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Why there is NO such thing as a Sure Thing

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  • Why there is NO such thing as a Sure Thing

    Thought I'd share this with you fella's.

    I played an 8 player tennis parlay. I wagered $40 to win $390. I like picking seeded players because they are usually very consistent. 7 players came through with flying colors. The list is as follows.....

    [2001] DOMINIK HRBATY -315
    [2008] ARNAUD CLEMENT -350
    [2009] MARK PHILIPPOUSSIS -105
    [2011] RICHARD GASQUET -255
    [3002] LINDSAY DAVENPORT -1900
    [3003] ANASTASIA MYSKINA -270
    [3012] NADIA PETROVA -195

    All I needed was Justine Henin Hardenne at -2000 to beat some hack named Flavia Pennetta in the first round of the Porsche Tourney. Basically, the only close to a sure bet I had on the parlay. You guessed it, Hardenne was whipped like a red headed step child in straight sets.

    Just a little lesson to you young fella's. There is NO sure thing in betting....

    A tough lesson for me. What's worse is that having Hardenne on that parlay probably was only worth an extra $10 or so on the $390 win. What a bitch, literally and figuratively.

    KAZDOG :angryfire
    [email protected]

    I'm just here so I won't get fined....

  • #2
    That sucks man. Better luck next time!

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    • #3
      that sucks!

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      • #4
        Originally posted by KazDog
        Thought I'd share this with you fella's.

        I played an 8 player tennis parlay. I wagered $40 to win $390. I like picking seeded players because they are usually very consistent. 7 players came through with flying colors. The list is as follows.....

        [2001] DOMINIK HRBATY -315
        [2008] ARNAUD CLEMENT -350
        [2009] MARK PHILIPPOUSSIS -105
        [2011] RICHARD GASQUET -255
        [3002] LINDSAY DAVENPORT -1900
        [3003] ANASTASIA MYSKINA -270
        [3012] NADIA PETROVA -195

        All I needed was Justine Henin Hardenne at -2000 to beat some hack named Flavia Pennetta in the first round of the Porsche Tourney. Basically, the only close to a sure bet I had on the parlay. You guessed it, Hardenne was whipped like a red headed step child in straight sets.

        Just a little lesson to you young fella's. There is NO sure thing in betting....

        A tough lesson for me. What's worse is that having Hardenne on that parlay probably was only worth an extra $10 or so on the $390 win. What a bitch, literally and figuratively.

        KAZDOG :angryfire
        a 2000 fav doesnt really help your parlay so why even put it in there?

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        • #5
          < a 2000 fav doesnt really help your parlay so why even put it in there? >

          You're right, it was a stupid thing to do for someone who's been gambling for a long time. It's a tough lesson learned and why I posted this thread.
          [email protected]

          I'm just here so I won't get fined....

          Comment


          • #6
            I feel your pain man...

            But you have a good attitude about it, Karma is a powerful thing...

            best of luck to you in the future
            Everybody dies, but not everyone lives.

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            • #7
              I learned from it, so thanks. 2000 are not valuable
              Great Day To Win

              MLB 2008 (19-23-1) +3.0 units

              NBA 08-09 (10-7) + 1.59 units

              GOY (4-1)

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              • #8
                Thanks for sharing Dog...... we learn and become better (hopefully!) from our and each other's mistakes.... by admitting you screwed up tonight, you might just help out someone else in the future!
                "That ain't working, that's the way you do it... get your money for nothing and your picks for free"

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                • #9
                  Thanks for the kind words guys....I'm hoping maybe someone learns from the mistake and I'm not too proud to admit a huge mistake on my part. You guys are tops. Better luck to us all....

                  KAZDOG
                  [email protected]

                  I'm just here so I won't get fined....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    I know what you mean I have been bit by the Aligning stars Cat under a ladder shit a bunch of times

                    You know the sure ones are always the losers when I play parlay it is the
                    "no way this team will lose to these dumb f-cks"
                    pick that always kills it for me. So I had sworn off those Sure wins in any parlay and I do better now
                    TO BET OR NOT TO BET THAT IS THE QUESTION

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                    • #11
                      I honestly thought, as I was making the parlay, why am I putting Hardienne in this thing? But for some stupid reason I did it anyway. Just like putting Davenport in there. It won't happen again, I can tell you that. Until I brain freeze again, of course...

                      KAZDOG
                      [email protected]

                      I'm just here so I won't get fined....

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                      • #12
                        dude I had almost the exact same parlay and she screwed me too.... it was $10 to win back like $134 or somethin like that.... all other 7 hit except her and I dont even know tennis.

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                        • #13
                          That's amazing that we had the same play....Easy money flushed down the toilet. Thanks for not even showing up Justine!!!
                          [email protected]

                          I'm just here so I won't get fined....

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                          • #14
                            well as MOONDOG put it she was injured recently and has nt been the same since..... just wish I knew something about tennis and/or spoke to him a little sooner..... coulda even taken a shot with the other chick or someone else.... oh well we live to bet another day

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                            • #15
                              nice honest write up---thanks for sharing your downfall so others may bebefit from it...good points illustrated-------kapt


                              Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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