Ron Jeremy/Heavy hitters/Heavy losers:Please read

[illjaunt]

Scrantonkid great posts it seems like you like Frank know what your talking about I hope you post more often.

[STaylor36]

Let's just drop this. I have never had a problem with you before, and I don't care enough about this to continue arguing. I just want to win money. I don't agree with laying big juice to get 1.5 runs. I'd prefer to just take the underdog on the moneyline. That's my strategy. Yours is different. Whats the big deal? I just thought you were way out of line attacking me like that.

I already made peace with Scranton, and he was the guy I was talking to in the first place.


Obviously laying big juice on the Yankees was a mistake. I have no one to blame but myself for betting on that group of losers. I can't defend that move. How could I?



Good luck tonight.

[frankb03]

Let's just drop this. I have never had a problem with you before, and I don't care enough about this to continue arguing. I just want to win money. I don't agree with laying big juice to get 1.5 runs. I'd prefer to just take the underdog on the moneyline. That's my strategy. Yours is different. Whats the big deal? I just thought you were way out of line attacking me like that.

I already made peace with Scranton, and he was the guy I was talking to in the first place.

Obviously laying big juice on the Yankees was a mistake. I have no one to blame but myself for betting on that group of losers. I can't defend that move. How could I?

In some ways we agree. I never lay more than -150. ML or RL.

I know you made peace with Scranton. You are taking my replies too personal. This is an open forum. When you post you are posting to all. Not to a single member.

GL to you as well.

[STaylor36]

Why is +1.5 a sucker bet? 27% of the home team wins are 1 run victories. I'd never lay more than -150 when taking the +1.5

Aren't you 15 or 16 years old? Please don't give advice you know nothing about.

Come on man. Who wouldn't take a shot like that personally? That was harsh.

I'm 22 for the record.


Never betting a line of more than -150. Now THAT is some great advice. I might follow that rule myself.


Good luck to all.

[frankb03]

Come on man. Who wouldn't take a shot like that personally? That was harsh.

I'm 22 for the record.

It was a question followed by a comment. I remembered you or your brother was only 15ish.

You made a broad comment that playing the RL +1.5 is a sucker bet. Yes, playing +1.5 -200 is a bad bet. Playing a road dog +1.5 -120 is NOT a sucker bet. Of course the road dog might win SU. Statistically, they will lose. I get the added edge of 1.5 run knowing that the home team loses 11% of their at bats if they are winning. As I stated twice above. The home favorite wins 27% of the games by 1 run. That 27% is an advantage I'd take laying small juice. As many will attest The 3 Wise Men have won many games getting 1.5 runs. At time against a prohibitive favorite. Some of those games were won SU. Some were won because my team lost by 1 run.

I'm a stickler for accurate info on this site. There is so much bad info on this site and the web. If you make a broad erroneous comment if I don't do it they'll be many others here that will challenge the comment.

There's many spots when playing +1.5 is a huge advantage to the player. If Vegas sets the game total at 7.5 runs they think it'll be a low scoring game. Runs will be at a premium. Getting 1.5 run is to the players advantage.

[husker]

frank, do you know the #'s for home fav's -200 and up wining one run games? i think it's much less than all hf's.

[frankb03]

frank, do you know the #'s for home fav's -200 and up wining one run games? i think it's much less than all hf's.

Home favorite of -200 or more since last season:

238-107

66 games (27.7%) were 1 run victories.

[husker]

that suprises me, i thought big fav's would win by more. thanks

[phantom]

I'd play a visitor +1.5, but never a home fav at -1.5. home teams only need to win by one.

[frankb03]

I'd play a visitor +1.5, but never a home fav at -1.5. home teams only need to win by one.

Never play the home favorite -1.5

Playing the road dog +1.5 has an advantage over playing the home dog +1.5