*COLLEGE BB--PLAY PACKAGES available....(includes TOP RATED PLAYS & "BIG GAME PLAYS")

[Co-Captain]

Comp Play for Super Sunday on: Marq -1.5


Dont miss out on my "BIG GAME PLAY"--UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK selection going today....Aloha CC.

Will have another comp later as well.


Here is some info on on players status, for the later games.

Michigan

G Daniel Horton Suspension upgraded from "?" to probable Sunday vs Indiana...Junior guard Daniel Horton (12.4 ppg 3.8 apg) who had been suspended since Jan. 24, is expected to play against the Hoosiers.

Indiana U

G Bracey Wright Ankle is probable Sunday vs Michigan.
The Herald reports -Bracey Wright (18.5 ppg 4.6 rpg) is expected to return to the Indiana lineup Sunday at Michigan. Wright practiced Friday wearing a brace on his injured ankle. He had a bit of a limp, but was able to move effectively in scrimmage situations.

Stanford

G Dan Grunfeld Knee is expected to miss the rest of the season. Dan Grunfeld, Stanford's leading scorer at 17.9 ppg, suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee during second half action of Stanford's 71-56 victory over California on Saturday at Maples Pavilion. Grunfeld will miss the remainder of the 2004-05 season.

Seton Hall

F J.R. Morris Suspension is "?" Sunday vs West Virginia.
Junior guard J.R. Morris was suspended prior to the Villanova game to focus on his academic obligations. His status will be determined on a game-to-game basis.

[Co-Captain]

FYI: ..."BGP" and Write-Up released today on Super Sunday.



**"BIG GAME PLAY"--BIG EAST UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK selection on:


PITT +6


Pitt ranked #17 vs #25 Nova....Very good matchup imo, but...I have to side with the tough board banging Panthers who are led by their big men in the paint in Taft and Troutman, who are also the Big East #2 and #3 leading FG% shooters....Troutman ranks 2nd with his 59.8% shooting from the field, and Taft ranks 3rd shooting 57.3% from the field....Very Solid!....In fact, the Panther's rank 2nd in the conf as a team in FG% averaging 48% shooting, only behind Syracuse...The Panther's though rank 1st in 3 pt FG% draining 41% from downtown...which gives them a solid inside-outside balance scoring threat which is definately a must in the Big East this year...

Pitt also is ranked 2nd in Rebounding Margin, only behind Uconn's 3 board banging big boys...But, the Panther's toughnest on the boards shows that they can bang with the best of them..as they were able to win on the road against the Big East 2 best in Scoring Offenses, beating #1 Uconn (78.1 ppg) and #2 Syracuse (75.8 ppg) on their floor.....Nova ranks 4th in Scoring Offense (73.4 ppg)....Still, what makes these two wins on the road at Uconn and at Cuse even more impressive, is that both of these teams also are the best two teams in FG% Defense with Uconn (ranked 1st) only allowing opponents to shoot 37% from the field and Cuse (ranked 2nd) allowing opponents to shoot 38.9% from the field....Pitt at Uconn was able to shoot 45% from the field and 43% from behind the Arc, while holding the best scoring offense in the league to just 39% shooting from the field and 25% from behind the Arc...while also outboarding the best rebounding team in the land 34 to 31.....At Syracuse, Pitt shot 41% from the field and 41% from behind the Arc, while holding the Cuse to only 37% shooting from the field and just 23% from behind the Arc...and also outboarding Warrick and company, 35 to 29 in the win....

Pitt's solid physical play down low and over on the defensive end shows in them being ranked 3rd overall in Scoring Defense allowing opponents to average just 61.2 ppg...and this type of play is what Pitt has been known to do against those less physical yet high flying type of offenses...ie, Cuse twice, ND, and now against Nova who also fits this type of mode....

*Some Stats, Trends, and Info favoring Pitt today...

-Pitt is 6-2 ATS their last 8 as a Underdog.

-Pitt is 13-5 SU their last 18 vs good defensive teams allowing 64 pts or less per game.

-Pitt also currently 11-3 SU and 50-13 SU the last 3 seasons when playing against teams with winning record.

-Pitt also 4-0 SU this year and 24-4 SU their last 28 when playing on 5 or 6 days of rest.

-Nova is just 6-7 ATS as a Fav this year.

-Nova also 9-14 SU vs good defensive teams allowing 64 pts or less per game.

-Nova only 11-21 SU their last 32 games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.

-Pitt is 5-2 SU on the Road this year, averaging 72 ppg, shooting 47.9% from the field, while holding opponents to just 66.1 ppg, 40% shooting from the field, and a low 31.4 reb average per game....And against conf opponents this year, they only allowed them to average 29.9 rpg...

-Pitt is 3-0 vs. ranked teams this season (beating Uconn, and Syracuse twice), while Nova is 1-3 vs ranked teams this year (beating Kansas, losing to Uconn, Syracuse, and BC)

-Pitt has beaten Nova 2 times in the last 3 seasons...and currently sit 3rd in the conf at 8-3, one game behind 2nd place Uconn (9-3)...whereas Nova sits in 7th place in the conf at 6-5, and giving Pitt 4 pts...I will take it!

Today, I gotta grab the points with this Pitt team who is getting it done with solid physical play on the boards and solid defensive play overall...They have proven they can play this way, at Home, and also on the road this year, winning at UConn and at Cuse in solid fashion....Today at Nova, they should be able to do it once more as this Nova team, wont be able to match them in physical play at all....Pitt's big men, in Troutman and Taft, should be able to shut down Nova's Sumpter, just like they did to Cuse's Warrick, holding him to just 3 rebs and 12 pts...while they grabbed 20 rebs and scored 34 points combined....Pitt's outside game is also on track as their clutch shooter and floor leader, G Krauser is hitting it from downtown, especially when the Panther's need him to....Together, their outside and inside game, mixed in with their physical type of play, as well as their ability to finish off plays, creates a very deadly, effective, and also potent combination down the stretch, where teams have been failing and struggling to also stop or match....Pitt coming in off a huge win at Cuse, but this should only help to increase their confidence and motivation for this one...I dont see a let down from that win occurring, and the 6 days off should definately help to get them refocuse and gameplan for this very important road game at Nova....Nova, not as lucky as they played on Thursday, at SH where they put up their lowest output offensively (66 pts) in their last 7 games, in the win...and which left them only two days to rest and gameplan against this Hot Pitt team, who comes in winning 6 of their last 7 games..

Nova did bounce back though, with two wins, after getting demolished by Cuse at home by 15 pts, a game which they didnt have the size to stop Cuse's Warrick, who had a career night scoring 32 pts and grabbing 12 rebounds, 7 of which came on the offensive end....In that loss to Cuse, Nova was outboarded 42 to 34..and they allowed Cuse to score 26 pts on second chance shots...Not a good sign going up against this Panthers team, who is one of the best at finishing off plays...with two of the best shooting big men in the league in Troutman (2nd- shooting 59.8% from the field) and Taft (3rd- shooting 57.3% from the field)...not to mention, that these two also the best rebounders also in the conference, with Troutman (5th- averaging 8.1 rpg) and Taft (12th-averaging 7.1 rpg)....The last time, Nova at Home, played a team who plays this type of scrappy solid defense, they lost to Georgetown, who is ranked 1st in Scoring Defense in the league....Currently, Pitt is ranked 3rd in Scoring Defense...but they come in with way more weapons then GTown to contend with....Inaddition, Pitt balances their solid play on the defensive end with solid play also on the offensive end, something which will be the difference here tonight....Take Pitt +6, as a "BIG GAME PLAY"--BIG EAST UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK selection....GL and Aloha CC

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FYI:

This coming week, I possibly will have up to 3 "BIG GAME PLAY" selections...Dont miss out on them...Also, dont forget..that All WEEKLY(week starts when you start) Play Package and WEEK-ENDING(Thurs to Sun) PLAY PACKAGE holders are entitled to receive All "BIG GAME PLAYS" I may have for that week of service...and At No Additional Cost as well.... A Very Solid Deal! ....GL and Aloha CC.

2nd comp play up later..

[Co-Captain]

**TOP RATED COMP PLAY ON:


UCLA +3


Yes, the Cards were able to beat USC without Grunfeld...but they surely did miss him as they only went 2-of-8 from 3 pt land for 25%...They also got breaks in the 2nd hf as the Trojans got into foul trouble, sending them to the line 17 times total where they hit 13 of them for 77%...as compared to the Trojans just going to the line 6 times, making just 4 of them...The Cards were also able to shoot 43% from the field to USC's 38% and they also outboarded them 37 to 32, and 13 to 8 on the Offensive end....

Still, this was against the last placed USC team, who also is poor on the defensive end...where they are ranked last in the conf in Scoring Defense and last in FG% Defense...as well as, 9th in 3pt FG % Defense and 7th in Rebounding Margin....Today vs Ucla, they will be facing a high scoring Bruin team who has got to be sick of losing to these Cardinals...In fact, the Bruins have lost 5 straight to the Cards, including 8 straight losses at Home...

Ucla, sits only one game behind Stanford in the Pac-10 conf and this win would be huge for them to move up to 3rd....The Bruins come into this one winning 3 of their last 4 Road games, with their last being a 14 pt win at Cal on Thursday....Today without Grunfeld in the lineup, the Cardinals only have 2 other players who are averaging in the DD scoring...compared to the Bruins who have 3 players averaging in DD's..

To illustrate how big this loss of G Dan Grunfeld is for this Cardinal team...This is his stats on the year so far, including what he did against Ucla in their previous game which the Cardinals won...

Grunfeld is 3rd on the team in Rebounding with his 5.5 rpg average.....He is 3rd in Assist with 1.8 per game.....He shoots 74.8% from the line and is 1st with the most FT attempts per game with 5.2.....He also shoots a solid 43.1% from behind the Arc, and is 2nd in attempts per game with 3....What they will miss a lot is his 50% shooting from the field where he is 1st in attempts per game with 12.7....all of this accounting for his being their leading scorer averaging 17.9 ppg....Big Loss on the Offensive end for Stanford!

Other impressive stats for Grunfeld, is that in their first game vs the Bruins this year at Pauley, he scored 25 pts (leading the team) shooting 62% from the field...He also went 2 for 2 from 3 pt land (led the the team), and also 7 for 7 from the FT line (led the team)...In addition to this, he also grabbed 7 rebs (2nd on the team) and had 2 steals (led the team) in the Cardinals 75-64 win...

Another impressive accomplishments by Grunfeld this year, is that he has improved his scoring average by 14.7 pts from last season....which is the best by a Division 1 player this season....Without Grunfeld in the lineup, I expect the Cardinals to struggle at the backcourt position where he ran the show and was important to setting them up offensively....Without his 17.9 ppg average, along with the Cards missing his clutch FT shooting and long range ability...not to mention his rebounding and assist...this will a perfect opportunity for this Bruins team to finally get a bit a Revenge today..

*Some other stats, trends, and info favoring the Bruins today...

-Ucla is 11-2 ATS as a Dog this year.
-Ucla is 12-5 ATS the last 17 games as a Road Dog of 3 pts or less.
-Ucla is 9-0 ATS in Road Games this year.
-Ucla is 10-5 ATS when playing a team with a winning record.
-Stanford is O-1 ATS this year as a Home Fav of 3pts or less.
-Stanford is just 6-4 ATS as a Fav this year.
-Stanford is only 2-3 ATS when playing a team with a winning record after 15 + games..

Today I have to side with the surging UCLA Bruins team with all the motivation on their side in this one....Stanford without G Grunfeld will definately feel it...and a straight up loss to the Bruins without him in the lineup is definately a big possibility...I mean, who else is going to make up for his 17.9 ppg average?.....Perfect setup for this Bruin's team who knows how to win on the Road....Bruin's finally gets their Revenge!

[Co-Captain]

*BGP-RECORDS UPDATE:



That rare loss with Pitt as my BGP-UNDERDOG GOW, brings my current "BIG GAME PLAY"--YTD RECORD in All Major Sports combined (2003-present) to 42W-17L-1P= 71.2%. (all plays DOCUMENTED at the **, Bettorschat, and/or Cover*.)


-CBB BGP 2003-Present Rec: 19W-5L-1P= 79%.

-BASEBALL BGP (MLB & NCAA) 2003-04 Final Rec: 7W-3L= 70%.

-FOOTBALL BGP (NFL & NCAA) 2003-Present Rec: 16W-9L= 64%.

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"BIG GAME PLAYS" --YTD REC: 42W-17L-1P= 71.2%.
(All Major Sports Combined, and all DOCUMENTED!)




Recap: Pitt started off on a strong run, but Nova's shooting 52% from behind the Arc, and 75% from the line in the game...proved to be to much for this Panther team, with early foul trouble, to match in the end...Nova's G Ray went off, hitting five 3 pointers and scored 21 pts in the second half...put to much distance and also halted several 2nd hf runs by the Panthers...In addition, Pitt's early foul trouble didnt help any, as their 2nd leading scorer Troutman, had to sit the majority of the first half, allowing Nova to go on a run after being down early...Troutman who averages over 15 ppg and over 8 rpg, ended the day scoring just 8 pts and grabbing just 4 rebs...His lack of offensive contribution definately was another reason for the Panthers losing this one, as early foul trouble took his scoring and defensive play out of the game.

Pitt though, did lead on the boards and had an edge overall on the offensive boards, while also shooting better than 50% from the field...However, Nova's HOT shooting from behind the Arc at 52%, and their 75% FT shooting down the stretch, proved to be enough to get the 2 pt cover ATS, and an 8 pt win.

Oh well, like someone said..on paper this one looks like all Pitt, which it did...but the intangibles like who will get the Hot Hand, who will turn the ball over more, and who will commit more fouls or get into foul trouble, are things which no one can accurately predict with any type of certainty...But, it is something that can and will change the complexity of the game from being in your favor, to working completely against you the majority of the time...These unpredictable intangibles is something that when they do show up, you just hope they show up benefitting the side your on...Unfortunately, today they worked against us in this game.

Anyways, a loss sometimes is to be expected especially after I have been kicking the Man's Ass for so long and in all sports combined these past two seasons, with these BGP's of mine...In fact, my "BIG GAME PLAYS" are still up over 71% Winners Overall in All Major Sports Combined since 2003, and I aint about to stop adding more Winners to this Record just yet...So make sure you stay tuned as I always bounce back Big Time off a rare "BIG GAME PLAY" loss, with several BGP Winners...BELIEVE ME!...Till next time, keep Rockin-N-Rollin and gettin the Cash!...Aloha CC.

[Co-Captain]

Post a comp play or don't post at all. With the 1st post,not later!