Originally posted by doffusbutt
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Someone questioned the Big Al post in Friday's thread also. I checked Big Al's web site and the advertising write-up doesn't seem to jive with the picks posted here. Perhaps someone could confirm if these are rwally his selections.
Also, to prevent confusion as the day goes along, the "phil Steele" picks posted above are not the late phone plays but some picks out of his newsletter. The late phones are out after 11 eastern.
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Dave Malinsky Free Play
Game:Idaho @ Pacific on Jan 15 2005 10:00PM
Prediction:Idaho
Reason:4* IDAHO over PACIFIC
One of the advantages to these deep Saturday cards on the college hardwoods is how the oddsmakers often resort to straight power ratings in the setting of prices, which leaves so many factors for us to work with. This game combines many of them.
We can start a couple of the key F’s. There is Focus, as the host Tigers can not help but suffer from an emotional letdown after their win against Utah State on this floor in that key showdown Thursday night. And then there is Fatigue, with the game a draining double overtime affair in which three different Pacific players went 40 minutes or more, including 47 for David Doubley and 45 for Christian Maraker.
Next we move to Tempo. There will not be any. These are two excellent defensive teams in half-court sets, and neither does anything to press the shot counts. It showed in their head-to-head meetings LY, with Pacific winning 62-56 here, 63-62 at Moscow, and then 67-61 at the Big West Conference tournament in Anaheim.
Then how about Value, for good measure? Leonard Perry’s Vandals are an improved item this season, and only a offensive dry spell at crunch time at CS-Northridge on Thursday prevents them from being unbeaten in league play. That also includes an easier win over Utah State than Pacific was able to manage. So consider just what the +14 means here, especially given how close LY’s games were - none of them by a margin that is even half of tonight’s pointspread! In this case, even the power ratings are not quite correct.
We are calling for another low-scoring war between these two, and Bob Thomason’s physically and mentally fatigued squad would be more than thrilled to win this by far less than what the oddsmakers are projecting.
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FRIENDS OF MIKE LEE FREE PICK
3% St Louis/Atlanta under 48 1/2
3% Indianapolis +1 1/2 over New England
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Services
Big Al had an unadvertised 5* on the Vikings last week too.
Carlo Campanella 10* AFC GOY Jets
Big Al 5* GOY Jets, 4* Rams, opinion Jets/Steelers Under
Alex Smart: Game of Year Jets, Best Bets Patriots, Eagles
Lenny Delgenio: AFC GOY Steelers, NFC Trap Buster Falcons, Inside Info Vikings, Insider Angle Patriots
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Originally posted by seaofreddocs
looking for docs nfl underdog playoff goy and his cbb goy both which are rated 6 units and are for sat,and have been released,so if anyone has them would you please post.
seaofred
4 Unit Play. #1 Take NY Jets +9 over Pittsburgh (4:30 p.m. CBS) The Jets will stay in this game right until the end against a team that wins by ball control offense. The experts think the total points scored will be around 35 and getting this many points makes this the only side to consider. Chad Pennington had a breakout game a week ago in San Diego and he will be going into this game with extreme confidence. Pittsburgh will win this game, but it will be a struggle and very low scoring outside in the elements of Pittsburgh.
6 Unit Play. #5 Take Minnesota +9 ½ over Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. FOX) The Vikings played their best game of the season last week and we expect a follow-up performance in this contest. The Eagles have not played well since the Green Bay game and without Terrell Owens the Eagles are limited in their offensive weapons besides Donovan McNabb. Minnesota will enter this game with extreme confidence and when these teams played earlier, the score was just 16-27. The Vikings fumbled twice inside the red zone in that contest and if that can clear that up, they have the ability to win this game. Either way, the Vikings will be in this game and will never trail by double digits.
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Factsman
SATURDAY
PITTSBURGH STEELERS -8.5...real simple guys the jets were in back to back overtime games and this is there 3rd straight road game..the fact that they only scored 6 points vs pitt a month ago and since that game they have been burried with injuries
HOP ON THE BUS GUS...............PITT BY 14 PLUS
ATLANTA FALCONS -7 OVER THE RAMS....real simple here guys no team runs the ball better then the falcons no team gets shredded on d vs the run more then the rams how to u bet on a team that leads the league in turnovers that go on the road to a place where they were spanked by 2 tds
ATLANTA BY 28 OR MORE...BIG TIME BLOW OUT HERE
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SUNDAY
PATRIOTS -2 OVER INDY....5 times in a row peyton and the colts got wacked
by this team. sometimes a team has your number this would be that time
THIS IS THE SUPER BOWL CHAMPS DAMMIT AT HOME VS A TEAM THEY OWN
INJURIES ? GUESS WHAT TEAM IN THE NFL HAD MORE DIFERENT STARTING LINE UPS
LAST YEAR BECAUSE OF INJURIES............THE PATRIOTS
AND DIDNT THEY WIN THE SUPER BOWL...SO BE SMART HERE GUYS
PATRIOTS WIN A UGLY ONE BY 7
VIKINGS+8.5 OVER PHILLY...im not going to use the eagles choke logic here
because that really doesnt matter. but phily has some injuries
and there best big play guy in owens isnt playing
philly hasnt played a meaningfull game in a month and minny rolls into town with confidence and a wicked offense
this game comes down to 3 points either way
VIKINGS PLUS THE POINTS
TEASER PLAYERS I WOULD RECCOMEND
6.5 TEASER WITH THE FALCONS -.5 AND PITT-2
ON SUNDAY.. PATRIOTS +4.5 AND VIKES +14.5
NOW I DONT PLAY TEASERS BUT THESE NUMBERS ACTUALLY LINE UP NICE FOR ONE
BEST OF LUCK THIS WEKEND GUYS
HOPE THIS HELPS
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winning points
1) pittsburgh over ny jets by 14 predicted score 26-12
2) st louis over atlabnta by 3 predicted score 27-24
3) philadelphia over minnesoata by 20 predicted score 34-14
4) indianapolis over new england by 4 predicted score 28-24
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