Marc Lawrence NFL PICK! - Sunday 12/19/2004
Tennessee over Oakland
Titans have grabbed the cash eight of the last nine tries in this series and are 5-0 ATS on the road against .333 or less opposition. They’re also 5-1 ATS away off a Monday nighter. Take the points here as the wrong team appears to be favored.
RANGERPICKS.com SUNDAY PLAYS
Detroit +3 over Minnesota (Single Play) SUN
Minnesota are 2-6-0 ATS in their last 8 games against Detroit
Minnesota are 2-6-0 SU in their last 8 games after scoring 21 to 30 points
Detroit are 8-3-0 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 10 to 20 points
Arizona +3 over St. Louis (Single Play) SUN
St. Louis is 5-23 last 28 games when playing outside.
Arizona will play hard here at home.
Jacksonville +3 over G.B (Single Play) SUN
Jacksonville has the better D and can run the ball down G.B. throat.
TB -8 over New Orleans (Single Play) SUN
Baltimore +7.5 vs. Indianapolis (Single Play) SUN
Cincinnati +1.5 over Buffalo (Single Play) SUN
Cincinnati are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games
Cincinnati are 7-2-0 ATS in their last 9 home games against Buffalo
Dallas +575 (ML) over Philadelphia (LONGSHOT PLAY) SUN
UNDERDOGS WHO LOST BY 10 OR MORE POINTS AS A FAVORITE OF MORE THAN 6 POINTS THE PREVIOUS WEEK ARE 46-21. THIS INCREASES TO 20-7 AGAINST THE DIVISION
Alex Smart New York Jets
The Jets enter this contest against the Seahawks off a disappointing hard fought loss to the Steelers last time out by a score of 17-6. You can bet they will be hinged on getting the memory of that loss out of their heads by trying to climb back into the winners circle this week with a motivated effort against a Seattle franchise they have had success against in the past winning 7 of the L/8 confrontations in this series against the money line and are bankroll expanding 5-2-1 ATS against the spread over that same span.The Jets have been money in the bank this season and are 10-4 ATS L/14 overall and are 4-2 ATS L/6 at home. Their competitors on the other hand, the inconsistent Seahawks, broke a 4 game ATS losing streak with a surprising road dog win over the Vikings last week by a score of 27-23. The up again, down again Seahawks are still just 2-8 ATS L/10 overall and have had problems with their defense and overall inability to hold leads this season. Not a good omen against a disciplined and well coached Jets squad that will feed off a team like Seattle that consistently commits critical mistakes. Bottom line: Look for one of the NFLs best defenses that allows only 14.8 PPG to slow down Seattles moody offense. While the Jets prime time signal caller Pennington and his side kick star RB Curtis Martin will let loose on what remains a suspect Seahawks secondary and defense.Note:The Jets are 7-3 ATS L/10 as favorites.Seattle is 0-3 ATS L/3 versus AFC East division opponents.
Buffalo has quietly been one of the hottest teams in the NFL in recent weeks while going on a 6-1 SU & ATS run. Buffalo is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in this series, but it's a perfect time for a letdown as we find the Bills at 3-12 ATS after 4 or more consecutive victories and just 3-10 ATS on the road after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Bengals are a solid 4-2 SU behind young QB Palmer at home and offer value this Sunday.
7* Play On Cincinnati
This guy has been pretty hot lately!
Lenny DelGenio Houston Texans OVER
Both of these teams are virutally eliminated from playoff contention and can play a very free, loose style of game. The Bears are trying to see what they have in Hutchinson at QB and he has looked good at times the last few weeks. They will find nothing out by having him turn around and hand off every other play. The Texans are coming off of games in which they scored 7 & 14 points and will be looking to get Carr and the offense back on track with some confidence heading into next yr. Houston has played OVER the total in 4 of their 6 road games this yr, allowing 28 or more in all 4 of those games. The Bears will be without Urlacher which won't help their defense.
Larry Ness St. Louis Rams
The Rams are EASILY on the the biggest disappointments of the 2004 season and if they lose here will most likely miss the playoffs. I wonder if THAT would get Mike Martz fired? Martz, a self proclaimed genius, has done a BRUTAL job coaching this talented team! Despite two wins over division rival Seattle, the Rams are still under. 500 at 6-7 with a home loss to New Orleans and a road loss at Miami standing out as MISSED OPPORTUNITIES. St Louis had SEVEN giveaways in losing at Carolina last week and the Rams minus-20 ratio is a league-worst! After 46 takeaways last year, the Rams have just 13 in 2004! Bulger is expected back for this one and maybe Faulk too? The best news for St Louis is its opponent. Since winning two straight and getting to 4-5, Dennis Green began his REVOLVING QBs theme and the team has gone 0-4 SU and ATS! Despite all the Rams' negative ATS numbers on the road, the Cards are a team they CAN BEAT! In Week 1, despite beating the Cards just 17-10, the Rams outgained them 448 yards to 260 and had 27 FDs with the Cards getting just 14! DESPITE Mike Martz, the Rams win here vs the Cards and stay alive for a wild card berth in the NFC.
TNT SD BUF STL BAL NE 45-24-1 45.5
Tiger Wilson CAR NYJ SD BUF HOU 1-0 45-25-1 45.5
********* PHI JAX AZ DEN NE 43-25-2 44
betaadss PIT ATL MN BUF NE 0-2 43-28-1 43.5
Letitride SEA DET SD GB MIA 43-26-1 43.5
Palaz NYG CLV BG AZ OAK 1-0 43-25-3 44.5
Spongebob NYJ SD GB TB IND 42-25-3 43.5
Vegas Connection CAR NYJ STL OAK BAL 1-0 44-26-1 44.5
Bucky Badger SF CAR DAL DET OAK 1-1 44-28 44
Dallas Mike PIT WAS SD BUF OAK 1-1 44-28 44
What a lousy call WAS DET OAK BAL MIA 1-0 43-26-2 44
Kikisports PIT SD GB HOU BAL 0-1 42-28-1 42.5
Ok wat Nak PIT CAR DET BUF TB 1-1 43-28-1 43.5
Quasimodo SEA GB HOU TB KC 42-27-1 42.5
KO’s Blistering Hot NFL Triple Play: Now 33 Games over .500!!
@Eagles (-) over Cowboys
12/19/2004 1PM EST
Andy Reid has made it a point to beat Dallas whenever and wherever possible. When Parcells had buy-in from his players early last year they pulled anupset over the Eagles. But that is the only time since the start of the 2001 season that the Eagles haven’t won this matchup in blowout fashion. In addition to their 28-point rampage a few Monday night’s ago, the Eagles have won by 23, 24, 31, 33, and 22. That’s 6-1 with every win being by 22 points or more. Look for a similar effort here. Go with the Eagles.
Lions (+) over Vikings
12/19/2004, 1PM EST
Vikes have given up 24 points or more in every road game this year and they just can’t get the stops that they need. Allowing 5.7 yards per play just doesn’t cut it when you have playoff aspirations. Lions D played well on Sunday and is allowing 5.0 yards per play. The Lions may soon be on the verge of matching up with the Vikings from a skill position standpoint, as RB Kevin Jones and WR Roy Williams are an exciting young tandem. Go with the Lions.
Ravens (+) over @Colts
12/19/2004, 8:35PM EST
The Colts do not have a victory this season against a team with a defense in the Top 15 in the league. Ravens have the style to give the Colts a run for their money and have a defense and running game of the sort Indy has rarely seen. Go with the Ravens.
Comment