This is my first play for this upcoming weekend. I'll be adding to this thread through out the week as I finialize my plays.....
5 STAR: MISSOURI (-2.5) OVER Oklahoma State
I like the Tigers at home laying the small number here. I always like to take a look at unranked home favorites against ranked opponents. That has been a profitable situation for many seasons. Missouri has also had the better of this series, winning five out of the last six meetings between these two teams. In that span the Tigers are also 5-1 against the spread against the Cowboys. Oklahoma State will try to pound the ball with their running game that is fourth in the nation in rushing, averaging 268 yards per game. But the Tigers will be up to the task having just faced Texas, and the Longhorn running game that is second in the nation averaging 293 yards per game. In that game with Texas, the Tigers held the Horns to only 193 yards rushing, 100 yards below their average. The Oklahoma State passing offense is not very strong, ranking 110th in the nation, so the Tigers can really load up to stop the running game. Missouri has a balanced offensive attack, that ranks 37th in the nation in total offense (60th pass and 27th run). I look for them to do most of their damage through the air against a Cowboys pass defense that ranks 74th in the nation. Brad Smith could have a break out game here. A lot of Oklahoma State's early success has been due to turnovers. The Cowboys have forced their opponents into 17 turnovers and they are second in the nation in turnover margin. But Missouri has also forced their opponents into 17 turnovers and rank 5th in the nation in turnover margin. Missouri is 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 home games, and they are 3-1 against the spread in their last four games as a home favorite of 3 points or less. I think Oklahoma State is too one dimension to beat a balanced team like the Tigers on the road. Lay the points here!
2004 NCAA FOOTBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 7-5 (+11.65 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 14-12-1 (+2.10 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 16-16-1 (-1.20 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 11-8 (+2.20 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 48-41-2 (+14.75 UNITS)
A $100 player would be up $1475.00
5 STAR: MISSOURI (-2.5) OVER Oklahoma State
I like the Tigers at home laying the small number here. I always like to take a look at unranked home favorites against ranked opponents. That has been a profitable situation for many seasons. Missouri has also had the better of this series, winning five out of the last six meetings between these two teams. In that span the Tigers are also 5-1 against the spread against the Cowboys. Oklahoma State will try to pound the ball with their running game that is fourth in the nation in rushing, averaging 268 yards per game. But the Tigers will be up to the task having just faced Texas, and the Longhorn running game that is second in the nation averaging 293 yards per game. In that game with Texas, the Tigers held the Horns to only 193 yards rushing, 100 yards below their average. The Oklahoma State passing offense is not very strong, ranking 110th in the nation, so the Tigers can really load up to stop the running game. Missouri has a balanced offensive attack, that ranks 37th in the nation in total offense (60th pass and 27th run). I look for them to do most of their damage through the air against a Cowboys pass defense that ranks 74th in the nation. Brad Smith could have a break out game here. A lot of Oklahoma State's early success has been due to turnovers. The Cowboys have forced their opponents into 17 turnovers and they are second in the nation in turnover margin. But Missouri has also forced their opponents into 17 turnovers and rank 5th in the nation in turnover margin. Missouri is 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 home games, and they are 3-1 against the spread in their last four games as a home favorite of 3 points or less. I think Oklahoma State is too one dimension to beat a balanced team like the Tigers on the road. Lay the points here!
2004 NCAA FOOTBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 7-5 (+11.65 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 14-12-1 (+2.10 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 16-16-1 (-1.20 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 11-8 (+2.20 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 48-41-2 (+14.75 UNITS)
A $100 player would be up $1475.00
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