*No RAS play on the Thursday or Friday games. Two official plays so far this week listed below. Potentially may have a few more in the final report tomorrow.
Official RAS Plays:
UCLA at Illinois (Over 48.5) - 9:00am Pacific
The Bruins offense is in good shape. They rolled up 443 yards against a decent Oklahoma State defense despite having less than 24 minutes of possession and ending the game with a -4 turnover ratio. QB Olsen was only 16-of-36, but he just missed on several big play opportunities. Head coach Dorell even commented that Olsen may have been too conservative and they will ask him to look downfield more. WR Tab Perry, a big playmaker two years ago before being declared ineligible last season, only had one touch. I expect him to make a bigger impact in future games. The Bruins running game is strong with stud Manual White (145 yards on 20 carries) and Maurice Drew. Along with WR Bragg and TE Lewis, this unit has big potential. I look for them to improve from game one to game two under new offensive coordinator Tom Cable.
Defensively, UCLA could not stop the Oklahoma State running game if their life depended on it. OSU rushed for 426 yards and only attempted 8 passes. UCLA may get starting LB Justin London back for this game, but he is still less than 100%. I suspect the run defense will be slightly improved this week but the pass defense got no work at all last week and Illinois will present a much more balanced attack.
Illinois head coach Ron Turner is a former NFL offensive coordinator so his teams usually put up a good amount of points. Last year was a major disappointment as the team averaged just 16.9ppg. The four seasons prior they averaged over 30ppg. This year 9 offensive starters are back including top 3 rushers and top 4 receivers from last season. QB Jon Beutjer is also back for his senior season. Reports indicate that Beutjer has finally grasped the sometimes complicated Ron Turner offense. He went 16-for-18 in the season opener and 9 different receivers caught balls. Throwing to many different receivers is one of the staples of this offense. Big improvement should be expected from this unit, especially against a shaky at best UCLA defense.
After a disappointing season, Illinois fired well regarded defensive coordinator Mike Cassity. Cassity ended up at Louisville where his defense shutout Kentucky in first game. The Illinois defense gave up 33.2ppg last season and has 6 starters back. They have moved some players from offense to defense but there is still only one standout player, LB Matt Sinclair. In the season opener, the Florida A&M QB completed his first 8 pass attempts. This defense is going to be average at best. Many teams will have their hands full with the Bruins offense, and Illinois will be no different. I expect this to be at least in the 50's. Play the over.
Over 48.5 1 UNIT
Mississippi at Alabama (-11.5) - 5:00pm Pacific
Due to the Mike Price debacle, Alabama second year head coach Mike Schula did not even get a spring practice with his team. The Tide then went on to play one of the most difficult schedules in the country last year. It is no wonder they finished the season 4-9. Six of those nine losses came by one possession (8 points or less) including Oklahoma by 7, double OT vs Arkansas, and 5 OT vs Tennessee. The team returns much intact and should be much improved this year. A new strength and conditioning program has the team faster and stronger than ever. Mike Schula and his staff have now had a full offseason to work in their new systems. There is plenty of talent here. Junior Brodie Croyle is one of my favorite QB's in the country. He has a strong arm, great accuracy, makes good decisions, and has good mobility for his 6-3, 200 size. He completed a workmanlike 16-for-22 in opener vs Utah State. Bama has a fine stable of running backs with both senior Ray Hudson and sophomore Kenneth Darby each rushing for over 100 yards in the opener. The receivers are young but talented. Even with the tough schedule, and a midseason shoulder injury to Croyle, they still averaged 25.5ppg last season and should improve on that this year. The defense returns 8 starters and features one of the best LB units in the SEC. The defense lacks quality depth but that should not be too big of a factor this early in the season. Preseason all-american candidate LB DeMeco Ryans has been nursing an ankle injury but reportedly will be close to or at 100% for this game. The defense seemed very spirited in the opener considering the opponent. As a team Bama commited only 5 penalities, none in the first half.
The post Eli Manning era did not get off to a good start for Ole Miss. They were outgained 392-to-240 by Memphis in their season opener. New Ole Miss QB Michael Spurlock was an erratic 11-of-31 for 182 yards in his starting debut. The Rebels were just 3-of-15 on 3rd down conversions. Even more troubling for the Ole Miss offense was their lack of a running game. The Rebels rushed for just 58 yards on 33 attempts for the game, and just 2 yards on 13 attempts in the second half. Starting right tackle Bobby Harris (ankle) left the game in the 2nd quarter and has not practiced this week which makes a turnaround more unlikely. The Ole Miss defense is breaking in 8 new starters and attempting to replace 7 of their top 10 tacklers from a year ago. They are nowhere near good enough to be considered a strength. Ole Miss only lost 20-13, but the game would not have been as close if not for a first quarter goal line stand that stopped Memphis on downs at the 1. Memphis QB Danny Wimprine (21-of-43) also had an uncharacteristic poor showing missing several open receivers throughout the game.
This will be the second of three straight home night games for the Tide and it is hard to beat a night game atmosphere at Bryant-Denny stadium. Alabama did not have to show much of their packages in win over Utah State, while Ole Miss was all out in their loss to Memphis. Advantage Bama. The Tide will be looking to avenge last years 43-28 loss in Oxford that was aided by a -3 turnover ratio. They will also be motivated to face David Cutcliffe who is now known to be a secret witness against Alabama in recent NCAA investigations. Needless to say, no one in the Bama program was too happy to hear about that. Alabama has outscored Ole Miss 165-41 in last 5 meetings in Tuscalossa, including 87-14 in last two. Give the points.
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