Spear-it Fri-Totals

[Spearit]

I have had alot of respect for Winning Systems thru out the year and have won money with him earlier. I saw his record yesterday on another site.

1st set of plays: 92-54

2nd set of plays: 42-29

3rd set of plays: 31-35
Starting today, I'll only have 1-3 plays/day. Mostly 1 or 2. The 3rd set of plays was not kind to me at all, probably because I had way too many plays in a rather short period of time. So, from now on, all my plays are for 4 units as the 4th set of plays starts.
------------------------------------------------------------

This brings up a good point- Sometimes we wish to go further at a time we should go lower. I believe he may not want to mess with his awesome record from before- who would, however, it is the correct thing to do when on a losing string- play amounts lower--no matter what your record was before--regain the confidence and raise. WS- If you get this - you are now down 4 units on the loss last night. Please consider going back to one or two units until the confidence is reestablished. Note: Yes-I should listen as well and not make a ten play after a loss- I just see the game strongly and pray the bull pens get no action. GL WS. Thanks to all for the support. Valium for all!!

[BigTicket]

I like your style Spearit, you shoot from the hip.
I also really like this play, I hope it cashes for you.
I was thinking the same thing about WS, why in the hell did he increase his unit size at this point in time? He has been in a tailspin for over a week. He doesnt seem like that type of gambler either, he seems smarter than that. I guess time will tell.

GOod luck

[Spearit]

Thanks Big Ticket.
I believe setting your total higher comes from winning and not losing- which resembles a chase.
I also happened on a thread from a sports service who wandered into our forum with this (I won't mention the service as Spark has reprimanded him for posting here):
__________________________________________________ _______________________
For Friday, let's take the Under in the Atlanta-St. Louis Game.

Smoltz vs.. Mulder. Combine both of their ERA's over their last 3 starts and it comes out to be 2.35. Smoltz has averaged 8 innings per start in that time frame while Mulder has averaged 6. These two teams played a 3 game set earlier in the year and averaged a combined 6 runs per game. The game Smoltz pitched was a 2-1 Braves victory.

I am expecting another pitcher's duel tonight. I feel both lineups will be completely over matched and I feel this one will again be a 2-1, 3-2 type of game. Play the Under.

__________________________________________________ _____________________

Hope this doesn't get to fade status. Seems the obvious play. Mulder is hot at home- 5-0 on the Under and Smoltz is 3-1 Under Away. -----Spearit

[seaofred]

i agree with you spearit,atl/stl un is also my top game tonight.

good luck

seaofred

[keawe]

Goodluck today Spearit!!!!

[Spearit]

Change in the game tonight - Wash/ SD Like the Over

Astacio out and Woody Williams in.
Williams last 3 games 17 innings 26 Hits 18 Earned Runs ERA 9.53

If Total is 9 or even 8.5 -Take Washington for several units. This could get ugly.
Take the Over as well for 1 unit. Mark it when it comes up soon.

[x2gold]

GL as always Spearit!!

[lowrider66]

Change in the game tonight - Wash/ SD Like the Over

Astacio out and Woody Williams in.
Williams last 3 games 17 innings 26 Hits 18 Earned Runs ERA 9.53

If Total is 9 or even 8.5 -Take Washington for several units. This could get ugly.
Take the Over as well for 1 unit. Mark it when it comes up soon.

spearit,

the o/u came out at 7.5... too good to be true? Let's hope the Nats put up some runs! I'm on the over.

[Spearit]

San Diego has been swinging the bat. Washington should score often and early.

L. Hernandez has avg about 3 1/2 runs a game
Williams is 5.05 but has not pitched wel in his last three games. Plus he works on one less day to ready himself.

SD/Wash Over ?
No line at Bodog yet- I figure 8.5 or 9. Would love for less. This line was down to 7 at some books with astacio in. 1 Unit
Washington should walk away with this easily - Grab when it comes up.

[lowrider66]

Got in at 7.5. Let's bounce back!

[Spearit]

I got in also at 7.5. Surprized that the public hadn't jump yet or was unprepared. Nevertheless- I feel we got good value on our early bet. Not easy to go over with Hernandez- but we do not have two premier pitchers pitching tonight in this game. Klesko has been ailing a bit but is starting to my knowledge. Bodog just took the game back off to readjust this could get interesting.

[Spearit]

I wish to apologize for losing a 10 play tonight. As stated -there is not a rock big enough for me to hide under. I made most of it back on the Wash/SD over and the play on Detroit over- however, I feel bad about the outcome of the game, but realize the gamble we all make in deciding an outcome. I think Atlanta should feel terrible themselves about their play as well. I sincerely hope the ones that made this play read my statements above concerning betting on it. I hope to rebound next week and take a few days off and do some boating and R&R. Thanks for your support- Tens hurt 10 times as bad as a 1 unit play. "I'll Be Back" --10 units Loss --1 Unit WIN
Record is now: 26-9 1 unit =100. 3-8 1 unit= 200. 10 Unit Play 0-1