under is 5-3 in their last eight.

Rangers won three of last four games with Edmonton; last three series games went over total. New York won three of its last five games in this building. Rangers won in Calgary last night, have now won six of last seven games; four of their last five games went over. Edmonton lost four of its last six games; seven of their last ten games stayed under the total.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL RECORD:

11/01/2016 9-7-1 56.25% +1300
11/02/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 10-3-0 76.92% +4280
11/04/2016 3-2-0 60.00% +450
11/05/2016 10-4-2 71.43% +3030
11/06/2016 3-5-1 37.50% -855
11/07/2016 1-3-0 25.00% -1100
11/08/2016 5-7-2 41.67% -985
11/09/2016 4-1-0 80.00% +1585
11/10/2016 4-8-1 33.33% -2250
11/11/2016 5-3-1 62.50% +980
11/12/2016 4-6-4 40.00% -1155

WLT PCT UNITS

M/L Picks 48-68-0 41.38% -5795

O/U Picks 90-83-21 52.02% -650

TRIPLE PLAYS - ***** 58 - 59 - 7

M/L-.......... 28 - 39 - 0

O/U-..........31 - 24 - 6

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 13

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LOS ANGELES (7-8-0-0, 14 pts.) at WINNIPEG (7-7-0-2, 16 pts.) - 11/13/2016, 2:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-2 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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DALLAS (6-6-0-3, 15 pts.) at VANCOUVER (5-9-0-1, 11 pts.) - 11/13/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 189-153 ATS (+29.9 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 355-321 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-0 (+7.1 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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MINNESOTA (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) at OTTAWA (9-5-0-0, 18 pts.) - 11/13/2016, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-1 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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MONTREAL (13-1-0-1, 27 pts.) at CHICAGO (10-3-0-2, 22 pts.) - 11/13/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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BOSTON (9-6-0-0, 18 pts.) at COLORADO (6-7-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/13/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-1 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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NY RANGERS (11-4-0-0, 22 pts.) at EDMONTON (9-5-0-1, 19 pts.) - 11/13/2016, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 3-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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[StarDust Bum]

NHL

Sunday, November 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. WINNIPEG
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Winnipeg is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

5:00 PM
DALLAS vs. VANCOUVER
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Vancouver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Vancouver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. OTTAWA
Minnesota is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. COLORADO
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games at home
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CHICAGO
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

10:30 PM
NY RANGERS vs. EDMONTON
NY Rangers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home
Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, November 13

NY Rangers @ Edmonton

Game 61-62
November 13, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
10.609
Edmonton
12.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-115); Over

Boston @ Colorado

Game 59-60
November 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
12.889
Colorado
11.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+115); Under

Montreal @ Chicago

Game 57-58
November 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.913
Chicago
11.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-155
5
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-155); Under

Minnesota @ Ottawa

Game 55-56
November 13, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.916
Ottawa
10.321
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
-125
5
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+105); Over

Dallas @ Vancouver

Game 53-54
November 13, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
8.825
Vancouver
10.317
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+110); Over

Los Angeles @ Winnipeg

Game 51-52
November 13, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
8.487
Winnipeg
12.743
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 4 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-145); Under

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 13

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LA at WIN 02:00 PM

O 5.5

DAL at VAN 04:00 PM

VAN +115

O 5.5

MIN at OTT 05:00 PM

U 5.0 *****

BOS at COL 07:00 PM

U 5.5

MON at CHI 07:00 PM

MON +136

U 5.0

NYR at EDM 09:30 PM

O 5.5

[StarDust Bum]

NHL Capsules
November 13, 2016

CHICAGO (AP) Patrick Kane scored a spectacular tiebreaking goal in the second period and the Chicago Blackhawks beat Montreal 3-2 on Sunday night, handing the league-leading Canadiens just their second regulation loss of the season.

Marian Hossa added his team-leading ninth and rookie Gustav Forsling scored his first in the NHL as Chicago improved to 9-0-2 in its last 11 and ended Montreal's four-game winning streak.

Shea Weber and Andrei Markov scored for the Canadiens in a matchup of conference leaders.

Both goalies faced teams from their hometowns. Canadiens backup Al Montoya, a Chicago native, made 32 saves. Chicago's Corey Crawford, from Montreal, stopped 21 shots.

Kane put Chicago ahead 3-2 with 3:37 left in the second period to cap a terrific individual effort. Kane skated down the slot, fooled Jeff Petry with a move and chipped a shot past Montoya - while falling to the ice with Max Pacioretty checking him closely from behind.

CANUCKS 5, STARS 4, OT

VANCOUVER, British Columbia (AP) - Troy Stecher tied it with 1:40 left in the third period and Markus Granlund scored in overtime, helping Vancouver rally to beat Dallas.

Dallas held leads of 3-1 and 4-3, but Vancouver got goals from Louis Eriksson, Brandon Sutter, Bo Horvat and Stecher to force overtime. The Canucks were coming off a 1-5 road trip and have two wins in their last 12 games.

Ryan Miller made 17 saves for Vancouver.

Patrick Eaves scored twice and Lauri Korpikoski and Antoine Roussel also scored for the Stars, who wrapped up a five-game road trip 2-1-2.

Kari Lehtonen stopped 25 shots for Dallas, which had won 10 straight against the Canucks.

Granlund scored 1:27 into overtime by finding a loose puck off a faceoff and snapping it past Lehtonen.

JETS 3, KINGS 2, SO

WINNIPEG, Manitoba (AP) - Mark Scheifele scored the deciding goal in a shootout to give Winnipeg a victory over Los Angeles.

Patrik Laine also beat Peter Budaj in the shootout, and Dwight King scored against the Jets' Connor Hellebuyck.

The Jets are 3-0-1 in their last four games and 8-7-2 overall. The Kings have lost three straight to drop to 7-8-1.

Kings forward Kyle Clifford was called for a boarding major in the first period for a hit that sent Jets forward Kyle Connor into the boards head-first. Adam Lowry and Marko Dano took advantage with power-play goals.

Connor left for the dressing room, but returned for the second period.

Tanner Pearson scored in the first period for Los Angeles, and defenseman Tom Gilbert tied it midway through the third.

WILD 2, SENATORS 1, OT

OTTAWA, Ontario (AP) - Matt Dumba scored late in overtime and Darcy Kuemper stopped 35 shots, helping Minnesota beat Ottawa.

Ryan Suter scored a short-handed goal for the Wild, and Kuemper was nearly perfect in his third start of the season.

Craig Anderson made 40 saves and was again solid for the Senators, who got a goal from Kyle Turris 5:06 into the third period.

The Wild were playing their third game in four nights to conclude a four-game trip, but they controlled much of the action with Ottawa looking disorganized for most of the night.

BRUINS 2, AVALANCHE 0

DENVER (AP) - Tuukka Rask stopped 21 shots and David Krejci scored in the first period, lifting Boston over Colorado.

Rask showed no signs of fatigue despite being in net for a second straight night. He made 31 saves in a 2-1 win over Arizona on Saturday. Rask got his 33rd career shutout and moved to 7-0 on the road this season.

Krejci scored his second goal of the season on a wrist shot midway through the first period.

The Avalanche pulled Semyon Varlamov with about a minute remaining but couldn't generate much offense. Dominic Moore sealed it with an empty-net goal with 27.2 seconds remaining.

Varlamov was the hard-luck loser, stopping a season-high 43 shots.

[StarDust Bum]

Monday’s games

Islanders lost last six games with Tampa Bay; they lost 4-1 to Lightning in Florida four nights ago. Tampa Bay won its last three visits here, with two OT wins; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Tampa Bay lost lost six of last nine games, with last three games staying under total- they lost four of last five road games. Islanders lost five of last six games, with three of last four losses in OT/SO; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

--------------------------

NHL RECORD:

11/01/2016 9-7-1 56.25% +1300
11/02/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 10-3-0 76.92% +4280
11/04/2016 3-2-0 60.00% +450
11/05/2016 10-4-2 71.43% +3030
11/06/2016 3-5-1 37.50% -855
11/07/2016 1-3-0 25.00% -1100
11/08/2016 5-7-2 41.67% -985
11/09/2016 4-1-0 80.00% +1585
11/10/2016 4-8-1 33.33% -2250
11/11/2016 5-3-1 62.50% +980
11/12/2016 4-6-4 40.00% -1155
11/13/2016 4-3-1 57.14% +475


WLT PCT UNITS
M/L Picks 49-69-0 41.53% -5720

O/U Picks 93-85-22 52.25% -250

TRIPLE PLAYS - ***** 59 - 59 - 7

M/L-.......... 28 - 39 - 0

O/U-..........32 - 24 - 6

[StarDust Bum]

B]Armadillo: Monday's six-pack[/B]

Six most popular picks in Week 10 of the Westgate Super Contest:

6) San Diego Chargers (412) -4- L

5) Carolina Panthers (417) -3- L

4) Green Bay Packers (521) -2.5- L

3) Atlanta Falcons (538) even- L

2) New Orleans Saints (550) -2.5- L

1) Pittsburgh Steelers (671) -2.5- L

Seahawks 31, Patriots 24– How sweet was this for Pete Carroll? Lost to New England in the Super Bowl couple years ago, fired by the Patriots so they could hire Belichick. Small consolation but also a great game. Wilson looked little more mobile, which generates their offense.

Rough day for the favorites: 3-9 against the spread.

Season record: 18-41-2…….popular opinion is taking a beating!!!!

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Texans 24, Jaguars 21— Jax is one of three teams (Cards, Giants) not to score on their first drive of a game: their offense has been outscored 7-0 by opponents’ defense on first drive of their nine games. Texans are now 1-3 on road, after losing first three road games by combined score of 84-22. Jaguars have zero takeaways in their last five games (-12).

Chiefs 20, Panthers 17— In their last two games, both wins, KC has one offensive TD, eight FGs, six 3/outs. Carolina led this game 17-6 in 4th quarter, but Newton threw a pick-6, then Panthers fumbled it away again in last minute when game was tied.

Carolina started second half with a 20-play drive that took 10:08 off the clock, but they wound up punting on the drive- they didn’t score in the second half.

Denver 25, Saints 23— One of weirdest endings in NFL history; Saints tied game on a 32-yard TD with 1:22 left, but Broncos blocked PAT, ran it back for the game-winning two points. New Orleans averaged 9.8 yds/pass attempt but turned ball over 4 times (-2) which is most always fatal. Broncos converted 11 of 19 third down plays, had 9-yard edge in field position.

Rams 9, Jets 6— On Hard Knocks this summer, rookie WR Cooper was having issues catching punts, so coach Jeff Fisher stepped in and gave him some tips— Fisher ran punts back when he played. With this game tied 6-6 in 4th and Cooper returning punts for banged-up Austin (leg), Cooper made an excellent catch on a short punt that gave Rams good field position on their own 48. If he lets it bounce, Rams could’ve lost 15-20 yards of field position. From there, LA drove for the game-winning FG. Good coaching helps.

That said, on their last 32 drives, Rams have scored one touchdown, tried six FGs; how much worse could rookie QB Goff really be? LA has four wins; they didn’t score a TD in two of them. The defense could use some help.

Eagles 24, Falcons 15— Philly is 4-0 at home, allowing 38 points, giving up three offensive TDs on 42 drives. Atlanta had scored 106 points in its last three games; holding them to 15 is really impressive. Falcons were 2-11 on 3rd down in this game, ran ball only 13 times for 48 yards.

Redskins 26, Vikings 20— Atlanta started 5-0 last season and missed playoffs; is Minnesota headed in same direction? Vikings have lost four games in a row, their OC quit- they missed PAT after their third TD and then got shut out in second half. Vikings have only two takeaways in last three games. Over is 5-0 in Washington home games.

Titans 47, Packers 25— Tennessee tried onside kick to start game, which didn’t work; still, they are first team since 1986 (Giants) to lead Green Bay by 21 points in first quarter. On their first three drives, Tennessee’s offense ran 17 plays for 236 yards and three TDs- their TE’s ran amok, with over 100 receiving yards and two TDs in first half alone.

Bucs 36, Bears 10— This seems like a good time to point out that NFL’s TV ratings have gone down in every Presidential election year, not just this year, and by as much as 10% in 2000, so things should get back to normal from here on in, at least as far as TV ratings go.

This is an awful loss for the Bears, who didn’t get a first down in the second half- they ran 12 plays for -13 yards in the whole second half. No bueno.

CFL playoffs— Edmonton 24, Hamilton 21 and BC Lions 32, Winnipeg 31.

Dolphins 31, Chargers 24— On his last five drives, Philip Rivers threw four INTs and a TD pass; the 3rd INT was run back for the game-winning Miami TD by Kiko Alonso. San Diego held Ajayi to 79 rushing yards, Over is now 8-2 in Charger games this year; those of us who have NFL Sunday Ticket will miss them next week, their bye week. Miami has won four games in a row.

Cardinals 23, 49ers 20– Kaepernick played well in leading 49ers back to tie game with 1:55 left, but Palmer drove Arizona 69 yards for the winning FG at the gun. Penalty yardage in this game: SF 100, Arizona 10. Cardinals turned ball over four times (-3) but won, which rarely happens.

Cowboys 35, Steelers 30— Pittsburgh went for two points four times and went 0-4. What is the reason for doing it after your first two TDs of the game? Dallas has won eight in row for first time since 1977; there were seven lead changes in this game. Pittsburgh/Green Bay both have Hall of Fame QBs and are both 4-5; go figure.

Seahawks 31, Patriots 24– How sweet was this for Pete Carroll? Lost to New England in the Super Bowl couple years ago, fired by the Patriots so they could hire Belichick. Small consolation but also a great game. Wilson looked little more mobile, which generates their offense.

Rough day for the favorites: 3-9 against the spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 14

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TAMPA BAY (8-6-0-1, 17 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (5-7-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/14/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 39-88 ATS (+144.8 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 345-394 ATS (-117.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 156-192 ATS (-64.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 34-16 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-5 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 8-5-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.2 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 14

Islanders lost last six games with Tampa Bay; they lost 4-1 to Lightning in Florida four nights ago. Tampa Bay won its last three visits here, with two OT wins; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Tampa Bay lost lost six of last nine games, with last three games staying under total- they lost four of last five road games. Islanders lost five of last six games, with three of last four losses in OT/SO; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.




NHL

Monday, November 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY ISLANDERS
Tampa Bay is 6-13 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Islanders are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 14

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders

Game 1-2
November 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
12.846
NY Islanders
9.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-140); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NHL RECORD:

11/01/2016 9-7-1 56.25% +1300
11/02/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 10-3-0 76.92% +4280
11/04/2016 3-2-0 60.00% +450
11/05/2016 10-4-2 71.43% +3030
11/06/2016 3-5-1 37.50% -855
11/07/2016 1-3-0 25.00% -1100
11/08/2016 5-7-2 41.67% -985
11/09/2016 4-1-0 80.00% +1585
11/10/2016 4-8-1 33.33% -2250
11/11/2016 5-3-1 62.50% +980
11/12/2016 4-6-4 40.00% -1155
11/13/2016 4-3-1 57.14% +475


WLT PCT UNITS
M/L Picks 49-69-0 41.53% -5720

O/U Picks 93-85-22 52.25% -250

TRIPLE PLAYS - ***** 59 - 59 - 7

M/L-.......... 28 - 39 - 0

O/U-..........32 - 24 - 6




MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TB at NYI 07:00 PM

O 5.5

[StarDust Bum]

Vasilevskiy stops 34 shots, Lightning beat Islanders 4-0
November 14, 2016

NEW YORK (AP) Andrei Vasilevskiy faced 20 shots in the third period Monday night, so there wasn't much time for him to worry about the status of his shutout.

The Tampa Bay Lightning goalie was more worried about a victory, anyway.

Vasilevskiy made 34 saves for his third career shutout, J.T. Brown and Ryan Callahan scored 42 seconds apart in the first period and the Lightning beat the New York Islanders 4-0 on Monday night.

''We get two points, that's most important,'' Vasilevskiy said, ''and the shutout is a little bounce.''

The goalie said he expected the Islanders to press in the third after being outshot 17-4 in the second.

''Usually when a team plays not that good (in the second period), they make a push in the third,'' Vasilevskiy said. ''We did a good job on the (penalty kill) and the game overall, blocked shots and good play. I just want to say thank you to our guys for the shutout.''

Nikita Kucherov and Vladislav Namestnikov scored as the Lightning won for the fourth time in seven games (4-2-1) following a three-game skid.

Steven Stamkos had two assists to help Tampa Bay complete a sweep of the three-game season series with the Islanders - all within the last 14 days - by a combined 14-2 margin.

''We sat back probably a little too much in the third and put Vasy in a tough position to make some big saves,'' Stamkos said. ''He earned the shutout for sure.''

Jaroslav Halak had 27 saves for New York, which was shut out for the first time this season and fell to 1-3-3 in its last seven.

''Obviously we don't want to be in the spot we are in,'' Islanders captain John Tavares said. ''We just have to play positive and get better. You get up tomorrow and try to get better.''

Travis Hamonic returned to the Islanders just nine days after suffering a hand injury that was expected to keep him out four to six weeks. However, New York was without fellow defenseman Dennis Seidenberg after he was placed on injured reserve with a broken jaw after getting hit in the face by a puck in Saturday night's overtime loss at Florida. Scott Mayfield was an emergency recall from Bridgeport of the AHL, and the Islanders used seven defensemen and 11 forwards.

Mayfield fought with Brown about 5 1/2 minutes into the second after Brown hit Tavares. Mayfield received 17 minutes of penalties, getting whistled for instigating and a misconduct in addition to the fighting major.

Kucherov extended Tampa Bay's lead to 3-0 with 5:36 left in the second by completing a give-and-go with Stamkos, snapping the puck past Halak for his sixth of the season. It was Kucherov's fourth goal against the Islanders, including one in each of the team's three meetings.

The Lightning made it 4-0 about 2 1/2 minutes later when Stamkos brought the puck up ice and sent a pass to the right to Namestnikov, who tipped it in for his third.

Brown got the Lightning on the scoreboard with 1:02 left in the opening period, taking a pass from Craig Paquette and flicking the puck past Halak.

Tampa Bay made it 2-0 with 20 seconds remaining when Andrej Sustr fired a shot from the right point that Callahan appeared to deflect with the shaft of his stick over Halak's glove. It was Callahan's first goal of the season and his 349th career point.

Kucherov nearly added to the lead in the closing seconds of the first, but the puck ricocheted of the crossbar.

NOTES: Stamkos had seven points (two goals, five assists) in the three meetings against the Islanders this season, and Kucherov had six points (four goals, two assists). ... Stamkos also has a point in six of the last eight games with three goals and seven assists. ... Tampa Bay improved to 9-0-1 this season when scoring at least three goals. ... The Islanders have lost seven straight against the Lightning, including the last four of Tampa Bay's five-game series win in the second round of the playoffs last spring. ... New York's Nikolay Kulemin played his 598th game.

UP NEXT:

Lightning: At Detroit on Tuesday night in the second game of a five-game trip.

Islanders: Host defending champion Pittsburgh on Friday night to complete their two-game homestand before heading out on a three-game California trip.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s six-pack

— Rob Gronkowski may have punctured a lung during Sunday night’s game with Seattle.

— Former UNC/Miami coach Butch Davis will be the next football coach at FIU.

— Bears WR Alshon Jeffrey gets a 4-game suspension for PED’s.

— Michigan QB Wilton Speight may be out for the year with a broken collarbone.

— Fresno State hired former Cal/CFL coach Jeff Tedford as its new coach; he was Aaron Rodgers’ college coach.

— Rams’ DE Robert Quinn checked himself into a hospital with a non-football illness; apparently the situation looks promising. Obviously, we pray that this situation is resolved quickly so Robert can have a long and healthy life.

Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) OK, so I go get Chinese take-out for lunch the other day; get the same exact thing every time (chicken fried rice, Dr Pepper) and the same woman takes my order every time. While I wait for the food, she goes outside to her car and gets something out of it.

The woman owns a brand-new, fully loaded white Mercedes SUV, a beautiful car; she works the counter at a take-out place in a strip ****, and she drives a bleepin’ Mercedes. What a country.

12) There have been three NFL QB’s this year who threw 4+ INTs in the 4th quarter of a game:

— Carson Palmer against Buffalo
— Ryan Fitzpatrick against the Chiefs
— Philip Rivers vs Miami two days ago

From 2012-2015, this didn’t happen. Not once.

11) Credit to Pete Carroll for going for two points after Seahawks went up 24-17 with about 4:00 left in Sunday night’s game; if they make it (they didn’t), Seattle is up nine points and game is almost in the bag. If they don’t make it, he still has a 7-point lead to protect.

Only other coach I’ve seen do this is the guy who coaches the Minnesota Gophers in college; he didn’t make it either, but his team also protected the lead and won the game.

10) I looked at my TV around 2:00 Sunday and the screen says: Tennessee 35, Green Bay 10 in the second quarter and I’m like, that makes no sense. Packers’ pass defense was terrible. Not like Marcus Mariota is Dan Fouts or anything.

9) I quoted this stat at the beginning of the NFL season and I’m doing it again:

The Jets’ last five coaches, in the first year with the Jets: 48-32, all either 9-7 or 10-6.

The Jets’ last five coaches, after the first year: 82-104.

I have no explanation for this.

8) Yale (+13) 98, Washington 90— Yale’s best player is out for the year, but they won this game anyway. On the road- they took 34 foul shots in a road game.

College basketball in November is wild, crazy- last year Western Illinois won at Wisconsin- the Leathernecks wound up 10-17, Badgers won two games in the NCAAs.

7) A’s traded 3B Danny Valencia to Seattle over the weekend for a minor leaguer; Valencia hit 17 HRs with a .346 OB% LY but he is 32, arbitration-eligible. so the A’s told him to take a hike, which is bad news for A’s fans (like me) but good news for Ryan Healy’s fantasy owners (like me). Young Healy stood up well in his first major league action last summer.

6) Teams ranked #2, #3 and #4 in college football all lost Saturday, first time that happened on the same day since 1985.

5) There no ugly wins. Ever. None. Bupkus.

4) In their last three games, Carolina Panthers have been outscored 40-12 in the second half.

3) President of the United States makes $400,000 a year; the minimum salary in the major leagues is $507,500.

2) I’ve said this before in this space, going back a couple years, so this is in no way a reaction to last week’s elections, but I’m adamant about this: “The person who gets the most votes should win the election.” The Electoral College should be done away with.

All men were created equal, remember that? One person, one vote and all that…….

1) Speaking of which, Oceanside, CA voters re-elected City Treasurer Gary Ernst to his post last week, but there is one small problem.

Mr Ernst passed away in September; he won the election by 6% anyway.