Football Newsletters (week #4)

[Spark]

Thank You SG!!!

[phantom]

thanks for posting

Hey, Mr.G

thanks for posting the red sheet....i've never seen it before and hope it provides some profitable insights....

thanks again!

[jberdella]

anyone have the steam sheet?

I have never seen it or heard of it before. According to the records they are one of the best.

[chuck]

who2beton keep on posting buddy. its nice to see someone share and not ask for money. you da man bro.

[Sports Guru]

FYI the red sheet is the late sheet from Pointwise.

Oh and i found the leak guys and it will be plugged. Sorry. I am refunding him his money back. And Chuck try out the free trial, you will see its not just the posted plays (its the actual newsletter). Since they are out there this week, I'll give you guys a few plays from the TOP sheet later tonight.

[TiggerV]

SG - Got your email and thanks for the free trial. Has the Steam Sheet been distributed yet or does that come out later this week?

[Sports Guru]

I AM GETTING IT ASK I SPEAK. LOOK FOR IT LATER TONIGHT.

[Derty D]

Thanks Sportsguru for all you have done and continue to do!!!!

You have asked for fairness and I agree with you.

I understand the other side, but I am with you on this one. You have been more than generous and I think we all should be a tad bit more appreciative....

Keep the postings coming...

Thanks again,

Derty D

[who2beton]

Mark Lawrence Playbook

UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET
Boston Coll over WAKE FOREST by 8
The Eagles find themselves in their very best role here. When playing with revenge off a SU and ATS win, BC is a nearly perfect 11-0-1 ATS. Almost the exact opposite is true for the Deacons. Wake
is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 home games against avenging opponents, including a perfect 0-5 ATS when the enemy is off BB SU wins. BC remembers last year's season opening loss in Chestnut Hill where
they dumped as double-digit chalk despite outgaining the Demons by 134 yards. Paul Peterson the difference for the Eagles.

5 BEST BET
Louisville over N CAROLINA by 17
The Cardinals have ruled the ACC with ten ATS wins in their last 11 chances. More importantly, Louie is 29-4 SU the last 33 times he scored more than 30 on the road and 38-8 ATS in its last 46 road victories. Carolina has allowed 39 ppg in its last 22 games and, until last week, had held only punchless Duke
and impotent East Carolina to less than 31 over that 22 game span. It also doesn't hurt knowing UNC is 1-7 ATS in their last eight in Chapel Hill when playing off a win. Heels tarred again.

4 BEST BET
VIRGINIA over Syracuse by 31
Syracuse owns possibly the worst numbers on the card this week. The Orange are 3-41 ATS in their last 44 SU road losses and a pitiful 5-23 ATS in their last 28 shots as road underdogs
vs .600 or better hosts. Going into last week, Virginia had covered seven of its last eight non-ACC games and had a
money making 15-5 ATS log at home under current coach Al Groh.

3 BEST BET
TENNESSEE over La Tech by 14
For all the success that Tennessee has enjoyed over the years, you would think that they would have a better record than their 1-12 ATS mark against .600 or better teams. The Vols are also a paltry 1-8 ATS at home off BB home games and 5-9 ATS after playing Florida. Louisiana Tech has cashed the
money each of the four times they've been installed as dogs of 30 or more points and catch the Vols in an ideal scheduling spot, to be sure, with none other than Georgia waiting on deck. A natural Vols letdown appears in order and we're first in line at the handout window.

NFL

5 BEST BET
MINNESOTA over Chicago by 17
Chicago, off a stunning 'inside-out' stat win over the Packers in Green Bay - lost the stats by nearly 100 yards - has no one who can cover Randy Moss. Injuries to McQuarters and Azumah could render the Bears helpless against the Culpepper-Moss combination. Late season road loss in the Windy CIty cost the Vikes a playoff berth last season. It won't happen here today as the Vikings are 7-1 ATS with division revenge and 5-1 ATS after playing Philadelphia. This could get real ugly.

4 BEST BET
Tampa Bay over OAKLAND by 7
Tampa is 6-1 ATS on the NFC West road and 4-1 ATS in its last five September road games. Oakland is 0-7-1 ATS in its last eight as favorites or dogs of +3 or less. Of course, the story line here is Jon Gruden against Al Davis, the man who cost Gruden his dream job at Notre Dame. We've seen the look on
his face when he talks about Oakland and Davis. Chucky will accept nothing less than a convincing win. We believe
him. You should, too. Marc Lawrence's BEAT THE PRO selection in the game is Tampa Bay.

3 BEST BET
Green Bay over INDIANAPOLIS by 3
The Packers have covered just once in the last six meetings with Indianapolis but are 10-3 ATS against AFC teams since 2000 and 7-3 ATS as non-division road dogs of +3 or more. Indy is a pathetic 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as home chalk and just 1-6 ATS before playing a Monday night game. The
combination of a 'double inside-out stat' play (Packers lose the game, win the yards 404-307; Colts win the game, lose the stats) has us taking whatever they're willing to dish out.

[who2beton]

Spread Report Online

Top Play Record YTD: 5-7




Greetings...

It is always a humbling thing to have a week like last week. No matter
how long you do this and how much research goes
into it, or how sensible the thought processes are that go into making
intelligent decisions, there is still that
element of luck that comes into play. No less than 4 losses last week
came at the hands of incredible bounces. But
that goes with the territory, and I believe those things even out in
the long run.

On tap this week I've got 4 College Top Plays--all dogs--and five Pro
Top Plays. The rushing system churns out its
first play of the season with the Saints, but be advised that Duece
McAllister is OUT for that game. That's the
drawback to mechanical formulas and systems--but that is also why they
are only a guage, a piece of the puzzle in the
comprehensive effort of making selections.

My Turnover Super System has two games this week: The Browns, which I
already like, and the Redskins facing Parcell's
Cowpokes on Monday Night. I've only got 1 double play this week, which
is my Big 10 Game of the Year. Let's get
started...


Week Three:

-----------------------------
01.) NFL Real Number Formula:
-----------------------------

Plays begin Week Four and Run through Week Seven


-------------------------
02.) NFL Yardage Formula:
-------------------------

Plays begin Week Four


--------------------------
03.) NFL Turnover Formula:
--------------------------

Plays begin Week Four


-------------------------------
04.) NFL Turnover Super System:
-------------------------------

BROWNS
REDSKINS


-----------------------------
05.) NFL Rush Yardage System:
-----------------------------

SAINTS


-------------------------
06.) NFL Blowout Formula:
-------------------------

Plays begin Week Seven


--------------------
07.) NFL Commentary:
--------------------

Steelers @ DOLPHINS

This is a must win game for Miami coming home at 0-2. I'm not sure
they'll do it. The Steelers despite last week's
performance vs Baltimore are still the better team here. And Miami
looked flat horrible against the Bungles Sunday
night. Fiedler is the right choice, but even if he starts, there seems
to be some long faces on the Miami bench. I'm
gonna hold out: PASS


Jaguars @ TITANS

Well what do ya' know. Of the 5 AFC teams I picked as AFC SB
contenders, three of them seemed very unlikely: Jets,
Jags, and Browns. Granted the season is very young, but at this point
it is already becoming obvious that these 3
teams are drastically improved over last year and will not be laying
down for anyone.

The number #1 defense in pre-season was the Jaguars. To give you an
idea, the number one last year was the Panthers
and Pats. In 2000 the number one was the Ravens. So sometimes
pre-season means something. Right now the Jags are
sitting all alone atop the AFC South, and while I'm not prepared to
pick them to win the division (until the offense
gels better), I am prepared to take six points with their defense as
long as their D continues to play the way they
are to date. Titans need to win this game and probably will, but
they'll have fight: JAGUARS


Browns @ GIANTS

I really like what I see happening with the Browns. They too are one of
3 AFC sleepers as mentioned above. I think
they are the better team here and will win it on the road. Despite 7
turnovers in their favor, the Giants could only
manage a 6-pt win last week: BROWNS


Ravens @ BENGALS

Sorry, I'm not sold on the Bengals. Palmer does not look comfortable in
the pocket and will face a pass rush he has
yet to see. Bengals D looked pretty good Sunday night, but across the
board the Ravens are the superior team.
Baltimore is my AFC SB choice, and with both teams sitting at 1-1, I'll
go with the better team at the small price:
RAVENS


Texans @ CHIEFS

A lot of pre-season hype about how improved the Texans would be, but
again pre-season raised some red flags. Both
teams are 0-2 and you've got to be thinking about the superior team
being at home at a single-digit price. The Chiefs
have got to get it going, and while the Texans may be improved, this
setting reeks of a blowout. I'll respect the
Texan D and keep it a lean: CHIEFS


Saints @ RAMS

The Rams appear to be coming unglued as many projected. Both teams full
of talent and both teams will more than likely
underachieve this year. Saints are so fickle it's hard to get a guage
on which team will show up. They continue to
have problems focussing and executing, and if something very good does
not happen very fast, Haslette could be the
first to go among NFL coaches this year: PASS


Bear @ VIKINGS

Bears are proving to be a live dog early on, but I'm not prepared to go
against the Vikes at home here--to many
weapons--and especially off a loss: PASS


Eagles @ LIONS

Suddenly the Lions are 2-0. So are the Eagles. Initial thought is that
Philly is off emotional NFC Championship type
game and could let down. Lions fair home dog. Only problem is that
Eagles Monday night victory may be a real source of
inspiration and Owens & Company are gelling rather quickly and there
seems to be a renewed confidence in Eagle camp.
After only 2 games they seem to have shaken the last 3 seasons off
their backs, something that many--including myself--
did not expect: PASS


Cardinals @ FALCONS

Vick is picking up right where he left off. Even better, he is adusting
to the West Coast at a pace much quicker than
critics projected. But double digits is a pretty high price to lay with
them even if they are facing the Cards. I like
the points as a lean: CARDINALS


Chargers @ BRONCOS

Number seems high to me in view of Brees' improvement and the
inconsistency of the Broncos. It's not going to surprise
anyone if Denver wins in a rout, but it's too early in the season for
me to get a good read on either of these teams:
PASS


Packers @ COLTS

Anytime you can get six with the Packers and Brett Farve, it's
inviting. More like seducing. But I'm not biting. Farve
is historically horrible on turf and the Colts come home looking to
climb above .500. Too close for comfort: PASS


49ers @ SEAHAWKS

The 49ers are projected to be the NFC's worst while the Seahawks are
projected to represent the NFC in the SB, but San
Fran has been surprisingly competitive to date. While they are only
0-2, they could just as easily be 2-0. The
question this week will be whether or not they can blow off last week's
fumble in New Orleans that cost them the win
and whether or not Seattle will play up to snuff. Points actually look
good, but we'll wait another week: PASS


Bucs @ RAIDERS

Don't be fooled by Tampa's 0-2 start. It was inevitable that some
gelling would need to take place, but I don't expect
it to take that long. For all practical purposes Tampa dominated their
game last week versus Seattle. Outyarding them
by nearly 100 yards, they held the Seaahawks to just 182 yards and 9
first downs compared to their own 271 and 17
respectively. They out-ran them, out-passed them, and held the edge in
time of possession. The only thing they did not
do was win the game.

I was surprised to see Gruden put in Simms, but Lil' Phil did pretty
good with a 65% completion percentage and 175
yards passing. Don't think that the Bucs are going to be held to single
digit's all season long; and with their
defense, I'm prepared to back them again. Expect Chucky to take it to
his former team...again: BUCS


Cowboys @ REDSKINS

Now that's what I'm talkin' about.
Pokes..Skins...Parcells...Gibbs...Monday Night. That's good football. After Joe
Gibbs team committed a very uncharacteristic 7 turnovers last week,
I'll look for them to bounce back strong here at
home in this key divisional matchup. Parcells good in big games, but
not so good early in the year. Cowboys have not
looked as though they have gelled: REDSKINS


-------------------
08.) NFL Top Plays:
-------------------

JAGUARS +6
BROWNS +3
RAVENS -2'
BUCS +3'
REDSKINS -2


--------------------
09.) NCAA Top Plays:
--------------------

Brigham Young @ BOISE ST (Friday)

Line opened at 17 and action has pushed it all the way to 22 at some
books. No surprise though as BSU has scored 30>
points in 25 of their last 28 games. Returning only 3 starters on
offense this year they have nevertheless scored 40>
in each of their 3 games this year. The question is can they keep up
that pace with the absense of Dinwiddie. Two of
their 3 games this year came at the hands of Idaho and Utep, the other
versus a rather demoralized Oregon State team
after their debacle at LSU.

On the other side of the ball BYU Head Coach Gary Crowton took the
Cougars to a 12-2 record in his first year (6-6 the
year prior to his arrival) but has since gone 5-7 and 4-8 respectively.
Crowton took his team to a top 10 defensive
effort last year but still faces the challenge of returning to a
winning legacy in Provo. On the heels of 2 straight
losing years, he'll need his team to show up this week to get an upward
trend going in hopes of saving his job.

Granted BYU's poor start came at the hands of So Cal and the upstart
Cardinals, but losing is losing. And losing is
one thing, but not showing up is another. After failing to show up in
their last two games (outscored 79-20), look for
them to show up this week with an effort more comparable to their
season-opening upset over Notre Dame. It doesn't
hurt to know that the Cougars will remember the 50-12 beating they took
at home to Boise State last year, the second
worst loss under Crowton...

BYU +22


Purdue @ ILLINOIS (DOUBLE PLAY--BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR)

Boy this game looks all too easy, and that's just the point. Had this
game been played in Illinois last year, the line
would've been about 7 or 8; suggesting a full 14-pt swing in the line
during the off-season. Perhaps Illini's 1-10 ATS
mark last year would account for that. Ya' think?

Purdue is for sure an offensive powerhouse, and I can't blow any smoke
about Illinois' chances of shutting them down
with their swiss cheese defense. But what I can tell you is that
Illinois has already doubled their win total from
last year and is averaging more than 100 yards per game on offense.
Turner is on the hot seat and a good showing here
would go a long way.

I think this number is too high for the current Illinois offense
returning 9 starters, and Beutjer is probable (better
believe he'll play in this one). Moreover, I think the Boilermakers
could let down here after 2 straight games of
scoring 50> and allowing single digits while covering in lined games.
Fighting Illini is going to be ready this time
around and I suspect will match Purdue point for point. OVER looks all
to inviting doesn't it? Be careful. Home puppy
is the play...

ILLINOIS +21


So Cal @ STANFORD

Okay the lines are getting a little high. I realize So Cal is covering,
but where do you draw the line? No pun
intended. This line is rediculous. Stanford defense returns 9 and is
improved. They will prove it this Saturday in
their biggest game of the season. U-CAL nearly upset Trojans last
season in a similar situation. Look for that to
happen here as ponies could give up some points to Cards...

STANFORD +22


Western Michigan @ BALL STATE

Okay I'll bite. I like going with an ugly dog after a couple complete
disasters. You'd be surprised at how often they
show up. In fact, Western Michigan darn near upset Illinois last week
on the road after a 63-0 drubbing. This will be
BSU's first winable game this season and they'll look to even it up
with WMU in the MAC @ 1-3 each. After losing 59-7
and 48-0, rest assured we'll be getting value in the line with the
Cardinals who should win the game...

BALL STATE +3'


---------------------------------------
10.) Dave's Props and Non-Traditionals:
---------------------------------------

None




NOTE: All plays will be judged by the line as SENT. It is understood
that lines will vary among subscribers, books,
monitoring services, etc., for better or worse. Be smart, shop around
if possible.

[chuck]

thanks a bunch who2beton keep sending them. much apreciated

[OKDAVEOK]

NEWLETTER

Sports G how do i get the newsletter

[SHORE BET]

Thanks everyone for sharing !!!

Gold Sheet Confidential Plays??? I thought I saw plays listed last week. I may have the name wrong.

Thanks in advance.

[Parrot]

Spark

You Even Act Like A Cubs Fan, A Loser!!!

[Spark]

Re: Spark

Originally posted by Parrot
You Even Act Like A Cubs Fan, A Loser!!!

Thank You... Not sure what brought that on but you just made yourself look like an idiot.... You must be a White Sox Fan