Is it just me, or.................

[keawe]

just fade Keawe and everything will be ok Woohoo

Couldn't have said it better myself buddy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[phonepole]

Why.......

hasn't anyone suggested that this year may be the year to martingale the Yankees??

[captcane]

I am not sure if this applies, but I have bet several games where the team I picked jumped out to an early lead. The lead is not usually small either...4-0, 5-0. Then the team falls apart and loses. Probably happened to me about five out of the 20 odd games I have played. This has really hurt me so far.

[ChuckLazar]

From what I see, and you have to remember it's only the first full weeks, is that team are only keeping pitchers in for 100 pitches and most bullpens are still trying to find themselves and losing mst of the games....
Or some of the pictures are throwing more fast balls because the weather is cold and not feeling loose enough to throw other stuff. And some bullpens are having trouble throwing strikes and get behind in the count and put the ball down central to get blasted out of the stadium...
It's still really early and teams have been bouncing players around, also in the lineups....Every division has always been between 500 on and average as a whole when it all comes down at the end....
You have your 600% winning top teams and your 40% losing teams..It will take time but in the end always pan out...
This time of the year, you have to be on the lucky side to start out ahead...But you have to give it alot of time, because the season is real long...
So just keep plugging away and everyone will be OK in the end..Gambling for over 30 years, I've seen this happen many years in MLB...Remember it's a long marathon and not a sprint..
:christmas

[drugstuntman]

boiseboy - I think you may be on to something playing all dogs...yesterday if you played all dogs for $100, you would have made $616...not sure how this will hold up over the long run though

[jcindaville]

Is it just me or is my johnson getting more stank on it latley

[Udog]

Six plays under .500. Not playing totals or heavy faves. I just can't seem to find the handle yet, either. But, it's awfully early and I'm not feeling discouraged by any means.

[Three Jack]

hasn't anyone suggested that this year may be the year to martingale the Yankees??

A buddy of mine Martingale's all the underdogs for each series. He beats the underdog in game one for 1 unit. If they win, he won't bet the series agin. If it losses, he beats two units on them regardless of whether they are a fav/dog. If they win, he pulls out of the series, if they lose, he goes three units on the same team in round three. He basically is betting against a sweep. I like the idea, although I have not tracked it, just wouldn't do it with the real bad teams (KC, FLA...). But then again, that is where the major 'dog' money lies....

[seaofred]

KAPT,i agree with you buddy,im having a tough start to the season and its really getting to me.im not going to change anything because i know it will turn my and our way soon.i thought it was just me thinking like that but i see you too are bothered by this start.hang with me bro as i count on your good advice all the time.

seaofred

[thesandman]

It's been a strange year so far, no question. Captcane is seeing what I am seeing. Teams jumping out 4 or 5 runs ahead by the third inning and then losing the game. I have no idea why. I have always played dogs and small favoirtes and my breakeven is around 42 to 44%. I've also won five of the past six years and I never hit over 48%. The fact that I'm hitting at over 60% so far this year, is probally the same fact that so many of you are losing. When my percentage starts dropping, it will probally be at the same time most of you start winning. The linemakers are keeping the lines high when favorites are winning just 57% of the time, but are still getting most of the play.

I never look to see who is pitching, because I don't care, but I'm seeing pitchers who usually pitch very well, getting bombed this year. Pitchers like Loriza who the A's signed and Hudson who never has pitched as well for Atlanta as he did for the A's BUT and it's a BIG BUT, the lines for these guys have not adjusted based on their bad starts this season. Get this, today Hudson is a 165 favorite for Atlanta with an ERA this year of 12.37 and I looked twice but it still said at Carib Sports 82% of their customers bet ON HUDSON. At sportsbook.com 92% of the money is bet ON HUDSON. He may very well win tonight, but anyone who did lay that big price on a pitcher with a big ERA, probally played on him already this season and they are going to be in a big hole. I didn't look here to see if anybody posted Atlanta as a play tonight, but if anyone did, that's how money is lost. There isn't any value at all.

I don't know if any of this helps or not but, when you bet based on past numbers and this year the numbers aren't like they used to be, you are going to lose as long as the linesmakers put out lines also based on past numbers. Now, after saying all of this, I'll probally have a losing night.

[WayneChung]

cap,my good friend like our buddy coverboy said,believe we just need to bet really small for awhile and see which way this ship is headed,i agree with darealdeal mets every game till vegas adjusts the line on them!! sincerely the chungster!! ps-i for one have taken some real tough beats in early baseball but seems like that always happens to me in early baseball the last 3 years // just for me though does not seem like the pitches dominate the game like they use too,and being a capper that likes to specify pitchers makes it tough but baseball has been really tough for me to cap the last 3 or 4 years!!