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Wednesday's Service Plays Thread
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Kyle Baugues
NBA Best Bets:
Cleveland Cavaliers -3
Milwaukee Bucks +4.5
Seattle Super Sonics +3
CFB Best Bets:
South Florida +18.5 (Play of the Day)
http://www.trackpicks.com/mypage.asp?h=997
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MTI SPORTS COMPLIMENTARY SELECTION
3 Star complimentary selection!! The Suns are rolling and looking forward to the new season. Point Guard Steve Nash was the missing piece to their squad. Hawks not ready for this type of team and the high-scoring, high powered Suns roll over them. Lay the big number.
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freebies
RK Service Sport Today"s Pick TW LW
#1 BigRollers CFL UAB (-18.0) 1-1 -10 6-1 +495
#2 GamblingCorner NBA Boston Over (182) 1-0 +100 6-1 +490
#3 1 Stop Picks NBA Orlando (-4.0) 1-1 -10 4-3 +199
#4 Info Plays NBA Milwaukee (+4.0) 0-1 -110 3-2 +80
#5 Profit Sports NBA San Antonio (-7.5) 1-1 -10 3-2 +80
#6 5 Star Selections CFL UAB Under (62) 1-1 -10 4-3 +80
#7 Vegas Inside Info 2-0 +200 3-2 +68
#8 Black Widow NBA Memphis (-13.0) 1-0 +100 2-3 -130
#9 Professional Cappers NBA Toronto (+1.5) 0-2 -220 3-4 -141
#10 PositiveUnits NBA Houston (-1.5) 1-1 -10 3-4 -161
#11 Genius Sports NBA Boston (-3.0) 2-0 +200 3-4 -172
#12 Pay After Win NBA Boston (-3.0) 2-0 +200 2-4 -223
#13 Locksmith CFL S. Florida (+18.0) 0-1 -110 2-4 -240
#14 Joe Wiz NBA Washington (+12.5) 0-2 -220 2-4 -246
#15 Computer-Picks NBA Cleveland (-3.0) 1-1 +0 2-0 +200*
#16 Rocketman NBA Phoenix (-13.0) 0-0 +0 2-0 +200*
#17 Sports Winners 0-0 +0 2-0 +200*
#18 Assassins Picks NBA LA Clippers (-3.5) 1-0 +100 2-1 +102*
#19 Sports Consultants NBA Orlando (-4.0) 0-0 +0 2-1 +90*
#20 VegasSI.com 0-1 -110 1-1 -10*
#21 Psychic Sports 0-1 -110 1-1 -10*
#22 NFLWiseGuy CFL UAB (-18.0) 1-1 -10 2-2 -20*
#23 Rent this space 0-0 +0 0-0 +0
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dr bob
UAB (-18.5) 34 S. Florida 20
04:30 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Nov-03 - Stats Matchup
South Florida has had a very disappointing season, as evidenced by their 1-4 ATS mark, while UAB is 5-2 ATS this year despite being upset as an 18 point favorite at Tulane in their most recent game. This is the time of year when under-achieving teams tend to rebound a bit and the Bulls qualify in a pretty good 52-20-2 ATS big road underdog situation that plays on losing teams that have been bad against the number for the season. UAB’s loss as a double-digit favorite in their last game is not a good omen for the Blazers laying points in this game, as teams that lose as favorites of 10 points or more are just 112-136-6 ATS in their next game – which I mention in case you thought UAB might be a good bounce-back play. South Florida’s offense has been horrible again this season, averaging just 4.4 yards per play in their 5 games against Division 1-A opponents, who would combine to allow 5.7 yppl to an average offensive team. The Blazers are 0.5 yppl worse than average defensively (5.5 yppl allowed to teams that would average only 5.0 yppl against an average defensive team) and they just gave up 59 points on 7.0 yppl to a bad Tulane attack 11 days ago. UAB does have a good offense, averaging 6.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average attack, but South Florida is decent defensively for a Conference USA team (6.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average defense). My math model favors UAB by 19 points overall, so the line is fair, and the situation is in the favor of the big dog. South Florida has a profitable 55.0% chance of covering at the current line of +18 ½ points, so I’ll favor the Bulls to stay within the number.
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