Trends Monday

[Spark]

NFL Trends



Monday, December 26th

New England at New York Jets, 9:05 EST ABC
New England: 18-5 ATS off BB ATS wins
NY Jets: 8-2 Over off a division loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change


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Additional Trends:

Monday, 12/26/2005

NEW ENGLAND (9 - 5) at NY JETS (3 - 11) - 12/26/2005, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Spark]

Monday, December 26th

Motor City Bowl
Detroit, Michigan
Akron vs. Memphis, 4:00 EST



Akron:
5-1 ATS as an underdog
11-3 ATS after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

Memphis:
2-10 ATS off BB conference win
7-17 ATS off a win by 21+ points




AKRON (7 - 5) vs. MEMPHIS (6 - 5) - 12/26/2005, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Spark]

Motor City Bowl Detroit Dec 26
Akron won MAC title game on this field Dec 1, throwing pass for game-winning TD in last 0:10, in 31-30 win over No. Illinois. Akron is only three hours from Motor City, so Zips will have an edge with the crowd, for sure. Problem for Akron is the 250 yds on ground they gave up to NIU, fourth time this season they allowed 200+ rushing yards. Memphis wants to run the ball.

DeAngelo Williams is the best RB in nation not named Reggie Bush; he played vs MAC team in bowl last year, broke his leg when game was close (28-25), then Tigers got crushed (35-52). Williams' draft position slipped, so he came back for this season Memphis has used 4 different QB's, as first two guys broke their legs, and third guy was not good; they had to go to an option game, as starting QB had been a WR.

This is first-ever bowl for Akron, which was only eligible team to stay home last winter; they have well-balanced offense, while memphis runs the offense with former WR Avery at QB (he was hurt at end of regular season, played thru it and should be fine for this). Zips needed to win last three games to get here, while Memphis was typically-mediocre C-USA team, although they did exceed expectations, especially after the two QBs got hurt

[Spark]

Favorites 171-181-3 this season.(26-16 last 6 nights)
Over is 184-187-4 so far this season

Hot Teams
-- Lakers covered seven of their last eight games as road underdog; they beat Wizards 97-91 ten days ago; they are 1-4 if they played day before. Wiz scored 114 ppg in winning last two games, but they're 2-7 as home fave.
-- Bucks won nine of last 12 games; they beat Orlando 104-89 at home Dec 3.
-- Cavaliers won, covered their last five games.
-- Nets won, covered their last five games.
-- Pacers won five of their last seven games, but lost at home to Dallas, 84-75, back on Dec 6. Dallas is 10-2 in their last dozen ballgames.
-- Memphis is 3-1 as a road favorite; they won 80-72 in their first visit to Utah, on Nov 19.
-- Blazers covered six of their last eight games, including four in row as road dog.
-- Celtics won three of last four home games, but lost by 13 at home to Seattle on Nov 16.

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost four in row, nine of last eleven games.
-- Bulls lost three in row and eight of last 12 games; they lost at home to Cleveland 108-100 six nights ago.
-- Knicks lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Minnesota lost five of its last six games; Suns lost five of their last seven contests.
-- Jazz covered only four of their last fourteen games.
-- Kings lost four in row and nine of last 12 games.
-- Seattle lost five of its last seven games.
-- Nuggets lost four of their last five games. Warriors are 1-5 in their last six games.

Totals
-- 11 of fifteen Laker road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Buck road games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-6-1 in last seventeen Chicago games.
-- Last nine New York home games went over total.
-- Under is 12-3-2 in Minnesota's last 17 games, 6-2 in last eight Phoenix games.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Maverick home games.
-- Ten of last eleven Memphis games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Portland road games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Boston road games, 7-1 in last eight Seattle home contests.
-- Over is 8-1 in last nine Golden State home games.

[Spark]

This season, favorites are 263-203.
Under is 239-204-12 this season.

Hot teams
-- Islanders are 5-3 in last eight games as road underdog but they're 0-3 vs Sabres this season (4-6/4-6/3-4). The Sabres won fifteen of their last eighteen games.
-- Panthers won five of last six games as a home dog; in their two games vs Flyers, Philly won both, 5-4/5-4. The Flyers won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Thrashers won four of their last five games.
-- Toronto is 11-3 as a home favorite this season.
-- Rangers are 7-2 in last nine games as road underdog. Ottawa won six of last seven home games.
-- Carolina won five in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Dallas won thirteen of its last seventeen games.
-- Edmonton won its last five games, scoring 27 goals; they won at Minnesota 4-3 on Nov 23.
-- Coyotes are 4-3 in last seven games as road dog; in first game vs Avalanche, they lost 3-1 at home Nov 16.
-- Flames won six of their last nine games; they're 3-0 vs Canucks this season (1-0/4-3/6-5OT Fri).
-- Kings won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Chicago lost five of its last six games; they lost 3-2 to Columbus on Oct 9. Blue Jackets lost six games in row, outscored by 26-15 margin.
-- Canadiens are 6-11 in their last 17 games; they're 2-0 vs Atlanta this season (2-0/3-2SO).
-- New Jersey lost eight of its last ten games; they're 1-5 in last six road games.
-- Lightning lost last four games, allowing 20 goals; they are 2-1 vs Carolina this season (5-2/5-2/4-6).
-- Minnesota lost nine of its last fourteen games.
-- Colorado lost five of their last seven games.
-- Vancouver lost last four games, allowing 22 goals.
-- Sharks lost seven of their last nine road games; they won 5-4 in OT at Staples Oct 28.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven ********* games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Islander games.
-- Four of last five Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Montreal games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven New Jersey games.
-- Under is 8-3 in Rangers' last eleven games overall.
-- Over is 11-3-2 in last sixteen Carolina games.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Blues' last thirteen games.
-- Last five Edmonton games all went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Colorado games went over total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Canuck games.
-- Four of last five Los Angeles games went over total.

[Spark]

Monday's List of 13: Quick Takes on Christmas Night:
13) Riddle me this: How is the Lambeau Leap legal, but Chad Johnson gets fined every time he scores a TD? If he were a Packer, would his antics suddenly become acceptable?

12) How is it that Ravens' home field looks like the fairways at Augusta National, but the Patriots' field looks like they just had a tractor pull on it? Doesn't the league control this?

11) According to sportsbook.com, the only game where the majority of investors played the Under this weekend was the Jacksonville-Houston game, which went over.

10) Enough already with the Sirius radio commercials. There must have been 25 of them on Sunday.

9) What a difference a year makes for Ron Turner, Chicago's offensive coordinator. This time last year, he had just been fired as head coach by U of Illinois. Now, he is OC for one of the best teams in NFL. Good year for Norv's brother.

8) At the risk of offending a couple women I know, the Rams tackle like fraakin' girls. Letting the 49ers run for 200+ yards in Saturday's loss was inexcusable.

7) Wonder how much George Clooney makes for Budweiser commercial where does a quick voiceover.

6) Since 2000, Darren Sharper of the Vikings has 11 more INTs (40) than anyone else in the NFL. Pretty impressive.

5) Not to be overly bitter, but in Hawai'i Bowl Saturday night, Central Florida was called for six five-yard penalties the whole game (five offsides, one illegal formation). All of these calls were obvious, so they had no subjective penalties called on them the entire game.

Nevada, on other hand, was whistled for 10 penalties for 92 yards, plus had a fumble recovery reversed on a debatable replay challenge. Wolf Pack still won the game, 49-48 in OT, but one of most unevenly officiated games in recent memory.

4) San Diego didn't make the playoffs, but does anyone think the Chargers aren't one of the best 12 teams in the NFL?

3) Couldn't someone have gotten Mike Sherman a winter coat for Christmas? Even a light jacket?

2) Maybe if he were dressed properly, he wouldn't have used his replay challenges (0 for 2, by the way) in the first half. It is amazing how lousy some NFL coaches are with challenges.

1) Stan Van Gundy, wherever you are, hope you had a Merry Christmas. You deserved better.

[jeedd2]

nice stuff

[Kaptain]

Thanks PAPI---kapt