Spears Tuesday Triumphs

[phonepole]

Good luck Spear!!
Missed your 6-0 today.... gotta quit my day job its costing me big bucks!!
I'm on ya today....... and i'm still jazzed about Sunday's W!!

Lots of cold eze, vitamin C and chicken soup... don't get sick!

[ChuckLazar]

GL Buddy

[Spearit]

Michigan Pick First Half----------------------------WIN

Holding off on playing ODU for second half due to injury to Hadi and one other not 100%.

[ELJUGO]

Michigan Pick First Half----------------------------WIN

Holding off on playing ODU for second half due to injury to Hadi and one other not 100%.

I played along and cashed a big winner!! Thanks Spear

[Cabomike]

Nice call Spear. Thanks. I thought about ODU for second half but I think the injuries are gonna kill them and Michigan could route. I hope so. I have Michigan plus 1.5 for the game too.

[Spearit]

Old Dominion vs. Michigan Under 73 2nd Half -

Both teams are not hitting their 3's. Fouls are putting some into jeopardy. Free throws are tanking as well! Like both defenses!! 7 foot 3 dude for ODU comes up big I think to get em back in this game. .

[bover1]

Michigan Pick First Half----------------------------WIN

Holding off on playing ODU for second half due to injury to Hadi and one other not 100%.

THANKS RIT RODE THAT TRAIN

[pake]

Thanks Spear --- Think Under is the play
Hopefully game tightens up keep things slow.

[tash]

gl spear! stay hot!

[SharkinthePool]

nice call spear..

[shoeman530]

Good luck spear

[thesandman]

U R Looking good on your under for the 2H. I tried something I hardly ever do, which is why I didn't post it. I took Michigan -5 for the second half (-14 for the full game) at +340 and for the same amount took Mich +3 (-6 for the full game) to hopefully win and make up for the other play if it loses. I only did this because of the OD injuries.

[Spearit]

South Carolina/ Louisville Over 123

Now here is an oddity- The Under is all these trends
But: Vegas has you figured out and the squares are eating up the Under---- Not the right call here- I'll explain in a moment...

Under is 3-0-0 in Fighting Gamecocks last 3 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-1-0 in Fighting Gamecocks last 7 non-conference games.
Under is 5-1-0 in Fighting Gamecocks last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Under is 4-1-0 in Fighting Gamecocks last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1-0 in Fighting Gamecocks last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 9-3-0 in Fighting Gamecocks last 12 neutral site games.
Under is 5-2-0 in Fighting Gamecocks last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.

Louisville
Under is 3-0-0 in Cardinals last 3 neutral site games.
Under is 9-1-0 in Cardinals last 10 vs. Southeastern.
Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 10-3-0 in Cardinals last 13 non-conference games.
Under is 9-3-0 in Cardinals last 12 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Under is 7-3-1 in Cardinals last 11 Tuesday games.
Under is 19-9-2 in Cardinals last 30 overall.
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And These:
Play Under - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOUISVILLE) - good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games.
(62-38 since 1997.) (62%, +20.2 units. Rating = 1*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOUISVILLE) - good FT shooting team (69-73%) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's).
(62-38 since 1997.) (62%, +20.2 units. Rating = 1*)
Play Under - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOUISVILLE) - good FT shooting team (69-73%) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games.
(62-38 since 1997.) (62%, +20.2 units. Rating = 1*)
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (LOUISVILLE) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, off a home win by 10 points or more.
(59-27 since 1997.) (68.6%, +29.3 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (LOUISVILLE) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, off a home win.
(71-30 since 1997.) (70.3%, +38 units. Rating = 3*)
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (LOUISVILLE) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, off 2 or more consecutive home wins.
(50-14 since 1997.) (78.1%, +34.6 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (LOUISVILLE) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, off 3 or more consecutive home wins.
(27-7 since 1997.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (S CAROLINA) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, playing only their 2nd game in a week.
(43-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%, +24.3 units. Rating = 2*)
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See the avg score is also what you want to look at-because Vegas sees this as well- the play is therefore on the Over!!!
Look at the avg score for only this season.

CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season.
The average score was S CAROLINA 68.0, OPPONENT 58.3

S CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season.
The average score was S CAROLINA 69.6, OPPONENT 60.4

LOUISVILLE is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 69.4, OPPONENT 65.1 - (Rating = 1*)

LOUISVILLE is 11-4 UNDER (+6.6 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots this season.
The average score was LOUISVILLE 69.4, OPPONENT 64.1 - (Rating = 1*)


You get the point. I hope it goes Over!!!

[ELJUGO]

Old Dominion vs. Michigan Under 73 2nd Half -

Both teams are not hitting their 3's. Fouls are putting some into jeopardy. Free throws are tanking as well! Like both defenses!! 7 foot 3 dude for ODU comes up big I think to get em back in this game. .

Another winner!! Thanks Spear!

[Spearit]

South Carolina/ Louisville Over 124

line went up before I could finish posting.

Old Dominion vs. Michigan Under 73 2nd Half --------------------------------WIN