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WinOnBaseball.com - Sunday - 8/22/04
Welcome to our first annual service free trial!
-- WinOnBaseball handicaps Major League Baseball exclusively.
-- All plays with analysis, along with current and past season records, will be updated weekly on the "Records" page of our website.
-- All records will be documented at National Sports Monitor (*********.com)
-- NEXT UPDATE will be sent before 6:00am Pacific on Monday, August 23nd.
Season record: 218-220 -18.33 UNITS
HOU (OSWALT) -119 over CHC (Wood) - 1 UNIT - 11:05am Pacific
Oswalt has been pitching as well as anyone as of late. His K/9 and K/BB rates are as good as his sparkling debut season. No reason to think that the Cubs will break up his hot streak, as he has done very well against them in the past. Wood's been amazing at home, but more human on the road. Should be a nice pitcher's duel, but I think Oswalt can shut down the Cubs here.
FLA (PAVANO) -124 over SD (Hitchcock) - 1 UNIT - 1:05pm Pacific
Pavano just continues to be a horse, and it should continue in pitcher friendly Petco. Hitchcock has been unimpressive since coming off the DL, giving up 4 HRs with a lackluster BB/K rate. He was actually hit a lot harder in his last start than what the box score would indicate. Pavano won't need a lot of run support to get the W, and the Marlins should be able to give him enough against Hitchcock.
OVER 9.5 CIN (CLAUSSEN)/ARI (RANDOLPH) -115 1 UNIT - 1:35pm Pacific
Both starters have control problems, and Claussen actually has more walks than strikeouts. They will both put runners on, and although neither team has been great against lefties, neither starter is dominant enough to afford to let runners on base. Some early scoring should occur while these two are on the mound.
LA (ALVAREZ) -117 over Atl (Wright) - 1 UNIT - 1:10pm Pacific
OVER 9.5 ANA (ESCOBAR)/NYY (BROWN) -105 - 1 UNIT - 10:05am Pacific
Escobar is currently battling a blister on his middle finger of his throwing hand. He may not even make this start. I anticipate him being ineffective if he does make this start, as it's pretty obvious that he won't be at 100%. Brown has been hit very hard by the Angel hitters.
SEA (MECHE) +131 over Det (Maroth) - 1 UNIT - 10:05am Pacific
Meche seems to be back on his game. Since returning to the rotation on July 30, he has 23 Ks against only 3 BBs. He has changed his approach of attacking hitters and altered his grip slightly, which has evidently helped him immensely. Seattle fares much better against lefties. Maroth has a bipolar skill set when you look at his home/road splits, with his home numbers being very good. Nonetheless, I like Meche to shut down the Tiger lineup.
OAK (REDMAN) -121 over TB (Brazelton) - 1 UNIT - 10:15am Pacific
Redman has been very good on the road, with a 3.05 ERA in 13 starts. Throw out a couple of consecutive difficult outings against Boston and San Francisco on the road, and he has a 1.91 ERA. He has also thrown quality games in five of his last six starts. On the surface, Brazelton's numbers are pretty nice, but his K/BB ratio is not good, and he has a favorable strand rate, which will eventually normalize.
UNDER 9.5 OAK (REDMAN)/TB (BRAZELTON) -122 - 1 UNIT - 10:15am PacificGLTA
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Robert Ross FREEBIE
Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, August 22, 2004 4:10 P.M. EDT EST
Braves had little chance yesterday afternoon after starter Mike Hampton put them in a deep 1st inning hole. Look for Jaret Wright to have a better outing than that and the Braves to bounce back and earn a split of this four-game set.
Good Luck -Robert Ross
Play on: AtlantaGLTA
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Stay In The Zone Sports
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MINNESOTA TWINS
We are going with the Twins today as a 4 Unit selection. Listed pitchers are CC Sabathia for the Indians and Brad Radke for the Twins. The Indians are just 5-6 when Sabathia starts for them on the road. Brad Radke has faced the Indians twice this year and has beaten them both times. He won at home against the Tribe 7-4 and beat them on the road 3-0. In 14 innings pitched this year against the Indians Radke has only given up 2 runs. We love the Twins in this spot and are playing this one with confidence for 4 Units.
LA DODGERS
We are going with the Dodgers tonight for 2 Units. Listed pitchers are Jaret Wright for the Braves and Wilson Alvarez for the Dodgers. When Jaret starts for the Braves on the road he owns a 7-5 record. He faced them earlier this season and lost 7-4. When Alvarez starts for the Dodgers at home they are 5-1. and he owns a ERA of 1.51. The loss on the road to the Braves is fresh on his mind and Alvarez is looking forward to redeeming himself at home sweet home, California. It's payback time todayGLTA
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BIG GREEN MACHINE
For Your Sunday Comp Play:
It's put up or shut up time for the defending World Series champions. The Marlins have struggled ever since about six weeks into the season. They have been pretty atrocious with the bats and have underachieved. Granted there have been injuries, especially with the pitching staff. But, Jack McKeon's boys are going to get it going. There is just too much talent here with Mike Lowell, Paul LoDuca, Miguel Cabrera, Juan Pierre, etc. They are as due as a team can be.
Today the fish send their best starter in Carl Pavano to the hill. Pavano is as solid as they come. He very very rarely gets rocked and eats up innings. The righty game-in and game-out goes at least 7-plus innings and gives up a token two or three runs. That will be more than enough tonight against Sterling Hitchcock who is at least three years past his prime. The lefty did have a good last outing against the Braves, but that just means that he will get bombed here by a bunch of powerful righties.
This is just a terrible matchup for Hitchcock and the Marlins will exploit it with a blowout victory.THICK 1
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NET PROPHET SUNDAY 8/22
MLB:
Chicago Cubs (Wood) +110 over Houston (Oswalt)
NASCAR:
40% of wager on Jeff Gordon @ 13/2
20% of wager on Kasey Kahne @ 9/1
30% of wager on Jimmie Johnson @ 13/2
10% of wager on Dale Jarrett @ 22/1
Matchup:
Dale Jarrett +135 over Elliott Sadler
maybe more from him later, nonigoji
Burnin' Media To The Max!
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FACTSMAN
FACT....BRAZELTON....HITTERS HITTING ONLY 195 OFF HIM AT HOME
FACT... BRAZ WON 5 0F 6 AT HOME ONLY LOS WAS 3-2
FACT... TAMPA HAS SEEN FEWER LEFTIES THEN ANYONE IN THE AL
AND When U LOOK AT THERE POWER IT COMES FROM THE LEFT SIDE
WITH CRAWFORD ,TINO. HUFF . CRUZ JR AND THEY DONT HIT LEFTYS
FACT REDMAN vs TB 7 INNINGS 0 RUNS 4 HITS
FACT REDMAN'S ROAD ERA 2.74
FACT LAST 3 ROAD GAMES FOR REDMAN 3-0 GOES 7 OR MORE INNINGS
NEVER GIVES UP MORE THEN 1 RUN
FACT IS THIS GAME WONT GO OVER 5 FORGET 9.5 PAY IT UNDER LIKE THUNDERU GOT A HUNCH BET A BUNCH
THINK LONG THINK WRONG
ROLLLLLLLLLL TIDEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
BAMA BAMA BAMA
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MEL STEWART
comp line (51-20)
BRAVES
@******** (26-14)
later
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DAILY SPORTS PICK
AUG: 11-8
TIGERS
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OTM
AUG: 13-7
PADRES OVER
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BOB G
AUG: 11-8
INIDANS
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NORTHCOAST COMP
14-4 run
3-FLA/SD UNDER (coleman)
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COMPUTER BOYS
25-10 run
actual service plays
5-OAK
5-MIN
5-SF
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JHS
CUBS
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PROFIT SPORTS
AUG: 15-3
PHILLIES
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CHOKE YOUR BOOKIE
AUG: 14-6
PASS
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Dunkel Index - Sunday
National League:
Houston* (Oswalt) 11.32 (1/2) Chicago Cubs (Wood) 10.95
O/U: 7 1/2
Philadelphia (Wolf) 10.97 (1 1/2) Milwaukee* (Santos) 9.33
O/U: 9
St. Louis* (Morris) 14.27 (3 1/2) Pittsburgh (Vogelsong) 10.74
O/U: 9 1/2
Montreal (Patterson) 11.93 (1) Colorado* (Jennings) 11.06
O/U: 13
San Francisco* (Rueter) 12.52 (1) New York Mets (Ginter) 11.36
O/U: 10
Florida (Pavano) 12.91 (1 1/2) San Diego* (Hitchcock) 11.64
O/U: 8
Los Angeles* (Alvarez) 13.09 (2) Atlanta (Wright) 11.19
O/U: 8 1/2
Arizona* (Randolph) 10.56 (1/2) Cincinnati (Claussen) 9.87
O/U: 10
American League:
Anaheim (Escobar) 11.51 (1) New York Yankees* (Brown) 10.50
O/U: 9
Detroit* (Maroth) 11.55 (1 1/2) Seattle (Meche) 9.98
O/U: 9 1/2
Oakland (Redman) 12.58 (3) Tampa Bay* (Brazelton) 9.41
O/U: 8
Baltimore* (Bedard) 11.21 (1) Toronto (Miller) 10.28
O/U: 10 1/2
Minnesota* (Radke) 11.94 (2 1/2) Cleveland (Sabathia) 9.55
O/U: 8 1/2
Texas (Erickson) 11.52 (2) Kansas City* (Grienke) 9.68
O/U: 9
Boston (Lowe) 12.20 (2) Chicago White Soix* (Garcia) 10.01
O/U: 10
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Re: Spark, are you kidding me???
Originally posted by BigMike
Choke your bookie is a pass today??? You mean I have to let this guy up for air today??:DLMFAO ..... Give the bastard a break today??? NEVER....
Thanks Mike
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Thanks and some great info
As a newbie to this forum just wanted to say thanks to all the great info here. I came across a website that lists some great info for those of us who follow Services. They seem to be an honest monitoring service out of Vegas and very legitimate. This is NOT selling anything, just some great stats. Check it out.
www.repole.com/sun4cast/swsummary.html#NFL2003
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