A ? For NCAA Hoop Cappers

[The Dago]

I look for line movement , past games played, look at who,s been covering who hasn,t i try to figure out which way the odds maker are trying to get you to lean , alot of times you will see all over the boards and service,s are all picking the same team, and the line moving the other way, to me thats sharp money , those are my favorite plays , also have to watch for teams that played over their heads the prev, game .or under there capability the prev , game , such as north carolina last night , if NC beats Wake the prev, game i think the line would of been 7 to 10 points higher , at clemson , also i think you have to do alot of score watching the hard part is just betting the games that you can pick out like that, the ones were the line just dont make sence , I myself was wondering what system rjeremy was using cause he seems so solid night in and night out , hope this helps . im not the best at putting all my thoughts on paper , good luck to you ,the dago

[HUNGlikeabear]

Might be the perfect time to pay for this cat's plays and go the other way

http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/sh...249#post266249


LOL

[ChuckLazar]

I pick a couple games I like and flip a coin!!! After all the figuring out with lines and power ratings, I try going against public. It's about the same thing, 50- 50 chance even when you do all the research.
You never know who comes to play on any given night.

[warjag]

Monitoring the betting line-RJeremy

RJeremy:

When you referred to watching the betting line, do you play against where the public, (majority), is playing? For example, if the public side bets are 90% on New England and 10% for Pittsburgh, would you tend to bet agianst the public or New England. Obviously when you watch the betting lines, you look for the movements as well.

Thanks,

Warjag

[coburg]

RJ,
You said that sometimes you like the trend,bet with a favored home team against a ranked visiting team,would you like Depaul tonight?They are at home and favored by 3 over #25 Marquette.Just wondering.I heard about this trend from another person and wondered if it works.
coburg

[phonepole]

Warjag...... bad example.... RJ would bet Steelers if 1% or if 99% of the public was on them.... I'll root for Pittsburgh too, i hate the Pats, is it me or is Tom Brady as exciting as chicken broth?

RWall..... excellent question, very informative thread!

[RJeremy]

warjag,

yes, i would go with the team only getting 10% of the public. i stay away from teams that 90% of the public is on. The public doesn't win. Also if 90% is on New England for example, and the line starts to drop and ends at NE -1, I would POUND the Steelers. 90% of public on one side and the line going the other way!! LOVE IT!! HUGE money is moving that line, which is usually the SMART $$$.


coburg,

yes, that would fit the trend that is 5-1 so far this year.

[linemover]

i posted some systems that hit very highly for CBB if you follow those systems -you should win money-do a search for my post titled how to win in sports gambling and you will find it

[coburg]

Yeah Blake,
It was you I got the idea from about betting home unranked favorites.Thanks for that post!Very helpful!

[TwoTonTony]

Aces,

Nothing against you AT ALL! I think trends are the WORST thing in the world to bet on. As I mentioned above I will RARELY take a game soley on a trend. The one I mentioned is one to look out for and even then, its not 100%, so you still have to look closer at the game. Just like 2 weeks ago, I went against that trend and took Alabama, and they won. It's just a starting point, and not to be followed ALL the time.

Here's the problems I have with trends. Someone can come up with a trend on ANY game if they look hard enough. Ex. Since 1975, SEC teams are 77% ats after 2 days off and coming off a road loss of 15 or more points and traveling across 2 time zones. This is made up, but you get my drift. Another problem is, things change from day to day and year to year. It doesn't matter what a team did last year playing in Cincinatti or whatever, it is new players, possibly new coaches, and everything is different. Betting on a game due to factors that happened years ago or because some trend says so will get you hurt BADLY. Each game needs its own consideration and should be treated with such.

Just my $.02.....hope this helps.......and Aces, again no offense to you, thats just my opinion. I've been doing this pretty seriously for over 10 years.

RJ,

you beat me to the punch....if you go to ******* a case can be made for each team..stats favoring each one and trends......for every one you find for the Pats this weekend i am sure you can find an equal amount for the Steelers as an example......

[TwoTonTony]

i posted some systems that hit very highly for CBB if you follow those systems -you should win money-do a search for my post titled how to win in sports gambling and you will find it

Blake,

i have been on that one also since you posted it!!!

Thanks Buddy...A TON

[rwall]

Thank You Everyone!!!
The responses were more than I could have anticipated, in both number and information. It's this type of comradery that makes this the best betting forum.
The bad thing about all this is I have an obsessive personality and will be up all night putting it all together. That's no joke.
I went to Vegas 7 years ago for the first time. Fell in love with Black Jack, came home learned how to count cards and went back 3 months later and have been going back ever since..

THAN YOU Again

P.S. If your interested I will be selling " A winners Guide To Sports Betting " on E-bayfor $59.95, Mention this site for a 5% discount. (That's a Joke)