OK gang. Let's talk some football. Here are my thoughts on the Pittsburgh/New England game tomorrow. SOME VERY KEY RED FLAGS CAUGHT MY EYE ABOUT THIS GAME......
The way I look at this game, there can only be one right side. First, I begin by admitting that I had the wrong side last week with Indianapolis over New England. I won Philly/Minnesota but dropped the AFC game on Sunday. This week, I see a total mismatch on the football field in the AFC Title Game......
Let's begin with a now 16-1 Pittsburgh Steelers squad. A team that has now won SIXTEEN straight games. The Steelers are the proud owners of a dominant rushing attack, capable big play wide outs, a solid (USUALLY mistake free) quarterback, a great defense and an enormous home field advantage in the Steel City. Pittsburgh BURIED New England earlier this season and now they meet again, YET......
OK.... now..... When I saw this line I almost jumped out of my shoes:
Red Flag #1 (The Vegas Spread):
NEW ENGLAND -2.5/3!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?
Are you kidding me? THE SAME NEW ENGLAND TEAM THAT ALMOST EVERYONE IN THE WORLD HAD LOSING TO INDIANAPOLIS LAST WEEK is now FAVORED on the ROAD in a conference championship game vs a 16-1 team that has won 16 in a row and who already BEAT the visitors earlier this season?......
Red Flag #2 (Current Form):
Let's face it people, Ben Roethlisberger LOOKED like a rookie last week against the Jets and PLAYED like a rookie last week against the Jets. Big Ben may very well come out and light the world afire on Sunday but the Big Ben THAT I SAW last week has ZERO chance (in my mind) of beating a Bill Belichek defense - especially with the Patriots entering with bitter revenge and the New England coaching staff CERTAINLY gameplanning for Pittsburgh all season long knowing that they would most likely eventually face each other again......
Red Flag #3 (The Defenses):
The Pittsburgh defense that I saw last week HAD HOLES. The Jets did basically what they wanted, WHEN they wanted - and had the game won TWICE if not for the shanks by Doug Brien. I believe that the Patriots have the ability to carve up the Steelers defense at will tomorrow. Pinpoint short to moderate range passing by Brady and a ball control ground game with Dillon should have New England in control of this game (in my humble opinion). I do not see Bettis being able to run on New England, and I do not see Roethlisberger being able to move the ball on the Patriots D......
Give me the best coaching staff in football, gameplanning for Pittsburgh for half a season now, IN REVENGE MODE and out to prove who is the better team!.......
I am significantly worried however, that I could be on the wrong side of this game (as I was last week with Indy/New England) BUT everything in my mind lines up perfectly for New England to soundly beat Pittsburgh on both sides of the ball tomorrow. I will most likely choose to lay under a FG with New England on some kind of point buy move.
Best of luck with whoever you take in the game and if you have any thoughts feel free to share! Enjoy the games tomorrow guys and thanks to everyone who makes BC the best sports betting forum on the net
OBE
The way I look at this game, there can only be one right side. First, I begin by admitting that I had the wrong side last week with Indianapolis over New England. I won Philly/Minnesota but dropped the AFC game on Sunday. This week, I see a total mismatch on the football field in the AFC Title Game......
Let's begin with a now 16-1 Pittsburgh Steelers squad. A team that has now won SIXTEEN straight games. The Steelers are the proud owners of a dominant rushing attack, capable big play wide outs, a solid (USUALLY mistake free) quarterback, a great defense and an enormous home field advantage in the Steel City. Pittsburgh BURIED New England earlier this season and now they meet again, YET......
OK.... now..... When I saw this line I almost jumped out of my shoes:
Red Flag #1 (The Vegas Spread):
NEW ENGLAND -2.5/3!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?
Are you kidding me? THE SAME NEW ENGLAND TEAM THAT ALMOST EVERYONE IN THE WORLD HAD LOSING TO INDIANAPOLIS LAST WEEK is now FAVORED on the ROAD in a conference championship game vs a 16-1 team that has won 16 in a row and who already BEAT the visitors earlier this season?......
Red Flag #2 (Current Form):
Let's face it people, Ben Roethlisberger LOOKED like a rookie last week against the Jets and PLAYED like a rookie last week against the Jets. Big Ben may very well come out and light the world afire on Sunday but the Big Ben THAT I SAW last week has ZERO chance (in my mind) of beating a Bill Belichek defense - especially with the Patriots entering with bitter revenge and the New England coaching staff CERTAINLY gameplanning for Pittsburgh all season long knowing that they would most likely eventually face each other again......
Red Flag #3 (The Defenses):
The Pittsburgh defense that I saw last week HAD HOLES. The Jets did basically what they wanted, WHEN they wanted - and had the game won TWICE if not for the shanks by Doug Brien. I believe that the Patriots have the ability to carve up the Steelers defense at will tomorrow. Pinpoint short to moderate range passing by Brady and a ball control ground game with Dillon should have New England in control of this game (in my humble opinion). I do not see Bettis being able to run on New England, and I do not see Roethlisberger being able to move the ball on the Patriots D......
Give me the best coaching staff in football, gameplanning for Pittsburgh for half a season now, IN REVENGE MODE and out to prove who is the better team!.......
I am significantly worried however, that I could be on the wrong side of this game (as I was last week with Indy/New England) BUT everything in my mind lines up perfectly for New England to soundly beat Pittsburgh on both sides of the ball tomorrow. I will most likely choose to lay under a FG with New England on some kind of point buy move.
Best of luck with whoever you take in the game and if you have any thoughts feel free to share! Enjoy the games tomorrow guys and thanks to everyone who makes BC the best sports betting forum on the net
OBE
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